Effect of baseline oestradiol serum concentration on the efficacy of anastrozole for preventing breast cancer in postmenopausal women at high risk: a case-control study of the IBIS-II prevention trial

BACKGROUND

An increased risk of breast cancer is associated with high serum concentrations of oestradiol and testosterone in postmenopausal women, but little is known about how these hormones affect response to endocrine therapy for breast cancer prevention or treatment. We aimed to assess the effects of serum oestradiol and testosterone concentrations on the efficacy of the aromatase inhibitor anastrozole for the prevention of breast cancer in postmenopausal women at high risk.

METHODS

In this case-control study we used data from the IBIS-II prevention trial, a randomised, controlled, double-blind trial in postmenopausal women aged 40-70 years at high risk of breast cancer, conducted in 153 breast cancer treatment centres across 18 countries. In the trial, women were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive anastrozole (1 mg/day, orally) or placebo daily for 5 years. In this pre-planned case-control study, the primary analysis was the effect of the baseline oestradiol to sex hormone binding globulin (SHBG) ratio (oestradiol-SHBG ratio) on the development of all breast cancers, including ductal carcinoma in situ (the primary endpoint in the trial). Cases were participants in whom breast cancer was reported after trial entry and until the cutoff on Oct 22, 2019, and who had valid blood samples and no use of hormone replacement therapy within 3 months of trial entry or during the trial. For each case, two controls without breast cancer were selected at random, matched on treatment group, age (within 2 years), and follow-up time (at least that of the matching case). For each treatment group, we applied a multinominal logistic regression likelihood-ratio trend test to assess what change in the proportion of cases was associated with a one-quartile change in hormone ratio. Controls were used only to determine quartile cutoffs. Profile likelihood 95% CIs were used to indicate the precision of estimates. A secondary analysis also investigated the effect of the baseline testosterone-SHBG ratio on breast cancer development. We also assessed relative benefit of anastrozole versus placebo (calculated as 1 - the ratio of breast cancer cases in the anastrozole group to cases in the placebo group). The trial was registered with ISRCTN (number ISRCTN31488319) and completed recruitment on Jan 31, 2012, but long-term follow-up is ongoing.

FINDINGS

3864 women were recruited into the trial between Feb 2, 2003, and Jan 31, 2012, and randomly assigned to receive anastrozole (n=1920) or placebo (n=1944). Median follow-up time was 131 months (IQR 106-156), during which 85 (4·4%) cases of breast cancer in the anastrozole group and 165 (8·5%) in the placebo group were identified. No data on gender, race, or ethnicity were collected. After exclusions, the case-control study included 212 participants from the anastrozole group (72 cases, 140 controls) and 416 from the placebo group (142 cases, 274 controls). A trend of increasing breast cancer risk with increasing oestradiol-SHBG ratio was found in the placebo group (trend per quartile 1·25 [95% CI 1·08 to 1·45], p=0·0033), but not in the anastrozole group (1·06 [0·86 to 1·30], p=0·60). A weaker effect was seen for the testosterone-SHBG ratio in the placebo group (trend 1·21 [1·05 to 1·41], p=0·011), but again not in the anastrozole group (trend 1·18 [0·96 to 1·46], p=0·11). A relative benefit of anastrozole was seen in quartile 2 (0·55 [95% CI 0·13 to 0·78]), quartile 3 (0·54 [0·22 to 0·74], and quartile 4 (0·56 [0·23 to 0·76]) of oestradiol-SHBG ratio, but not in quartile 1 (0·18 [-0·60 to 0·59]).

INTERPRETATION

These results suggest that serum hormones should be measured more routinely and integrated into risk management decisions. Measuring serum hormone concentrations is inexpensive and might help clinicians differentiate which women will benefit most from an aromatase inhibitor.

FUNDING

Cancer Research UK, National Health and Medical Research Council (Australia), Breast Cancer Research Foundation, and DaCosta Fund.

Radiotherapy to regional nodes in early breast cancer: an individual patient data meta-analysis of 14 324 women in 16 trials

BACKGROUND

Radiotherapy has become much better targeted since the 1980s, improving both safety and efficacy. In breast cancer, radiotherapy to regional lymph nodes aims to reduce risks of recurrence and death. Its effects have been studied in randomised trials, some before the 1980s and some after. We aimed to assess the effects of regional node radiotherapy in these two eras.

METHODS

In this meta-analysis of individual patient data, we sought data from all randomised trials of regional lymph node radiotherapy versus no regional lymph node radiotherapy in women with early breast cancer (including one study that irradiated lymph nodes only if the cancer was right-sided). Trials were identified through the EBCTCG's regular systematic searches of databases including MEDLINE, Embase, the Cochrane Library, and meeting abstracts. Trials were eligible if they began before Jan 1, 2009. The only systematic difference between treatment groups was in regional node radiotherapy (to the internal mammary chain, supraclavicular fossa, or axilla, or any combinations of these). Primary outcomes were recurrence at any site, breast cancer mortality, non-breast-cancer mortality, and all-cause mortality. Data were supplied by trialists and standardised into a format suitable for analysis. A summary of the formatted data was returned to trialists for verification. Log-rank analyses yielded first-event rate ratios (RRs) and confidence intervals.

FINDINGS

We found 17 eligible trials, 16 of which had available data (for 14 324 participants), and one of which (henceforth excluded), had unavailable data (for 165 participants). In the eight newer trials (12 167 patients), which started during 1989-2008, regional node radiotherapy significantly reduced recurrence (rate ratio 0·88, 95% CI 0·81-0·95; p=0·0008). The main effect was on distant recurrence as few regional node recurrences were reported. Radiotherapy significantly reduced breast cancer mortality (RR 0·87, 95% CI 0·80-0·94; p=0·0010), with no significant effect on non-breast-cancer mortality (0·97, 0·84-1·11; p=0·63), leading to significantly reduced all-cause mortality (0·90, 0·84-0·96; p=0·0022). In an illustrative calculation, estimated absolute reductions in 15-year breast cancer mortality were 1·6% for women with no positive axillary nodes, 2·7% for those with one to three positive axillary nodes, and 4·5% for those with four or more positive axillary nodes. In the eight older trials (2157 patients), which started during 1961-78, regional node radiotherapy had little effect on breast cancer mortality (RR 1·04, 95% CI 0·91-1·20; p=0·55), but significantly increased non-breast-cancer mortality (1·42, 1·18-1·71; p=0·00023), with risk mainly after year 20, and all-cause mortality (1·17, 1·04-1·31; p=0·0067).

INTERPRETATION

Regional node radiotherapy significantly reduced breast cancer mortality and all-cause mortality in trials done after the 1980s, but not in older trials. These contrasting findings could reflect radiotherapy improvements since the 1980s.

FUNDING

Cancer Research UK, Medical Research Council.

Evaluation of frequency of Clinical Symptoms and Signs within Six Months Prior to Death in Patients with Advanced Solid Cancers

This retrospective study documented the frequency of the clinical symptoms and signs that increase in advanced cancer patients as they move toward death in order to create a sum score and correlate it with survival. Of 572 adult patients who were treated in four selected hospitals and who died in 1998 and 1999, data at six, three, and one month(s) prior to death was available for 257. The results showed that the number of symptoms and certain clinical findings accelerated toward death, increasing the sum score. Younger patients obtained higher sum scores at one month prior to death than did elderly ones (p=0.014); this suggests that elderly patients die at a point where they show less worsening in their clinical condition than do younger patients. The score was independent of cancer type or gender. The results of this analysis provide data for further development of a clinical tool to predict long-term survival in palliative care settings.

