Metastatic tumor doubling time: most important prehepatectomy predictor of survival and nonrecurrence of hepatic colorectal cancer metastasis

Prognostic value of tumor volume doubling time in lung-metastatic adenoid cystic carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

Lung metastases in adenoid cystic carcinoma (ACC) usually have indolent growth and the optimal timing to start systemic therapy is not established. We assessed ACC lung metastasis tumor growth dynamics and compared the prognostic value of time to progression (TTP) and tumor volume doubling time (TVDT).

METHODS

The study included ACC patients with ≥1 pulmonary metastasis (≥5 mm) and at least 2 chest computed tomography scans. Radiology assessment was performed from the first scan showing metastasis until treatment initiation or death. Up to 5 lung nodules per patient were segmented for TVDT calculation. To assess tumor growth rate (TGR), the correlation coefficient (r) and coefficient of determination (R2) were calculated for measured lung nodules. TTP was assessed per RECIST 1.1; TVDT was calculated using the Schwartz formula. Overall survival was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS

The study included 75 patients. Sixty-seven patients (89%) had lung-only metastasis on first CT scan. The TGR was overall constant (median R2 = 0.974). Median TTP and TVDT were 11.2 months and 7.5 months. Shorter TVDT (<6 months) was associated with poor overall survival (HR = 0.48; p = 0.037), but TTP was not associated with survival (HR = 1.02; p = 0.96). Cox regression showed that TVDT but not TTP significantly correlated with OS. TVDT calculated using estimated tumor volume correlated with TVDT obtained by segmentation.

CONCLUSION

Most ACC lung metastases have a constant TGR. TVDT may be a better prognostic indicator than TTP in lung-metastatic ACC. TVDT can be estimated by single longitudinal measurement in clinical practice.

Complete Blood Count Alterations Prior to the Diagnosis of Colorectal Cancer May Help in the Detection of Synchronous Liver Metastases

Background and Aims: Colorectal cancer (CRC) represents 10% of all cancers worldwide with the highest incidence in developed countries; its incidence is also increasing in middle- and low-income countries. Population screening programs facilitate early diagnosis of the disease. When the diagnosis is carried out in advanced stages, approximately 80% of patients with liver metastases (LM) are considered unresectable at the time of diagnosis. In our study, variations in blood counts prior to CRC diagnosis were analyzed to assess whether they could be useful in identifying smaller, more manageable metastases at earlier stages for more effective treatment. Methods: A study was carried out using complete blood counts (CBCs) from CRC patients, obtained from primary health centers and the La Ribera University Hospital within La Ribera Health Department, Valencian Community, Spain, between July 2012 and September 2020. Data from CRC patients who presented synchronous liver metastasis (CRLM) were compared with those with CRC without LM at diagnosis (CRC patients). Results: Our analysis shows that at least 15 months before CRC diagnosis, a progressive alteration was observed in CBC parameters in both groups. A higher incidence of anemia (p < 0.001) was observed among CRLM patients in the three months prior to CRC diagnosis than in CRC patients showing no LM. Conclusions: A statistically significant deterioration of CBC was observed in patients with advanced-stage CRC and synchronous or early LM (CRLM) in the three months prior to diagnosis. The primary goal of incorporating CBC variations into predictive models is to identify individuals who are at a greater risk of developing metastatic colon cancer, leading to early diagnosis. Our research improves these models by highlighting a more pronounced and rapid decline in hemoglobin levels among CRLM patients. Identification of metastases at an earlier stage when they are smaller, more manageable, and more amenable to treatment may be a valuable tool to prevent their further progression.

Tumor Doubling Time Using CT Volumetric Segmentation in Metastatic Adrenocortical Carcinoma

Adrenocortical carcinoma (ACC) is a rare malignancy with an overall unfavorable prognosis. Clinicians treating patients with ACC have noted accelerated growth in metastatic liver lesions that requires rapid intervention compared to other metastatic locations. This study measured and compared the growth rates of metastatic ACC lesions in the lungs, liver, and lymph nodes using volumetric segmentation. A total of 12 patients with metastatic ACC (six male; six female) were selected based on their medical history. Computer tomography (CT) exams were retrospectively reviewed and a sampling of ≤5 metastatic lesions per organ were selected for evaluation. Lesions in the liver, lung, and lymph nodes were measured and evaluated by volumetric segmentation. Statistical analyses were performed to compare the volumetric growth rates of the lesions in each organ system. In this cohort, 5/12 had liver lesions, 7/12 had lung lesions, and 5/12 had lymph node lesions. A total of 92 lesions were evaluated and segmented for lesion volumetry. The volume doubling time per organ system was 27 days in the liver, 90 days in the lungs, and 95 days in the lymph nodes. In this series of 12 patients with metastatic ACC, liver lesions showed a faster growth rate than lung or lymph node lesions.

Repeat hepatectomy justified in patients with early recurrence of colorectal cancer liver metastases: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The benefit of repeat hepatectomy in patients with early recurrence of colorectal cancer liver metastases (CRLM) is questioned, in particular in those suffering from recurrence within three to six months following initial hepatectomy. The aim of this review was therefore to assess whether disease-free interval was associated with overall survival in patients undergoing repeat hepatectomy for recurrent CRLM.

METHODS

A systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted, according to PRISMA guidelines. PubMed, Embase and Cochrane Library databases were searched from database inception to 6th June 2020. Observational studies describing results of repeat hepatectomy for recurrent CRLM, including (disease-free) interval between hepatic resections and overall survival were included. Patients undergoing repeat hepatectomy within three months or additional resection of extrahepatic disease were excluded from meta-analysis.

RESULTS

The initial search identified 2159 records, of which 28 were included for qualitative synthesis. A meta-analysis of 15 cohort studies was performed, comprising 1039 eligible patients. Median overall survival of 54.0 months [95 %-CI: 38.6-69.4] was observed after repeat hepatectomy in patients suffering from recurrent CRLM between three to six months compared to 53.0 months [95 %-CI: 44.3-61.6] for patients with recurrent CRLM between seven to twelve months (adjusted HR = 0.89, 95 %-CI: 0.66-1.18; p = 0.410), and 60.0 months [95 %-CI: 52.7-67.3] for patients with recurrent CRLM after twelve months (adjusted HR = 0.70, 95 %-CI: 0.53-0.92; p = 0.012).

CONCLUSIONS

Disease-free interval is considered a prognostic factor for overall survival, but should not be used as selection criterion per se for repeat hepatectomy in patients suffering from recurrent CRLM.

Interventions and Outcomes for Neoadjuvant Treatment of T4 Colon Cancer: A Scoping Review

While adjuvant treatment of colon cancers that penetrate the serosa (T4) have been well-established, neoadjuvant strategies have yet to be formally evaluated. Our objective was to perform a scoping review of eligibility criteria, treatment regimens, and primary outcomes for neoadjuvant approaches to T4 colon cancer. A librarian-led, systematic search of MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, and CINAHL up to 11 February 2020 was performed. Primary research evaluating neoadjuvant treatment in T4 colon cancer were included. Screening and data abstraction were performed in duplicate; analyses were descriptive or thematic. A total of twenty studies were included, most of which were single-arm, single-center, and retrospective. The primary objectives of the literature to date has been to evaluate treatment feasibility, tumor response, disease-free survival, and overall survival in healthy patients. Conventional XELOX and FOLFOX chemotherapy were the most commonly administered interventions. Rationale for selecting a specific regimen and for treatment eligibility criteria were poorly documented across studies. The current literature on neoadjuvant strategies for T4 colon cancer is overrepresented by single-center, retrospective studies that evaluate treatment feasibility and efficacy in healthy patients. Future studies should prioritize evaluating clear selection criteria and rationale for specific neoadjuvant strategies. Validation of outcomes in multi-center, randomized trials for XELOX and FOLFOX have the most to contribute to the growing evidence for this poorly managed disease.

