Prediction of birth weight by fetal crown-rump length and maternal serum levels of pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A in the first trimester

Fetal Growth Restriction Is Associated with Pregnancy Associated Plasma Protein A and Uterine Artery Doppler in First Trimester

Fetal growth restriction (FGR) is a major cause of stillbirth and poor neurodevelopmental outcomes. The early prediction may be important to establish treatment options and improve neonatal outcomes. The aim of this study was to assess the association of parameters used in first-trimester screening, uterine artery Doppler pulsatility index and the development of FGR. In this retrospective cohort study, 1930 singleton pregnancies prenatally diagnosed with an estimated fetal weight under the third percentile were included. All women underwent first-trimester screening assessing maternal serum pregnancy-associated plasma protein A (PAPP-A), free beta-human chorionic gonadotrophin levels, fetal nuchal translucency and uterine artery Doppler pulsatility index (PI). We constructed a Receiver Operating Characteristics curve to calculate the sensitivity and specificity of early diagnosis of FGR. In pregnancies with FGR, PAPP-A was significantly lower, and uterine artery Doppler pulsatility index was significantly higher compared with the normal birth weight group (0.79 ± 0.38 vs. 1.15 ± 0.59, p < 0.001 and 1.82 ± 0.7 vs. 1.55 ± 0.47, p = 0.01). Multivariate logistic regression analyses demonstrated that PAPP-A levels and uterine artery Doppler pulsatility index were significantly associated with FGR (p = 0.009 and p = 0.01, respectively). To conclude, these two parameters can predict FGR < 3rd percentile.

A Prospective Study on Correlation of First Trimester Crown-Rump Length With Birth Weight

Background

Ultrasound examination has been a crucial part of the evaluation of fetal health during pregnancy. It has become more accurate over the past few decades as a result of advances in radiodiagnostic imaging. While obstetric ultrasonography in the first trimester has been utilized extensively for gestational age assessment and confirmation of fetal viability, the imaging technique has seen little exposure in predicting pregnancy outcomes. This study was thus undertaken to find out any possible association between one of the first trimester parameters, i.e. crown-rump length (CRL) noted at the beginning of a pregnancy, and the birth weight of the neonate.

Methods

This prospective cohort study conducted at a teaching hospital in India spanning over a period of eighteen months included women with a spontaneously conceived intrauterine pregnancy at six to ten weeks period of gestation as calculated from the last menstrual period. Transvaginal sonography was performed for all such women and the CRL was noted. These CRL values were then compared to a standard nomogram and assigned to either of three categories i.e. CRL <5^th centile, 5^th to 95^th centile, or >95^th centile. The women were then followed up at the hospital with standard care till the end of their pregnancy, and finally, the birth weights were noted. Data were recorded in an MS Excel spreadsheet program and analysis was performed with regard to CRL in the first trimester and birth weights using SPSS v23 (IBM Corp.).

Results

Crown-rump lengths and birth weights of 104 cases were evaluated. The mean age of the study population was 26.6 years and the mean period of gestation (weeks) was 8.28 ± 1.01. The incidence of low birth weight (LBW) in the study was 22.1%. The distribution of LBW was significantly different between the three CRL categories (χ2 = 15.868, p = <0.001), being considerably higher in the CRL <5^th centile category. No embryos with CRL >95^th centile had low birth weight.

Conclusions

Our study suggested a congruence between the crown-rump length of an embryo noted in the first trimester and its weight at birth, with low birth weight being a fairly common occurrence in the deficient CRL category. This study highlights the role of a carefully performed first-trimester ultrasound examination in possibly predicting an adverse pregnancy outcome such as low birth weight and the probable inherent tendency of growth restriction in fetuses that are destined to develop the same.

Correlation between crown-rump length in the first trimester of pregnancy and neonatal outcomes

BACKGROUND

To investigate the association of crown-rump length (CRL) during the first trimester of pregnancy with neonatal outcomes.

METHODS

A total of 15,524 women with a reliable first day of the last menstrual period and a regular menstrual cycle (28 ± 4 days) were included from January 2015 to November 2016. CRL was measured by ultrasound from 7⁺⁰ to 13⁺⁶ weeks during pregnancy and transformed to a standard deviation score (SDS) adjusted for gestational age. Linear regression was used to explore risk factors for CRL. A generalised linear model was used to evaluate the association between CRL and neonatal outcomes.

RESULTS

In the multivariate analysis, maternal age (0.25 mm, 95% CI = [0.22-0.28], P < 0.001; 0.04 SDS, 95% CI = [0.03-0.04], P < 0.001), multipara (0.30 mm, 95% CI = [0.08-0.52], P = 0.007; 0.04 SDS, 95% CI = [0.00-0.07], P = 0.031) and folic acid supplement use (0.78 mm, 95% CI = [0.49-1.08], P < 0.001; 0.05 SDS, 95% CI = [0.01-0.10], P < 0.019) were positively associated with CRL, while pre-pregnancy BMI (-0.17 mm, 95% CI = [-0.21 to -0.13], P < 0.001; -0.02 SDS, 95% CI = [-0.03 to -0.02], P < 0.001) was negatively related to CRL. For neonatal outcomes, CRL was negatively associated with small for gestational age (SGA) ([risk ratio] (RR) = 0.733, 95% [CI] = 0.673-0.8004, P_adjusted < 0.001) and neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) admission ([RR] = 0.928, 95% [CI] = 0.883-0.976, P_adjusted = 0.003), and preterm birth ([RR] = 1.082, 95% [CI] = 1.008-1.162, P_adjusted = 0.029), but positively related to large for gestational age (LGA) ([RR] = 1.241, 95% [CI] = 1.184-1.301, P_adjusted = 0.012). When stratified by pre-pregnancy BMI, the risk of SGA and LGA remained significant in all groups, while the increased risk of preterm birth was only observed in the lean group (BMI < 18.5 kg/m²) and decreased risk of NICU admission rate in the normal group (BMI 18.5-24 kg/m²).

