HRT opposed to low-dose tamoxifen (HOT study): rationale and design

Effects of bazedoxifene acetate with and without conjugated equine estrogens on the breast of postmenopausal monkeys

OBJECTIVE

Concerns about increased breast cancer risk with estrogen and progestin therapy have led to an increased interest in progestin alternatives. The main objective of this study was to determine if bazedoxifene acetate (BZA), a new selective estrogen receptor modulator, will antagonize the proliferative and transcriptional effects of conjugated equine estrogens (CEE) in the breast.

METHODS

As part of a 20-month preclinical trial, 95 ovariectomized cynomolgus macaques (Macaca fascicularis) were randomized to receive no treatment or treatment with BZA (20 mg/d), CEE (0.45 mg/d), or BZA and CEE in combination (women's daily equivalent doses). The data presented here include breast effects after 6 months of treatment. Endpoints included histomorphometry, histopathological evaluations, gene microarray assays, polymerase chain reaction quantification of specific estrogen receptor α (ER-α) activity markers, and immunohistochemical detection of sex steroid receptors, and the proliferation marker Ki67.

RESULTS

BZA + CEE and BZA resulted in significantly less total epithelial density, lobular enlargement, and Ki67 immunolabeling in the terminal ducts compared with CEE alone (P < 0.05 for all). The addition of BZA to CEE antagonized the expression of ER-α-regulated genes such as GREB1 and TFF1 (P < 0.01 for both), whereas BZA alone had minimal effects on ER-α-mediated transcriptional activity. BZA and BZA + CEE did not significantly up-regulate genes related to cell cycle progression and proliferation. BZA with and without CEE also resulted in less lobular and terminal duct ER-α immunolabeling compared with control and CEE (P < 0.0001 for all).

CONCLUSIONS

These findings demonstrate that BZA given at a clinically relevant dose is an estrogen antagonist in the breast, supporting the idea that CEE + BZA may provide a lower breast cancer risk profile compared with traditional estrogen + progestin therapies.

Oral low dose and topical tamoxifen for breast cancer prevention: modern approaches for an old drug

Tamoxifen is a drug that has been in worldwide use for the treatment of estrogen receptor (ER)-positive breast cancer for over 30 years; it has been used in both the metastatic and adjuvant settings. Tamoxifen's approval for breast cancer risk reduction dates back to 1998, after results from the Breast Cancer Prevention Trial, co-sponsored by the National Cancer Institute and the National Surgical Adjuvant Breast and Bowel Project, showed a 49% reduction in the incidence of invasive, ER-positive breast cancer in high-risk women. Despite these positive findings, however, the public's attitude toward breast cancer chemoprevention remains ambivalent, and the toxicities associated with tamoxifen, particularly endometrial cancer and thromboembolic events, have hampered the drug's uptake by high-risk women who should benefit from its preventive effects. Among the strategies to overcome such obstacles to preventive tamoxifen, two novel and potentially safer modes of delivery of this agent are discussed in this paper. Low-dose tamoxifen, expected to confer fewer adverse events, is being investigated in both clinical biomarker-based trials and observational studies. A series of systemic biomarkers (including lipid and insulin-like growth factor levels) and tissue biomarkers (including Ki-67) are known to be favorably affected by conventional tamoxifen dosing and have been shown to be modulated in a direction consistent with a putative anti-cancer effect. These findings suggest possible beneficial clinical preventive effects by low-dose tamoxifen regimens and they are supported by observational studies. An alternative approach is topical administration of active tamoxifen metabolites directly onto the breast, the site where the cancer is to be prevented. Avoidance of systemic administration is expected to reduce the distribution of drug to tissues susceptible to tamoxifen-induced toxicity. Clinical trials of topical tamoxifen with biological endpoints are still ongoing whereas pharmacokinetic studies have already shown that appropriate formulations of drug successfully penetrate the skin to reach breast tissue, where a preventive effect is sought.