The Role of Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy in Locally Advanced Colon Cancer

Neoadjuvant systemic therapy has many potential advantages over up-front surgery, including tumor downstaging, early treatment of micrometastatic disease, and providing an in vivo test of tumor biology. Due to these advantages, neoadjuvant therapy is becoming the standard of care for an increasing number of tumor types. Currently, colon cancer patients are still routinely treated with up-front surgery, and neoadjuvant systemic therapy is not yet standard. Limitations to widespread use of neoadjuvant therapy have included inaccurate radiological staging, concerns about tumor progression while undergoing preoperative treatment rendering a patient incurable, and a lack of randomized data demonstrating benefit. However, there is great interest in neoadjuvant chemotherapy, and a number of trials are under way. Early follow up of the first phase III trial of neoadjuvant chemotherapy for colon cancer demonstrated tumor downstaging and suggested an improvement in disease-free survival with neoadjuvant chemotherapy, and it is hoped that this will translate into longer-term overall survival benefit. Clinicians should closely watch this developing field, consider the option of neoadjuvant chemotherapy for colon cancer patients, and actively seek out opportunities for their patients to participate in ongoing clinical trials to further inform this field in future.

Impact of Surgical Resection on Metachronous Metastases of Colorectal Cancer According to Tumor Doubling Time

BACKGROUND/AIM

We aimed to elucidate the prognostic impact of tumor doubling time (DT) and radical surgery when classified by DT in patients with metachronous liver, lung, or peritoneal metastases of colorectal cancer (CRC).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We reviewed the data of 1941 patients who underwent curative surgery for CRC and calculated DT for recurrences using computed tomography.

RESULTS

Short DT was an independent prognostic risk factor in liver (p<0.001) and peritoneal (p=0.03) metastases. Survival was significantly better in patients who underwent surgery than in those who did not, both in short and long DT groups in any metastatic organ (p<0.01). Patients with long DT gained significantly better prognostic benefit from surgery than those with short DT in liver (p=0.01) and peritoneal (p=0.04) metastases.

CONCLUSION

Surgery is recommended for resectable metastases, especially in patients with liver and peritoneal metastases with long DT.

Colorectal liver metastases: Current management and future perspectives

The liver is the commonest site of metastatic disease for patients with colorectal cancer, with at least 25% developing colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) during the course of their illness. The management of CRLM has evolved into a complex field requiring input from experienced members of a multi-disciplinary team involving radiology (cross sectional, nuclear medicine and interventional), Oncology, Liver surgery, Colorectal surgery, and Histopathology. Patient management is based on assessment of sophisticated clinical, radiological and biomarker information. Despite incomplete evidence in this very heterogeneous patient group, maximising resection of CRLM using all available techniques remains a key objective and provides the best chance of long-term survival and cure. To this end, liver resection is maximised by the use of downsizing chemotherapy, optimisation of liver remnant by portal vein embolization, associating liver partition and portal vein ligation for staged hepatectomy, and combining resection with ablation, in the context of improvements in the functional assessment of the future remnant liver. Liver resection may safely be carried out laparoscopically or open, and synchronously with, or before, colorectal surgery in selected patients. For unresectable patients, treatment options including systemic chemotherapy, targeted biological agents, intra-arterial infusion or bead delivered chemotherapy, tumour ablation, stereotactic radiotherapy, and selective internal radiotherapy contribute to improve survival and may convert initially unresectable patients to operability. Currently evolving areas include biomarker characterisation of tumours, the development of novel systemic agents targeting specific oncogenic pathways, and the potential re-emergence of radical surgical options such as liver transplantation.

Less intensive surveillance after radical surgery for stage I-III colorectal cancer by focusing on the doubling time of recurrence

PURPOSE

To propose a new and improved surveillance schedule for colorectal cancer (CRC) patients by focusing on the recurrence rate, resectability, and especially, the tumor doubling time (DT) of recurrent tumors.

METHODS

The subjects of this retrospective review were 1774 consecutive patients who underwent radical surgery for stage I-III CRC between January, 2004 and December, 2015. We calculated the DT by measuring the tumor diameter using computed tomography (CT).

RESULTS

The median DT for recurrences in the liver, lung, peritoneum, and other locations were 35, 72, 85, and 36 days, respectively, (p < 0.001) and tumor growth rates differed according to the organs where recurrence developed. Multiple linear regression analysis showed that the DT was strongly associated with the relapse-free interval from primary surgery (p < 0.001), and that the DT in patients with recurrence detected ≥ 3 years after primary surgery was longer by 151.1 days than that in patients with recurrence detected within 1 year after primary surgery. We proposed a less intensive surveillance, which achieved an average cost reduction of 32.5% compared with conventional surveillance in Japan.

CONCLUSION

We propose a new and more cost-efficient surveillance schedule for CRC surgery patients in the clinical setting.

Management Considerations for the Surgical Treatment of Colorectal Cancer During the Global Covid-19 Pandemic

Objective:

The COVID-19 pandemic requires to conscientiously weigh “timely surgical intervention” for colorectal cancer against efforts to conserve hospital resources and protect patients and health care providers.

Summary Background Data:

Professional societies provided ad-hoc guidance at the outset of the COVID-19 pandemic on deferral of surgical and perioperative interventions, but these lack specific parameters to determine the optimal timing of surgery.

Methods:

Using the GRADE system, published evidence was analyzed to generate weighted statements for stage, site, acuity of presentation, and hospital setting to specify when surgery should be pursued, the time and duration of oncologically acceptable delays, and when to utilize nonsurgical modalities to bridge the waiting period.

Results:

Colorectal cancer surgeries—prioritized as emergency, urgent with imminent emergency or oncologically urgent, or elective—were matched against the phases of the pandemic. Surgery in COVID-19-positive patients must be avoided. Emergent and imminent emergent cases should mostly proceed unless resources are exhausted. Standard practices allow for postponement of elective cases and deferral to nonsurgical modalities of stage II/III rectal and metastatic colorectal cancer. Oncologically urgent cases may be delayed for 6(–12) weeks without jeopardizing oncological outcomes. Outside established principles, administration of nonsurgical modalities is not justified and increases the vulnerability of patients.

Conclusions:

The COVID-19 pandemic has stressed already limited health care resources and forced rationing, triage, and prioritization of care in general, specifically of surgical interventions. Established guidelines allow for modifications of optimal timing and type of surgery for colorectal cancer during an unrelated pandemic.

Cancer recurrence times from a branching process model

As cancer advances, cells often spread from the primary tumor to other parts of the body and form metastases. This is the main cause of cancer related mortality. Here we investigate a conceptually simple model of metastasis formation where metastatic lesions are initiated at a rate which depends on the size of the primary tumor. The evolution of each metastasis is described as an independent branching process. We assume that the primary tumor is resected at a given size and study the earliest time at which any metastasis reaches a minimal detectable size. The parameters of our model are estimated independently for breast, colorectal, headneck, lung and prostate cancers. We use these estimates to compare predictions from our model with values reported in clinical literature. For some cancer types, we find a remarkably wide range of resection sizes such that metastases are very likely to be present, but none of them are detectable. Our model predicts that only very early resections can prevent recurrence, and that small delays in the time of surgery can significantly increase the recurrence probability.

The majority of cancer related deaths are due to the development of secondary tumors called metastases. However, the dynamics of metastases establishment and growth and their relation with the primary tumor evolution are still not clear. A standard treatment starts with the resection of the primary tumor. At this time metastases may have already formed and still be too small to be detected. The presence of only undetectable metastases poses a challenge for deciding on the follow-up therapy. These small metastases could grow to a detectable size—thus leading to a recurrence of the disease—some time after surgery. We are interested in this time until cancer relapse. We present a mathematical model of metastases formation using tools from probability theory and estimate the model parameters for five different cancer types. Our predictions for the probability of visible metastases present at surgery and the mean time to relapse when no visible metastases are found at surgery are both in agreement with clinical data.

Clinical significance of invasion distance relative to prognosis in pathological T3 colorectal cancer

The T3 subdivision has been reported to predict prognosis in rectal cancer. However, few studies describe a correlation between T3 subdivision and prognosis in colon cancer. The current study aimed validate the correlation between the invasion distance (ID) beyond the muscularis propria and prognosis in colorectal cancer. The present retrospective study included 148 consecutive patients with pathologically confirmed T3 colorectal cancer, who underwent resection between January 2008 and October 2012. T3 stage was subdivided based on ID: T3a, ID<1 mm; T3b, ID=1-5 mm; and T3c, ID>5 mm. Statistical analyses were performed to evaluate correlations between T3 subdivision groups (T3a + T3b versus T3c) and clinicopathological factors. Compared with the T3a + T3b group, the T3c group exhibited worse 3-year RFS (P=0.003) and 5-year CSS (P=0.006). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that 3-year RFS was significantly correlated with sex (P=0.03) and ID (P=0.02), and 5-year CSS was significantly correlated with lymphoid dissection number (P=0.02) and ID (P=0.03). A ROC curve was constructed using ID values and recurrence data, and the area under the curve was 0.63. These data revealed that ID beyond the muscularis propria was significantly associated with prognosis in T3 colorectal cancer.