CONCLUSIONS

Maternal characteristics were independently associated with CRL in the first trimester, which was negatively related to foetal size, SGA, preterm birth, and admission rate to the NICU, but positively related to LGA.

Personalized Model to Predict Small for Gestational Age at Delivery Using Fetal Biometrics, Maternal Characteristics, and Pregnancy Biomarkers: A Retrospective Cohort Study of Births Assisted at a Spanish Hospital

Small for gestational age (SGA) is defined as a newborn with a birth weight for gestational age < 10th percentile. Routine third-trimester ultrasound screening for fetal growth assessment has detection rates (DR) from 50 to 80%. For this reason, the addition of other markers is being studied, such as maternal characteristics, biochemical values, and biophysical models, in order to create personalized combinations that can increase the predictive capacity of the ultrasound. With this purpose, this retrospective cohort study of 12,912 cases aims to compare the potential value of third-trimester screening, based on estimated weight percentile (EPW), by universal ultrasound at 35−37 weeks of gestation, with a combined model integrating maternal characteristics and biochemical markers (PAPP-A and β-HCG) for the prediction of SGA newborns. We observed that DR improved from 58.9% with the EW alone to 63.5% with the predictive model. Moreover, the AUC for the multivariate model was 0.882 (0.873−0.891 95% C.I.), showing a statistically significant difference with EPW alone (AUC 0.864 (95% C.I.: 0.854−0.873)). Although the improvements were modest, contingent detection models appear to be more sensitive than third-trimester ultrasound alone at predicting SGA at delivery.

Prediction of Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes Using Crown-Rump Length at 11 to 13 + 6 Weeks of Gestation

OBJECTIVES

To assess the risk of a fetus with a smaller or larger than expected crown-rump length (CRL) for adverse pregnancy outcomes.

METHODS

The data of 960 healthy singleton pregnancies conceived via in vitro fertilization were retrospectively collected. Fetal CRL was measured between 11 and 13 + 6 weeks of gestation, and small and large fetal CRLs were defined as fetuses below the 10th and above the 90th centiles, respectively. Multiple logistic regression analysis was performed to assess the risk for adverse pregnancy outcomes.

RESULTS

The mean birth weights of fetuses with small, normal, and large CRLs were 3002 g, 3205 g, and 3378 g, respectively. A small fetal CRL was associated with an increased risk of smaller-than-gestational-age neonates (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 2.79; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.53-5.08; P < .001) and preterm delivery before 34 gestational weeks (aOR, 6.48; 95% CI, 1.36-30.79; P = .019). A large fetal CRL was associated with an increased risk of large-for-gestational-age (LGA) neonates, and the risk persisted even after adjustment for well-known risk factors of macrosomia, such as pre-pregnancy body mass index, gestational diabetes, and excessive gestational weight gain (aOR, 3.67; 95% CI, 2.04-6.59; P < .001). However, a large fetal CRL was associated with a decreased risk of gestational diabetes (aOR, 0.10; 95% CI, 0.01-0.76; P = .026).

CONCLUSIONS

Fetal CRL measured at 11 to 13 + 6 weeks gestation is worth using as a predictor of LGA as well as small for gestational age or preterm delivery.

Application of 4-way decomposition to the analysis of placental-fetal biomarkers as intermediary variables between maternal body mass index and birthweight

Human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG) is a placental hormone measured in pregnancy to predict individual level risk of fetal aneuploidy and other complications; yet may be useful in understanding placental origins of child development more generally. hCG was associated with maternal body mass index (BMI) and with birthweight. The primary aim here was to evaluate hCG as a mediator of maternal BMI effects on birthweight by causal mediation analysis. Subjects were 356 women from 3 U.S. sites (2010-2013). The 4-way decomposition method using med4way (STATA) was applied to screen for 5 types of effects of first trimester maternal BMI on birthweight: the total effect, the direct effect, mediation by hCG, additive interaction of BMI and hCG, and mediation in the presence of an additive interaction. Effect modification by fetal sex was evaluated, and a sensitivity analysis was performed to evaluate the assumption of unmeasured confounding. Additional placental-fetal biomarkers [pregnancy associated plasma protein A (PAPPA), second trimester hCG, inhibin-A, estriol, alpha fetoprotein] were analyzed for comparison. For first trimester hCG, there was a 0.20 standard deviation increase in birthweight at the 75th vs. 25th percentile of maternal BMI (95% CI 0.04, 0.36). Once stratified, the direct effect association was null in women carrying females. In women carrying males, hCG did not mediate the relationship. In women carrying females, there was a mediated effect of maternal BMI on birthweight by hCG in the reverse direction (-0.06, 95% CI: -0.12, 0.01), and a mediated interaction in the positive direction (0.06, 95% CI 0.00, 0.13). In women carrying males, the maternal BMI effect on birthweight was reverse mediated by PAPPA (-0.09, 95% CI: -0.17, 0.00). Sex-specific mediation was mostly present in the first trimester. Second trimester AFP was a positive mediator of maternal BMI effects in male infants only (0.06, 95% CI: -0.01, 0.13). Effect estimates were robust to potential bias due to unmeasured confounders. These findings motivate research to consider first trimester placental biomarkers and sex-specific mechanisms when quantifying the effects of maternal adiposity on fetal growth.

Monochorionic twins with selective fetal growth restriction: insight from placental whole-transcriptome analysis

BACKGROUND

The underlying pathomechanism in placenta-related selective fetal growth restriction in monochorionic diamniotic twin pregnancy is not known.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to investigate any differences in placental transcriptomic profile between the selectively growth-restricted twins and the normally grown cotwins in monochorionic diamniotic twin pregnancies.