Abstract S3-07: 16 year long-term follow-up of the IBIS-I breast cancer prevention trial

Background: Several randomised clinical trials have shown the benefit of tamoxifen in healthy women to reduce their risk of breast cancer. Here, we report the blinded median 16 year follow-up of the IBIS-I trial to update the long-term prevention of breast cancer with tamoxifen treatment.

Methods: 7154 pre- and postmenopausal women were randomised to receive daily 20mg tamoxifen (N=3579) or matching placebo (N=3575) for 5 years. The primary endpoint of this analysis was the occurrence of breast cancer (invasive and ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS)). Secondary endpoints included overall mortality, other cancers, and breast cancer specific mortality. Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess occurrence of breast cancer and survival. All statistical tests were two-sided.

Results: After a median of 16.2 years (IQR 14.4 to 17.7) of follow-up, a total of 589 breast cancers have been reported (tamoxifen: 246 (6.9%) vs. placebo: 343 (9.6%)). Tamoxifen reduced the incidence of all breast cancer overall by 29% (HR=0.71 (0.60-0.83), P<0.0001) (Figure 1). Invasive ER-positive (ER+) breast cancers were reduced by 35% (HR=0.65 (0.53-0.80), P<0.0001) (Figure 1), but no effect was seen for invasive ER-negative (ER-) breast cancers (HR=1.06 (0.71-1.58), P=0.8). A non-significant 30% reduction in DCIS was seen with tamoxifen (36 vs. 51, HR=0.70 (0.46-1.07); P=0.1). The overall risk reduction was similar in years 0-10 (HR=0.71) and years 10-20 (HR=0.70). Similar effects were seen in pre- and postmenopausal women (HR 0.71 vs. 0.71). All-cause mortality was non-significantly increased in women randomised to tamoxifen (173 vs. 158, OR=1.10 (0.88-1.38), P=0.4). The excess in deaths with tamoxifen is smaller than in the 96 month update. No differences in breast cancer mortality was seen (24 tamoxifen vs. 27 placebo; OR=0.89 (0.49-1.60), P=0.7). A non-significant increase in other cancers than breast were reported by women on tamoxifen (350 vs. 315, OR=1.12 (0.95-1.32); P=0.2). Specifically more endometrial cancers (28 vs. 17), non-melanoma skin cancers (108 vs. 85), and lung cancer (32 vs. 20) were found in those randomised to tamoxifen.

Conclusion: This updated analysis of the IBIS-I trial confirms the significant reduction in breast cancer occurrence with tamoxifen in the post-treatment follow-up period. These results indicate tamoxifen has a long-term preventive effect on invasive ER+ breast cancer in both pre- and postmenopausal women.

Citation Format: Jack Cuzick, Ivana Sestak, Simon Cawthorn, Hisham Hamed, Kaija Holli, Anthony Howell, John F Forbes. 16 year long-term follow-up of the IBIS-I breast cancer prevention trial [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the Thirty-Seventh Annual CTRC-AACR San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium: 2014 Dec 9-13; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2015;75(9 Suppl):Abstract nr S3-07.

Tamoxifen for prevention of breast cancer: extended long-term follow-up of the IBIS-I breast cancer prevention trial

BACKGROUND

Four previously published randomised clinical trials have shown that tamoxifen can reduce the risk of breast cancer in healthy women at increased risk of breast cancer in the first 10 years of follow-up. We report the long-term follow-up of the IBIS-I trial, in which the participants and investigators remain largely masked to treatment allocation.

METHODS

In the IBIS-I randomised controlled trial, premenopausal and postmenopausal women 35-70 years of age deemed to be at an increased risk of developing breast cancer were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive oral tamoxifen 20 mg daily or matching placebo for 5 years. Patients were randomly assigned to the two treatment groups by telephone or fax according to a block randomisation schedule (permuted block sizes of six or ten). Patients and investigators were masked to treatment assignment by use of central randomisation and coded drug supply. The primary endpoint was the occurrence of breast cancer (invasive breast cancer and ductal carcinoma in situ), analysed by intention to treat. Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess breast cancer occurrence and mortality. The trial is closed to recruitment and active treatment is completed, but long-term follow-up is ongoing. This trial is registered with controlledtrials.com, number ISRCTN91879928.

FINDINGS

Between April 14, 1992, and March 30, 2001, 7154 eligible women recruited from genetics clinics and breast care clinics in eight countries were enrolled into the IBIS-I trial and were randomly allocated to the two treatment groups: 3579 to tamoxifen and 3575 to placebo. After a median follow up of 16.0 years (IQR 14.1-17.6), 601 breast cancers have been reported (251 [7.0%] in 3579 patients in the tamoxifen group vs 350 [9.8%] in 3575 women in the placebo group; hazard ratio [HR] 0.71 [95% CI 0.60-0.83], p<0.0001). The risk of developing breast cancer was similar between years 0-10 (226 [6.3%] in 3575 women in the placebo group vs 163 [4.6%] in 3579 women in the tamoxifen group; hazard ratio [HR] 0.72 [95% CI 0.59-0.88], p=0.001) and after 10 years (124 [3.8%] in 3295 women vs 88 [2.6%] in 3343, respectively; HR 0.69 [0.53-0.91], p=0.009). The greatest reduction in risk was seen in invasive oestrogen receptor-positive breast cancer (HR 0.66 [95% CI 0.54-0.81], p<0.0001) and ductal carcinoma in situ (0.65 [0.43-1.00], p=0.05), but no effect was noted for invasive oestrogen receptor-negative breast cancer (HR 1.05 [95% CI 0.71-1.57], p=0.8).

INTERPRETATION

These results show that tamoxifen offers a very long period of protection after treatment cessation, and thus substantially improves the benefit-to-harm ratio of the drug for breast cancer prevention.

FUNDING

Cancer Research UK (UK) and the National Health and Medical Research Council (Australia).

Rising Incidence of Small Size Papillary Thyroid Cancers with No Change in Disease-Specific Survival in Finnish Thyroid Cancer Patients

Background:

The aim of this study was to investigate trends in the incidence, diagnostics, treatment and survival of thyroid cancer in Tampere University Hospital (TAUH) region in recent decades.

Material and Methods:

New thyroid cancer cases from 1981 to 2002 were ascertained from the Finnish Cancer Registry. Follow-up data was collected from medical records of TAUH. Differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC; consisting of papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) and follicular thyroid cancer (FTC)) patients' data was analyzed and divided into two equal time periods (1981–1991 and 1992–2002).

Results:

The total amount of thyroid cancer cases was 553, of which 427 (77%) were papillary and 72 (13%) follicular. Thyroid cancer was four times more common in females than in males and the median age at the time of diagnosis was 52 years. The incidence of DTC was 4.5/100 000 in the earlier group and 6.0/100 000 in the later group (IRR 1.33, CI 1.11–1.60). The proportion of papillary thyroid cancer rose from 81% to 89% (p = 0.02) in two study periods. Median tumour size became smaller, from 25 mm to 15 mm (p < 0.001). Surgery became more radical as total thyroidectomies were performed almost exclusively on the later group (p < 0.001). Median cumulative dose of radioiodine (I131) therapy was higher in the later group (p = 0.04). There was no difference in number of cancer recurrences (p = 0.54). The prognosis of DTC was good; 10-year disease-specific survival was 92% in the earlier group and 94% in the later group (p = 0.43).

Conclusions:

The incidence of thyroid cancer has risen and proportion of papillary cancer has increased, however, median size of tumour has decreased. No difference was seen in either all-cause or disease-specific survival.