Prognostic significance of doubling time in patients undergoing radical surgery for metachronous peritoneal metastases of colorectal cancer

PURPOSE

The doubling times of tumor volume and tumor markers are associated with the prognosis of liver or lung metastases from colorectal cancer (CRC). However, no studies have assessed peritoneal metastases. Therefore, we aimed to elucidate the association between doubling time and the prognosis of patients who underwent radical surgery for metachronous peritoneal metastases of CRC.

METHODS

We calculated the tumor doubling times (TDT) of peritoneal metastases and serum carcinoembryonic antigen-doubling times (CEA-DT) in 33 consecutive patients who underwent radical surgery for metachronous peritoneal metastases between January 2006 and April 2017. The impact of short TDT and CEA-DT on overall survival (OS) and relapse-free survival (RFS) was retrospectively reviewed.

RESULTS

In long TDT (> 137 days) group, the 5-year OS rate was 74.1% and median OS time was 6.6 years. In long CEA-DT (> 102 days) group, the 5-year OS rate was 50.0% and median OS time was 5.6 years. Conversely, in short TDT (≤ 137 days) and CEA-DT (≤ 102 days) group, the 5-year OS rates and median OS times were both 0.0% and 3.2 years, respectively. In the multivariate analysis, short TDT was an independent risk factor for poor RFS (P = 0.006) and OS (P = 0.010). Similarly, short CEA-DT was also a poor risk factor for RFS (P < 0.001) and OS (P = 0.012).

CONCLUSIONS

Short TDT and CEA-DT are independent risk factors for poor OS and RFS after surgery for metachronous peritoneal metastases of CRC. TDT and CEA-DT should be considered when selecting candidates for surgical resection.

Development and Validation of a Nomogram for Preoperative Prediction of Perineural Invasion in Colorectal Cancer

Background

In colorectal cancer (CRC), perineural invasion (PNI) is usually identified histologically in biopsy or resection specimens and is considered a high-risk feature for recurrence of CRC and is an indicator for adjuvant therapy. Preoperative identification of PNI could help determine the need for adjuvant therapy and the approach to surgical resection. This study aimed to develop and validate a nomogram for the preoperative prediction of PNI in patients with CRC.

Material/Methods

A total of 664 patients with CRC from a single center were classified into a training dataset (n=468) and a validation dataset (n=196). The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression model was used to select potentially relevant features. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to develop the nomogram. The performance of the nomogram was assessed based on its calibration, discrimination, and clinical utility.

Results

The nomogram consisted of five clinical features and provided good calibration and discrimination in the training dataset, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.704 (95% CI, 0.657–0.751). Application of the nomogram in the validation cohort showed acceptable discrimination, with the AUC of 0.692 (95% CI, 0.617–0.766) and good calibration. Decision curve analysis (DCA) showed that the nomogram was clinically useful.

Conclusions

The nomogram developed in this study might allow clinicians to predict the risk of PNI in patients with CRC preoperatively. The nomogram showed favorable discrimination and calibration values, which may help optimize preoperative treatment decision-making for patients with CRC.

Cancer-induced spiculation on computed tomography: a significant preoperative prognostic factor for colorectal cancer

PURPOSE

Cancer-induced spiculation (CIS) on computed tomography, which is reticular or linear opacification of the pericolorectal fat tissues around the cancer site, is generally regarded as cancer infiltration into T3 or T4, but its clinicopathological significance is unknown. This study examines the correlation between CIS and clinicopathological findings to establish its prognostic value.

METHODS

The subjects of this retrospective study were 335 patients with colorectal cancer (CRC), who underwent curative surgery between January, 2010 and December, 2011, at the National Defense Medical College Hospital in Saitama Prefecture, Japan.

RESULTS

The level of interobserver agreement in the evaluation of CIS was substantial (83%; kappa value, 0.65). The presence of CIS was specific for T3/T4 disease (positive predictive value, 88.3%), and was significantly associated with tumor size and venous invasion. The 5-year relapse-free survival rate was significantly lower in patients with CIS than in those without CIS (68.6% and 84.0%, respectively, p = 0.001). Subgroup analysis revealed remarkable prognostic differences in patients with stage III and T3 disease. Multivariate analysis revealed that CIS was a significant independent prognostic factor.

CONCLUSIONS

CIS was a significant preoperative prognostic factor and could be useful in the selection of preoperative therapy for patients with CRC.

CapeOX perioperative chemotherapy versus postoperative chemotherapy for locally advanced resectable colon cancer: protocol for a two-period randomised controlled phase III trial

INTRODUCTION

Adjuvant chemotherapy with the CapeOX regimen is now widely used for treating colorectal cancer. However, prior studies have demonstrated better efficacy of pre-operative/neoadjuvant chemotherapy without increase of safety risks.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

This multicentre, open-label, parallel-group, randomised, controlled, phase III study aims to compare the efficacy and safety of perioperative CapeOX chemotherapy with the postoperative one for treating patients with locally advanced R0 resectable colon cancers in China. In total 1370 eligible patients will be randomised to: the test group, up to four cycles (every 3 weeks is a cycle, Q3W) of chemotherapy plus radical surgery plus up to four cycles of post-operative chemotherapy; or the control group, radical surgery first, then up to eight cycles of chemotherapy. In each cycle, oxaliplatin will be given at a dose of 130 mg/m² through continuous IV infusion for 2 hours on the first day. From day 1 to day 14, capecitabine will be taken orally every morning and evening at a dose of 1000mg/m²/d. The primary outcome measure is the 3-year disease free survival. The objective response rate, R0 resection rate, overall survival, as well as the adverse events will also be measured as second endpoints. The study may include two periods. If results of period 1 are not favourable, period 2 will be initiated, recruiting genetically sensitive patients and repeating the same process with period 1.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

Informed consent will be required from, and provided, by all subjects. The study protocol has been approved by the independent ethics committee of Shanghai Fudan University Cancer Centre. This study will clearly demonstrate the potential benefit of perioperative chemotherapy with the CapeOX regimen. Results will be shared among all the participating centres, and with policymakers and the academic community to promote the clinical management of colon cancer.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT03125980.

Immunohistochemical investigation of prognostic biomarkers in resected colorectal liver metastases: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Many studies have investigated the prognostic role of biomarkers in colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). However, no biomarker has been established in routine clinical practice. The aim of this study was to scrutinize the current literature for biomarkers evaluated by immunohistochemistry as prognostic markers in patients with resected CRLM.

Methods

A systematic review was performed according to the PRISMA guidelines. Articles were identified in the PubMed database with selected search terms and by cross-references search. The REMARK quality criteria were applied. Markers were included if they reported the prognostic impact of immunohistochemical markers in a multivariable setting in relation to overall survival (OS). A meta-analysis was conducted when more than one original article provided survival data of a marker.

Results

In total, 26 biomarkers were identified as independent significant markers for OS in resected CRLM. These biomarkers were found to be involved in multiple oncogenic signalling pathways that control cell growth, apoptosis, angiogenesis and evasion of immune detection. Among these biomarker candidates were Ki-67, EGFR, p53, hTERT, CD34, TSP-1, KISS1, Aurora kinase A and CDX2. CD34 and TSP-1 were reported as significantly associated with survival by more than one study and where therefore pooled in a meta-analysis.

Conclusion

A number of independent prognostic biomarkers for resected CRLM were identified. However, most markers were evaluated in a retrospective setting with small patient cohorts, without external validation. Large, prospective, multicentre studies with standardised methods are needed before biomarkers can translated into the clinic.

Impact of primary cancer features on behaviour of colorectal liver metastases and survival after hepatectomy

Background

Markers of tumour biology may be valuable prognostic indicators after hepatic resection of colorectal cancer liver metastases (CRLMs). Identification of the aggressiveness of these metastases might inform the appropriateness of hepatic surgery.

