Preoperative Neutrophil to Lymphocyte Ratio and Prognostic Nutritional Index Predict Overall Survival After Hepatectomy for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Decoding the Prognostic Significance and Therapeutic Implications of Inflammation-Based Scores in Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Comprehensive Review

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary liver cancer, posing a significant global health challenge with an increasing incidence. In recent years, multiple staging systems and scores have been proposed, emphasising the necessity for the development of precise prognostic tools. The well-documented etiological relationship between chronic inflammation and carcinogenesis has prompted researchers to explore novel prognostic markers associated with the inflammatory status of HCC patients. This review summarises the current data about inflammation-based scores in the context of HCC. We discuss established scores like the Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS), modified GPS (mGPS) and the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and others not as extensively studied, examining their utility in predicting survival outcomes and treatment response in HCC patients. Furthermore, we explore emerging scores, including the prognostic nutritional index (PNI) and other lymphocyte-based scores, assessing their potential in refining risk stratification and guiding therapeutic decisions in the era of precision medicine. As research progresses and these scores undergo further refinement and integration into the evolving landscape of HCC management, they carry significant potential for improving patient outcomes.

Pretreatment Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio as Prognostic Biomarkers in Patients with Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated with Hepatic Arterial Infusion Chemotherapy Combined with Lenvatinib and Camrelizumab

Purpose

This study aimed to assess the prognostic significance of the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (u-HCC) treated with hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) combined with lenvatinib and camrelizumab.

Patients and Methods

We conducted a retrospective cohort study involving patients diagnosed with u-HCC who underwent HAIC combined with lenvatinib and camrelizumab. Patients were stratified into two cohorts using the median NLR as the cutoff point. We then assessed treatment response, overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and adverse events in these patient groups.

Results

Between October 2020 and April 2022, a total of 88 patients were enrolled in the study. The overall cohort exhibited a median PFS of 7.9 months, while the median OS was not reached, and a median NLR of 3.46. Notably, the group with NLR<3.46 demonstrated significantly superior OS (not reached vs 9.6 months, p = 0.017) and PFS (18.3 vs 5.3 months, p = 0.0015) compared to the NLR≥3.46 group. Furthermore, multivariate analysis revealed that an alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) ≥ 400 ng/mL [hazard ratio (HR), 2.133; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.102-4.126; p = 0.024], Barcelona Clinical Hepatocellular Carcinoma (BCLC) stage C (HR, 2.319; 95% CI, 1.128-4.764; p = 0.022), and NLR ≥3.46 (HR, 2.35; 95% CI, 1.239-4.494; p = 0.009) were identified as independent risk factors for OS. Additionally, multivariate analysis demonstrated that AFP ≥ 400 ng/mL, BCLC stage C, and NLR ≥ 3.46 were independent negative factors of PFS.

Conclusion

NLR can be associated with outcomes in patients with u-HCC treated with HAIC combined with lenvatinib and camrelizumab.

Anesthesia in patients with chronic liver disease: An updated review

Anesthesia in chronic liver disease patients can be challenging because of the medications given or interventions performed and their effects on liver physiology. Also, the effects of liver disease on coagulation and metabolism should be considered carefully. This review focuses on anesthesia in patients with different chronic liver disease stages. A literature search was performed for Scopus and PubMed databases for articles discussing different types of anesthesia in patients with chronic liver disease, their safety, usage, and risks. The choice of anesthesia is of crucial importance. Regional anesthesia, especially neuroaxial anesthesia, may benefit some patients with liver disease, but coagulopathy should be considered. Regional anesthesia provides optimum intraoperative relaxation and analgesia that extends to the postoperative period while avoiding the side effects of intravenous anesthetics and opioids. Pharmacodynamics and pharmacokinetics of anesthetic medications must guard against complications related to overdose or decreased metabolism. The choice of anesthesia in chronic liver disease patients is crucial and could be tailored according to the degree of liver compensation and the magnitude of the surgical procedure.

Response Prediction Model of Atezolizumab plus Bevacizumab in Patients with Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Multicenter Retrospective Study

INTRODUCTION

Atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (ATZ+BV) treatment has become the first-line regimen for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (u-HCC). Prediction of response to it might be clinically beneficial. Using peripheral blood parameters, we aimed to construct a prediction model for ATZ+BV treatment.

METHODS

Clinical records of 119 patients with u-HCC treated by ATZ+BV were retrospectively analyzed. The primary outcome measurement was defined as any-size reduction at the initial image evaluation. Using baseline values of peripheral blood parameters, a prediction model was constructed by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis. Validation was performed internally by bootstrap method.

RESULTS

The primary outcome was achieved in 46 patients. Univariate analysis showed that C-reactive protein (CRP), alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) were possible predictors. CRP and DCP, and NLR and PLR had correlation (correlation coefficient >0.3), so we used CRP and NLR as representative factors, respectively. Multivariate analysis constructed the following prediction model: Logit = 1.62-0.61×[CRP] -0.38×[Log10AFP] -0.37×[NLR]. Bootstrapped median (95% confidence interval) of coefficients of CRP, Log10AFP, NLR were -0.64 (-1.46 ∼ -0.11), -0.40 (-0.82 ∼ -0.03), and -0.38 (-0.74 ∼ -0.05), respectively. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (95% confidence interval) was 0.73 (0.60-0.80). Median overall survival of the favorably and unfavorably predicted groups were 17.0 and 11.0 months (p = 0.03), respectively.

DISCUSSION

In patients with u-HCC treated by ATZ+BEV, a prediction model constructed using baseline values of CRP, AFP, and NLR had impact on any-size reduction at the initial image evaluation and on prognosis.

Preoperative alpha fetoprotein, total bilirubin, fibrinogen, albumin, and lymphocytes predict postoperative survival in hepatocellular carcinoma

AIMS

Our study focused on exploring the feasible prognostic laboratory parameters of HCC and establishing a score model to estimate individualized overall survival (OS) in HCC after resection.

METHODS

Four hundred and sixty-one patients with HCC who underwent hepatectomy between January 2010 and December 2017 was enrolled in this investigation. Cox proportional hazards model was conducted to analyze the prognostic value of laboratory parameters. The score model construction was based on the forest plot results. Overall survival was evaluated by Kaplan-Meier method and the log-rank test. The novel score model was validated in an external validation cohort from a different medical institution.