A double-blind placebo-controlled study to evaluate endometrial safety and gynaecological symptoms in women treated for up to 5 years with tamoxifen or placebo - a substudy for IBIS I Breast Cancer Prevention Trial

AIMS OF THE STUDY

This prospective study was performed to investigate the effects of 5-year's use of tamoxifen in preventive setting on endometrium and gynaecological symptoms.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Altogether 96 women were treated either with tamoxifen (TAM, n=45) or placebo (PLA, n=51) for up to 5 years in a randomised, double-blind IBIS I breast cancer prevention trial, clinically followed-up for an additional year and for the occurrence of malignancies at least 9 years between 2/1995 and 7/2009 in Finland. The gynaecological follow-up with trans-vaginal ultrasound and endometrial biopsies were performed at baseline, at 2.5 and 5 years and at the 6 years follow-up visit.

RESULTS

Women in the TAM group discontinued the treatment significantly more often (44% versus 22%; p=0.017) and earlier (at 15 versus 30 months; p=0.044), than those in the PLA group. In postmenopausal women the median endometrial thickness was significantly increased at five years in the TAM group (median 4.3 versus 2.0mm, p=0.011), but there was no difference between the groups at one year after the treatment. There were also statistically significantly more referrals to hospitals due to gynaecological findings in the TAM group (risk rates (RR) 3.15; 95% confidence intervals (CI) 1.12-10.10), but no differences in hysterectomy rates or other serious adverse event rates were observed.

CONCLUSIONS

The discontinuation rate in the TAM group was high, and the discontinuations also occurred early. Even though there were significantly more non-serious gynaecological events during the TAM treatment, routine gynaecological follow-up cannot be recommended.

Evaluation of frequency of clinical symptoms and signs within six months prior to death in patients with advanced solid cancers

This retrospective study documented the frequency of the clinical symptoms and signs that increase in advanced cancer patients as they move toward death in order to create a sum score and correlate it with survival. Of 572 adult patients who were treated in four selected hospitals and who died in 1998 and 1999, data at six, three, and one month(s) prior to death was available for 257. The results showed that the number of symptoms and certain clinical findings accelerated toward death, increasing the sum score. Younger patients obtained higher sum scores at one month prior to death than did elderly ones (p=0.014); this suggests that elderly patients die at a point where they show less worsening in their clinical condition than do younger patients. The score was independent of cancer type or gender. The results of this analysis provide data for further development of a clinical tool to predict long-term survival in palliative care settings.

Long-term prognosis of breast cancer detected by mammography screening or other methods

Introduction

Previous studies of breast cancer have shown that patients whose tumors are detected by mammography screening have a more favorable survival. Little is known, however, about the long-term prognostic impact of screen detection. The purpose of the current study was to compare breast cancer-specific long-term survival of patients whose tumors were detected in mammography screening compared with those whose tumors were detected by other methods.

Methods

Breast cancer patients diagnosed within five specified geographical areas in Finland in 1991 and 1992 were identified (N = 2,936). Detailed clinical, treatment and outcome data, as well as tissue samples, were collected. Women with in situ carcinoma, distant metastases at the time of primary diagnosis and women who were not treated surgically were excluded. The main analyses were performed after excluding patients with other malignancy or contralateral breast cancer, followed by sensitivity analyses with different exclusion criteria. Median follow-up time was 15.4 years. Univariate and multivariate analyses of breast cancer-specific survival were performed.

Results

Of patients included in the main analyses (n = 1,884), 22% (n = 408) of cancers were screen-detected and 78% (n = 1,476) were detected by other methods. Breast cancer-specific 15-year survival was 86% for patients with screen-detected cancer and 66% for patients diagnosed using other methods (P < 0.0001, HR = 2.91). Similar differences in survival were observed in women at screening age (50 to 69 years), as well as in clinically important subgroups, such as patients with small tumors (≤ 1 cm in diameter) and without nodal involvement (N0). Women with breast cancer diagnosed on the basis of screening mammography had a more favorable prognosis than those diagnosed outside screening programs, following adjustments according to patient age, tumor size, axillary lymph node status, histological grade and hormone receptor status. Significant differences in the risk of having future contralateral breast cancer according to method of detection were not observed.

Conclusions

Breast cancer detected by mammography screening is an independent prognostic factor in breast cancer and is associated with a more favorable survival rate as well as in long-term follow-up.

Breast cancer biological subtypes and protein expression predict for the preferential distant metastasis sites: a nationwide cohort study

Introduction

Some molecular subtypes of breast cancer have preferential sites of distant relapse. The protein expression pattern of the primary tumor may influence the first distant metastasis site.

Methods

We identified from the files of the Finnish Cancer Registry patients diagnosed with breast cancer in five geographical regions Finland in 1991-1992, reviewed the hospital case records, and collected primary tumor tissue. Out of the 2,032 cases identified, 234 developed distant metastases after a median follow-up time of 2.7 years and had the first metastatic site documented (a total of 321 sites). Primary tumor microarray (TMA) cores were analyzed for 17 proteins using immunohistochemistry and for erbB2 using chromogenic in situ hybridization, and their associations with the first metastasis site were examined. The cancers were classified into luminal A, luminal B, HER2+ enriched, basal-like or non-expressor subtypes.

Results

A total of 3,886 TMA cores were analyzed. Luminal A cancers had a propensity to give rise first to bone metastases, HER2-enriched cancers to liver and lung metastases, and basal type cancers to liver and brain metastases. Primary tumors that gave first rise to bone metastases expressed frequently estrogen receptor (ER) and SNAI1 (SNAIL) and rarely COX2 and HER2, tumors with first metastases in the liver expressed infrequently SNAI1, those with lung metastases expressed frequently the epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR), cytokeratin-5 (CK5) and HER2, and infrequently progesterone receptor (PgR), tumors with early skin metastases expressed infrequently E-cadherin, and breast tumors with first metastases in the brain expressed nestin, prominin-1 and CK5 and infrequently ER and PgR.

Conclusions

Breast tumor biological subtypes have a tendency to give rise to first distant metastases at certain body sites. Several primary tumor proteins were associated with homing of breast cancer cells.

RAD51C is a susceptibility gene for ovarian cancer

A homozygous mutation in the RAD51C gene was recently found to cause Fanconi anemia-like disorder. Furthermore, six heterozygous deleterious RAD51C mutations were detected in German breast and ovarian cancer families. We screened 277 Finnish familial breast or ovarian cancer patients for RAD51C and identified two recurrent deleterious mutations (c.93delG and c.837+1G>A). These mutations were further genotyped in 491 familial breast cancer patients, 409 unselected ovarian cancer patients and two series of unselected breast cancer cases (884 from Helsinki and 686 from Tampere) and population controls (1279 and 807, respectively). The mutation frequency among all breast cancer cases was not different from the controls (4 out of 2239, 0.2% versus population controls 2 out of 2086, 0.1%, P= 0.7). In the Helsinki series, each mutation was found in four cases with personal or family history of ovarian cancer. No mutations were found among cases with familial breast cancer only, four out of the eight carriers did not have family history of breast cancer. The mutations associated with an increased risk of familial breast and ovarian cancer (OR: 13.59, 95% CI 1.89-97.6, P= 0.026 compared with controls), but especially with familial ovarian cancer in the absence of breast cancer (OR: 213, 95% CI 25.6-1769, P= 0.0002) and also with unselected ovarian cancer (OR: 6.31, 95% CI 1.15-34.6, P= 0.033), with a significantly higher mutation rate among the familial cases (two out of eight, 25%) than the unselected ovarian cancer cases (4 out of 409, 1%) (OR: 33.8, 95% CI 5.15-221, P= 0.005). These results suggest RAD51C as the first moderate-to-high risk susceptibility gene for ovarian cancer.