Methods

Patients undergoing liver resection for CRLMs between January 2001 and July 2013 in four tertiary hospitals were reviewed. A mathematical model to estimate CRLM doubling times was constructed for patients with metachronous metastases. Tumour doubling time was investigated in relation to the features of colorectal cancer, including KRAS status. The hazard rate for recurrence and death following hepatectomy was explored through the Kernel‐smoothed estimator.

Results

Of 1063 patients undergoing liver resection for CRLMs, 361 with metachronous metastases undergoing single‐stage hepatectomy were analysed. The mean doubling time in patients not receiving chemotherapy between surgery for colorectal cancer and CRLM was 71·4 days. Tumour doubling time was shorter in patients with more advanced primary tumour stages, with mutant KRAS and in those who did not receive chemotherapy. For fast‐growing CRLMs (doubling time less than 48 days), the risk of recurrence was highest within the first postoperative year, and was about 7 per cent per month.

Conclusion

Primary features of colorectal cancer were linked to aggressiveness of CRLMs as measured by doubling time.

Colorectal Liver Metastases: Does the Future of Precision Medicine Lie in Genetic Testing?

Colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) present an important clinical challenge in both surgical and medical oncology. Despite improvements in management, survival among patients undergoing resection of CRLM is still very variable and there is a paucity of clinical trial data and reliable biomarkers that could guide prognostic forecasts, treatment selection, and follow-up. Fortunately, recent advances in molecular biology and tumor sequencing have identified a number of critical genetic loci and proliferation markers that may hold the key to understanding the biologic behavior of CRLM; specifically, mutations of KRAS, BRAF, TP53, PIK3CA, APC, expression of Ki-67, and the presence of microsatellite instability appear to have a decisive impact on prognosis and response to treatment in patients with CRLM. While the applicability of genetic biomarkers in everyday clinical practice remains conditional on the development of inexpensive bedside sequencing, targeted therapies, and the conduct of appropriate clinical trials, the promise of personalized treatment may be closer to realization than ever before.

Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy Improves Survival in Patients with Clinical T4b Colon Cancer

BACKGROUND

In 2016, the National Comprehensive Cancer Network included neoadjuvant chemotherapy as a treatment option for patients with clinical T4b colon cancer. However, there is little published data on the survival impact of neoadjuvant chemotherapy for locally advanced colon cancer.

METHODS

Adult patients with non-metastatic clinically staged T3 or T4 colon cancer who underwent surgical resection were identified from the National Cancer Data Base between 2006 and 2014. Treatment was categorized as neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by surgery and surgery followed by adjuvant chemotherapy. Overall survival was compared between the two groups using propensity score matching.

RESULTS

Of 27,575 patients that met inclusion criteria, 26,654 (97%) were treated with surgery followed by adjuvant chemotherapy and 921 (3%) received neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by surgery. After propensity score matching, patients with T4b colon cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy had a 23% lower risk of death at 3 years compared to patients that had adjuvant chemotherapy (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.60-0.98; p = 0.04). However, neoadjuvant chemotherapy did not demonstrate a similar significant benefit for patients with T3 and T4a disease.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with clinical T4b colon cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy may have an improved survival compared to those who receive adjuvant chemotherapy. Further prospective investigation is warranted.

Management of patients with colorectal liver metastasis in eleven questions and answers

INTRODUCTION

Colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) is the most frequent indication for liver resection in many centers. Recent improvements in oncology, surgery, interventional radiology, pathology and anesthesiology allow curative treatment in a larger proportion of patients with CRLM. Areas covered: We illustrate the various aspects of the management of CRLM through 11 questions that summarize the topic, from the current obtained survival to future perspectives such as transplantation. The limits of a curative treatment are also presented from different angles, such as the benefits of pathology, the surgical options for extreme resections, the available chemotherapies and their efficacy, or the non-surgical ablative treatments. Expert commentary: Given the increasing therapeutic possibilities, we strengthen the importance to analyze the situation of each patient with CRLM in a dedicated multidisciplinary team, in order to offer the best individualized treatment combination.

h-Prune is associated with poor prognosis and epithelial-mesenchymal transition in patients with colorectal liver metastases

The prognosis of patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) remains low despite advances in chemotherapy and surgery. The expression of h-prune (human homolog of Drosophila prune protein; HGNC13420), an exopolyphosphatase, is correlated with progression and aggressiveness in several cancers and promotes migration and invasion. We investigated the role of h-prune in CRLM. To investigate the role of h-prune, immunohistochemical analysis for h-prune was performed in 87 surgically resected specimens of CRLM obtained between 2001 and 2009 at the Hiroshima University Hospital. Immunohistochemical analysis revealed positive staining for h-prune in 24 (28%) cases. The overall survival rate was significantly lower in h-prune-positive cases than in h-prune-negative cases (p = 0.003). Multivariate analysis showed that h-prune positivity was the only independent factor related to poor overall survival of patients after curative hepatectomy of CRLM. In vitro and in vivo, h-prune-knocked-down and h-prune-overexpressing cells were analyzed. In vitro, h-prune was associated with increased cell motility and upregulation of epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) markers. In a mouse model, h-prune was associated with invasion of the tumor and distant metastases. In summary, h-prune expression is a useful marker to identify high-risk patients for resectable colorectal liver metastasis. h-Prune expression is necessary for cancer cell motility and EMT and is associated with liver and lung metastasis in colorectal cancer cells. h-Prune could be a new prognostic marker and molecular target for CRLM.

The pre-operative rate of growth of colorectal metastases in patients selected for liver resection does not influence post-operative disease-free survival

AIMS

To assess the potential association between the change in diameter of colorectal liver metastases between pre-operative imaging and liver resection and disease-free survival in patients who do not receive pre-operative liver-directed chemotherapy.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Analysis of a prospectively maintained database of patients undergoing liver resection for colorectal liver metastases between 2005 and 2012 was undertaken. Change in tumour size was assessed by comparing the maximum tumour diameter at radiological diagnosis determined by imaging and the maximum tumour diameter measured at examination of the resected specimen in 157 patients.

RESULTS

The median interval from first scan to surgery was 99 days and the median increase in tumour diameter in this interval was 38%, equivalent to a tumour doubling time (DT) of 47 days. Tumour DT prior to liver resection was longer in patients with T1 primary tumours (119 days) than T2-4 tumours (44 days) and shorter in patients undergoing repeat surgery for intra-hepatic recurrence (33 days) than before primary resection (49 days). The median disease-free survival of the whole cohort was 1.57 years (0.2-7.3) and multivariate analysis revealed no association between tumour DT prior to surgery and disease-free survival.

CONCLUSIONS

The rate of growth of colorectal liver metastases prior to surgery should not be used as a prognostic factor when considering the role of resection.

Neoadjuvant FOLFOX 4 versus FOLFOX 4 with Cetuximab versus immediate surgery for high-risk stage II and III colon cancers: a multicentre randomised controlled phase II trial--the PRODIGE 22--ECKINOXE trial

Background

In patients with high risk stage II and stage III colon cancer (CC), curative surgery followed by adjuvant FOLFOX-4 chemotherapy has become the standard of care. However, for 20 to 30 % of these patients, the current curative treatment strategy of surgical excision followed by adjuvant chemotherapy fails either to clear locoregional spread or to eradicate distant micrometastases, leading to disease recurrence. Preoperative chemotherapy is an attractive concept for these CCs and has the potential to impact upon both of these causes of failure. Optimum systemic therapy at the earliest possible opportunity may be more effective at eradicating distant metastases than the same treatment given after the delay and immunological stress of surgery. Added to this, shrinking the primary tumor before surgery may reduce the risk of incomplete surgical excision, and the risk of tumor cell shedding during surgery.