RESULTS

We identified that alpha fetoprotein (AFP), total bilirubin (TB), fibrinogen (FIB), albumin (ALB), and lymphocyte (LY) were independent prognostic factors. High AFP, TB, FIB (HR > 1, p < 0.05), and low ALB, LY (HR < 1, p < 0.05) were associated with the survival of HCC. The novel score model of OS based on these five independent prognostic factors achieved high C-index of 0.773 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.738-0.808), which was significantly higher than those of the single five independent factors (0.572-0.738). The score model was validated in the external cohort whose C-index was 0.7268 (95% CI: 0.6744-0.7792).

CONCLUSION

The novel score model we established was an easy-to-use tool which could enable individualized estimation of OS in patients with HCC who underwent curative hepatectomy.

Combination of sarcopenia and prognostic nutritional index to predict long-term outcomes in patients undergoing initial hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

To determine if preoperative sarcopenia and prognostic nutritional index (PNI) could accurately predict the postoperative outcomes of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing initial hepatectomy.

METHODS

Three hundred three patients who underwent curative hepatectomy for HCC between January 2010 and August 2021 were enrolled and their data were retrospectively analyzed. Sarcopenia was determined from computed tomography images obtained 3 weeks prior to surgery, and PNI was calculated from preoperative albumin and whole lymphocyte count data in receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, with a cutoff value of 46.2 to categorize high and low groups.

RESULTS

One hundred six (35%) patients had sarcopenia prior to surgery. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that sarcopenia and low PNI were associated with significantly worse overall survival (OS) compared with no sarcopenia and high PNI, respectively (P = 0.023 and P = 0.035, respectively). In addition, patients with sarcopenia had worse OS than those without sarcopenia in the high and low PNI groups (P = 0.058 and P = 0.038, respectively). Sarcopenia (hazard ratio [HR] 1.66; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.00-2.76; P = 0.048) and PNI ≤46.2 (HR 1.96; 95% CI 1.17-3.27; P = 0.011) were independent prognostic factors on multivariate analysis, and combined sarcopenia and PNI had a higher AUC value (AUC = 0.722, P < 0.001) than either one alone in ROC analysis.

CONCLUSION

Combined sarcopenia and PNI as a prognostic marker can better predict the postoperative prognostic outcomes of HCC patients following hepatectomy than either sarcopenia or PNI alone.

The Prognostic Value of Preoperative Serum Markers and Risk Classification in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Complex hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) prognostic biomarkers have been reported in various studies. We aimed to establish biomarkers that could predict prognosis, and formulate a simple classification using non-invasive preoperative blood test data.

METHODS

We retrospectively identified 305 patients for a discovery cohort who had undergone HCC-related hepatectomy at four Japanese university hospitals between January 1, 2011 and December 31, 2013. Preoperative blood test parameter optimal cut-off values were determined using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. Cox uni- and multivariate analyses were used to determine independent prognostic factors. Risk classifications were established using classification and regression tree (CART) analysis. Validation was performed with 267 patients from three other hospitals.

RESULTS

In multivariate analysis, α-fetoprotein (AFP, p < 0.001), protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II (PIVKA-II, p = 0.006), and C-reactive protein (CRP, p < 0.001) were independent prognostic factors for overall survival (OS). AFP (p = 0.007), total bilirubin (p = 0.001), and CRP (p = 0.003) were independent recurrent risk factors for recurrence-free survival (RFS). CART analysis results formed OS (CRP, AFP, and albumin) and RFS (PIVKA-II, CRP, and total bilirubin) decision trees, based on machine learning using preoperative serum markers, with three risk classifications. Five-year OS (low risk, 80.0%; moderate risk, 56.3%; high risk, 25.2%; p < 0.001) and RFS (low risk, 43.4%; moderate risk, 30.8%; high risk, 16.6%; p < 0.001) risks differed significantly. These classifications also stratified OS and RFS risk in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSION

Three simple risk classifications using preoperative non-invasive prognostic factors could predict prognosis.

Elevated preoperative controlling nutritional status (CONUT) scores as a predictor of postoperative recurrence in gastrointestinal stromal tumors

BACKGROUND

The controlling nutritional status (CONUT) score is associated with the postoperative outcomes in various types of tumors, and its prognostic role in gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GISTs) needs to be clarified.

METHODS

Patients with completely resected primary GISTs in the absence of imatinib adjuvant therapy were included. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) was estimated with the Kaplan-Meier method and compared using log-rank test. Prognostic factors were compared using Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

A total of 455 patients were included. The median follow-up time was 132.0 months (range: 7.0-253.0). Recurrence/metastasis developed in 92 (20.2%) patients. Patients were assigned to three groups: 219 (48.1%) were in normal nutrition group (CONUT = 0-1), 196 (43.1%) were in mild malnutrition group (CONUT = 2-4) and 40 (8.8%) were in moderate-severe malnutrition group (CONUT ≥ 5). Nongastric primary tumor site, large tumor size, high mitotic index, tumor rupture and high CONUT score were independent prognostic factors for shorter RFS using multivariate analysis (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated preoperative CONUT score was a predictor of recurrence for patients with resected GIST. The clinical application of the CONUT score is simple and feasible, and might contribute to the individualized treatment of GIST patients.

Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio predicts early outcomes in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma treated with atezolizumab plus bevacizumab: a multicenter analysis

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) can predict outcomes in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (Atez/Bev).

METHODS

A total of 249 patients with unresectable HCC treated with Atez/Bev were included. We analyzed survival and discontinuation of this therapy in this cohort.

RESULTS

Cumulative overall survival at 2, 4, 6, and 8 months was 97.6%, 94.9%, 88.9%, and 82.8%, respectively. Cumulative overall survival differed significantly between patients with low (<3.0) versus high (≥3.0) NLR (P = 0.001). Conversely, cumulative progression-free survival did not differ between patients with low versus high NLR. The distribution of response was 1.5% for complete response, 17.1% for partial response, 60.5% for stable disease, and 21.0% for progressive disease. Responses were not different between patients with low and high NLR. Regarding adverse events, immune-related liver injury of any grade and grade of at least 3, decreased appetite of any grade, grade of at least 3 proteinuria, and other adverse events of any grade differed significantly between patients with low and high NLR. There were 56, 18, and 2 patients who discontinued Atez/Bev therapy due to progression of disease, adverse event, and other reasons, respectively. The cumulative discontinuation rate for Atez/Bev therapy due to adverse events differed significantly between patients with low versus high NLR (P = 0.022). Cox proportional hazards modeling analysis with inverse probability weighting showed that NLR of at least 3.0 was significantly associated with overall survival (hazard ratio, 3.369; 95% confidence interval, 1.024-11.080).

