Fasting glucose, bone area and bone mineral density: a Mendelian randomisation study

Genetic predisposition to bone mineral density and their health conditions in East Asians

Osteoporosis, a condition defined by low BMD (typically < -2.5 SD), causes a higher fracture risk and leads to significant economic, social, and clinical impacts. Genome-wide studies mainly in Caucasians have found many genetic links to osteoporosis, fractures, and BMD, with limited research in East Asians (EAS). We investigated the genetic aspects of BMD in 86 716 individuals from the Taiwan Biobank and their causal links to health conditions within EAS. A genome-wide association study (GWAS) was conducted, followed by observational studies, polygenic risk score assessments, and genetic correlation analyses to identify associated health conditions linked to BMD. GWAS and gene-based GWAS studies identified 78 significant SNPs and 75 genes related to BMD, highlighting pathways like Hedgehog, WNT-mediated, and TGF-β. Our cross-trait linkage disequilibrium score regression analyses for BMD and osteoporosis consistently validated their genetic correlations with BMI and type 2 diabetes (T2D) in EAS. Higher BMD was linked to lower osteoporosis risk but increased BMI and T2D, whereas osteoporosis linked to lower BMI, waist circumference, hemoglobinA1c, and reduced T2D risk. Bidirectional Mendelian randomization analyses revealed that a higher BMI causally increases BMD in EAS. However, no direct causal relationships were found between BMD and T2D, or between osteoporosis and either BMI or T2D. This study identified key genetic factors for bone health in Taiwan, and revealed significant health conditions in EAS, particularly highlighting the genetic interplay between bone health and metabolic traits like T2D and BMI.

Associations between OGTT results during pregnancy and offspring TSH levels: a birth cohort study

BACKGROUND

Limited evidence exists regarding the association between gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) and elevated levels of thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) in newborns. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the potential risk of elevated TSH levels in infants exposed to maternal GDM, considering the type and number of abnormal values obtained from the 75-gram oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT).

METHODS

A population-based, prospective birth cohort study was conducted in Wuhan, China. The study included women who underwent GDM screening using a 75-g OGTT. Neonatal TSH levels were measured via a time-resolved immunofluorescence assay. We estimated and stratified the overall risk (adjusted Risk Ratio [RR]) of elevated TSH levels (defined as TSH > 10 mIU/L or > 20 mIU/L) in offspring based on the type and number of abnormal OGTT values.

RESULTS

Out of 15,236 eligible mother-offspring pairs, 11.5% (1,753) of mothers were diagnosed with GDM. Offspring born to women diagnosed with GDM demonstrated a statistically significant elevation in TSH levels when compared to offspring of non-GDM mothers, with a mean difference of 0.20 [95% CI: 0.04-0.36]. The incidence of elevated TSH levels (TSH > 10 mIU/L) in offspring of non-GDM women was 6.3 per 1,000 live births. Newborns exposed to mothers with three abnormal OGTT values displayed an almost five-fold increased risk of elevated TSH levels (adjusted RR 4.77 [95% CI 1.64-13.96]). Maternal fasting blood glucose was independently and positively correlated with neonatal TSH levels and elevated TSH status (TSH > 20 mIU/L).

CONCLUSIONS

For newborns of women with GDM, personalized risk assessment for elevated TSH levels can be predicated on the type and number of abnormal OGTT values. Furthermore, fasting blood glucose emerges as a critical predictive marker for elevated neonatal TSH status.