Methods/Design

PRODIGE 22 - ECKINOXE is a multicenter randomized phase II trial designed to evaluate efficacy and feasibility of two chemotherapy regimens (FOLFOX-4 alone and FOLFOX-4 + Cetuximab) in a peri-operative strategy in patients with bulky CCs. Patients with CC deemed as high risk T3, T4 and/or N2 on initial abdominopelvic CT scan are randomized to either colectomy and adjuvant chemotherapy (control arm), or 4 cycles of neoadjuvant chemotherapy with FOLFOX-4 (for RAS mutated patients). In RAS wild-type patients a third arm testing FOLFOX+ cetuximab has been added prior to colectomy. Patients in the neoadjuvant chemotherapy arms will receive postoperative treatment for 4 months (8 cycles) to complete their therapeutic schedule. The primary endpoint of the study is the histological Tumor Regression Grade (TRG) as defined by Ryan. The secondary endpoints are: treatment strategy safety (toxicity, primary tumor related complications under chemotherapy, peri-operative morbidity), disease-free and recurrence free survivals at 3 years, quality of life, carcinologic quality and completeness of the surgery, initial radiological staging and radiological response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy, and the correlation between histopathological and radiological response. Taking into account a 50 % prevalence of CC without RAS mutation, accrual of 165 patients is needed for this Phase II trial.

Trial Registration

NCT01675999 (ClinicalTrials.gov)

Selecting patients for a second hepatectomy for colorectal metastases: an systemic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Opinions on the suitability of repeat hepatectomy for patients with recurrent colorectal liver metastases (CRLMs) vary among studies. We conducted a meta-analysis to establish the criteria for selecting the best candidates for a second hepatectomy.

METHODS

Database and manual searches were performed to identify comparative or prognostic studies published up to October 2013. Outcomes of interest included disease characteristics, perioperative outcomes, and long-term survival after initial and second hepatectomies for patients with CRLM. Study quality was appraised using the Newcastle-Ottawa scale and a modified Hayden's score.

RESULTS

A total of 7226 patients from 27 studies were included. Recurrent CRLMs after initial hepatectomy were more likely to be solitary (RR = 0.86, P = 0.045), unilobar (RR = 0.60, P < 0.001), and smaller (WMD = -0.66, P < 0.001). Postoperative morbidity and mortality were comparable between initial and second hepatectomies (RR = 1.10, P = 0.191; RR = 0.78, P = 0.678, respectively). In high-quality studies, patients showed better survival after a second hepatectomy than those after a single hepatectomy (HR = 0.68, P = 0.022). Patients meeting the following six predictors survived longer after second hepatectomy: disease-free survival after initial hepatectomy >1 y (P = 0.034); solitary CRLM at second hepatectomy (P < 0.001); unilobar CRLM at second hepatectomy (P = 0.009); maximal size of CRLM at second hepatectomy ≤ 5 cm (P = 0.035); lack of extrahepatic metastases at second hepatectomy (P < 0.001); and R0 resection at second hepatectomy (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Second hepatectomy is a safe and feasible procedure for patients with recurrent CRLM. In fact, in well-selected patients it improves overall survival. The established criteria can help clinicians to select the best candidates for second hepatectomy and to achieve better long-term outcomes after resection.

Progression-free survival: an important prognostic marker for long-term survival of small cell lung cancer

BACKGROUND

Small cell lung cancer (SCLC) is an extremely aggressive tumor with a poor clinical course. Although many efforts have been made to improve patients' survival rates, patients who survive longer than 2 years after chemotherapy are still very rare. We examined the baseline characteristics of patients with long-term survival rates in order to identify the prognostic factors for overall survivals.

METHODS

A total of 242 patients with cytologically or histologically diagnosed SCLC were enrolled into this study. The patients were categorized into long- and short-term survival groups by using a survival cut-off of 2 years after diagnosis. Cox's analyses were performed to identify the independent factors.

RESULTS

The mean patient age was 65.66 years, and 85.5% were males; among the patients, 61 of them (25.2%) survived longer than 2 years. In the multivariate analyses, CRP (hazard ratio [HR], 2.75; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.25-6.06; p=0.012), TNM staging (HR, 3.29; 95% CI, 1.59-6.80; p=0.001), and progression-free survival (PFS) (HR, 11.14; 95% CI, 2.98-41.73; p<0.001) were independent prognostic markers for poor survival rates.

CONCLUSION

In addition to other well-known prognostic factors, this study discovered relationships between the long-term survival rates and serum CRP levels, TNM staging, and PFS. In situations with unfavorable conditions, the PFS would be particularly helpful for managing SCLC patients.

Can we improve the clinical risk score? The prognostic value of p53, Ki-67 and thymidylate synthase in patients undergoing radical resection of colorectal liver metastases

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to assess whether biological markers can provide prognostic information additional to that supplied by the clinical risk score (CRS) in patients with colorectal liver metastases.

METHODS

A retrospective review of a prospectively maintained database was conducted. Patients selected for this study were treated between 1996 and 2011 with potentially curative liver surgery. Expressions of p53, Ki-67 and thymidylate synthase were assayed using immunohistochemical techniques on tissue microarrays.

RESULTS

A total of 98 (24%) of 406 patients met the inclusion criteria. The median follow-up was 103 months. Analysis revealed a correlation between p53 protein overexpression and high CRS (P = 0.058). Following multivariate analysis, only high CRS remained as an independent negative prognostic predictor of survival (P = 0.018), as well as an indicator of early recurrence of disease (P = 0.010). Of the biological markers investigated, only Ki-67 overexpression was identified as a positive predictor of survival on multivariate analysis (P = 0.038).

CONCLUSIONS

Ki-67 overexpression was a positive predictor of survival. Only high CRS remained an independent negative prognostic predictor.

Patients with CD133-negative colorectal liver metastasis have a poor prognosis after hepatectomy

BACKGROUND

The prognostic factors for patients with colorectal cancer liver metastasis (L-Mets) have not been fully described.

METHODS

Resected specimens were obtained surgically from 1998 to 2008 at our university hospital. We investigated whether the status of two primary lesion cancer stem biomarkers, CD44 and CD133, were maintained in L-Mets and whether these markers were L-Mets prognostic factors. To investigate the CD133 and CD44 status, proliferation, invasiveness, and chemoresistance were examined immunohistochemically by using MIB-1, E-cadherin, and ABC-G2.

RESULTS

The CD44-positive rate in primary lesions and L-Mets was 41.4 and 58.7 %, respectively. There was no correlation of CD44 expression between primary lesions and L-Mets (r = 0.250, p = 0.071). The CD133-positive rate in primary lesions and L-Mets was 53.6 and 44.6 %, respectively. There was no correlation of CD133 expression between primary lesions and L-Mets (r = 0.219, p = 0.135). In the CD133-negative group, the MIB-1 index was significantly higher than in the CD133-positive group (61.6 vs. 46.3 %, p = 0.003), and E-cadherin expression was significantly lower in the CD133-negative group compared with the CD133-positive group (29.3 vs. 46.8 %, p = 0.001). Absence of CD133 expression in L-Mets correlated with poor overall survival (p = 0.006), and multivariate regression analysis showed that it was an independent marker for poor survival (hazard ratio 0.320, p = 0.0016).

CONCLUSIONS

The absence of CD133 expression in L-Mets was an independent marker and a poor prognostic factor, possibly because of increased proliferation and invasiveness.

Surgery for colorectal liver metastases: The evolution of determining prognosis

Despite improvements in the multi-modality treatment of colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM), survival after resection remains varied. Determining prognosis after surgical resection has historically been predicated on preoperative clinicopathological factors such as primary tumor stage, carcinoembryonic antigen levels, number of liver metastases, presence of extrahepatic disease, as well as other factors. While scoring systems have been developed by combining certain preoperative factors, these have been inconsistent in accurately determining prognosis. There has been increasing interest in the use of biologic and molecular markers to predict prognosis following CRLM. The role of markers such as KRAS, BRAF, p53, human telomerase reverse transcriptase, thymidylate synthase, Ki-67, and hypoxia inducible factor-1α and their correlation with accurately predicting survival after surgical resection have been supported by several studies. Furthermore, other elements such as pathological response to chemotherapy and the presence of circulating tumor cells have shown promise in accurately determining prognosis after resection for colorectal liver metastasis. We herein review past, present, and possible future markers of prognosis among colorectal cancer patients with liver metastasis undergoing resection with curative intent.