STUDY DESIGN

This was a prospective study of monochorionic diamniotic twin pregnancies complicated by selective fetal growth restriction. Placental biopsy specimens were obtained from the subjects in the delivery suite. The placental transcriptome of the selectively growth-restricted twin was compared with that of the normally grown cotwin. This study was divided into 2 stages: (1) gene discovery phase in which placental tissues from 5 monochorionic diamniotic twin pregnancies complicated by selective fetal growth restriction plus 2 control twin pregnancies underwent transcriptome profiling, and transcriptome profiling was carried out using whole-genome RNA sequencing; and (2) validation phase in which placental tissues from 13 monochorionic diamniotic twin pregnancies with selective fetal growth restriction underwent RNA and protein validation. RNA and protein expression levels of candidate genes were determined using quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction and immunohistochemistry staining.

RESULTS

A total of 1429 transcripts were differentially expressed in the placentae of selectively growth-restricted twin pairs, where 610 were up-regulated and 819 were down-regulated. Endoplasmic reticulum lectin and mannose 6-phosphate receptor were consistently differentially up-regulated in all placentae of selectively growth-restricted twins. Quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction and immunohistochemistry staining were used to validate the results (P<.05).

CONCLUSION

The expression of endoplasmic reticulum lectin and mannose 6-phosphate receptor, which are important for angiogenesis and fetal growth, was significantly increased in the placentae of selectively growth-restricted twin of a monochorionic twin pair.

Singleton fetal growth kinetics depend on the mode of conception

OBJECTIVE

To study the impact of in vitro fertilization, with or without intracytoplasmic sperm injection (IVF/ICSI), frozen-embryo transfer (FET), and intrauterine insemination (IUI) on fetal growth kinetics throughout pregnancy and to compare the different modes of conception.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

University.

PATIENT(S)

A total of 560 singleton pregnancies were included (96 IVF, 210 ICSI, 121 FET, and 133 IUI).

INTERVENTION(S)

None.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S)

We compared crown-rump length (CRL) at the first trimester (T1: 11-13 weeks of gestation [WG] + 6 days), estimated fetal weight (EFW) at the second (T2: 21-23 WG + 6 days) and third (T3: 31-33 WG + 6 days) trimesters, and birth weight (BW) z-scores with those in the reference curves (Papageorghiou for T1, and Ego M2 for T2, T3, and birth). Multivariate analyses were performed.

RESULT(S)

For T1, the CRL was longer than the reference curve whatever the assisted reproductive technique (ART). For T2, EFW was significantly greater for all groups compared with the reference curve, and for T3 only FET singletons had a greater EFW. ICSI, IVF, and IUI singletons had a significantly lower BW compared with reference curves. For all ART fetuses, growth kinetics differed from T2. Only FET fetuses maintained their significantly above-reference growth values. The proportion of fetuses for which at least one period of growth loss was observed from T2 to birth was higher after IVF, ICSI, and IUI than after FET.

CONCLUSION(S)

For the first time, we have highlighted that fetal growth kinetics differed from T2 depending on the ART protocols used. They could have an impact on trophoblastic invasiveness and might lead to long-term health effects.

First-trimester irisin and fetuin-A concentration in predicting macrosomia

Objective: We investigated the diagnostic value of first-trimester adipokines and placental markers in predicting macrosomia. Methods: Out of 328 women recruited during the prenatal diagnosis between 11th and 13th week of pregnancy and subjected to follow up until delivery, we selected 26 women who gave birth to macrosomic babies and 34 women who gave birth to normal weight neonates for the evaluation of first trimester serum levels of pregnancy associated plasma protein-A, free β-human chorionic gonadotropin, placental growth factor (PIGF), and selected adipokines. Results: The mothers of macrosomic infants had higher PIGF (p = .049) and irisin concentrations (p = .00003), and lower fetuin-A levels (p = .0002) than had the mothers of normal weight babies. Newborn's weight correlated positively with maternal irisin (R = 0.454, p = .0003) and negatively with fetuin-A concentrations (R = -0.497, p = .00005). Multiple regression analysis showed that only serum irisin concentration was a significant predictor of birth weight (β = 0.329, p = .03), explaining 14% of its variability. The sensitivity and the specificity of irisin concentration in predicting macrosomia were 0.769 and 0.794, respectively (AUC = 0.818 [95%CI: 0.708-0.928], p = .00001) with a proposed cut-off value of 1725.4 ng/ml. Conclusions: Our results suggest that mother's irisin may be an early biomarker of macrosomia.

Three-dimensional ultrasound first trimester fetal volume measurement and its relation to pregnancy outcome

AIM OF WORK

To determine whether fetal volume (FV) measured by three-dimensional (3D) ultrasound was able to detect fetuses at risk of low birth weight (primary outcome) and/or preterm labor (secondary outcome).

METHODS

One hundred pregnant women carrying a singleton living pregnancy who were sure of dates, and had a dating scan, with gestational age between 11 weeks and 13 weeks+6 days coming for routine first trimester nuchal translucency (NT) were examined by both two-dimensional (2D) and 3D ultrasound (Vocal System) for crown-rump length (CRL) and FV then followed up regularly every 4 weeks until 28 weeks then biweekly until 36 weeks then weekly until delivery both clinically and by ultrasound biometry.

FINDINGS

Eighty-seven cases had a normal outcome, while the remaining 13 cases had either preterm labor (four cases) or low-birth weight (nine cases). FV positively correlated with CRL (P=0.026), gestational age in weeks (P=0.002), neonatal body weight in grams (P=0.018) and neonatal body length at birth (P=0.04). A mean FV of 8.3 mm3 was association with neonatal complications (P=0.045). A cut-off point of 9 mm3 for FV was associated with 100% sensitivity for detection of the date of birth, while a cut-off point of 9.15 mm3 for FV was associated 100% sensitivity for detection of neonatal birth weight.

CONCLUSION

3D assessment of FV in the first trimester provides an accurate method for predicting pregnancy outcome namely low birth weight and neonatal complications, however, it is a better positive predictor than a negative one.

Pregnancy-Associated Plasma Protein A Levels in Late First Trimester Pregnancies with Small-for-Gestational Age Neonates: A Prospective Case-Control Study

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to investigate the association of pregnancy associated plasma protein A (PAPP-A) levels in late first trimester with small for gestational age (SGA) neonates and adverse pregnancy outcomes in a low-income setting.

