The performance of phenomic selection depends on the genetic architecture of the target trait

Phenomic Selection for Hybrid Rapeseed Breeding

Phenomic selection is a recent approach suggested as a low-cost, high-throughput alternative to genomic selection. Instead of using genetic markers, it employs spectral data to predict complex traits using equivalent statistical models. Phenomic selection has been shown to outperform genomic selection when using spectral data that was obtained within the same generation as the traits that were predicted. However, for hybrid breeding, the key question is whether spectral data from parental genotypes can be used to effectively predict traits in the hybrid generation. Here, we aimed to evaluate the potential of phenomic selection for hybrid rapeseed breeding. We performed predictions for various traits in a structured population of 410 test hybrids, grown in multiple environments, using near-infrared spectroscopy data obtained from harvested seeds of both the hybrids and their parental lines with different linear and nonlinear models. We found that phenomic selection within the hybrid generation outperformed genomic selection for seed yield and plant height, even when spectral data was collected at single locations, while being less affected by population structure. Furthermore, we demonstrate that phenomic prediction across generations is feasible, and selecting hybrids based on spectral data obtained from parental genotypes is competitive with genomic selection. We conclude that phenomic selection is a promising approach for rapeseed breeding that can be easily implemented without any additional costs or efforts as near-infrared spectroscopy is routinely assessed in rapeseed breeding.

Feature engineering and parameter tuning: improving phenomic prediction ability in multi-environmental durum wheat breeding trials

KEY MESSAGE

Optimized phenomic selection in durum wheat uses near-infrared spectra, feature engineering and parameter tuning. Our study reports improvements in predictive ability and emphasizes customized preprocessing for different traits and models. The success of plant breeding programs depends on efficient selection decisions. Phenomic selection has been proposed as a tool to predict phenotype performance based on near-infrared spectra (NIRS) to support selection decisions. In this study, we test the performance of phenomic selection in multi-environmental trials from our durum wheat breeding program for three breeding scenarios and use feature engineering as well as parameter tuning to improve the phenomic prediction ability. In addition, we investigate the influence of genotype and environment on the phenomic prediction ability for agronomic and quality traits. Preprocessing, based on a grid search over the Savitzky-Golay filter parameters based on 756,000 genotype best linear unbiased estimate (BLUE) computations, improved the phenomic prediction ability by up to 1500% (0.02-0.3). Furthermore, we show that preprocessing should be optimized depending on the dataset, trait, and model used for prediction. The phenomic prediction scenarios in our durum breeding program resulted in low-to-moderate prediction abilities with the highest and most stable prediction results when predicting new genotypes in the same environment as used for model training. This is consistent with the finding that NIRS capture both the genotype and genotype-by-environment ( G × E ) interaction variance.

Genomic and phenomic predictions help capture low-effect alleles promoting seed germination in oilseed rape in addition to QTL analyses

KEY MESSAGE

Phenomic prediction implemented on a large diversity set can efficiently predict seed germination, capture low-effect favorable alleles that are not revealed by GWAS and identify promising genetic resources. Oilseed rape faces many challenges, especially at the beginning of its developmental cycle. Achieving rapid and uniform seed germination could help to ensure a successful establishment and therefore enabling the crop to compete with weeds and tolerate stresses during the earliest developmental stages. The polygenic nature of seed germination was highlighted in several studies, and more knowledge is needed about low- to moderate-effect underlying loci in order to enhance seed germination effectively by improving the genetic background and incorporating favorable alleles. A total of 17 QTL were detected for seed germination-related traits, for which the favorable alleles often corresponded to the most frequent alleles in the panel. Genomic and phenomic predictions methods provided moderate-to-high predictive abilities, demonstrating the ability to capture small additive and non-additive effects for seed germination. This study also showed that phenomic prediction estimated phenotypic values closer to phenotypic values than GEBV. Finally, as the predictive ability of phenomic prediction was less influenced by the genetic structure of the panel, it is worth using this prediction method to characterize genetic resources, particularly with a view to design prebreeding populations.