Lapatinib activity in premalignant lesions and HER-2-positive cancer of the breast in a randomized, placebo-controlled presurgical trial

Dual epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) and HER2 targeting with the tyrosine kinase inhibitor lapatinib is approved for treating advanced HER2-positive breast cancer and can prevent estrogen receptor (ER)-negative mammary tumors in HER2 transgenic mouse models. Ki-67 labeling index (LI) has prognostic and predictive value and can be used to screen drugs' therapeutic and preventive potential in a clinical model of short-term presurgical therapy of breast cancer. We conducted a randomized, placebo-controlled trial of lapatinib (1500 mg/d) administered orally for three weeks between biopsy and surgery in 60 women with HER-2-positive breast cancer to assess lapatinib biomarker (including the primary endpoint, Ki-67 LI) and clinical activity in invasive breast cancer, adjacent ductal intraepithelial neoplasia (DIN, which comprises ductal carcinoma in situ and atypical ductal hyperplasia), and distant ductal hyperplasia without atypia (DH). Ki-67 LI increased progressively in association with disease stage, increasing in the placebo arm, for example, by medians of 3% in DH to 20% in DIN to 30% in invasive cancer. Ki-67 LI in cancer tissue decreased by a mean (±SD) of 9.3% (±34.2) in the lapatinib arm and increased by 15.1% (±30.9) in the placebo arm (P = 0.008). Compared with placebo, lapatinib reduced Ki-67 significantly more in ER-negative tumors (by 34.8%; P = 0.01) but not significantly more in ER-positive tumors (by 12.3%; P = 0.2) and reduced Ki-67 more (nonsignificantly) in cytosol PTEN-overexpressing tumors (P = 0.057). The prevalence of DIN in post-treatment surgical specimens of both arms was similar (70%-76%), with a median Ki-67 of 15% (range, 5%-35%) on lapatinib versus 20% (5%-60%) on placebo (P = 0.067). The prevalence of DH also was similar in both arms (>90%), with a median Ki-67 of 1% (1%-7%) on lapatinib versus 3% (1%-5%) on placebo (P = 0.006). Other results of lapatinib versus placebo, respectively, were as follows: Median tumor diameter at surgery of 18 mm (11 mm-57 mm) versus 24 mm (10 mm-37 mm; P = 0.009); partial response of 13.6% versus 3.7%, stable disease of 59.1% versus 40.7%, and progression of 27.3% versus 55.6% (P-trend = 0.035). In conclusion, short-term lapatinib decreased cell proliferation in DIN, DH, and invasive HER-2-positive (especially ER-negative) breast cancer, thus providing the rationale for further clinical development of lapatinib for breast cancer prevention in high-risk patients, including those with HER-2-positive DIN.

Prognostic significance of Ki-67 labeling index after short-term presurgical tamoxifen in women with ER-positive breast cancer

BACKGROUND

Studies have shown that Ki-67 response after short-term neoadjuvant aromatase inhibitors may predict recurrence in postmenopausal breast cancer, whereas its prognostic effect in premenopausal women is unknown.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We compared the prognostic and predictive value of baseline and post-treatment Ki-67 in 120 pre- and postmenopausal women with early-stage estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer who participated in a 4-week presurgical trial of tamoxifen.

RESULTS

After 7.2 years of follow-up, women with post-treatment Ki-67 in the second (14%-19%), third (20%-29%) and top (≥30%) quartiles had a recurrence hazard ratio of 2.92 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.95-8.96], 4.37 (1.56-12.25) and 6.05 (2.07-17.65), respectively, as compared with those in the bottom quartile (<14%) (P-trend = 0.001). The risk of invasive disease recurrence was 2.2% (95% CI 0.9-5.0) per point increase in baseline Ki-67 (P-trend = 0.076) and 5.0% (95% CI 2.3-7.7) per point increase in post-tamoxifen Ki-67 (P-trend < 0.001). The risk of death was 5.5 (95% CI 1.26-23.16) times higher in patients with post-drug Ki-67 ≥20% than in those with Ki-67 <20% (P-trend = 0.006).