Development and evaluation of a virtual microscopy application for automated assessment of Ki-67 expression in breast cancer

Background

The aim of the study was to develop a virtual microscopy enabled method for assessment of Ki-67 expression and to study the prognostic value of the automated analysis in a comprehensive series of patients with breast cancer.

Methods

Using a previously reported virtual microscopy platform and an open source image processing tool, ImageJ, a method for assessment of immunohistochemically (IHC) stained area and intensity was created. A tissue microarray (TMA) series of breast cancer specimens from 1931 patients was immunostained for Ki-67, digitized with a whole slide scanner and uploaded to an image web server. The extent of Ki-67 staining in the tumour specimens was assessed both visually and with the image analysis algorithm. The prognostic value of the computer vision assessment of Ki-67 was evaluated by comparison of distant disease-free survival in patients with low, moderate or high expression of the protein.

Results

1648 evaluable image files from 1334 patients were analysed in less than two hours. Visual and automated Ki-67 extent of staining assessments showed a percentage agreement of 87% and weighted kappa value of 0.57. The hazard ratio for distant recurrence for patients with a computer determined moderate Ki-67 extent of staining was 1.77 (95% CI 1.31-2.37) and for high extent 2.34 (95% CI 1.76-3.10), compared to patients with a low extent. In multivariate survival analyses, automated assessment of Ki-67 extent of staining was retained as a significant prognostic factor.

Conclusions

Running high-throughput automated IHC algorithms on a virtual microscopy platform is feasible. Comparison of visual and automated assessments of Ki-67 expression shows moderate agreement. In multivariate survival analysis, the automated assessment of Ki-67 extent of staining is a significant and independent predictor of outcome in breast cancer.

Variation in 'standard care' for breast cancer across Europe: a EUROCARE-3 high resolution study

On a population-based sample of 13,500 European breast cancer patients mostly diagnosed in 1996-1998 and archived by 26 cancer registries, we used logistic regression to estimate odds of conservative surgery plus radiotherapy (BCS+RT) versus other surgery, in T1N0M0 cases by country, adjusted for age and tumour size. We also examined: BCS+RT in relation to total national expenditure on health (TNEH); chemotherapy use in N+ patients; tamoxifen use in oestrogen-positive patients; and whether 10 nodes were examined in lymphadenectomies. Stage, diagnostic examinations and treatments were obtained from clinical records. T1N0M0 cases were 33.0% of the total. 55.0% of T1N0M0 received BCS+RT, range 9.0% (Estonia) to 78.0% (France). Compared to France, odds of BCS+RT were lower in all other countries, even after adjusting for covariates. Women of 70-99 years had 67% lower odds of BCS+RT than women of 15-39 years. BCS+RT was 20% in low TNEH, 58% in medium TNEH, and 64% in high TNEH countries. Chemotherapy was given to 63.0% of N+ and 90.7% of premenopausal N+ (15-49 years), with marked variation by country, mainly in post-menopause (50-99 years). Hormonal therapy was given to 55.5% of oestrogen-positive cases, 44.6% at 15-49 years and 58.8% at 50-99 years; with marked variation across countries especially in premenopause. The variation in breast cancer care across Europe prior to the development of European guidelines was striking; older women received BCS+RT much less than younger women; and adherence to 'standard care' varied even among countries with medium/high TNEH, suggesting sub-optimal resource allocation.

ONCOPOOL - a European database for 16,944 cases of breast cancer

ONCOPOOL is a retrospectively compiled database of primary operable invasive breast cancers treated in the 1990s in 10 European breast cancer Units. Sixteen thousand and nine hundred and forty four cases were entered, with tumours less than 5 cm diameter in women aged 70 or less (mean age 55).

DATA

Data were date of birth, mode of diagnosis, pathology (size, lymph node status, grade, type, lympho-vascular invasion and hormone receptor) and therapies and outcome measures: first local, regional or distant recurrences, contralateral primary, date and cause of death.

TUMOUR CHARACTERISTICS

Mean diameter 1.8 cm, 66% lymph node negative, 24% 1-3 lymph nodes involved and 10% had 4 or more involved. Grade 1, 29%; Grade 2, 41%; and Grade 3, 30%. Polynomial relationships were established between grade, stage and size. Seventy-five percent were oestrogen receptor (ER) positive. ER closely related to grade.

OUTCOMES

Overall Survival was 89% at 5 years from diagnosis, 80% 10 years and 73% 15 years; Breast Cancer-Specific survivals were 91%, 84% and 79%. Survival strongly related to the Nottingham Prognostic Index (NPI). Cases detected at screening had 84% 10-year survival, those presenting symptomatically 76%. ER positive cases treated with adjuvant hormone therapy had a reduction in risk of death of 13% over those not receiving adjuvant therapy (p=0.000). ER negative cases treated with chemotherapy showed a risk reduction of 23% over those not receiving chemotherapy (p=0.000).

Resource savings in the single reading of plain radiographs by oncologist only in cancer patient follow-up: a randomized study

The aim of this study was to estimate the need for a radiologist's clinical report in the interpretation of plain radiographs in cancer patient follow-up. Consecutive new cancer patients receiving primary treatment were randomized between two arms with different diagnostic modes: a double-reading arm (an oncologist and then a radiologist independently interpreted plain radiographs) and a single-reading arm (radiographs interpreted by an oncologist only; if necessary a radiologist's clinical report was obtained on separate request). Altogether 869 eligible patients participated. No differences were found in the total number of plain radiographs between the two arms. The number of radiologists was 20 and there were 28 oncologists. A separate clinical report was requested from a radiologist in 44% of all plain radiographs in the single-reading arm. This saving of radiologists' work (56%) took place without detriment, as the indicators of earliness of diagnosis were the same in both arms. The role of the radiologist should be more in consultation than in routine interpretation during follow-up.

Radiotherapy after segmental resection of breast cancer with favorable prognostic features: 12-year follow-up results of a randomized trial

PURPOSE

Postoperative breast irradiation is considered standard after breast-preserving surgery for cancer. We evaluated the efficacy of radiation therapy in the prevention of local recurrence in a patient population that had small-size breast cancer with features that suggested low biologic aggressiveness.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Women (n = 264) older than 40 years who were treated by breast resection with > or = 1 cm of tumor-free margin and axillary nodal dissection were randomly assigned to receive or not to receive breast irradiation (cumulative dose, 50 Gy) after surgery. The tumor was required to be < or = 20 mm, node negative, progesterone receptor positive, well to moderately well differentiated and unifocal, and of low cell proliferation rate (ie, S phase fraction < or = 7% or nuclear Ki-67 expression < 10%) and had to lack an extensive intraductal component. The median follow-up time was 12.1 years after random assignment.

RESULTS

Sixteen (11.6%) and 34 (27.2%) cancers recurred locally in the radiotherapy and the control arms, respectively (P = .0013). Time to local recurrence was longer in the radiotherapy arm (hazard ratio [HR], 0.36; 95% CI, 0.20 to 0.65; P = .00071). Twenty-one patients assigned to radiotherapy and 26 assigned to control died during the follow-up. There were no differences in overall survival time (HR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.35 to 1.12; P = .11), distant disease-free survival (P = .94), or breast cancer-specific survival (P = .56) between the radiation therapy and control groups.

CONCLUSION

Radiation therapy after breast resection reduces the frequency of ipsilateral breast recurrences, even among women with small-size breast cancers that have favorable histologic features and that are resected with at least a 1-cm margin. Postoperative radiotherapy did not significantly improve survival.