The effect of one additional driver mutation on tumor progression

Tumor growth is caused by the acquisition of driver mutations, which enhance the net reproductive rate of cells. Driver mutations may increase cell division, reduce cell death, or allow cells to overcome density-limiting effects. We study the dynamics of tumor growth as one additional driver mutation is acquired. Our models are based on two-type branching processes that terminate in either tumor disappearance or tumor detection. In our first model, both cell types grow exponentially, with a faster rate for cells carrying the additional driver. We find that the additional driver mutation does not affect the survival probability of the lesion, but can substantially reduce the time to reach the detectable size if the lesion is slow growing. In our second model, cells lacking the additional driver cannot exceed a fixed carrying capacity, due to density limitations. In this case, the time to detection depends strongly on this carrying capacity. Our model provides a quantitative framework for studying tumor dynamics during different stages of progression. We observe that early, small lesions need additional drivers, while late stage metastases are only marginally affected by them. These results help to explain why additional driver mutations are typically not detected in fast-growing metastases.

Feasibility of preoperative chemotherapy for locally advanced, operable colon cancer: the pilot phase of a randomised controlled trial

Background

Preoperative (neoadjuvant) chemotherapy and radiotherapy are more effective than similar postoperative treatment for oesophageal, gastric, and rectal cancers, perhaps because of more effective micrometastasis eradication and reduced risk of incomplete excision and tumour cell shedding during surgery. The FOxTROT trial aims to investigate the feasibility, safety, and efficacy of preoperative chemotherapy for colon cancer.

Methods

In the pilot stage of this randomised controlled trial, 150 patients with radiologically staged locally advanced (T3 with ≥5 mm invasion beyond the muscularis propria or T4) tumours from 35 UK centres were randomly assigned (2:1) to preoperative (three cycles of OxMdG [oxaliplatin 85 mg/m², l-folinic acid 175 mg, fluorouracil 400 mg/m² bolus, then 2400 mg/m² by 46 h infusion] repeated at 2-weekly intervals followed by surgery and a further nine cycles of OxMdG) or standard postoperative chemotherapy (12 cycles of OxMdG). Patients with KRAS wild-type tumours were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive panitumumab (6 mg/kg; every 2 weeks with the first 6 weeks of chemotherapy) or not. Treatment allocation was through a central randomisation service using a minimised randomisation procedure including age, radiological T and N stage, site of tumour, and presence of defunctioning colostomy as stratification variables. Primary outcome measures of the pilot phase were feasibility, safety, and tolerance of preoperative therapy, and accuracy of radiological staging. Analysis was by intention to treat. This trial is registered, number ISRCTN 87163246.

Findings

96% (95 of 99) of patients started and 89% (85 of 95) completed preoperative chemotherapy with grade 3–4 gastrointestinal toxicity in 7% (seven of 94) of patients. All 99 tumours in the preoperative group were resected, with no significant differences in postoperative morbidity between the preoperative and control groups: 14% (14 of 99) versus 12% (six of 51) had complications prolonging hospital stay (p=0·81). 98% (50 of 51) of postoperative chemotherapy patients had T3 or more advanced tumours confirmed at post-resection pathology compared with 91% (90 of 99) of patients following preoperative chemotherapy (p=0·10). Preoperative therapy resulted in significant downstaging of TNM5 compared with the postoperative group (p=0·04), including two pathological complete responses, apical node involvement (1% [one of 98] vs 20% [ten of 50], p<0·0001), resection margin involvement (4% [four of 99] vs 20% [ten of 50], p=0·002), and blinded centrally scored tumour regression grading: 31% (29 of 94) vs 2% (one of 46) moderate or greater regression (p=0·0001).

Interpretation

Preoperative chemotherapy for radiologically staged, locally advanced operable primary colon cancer is feasible with acceptable toxicity and perioperative morbidity. Proceeding to the phase 3 trial, to establish whether the encouraging pathological responses seen with preoperative therapy translates into improved long-term oncological outcome, is appropriate.

Funding

Cancer Research UK.

Anticancer nanomedicine and tumor vascular permeability; Where is the missing link?

Anticancer nanomedicine was coined to describe anticancer delivery systems such as polymer conjugates, liposomes, micelles, and metal nanoparticles. These anticancer delivery platforms have been developed with the enhanced permeability and retention (EPR) effect as a central mechanism for tumor targeting. EPR based nanomedicine has demonstrated, beyond doubt, to selectively target tumor tissues in animal models. However, over the last two decades, only nine anticancer agents utilizing this targeting strategy have been approved for clinical use. In this review, we systematically analyze various aspects that explain the limited clinical progress yet achieved. The influence of nanomedicine physicochemical characteristics, animal tumor models, and variations in tumor biology, on EPR based tumor targeting is closely examined. Furthermore, we reviewed results from over one hundred publications to construct patterns of factors that can influence the transition of EPR based anticancer nanomedicine to the clinic.

Prognostic ability of 18F-FDG PET/CT in the assessment of colorectal liver metastases

Modern multidisciplinary therapy for colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) is associated with significant morbidity and must be adapted to the patient's relative risk. The tools currently available to risk-stratify patients are limited. This study assessed the prognostic utility of metabolic measurements derived from(18)F-FDG PET compared with previously proposed prognostic scoring systems.

METHODS

Preoperative (18)F-FDG PET/CT studies from a series of 30 patients who underwent liver resection for CRLM after neoadjuvant chemotherapy were evaluated. Quantitative (18)F-FDG PET analysis calculated the maximum and mean standardized uptake value, metabolic tumor volume (MTV), and tumor glycolytic volume (TGV) as measures of the metabolic activity of tumors. The predictive value of these parameters was compared with that of 4 prognostic scores developed by Fong, Iwatsuki, Nordlinger, and Rees.

RESULTS

High MTV and TGV in patients before metastasectomy were significantly associated with poorer overall survival (MTV: P = 0.001; TGV: P = 0.004) and recurrence-free survival (MTV: P = 0.001, TGV; P = 0.002). Maximum and mean standardized uptake value did not show any significant predictive ability. Of the prognostic scores, prediction of outcome was most accurate using the Basingstoke index (area under the curve, 0.898).

CONCLUSION

Assessment of metabolic tumor burden with volumetric (18)F-FDG PET parameters appears to be a valuable adjunct in determining the biology of CRLM before surgical resection and may enable better risk stratification of patients.

Biology of colorectal pulmonary metastasis: implications for surgical resection

In colorectal cancer, little high grade evidence for cure, life extension, disease modification or palliation achieved by pulmonary metastasectomy exists. This has prompted the pulmonary metastasectomy in colorectal cancer (PulMiCC) trial. Reappraisal of the biological facts on colorectal metastasis may, however, shed light on an alternative avenue of clinical management. Early onset of metastasis, short doubling time and a short disease-free interval are all associated with poor clinical outcomes. Selecting who will be cured (i.e. no occult metastasis) remains the holy grail for pulmonary metastasectomy surgery. Serial CT scans can be utilized to calculate the tumour doubling time by volumetric analysis. Knowing the doubling time and size of the largest metastasis, which by definition is the first cell that has successfully spread from the primary site, the time of initial metastasis can be predicted. More importantly, using the doubling time, calculating the time interval from the primary surgery to the point at which all pulmonary metastases are visible should be possible. Perhaps watchful waiting, with interval CT scanning, followed by pulmonary metastasectomy should be utilized, rather than clinical opinion or randomization in a trial based upon first presentation.

Utility of preoperative imaging in evaluating colorectal liver metastases declines over time

OBJECTIVES

Reports on the sensitivity and accuracy of contrast-enhanced helical computed tomography (HCT) in the preoperative evaluation of colorectal liver metastases (CLM) have been conflicting. Few studies have controlled for and reported on the time interval between HCT and eventual surgery.

METHODS

A multi-institution, retrospective review of consecutive patients who underwent hepatic resection for CLM from January 1999 to September 2004 was conducted. Data regarding lesion characteristics and resectability were extracted from radiology reports, operative findings and histopathological records. Findings in HCT were evaluated according to their sensitivity for detecting CLM and ability to predict resectability.

RESULTS

A total of 217 consecutive patients who underwent hepatic resection for CLM were identified. The overall sensitivity of HCT for detection of CLM was 83.2%. Prolonged time between imaging and surgery was a negative predictor for HCT sensitivity in univariate and multivariate analysis (P < 0.001). In predicting resectability, preoperative HCT was accurate 77.0% of the time. The time interval to surgery was negatively correlated with HCT prediction accuracy in univariate and multivariate analyses (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The utility of HCT as a preoperative tool to evaluate CLM is inversely proportional to the time interval between imaging and surgery. This may explain conflicting reports of the accuracy of HCT in the current literature.