METHODS

The inclusion criteria were late first trimester (11-13 + 6 weeks) women with singleton and non-anomalous pregnancy. Enrolled participants were sampled for PAPP-A and prospectively followed up for delivery outcome and antenatal complications. A multiple of median (MoM) was calculated and statistically compared between groups.

RESULTS

Out of total 284 subjects, 14.54% delivered SGA babies and formed cases (Group A), 66.5% delivered appropriate for gestational age (AGA) neonates with uneventful antenatal period (controls, Group B), and 19.3% were AGA group with adverse pregnancy complications (Group C). The late first trimester median PAPP-A MoM was significantly lower (0.61) in Group A compared to Group B (1.47). Using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for PAPP-A MoM, optimal cutoff value was found at 0.45 MoM, with positive predictive value of 56.2%, specificity of 92.6% and sensitivity of 45%. The median interquartile range (IQR) of PAPP-A MoM value in Group C in comparison with Group B was significantly lower except for abruption. At PAPP-A MoM cutoff value <1, <0.8, <0.6 and <0.4, the odds ratio for adverse pregnancy outcome was 8.30, 7.29, 10.97 and 10.60, respectively, indicating an inverse relationship.

CONCLUSION

With 0.45 MoM cutoff of PAPP-A, the detection rate, specificity and positive predictive value for SGA were 45, 92.6 and 56.2%, respectively. As PAPP-A MoM values decreased, the odds ratio of having adverse pregnancy outcomes increased.

Association of maternal serum PAPP-A levels, nuchal translucency and crown-rump length in first trimester with adverse pregnancy outcomes: retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

Are first trimester serum pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A), nuchal translucency (NT) and crown-rump length (CRL) prognostic factors for adverse pregnancy outcomes?

METHOD

Retrospective cohort, women, singleton pregnancies (UK 2011-2015). Unadjusted and multivariable logistic regression.

OUTCOMES

small for gestational age (SGA), pre-eclampsia (PE), preterm birth (PTB), miscarriage, stillbirth, perinatal mortality and neonatal death (NND).

RESULTS

A total of 12 592 pregnancies: 852 (6.8%) PTB, 352 (2.8%) PE, 1824 (14.5%) SGA, 73 (0.6%) miscarriages, 37(0.3%) stillbirths, 73 perinatal deaths (0.6%) and 38 (0.30%) NND. Multivariable analysis: lower odds of SGA [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 0.88 (95% CI 0.85,0.91)], PTB [0.92 (95%CI 0.88,0.97)], PE [0.91 (95% CI 0.85,0.97)] and stillbirth [0.71 (95% CI 0.52,0.98)] as PAPP-A increases. Lower odds of SGA [aOR 0.79 (95% CI 0.70,0.89)] but higher odds of miscarriage [aOR 1.75 95% CI (1.12,2.72)] as NT increases, and lower odds of stillbirth as CRL increases [aOR 0.94 95% CI (0.89,0.99)]. Multivariable analysis of three factors together demonstrated strong associations: a) PAPP-A, NT, CRL and SGA, b) PAPP-A and PTB, c) PAPP-A, CRL and PE, d) NT and miscarriage.

CONCLUSIONS

Pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A, NT and CRL are independent prognostic factors for adverse pregnancy outcomes, particularly PAPP-A and SGA with lower PAPP-A associated with increased risk. © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Early Pregnancy-Associated Plasma Protein A Concentrations Are Associated With Third Trimester Insulin Sensitivity

CONTEXT

First or early second trimester pregnancy-associated plasma protein A (PAPP-A) concentrations have previously been shown to be lower in women who subsequently develop gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) and gestational hypertension.

OBJECTIVE

We therefore sought to investigate why circulating PAPP-A concentrations are related to the subsequent risk of GDM and gestational hypertension.

PATIENTS, DESIGN, AND SETTING

We measured serum PAPP-A concentrations around week 15 of pregnancy and related these to indices derived from week 28 oral glucose tolerance tests and blood pressures across pregnancy in the Cambridge Baby Growth Study cohort.

RESULTS

Increased PAPP-A concentrations were associated with reduced GDM risk [odds ratio 0.623 (0.453, 0.856), P = 3.5 × 10-3, n = 777] and reduced mean arterial blood pressures (β = -0.202 to -0.177, P = 1.7 to 6.9 × 10-3, n = 347 to 355). They were also negatively associated with week 28 fasting (β = -0.149, P = 6.6 × 10-4, n = 777) and 60-minute (β = -0.188, P = 1.5 × 10-5, n = 777) oral glucose tolerance test glucose concentrations. These associations were underpinned by the strong associations between increased week 15 PAPP-A concentrations and decreased week 28 insulin resistance (homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance: β = -0.319, P = 1.7 × 10-13, n = 768), as well as increased insulin secretion relative to insulin sensitivity (insulin disposition index: β = 0.202, P = 6.5 × 10-6, n = 731).

CONCLUSIONS

These results suggest that links between PAPP-A concentrations in early pregnancy and subsequent glucose concentrations and blood pressures may be mediated by changes in insulin sensitivity (and secretion).

Serum pregnancy-associated plasma protein A levels in the first, second and third trimester of pregnancy: relation to newborn anthropometric parameters and maternal tobacco smoking

INTRODUCTION

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the associations of the first, second and third trimester serum pregnancy-associated plasma protein A (PAPP-A) concentrations with neonatal anthropometric parameters. The effect of tobacco smoking during pregnancy on PAPP-A level was also studied.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

One hundred and fifty healthy pregnant women were divided into smoking and tobacco-abstinent groups. Serum PAPP-A level was measured with the KRYPTOR rapid random-access immunoassay analyzer. The relationship between PAPP-A and newborn related outcome as well as markers of estimated intensity of cigarette smoking was evaluated by univariate and multivariate linear regression.