Penetrance analysis of the PALB2 c.1592delT founder mutation

PURPOSE

PALB2 is a recently identified breast cancer susceptibility gene. We have previously identified in the Finnish population a PALB2 c.1592delT founder truncation mutation that is associated with an increased risk of breast cancer. In the present study, we wanted to assess in more detail the increased risk (hazard ratio, HR) and the age-specific cumulative risk (penetrance) of c.1592delT with regard to susceptibility to breast and other forms of cancer.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

Modified segregation analyses fitted under maximum likelihood theory were used to estimate age-specific cumulative risks and HRs using the families of mutation carriers identified from a consecutive series of breast cancer cases unselected for age at onset or family history.

RESULTS

We found a substantially increased risk of breast cancer [HR, 6.1; 95% confidence interval (95% CI), 2.2-17.2; P = 0.01] equivalent to a 40% (95% CI, 17-77) breast cancer risk by age 70 years, comparable to that for carriers of mutations in BRCA2. We found marginal evidence (P = 0.06) that the HR for breast cancer decreased with age by 4.2% per year (95% CI, 0.2-8.1), from 7.5-fold at age 30 years to 2.0-fold at age 60 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that it may be appropriate to offer PALB2 c.1592delT mutation testing to Finnish women with breast cancer, especially those with an early age at onset or a family history of breast or related cancers, and to offer carriers the option of participation in extended disease surveillance programs.

Comparison of cancer registry and clinical data as predictors for breast cancer survival

BACKGROUND

In spite of the increasing amount of clinically relevant information for survival from breast cancer, the amount of data recorded in a population-based cancer registry is limited and the registry-based survival predictions are routinely made without clinical details.

OBJECTIVE

To find out how important is the role of screening and clinical tumor characteristics in addition to cancer registry information in describing the breast cancer survival.

METHODS

A representative clinical database on 483 breast cancer patients diagnosed during 1996-1997 in Tampere University Hospital Area was linked with Finnish Cancer Registry data and a survival model including the available registry variables was compared to models including screen-detection information and clinical tumor characteristics also.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSION

Estimates of registry stage and age act as surrogates for clinical variables and mammography-detection. The surrogacy was found to be almost complete indicating that clinical variables are not necessarily needed when making breast cancer mortality predictions based on a population-based cancer registry. In cases with dissimilar staging cancer registry stage gave a better picture of the breast cancer survival than the clinical stage.

Molecular subtypes of breast cancers detected in mammography screening and outside of screening

PURPOSE

The frequency and significance of gene expression profile-derived molecular subtypes of breast cancers found in mammography screening are unknown.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

We identified breast cancers diagnosed in women of any age living in defined geographic regions in Finland in 1991 to 1992 and collected clinical and pathologic data. Surrogates for the molecular subtypes were determined for 247 cancers found in organized mammography screening and 989 cancers detected outside of screening using immunohistochemistry or in situ hybridization. Molecular subtypes were defined as luminal A [estrogen receptor (ER) positive and/or progesterone receptor (PR) positive, HER2-], luminal B (ER+ and/or PR+, HER2+), basal-like (ER-, PR-, HER2-, cytokeratin 5+, and/or HER1+), HER2+/ER- (ER-, PR-, and HER2+), and unclassified. The median follow-up time was 9.4 years.

RESULTS

The luminal type A was common (73.7%) and the HER2+/ER- type is rare (5.7%) in screen-detected cancer, and only 16% were HER2 positive. Women with cancer diagnosed in screening at ages 50 to 69 years had similar molecular subtype distribution as women whose cancer was found outside of screening at age >69 years. In a multivariate model, cancer detection at screening independently predicted favorable distant disease-free survival when the molecular subtype was included as a covariate in addition to age, histologic grade, and cancer size. Women with small (pT(1)N(0)M(0)) HER2-positive cancer had similar outcome regardless of the method of detection.

CONCLUSIONS

Molecular subtype distribution of screen-detected breast cancer differs from that of cancers found outside of screening and accounts in part for the better outcome of screen-detected cancer.

NAD(P)H:quinone oxidoreductase 1 NQO1*2 genotype (P187S) is a strong prognostic and predictive factor in breast cancer

NQO1 guards against oxidative stress and carcinogenesis and stabilizes p53. We find that a homozygous common missense variant (NQO1(*)2, rs1800566(T), NM_000903.2:c.558C>T) that disables NQO1 strongly predicts poor survival among two independent series of women with breast cancer (P = 0.002, N = 1,005; P = 0.005, N = 1,162), an effect particularly evident after anthracycline-based adjuvant chemotherapy with epirubicin (P = 7.52 x 10(-6)) and in p53-aberrant tumors (P = 6.15 x 10(-5)). Survival after metastasis was reduced among NQO1(*)2 homozygotes, further implicating NQO1 deficiency in cancer progression and treatment resistance. Consistently, response to epirubicin was impaired in NQO1(*)2-homozygous breast carcinoma cells in vitro, reflecting both p53-linked and p53-independent roles of NQO1. We propose a model of defective anthracycline response in NQO1-deficient breast tumors, along with increased genomic instability promoted by elevated reactive oxygen species (ROS), and suggest that the NQO1 genotype is a prognostic and predictive marker for breast cancer.

Early detection of skin cancer as public health policy: comparison of campaign and routine activity

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to evaluate the early detection of skin cancer, with emphasis on comparison of campaign (short high-intensity periods) and routine (continuous low-intensity) activity.

METHODS

The study population consisted of 5903 campaign and 4284 routine attenders visiting a nurse at the Pirkanmaa Cancer Society between January 1, 1991, and December 31, 2000. Skin cancers were identified from the Finnish Cancer Registry. The performance of the program was evaluated in terms of sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values.

RESULTS

A single lesion was more frequently examined during campaigns whereas a partial or total body were examined less frequently (p<0.001). Attenders received referral for removal of a lesion more frequently in routine activity (52% vs. 20% p<0.001), regardless of extent of the examination. The cumulative incidence of skin cancer within 24 months was 3.2% for routine and 1.6% for campaign attenders (p<0.001). Sensitivity was higher (82% vs. 59%, p<0.001), while specificity was lower (49% vs. 79%, p<0.001) for routine activity.

CONCLUSIONS

Even though neither approach appears optimal, scheduled appointments with adequate time allocation per subject provided a lower threshold for detection and a higher yield of skin cancers compared to high-intensity campaigns.

Bone morphogenetic protein 7 expression associates with bone metastasis in breast carcinomas

BACKGROUND

We recently showed that bone morphogenetic protein 7 (BMP7) is overexpressed in primary breast tumors. Here we explored the clinical significance of BMP7 expression in breast cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study included 483 breast cancer patients with complete clinicopathological information and up to 15 years of follow-up. Samples contained 241 lobular carcinomas, 242 ductal carcinomas, and 40 local recurrences. BMP7 protein expression was determined using immunohistochemistry.

RESULTS

BMP7 was expressed in 47% of the primary tumor samples and 13% of the local recurrences. The primary tumors expressed BMP7 more often than the corresponding local recurrences (P = 0.004). BMP7 expression was dependent on the tumor subtype; 57% of the lobular carcinomas but only 37% of the ductal carcinomas were BMP7 positive (P = 0.0001). BMP7 expression was associated with accelerated bone metastasis formation (P = 0.040), especially in ductal carcinomas (P = 0.033), and multivariate analysis confirmed that BMP7 is an independent prognostic indicator for early bone metastasis development (P = 0.032).

CONCLUSION

BMP7 is clearly associated with bone metastasis formation and thus might have clinical utility in identification of patients with increased risk of bone metastasis. This is the first time that bone inducing factor BMP7 has been linked to the bone metastasis process in breast cancer.