Deciphering the complex relationship between type 2 diabetes and fracture risk with both genetic and observational evidence

The 'diabetic bone paradox' suggested that type 2 diabetes (T2D) patients would have higher areal bone mineral density (BMD) but higher fracture risk than individuals without T2D. In this study, we found that the genetically predicted T2D was associated with higher BMD and lower risk of fracture in both weighted genetic risk score (wGRS) and two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses. We also identified ten genomic loci shared between T2D and fracture, with the top signal at SNP rs4580892 in the intron of gene RSPO3. And the higher expression in adipose subcutaneous and higher protein level in plasma of RSPO3 were associated with increased risk of T2D, but decreased risk of fracture. In the prospective study, T2D was observed to be associated with higher risk of fracture, but BMI mediated 30.2% of the protective effect. However, when stratified by the T2D-related risk factors for fracture, we observed that the effect of T2D on the risk of fracture decreased when the number of T2D-related risk factors decreased, and the association became non-significant if the T2D patients carried none of the risk factors. In conclusion, the genetically determined T2D might not be associated with higher risk of fracture. And the shared genetic architecture between T2D and fracture suggested a top signal around RSPO3 gene. The observed effect size of T2D on fracture risk decreased if the T2D-related risk factors could be eliminated. Therefore, it is important to manage the complications of T2D to prevent the risk of fracture.

Positive association between blood glucose in physical examinations and self-reported fractures among middle-aged and elderly Japanese men: a prospective cohort study

The association between blood glucose and fractures is not consistent across populations. Blood glucose was associated with fractures five years later in middle-aged and elderly men who underwent health examinations in Japan, respectively. Blood glucose-targeted fracture alerts are crucial for middle-aged and elderly individuals.

OBJECTIVES

The evidence on blood glucose as a fracture risk marker has not been adequately examined in various populations, and there are no studies in middle-aged Japanese. We aimed to determine the association between blood glucose status and self-report fractures among middle-aged and elderly Japanese men.

METHODS

The data from the Japan Multi-Institutional Collaborative Cohort (J-MICC) Okazaki Study were used. Hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) and fasting plasma glucose (FPG) measured at baseline physical examinations were examined for association with fractures questioned five years later. Analyses were performed for the middle-aged and elderly respondents.

RESULTS

The HbA1c was dichotomized into 290 (11.8%) with HbA1c ≥ 6.5% and 2165 (88.2%) with HbA1c < 6.5%. Compared to the group with an HbA1c < 6.5, the odds ratio for the risks of fracture among the group with an HbA1c ≥ 6.5% were 3.46 (95% confidence interval (CI), 1.75-6.84) in Model 1 (adjusted for age) and 3.60 (95% CI, 1.77-7.34) in Model 2 (adjusted for various confounding factors). These associations were also observed in both middle-aged and elderly generations, whereas no association was observed for FPG.

CONCLUSIONS

Among Japanese men who have undergone physical examinations, those with an HbA1c of 6.5% or higher are at higher risk for fractures, and HbA1c-targeted fracture alerts are crucial for middle-aged and elderly individuals.

The impact of diabetes, anemia, and renal function in the relationship between osteoporosis and fasting blood glucose among Taiwanese women: a cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to investigate the association between fasting blood glucose and osteoporosis in women with diabetes, anemia, and renal function.

METHODS

The medical records of women who underwent a general health examination at a regional hospital in southern Taiwan were retrospectively reviewed. Logistic regression analysis was performed to assess the association between osteoporosis and fasting blood glucose separately for the eight subgroups (diabetes or non-diabetes, anemia or non-anemia, normal or decreased renal function), adjusting for other clinical characteristics and laboratory findings.

RESULTS

A total of 11,872 women were included in the study. Among women with diabetes, anemia, and decreased renal function, an increment of 10 mg/dL in fasting blood glucose was associated with an increased risk of osteoporosis (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 1.57, p = 0.004). Among women without diabetes, fasting blood glucose was significantly associated with an increased risk of osteoporosis in those with anemia and normal renal function (OR = 1.14, p = 0.023) and those without anemia and normal renal function (OR = 1.04, p = 0.015), but these associations were not significant after adjusting for other covariates.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher fasting blood glucose levels in women with diabetes, anemia, and decreased renal function were associated with an increased risk of osteoporosis. Clinicians should be vigilant about glucose control in patients with diabetes to reduce the risk of fracture.

Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis and osteoporosis: a two-sample Mendelian randomization study

Background

A few observational studies revealed that amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) was tightly connected with osteoporosis. However, the results of previous studies were inconsistent, and the causal effect of ALS on osteoporosis has not been investigated. To do so, the two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) method was employed to estimate the causality.