RESULTS

Pregnancy-associated plasma protein A concentration was positively correlated with birth weight in the first (β = 31.6; p < 0.001), second (β = 10.6; p < 0.05), and third (β = 4.6; p < 0.001) trimester of gestation. A significant association between PAPP-A and birth body length and head circumference in the second (β = 0.02; p < 0.05) and third trimester (β = 0.01; p < 0.01) was also found. The serum PAPP-A levels were significantly lower in the smoking than in the tobacco-abstinent group in each trimester of pregnancy (p < 0.001). The largest impact of the number of cigarettes smoked per day on PAPP-A level was found in the second (β = -1.2; p = 0.004) and third trimester (β = -2.6; p = 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Maternal serum PAPP-A levels during gestation might be significant predictors for birth weight. Increased PAPP-A concentrations in the second and third trimester appeared to also be predictive for newborn body length and head circumference. Smoking alters maternal PAPP-A levels in all trimesters, with the greatest impact related to the number of cigarettes smoked per day.

Adverse fetal outcome: is first trimester ultrasound and Doppler better predictor than biomarkers?

AIMS AND OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the predictive value of first trimester biomarkers and ultrasound in determining adverse fetal outcomes in a low risk Asian population.

MATERIAL AND METHOD

All low risk, singleton pregnancies between 11 and 14 weeks gestation underwent ultrasound with uterine artery Doppler along with PAPP-A and free β-hCG estimation, and were followed till delivery to observe the outcome. The adverse fetal outcomes detected were structural anomaly, aneuploidy, intrauterine growth restriction, preterm birth and stillbirth (SB).

RESULTS

Out of 3500 women screened, 417 cases had adverse fetal outcome in the absence of maternal complication, 2151 had normal outcome. Major structural anomaly was detected in first trimester in 17/28 (60.7%) cases. The most important markers for adverse fetal outcome were increased uterine artery pulsatility index (UPI) (p = 0.028, OR 1.5, 95% CI: 1.05-2.38, AUC 0.56) for IUGR, nuchal translucency (p = 0.001, OR 1.7, 95% CI: 1.11-2.77, AUC 0.60) for major anomaly and low PAPP-A (p = 0.017, OR -0.075, 95% CI: 0.87-0.98, AUC 0.621) for SB.

CONCLUSION

UPI, NT and PAPP-A in the first trimester are significant markers of adverse fetal outcome, although the sensitivity and specificity are not high they have a high negative predictive value.

Serum screening in first trimester to predict pre-eclampsia, small for gestational age and preterm delivery: systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Early assessment before the establishment of placental dysfunction has the potential to improve treatment and prognosis for clinical practice.The objective of the study is to investigate the accuracy of serum biochemical markers(Pregnancy- Associated Plasma Protein-A (PAPP-A), human Chorionic Gonadotropin (hCG), Placental Growth Factor (PlGF), Placental Protein 13 (PP13) used in first trimester serum screening in predicting preelampsia, small for gestational age (SGA) and preterm delivery.

Methods

The data sources included Medline, Embase, Cochrane library, Medion, hand searching of relevant journals, reference list checking of included articles and contact with experts. Two reviewers independently selected the articles. Two authors independently extracted data on study characteristics, quality and results.

Results

The results showed low predictive accuracy overall. For preeclampsia, the best predictor was PlGF; LR + 4.01 (3.74, 4.28), LR-(0.67, 0.64, 0.69). The predictive value of serum markers for early preeclampsia was better than that of late preeclampsia. For SGA the best predictor was PP13; LR+ 3.70 (3.39, 4.03), LR- 0.70 (0.67, 0.73). For preterm delivery, the best predictor was PP13; LR+ 4.16 (2.72, 5.61), LR- 0.56 (0.45, 0.67).

Conclusion

First trimester screening analytes have low predictive accuracy for pre-eclampsia, small for gestational age and preterm delivery. However, the predict value of first trimester analytes is not worse than that of the second trimester markers.

Maternal Serum Screening Markers and Adverse Outcome: A New Perspective

There have been a number of studies evaluating the association of aneuploidy serum markers with adverse pregnancy outcome. More recently, the development of potential treatments for these adverse outcomes as well as the introduction of cell-free fetal DNA (cffDNA) screening for aneuploidy necessitates a re-evaluation of the benefit of serum markers in the identification of adverse outcomes. Analysis of the literature indicates that the serum markers tend to perform better in identifying pregnancies at risk for the more severe but less frequent form of individual pregnancy complications rather than the more frequent but milder forms of the condition. As a result, studies which evaluate the association of biomarkers with a broad definition of a given condition may underestimate the ability of such markers to identify pregnancies that are destined to develop the more severe form of the condition. Consideration of general population screening using cffDNA solely must be weighed against the fact that traditional screening using serum markers enables detection of severe pregnancy complications, not detectable with cffDNA, of which many may be amenable to treatment options.

Association between first-trimester maternal serum pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A and obstetric complications

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to investigate the relationship between maternal serum pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) in the first trimester of pregnancy and the development of preeclampsia (PE), early PE, small-for-gestational age (SGA) fetus and preterm delivery (PD).

METHOD

This is a retrospective study of 12,355 pregnant women that delivered between 2008 and 2011. We define the first, third and fifth percentiles of maternal serum PAPP-A multiples of the median (MoM). The primary outcome measures were the occurrence of PE, early PE (PE requiring delivery before 34 weeks), SGA fetus (birth weight < 5th centile) and PD. The Mann-Whitney U-test and chi-squared test were used to analyze continuous and dichotomous variables, respectively.

RESULTS

Maternal serum PAPP-A was significantly lower in women with PE, early PE, SGA fetus and PD (0.91, 0.74, 0.80 and 0.84 MoM, respectively) than in the study population (0.99 MoM) (p < 0.05). The lower the MoM percentile of PAPP-A, the higher are the odds ratio (OR) to develop PE, early PE, SGA fetus and PD.

CONCLUSIONS

Maternal serum PAPP-A levels are lower in women who develop preeclampsia, those with SGA fetus and those who deliver preterm. However, on its own, maternal serum PAPP-A performs poorly (OR for PE between 1.76 and 2.41 with the lower percentile of PAPP-A) as a screening test for these conditions.