CONCLUSIONS

NLR can predict outcomes in patients with unresectable HCC treated with Atez/Bev.

Relationship of Immunonutritional factor with Changes in Liver Volume after Portal Vein Embolization

Background

To identify predictors of changes in hepatic volumes after portal vein embolization, we examined the relationship with preoperative nutritional and immunological parameters.

Patients and Methods

Ninety-three patients who underwent portal vein embolization were included. The control group comprised 13 patients who underwent right hepatectomy without portal vein embolization. Computed tomographic volumetric parameter was measured for changes in embolized and nonembolized liver. Correlation with various candidates of immunonutritional parameters was examined.

Results

Difference in increased liver ratio was 9.1%. C-reactive protein levels significantly increased after portal vein embolization (P < .01), whereas albumin and total cholesterol levels significantly decreased, respectively (P < .01). The C-reactive protein/albumin ratio, prognostic nutritional index, Controlling Nutritional Status score, and modified Glasgow Prognostic Score were significantly different, respectively (P < .01). Prothrombin activity and total cholesterol level significantly correlated with the increased change in nonembolized liver (P < .05). The C-reactive protein and C-reactive protein/albumin ratio after portal vein embolization negatively correlated with hypertrophic ratio (P < .05). By comparing posthepatectomy outcomes between 64 patients undergoing portal vein embolization and 13 who did not, the prevalence of severe complications and mortality in the portal vein embolization group was not different from that in the non–portal vein embolization group. Liver activity at 15 minutes > 0.92 and increased liver volume ≥ 10% tended to correlate with lower prevalence of severe complications. Only increased intraoperative blood loss ≥ 1,500 mL was significantly associated with morbidity and mortality (P < .05).

Conclusion

Contrary to our hypothesis, immunonutritional parameters, except C-reactive protein and C-reactive protein/albumin ratio, did not reflect hypertrophy after portal vein embolization. Although it is difficult to predict the hypertrophic degree, the strategy of scheduled hepatectomy should be switched in case of impaired inflammatory status after portal vein embolization.

Phase Attention Model for Prediction of Early Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma With Multi-Phase CT Images and Clinical Data

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a primary liver cancer that produces a high mortality rate. It is one of the most common malignancies worldwide, especially in Asia, Africa, and southern Europe. Although surgical resection is an effective treatment, patients with HCC are at risk of recurrence after surgery. Preoperative early recurrence prediction for patients with liver cancer can help physicians develop treatment plans and will enable physicians to guide patients in postoperative follow-up. However, the conventional clinical data based methods ignore the imaging information of patients. Certain studies have used radiomic models for early recurrence prediction in HCC patients with good results, and the medical images of patients have been shown to be effective in predicting the recurrence of HCC. In recent years, deep learning models have demonstrated the potential to outperform the radiomics-based models. In this paper, we propose a prediction model based on deep learning that contains intra-phase attention and inter-phase attention. Intra-phase attention focuses on important information of different channels and space in the same phase, whereas inter-phase attention focuses on important information between different phases. We also propose a fusion model to combine the image features with clinical data. Our experiment results prove that our fusion model has superior performance over the models that use clinical data only or the CT image only. Our model achieved a prediction accuracy of 81.2%, and the area under the curve was 0.869.

Utility of Pretreatment Blood Platelet-To-Lymphocyte Ratio in Prediction of Clinical Outcomes and Chemosensitivity in Patients with Advanced Gastric Cancer: A Meta-Analysis

Background

The results of previous studies that evaluated the association between pretreatment blood platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and clinical outcomes and chemosensitivity in patients with advanced gastric cancer are inconsistent. Therefore, this study was designed to investigate the association between pretreatment blood PLR and clinical outcomes and chemosensitivity in advanced gastric cancer patients.

Material/Methods

We performed a systematic literature search in PubMed, Web of Science, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library up to Mar 9, 2021. Hazard ratios (HRs) for overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were pooled for meta-analysis. The quality of the included studies was measured by the Newcastle-Ottawa Quality Assessment Scale.

Results

We included 17 studies comprising 3499 patients with advanced GC in this meta-analysis. Pooled results demonstrated that high PLR was correlated with poor OS (HR=1.429, 95% CI=1.246–1.639, P<0.001) and DFS (HR=1.47, 95% CI=1.14–1.88, P=0.003) compared with low PLR in patients with advanced GC. Moreover, high PLR was associated with a lower response to chemotherapy in patients with advanced GC (OR=1.395, 95% CI=1.056–1.841, P=0.019). However, there was no significant correlation between PLR and clinicopathological features.

Conclusions

This meta-analysis suggests that high PLR is a risk factor for unfavorable OS, DFS, and chemosensitivity in patients with advanced GC.

Superiority of CRP-albumin-lymphocyte index (CALLY index) as a non-invasive prognostic biomarker after hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

We aimed to investigate whether a novel biomarker incorporating albumin, lymphocytes, and CRP can predict the prognosis for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after hepatectomy.

METHODS

Between January 2011 and December 2013, 384 patients who underwent hepatectomy in four university hospitals in Japan were investigated as a discovery cohort. The CRP-Albumin-Lymphocyte (CALLY index) was defined as (Albumin × Lymphocyte)/(CRP × 10⁴). Patients with a CALLY index ≥5 (n = 200) were compared to those with an index <5 (n = 184). Next, validation was performed using 267 patients from three other university hospitals (external validation cohort).

RESULTS

The number of TNM Stage III and IV patients was significantly higher in the CALLY <5 group than the ≥5 group (p = 0.003). There was a significant difference in the 5-year survival rate (CALLY ≥5: 71% vs. <5: 46%; p < 0.001). Multivariate analysis identified the CALLY index as an independent factor of overall survival. Similarly, there was a significant difference in the 5-year survival rate between the CALLY ≥5 (73%) and <5 (48%) groups (p < 0.001), and the CALLY index was identified as an independent prognostic factor in the external validation cohort.

CONCLUSION

The CALLY index derived from CRP, albumin, and lymphocyte values is a promising predictive biomarker for postoperative prognosis of patients with HCC.