Using drone-retrieved multispectral data for phenomic selection in potato breeding

Predictive breeding approaches, like phenomic or genomic selection, have the potential to increase the selection gain for potato breeding programs which are characterized by very large numbers of entries in early stages and the availability of very few tubers per entry in these stages. The objectives of this study were to (i) explore the capabilities of phenomic prediction based on drone-derived multispectral reflectance data in potato breeding by testing different prediction scenarios on a diverse panel of tetraploid potato material from all market segments and considering a broad range of traits, (ii) compare the performance of phenomic and genomic predictions, and (iii) assess the predictive power of mixed relationship matrices utilizing weighted SNP array and multispectral reflectance data. Predictive abilities of phenomic prediction scenarios varied greatly within a range of - 0.15 and 0.88 and were strongly dependent on the environment, predicted trait, and considered prediction scenario. We observed high predictive abilities with phenomic prediction for yield (0.45), maturity (0.88), foliage development (0.73), and emergence (0.73), while all other traits achieved higher predictive ability with genomic compared to phenomic prediction. When a mixed relationship matrix was used for prediction, higher predictive abilities were observed for 20 out of 22 traits, showcasing that phenomic and genomic data contained complementary information. We see the main application of phenomic selection in potato breeding programs to allow for the use of the principle of predictive breeding in the pot seedling or single hill stage where genotyping is not recommended due to high costs.

Multispectral-derived genotypic similarities from budget cameras allow grain yield prediction and genomic selection augmentation in single and multi-environment scenarios in spring wheat

With abundant available genomic data, genomic selection has become routine in many plant breeding programs. Multispectral data captured by UAVs showed potential for grain yield (GY) prediction in many plant species using machine learning; however, the possibilities of utilizing this data to augment genomic prediction models still need to be explored. We collected high-throughput phenotyping (HTP) multispectral data in a genotyped multi-environment large-scale field trial using two cost-effective cameras to fill this gap. We tested back to back the prediction ability of GY prediction models, including genomic (G matrix), multispectral-derived (M matrix), and environmental (E matrix) relationships using best linear unbiased predictor (BLUP) methodology in single and multi-environment scenarios. We discovered that M allows for GY prediction comparable to the G matrix and that models using both G and M matrices show superior accuracies and errors compared with G or M alone, both in single and multi-environment scenarios. We showed that the M matrix is not entirely environment-specific, and the genotypic relationships become more robust with more data capture sessions over the season. We discovered that the optimal time for data capture occurs during grain filling and that camera bands with the highest heritability are important for GY prediction using the M matrix. We showcased that GY prediction can be performed using only an RGB camera, and even a single data capture session can yield valuable data for GY prediction. This study contributes to a better understanding of multispectral data and its relationships. It provides a flexible framework for improving GS protocols without significant investments or software customization.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11032-024-01449-w.

Predictor bias in genomic and phenomic selection

KEY MESSAGE

NIRS of wheat grains as phenomic predictors for grain yield show inflated prediction ability and are biased toward grain protein content. Estimating the breeding value of individuals using genome-wide marker data (genomic prediction) is currently one of the most important drivers of breeding progress in major crops. Recently, phenomic technologies, including remote sensing and aerial hyperspectral imaging of plant canopies, have made it feasible to predict the breeding value of individuals in the absence of genetic marker data. This is commonly referred to as phenomic prediction. Hyperspectral measurements in the form of near-infrared spectroscopy have been used since the 1980 s to predict compositional parameters of harvest products. Moreover, in recent studies NIRS from grains was used to predict grain yield. The same studies showed that phenomic prediction can outperform genomic prediction for grain yield. The genome is static and not environment dependent, thereby limiting genomic prediction ability. Gene expression is tissue specific and differs under environmental influences, leading to a tissue- and environment-specific phenome, potentially explaining the higher predictive ability of phenomic prediction. Here, we compare genomic prediction and phenomic prediction from hyperspectral measurements of wheat grains for the prediction of a variety of traits including grain yield. We show that phenomic predictions outperform genomic prediction for some traits. However, phenomic predictions are biased toward the information present in the predictor. Future studies on this topic should investigate whether population parameters are retained in phenomic prediction as they are in genomic prediction. Furthermore, we find that unbiased phenomic prediction abilities are considerably lower than previously reported and recommend a method to circumvent this issue.

Sustaining yield and nutritional quality of peanuts in harsh environments: Physiological and molecular basis of drought and heat stress tolerance

Climate change is significantly impacting agricultural production worldwide. Peanuts provide food and nutritional security to millions of people across the globe because of its high nutritive values. Drought and heat stress alone or in combination cause substantial yield losses to peanut production. The stress, in addition, adversely impact nutritional quality. Peanuts exposed to drought stress at reproductive stage are prone to aflatoxin contamination, which imposes a restriction on use of peanuts as health food and also adversely impact peanut trade. A comprehensive understanding of the impact of drought and heat stress at physiological and molecular levels may accelerate the development of stress tolerant productive peanut cultivars adapted to a given production system. Significant progress has been achieved towards the characterization of germplasm for drought and heat stress tolerance, unlocking the physiological and molecular basis of stress tolerance, identifying significant marker-trait associations as well major QTLs and candidate genes associated with drought tolerance, which after validation may be deployed to initiate marker-assisted breeding for abiotic stress adaptation in peanut. The proof of concept about the use of transgenic technology to add value to peanuts has been demonstrated. Advances in phenomics and artificial intelligence to accelerate the timely and cost-effective collection of phenotyping data in large germplasm/breeding populations have also been discussed. Greater focus is needed to accelerate research on heat stress tolerance in peanut. A suits of technological innovations are now available in the breeders toolbox to enhance productivity and nutritional quality of peanuts in harsh environments. A holistic breeding approach that considers drought and heat-tolerant traits to simultaneously address both stresses could be a successful strategy to produce climate-resilient peanut genotypes with improved nutritional quality.