First trimester maternal lipid levels and serum markers of small- and large-for-gestational age infants

OBJECTIVE

To investigate if first trimester lipids, sonographic parameters and serum markers are related to small- and large-for-gestational age (SGA, LGA) infants.

METHODS

This study was conducted at Baskent University Adana Research Center between December 2009 and July 2011 and enrolled 433 women. Blood samples were drawn to measure fasting blood glucose, serum triglycerides, cholesterol, very low-density lipoprotein, low-density lipoprotein, high-density lipoprotein, fβ-hCG and pregnancy associated protein-A (PAPP-A) at the first trimester. Crown rump length and nuchal translucency were measured as suggested by the fetal medicine foundation.

RESULTS

LGA group was significantly taller (p = 0.016) and SGA group had significantly greater BMI (0.025). SGA fetuses were born at a significantly earlier gestational age (p = 0.001). Univariate analysis revealed that LGA group had significantly lower cholesterol (p = 0.038) and LDL levels (p = 0.041). PAPP-A was significantly lower in SGA Group compared with LGA Group (0.027). After controlling for age, parity, height, pre-pregnant BMI, weight gain during pregnancy and fasting blood sugar, none of the lipids, serum markers or sonographic parameters was related to LGA. PAPP-A was the only parameter significantly associated with SGA after multivariate analysis (p = 0.008).

CONCLUSION

PAPP-A was significantly associated with SGA after controlling for confounders.

First trimester brain ventricle fluid and embryonic volumes measured by three-dimensional ultrasound with the use of I-Space virtual reality

STUDY QUESTION

Is it possible to evaluate first trimester brain ventricle development in human pregnancies using an innovative virtual reality (VR) application and to analyze the relation of the embryonic volume (EV) and brain ventricle fluid volume (BVFV) with gestational age (GA), crown-rump length (CRL) and the Carnegie stage?

SUMMARY ANSWER

Volumetry and staging of the human embryo using a VR application make it possible to obtain unique information about in-vivo embryonic normal and abnormal development and about the sizes of the ventricles and body.

WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY

Human brain development is complex and has a rapidly changing anatomy during the first trimester of pregnancy. New insights will enable early detection of cerebral pathology.

STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION

In a prospective cohort study, we weekly performed three-dimensional (3D) ultrasound examinations in 112 uncomplicated pregnancies between 6 + 0 and 12 + 6 weeks GA.

MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS

The examinations resulted in 696 3D ultrasound scans that were transferred to the I-Space VR system and analyzed using V-Scope volume rendering software. V-Scope is used to create a 'hologram' of the ultrasound image and allows depth perception and interaction with the rendered objects. The CRL measurements were performed with a tracing tool, and the volume measurements were automatically performed with a segmentation algorithm. The embryos were staged according to the internal and external characteristics of the Carnegie staging system. All longitudinal outcomes were analyzed using repeated measures ANOVA.

MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE

CRL could be measured in 91% of the datasets and ranged from 2.5 to 79.0 mm. EV could be measured in 66% of the datasets and ranged from 2.4 to 23 812.0 mm&sup3;, whereas the BVFV could be measured in 38% of the datasets and ranged from 10.4 to 226.3 mm&sup3;. Finally, in 74% of the datasets, the embryos were staged according to the Carnegie criteria, starting as early as stage 12. Reference charts of volumes versus GA, CRL and stage were constructed. There was no significant relationship between the CRL or EV and the birthweight.

LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTIONS

The low success rate is a limitation of this study that can be explained mainly by non-targeted scanning of the embryonic head.

WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS

The I-Space VR system and the V-Scope software enable automatic EV and BVFV measurements and 3D observations of embryonic development in the first trimester. This allows in-vivo staging of human embryos based on both internal and external morphological characteristics.

STUDY FUNDING, COMPETING INTERESTS

None.

The K-P algorithm: a new first-trimester growth model - comparison with other formulae and correlations with recorded embryonic lengths

OBJECTIVE

To generate and validate individually fitted first-trimester growth curves using a new growth model. Secondary aims were to compare this new model with actual recorded embryonic measurements and validate its predictive accuracy.

METHODS

A prospective study of women presenting to the Early Pregnancy Unit in the first trimester. Women with viable singleton pregnancies at the end of the first trimester who had had at least two crown-rump length (CRL) measurements were selected. An individual power function of CRL was derived from serial CRL measurements. Individual curves were fitted using computer software to estimate a dating adjustment factor ('k'), and a growth coefficient ('P') for each case. The predictive accuracy of the growth curves was then tested in a validation subset of the population that had a third CRL measurement. The population average curve from the developed model was also extrapolated to day 27 menstrual age (Carnegie stage 6), day 30 menstrual age (Carnegie stage 7) and day 84 menstrual age, and values were compared to previously reported measurements.

RESULTS

326 viable pregnancies were selected for CRL growth curve development. The mean time interval between CRL measurements was 20.5 days (range 2-44). The mean value for 'P' was 2.058, and for 'k' 24.6. Testing the model on a subset of 81 cases showed that the average error in predicting a third CRL measurement was 1% (SD 9.1%).

CONCLUSIONS

These new, individually fitted growth curves for the first trimester correlate more closely with the recorded embryonic lengths than other standards.

First trimester prediction of small- and large-for-gestation neonates by an integrated model incorporating ultrasound parameters, biochemical indices and maternal characteristics

OBJECTIVE

To identify maternal/pregnancy characteristics, first trimester ultrasound parameters and biochemical indices which are significant independent predictors of small-for-gestational age (SGA) and large-for-gestational age (LGA) neonates.

DESIGN

Retrospective cross-sectional study.

SETTING

Two fetal Medicine Units.

POPULATION

4 702 singleton pregnancies presenting for screening for chromosomal abnormalities by nuchal translucency and maternal serum biochemistry at 11-14 weeks.

METHODS

Reference ranges for birthweight applied to our population were constructed by the Royston and Wright method. Multiple logistic regression was applied to develop first trimester prediction models for SGA and LGA.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Birth of SGA or LGA neonate.