Methods

The instrumental variables (IVs) for ALS were selected from one GWAS summary dataset (27,205 ALS cases and 110,881 controls), and bone mineral density (BMD) in the femoral neck (FN), lumbar spine (LS), and forearm, extracted from another large-scale GWAS summary database (53,236 cases), were used as phenotypes for osteoporosis. Random-effects inverse variance weighted (IVW), MR Egger, weighted median, simple mode, and weighted mode were conducted to evaluate the causality. Sensitivity analyses were further performed to explore heterogeneity and pleiotropy.

Results

A total of 10 qualified SNPs were finally selected as proxies for ALS. The results of random effects from IVW revealed that ALS has no causal effect on FN-BMD (beta: -0.038, 95% CI: -0.090 to 0.015, SE: 0.027, p = 0.158), LS-BMD (beta: -0.015, 95% CI: -0.076 to 0.046, SE: 0.031, p = 0.629), and forearm BMD (beta: 0.044, 95% CI: -0.063 to 0.152, SE: 0.055, p = 0.418). These results were confirmed using the MR-Egger, weighted median, simple model, and weighted model. No heterogeneity or pleiotropy was detected (p > 0.05 for all).

Conclusion

Contrary to previous observational studies, our study figured out that no causal effect existed between ALS and osteoporosis. The disparity in results is probably attributed to secondary effects such as physical inactivity and muscle atrophy caused by ALS.

Association of Bone Mineral Density and Bone Turnover Markers with the Risk of Diabetes: Hong Kong Osteoporosis Study and Mendelian Randomization

Preclinical studies demonstrated that bone plays a central role in energy metabolism. However, how bone metabolism is related to the risk of diabetes in humans is unknown. We investigated the association of bone health (bone mineral density [BMD] and bone turnover markers) with incident type-2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) based on the Hong Kong Osteoporosis Study (HKOS). A total of 993 and 7160 participants from the HKOS were studied for the cross-sectional and prospective analyses, respectively. The cross-sectional study evaluated the association of BMD and bone biomarkers with fasting glucose and glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c ) levels, whereas the prospective study examined the associations between BMD at study sites and the risk of T2DM by following subjects a median of 16.8 years. Body mass index (BMI) was adjusted in all full models. Mendelian randomization (MR) was conducted for causal inference. In the cross-sectional analysis, lower levels of circulating bone turnover markers and higher BMD were significantly associated with increased fasting glucose and HbA1c levels. In the prospective analysis, higher BMD (0.1 g/cm2 ) at the femoral neck and total hip was associated with increased risk of T2DM with hazard ratios (HRs) of 1.10 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.03 to 1.18) and 1.14 (95% CI, 1.08 to 1.21), respectively. The presence of osteoporosis was associated with a 30% reduction in risk of T2DM compared to those with normal BMD (HR = 0.70; 95% CI, 0.55 to 0.90). The MR results indicate a robust genetic causal association of estimated BMD (eBMD) with 2-h glucose level after an oral glucose challenge test (estimate = 0.043; 95% CI, 0.007 to 0.079) and T2DM (odds ratio = 1.064; 95% CI, 1.036 to 1.093). Higher BMD and lower levels of circulating bone biomarkers were cross-sectionally associated with poor glycemic control. Moreover, higher BMD was associated with a higher risk of incident T2DM and the association is probably causal. © 2023 The Authors. Journal of Bone and Mineral Research published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Society for Bone and Mineral Research (ASBMR).

Association between triglyceride-glucose index and bone mineral density in US adults: a cross sectional study

OBJECTIVE

Disorders in glucose and lipid metabolism have been shown to exert an influence on bone metabolism. The TyG index, which combines measures of glucose and triglycerides, provides insights into the overall metabolic status. However, the investigation of concurrent disturbances in glucose and lipid metabolism and their specific implications for bone metabolism remains limited in the existing research literature. This study aimed to explore the correlation between the TyG index and bone mineral density (BMD) in US adults.