Usefulness of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) as a prognostic predictor after treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma." Review article

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is an inflammatory marker which has been investigated as a prognostic indicator in post-therapeutic recurrence and survival of patients with HCC. Our aim was to review all studies that assessed the prognostic value of pre-treatment NLR in predicting patient survival, cancer recurrence, and graft survival in patients undergoing various therapies for HCC. We searched the database of PubMed and Google Scholar to review all studies that have the word "NLR" and the word "HCC." We included all studies that assessed pre-treatment NLR as a prognostic factor in predicting outcomes in HCC patients. We excluded studies that assessed the correlation between post-treatment NLR or dynamic changes in NLR after treatment and HCC outcomes in an effort to minimize the confounding effect of each treatment on NLR. We reviewed 123 studies that studied the correlation between pre-treatment NLR and patient survival, 72 studies that evaluated the correlation between pre-treatment NLR and tumor recurrence, 21 studies that evaluated the correlation between NLR and tumor behavior, and 4 studies that assessed the correlation between NLR and graft survival. We found a remarkable heterogeneity between the methods of the studies, which is likely responsible for the differences in outcomes. The majority of the studies suggested a correlation between higher levels of pre-treatment NLR and poor outcomes. We concluded that NLR is a reliable and inexpensive biomarker and should be incorporated into other prognostic models to help determine outcomes following HCC treatment.

Glasgow Prognostic Score and modified Glasgow Prognostic Score and survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: a meta-analysis

Objective

To evaluate the association between inflammation-related markers, modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS) and Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS), and survival outcome and recurrence risk in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after treatment.

Design

Systematic reviews and meta-analysis of cohort studies.

Date sources

Embase, Scopus, Web of Science and PubMed were searched through 10 March 2021.

Eligibility criteria

We included cohort studies that assessed the effect of pretreatment mGPS/GPS levels on survival outcomes in patients with HCC.

Data extraction and synthesis

Two researchers independently selected the data and reached a consensus. In case of disagreement, a third researcher was required to assist. The HRs and 95% CIs were used as the effect size indexes. Newcastle-Ottawa Scale was used to assess risk of bias and quality assessment of the included studies.

Results

The meta-analysis included 23 studies, most of which were retrospective. Participants were grouped according to the score of mGPS/GPS. When analysed into two groups (1/2 vs 0), the results showed that patients with a mGPS/GPS of 1 or 2 had poorer overall survival (OS) than those with a score of 0 (both p<0.001). When analysed into three groups (1 vs 0 and 2 vs 0), the results revealed that an mGPS/GPS of 2 is related to poorer OS in patients with HCC (HR=2.46, 95% CI 2.06 to 2.95, and HR=3.45, 95% CI 1.68 to 7.10, respectively). However, a GPS of 1 (p=0.005) but not an mGPS of 1 (p=0.177) had a significant association with OS. No association was found between mGPS/GPS and disease-free survival or recurrence-free survival.

Conclusion

GPS was more closely associated the survival in patients with HCC than mGPS. A higher GPS has an association with poorer survival. It can be combined with tumour staging to assess the OS of HCC more accurately.

PROSPERO registration number

CRD42021242049.

A combined prediction model for biliary tract cancer using the prognostic nutritional index and pathological findings: a single-center retrospective study

Background

The prognostic nutritional index, a marker of nutritional status and systemic inflammation, is a known biomarker for various cancers. However, few studies have evaluated the predictive value of the prognostic nutritional index in patients with biliary tract cancer. Therefore, we investigated the prognostic significance of the prognostic nutritional index, and developed a risk-stratification system to identify prognostic factors in patients with biliary tract cancer.

Methods

Between July 2010 and March 2021, 117 patients with biliary tract cancer were recruited to this single-center, retrospective study. The relationship between clinicopathological variables, including the prognostic nutritional index, and overall survival was analyzed using univariate and multivariate analyses. A P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

Results

The median age was 75 (range 38–92) years. Thirty patients had intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma; 29, gallbladder carcinoma; 27, distal cholangiocarcinoma; 17, ampullary carcinoma; and 13, perihilar cholangiocarcinoma. Curative (R0) resection was achieved in 99 patients. In univariate analysis, the prognostic nutritional index (< 42), lymph node metastasis, carbohydrate antigen 19-9 level (> 20 U/mL), preoperative cholangitis, tumor differentiation, operation time (≥ 360 min), and R1–2 resection were significant risk factors for overall survival. The prognostic nutritional index (P = 0.027), lymph node metastasis (P = 0.040), and tumor differentiation (P = 0.006) were independent prognostic factors in multivariate analysis. A combined score of the prognostic nutritional index and pathological findings outperformed each marker alone, in terms of discriminatory power.

Conclusions

The prognostic nutritional index, lymph node metastasis, and tumor differentiation were independent prognostic factors after surgical resection in patients with biliary tract cancer. A combined prediction model using the prognostic nutritional index and pathological findings accurately predicted prognosis, and can be used as a novel prognostic factor in patients with biliary tract cancer.

Carbohydrate Antigen 19-9 Is an Invasive Malignancy Preoperative Prognostic Factor for Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms

INTRODUCTION

This study aimed to determine the preoperative clinicophysiological and postoperative clinicopathological predictors of malignancy in patients with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN).

METHODS

This was a retrospective observational study. We included 121 patients (73 men and 48 women; mean age: 68.7 years) who had undergone pancreatic resection for IPMN between 2007 and 2018. These patients were grouped into invasive carcinoma (IPMN-INV, N = 21) and low/high-grade IPMN (IPMN-LG/HG, N = 100) groups. Univariate and multivariate analyses of clinicophysiological parameters were carried out. These parameters were also compared between the IPMN-INV/HG (N = 53) and IPMN-LG (N = 68) groups. Survival analyses according to macroscopic type and IPMN subtypes were performed.