Long-term results of tamoxifen prophylaxis for breast cancer--96-month follow-up of the randomized IBIS-I trial

BACKGROUND

Initial results from the first International Breast Cancer Intervention Study (IBIS-I) found that tamoxifen reduced the risk of invasive estrogen receptor (ER)-positive tumors by 31% in women at increased risk for breast cancer, but most of the follow-up at this time was during the active treatment phase. We report an updated analysis of IBIS-I that focuses on the period after active treatment was completed, a time for which little evidence from other trials is available.

METHODS

A total of 7145 women who were aged 35-70 years and at increased risk of breast cancer were randomly assigned to receive either tamoxifen (20 mg/day) or placebo for 5 years. The primary outcome measure was the incidence of breast cancer (including ductal carcinoma in situ), but side effects were also investigated. Relative risks were computed as the ratio of incidence rates. All statistical tests were two-sided.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up of 96 months after randomization, 142 breast cancers were diagnosed in the 3579 women in the tamoxifen group and 195 in the 3575 women in the placebo group (4.97 versus 6.82 per 1000 woman-years, respectively; risk ratio [RR] = 0.73, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.58 to 0.91, P = .004). The prophylactic effect of tamoxifen was fairly constant for the entire follow-up period, and no diminution of benefit was observed for up to 10 years after randomization. However, side effects in the tamoxifen group were much lower after completion of the active treatment period than during active treatment. For example, deep-vein thrombosis and pulmonary embolism were statistically significantly higher in the tamoxifen arm than in the placebo arm during active treatment (52 versus 23 cases, RR = 2.26, 95% CI = 1.36 to 3.87) but not after tamoxifen was stopped (16 versus 14 cases, RR = 1.14, 95% CI = 0.52 to 2.53). The two arms did not differ in the risk of ER-negative invasive tumors (35 in each arm, RR = 1.00, 95% CI = 0.61 to 1.65) across the entire follow-up period, but the risk of ER-positive invasive breast cancer was 34% lower in the tamoxifen arm (87 versus 132 cases, RR = 0.66, 95% CI = 0.50 to 0.87).

CONCLUSIONS

The risk-reducing effect of tamoxifen appears to persist for at least 10 years, but most side effects of tamoxifen do not continue after the 5-year treatment period.

Evaluation of the role of Finnish ataxia-telangiectasia mutations in hereditary predisposition to breast cancer

Biallelic mutations in the ataxia-telangiectasia mutated (ATM) gene result in ataxia-telangiectasia (A-T). Studies on A-T families have shown that obligate female carriers have increased risk of developing breast cancer. Here we have evaluated the role of known Finnish ATM germ line mutations as possible breast cancer predisposing alleles outside A-T families by analyzing their prevalence in large cohorts of familial and unselected breast cancer cases. Of seven different alterations, two were observed in the studied breast cancer material. ATM 6903insA (causing protein truncation) was seen in 3/541 familial and 5/1124 unselected cases, but not among healthy population controls (0/1107). 7570G>C (Ala2524Pro) occurred in 1/541 familial and 2/1124 unselected cases compared with 1/1107 in controls. Additionally, 8734A>G (Arg2912Gly) associated previously with breast cancer susceptibility and suggested to be causative also for A-T was detected in 2/541 of familial cases, but not in unselected cases (0/1124) or controls (0/1107). In total, heterozygous ATM mutation carriers were observed in 6/541 familial [P = 0.006, odds ratio (OR) 12.4, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.5-103.3) and 7/1124 unselected cases (P = 0.07, OR 6.9, 95% CI 0.9-56.4), compared with 1/1107 in controls, suggesting an apparent yet overall limited contribution to predisposition to cancer. The current results also provided evidence for founder effects in the geographical distribution of these mutations. Interestingly, results from functional analysis of the breast cancer-associated ATM mutations indicated that cancer susceptibility is not restricted to mutations with dominant-negative effect on kinase activity, displayed only by 7570G>C, whereas 8734A>G showed only a partial defect in the phosphorylation of ATM substrates, and 6903insA seemed to be a null allele.

Generalisability of survival estimates for patients with breast cancer--a comparison across two population-based series

The purpose of the study was to analyse the generalisability and geographic transportability of survival estimates produced by commonly used prognostic factors. We compared the influence of tumour size, histologic grade, axillary nodal status, oestrogen and progesterone receptor contents, age at diagnosis and two prognostication schemes (the Nottingham Prognostic Index and St. Gallen criteria) in two nationwide cohorts of patients diagnosed with breast cancer in 1991-2, the FinProg (n=2923, Finland) and the SEER series (n=43,249, the United States (US)). Eight-year estimates of breast cancer-specific (84% versus 80%), relative (86% versus 83%), and overall (70% versus 69%) survival were slightly more favourable in the SEER than in the FinProg series, respectively. Despite differences in demographic variables and the frequency of use of adjuvant therapies and mammography screening between the series, the prognostic factors examined produced close to overlapping survival curves with similar shapes. The results suggest that quantitative survival estimates based on frequently used prognostic factors and prognostication schemes are generalisable and transportable between large, unselected cohorts of breast cancer patients.

Radiological pulmonary findings after breast cancer irradiation: A prospective study

The aim of this study was to evaluate radiation-induced pulmonary abnormalities of breast cancer patients. Altogether 202 consecutive patients receiving postoperative radiotherapy entered the study. Plain chest radiographs taken at entry and 3, 6 and 12 months after radiotherapy were evaluated according to modified Arriagada classification. In addition, pulmonary symptoms were recorded. Supplementary high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) was employed in a subgroup of patients (n?=?15). Plain radiographs were interpreted by a radiologist, and uncertain findings were re-evaluated by a radiologist together with a radiation oncologist. Grade 2 pneumonitis was the most common abnormality. The proportion of patients yielding a grade 2 finding was 22.5%, 28.1%, and 16.0% at three, six, and twelve months, respectively. There were 2 normal findings in HRCTscans, and 8 in plain radiographs of the same patients. Radiological lung abnormalities are common after radiotherapy, but they are usually reversible, and their significance for the patient's well-being is minor. No correlation between symptoms and lung or pleural reactions was seen.

Intensity of diagnostic and treatment activities during the end of life of patients with advanced breast cancer

The aim of this study was to assess the intensity of diagnostic testing and cancer treatment of 335 women with advanced breast cancer during their last 6 months before death between 1995 and 1998 in the Pirkanmaa and Satakunta health care districts and to compare it to the practice in earlier decades, the 1970s and 1980s. Data for 1990s material were collected from medical records in 30-day periods starting from the patient's death backwards. In this material 46.9% of all laboratory tests and 40% of radiological tests during the last 6 months of life were made during the last 2 months prior to death. In the last month 63.9% of patients continued on endocrine therapy and 19.7% on chemotherapy. Patient symptoms and deterioration in general condition showed the appropriate point to discontinue cancer-related treatment and concentrate on palliation of symptoms to be about 2 months prior to death. Resources devoted to diagnostic investigations and treatment of cancer in terminally ill patients could be better used for their care. This would be more likely to improve patients' quality of life and save resources.

Population-based mammography screening results in substantial savings in treatment costs for fatal breast cancer

AIMS

The aim was to assess the effect of population-based mammography screening on treatment costs for fatal breast cancer in Turku, Finland.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The study included 556 women with invasive breast cancer, diagnosed at the age of 40-74 years in 1987-1993: 427 in the screened group (screen-detected or interval cancer) and 129 in the unscreened group (not yet invited or refused screening). Both groups were followed up for 8 years from diagnosis.