CONCLUSIONS

Ki-67 response after short-term neoadjuvant tamoxifen is a good predictor of recurrence-free survival and overall survival, further supporting its use as surrogate biomarker to personalize adjuvant treatment and to screen novel drugs cost-effectively.

Effect of low-dose tamoxifen on steroid receptor coactivator 3/amplified in breast cancer 1 in normal and malignant human breast tissue

PURPOSE

Nuclear receptor coactivator expression and activity may partly explain the complex agonist/antagonist effects of tamoxifen at clinical level. In a preoperative trial, dose reduction from 20 to 1 mg tamoxifen was associated with retained antiproliferative effect on breast cancer. Here, we assessed the gene expression of the steroid receptor coactivators SRC-1, SRC-2/transcription intermediary factor 2, and SRC-3/amplified in breast cancer 1 (AIB1) and the growth factor receptor HER-2/neu under three tamoxifen dose regimens.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

Surgical specimens from estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer and adjacent normal breast tissue from 64 patients treated 4 weeks preoperatively with 20, 5, or 1 mg/d tamoxifen and 28 nontreated breast cancer controls were analyzed for coactivator and HER-2/neu mRNA expression using real-time reverse transcription-PCR. The gene expression levels were related to immunohistochemical expression of Ki67, serum levels of insulin-like growth factor I and sex hormone binding globulin, other prognostic factors, and clinical outcome.

RESULTS

The coactivators and HER-2/neu mRNA levels were higher in malignant compared with normal tissue (P < 0.001). Tamoxifen significantly increased the expression of coactivators in normal and malignant tissue irrespective of dose, especially for SRC-3/AIB1 (P < 0.001 tamoxifen-treated versus nontreated subjects). SRC-3/AIB1 and HER-2/neu mRNA levels were positively correlated (P = 0.016), but the coactivators could not explain the variability of Ki67, insulin-like growth factor I, and sex hormone binding. Although not significant, SRC-3/AIB1 tended to be higher in subjects with poor clinical outcome and unfavorable prognostic factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Increased coactivator mRNA levels seem to be an early response to tamoxifen without dose-response relationship in the 1- to 20-mg range. Clinical and molecular effects of low-dose tamoxifen should be further explored.

Endometrial profile of tamoxifen and low-dose estradiol combination therapy

PURPOSE

Combination estrogen + progestin therapy has been associated with increased breast cancer risk in postmenopausal women. Selective estrogen receptor modulators (SERM) are potential alternatives to progestins, although the endometrial safety of estrogen + SERM co-therapies is not known. The goal of this study was to evaluate the endometrial profile of low-dose estradiol and the SERM tamoxifen alone and in combination.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

Twenty-four postmenopausal female cynomolgus macaques were randomized by social group to receive placebo, low-dose micronized estradiol (E(2); 0.25 mg/1,800 kcal), the SERM tamoxifen (Tam; 20 mg/1,800 kcal), or E(2) + Tam for 4 months in a parallel-arm design.

RESULTS

Tamoxifen alone resulted in overlapping but distinct effects compared with E(2). Both E(2) and Tam increased uterine weight and endometrial thickness, whereas only E(2) increased endometrial proliferation. Morphologic effects were similar for Tam and E(2) + Tam, which both induced stromal fibrosis and cystic change. Tamoxifen inhibited E(2)-induced proliferation and expression of genes related to cell cycle progression while exhibiting mixed agonist and antagonist effects on gene markers of estrogen receptor activity. The gene expression profile for E(2) + Tam was distinct from either E(2) or Tam alone but dominated by the Tam effect for estrogen-regulated genes. Tam also attenuated E(2) effects on both vaginal maturation and cervical epithelial height.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings characterize a novel phenotype resulting from estrogen + SERM co-therapy. The predominance of Tam effects on endometrial proliferation, morphology, and transcriptional profiles suggests that endometrial risks for E(2) + Tam may be similar to Tam alone.