RESULTS

Maternal height, parity, smoking, assisted conception, delta crown-rump length, delta nuchal translucency, free beta human chorionic gonadotrophin and pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A were significant independent predictors of SGA. Maternal weight and height, smoking, delta crown-rump length and delta nuchal translucency were significant independent predictors of LGA. Models for SGA (AUC=0.7296, CI: 0.69-0.76, p<0.0001) and LGA (AUC=0.6901, CI: 0.65-0.72, p<0.0001) were derived, applicable to routine obstetric population at low risk for these conditions. For 20% screen positive rate the modeling achieves sensitivities of about 55% for SGA and 48% for LGA neonates.

CONCLUSION

Prediction for birthweight deviations is feasible using data available at the routine 11-14 weeks' examination. Delta CRL and delta nuchal translucency were significant independent predictors for both SGA and LGA.

Early fetal growth, PAPP-A and free β-hCG in relation to risk of delivering a small-for-gestational age infant

OBJECTIVES

To examine early fetal growth, pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) and free β-human chorionic gonadotropin (β-hCG) in relation to the risk of delivering a small-for-gestational age (SGA) infant.

METHODS

Included in the study were 9450 singleton pregnant women who attended the prenatal screening program at Aarhus University Hospital, Denmark, between January 2005 and December 2007. Maternal serum levels of PAPP-A and free β-hCG were measured between gestational weeks 8 and 13. Two ultrasound examinations were performed, the first at 11-13 weeks and the second at 18-22 weeks, from which gestational age was estimated based on crown-rump length and biparietal diameter, respectively. Early fetal growth was expressed as an index: the ratio between the estimated number of days from the first to the second scan and the actual calendar time elapsed in days. SGA was defined as birth weight < 5(th) centile for gestational age, and the risk of SGA was evaluated according to different cut-offs of the early fetal growth index and the serum markers.

RESULTS

PAPP-A < 0.4 MoM combined with an early fetal growth index < 10(th) centile resulted in an increased risk of SGA (odds ratio (OR), 5.8; 95% CI, 2.7-12.7). Low PAPP-A, low free β-hCG and slow early fetal growth were statistically, independently associated with SGA, and the association between free β-hCG < 0.3 MoM and SGA was as strong as that between PAPP-A < 0.3 MoM and SGA (OR, 3.1 and 3.0, respectively).

CONCLUSION

The combination of slow early fetal growth and low PAPP-A resulted in a nearly six-fold increased risk of delivery of an SGA infant. These findings might improve our chances of early identification of fetuses at increased risk of growth restriction.

The effect of infertility and assisted reproduction on first-trimester placental and fetal development

Our investigation of differences in first-trimester placentation and/or fetal biometry in pregnancies conceived spontaneously compared with those conceived through fertility treatment, and comparing less invasive fertility treatment with in vitro fertilization found no statistically significant difference in first-trimester abnormal placentation or fetal growth between pregnancies conceived spontaneously and those conceived through fertility treatment, or between the in vivo and in vitro subgroups.

The relationship between first trimester fetal growth, pregnancy-associated plasma protein A levels and birthweight

OBJECTIVE

We sought to define the relationship between first trimester fetal growth, pregnancy-associated plasma protein A (PAPP-A) levels and birthweight.

METHODS

Two-hundred and one women with repeat first trimester crown-rump length (CRL) measurements were included. In 194, the first trimester PAPP-A value was known and in 169 there was complete data including birthweight. Fetal growth curves were derived using functional linear discriminant analysis (FLDA) and growth compared between those with < 10th percentile, 10th to 90th and > 90th percentile PAPP-A multiple of median (MoM) levels and birthweight percentiles.

RESULTS

Median maternal age was 35 years, gestation at PAPP-A sampling and of first scan was 11 weeks. Median delivery gestation was 40 weeks and birthweight 3425 g. There was no association between first trimester fetal CRL growth and either PAPP-A MoM percentile or birthweight percentile. There was a significant positive correlation between PAPP-A MoM and birthweight percentile (p = 0.0004).

CONCLUSIONS

First trimester fetal growth rate is not related to birthweight percentile or first trimester PAPP-A levels. Irrespective of gestation, a low PAPP-A is associated with delivery of a smaller baby, and a high PAPP-A with a larger baby.

First-trimester umbilical vein blood flow in pregnancies with low serum pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A levels: an early predictor of fetal growth restriction

OBJECTIVE

To investigate umbilical vein blood flow (UVBF) during the first trimester in pregnancies with low serum pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) levels and to relate umbilical vein (UV) diameter, time-averaged maximum velocity (TAMXV) and UVBF values to the subsequent development of fetal intrauterine growth restriction (IUGR).

METHODS

UVBF assessment was performed at 11 + 0 to 13 + 6 weeks' gestation in 102 singleton pregnancies with PAPP-A concentrations of < 0.3 multiples of the median. UV diameter, UV-TAMXV and UVBF were calculated and analyzed in relation to pregnancy outcome.

RESULTS

Pregnancy outcomes were: 51 pregnancies with birth weight ≥ 10(th) centile (Group A), 30 pregnancies with birth weight < 10(th) centile with normal Doppler in the umbilical artery throughout gestation (Group B) and 21 pregnancies with birth weight < 10(th) centile and abnormal umbilical artery Doppler later in gestation (Group C). No differences were found in PAPP-A levels between groups. Group C fetuses exhibited significantly lower values of UV-TAMXV (z-score - 1.99 SDs, t = 8.527, P ≤ 0.0001) and UVBF (z-score - 0.97 SDs, t = 7.420, P ≤ 0.0001) in comparison with normal reference ranges, while no differences were found in Groups A or B.

CONCLUSIONS

Decreased UV-TAMXV and UVBF at 11 + 0 to 13 + 6 weeks' gestation identify fetuses at risk of developing IUGR among pregnancies with low levels of PAPP-A.

Low PAPP-A in the first trimester is associated with reduced fetal growth rate prior to gestational week 20

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the association between maternal pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) and fetal growth from the first to the second trimester.