RESULTS

In the unscreened group, 32 (25%) patients died of breast cancer versus 49 (12%) in the screened group (p < 0.001). The non-discounted mean treatment costs were 2.8-fold for those dying of breast cancer compared to survivors: 26,222 euros versus 9,434 euros; the difference between means was 16,788 euros (95% CI 14,915-18,660) (p<0.001). The mean costs for fatal cases were high, irrespective of the way cancer was detected: 23,800 euros in the unscreened group versus 27,803 euros in the screened group; the difference between means was -4,003 euros (-10,810 to 2802) (p=0.245). In the unscreened group, patients with fatal breast cancer accounted for 41% (0.76/1.87 million euros) of the total treatment costs versus 29% (1.36/4.76 million euros) in the screened group. It was estimated that about one third of costs for fatal breast cancer were avoided through mammography screening, accounting for 72-81% of the estimated total treatment cost savings achieved by screening. About 31-35% of the screening costs for 1987 to 1993 were offset by savings in treatment costs.

CONCLUSIONS

Treatment costs for fatal breast cancer are high. Mammography screening results in substantial treatment cost savings, in which reduction of fatal disease is the key element.

Search for large genomic alterations of the BRCA1 gene in a Finnish population

Mutations in the BRCA1 and BRCA2 genes are known to predispose to breast cancer. In Finland, however, only 21% of all breast cancer families have mutations in these genes. Recent studies have shown that large genomic alterations of BRCA1 are common in many countries. Because such alterations will be missed in conventional mutation screening strategies, we decided to screen Finnish breast and ovarian cancer families for genomic alterations by using a multiplex polymerase chain reaction method. The most characteristic features of BRCA1-related breast cancer were used to select patients, namely (1) both breast and ovarian cancer in the family (48 patients), (2) four or more breast cancers in family (22 patients), or (3) young age (< or =40 years) of onset (58 patients). A total of 128 patients were included in the study. All exons of BRCA1 were analyzed but no alterations were found. This study excludes the frequent occurrence of large genomic alterations in the BRCA1 gene in Finland. Here, again, Finland differs from other countries with a mixed population structure. Our results are in agreement with the common hypothesis that there are still unknown breast cancer susceptibility gene(s) that are responsible for breast cancer predisposition.

Clinical validation of the LKB model and parameter sets for predicting radiation-induced pneumonitis from breast cancer radiotherapy

The choice of the appropriate model and parameter set in determining the relation between the incidence of radiation pneumonitis and dose distribution in the lung is of great importance, especially in the case of breast radiotherapy where the observed incidence is fairly low. From our previous study based on 150 breast cancer patients, where the fits of dose-volume models to clinical data were estimated (Tsougos et al 2005 Evaluation of dose-response models and parameters predicting radiation induced pneumonitis using clinical data from breast cancer radiotherapy Phys. Med. Biol. 50 3535-54), one could get the impression that the relative seriality is significantly better than the LKB NTCP model. However, the estimation of the different NTCP models was based on their goodness-of-fit on clinical data, using various sets of published parameters from other groups, and this fact may provisionally justify the results. Hence, we sought to investigate further the LKB model, by applying different published parameter sets for the very same group of patients, in order to be able to compare the results. It was shown that, depending on the parameter set applied, the LKB model is able to predict the incidence of radiation pneumonitis with acceptable accuracy, especially when implemented on a sub-group of patients (120) receiving [see text]|EUD higher than 8 Gy. In conclusion, the goodness-of-fit of a certain radiobiological model on a given clinical case is closely related to the selection of the proper scoring criteria and parameter set as well as to the compatibility of the clinical case from which the data were derived.

BARD1 variants Cys557Ser and Val507Met in breast cancer predisposition

BARD1 (BRCA1-associated RING-domain 1) is a tumor suppressor whose protein product interacts with BRCA1, and in which rare somatic and germline mutations have been reported in breast, uterine, and endometrial cancers. We aimed to evaluate whether there are BARD1 genetic variants that contribute to breast cancer risk by screening the gene for germline alterations in 45 Finnish familial breast cancer patients and in seven patients with both breast and ovarian cancer. Two of the missense alterations identified (Cys557Ser and Val507Met) were recently suggested to associate with an increased breast cancer risk. We also analyzed these variants in large and independent series of familial and unselected breast cancer patients and healthy controls. No clearly deleterious mutations were detected in the initial mutation screening. No association of the Cys557Ser and breast cancer risk was observed as the variant was found altogether in 1.4% (16/1181) of familial and 2.2% (34/1565) of unselected breast cancer patients, and in 2.5% (27/1083) of healthy controls. The frequency of the Val-allele of the Val507Met variant was modestly higher among breast cancer patients than among healthy controls, although the difference did not reach statistical significance. No statistically significant association of the Cys557Ser or Val507Met variants with any clinicopathologic parameters was observed. These results suggest that the contribution of the BARD1 germline variants to breast cancer predisposition is very limited, and that neither Cys557Ser nor Val507Met have an effect on familial breast cancer susceptibility.

Follow-up Cost of Breast Cancer Patients with Localized Disease After Primary Treatment: a Randomized Trial

We studied the cost of follow-up of 472 breast cancer patients without distant metastasis after primary treatment in four different schedules in a randomized trial. The mean follow-up was 4.2 years. The four schedules differed in frequency of follow-up visits (every third or sixth month) and in intensity of diagnostic examinations (routine or on clinical grounds). Neither the frequency of visits nor the intensity of diagnostic examinations had any effect on disease-free or overall survival of patients. The total costs of follow-up, however, were different in the four follow-up schedules and varied between arms per patient from 1050 to 2269 euros and per detected recurrence from 4166 to 9149 euros. Outpatient visits every third month compared to every sixth month and routine examinations in the follow-up of asymptomatic primary breast cancer patients do not improve patient disease-free or overall survival, but increase the costs of follow-up 2.2 times.

Evaluation of dose–response models and parameters predicting radiation induced pneumonitis using clinical data from breast cancer radiotherapy

The purpose of this work is to evaluate the predictive strength of the relative seriality, parallel and LKB normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) models regarding the incidence of radiation pneumonitis, in a large group of patients following breast cancer radiotherapy, and furthermore, to illustrate statistical methods for examining whether certain published radiobiological parameters are compatible with a clinical treatment methodology and patient group characteristics. The study is based on 150 consecutive patients who received radiation therapy for breast cancer. For each patient, the 3D dose distribution delivered to lung and the clinical treatment outcome were available. Clinical symptoms and radiological findings, along with a patient questionnaire, were used to assess the manifestation of radiation-induced complications. Using this material, different methods of estimating the likelihood of radiation effects were evaluated. This was attempted by analysing patient data based on their full dose distributions and associating the calculated complication rates with the clinical follow-up records. Additionally, the need for an update of the criteria that are being used in the current clinical practice was also examined. The patient material was selected without any conscious bias regarding the radiotherapy treatment technique used. The treatment data of each patient were applied to the relative seriality, LKB and parallel NTCP models, using published parameter sets. Of the 150 patients, 15 experienced radiation-induced pneumonitis (grade 2) according to the radiation pneumonitis scoring criteria used. Of the NTCP models examined, the relative seriality model was able to predict the incidence of radiation pneumonitis with acceptable accuracy, although radiation pneumonitis was developed by only a few patients. In the case of modern breast radiotherapy, radiobiological modelling appears to be very sensitive to model and parameter selection giving clinically acceptable results in certain cases selectively (relative seriality model with Seppenwoolde et al and Gagliardi et al parameter sets). The use of published parameters should be considered as safe only after their examination using local clinical data. The variation of inter-patient radiosensitivity seems to play a significant role in the prediction of such low incidence rate complications. Scoring grades were combined to give stronger evidence of radiation pneumonitis since their differences could not be strictly associated with dose. This obviously reveals a weakness of the scoring related to this endpoint, and implies that the probability of radiation pneumonitis induction may be too low to be statistically analysed with high accuracy, at least with the latest advances of dose delivery in breast radiotherapy.