American society of clinical oncology clinical practice guideline update on the use of pharmacologic interventions including tamoxifen, raloxifene, and aromatase inhibition for breast cancer risk reduction

PURPOSE To update the 2002 American Society of Clinical Oncology guideline on pharmacologic interventions for breast cancer (BC) risk reduction. METHODS A literature search identified relevant randomized trials published since 2002. Primary outcome of interest was BC incidence (invasive and noninvasive). Secondary outcomes included BC mortality, adverse events, and net health benefits. An expert panel reviewed the literature and developed updated consensus guidelines. Results Seventeen articles met inclusion criteria. In premenopausal women, tamoxifen for 5 years reduces the risk of BC for at least 10 years, particularly estrogen receptor (ER) -positive invasive tumors. Women < or = 50 years of age experience fewer serious side effects. Vascular and vasomotor events do not persist post-treatment across all ages. In postmenopausal women, raloxifene and tamoxifen reduce the risk of ER-positive invasive BC with equal efficacy. Raloxifene is associated with a lower risk of thromboembolic disease, benign uterine conditions, and cataracts than tamoxifen in postmenopausal women. No evidence exists establishing whether a reduction in BC risk from either agent translates into reduced BC mortality. Recommendations In women at increased risk for BC, tamoxifen (20 mg/d for 5 years) may be offered to reduce the risk of invasive ER-positive BC, with benefits for at least 10 years. In postmenopausal women, raloxifene (60 mg/d for 5 years) may also be considered. Use of aromatase inhibitors, fenretinide, or other selective estrogen receptor modulators to lower BC risk is not recommended outside of a clinical trial. Discussion of risks and benefits of preventive agents by health providers is critical to patient decision making.

The endocrine prevention of breast cancer

Breast cancer incidence is increasing in all parts of the world. Although in Western countries death rates are declining, there is a need to make attempts to prevent the disease in order to reduce the trauma of diagnosis and treatment. Endocrine approaches to breast cancer prevention have been the most successful approach to cancer prevention to date. Studies with tamoxifen were initiated when it was noted that, during adjuvant treatment after surgery to prevent relapse, the incidence of new contralateral cancers was reduced by half. Four trials of >or=5 years of tamoxifen compared with placebo in women at increased risk of breast cancer were initiated in the 1980s and showed a similar reduction in breast cancer, but only in oestrogen-receptor-positive disease. Recent follow-up indicated that there is a carry-over effect of tamoxifen after the completion of treatment at 5 years so that the preventive effect at 10 years is significantly great than at 5. The selective oestrogen receptor modulator (SERM) raloxifene has also been assessed as a preventive agent in two major international randomized trials compared with placebo and shows a protective effect similar to that of tamoxifen. An American study subsequently compared tamoxifen and raloxifene in a trial of nearly 20,000 women at increased risk (the STAR trial) and demonstrated that the two agents were equally effective but that the toxicity of raloxifene was less. Adjuvant trials comparing tamoxifen and the modern potent aromatase inhibitors (anastrozole, letrozole and exemestane) indicate that they are superior to tamoxifen and reduce contralateral breast cancer by approximately 70%. This observation has led to the initiation of two trials in postmenopausal women comparing anastrozole (the IBISII trial) or exemestane (the MAP-3 trial) with placebo. Currently it is recommended that tamoxifen is used to prevent breast cancer in premenopausal women and raloxifene for postmenopausal women (it is not effective in the premenopausal group),and we await the results of the aromatase inhibitor trials.

Psychological and clinical factors implicated in decision making about a trial of low-dose tamoxifen in hormone replacement therapy users

PURPOSE

To assess the sociodemographic, health-related, and psychological factors that influence the decision of women on hormone replacement therapy (HRT) to participate in a phase III trial of low-dose tamoxifen.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Clinical and psychological factors were assessed in 265 women who accepted and 192 women who refused to participate in a proposed trial. Health-related and sociodemographic factors included age, Gail risk, body mass index, education, current HRT use, regular mammographic screening, smoking habit, physical activity, alcohol use, concern about adverse effects, and physician recommendation. Psychological factors included breast cancer-related worry, absolute and comparative cancer risk perception, anxiety, and depression.