METHODS

In the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), subjects were classified based on the TyG index into four groups (< 7.97, 7.97-8.39, 8.39-8.85, > 8.86). Linear regression analysis was conducted to determine the β value and 95% confidence interval (CI). Four multivariable models were constructed. Restricted cubic spline analyses and piecewise linear regression were employed to identify the association between the BMD and TyG index. An analysis of subgroups was also conducted in this study.

RESULTS

Significant variations in related characteristics were found among the US adult population, who were distributed into four groups based on the quartiles of the TyG index. A negative correlation between the TyG index and lumbar spine BMD was observed. In the multi-adjusted models, compared to Q1 of the TyG index, the β for Q4 of the TyG index for lumbar spine BMD was [β = - 0.008, 95% CI (- 0.017, 0)] in US adults. The association between the TyG index and lumbar spine BMD was found to be nonlinear (all nonlinear p < 0.001), with a threshold value based on restricted cubic spline analyses. Above the threshold point, the β for lumbar spine BMD was - 0.042 (95% CI, - 0.059, - 0.024). Below the threshold points, no significant difference was observed (p > 0.05). No significant interactions were observed among subgroups based on age, gender, presence of diabetes, BMI, and use of antidiabetic and antihyperlipidemic agents. Similar patterns of association were observed in total and subtotal bone density.

CONCLUSIONS

This study identified a nonlinear association between the TyG index and BMD in the US population. Furthermore, an increased level of the TyG index may indicate a higher risk of osteoporosis among US adults. These findings highlight the importance of considering glucose and lipid metabolism disturbances in understanding bone health and the potential for developing preventive strategies for osteoporosis.

Causal relationship between type 2 diabetes mellitus and bone mineral density: a Mendelian randomization study in an East Asian population

It remains unclear whether the relationship between type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and bone mineral density (BMD) reflects causality in East Asian populations. Herein, a Mendelian randomization study conducted in East Asian population enhances the current clinical cognition that T2DM is not associated with reduction in BMD.

PURPOSE

A Mendelian randomization (MR) approach was utilized to investigate the relationship between type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and bone mineral density (BMD) in East Asian populations.

METHODS

Genome-wide association study summary data from BioBank Japan were used to identify genetic variants strongly related to T2DM risk (36,614 cases and 155,150 controls) and osteoporosis (7788 cases and 204,665 controls). Heel BMD GWAS data of 1260 East Asian people from ieu open gwas project was considered as a second outcome. Inverse variance-weighted (IVW) analysis was mainly applied; MR-Egger and the weighted median were also used to obtain robust estimates. A series of sensitivity analyses including Cochran's Q test, MR-Egger regression, and leave-one-out analysis were used to detect pleiotropy or heterogeneity.

RESULTS

In the main analysis, IVW estimates indicated that T2DM significantly associated with the risk of osteoporosis (odds ratio = 0.92, 95% CI: 0.86-0.99, p = 0.016) and with higher BMD (OR: 1.25, 95% CI: 1.06-1.46, p = 6.49 × 10-3). Results of comprehensive sensitivity analysis were consistent with the main causality estimate. Horizontal pleiotropy and heterogeneity were absent in our MR study.

CONCLUSIONS

T2DM is not associated with reduction in BMD in terms of genetic polymorphism in East Asian populations.