RESULTS

On univariate analysis, age (p = 0.038), carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 (p < 0.001), IPMN macroscopic type (p = 0.001), IPMN subtype (p < 0.001), pancreatic duct diameter (p < 0.001), and mural nodule (p = 0.042), between IPMN-INV and IPMN-LG/HG were found to be significant prognostic factors of malignancy. CA 19-9 was found to be an independent prognostic factor of IPMN malignancy on multivariate analysis (p = 0.035). The 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival (OS) rates of the IPMN-INV and IPMN-LG/HG groups were 94.4/100%, 94.4/100%, and 67.2/100%, respectively. The OS rate in the IPMN-LG/HG group was significantly higher than that in the IPMN-INV group (p < 0.001). On univariate analysis, platelet (p = 0.043), CA 19-9 (p = 0.039), prognostic nutritional index (p = 0.034), platelet/lymphocyte ratio (p = 0.01), IPMN macroscopic type (p < 0.001), IPMN subtype (p < 0.001), pancreatic duct diameter (p = 0.036), and mural nodule (p = 0.032) between IPMN-INV/HG and IPMN-LG were found to be significant prognostic factors of malignancy. On multivariate analysis, CA 19-9 was found to be an independent prognostic factor (p = 0.042) between IPMN-INV/HG and IPMN-LG of malignancy. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates of the IPMN-INV/HG and IPMN-LG groups were 97.9/100%, 97.9/100%, and 82.6/100%, respectively. The OS rate was significantly higher in the IPMN-LG group than in the IPMN-INV/HG group (p = 0.03). No significant differences in survival were observed in patients with macroscopic tumors (p= 0.544).

CONCLUSION

CA 19-9 is an independent invasive malignancy predictor of IPMN.

Predictive impact of prognostic nutritional index in early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma after operative microwave ablation

BACKGROUND

The prognostic nutritional index (PNI) is used to assess immune and nutritional status, and is a prognostic factor for several malignant tumors. However, little evidence exists regarding the predictive impact of prognostic nutritional index (PNI) after local ablation therapy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The aim of this study was to evaluate the value of PNI to predict recurrence and survival after operative microwave ablation in patients with early-stage HCC.

METHODS

This retrospective study included 341 patients who underwent operative microwave ablation for HCC in Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage 0-A at our institute between 2007 and 2015. We analyzed overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS), and evaluated factors related to prognosis in multivariate Cox regression analyses.

RESULTS

The OS rates at 1, 3, 5, and 10 years after microwave ablation were 100%, 92.7%, 85.1%, and 57.5% in patients with high-PNI levels, and 96.5%, 78.2%, 59.7%, and 20.7% in patients with low-PNI levels, respectively (P < 0.001). The RFS rates at 1, 3, 5, and 10 years after microwave ablation were 96.3%, 75.2%, 55.4%, and 30.4% in patients with high-PNI levels, and 94.4%, 48.8%, 36.4%, and 13.1% in patients with low-PNI levels, respectively (P < 0.001). In multivariate analyses, preoperative PNI level was an independent prognostic factor for both OS and RFS.

CONCLUSION

Our results revealed the preoperative PNI level was a simple and novel predictive marker of survival and recurrence after microwave ablation in patients with early-stage HCC.

A Novel Prognostic Tool in Western and Eastern Biliary Tract Cancer Patients Treated in First-line Setting: the ECSIPOT Index

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The need to estimate prognosis of advanced BTC (aBTC) patients treated with first-line chemotherapy is compelling. The aim of the study is to evaluate the ECSIPOT (psECogSIiPnigOT) index, influenced by PECS (PsECogSii) index, prognostic nutritional index (PNI), and GOT.

METHODS

This international study was conducted on a training cohort of 126 patients and in three validation cohorts, both European and Korean. ECSIPOT index formula: (PECS:0 = 1 point; PECS:1 = 1.4 points; PECS:2 = 3.2 points) + (PNI > 36.7 = 1 point; PNI < 36.7 = 2 points) + (GOT < 100 = 1 point; GOT > 100 = 2 points). Event-time distributions were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and survival curves were compared using the log-rank test.

RESULTS

In the training cohort, mOS was 12.9, 6.3, and 2.8 months for patients with ECSIPOT-0, ECSIPOT-1, and ECSIPOT-2, respectively (ECSIPOT-0: HR 1; ECSIPOT-1: HR 2.11; ECSIPOT-2: HR 4.93; p < 0.0001). In the first validation cohort, mOS was 11.5, 7.3, and 3.3 months for ECSIPOT-0, ECSIPOT-1, and ECSIPOT-2, respectively (ECSIPOT-0: HR 1; ECSIPOT-1: HR 1.74; ECSIPOT-2: HR 3.41; p < 0.0001). In the second validation cohort, mOS was 25.2, 12.5, and 3.0 months for ECSIPOT-0, ECSIPOT-1, and ECSIPOT-2, respectively (ECSIPOT-0: HR = 1; ECSIPOT-1: HR 2.33; ECSIPOT-2: HR 8.46; p < 0.0001). In the third validation cohort, mOS was 11.8, 8.1, and 4.6 months for ECSIPOT-0, ECSIPOT-1, and ECSIPOT-2, respectively (ECSIPOT-0: HR = 1; ECSIPOT-1: HR 1.47; ECSIPOT-2: HR 3.17; p < 0.0001). Multivariate analysis in all cohorts confirmed the ECSIPOT index as an independent prognostic factor for OS.

CONCLUSION

The easy assessment and good risk-stratification performance make the ECSIPOT index a promising tool to comprehensively estimate the prognosis of aBTC patients.

Association of Preoperative Prognostic Nutritional Index and Postoperative Acute Kidney Injury in Patients Who Underwent Hepatectomy for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Various biological indicators are reportedly associated with postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI) in the surgical treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, only a few studies have evaluated the association between the preoperative prognostic nutritional index (PNI) and postoperative AKI. This study evaluated the association of the preoperative PNI and postoperative AKI in HCC patients. We retrospectively analyzed 817 patients who underwent open hepatectomy between December 2007 and December 2015. Multivariate regression analysis was performed to evaluate the association between the PNI and postoperative AKI. Additionally, we evaluated the association between the PNI and outcomes such as postoperative renal replacement therapy (RRT) and mortality. Cox regression analysis was performed to assess the risk factors for one-year and five-year mortality. In the multivariate analysis, high preoperative PNI was significantly associated with a lower incidence of postoperative AKI (odds ratio (OR): 0.92, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.85 to 0.99, p = 0.021). Additionally, diabetes mellitus and the use of synthetic colloids were significantly associated with postoperative AKI. PNI was associated with postoperative RRT (OR: 0.76, 95% CI: 0.60 to 0.98, p = 0.032) even after adjusting for other potential confounding variables. In the Cox regression analysis, high PNI was significantly associated with low one-year mortality (Hazard ratio (HR): 0.87, 95% CI: 0.81 to 0.94, p < 0.001), and five-year mortality (HR: 0.93, 95% CI: 0.90–0.97, p < 0.001). High preoperative PNI was significantly associated with a lower incidence of postoperative AKI and low mortality. These results suggest that the preoperative PNI might be a predictor of postoperative AKI and surgical prognosis in HCC patients undergoing open hepatectomy.