RESULTS

The most frequent reasons for entry were willingness to participate in a research program (60%), the need/desire to receive frequent medical care (58%), and the desire to contribute to medical knowledge (44%); whereas reasons for refusal included fear of medication abuse (33%), concern about adverse effects (31%), and physician advice against enrollment (24%). In a logistic model, after adjusting for current HRT use, the trial participation was directly associated with satisfaction with clearly explained study objectives (odds ratio [OR] = 9.33; 95% CI, 4.04 to 21.55) and inversely associated with high breast cancer worry (OR = 0.15; 95% CI, 0.03 to 0.77) and age > or = 60 years (OR = 0.40; 95% CI, 0.22 to 0.73).

CONCLUSION

Participation in a chemoprevention trial among HRT users is associated with a younger age, no breast cancer worry, and satisfaction with health care providers, suggesting a condition of psychological well-being as a promoting factor and emphasizing the importance of thorough counseling at study presentation.

Randomized Dose-Ranging Trial of Tamoxifen at Low Doses in Hormone Replacement Therapy Users

Purpose

The combination of hormone replacement therapy (HRT) and low-dose tamoxifen may retain the benefits while reducing the risks of either agent. We assessed the optimal biologic dose and schedule of tamoxifen in HRT users using surrogate end point biomarkers and menopausal symptoms.

Subjects and Methods

Two hundred ten current or de novo HRT users were randomly assigned to one of the following four arms: tamoxifen 1 mg/day and placebo/week, placebo/day and tamoxifen 10 mg/week, tamoxifen 5 mg/day and placebo/week, or both placebos for 12 months. The primary end point was the change of plasma insulinlike growth factor 1 (IGF-I) through 12 months, and secondary end points were IGF-I/IGF binding protein-3 (IGFBP-3) ratio, fibrinogen, antithrombin III, C reactive protein, C-telopeptide, mammographic percent density, and endometrial thickness. Endometrial proliferation was assessed by Pipelle biopsy in superficial, deep glandular, and stromal compartments after 12 months.

Results

Compared with placebo, IGF-I declined in all tamoxifen arms (P = .005), with a greater change on 5 mg/day (P = .019 v 10 mg/week or 1 mg/day). Tamoxifen increased IGFBP-3 and lowered antithrombin-III, C reactive protein, and mammographic density, with greater effects of 5 mg/day. Tamoxifen increased endometrial thickness but not Ki-67 expression, which was lower on 5 mg/day among the three doses. Menopausal symptoms were not significantly worsened by tamoxifen.

Conclusion

Doses of tamoxifen ≤ 5 mg/day modulate favorably biomarkers of breast carcinogenesis and cardiovascular risk in HRT users with no increase of endometrial proliferation and menopausal symptoms. A dose of 5 mg/day was the most effective and has been selected for a phase III trial in HRT users.

Tamoxifen for the prevention of breast cancer: late results of the Italian Randomized Tamoxifen Prevention Trial among women with hysterectomy

BACKGROUND

Initial findings of the Italian Randomized Tamoxifen Prevention Trial found no reduction in risk of breast cancer with tamoxifen use, whereas the National Surgical Adjuvant Breast and Bowel Project Breast Cancer Prevention Trial showed that tamoxifen treatment reduces risk of estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer. Here we present an extended follow-up of the Italian trial.