The Impact of Metabolic Syndrome on Bone Mass in Men: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Studies to date have yielded conflicting results on associations between components of metabolic syndrome (MetS) and bone mineral density (BMD), particularly in men. This current systematic review and meta-analysis addresses the existing gap in the literature and aims to evaluate bone mineral density (BMD) at the femoral neck (FN) and lumbar spine (LS) in men diagnosed with MetS. The two study authors independently searched PubMed, Cinahl, Embase, and Web of Science up to 8 February 2022 for studies in English. The inclusion criteria were (i) diagnosis of MetS according to the NCEP-ATP III 2001 criteria; (ii) adult male demographic; (iii) analyzable data on BMD in at least two sites using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA), and (iv) original observational studies. Case reports and non-English articles were excluded. We analyzed the results of seven studies providing data on bone density in men with MetS. Results: Based on random effect weights, the mean BMD of the femoral neck and lumbar spine were 0.84 and 1.02, respectively. The mean lumbar spine T-score was -0.92. In meta-regression analysis, the variances in mean BMD in the lumbar spine and femoral neck could not be significantly explained by BMI (lumbar BMD: Q = 1.10, df = 1, p = 0.29; femoral neck BMD: Q = 0.91, df = 1, p = 0.34). Our meta-analysis suggests normal bone mass in adult males with MetS. Due to the high heterogeneity in the seven analyzed studies and the lack of control groups in these studies, further research is needed to fully elucidate the associations between MetS and its components and BMD in men.

Causal relationship between Type 1 diabetes and osteoporosis and fracture occurrence: a two-sample Mendelian randomization analysis

We used two-sample Mendelian Randomization to reveal causal estimates of type 1 diabetes and bone. Type 1 diabetes was found to be a risk factor for bone metabolic health, although there was no clear evidence to support a genetic association between type 1 diabetes and osteoporosis and fracture risk.

INTRODUCTION

Based on the random assignment of gametes at conception, Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis simulates randomized controlled trials in an observational setting. Therefore, we used MR to assess the association causality of type 1 diabetes (T1D) with fractures and osteoporosis.

METHODS

From a genome-wide association meta-analysis, independent single nucleotide polymorphisms closely associated with T1D were selected as instrumental variables. Data on fracture and osteoporosis were obtained from the FinnGen Consortium. We performed a two-sample MR analysis, using inverse-variance weighted (IVW) as the primary analysis method, to assess possible causal associations between T1D and bone risk. The results were verified by MR-Egger regression and median weighted method (WME). MR-PRESSO and MR-Egger intercepts were used to evaluate the horizontal pleiotropy of instrumental variables, and the Q-test and "leave-one-out" methods were used to test the heterogeneity of MR results.

RESULTS

IVW (OR=1.040, 95% CI=0.974-1.109, P=0.238), MR-Egger regression (OR=1.077, 95% CI=0.921-1.260, P=0.372) and WME (OR=1.021, 95% CI=0.935-1.114, P=0.643) all showed that there was no causal relationship between T1D and osteoporosis, but the direction was consistent. The indicative significance of IVW results in T1D and forearm fractures (OR=1.062, 95% CI=1.010-1.117, P=0.020), but the results are not robust enough. There was no causal effect in femur, lumbar and pelvis, or shoulder and upper arm fractures.

CONCLUSIONS

After MR analysis, although T1D may be a risk factor for bone health, we do not have sufficient evidence to support a causal effect of T1D on osteoporosis and fractures at a genetically predicted level. More cases need to be included for analysis.

Association between trajectories of fasting plasma glucose and risk of osteoporosis in non-diabetic and diabetic populations

Introduction

Previous studies based on a single measure of fasting plasma glucose (FPG) showed an inconsistent conclusion about the association between FPG and osteoporosis risk. Not accounting for time-varying and cumulative average of FPG over time could bias the true relation between FPG and osteoporosis. Our study aims to investigate the association between the trajectories of FPG and osteoporosis risk for non-diabetic and diabetic populations.

Methods

A total of 18,313 participants who attended physical examinations during 2008-2018 were included. They were free of osteoporosis at their first physical examination and followed until their last physical examination before December 31, 2018. We recorded their incidence of osteoporosis and at least three FPG values during follow-up. Their longitudinal FPG trajectories were identified by the latent class growth analysis model based on the changes in FPG. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to analyze the association between the trajectories of FPG and osteoporosis diagnosed in the follow-up physical examination in both non-diabetics and diabetics.