Outcomes of intensive surveillance after resection of hepatic colorectal metastases

BACKGROUND

The impact of computed tomography (CT)-based follow-up for the detection of resectable disease recurrence following surgery for colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) was evaluated.

METHODS

Some 705 patients undergoing resection of CRLM between January 1993 and March 2007 were included. Surveillance comprised 3-monthly CT (thorax, abdomen and pelvis) in the first 2 years after surgery, 6 monthly for 3 years and annually from years 6 to 10. Survival differences following recurrence between patients managed surgically and palliatively were determined, and the cost was calculated.

RESULTS

Five-year disease-free and overall survival rates were 28.3 and 32.3 per cent respectively. Of 402 patients who developed recurrence within 2 years, 88 were treated with liver resection alone and 36 with lung and/or liver resection. Their 5-year overall survival rates were 31 and 30 per cent respectively, compared with 3.9 per cent in 278 patients managed palliatively (P < 0.001). For each 3-month interval during the first year of follow-up, patients with recurrence treated surgically had better overall survival than those treated palliatively. The cost of surveillance that identified 124 patients amenable to further resection was 12,338 pounds per operated recurrence. Assuming that patients with recurrence gained 5 years' survival, the mean survival gain was 4.28 years per resection and the cost per life-year gained was 2883 pounds.

CONCLUSION

Intensive 3-monthly CT surveillance after liver resection for CRLM detects recurrence that is amenable to further resection in a considerable number of patients. These patients have significantly better survival with a reasonable cost per life-year gained.

Interaction of tumour biology and tumour burden in determining outcome after hepatic resection for colorectal metastases

AIMS

To determine the outcome of colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) patients based on tumour burden, represented by tumour number and size, and tumour biology as assessed by an inflammatory response to tumour (IRT) and margin positivity.

METHODS

Data were collated from CRLM patients undergoing resection from January 1993 to March 2007. Patients were divided into: low (<or=3 metastases and/or <or=3 cm); moderate (4-7 metastases and/or >3-<or=5 cm); and high (>or=8 metastases and/or >5 cm) tumour burden.

RESULTS

Seven hundred and five patients underwent resection, of which 154 (21.8%), 262 (37.2%) and 289 (41.0%) patients were in the low, moderate and high tumour burden groups, respectively. The 5-year disease-free (P < 0.001) and overall (P < 0.001) survival were significantly different between the groups. IRT (P < 0.001), extent of resection (P < 0.001) and margin (P < 0.001) also differed between the groups. Sub-group analysis revealed that IRT was the only adverse predictor for disease-free and overall survival in the low group. In the moderate group, IRT predicted poorer disease-free survival on multi-variate analysis. In the high group, R1 resection and transfusion were predictors of poorer disease-free survival and age >or=65 years, R1 resection and IRT were adverse predictors of overall survival.

CONCLUSION

Resection margin influenced the outcome of patients with high tumour burden, hence the importance of achieving clear margins. IRT influenced the outcome of patients with less aggressive disease.

Comparative lesion sequencing provides insights into tumor evolution

We show that the times separating the birth of benign, invasive, and metastatic tumor cells can be determined by analysis of the mutations they have in common. When combined with prior clinical observations, these analyses suggest the following general conclusions about colorectal tumorigenesis: (i) It takes approximately 17 years for a large benign tumor to evolve into an advanced cancer but <2 years for cells within that cancer to acquire the ability to metastasize; (ii) it requires few, if any, selective events to transform a highly invasive cancer cell into one with the capacity to metastasize; (iii) the process of cell culture ex vivo does not introduce new clonal mutations into colorectal tumor cell populations; and (iv) the rates at which point mutations develop in advanced cancers are similar to those of normal cells. These results have important implications for understanding human tumor pathogenesis, particularly those associated with metastasis.

Evaluation of long-term survival after hepatic resection for metastatic colorectal cancer: a multifactorial model of 929 patients

OBJECTIVE

To identify risk factors associated with cancer-specific survival and develop a predictive model for patients undergoing primary hepatic resection for metastatic colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUND

No published studies investigated collectively the inter-relation of factors related to patient cancer-specific survival after hepatectomy for metastatic colorectal cancer.

METHODS

Clinical, pathologic, and complete follow-up data were prospectively collected from 929 consecutive patients undergoing primary (n = 925) or repeat hepatic resection (n = 80) for colorectal liver metastases at a tertiary referral center from 1987 to 2005. Parametric survival analysis was used to identify predictors of cancer-specific survival and develop a predictive model. The model was validated using measures of discrimination and calibration.

RESULTS

Postoperative mortality and morbidity were 1.5% and 25.9%, respectively. 5-year and 10-year cancer-specific survival were 36% and 23%. On multivariate analysis, 7 risk factors were found to be independent predictors of poor survival: number of hepatic metastases >3, node positive primary, poorly differentiated primary, extrahepatic disease, tumor diameter > or =5 cm, carcinoembryonic antigen level >60 ng/mL, and positive resection margin. The first 6 of these criteria were used in a preoperative scoring system and the last 6 in the postoperative setting. Patients with the worst postoperative prognostic criteria had an expected median cancer-specific survival of 0.7 years and a 5-year cancer-specific survival of 2%. Conversely, patients with the best prognostic postoperative criteria had an expected median cancer-specific survival of 7.4 years and a 5-year cancer-specific survival of 64%. When tested both predictive models fitted the data well with no significant differences between observed and predicted outcomes (P > 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Resection of liver metastases provides good long-term cancer-specific survival benefit, which can be quantified pre- or postoperatively using the criteria described. The "Basingstoke Predictive Index" may be used for risk-stratifying patients who may benefit from intensive surveillance and selection for adjuvant therapy and trials.

Tumor doubling time and local immune response to hepatic metastases from colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

A number of studies have investigated the role of tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes in cancer, yet the local immune response to hepatic colorectal cancer metastasis remains unclear. As the tumor doubling time (DT) of hepatic colorectal cancer metastases is a good index of tumor growth, we examined the correlation between tumor DT and the local immune response by phenotype in hepatic colorectal cancer metastases.

METHODS

Tumor DT and local immune response were examined in 20 patients with hepatic colorectal cancer metastases by analyzing tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes using flow cytometry or immunohistochemical studies. Tumor proliferative activity was also investigated by determining the expression levels of Ki-67 and proliferating cell nuclear antigen (PCNA).

RESULTS

Locally abundant populations of CD83(+) dendritic cells (DCs) and CD8(+) T cells were positively related to longer tumor DT (P < 0.05), as were abundant CD8(+) T cells having interferon-gamma-producing potentials (P < 0.05). There was no significant correlation between tumor cell expression levels of Ki-67 or PCNA and tumor DT.

CONCLUSIONS

Longer DT tumors have increased local populations of CD8(+) T cells and CD83(+) DCs even in hepatic colorectal cancer metastases.

Strategies for the treatment of synchronous liver metastasis

AIM

Observe the outcomes after complete simultaneous or delayed resection of synchronous liver metastasis (SLM) from colorectal cancer (CRC).

METHODS

From 1994 to 2005, 119 patients were diagnosed with CRC and SLM; 57 patients had simultaneous resection (group I) and 62 patients had staged resection (group II). Perioperative chemotherapy was considered completed if all expected cycle were administrated.

RESULTS

Overall survival rates of group I-group II at 1, 3 and 5 years were respectively 91%-93% (p=0,3), 59%-57% (p=0,09) and 32%-25% (p=0,06). The median survival time of group I-group II were respectively 46 months-40 months (p=0,07). There was no statistical difference on survival regarding location of metastasis (p=0,09) or primary tumor location (p=0,2). Patients with simultaneous or staged resection receiving optimal treatment (R0 liver surgery and complete chemotherapy) were respectively 89% and 67% (p=0,04). Twenty three patients developed isolated liver recurrence with higher frequency in staged patients (26% vs 9% p=0,03) without impairment of survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Because of postoperative morbidity and prolonged tiring treatment, many patients having staged resection were under treated. However we did not observe statistical difference on survival but we supported that simultaneous resection has to be prefer to achieve an optimal treatment. Lung and bone metastasis are the new challenge for oncologists.