METHODS

From October 1, 1992, to December 31, 1997, 5408 otherwise healthy women who had undergone hysterectomy were randomly assigned in a double-blind manner to tamoxifen (20 mg daily) or placebo for 5 years. Rates of breast cancer and other events in the two groups were compared by the use of risk ratios (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

After 11 years of follow-up, 136 women (74 placebo, 62 tamoxifen) developed breast cancer (RR = 0.84, 95% CI = 0.60 to 1.17; annual rates were 2.48 and 2.07 per 1000 women-years, respectively). The rates of breast cancer in the two study groups were similar among women who had had bilateral oophorectomy and among women at low risk for hormone receptor-positive (HR+) disease but were much lower in the tamoxifen group among women at high risk (placebo, 6.26 per 1000 women-years, tamoxifen, 1.50 per 1000 women-years; RR = 0.24, 95% CI = 0.10 to 0.59). During the treatment period, women in the tamoxifen group reported more hot flashes (RR = 1.78, 95% CI = 1.57 to 2.00), vaginal discharge (RR = 3.44, 95% CI = 2.90 to 4.09), and urinary disturbances (RR = 1.52, 95% CI = 1.23 to 1.89) but fewer headaches (RR = 0.68, 95% CI = 0.50 to 0.94) than women in the placebo group. Hypertriglyceridemia (RR = 4.33, 95% CI = 1.96 to 9.53), thromboembolic events (RR = 1.63, 95% CI = 1.02 to 2.62), and cardiac arrhythmia or atrial fibrillation (RR = 1.73, 95% CI = 1.01 to 2.98) were also more frequent in the tamoxifen group than in the placebo group.

CONCLUSIONS

Appropriate selection of women at high risk for HR+ disease may improve the risk-benefit ratio of tamoxifen intervention.

Long-term results of tamoxifen prophylaxis for breast cancer--96-month follow-up of the randomized IBIS-I trial

BACKGROUND

Initial results from the first International Breast Cancer Intervention Study (IBIS-I) found that tamoxifen reduced the risk of invasive estrogen receptor (ER)-positive tumors by 31% in women at increased risk for breast cancer, but most of the follow-up at this time was during the active treatment phase. We report an updated analysis of IBIS-I that focuses on the period after active treatment was completed, a time for which little evidence from other trials is available.

METHODS

A total of 7145 women who were aged 35-70 years and at increased risk of breast cancer were randomly assigned to receive either tamoxifen (20 mg/day) or placebo for 5 years. The primary outcome measure was the incidence of breast cancer (including ductal carcinoma in situ), but side effects were also investigated. Relative risks were computed as the ratio of incidence rates. All statistical tests were two-sided.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up of 96 months after randomization, 142 breast cancers were diagnosed in the 3579 women in the tamoxifen group and 195 in the 3575 women in the placebo group (4.97 versus 6.82 per 1000 woman-years, respectively; risk ratio [RR] = 0.73, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.58 to 0.91, P = .004). The prophylactic effect of tamoxifen was fairly constant for the entire follow-up period, and no diminution of benefit was observed for up to 10 years after randomization. However, side effects in the tamoxifen group were much lower after completion of the active treatment period than during active treatment. For example, deep-vein thrombosis and pulmonary embolism were statistically significantly higher in the tamoxifen arm than in the placebo arm during active treatment (52 versus 23 cases, RR = 2.26, 95% CI = 1.36 to 3.87) but not after tamoxifen was stopped (16 versus 14 cases, RR = 1.14, 95% CI = 0.52 to 2.53). The two arms did not differ in the risk of ER-negative invasive tumors (35 in each arm, RR = 1.00, 95% CI = 0.61 to 1.65) across the entire follow-up period, but the risk of ER-positive invasive breast cancer was 34% lower in the tamoxifen arm (87 versus 132 cases, RR = 0.66, 95% CI = 0.50 to 0.87).

CONCLUSIONS

The risk-reducing effect of tamoxifen appears to persist for at least 10 years, but most side effects of tamoxifen do not continue after the 5-year treatment period.

[Identification and management of hereditary breast-ovarian cancers (2004 update)]

BACKGROUND

Since the last recommendations, up to 2500 new references had been published on that topic.

METHODOLOGY

On the behalf of the health Minister, the Ad Hoc Committee consisted of 13 experts carried out a first version revisited by five additional experts who critically analyzed the first version of the report.