Results

There were 752 incident osteoporosis among 16,966 non-diabetic participants, and 57 incident osteoporosis among 1,347 diabetic participants. Among non-diabetics, the elevated-increasing FPG trajectory was negatively associated with osteoporosis risk in women (odds ratio (OR), 0.62; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.43-0.88). Premenopausal women with elevated-increasing FPG trajectory had lower osteoporosis risk than those women with normal-stable FPG trajectory (OR, 0.41; 95% CI, 0.20-0.88), while this association was insignificant in postmenopausal women. Among diabetics, those whose longitudinal FPG is kept at a very high level had the highest risk of osteoporosis (OR, 3.09; 95% CI, 1.16-8.22), whereas those whose FPG starts with the high level and keeps on increasing did not exhibit a significantly increased risk (OR, 1.75; 95% CI, 0.81-3.76) compared with those who keep stable moderate-high level of FPG, except in men (OR, 2.49; 95% CI, 1.02-6.12).

Conclusion

Distinct trajectories of FPG are associated with differential risk of osteoporosis in non-diabetic and diabetic populations. Controlling a proper FPG level in different populations is necessary for osteoporosis prevention.

Positive association of fasting plasma glucose with bone mineral density in non-diabetic elderly females

INTRODUCTION

Previous studies involving diabetics have shown different associations between fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and bone mineral density (BMD). The different effects of FPG on BMD are due to varying effects of antidiabetic drugs, glycemic control and diabetic complications in the diabetic patients. It is necessary to identify the association in subjects without diabetes.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 2367 females over 65 were included in this cross-sectional study. Subjects were grouped by FPG quartile. BMD and the prevalence of osteoporosis were compared among different FPG quartiles. Multiple logistic regression was used to analyze the independent contribution of FPG to osteoporosis.

RESULTS

Subjects in lower FPG quartile had lower BMD (P < 0.05). Subjects with osteoporosis had a lower FPG than the subjects of osteopenia, and both were lower than subjects with normal bone mass (P < 0.001 for all). Compared with the lowest FPG quartile, subjects in the 3rd and the 4th quartiles have a lower risk of osteoporosis in the lumbar spine (OR 0.77, 95% CI 0.59-0.98; OR 0.76, 95% CI 0.56-0.99, respectively), the total hip (OR 0.72, 95% CI 0.56-0.96; OR 0.75, 95% CI 0.53-0.99, respectively), and the femoral neck (OR 0.73, 95% CI 0.50-0.97; OR 0.71, 95% CI 0.54-0.92, respectively) after adjustment for age, BMI, education, physical activity and menopausal age.

CONCLUSION

FPG was positively associated with BMD in non-diabetic elderly females. Low FPG may increase the risk of osteoporosis in the non-diabetic elderly females in China.

Type 2 Diabetes and Change in Total Hip Bone Area and Bone Mineral Density in Swedish Men and Women Older Than 55 Years

CONTEXT

In a cross-sectional study, we found an association between type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and smaller bone area together with greater bone mineral density (BMD) at the total hip.

OBJECTIVE

This work aims to investigate these associations longitudinally, by studying T2DM status (no T2DM n = 1521, incident T2DM n = 119, or prevalent T2DM n = 106) in relation to changes in total hip bone area and BMD.

METHODS

In 3 cohorts, the Swedish Mammography Cohort Clinical (SMCC; n = 1060), Prospective Investigation of the Vasculature in Uppsala Seniors (PIVUS; n = 483), and Uppsala Longitudinal Study of Adult Men (ULSAM; n = 203), with repeat assessment of T2DM status and dual energy x-ray absorptiometry (DXA) measurements of total hip bone area and BMD on average 8 years apart, a linear regression model was used to assess the effect of T2DM status on change in bone area and BMD at the total hip.

RESULTS

After meta-analysis, the change in bone area at the total hip was 0.5% lower among those with incident T2DM compared to those without T2DM (-0.18 cm2; 95% CI, -0.30 to -0.06). The change in bone area was similar among those with prevalent T2DM compared to those without (0.00 cm2; 95% CI, -0.13 to 0.13). For BMD, the combined estimate was 0.004 g/cm2 (95% CI, -0.006 to 0.014) among those with incident T2DM and 0.010 g/cm2 (95% CI, -0.000 to 0.020) among those with prevalent T2DM, compared to those without T2DM.