Temporal phenomic predictions from unoccupied aerial systems can outperform genomic predictions

A major challenge of genetic improvement and selection is to accurately predict individuals with the highest fitness in a population without direct measurement. Over the last decade, genomic predictions (GP) based on genome-wide markers have become reliable and routine. Now phenotyping technologies, including unoccupied aerial systems (UAS also known as drones), can characterize individuals with a data depth comparable to genomics when used throughout growth. This study, for the first time, demonstrated that the prediction power of temporal UAS phenomic data can achieve or exceed that of genomic data. UAS data containing red-green-blue (RGB) bands over 15 growth time points and multispectral (RGB, red-edge and near infrared) bands over 12 time points were compared across 280 unique maize hybrids. Through cross-validation of untested genotypes in tested environments (CV2), temporal phenomic prediction (TPP), outperformed GP (0.80 vs 0.71); TPP and GP performed similarly in 3 other cross-validation scenarios. Genome-wide association mapping using area under temporal curves of vegetation indices (VIs) revealed 24.5% of a total of 241 discovered loci (59 loci) had associations with multiple VIs, explaining up to 51% of grain yield variation, less than GP and TPP predicted. This suggests TPP, like GP, integrates small effect loci well improving plant fitness predictions. More importantly, TPP appeared to work successfully on unrelated individuals unlike GP.

Multi-Omics Approaches and Resources for Systems-Level Gene Function Prediction in the Plant Kingdom

In higher plants, the complexity of a system and the components within and among species are rapidly dissected by omics technologies. Multi-omics datasets are integrated to infer and enable a comprehensive understanding of the life processes of organisms of interest. Further, growing open-source datasets coupled with the emergence of high-performance computing and development of computational tools for biological sciences have assisted in silico functional prediction of unknown genes, proteins and metabolites, otherwise known as uncharacterized. The systems biology approach includes data collection and filtration, system modelling, experimentation and the establishment of new hypotheses for experimental validation. Informatics technologies add meaningful sense to the output generated by complex bioinformatics algorithms, which are now freely available in a user-friendly graphical user interface. These resources accentuate gene function prediction at a relatively minimal cost and effort. Herein, we present a comprehensive view of relevant approaches available for system-level gene function prediction in the plant kingdom. Together, the most recent applications and sought-after principles for gene mining are discussed to benefit the plant research community. A realistic tabulation of plant genomic resources is included for a less laborious and accurate candidate gene discovery in basic plant research and improvement strategies.

Phenomic selection in wheat breeding: prediction of the genotype-by-environment interaction in multi-environment breeding trials

Phenomic prediction of wheat grain yield and heading date in different multi-environmental trial scenarios is accurate. Modelling the genotype-by-environment interaction effect using phenomic data is a potentially low-cost complement to genomic prediction. The performance of wheat cultivars in multi-environmental trials (MET) is difficult to predict because of the genotype-by-environment interactions (G × E). Phenomic selection is supposed to be efficient for modelling the G × E effect because it accounts for non-additive effects. Here, phenomic data are near-infrared (NIR) spectra obtained from plant material. While phenomic selection has recently been shown to accurately predict wheat grain yield in single environments, its accuracy needs to be investigated for MET. We used four datasets from two winter wheat breeding programs to test and compare the predictive abilities of phenomic and genomic models for grain yield and heading date in different MET scenarios. We also compared different methods to model the G × E using different covariance matrices based on spectra. On average, phenomic and genomic prediction abilities are similar in all different MET scenarios. Better predictive abilities were obtained when G × E effects were modelled with NIR spectra than without them, and it was better to use all the spectra of all genotypes in all environments for modelling the G × E. To facilitate the implementation of phenomic prediction, we tested MET designs where the NIR spectra were measured only on the genotype-environment combinations phenotyped for the target trait. Missing spectra were predicted with a weighted multivariate ridge regression. Intermediate predictive abilities for grain yield were obtained in a sparse testing scenario and for new genotypes, which shows that phenomic selection is an efficient and practicable prediction method for dealing with G × E.