MAIN UPDATING

Breast and ovarian cancer seem to be associated with fewer deleterious mutations of BRCA1 and BRCA2 than previously thought. The screening of ovarian cancer is still not an attractive option while in contrast MRI may be soon for these young women with dense breast, the recommended option for breast cancer screening. The effectiveness of prophylactic surgeries is now well established. French position is to favor such surgeries with regard to a quality of life in line with the expected benefit, and providing precise and standardized process described in the recommendation.

CONCLUSIONS

Due to methodological flaws, the low power and a short follow-up of the surveys, this statement cannot however aspire to a high stability.

Effect of tamoxifen on venous thromboembolic events in a breast cancer prevention trial

BACKGROUND

Tamoxifen, a selective estrogen-receptor modulator, increases venous thromboembolic events (VTE), but the factors explaining this risk are unclear. Atherosclerosis may induce VTE, or the 2 conditions may share common risk factors. We assessed the effect of tamoxifen on VTE in a breast cancer prevention trial and studied its association with risk factors for VTE.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The incidence of VTE was studied in 5408 hysterectomized women randomly assigned to tamoxifen 20 mg/d or placebo for 5 years. There were 28 VTEs on placebo and 44 on tamoxifen therapy (hazard ratio [HR]=1.63; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.02 to 2.63), 80% of which were superficial phlebitis, accounting for all of the excess due to tamoxifen within 18 months from randomization. Compared with placebo, the risk of VTE on tamoxifen was higher in women aged 55 years or older, women with a body mass index > or =25 kg/m2, elevated blood pressure, total cholesterol > or =250 mg/dL, current smoking, and a family history of coronary heart disease (CHD). Of the 685 women with a CHD risk score > or =5 who entered the trial, 1 in the placebo arm and 13 in the tamoxifen arm developed VTE (log-rank P=0.0013). In multivariate regression analysis, age > or =60 years, height > or =165 cm, and diastolic blood pressure > or =90 mm Hg had independent detrimental effects on VTE risk during tamoxifen therapy, whereas transdermal estrogen therapy concomitant with tamoxifen was not associated with any excess of VTE (HR=0.64; 95% CI, 0.23 to 1.82).

CONCLUSIONS

Women with conventional risk factors for atherosclerosis have a higher risk of VTE during tamoxifen therapy. This information should be incorporated into counseling women on its risk-benefit ratio, particularly in the prevention setting.

Should Tamoxifen Be Used in Breast Cancer Prevention?

Breast cancer is the most commonly diagnosed cancer in women. The risk of developing breast cancer can be lowered by maintaining a healthy bodyweight and avoiding long-term use of combined estrogen and progestogen replacement after menopause. However, many women are at an increased risk of developing breast cancer secondary to age, early menarche, a family history of breast cancer or a personal history of benign breast disease. These women may now be offered tamoxifen as a chemoprevention therapy. Five years of tamoxifen treatment results in a reduction in the relative risk of developing estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer of 48%. This benefit outweighs the risk of tamoxifen-related adverse events for many healthy women. However, the benefit-risk ratio of tamoxifen chemoprevention varies for individual women. The randomized clinical trials evaluating standard-dose tamoxifen versus placebo as chemoprevention therapy are reviewed and analyzed to determine which particular women are most likely to benefit and least likely to experience a tamoxifen-related adverse event. Tamoxifen decreases the risk of breast cancer associated with aging, having a first-degree relative with disease, and a personal diagnosis of atypical ductal hyperplasia or lobular carcinoma in situ. Women who have had a hysterectomy and are at low risk of a thromboembolic event have a decreased risk of adverse effects associated with tamoxifen therapy. The strengths and weaknesses of the Gail model (frequently used to assess an individual's risk of developing invasive breast cancer over the next 5 years) are highlighted. A method for assessing the benefit-risk ratio for an individual woman is presented. Alternative breast cancer chemoprevention strategies are considered, including the use of aromatase inhibitors. This article discusses the pros and cons of these various preventive therapies and concludes that at this time, tamoxifen remains the gold standard for breast cancer prevention.