Predictors of early disease recurrence following hepatic resection for colorectal cancer metastasis

BACKGROUND

With the broadening indications of hepatic resection for colorectal liver metastases (CRLM), the exact group of patients who would benefit from surgery is still debatable. The aim of this study was to identify predictors for early recurrence, defined as recurrence within 6 months of CRLM resection, in order to identify those patients who may require further pre-operative radiological staging of the disease prior to surgery.

METHODS

Prospectively collected dataset of patients undergoing curative resection for CRLM during the 10-year period (January 1993-May 2003) were analyzed. Patients who received neo-adjuvant chemotherapy and patients who underwent repeat hepatic resections whose primary resection was not performed during the study period were excluded.

RESULTS

Four hundred and thirty patients (89%) were included in the analysis. Eighty-six (20%) patients developed early recurrence. Early recurrence was associated with poorer outcome when compared to late recurrences (p<0.001). The predictor of early recurrence on multivariable analysis was the presence of eight or more metastases (p=0.036).

CONCLUSION

We have identified a group of patients with multiple metastases who recur early following resection of CRLM. We suggest that these patients should be considered for additional pre-operative radiological workup in the form of PET scanning to identify those patients who would be deemed suitable for resection.

Long-term characteristics of 5-year survivors after liver resection for colorectal metastases

BACKGROUND

We investigated factors affecting 5-year survival in patients undergoing hepatic resection for colorectal cancer metastases, including events long after initial hepatectomy. Although retrospective studies have demonstrated survival benefit of hepatectomy for metastatic colorectal cancer, few have included sufficient 5-year survivors to identify survival-related factors throughout the clinical course.

METHODS

We divided 156 patients with hepatectomy for colorectal cancer metastases into 5-year survivors (n = 64) and patients dying before 5 years after hepatectomy (n = 92). Clinicopathologic data were compared retrospectively with respect to long-term outcome.

RESULTS

By multivariate analysis, large liver tumors (adjusted relative risk, 2.029; P = .011), short tumor doubling time (1.809; P = .026), and origin from poorly differentiated primary adenocarcinoma (12.632; P = .001) compromised survival, whereas initial treatment-related variables did not. Although no difference was seen in initial treatment-related variables between 5-year survivors with recurrence after hepatectomy and patients dying before 5 years, repeat surgery was used more frequently in survivors (P < .001), typically with adjuvant chemotherapy.

CONCLUSIONS

Reoperations for each recurrence of metastases, followed by additional chemotherapy, frequently resulted in long survival.

Right portal vein embolization before right hepatectomy for unilobar colorectal liver metastases reduces the intrahepatic recurrence rate

AIM

To assess the effect of portal vein embolization (PVE) on intrahepatic recurrence rate after right hepatectomy for unilobar colorectal liver metastases (CLM).

SUMMARY AND BACKGROUND

Recent research suggests that CLM could spread retrogradely through the portal vein. PVE may reduce tumor shedding by the occlusion of distal portal branches. However, no study reported the clinical effect of PVE on intrahepatic recurrence after CLM resection.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Between 1995 and 2003, 44 patients requiring a right hepatectomy for unilobar CLM were operated in our institution. Right hepatectomy was performed after PVE in 23 patients (group A) and without PVE in 21 (group B). Surgical outcome and site of recurrence were analyzed.

RESULTS

The postoperative mortality was nil. Overall morbidity and transitory liver failure rates were similar in groups A and B (43.4% and 17.3% vs. 33.3% and 14.2%, respectively). The 3- and 5-year overall survival rates did not differ in group A and B patients (61.2% and 43.7% vs. 49.7% and 35.5%, respectively; P = 0.862). The disease-free survival rate was similar in both groups. Thirty patients (68.2%) developed recurrences. Recurrences were intrahepatic in 22 patients (50%) and extrahepatic in 27 (61.3%). Intrahepatic recurrence rate was significantly lower in group A compared with group B (26.0% vs. 76.1% respectively; P < 0.001). PVE, number of CLM, and administration of neoadjuvant chemotherapy were independent prognostic factors for intrahepatic recurrences.

CONCLUSION

This study showed that PVE reduces intrahepatic recurrence rate after right hepatectomy for unilobar CLM.

Molecular prognostic markers in resectable colorectal liver metastases: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Determination of prognosis in patients with resectable colorectal liver metastases (CLM) is desirable in order to improve case selection for surgery and tailor adjuvant treatment according to individual recurrence risk. Conventional clinicopathological factors lack the sensitivity to accurately achieve this goal. Consideration of tumour biology and the identification of molecular prognostic markers may allow more accurate risk stratification.

METHOD

This systematic review examines evidence from published manuscripts looking at molecular markers in resectable colorectal liver metastases and their correlation with disease recurrence and survival following hepatectomy.

RESULTS

Studies have yielded promising results in the search for prognostic molecular markers of CLM. Molecular biomarkers from varied aspects of tumour biology have been examined and a number of these, including proliferation indices, telomerase, thymidylate synthase, microvessel density and thrombospondin-1 appear to have prognostic utility in this context. Validation of other markers, notably p53, has been limited by a failure of methodologies to account for their biological complexity.

CONCLUSIONS

A biomarker-based approach may yield significant benefits through informed treatment of resectable metastatic colorectal malignancy. Standardised retrospective analyses are necessary to confirm preliminary findings and identify existing and novel markers for inclusion into prospective studies. Assessment and verification of multiple molecular markers in this manner may allow molecular profiling of metastases and tailoring of therapy according to the biological aggressiveness of individual tumours. The advent of genomic- and proteomic-based technologies will allow the simultaneous analysis of multiple molecular markers and the derivation of disease profiles associated with disease recurrence and poor survival.

Short time to recurrence after hepatic resection correlates with poor prognosis in colorectal hepatic metastasis

BACKGROUND

Early recurrence is a major problem after hepatic resection of colorectal hepatic metastasis (CHM). Our aim was to investigate the relationship between time to recurrence after CHM resection and overall survival.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was performed for 101 consecutive patients who underwent hepatic resection for CHM and have been followed more than 5 years.

RESULTS

Among 101 patients, 82 (81%) had a recurrence. Overall survival of patients with recurrence within 6 months after CHM resection was significantly worse than that of patients with recurrence after more than 6 months (P < 0.01). Overall survival was poorer when time to recurrence was shorter. One of the reasons for poor prognosis of patients with recurrence within 6 months was that only a few patients could undergo a second resection for recurrence after CHM resection. Histological type, including poorly differentiated signet ring cell or mucinous adenocarcinoma in the primary tumor, bilobar metastases, microscopic positive surgical margin and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) above 15 ng/ml had predictive value for decreased recurrence-free survival after CHM resection.

CONCLUSION

Short time to recurrence after CHM resection correlates with a poor prognosis. Histological type of poorly differentiated signet ring cell or mucinous adenocarcinoma in the primary tumor might be a predictor for early recurrence after CHM resection.

Treatment for multiple bilobar liver metastases of colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Recent advances have extended indications for hepatectomy to include multiple bilobar colorectal liver metastases (CLM). Staging systems based on the biological malignancy of primary and metastatic tumors provide appropriate indications for hepatectomy in CLM. However, suitability for resection in patients with complex and extensive hepatic metastases is controversial.

METHODS

A medline search was performed to identify papers reporting the resection for CLM. Techniques, indication, and results were reviewed.

RESULTS

If the anticipated remnant liver volume is small (25-40% of total), suggesting a high risk of postoperative liver failure, portal vein embolization (PVE) is recommended prior to hepatectomy. However, curative resections are not always possible. Specifically in synchronous multiple bilobar CLM, two-stage hepatectomy, comprising bilateral hepatectomy and primary resection with or without PVE, can prevent growth of ipsilateral metastatic nodules in the remnant liver and reduce surgical risk. Several local ablation techniques can complement surgery if hepatic resection alone increases the risk of postoperative liver failure or is not curative. Chemotherapy combined with targeted treatment can suppress recurrence and extend indications for hepatectomy by reducing the size and number of primary irresectable tumors.

CONCLUSION

PVE or staged procedure combining with local ablation or neoadjuvant, downstaging or adjuvant therapies extends indications for hepatectomy to include multiple bilobar CLM. The 5-year survival rate for multiple bilobar CLM treated with alternating hepatectomy and chemotherapy is comparable to the values reported for single and hemilateral CLM.