Impact of Preoperative Malnutrition on Postoperative Long-Term Outcomes of Patients With Pancreatic Head Cancer

Objective

To evaluate the association between preoperative malnutrition and long-term outcomes in patients with pancreatic head cancer who underwent curative pancreatoduodenectomy (PD).

Methods

From 2004 to 2018, 228 consecutive patients who underwent curative PD for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma were included. Preoperative malnutrition was defined by the Global Leadership Initiative in Malnutrition criteria. It is based on both phenotypic criteria (weight loss, low body mass index, and reduced muscle mass) and etiologic criteria (reduced intake or assimilation and inflammation).

Results

Seventy-five (32.9%) of 228 patients were classified as suffering from malnutrition. Preoperative malnutrition was associated with an increased risk of estimated blood loss (mL) (816.7 ± 875.2 vs 593.1 ± 489.9, P = 0.015) and longer hospital stay (days) (27.3 ± 15.7 vs 22.9 ± 17.7, P = 0.045). The median follow-up period was 24.5 months. The malnutrition group had poor overall survival compared with "without (WO)-malnutrition" group (P = 0.001) at 1 year (66.3% vs 81.3%), 3 years (18.0% vs 51.8%), and 5 years (12.0% vs 39.3%). The malnutrition group showed poor disease-free survival and cancer-specific survival compared with WO-malnutrition group (P = 0.001) at 1 year (38.9% vs 66.7%) and (69.0% vs 88.7%), 3 years (11.5% vs 45.1%) and (21.1% vs 61.6%), and 5 years (11.5% vs 37.3%) and (14.1% vs 51.2%). In multivariate analysis, the preoperative malnutrition was found to be the predictor of poor prognosis (harzard ratio = 2.29, 95% confidence interval = 1.60-3.29, P = 0.001).

Conclusions

Preoperative malnutrition is associated with poor prognosis in patients who underwent curative PD for pancreatic head cancer.

Predictors of 90-Day Mortality following Hepatic Resection for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE

90-day mortality is a key performance indicator for short-term perioperative outcome of hepatic resection (HR). Although many preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative variables predict 90-day mortality following elective HR, only few are specific to hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aims to determine the predictors of 90-day mortality following elective HR for HCC.

METHODS

We report a retrospective analysis of patients who underwent elective HR between January 1, 2007, and December 31, 2017. Health status, perioperative variables, and the presence of post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) were studied. Cox's regression evaluated factors predicting 90-day mortality.

RESULTS

Two hundred and forty-four patients diagnosed with HCC underwent HR; 102 (41.8%) underwent a major HR. The postoperative 90-day mortality rate was 5.3%. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that Child-Pugh score (p < 0.001), intraoperative blood loss (p = 0.013), the 50-50 criteria for PHLF (p < 0.001) on postoperative day 5, and peak serum bilirubin >119 µmol/L (p = 0.007) on postoperative day 3 predict 90-day mortality.

CONCLUSION

In patients with HCC undergoing HR, Child-Pugh score, intraoperative blood loss, the 50-50 criteria for PHLF on postoperative day 5, and peak serum bilirubin >119 µmol/L on postoperative day 3 predict 90-day mortality following elective HR for HCC.

L-carnitine reduces hospital admissions in patients with hepatic encephalopathy

AIM

The aim of this study was to determine whether oral L-carnitine administration reduces the blood ammonia concentration and number of hospital admissions for hepatic encephalopathy in patients with advanced cirrhosis.

METHODS

Of 68 patients with hepatic encephalopathy treated with oral L-carnitine supplementation from April 2013 to March 2016, we enrolled 19 patients who had received full standard treatment. We analyzed blood ammonia concentration, number of hospital admissions, and prognosis to determine how effective L-carnitine was in achieving mid-term to long-term suppression of recurrent hepatic encephalopathy.

RESULTS

Median blood ammonia concentrations at the start, 1 week, 12 weeks, 24 weeks, and 48 weeks were 159, 79, 75, and 82 μg/dL, respectively. Blood ammonia concentrations 12 week, 24 weeks, and 48 weeks after L-carnitine administration were significantly lower than those at the start (P < 0.0001, respectively). During the 3 years prior to oral L-carnitine administration, the enrolled patients were hospitalized a total of 29 times for hepatic encephalopathy. However, during the 3 years following oral L-carnitine administration, they were admitted a total of six times for hepatic encephalopathy (P < 0.001). Median survival time was 40.9 months. Child-Pugh scores before and after oral L-carnitine administration differed significantly, whereas liver reserve function, nutritional status, and muscle index did not change significantly.

CONCLUSIONS

Oral L-carnitine administration is effective and free of adverse effects in patients with hyperammonemia and reduces the number of hospital admissions for hepatic encephalopathy.

Assessment of Preoperative Clinicophysiologic Findings as Risk Factors for Postoperative Pancreatic Fistula After Pancreaticoduodenectomy

Objective

Postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) is one of the severe complications that develop after pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD). This study aimed to assess the utility of preoperative clinicophysiologic findings as risk factors for POPF after PD.

Summary of Background Data

We enrolled 350 patients who underwent PD between 2007 and 2012 at Tokyo Women's Medical University.

Methods

In total, 350 patients who underwent PD between 2007 and 2012 were examined retrospectively. All patients were classified into 2 groups as follows: group A (no fistula/biochemical leak group, 289 patients) and group B (grade B/C of POPF group 61 patients). Variables, including operative characteristics, length of stay in hospital, morbidity, mortality, and data regarding preoperative clinicophysiologic parameters, were collected and analyzed as predictors of POPF for univariate and multivariate analyses.

Results

There were 213 male and 137 female patients. The mean age was 65.4 years (range, 21–87 years). Univariate analysis showed that sex (P = 0.047), amylase level (P = 0.032), prognostic nutritional index (PNI; P = 0.001), and C-reactive protein/albumin ratio (P = 0.005) were independent risk factors for POPF. In contrast, multivariate analysis showed that sex (P = 0.045) and PNI (P = 0.012) were independent risk factors for POPF.

Conclusions

Our results show that PNI (≤48.64 U/mL) and male sex were risk factors for POPF after PD, and especially, PNI can be suggested as an effective biomarker for POPF.