METHODS

A prospective cohort study including 8347 pregnant women attending prenatal care at Aarhus University Hospital were conducted. PAPP-A was measured during 8 to 14 gestational weeks. Fetal growth between the two scans in the first and second trimesters was estimated by (GA(20)- GA(12))/Days(calendar), where GA(12) reflects gestational age in days calculated from crown-rump length at a 12-week scan, GA(20) reflects gestational age in days calculated from biparietal diameter at a 20-week scan, and Days(calendar) reflects the number of calendar days between the two scans.

RESULTS

Fetal growth rate from the first to the second trimester was correlated with PAPP-A, with a regression coefficient of 0.009 (95% CI, 0.007-0.012, P < 0.001). PAPP-A below 0.30 MoM was associated with a fetal growth rate below the tenth centile, with an adjusted OR of 2.05 (95% CI, 1.24-3.38).

CONCLUSION

Low levels of PAPP-A are associated not only with low birth weight at term but also with slower fetal growth prior to 20 weeks of gestation.

Association of crown-rump length at 11 to 14 weeks' gestation and risk of a large-for-gestational-age neonate

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the association between crown-rump length (CRL) and the risk of a large-for-gestational-age (LGA) neonate.

METHODS

Data were retrospectively collected on consecutive women with a healthy singleton pregnancy followed to delivery at our center from 2003 to 2006 who underwent nuchal translucency, pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A, and free beta-human chorionic gonadotropin screening at 11 to 14 weeks' gestation. Pregnancies were dated by the last menstrual period (LMP) confirmed by CRL at 6 to 10 weeks or the known time of fertilization. The fetal CRL at 11 to 14 weeks was obtained from frozen sonographic images. The measured CRL was converted to gestational weeks using the method of Hadlock et al (Radiology 1992; 182:501-505). The expected gestational age (GA) by the LMP was subtracted from the measured GA to yield the DeltaCRL. The association between the DeltaCRL and birth weight was statistically analyzed.

RESULTS

The sample included 521 women. Fifty neonates (9.6%) were LGA (>or=90th percentile), 38 (7.3%) small for gestational age, and 433 (83.1%) appropriate for gestational age. The LGA group was characterized by significantly larger-than-expected CRL measurements (P = .033). The birth weight percentile and rate of LGA neonates were significantly higher in pregnancies in which the DeltaCRL was 1/2 week or greater (P = .007 and .033, respectively). There was a significant linear correlation between the DeltaCRL and birth weight percentile (P = .001). On multivariate logistic regression analysis, the DeltaCRL was the only significant predictor of an LGA neonate (odds ratio, 1.6; 95% confidence interval, 1.07-2.4; P = .023).

CONCLUSIONS

Pregnancies with LGA neonates are characterized by larger-than-expected CRL measurements at 11 to 14 weeks' gestation.

First-trimester assessment of placenta function and the prediction of preeclampsia and intrauterine growth restriction

Preeclampsia and intrauterine growth restriction (IUGR) are major contributors to perinatal mortality and morbidity worldwide. Both are characterized by impaired trophoblastic invasion of the maternal spiral arteries and their conversion from narrow muscular vessels to wide non-muscular channels. Despite improvement in the understanding of the pathophysiology of these conditions, ability to accurately identify pregnant woman who will develop them is limited. This greatly impairs the development and testing of preventive interventions. While different measures of placental dysfunction have been associated with increased risk for adverse pregnancy outcomes, the ability of any single one to accurately predict these outcomes is poor. Developing predictive tests is further challenged by difficulty in the timing of the measurements, as both the structural and biochemical characteristics of the placenta change with increasing gestational age. The ideal screening test would accurately predict the development of adverse pregnancy outcomes early enough to provide a window for preventive interventions. Improvement in ultrasound technology provides potentially useful novel tools for evaluating placental structure, but measurements need to be standardized in order to be useful. Maternal serum analyte screening is a noninvasive test of placental biochemical function, but present serum marker alone is not sufficiently accurate to suggest its routine use in clinical practice. The use of first trimester biochemical markers in combination with uterine artery Doppler screening is promising as a potential screening tool. Prospective longitudinal studies using standardized methodology are necessary to further evaluate the choice of parameters and strategies of combination to achieve the best predictive models.

Which ultrasound or biochemical markers are independent predictors of small-for-gestational age?

OBJECTIVES

To investigate which ultrasound or biochemical markers in both the first and the second trimesters are the best predictors for fetal growth and small-for-gestational age (SGA).

METHODS

This was a prospective study of 619 Chinese women with a singleton pregnancy. At 11 to 13 + 6 weeks, fetal crown-rump length (CRL), placental volume (PlaV), uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI), and the maternal serum levels of pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) and free beta-human chorionic gonadotropin (beta-hCG) were measured. Fetal biparietal diameter, femur length, abdominal and head circumference, PlaV and UtA-PI were then measured at 18-22 weeks. All markers were transformed to gestational age-specific Z-scores or multiples of the median (MoM). Birth weights were also transformed to Z-scores using the individualized gestational age-related optimal weight based on a locally derived nomogram. The relationship between all markers and the customized birth weight were examined, and their predictive powers for SGA were examined by regression analysis.

RESULTS

Univariate analysis revealed that all markers except free beta-hCG correlated with birth weight Z-score. After multiple linear regression analysis, only PlaV, UtA-PI and CRL in the first trimester, and PlaV and UtA-PI in the second trimester, stood out as independent markers. Logistic regression analysis showed that PlaV was the only independent first-trimester predictor of SGA, and in the second trimester both PlaV and UtA-PI were independent predictors. The sensitivity of these first- and second-trimester markers in predicting SGA were 41% and 45%, respectively, at a false-positive rate of 20%. Combining them did not significantly improve prediction of SGA.

CONCLUSIONS

Among the various known ultrasound and biochemical markers, only the first-trimester PlaV and the second-trimester PlaV plus UtA-PI are independent predictors for SGA.