Mammographic screening reduces risk of breast carcinoma recurrence

BACKGROUND

The current report is a long-term evaluation of breast carcinoma recurrence, factors predicting recurrence, and postrecurrence prognosis in relation to patients' use of service screening, which has been provided in Turku, Finland, since 1987 for women ages 40-74 years.

METHODS

The current study included 527 invasive breast carcinomas: 418 in the screening group (which included screen-detected and interval malignancies) and 109 in the nonscreening group (which included breast carcinomas detected before initial screening and those detected in patients who chose not to undergo screening). These breast carcinomas were diagnosed among women ages 40-74 years between 1987 and 1993, with follow-up extending until the end of 2001.

RESULTS

In the screening group, the risk of recurrence was only approximately half of the corresponding risk in the nonscreening group (hazard ratio [HR], 0.57; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.39-0.83; P = 0.003). Five years after the primary diagnosis, 16% of patients in the screening group and 28% of patients in the nonscreening group (P = 0.001) had experienced recurrence; 10 years after diagnosis, the corresponding rates were 21% and 34%, respectively (P = 0.001). Postrecurrence prognosis was comparable for both detection groups (HR, 1.17; 95% CI, 0.70-1.94; P = 0.551), with approximately half of all patients dying of disease 5 years after recurrence. Detection of breast carcinoma via a method other than mammographic screening was associated with a high risk of recurrence on univariate analysis. On Cox multivariate analysis, risk factors for recurrence included lobular histologic type (HR, 2.23; 95% CI, 1.44-3.48; P < 0.001), poor histologic grade (HR, 2.02; 95% CI, 1.20-3.39; P = 0.008), and large tumor size (HR, 1.60; 95% CI, 1.07-2.37; P = 0.021).

CONCLUSIONS

Long-term data from a population-based program demonstrated that mammographic screening reduced patients' risk of breast carcinoma recurrence. Specifically, the risk for patients with screen-detected disease was only approximately half of the risk for patients with non-screen-detected disease. Nonetheless, postrecurrence prognosis was comparable for patients in both detection groups.

Correlation of CHEK2 protein expression and c.1100delC mutation status with tumor characteristics among unselected breast cancer patients

The CHEK2 kinase is a tumor suppressor whose activation in response to DNA double-strand breaks contributes to cell cycle arrest or apoptosis. The c.1100delC mutation is associated with familial breast cancer, and tumors from mutation carriers show reduced or absent CHEK2 protein expression. We have here studied CHEK2 protein expression by immunohistochemistry on a tissue microarray of 611 unselected breast tumors and also evaluated the tumor characteristics among 1,297 unselected breast cancer patients defined for the c.1100delC germ line mutation status (2.5% carrier frequency). CHEK2 protein expression was reduced in 21.1% of the unselected breast cancers studied. Tumors with reduced CHEK2 expression had more often larger primary tumor size (pT3-4; nominal significance p = 0.002) compared to tumors with normal staining. A similar trend for larger tumor size was seen among the 37 breast tumors from c.1100delC germ line mutation carriers. Tumors from c.1100delC mutation carriers were of higher grade than those of noncarriers (nominal significance p = 0.02). The c.1100delC germ line mutation also associated strongly with bilateral breast cancer. No significant correlation was seen between CHEK2 status and hormone receptor status, histology, lymph node status, or overall survival.

Endometrial K-ras mutations in postmenopausal breast cancer patients treated with adjuvant tamoxifen or toremifene

PURPOSE

Long-term use of tamoxifen is associated with a two- to threefold increased risk of endometrial cancer in postmenopausal women. Toremifene is another triphenylethylene antiestrogen, which is as effective as tamoxifen in postmenopausal breast cancer. Thus far, its use has not been associated with an increased risk of endometrial cancer. K-ras codon 12 mutations seem to be important in endometrial carcinogenesis, and these mutations have been found in endometrial samples of patients on tamoxifen. The present study was undertaken to investigate if there is any difference in the frequency of endometrial K-ras mutations among patients treated with tamoxifen or toremifene.

METHODS

Endometrial samples were taken from 23 postmenopausal breast cancer patients (tamoxifen, n = 11; toremifene, n = 12) before and after 36 months of treatment. DNA was isolated from formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded samples using a routine proteinase K digestion protocol. K-ras mutations in codon 12 were screened using real-time PCR and melting curve analysis in LightCycler equipment. Wild-type PNA oligomer was used to increase the sensitivity of the assay.

RESULTS

All baseline samples contained wild-type K-ras, while 10/23 (43%) of the follow-up samples carried a codon 12 mutation. Mutations were identified in 3 of the 11 in the tamoxifen group and in 7 of the 12 in the toremifene group. Seven were transitions (G-->A), and three were transversions (two G-->T, one G-->C). One of the mutations in the toremifene group was associated with a polypoid endometrium. All the other mutations were found in an atrophic (n = 6) or proliferative (n = 3) endometrium.

CONCLUSIONS

Both tamoxifen and toremifene induce endometrial K-ras codon 12 mutations. The significance of this finding to endometrial carcinogenesis remains to be elucidated.

Risk for distant recurrence of breast cancer detected by mammography screening or other methods

CONTEXT

Selection of systemic adjuvant therapies for women diagnosed as having breast cancer is based on risk estimations for cancer recurrence. In such estimations, tumors detected by mammography screening are considered to be associated with a similar risk of recurrence as tumors of similar size found by other methods.

OBJECTIVE

To compare the risk of recurrence and survival among women with cancerous tumors detected by mammography screening compared with other methods (outside of screening).

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PATIENTS

Retrospective study comparing clinical, histopathological, and biological features of cancerous tumors detected by mammography screening compared with tumors detected outside of screening. Women diagnosed as having breast cancer in 1991 or 1992 were identified from the Finnish Cancer Registry (n = 2842). The median follow-up time was 9.5 years. Cancer biological variables were analyzed from tumor tissue microarrays using immunohistochemistry or in situ hybridization and included ERBB2, TP53, and MK167 expression and ERBB2 amplification data.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Univariate and multivariate analyses of potential risk factors for distant recurrence of breast cancer and 10-year survival.

RESULTS

Of the 1983 women with unilateral invasive breast cancer, data on tumor diameter were available for 1918 women. Women with cancerous tumors detected by mammography screening had better estimated 10-year distant disease-free survival than women with tumors found outside of screening (tumor size of < or =10 mm [n = 386] 92% vs 85% [P =.04]; 11-20 mm [n = 808] 88% vs 76% [P<.001]; 21-30 mm [n = 409] 86% vs 63% [P =.008]; >30 mm [n = 315] 68% vs 50% [P =.12], respectively). In a Cox multivariate model that included cancer biological factors, the relative hazard ratio for distant recurrence among women with tumors detected outside of screening (HR, 1.90; 95% confidence interval, 1.15-3.11) was significantly higher than among women with tumors detected by mammography screening (P =.01). Breast cancer diagnosis by mammography screening was an independent prognostic variable reducing the relative HR for distant recurrence. This effect was equal to or greater than the effect of 1-cm decrease in tumor diameter (HR, 1.20; 95% confidence interval, 1.10-1.31).

CONCLUSIONS

Cancerous tumors detected by mammography screening are associated with a better prognosis than tumors of similar size found outside of screening. The risk of distant metastases is overestimated for women diagnosed as having cancer by mammography screening unless the method of detection is taken into account in risk estimations.