Preoperative Controlling Nutritional Status plus Tumor Burden Score for the Assessment of Prognosis after Curative Liver Resection for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

There are no previous studies analyzing the prognostic predictive value of adding the tumor factor (i.e., Tumor Burden (TB) score) to the Controlling Nutritional Status (CONUT) score for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aimed to investigate the value of the CONUT plus TB (CONUT-TB) score as a prognostic predictor in patients with HCC undergoing liver resection.

METHODS

Between 2015 and 2018, 96 consecutive patients with HCC underwent liver resection at our institution. Patients undergoing repeated liver resection and combined resection of a metastatic lesion were excluded. Patients were divided into 2 groups according to their CONUT-TB scores according to a cutoff value. Clinicopathologic prognostic factors for survival were analyzed using a database containing the medical records.

RESULTS

The optimal cutoff value of the CONUT-TB score determined by using a minimum p value approach was 13 points. Among the 81 patients included in the analytic cohort, 71 patients had low (<13) and 10 patients had high (>13) CONUT-TB scores. The overall 3-year survival rate of patients following liver resection for HCC in the high-CONUT-TB group was significantly worse than that of patients in the low-CONUT-TB group (62.5 vs. 89.3%, p = 0.003). Multivariate analysis indicated that a high CONUT-TB score was independently associated with overall survival after liver resection (p = 0.010).

CONCLUSION

The CONUT-TB score is a valuable predictor of survival in patients with HCC after liver resection.

Preoperative Albumin-Bilirubin Grade With Prognostic Nutritional Index Predicts the Outcome of Patients With Early-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Percutaneous Radiofrequency Ablation

Background: Prognostic nutritional index (PNI) that was designed to assess the nutritional and immunological status of patients and albumin–bilirubin (ALBI) grades can be used as an assessment tool for hepatic function. Both nutritional and immunological statuses have been reported to be independent prognostic factors of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aimed to investigate whether PNI together with ALBI could be a better predictor in patients with early-stage HCC undergoing radiofrequency ablation (RFA).

Method: The information of 110 patients with newly diagnosed HCC within the Milan criteria receiving RFA as the initial therapy between 2014 and 2015 was retrospectively collected. Pretreatment PNI, ALBI, and PNI-ALBI grades were calculated. Overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were estimated by the Kaplan–Meier method, and multivariate analysis was used to identify prognostic factors.

Result: The 1-, 3-, and 5-years OS rates of patients were 80.0, 30.9, and 23.9%, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that the tumor size [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.966, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.091–3.545, P = 0.025], PNI grade (H = 2.558, 95% CI = 1.289–5.078, P = 0.007), and PNI-ALBI grade (HR = 3.876, 95% CI = 1.729–8.690, P = 0.001) were independent risk factors for OS, whereas only the elevated α-fetoprotein (HR = 1.732, 95% CI = 1.003–2.991, P = 0.049) and the size of the tumor (HR = 1.640, 95% CI = 1.015–2.647, P = 0.43) were independent predictors for better RFS.

Conclusion: This study demonstrates that preoperative PNI-ALBI grade is a simple and useful predictor for OS in patients with early-stage HCC after RFA.

Onodera's prognostic nutritional index is a strong prognostic indicator for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after initial hepatectomy, especially patients with preserved liver function

Background

Several inflammation-based scores are used to assess the surgical outcomes of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The aim of the present study was to elucidate the prognostic value of the prognostic nutritional index (PNI) in HCC patients who underwent hepatectomy with special attention to preoperative liver functional reserve.

Methods

Preoperative demographic and tumor-related factors were analyzed in 189 patients with HCC undergoing initial hepatectomy from August 2005 to May 2016 to identify significant prognostic factors.

Results

Multivariate analysis for overall survival (OS) revealed that female sex (p = 0.005), tumor size (p < 0.001) and PNI (p = 0.001) were independent prognostic factors. Compared to the High PNI group (PNI ≥ 37, n = 172), the Low PNI group (PNI < 37, n = 17) had impaired liver function and significantly poorer OS (13% vs. 67% in 5-year OS, p = 0.001) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) (8 vs. 25 months in median PFS time, p = 0.002). In the subgroup of patients with a preserved liver function of LHL15 ≥ 0.9, PNI was also independent prognostic factor, and OS (21% vs. 70% in 5-year OS, p = 0.008) and RFS (8 vs. 28 months in median PFS time, p = 0.018) were significantly poorer in the Low PNI group than the High PNI group.

Conclusions

PNI was an independent prognostic factor for HCC patients who underwent hepatectomy. Patients with PNI lower than 37 were at high risk for early recurrence and poor patient survival, especially in the patients with preserved liver function of LHL ≥ 0.9.

The Prognostic Model of Pre-Treatment Complete Blood Count (CBC) for Recurrence in Early Cervical Cancer

The aim of the present study was to investigate the prognostic role of the pre-treatment complete blood count (CBC) profile as a predictive marker of survival, recurrence, and death in early stage squamous cell carcinoma and adenocarcinoma of the cervix. The pre-treatment CBC profiles of the patients from nine tertiary medical centers in South Korea who were treated surgically for early stage cervical cancer were reviewed. Statistical models by the Akaike's information criterion (AIC) were developed using CBC profiles to calculate individuals' risk scores for clinical outcomes. A total of 1443 patients were included in the study and the median follow-up was 63.7 months with a range of 3-183 months. Univariate analyses identified the components of CBC that were significantly related to clinical outcomes including white blood cell (WBC), hemoglobin, neutrophil, and platelet levels. The models developed using CBC profiles and the conventional clinical predictive factors provided individuals' risk scores that were significantly better in predicting clinical outcomes than the models using the conventional clinical predictive factors alone. Pre-treatment CBC profiles including WBC, hemoglobin, neutrophil, lymphocyte, and platelet levels were found to be a potential biomarker for survival prognosis in early cervical cancer.

Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio and albumin bilirubin grade in hepatocellular carcinoma: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a frequent cause of cancer related death globally. Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and albumin bilirubin (ALBI) grade are emerging prognostic indicators in HCC.

AIM

To study published literature of NLR and ALBI over the last five years, and to validate NLR and ALBI locally in our centre as indicators of HCC survival.

METHODS

A systematic review of the published literature on PubMed of NLR and ALBI in HCC over the last five years. The search followed the guidelines of the preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses. Additionally, we also investigated HCC cases between December 2013 and December 2018 in our centre.