CONCLUSION

Those with incident T2DM have a lower expansion in bone area at the total hip compared to those without T2DM.

Novel nomogram for predicting the 3-year incidence risk of osteoporosis in a Chinese male population

OBJECTIVE

To establish a rapid, cost-effective, accurate, and acceptable osteoporosis (OP) screening model for the Chinese male population (age ≥ 40 years) based on data mining technology.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This was a 3-year retrospective cohort study, which belonged to the sub-cohort of the Chinese Reaction Study. The research period was from March 2011 to December 2014. A total of 1834 subjects who did not have OP at the baseline and completed a 3-year follow-up were included in this study. All subjects underwent quantitative ultrasound examinations for calcaneus at the baseline and follow-ups that lasted for 3 years. We utilized the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression model to select feature variables. The characteristic variables selected in the LASSO regression were analyzed by multivariable logistic regression (MLR) to construct the predictive model. This predictive model was displayed through a nomogram. We used the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, C-index, calibration curve, and clinical decision curve analysis (DCA) to evaluate model performance and the bootstrapping validation to internally validate the model.

RESULTS

The predictive factors included in the prediction model were age, neck circumference, waist-to-height ratio, BMI, triglyceride, impaired fasting glucose, dyslipidemia, osteopenia, smoking history, and strenuous exercise. The area under the ROC (AUC) curve of the risk nomogram was 0.882 (95% CI, 0.858-0.907), exhibiting good predictive ability and performance. The C-index for the risk nomogram was 0.882 in the prediction model, which presented good refinement. In addition, the nomogram calibration curve indicated that the prediction model was consistent. The DCA showed that when the threshold probability was between 1 and 100%, the nomogram had a good clinical application value. More importantly, the internally verified C-index of the nomogram was still very high, at 0.870.

CONCLUSIONS

This novel nomogram can effectively predict the 3-year incidence risk of OP in the male population. It also helps clinicians to identify groups at high risk of OP early and formulate personalized intervention measures.

Hyperglycemia Is Not Associated With Higher Volumetric BMD in a Chinese Health Check-up Cohort

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Type 2 diabetes mellitus patients have an increased fracture risk despite having higher areal bone mineral density (aBMD) measured by DXA. This apparent paradox might be explained by the overestimation of BMD by DXA due to the higher fat mass in type 2 diabetes mellitus patients. Volumetric BMD (vBMD) as assessed by quantitative CT (QCT) is not influenced by fat mass. We assessed the association of vBMD and fasting plasma glucose in a large cohort of Chinese subjects and compared the vBMD in healthy and diabetic subjects. In addition, we compared the relation between aBMD, vBMD, glucose and fat mass in a subset of this cohort.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

10309 participants from the China Biobank project underwent QCT based on chest low dose CT to compute vBMD of L1 and L2 vertebrae and FPG measurements between 2018 and 2019. Among them, 1037 subjects also had spine DXA scans. Data was analyzed using linear regression models.

RESULTS

In the total cohort (5889 men and 4420 women, mean age 53 years, range 30-96), there was no significant association between vBMD and FPG after adjustment for age (women: p=0.774; men: p=0.149). 291 women and 606 men fitted the diagnostic criteria of diabetes. Both women and men with diabetes had lower vBMD compared to non-diabetic subjects, but this became non-significant after adjusting for age in the total cohort (women: p=0.817; men: p=0.288) and after propensity score matching based on age (women: p=0.678; men: p=0.135). In the DXA subcohort, aBMD was significantly higher in men with diabetes after adjusting for age and this difference disappeared after further adjusting for total fat area (p=0.064).

CONCLUSION

We did not find any effect of fasting plasma glucose or diabetes on the volumetric BMD measured with QCT after adjustment for age. Therefore, vBMD measured with QCT might be a more reliable measurement to diagnose osteoporosis and assess fracture risk than aBMD measured with DXA in diabetic patients.