RESULTS

There were 54 studies describing the relation between HCC and NLR and 95 studies describing the relation between HCC and ALBI grade over the last five years. Our local cohort of patients showed NLR to have a significant negative relationship to survival (P = 0.011). There was also significant inverse relationship between the size of the largest HCC nodule and survival (P = 0.009). Median survival with alpha fetoprotein (AFP) < 10 KU/L was 20 mo and with AFP > 10 KU/L was 5 mo. We found that AFP was inversely related to survival, this relationship was not statically significant (P = 0.132). Mean survival for ALBI grade 1 was 37.7 mo, ALBI grade 2 was 13.4 months and ALBI grade 3 was 4.5 mo. ALBI grades performed better than Child Turcotte Pugh score in detecting death from HCC.

CONCLUSION

NLR and ALBI grade in HCC predict survival better than the conventional alpha fetoprotein. ALBI grade performs better than Child Turcotte Pugh score. These markers are done as part of routine clinical care and in cases of normal alpha fetoprotein, these markers could give a better understanding of the patient disease progression. NLR and ALBI grade could have a role in modified easier to learn staging and prognostic systems for HCC.

Prognostic Significance of Preoperative Controlling Nutritional Status Score in Patients Who Underwent Hepatic Resection for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Malnutrition is common in patients with hepatocellualar carcinoma (HCC), and is associated with postoperative complications after hepatectomy, and also increased mortality. However, there is currently no recommendation for assessment of nutritional status in HCC patients. The controlling nutritional status (CONUT) score has been correlated with prognosis in gastrointestinal cancer patients, but there are few reports on the prognostic significance of the CONUT score in patients who underwent hepatectomy for HCC. Existing results show that patients with high CONUT scores who undergo hepatectomy for HCC have poorer survival outcomes, and experience more complications than other patients. In this paper, we review the literature, and reveal that patients who underwent hepatectomy for HCC with high preoperative CONUT scores had poorer outcomes than those with low CONUT scores. Therefore, we conclude that a preoperative CONUT score may be useful for prognostic prediction in patients with HCC undergoing curative hepatectomy.

Prospective study to evaluate the prognostic value of different nutritional assessment scores in liver surgery: NURIMAS Liver (DRKS00006340)

Background

Malnutrition is recognised as a preoperative risk factor for patients undergoing hepatic resection. It is important to identify malnourished patients and take preventive therapeutic action before surgery. However, there is no evidence regarding which existing nutritional assessment score (NAS) is best suited to predict outcomes of liver surgery.

Methods

All patients scheduled for elective liver resection at the surgical department of the University Hospital of Heidelberg and the Municipal Hospital of Karlsruhe were screened for eligibility. Twelve NASs were calculated before operation, and patients were categorised according to each score as being either at risk or not at risk for malnutrition. The association of malnutrition according to each score and occurrence of at least one major complication was the primary endpoint, which was achieved using a multivariate logistic regression analysis including established risk factors in liver surgery as covariates.

Results

The population consisted of 182 patients. The percentage of patients deemed malnourished by the NAS varied among the different scores, with the lowest being 2.20% (Mini Nutritional Assessment) and the highest 52.20% (Nutritional Risk Classification). Forty patients (22.0%) had a major complication. None of the scores were significantly associated with major complications.

Conclusions

None of the twelve investigated NAS defined a state of malnutrition that was independently associated with postoperative complications. Other means of measuring malnutrition in liver surgery should be investigated prospectively.

The safety of hepatectomy after transarterial radioembolization: Single institution experience and review of the literature

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

The liver is a frequent site of malignancy, both primary and metastatic. The treatment goal of patients with liver cancer may include transarterial radioembolization (TARE). There are limited reports on the safety of hepatectomy following TARE. Our study's purpose is to review patients who have received TARE followed by hepatectomy.

METHODS

A retrospective study was performed on patients diagnosed with any liver cancer from 2013 to 2019 who underwent TARE followed by hepatectomy. Postoperative complications were prospectively collected. Descriptive statistics and the Kaplan-Meier test were used to assess survival outcomes.

RESULTS

Twelve patients were treated with a TARE followed by a hepatectomy (nine with ≥4 segments resected). Diagnoses included: six HCC, four cholangiocarcinoma, one metastatic neuroendocrine tumor, and one metastatic colorectal cancer. There were no 90-day post-hepatectomy mortalities and the overall morbidity was 66% (16% severe ≥MAGS 3). Hepatectomy-specific complications after hepatectomy included two (16%) bile leaks and no post-hepatectomy liver failures. The median recurrence free survival was 26 months. Overall survival at 1-year was 78% and at 3 years was 47%.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results support the safety of hepatectomy in select patients after TARE. Additional comparison to patients who receive hepatectomy as a first-line treatment for liver cancers should be investigated.

Deep Learning-Based Radiomics Models for Early Recurrence Prediction of Hepatocellular Carcinoma with Multi-phase CT Images and Clinical Data

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the fifth most common malignancy in the world and the second most common cause of cancer-related death. By surgically removing hepatocellular carcinoma, the patients may have the early recurrence within one year. Recently, CT radiomics signatures have been demonstrated to be effective on predicting early recurrence of HCC. However, the radiomics signatures are based on hand-crafted low-level features, such as density and texture. In this paper, we propose a deep learning-based radiomics approach for predicting early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma with multi-phase computed tomography (CT) images. We also propose several models to combine the high-level radiomics features with clinical data to improve the prediction accuracy. The area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) is 0.825.

Prognostic effect of preoperative neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio is related with tumor necrosis and tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes in hepatocellular carcinoma

Blood neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is one index representing systemic inflammation, and high preoperative NLR has been suggested as an independent prognostic factor in HCC. However, the NLR cutoff value with the highest prognostic significance is not consistent, and the mechanism of this phenomenon remains unclear. Preoperative NLR was calculated from complete blood counts obtained before 14 days from operation day in 234 patients who underwent curative resection for primary HCC. The presence of tumor necrosis and degree of tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) was determined histologically. High preoperative NLR (≥ 2.5) was observed in 28 (12.0%) of 234 HCCs and was significantly associated with younger age, larger tumor size, high Edmonson grade, microvascular invasion, major portal invasion, advanced AJCC T or BCLC stage, and low albumin level. Patients with high preoperative NLR showed shorter disease-specific survival (DSS) (p = 0.002) and a tendency for shorter recurrence-free survival (RFS) (p = 0.096). High preoperative NLR was associated with presence of tumor necrosis and low TIL. On multivariable analysis, preoperative NLR was an independent prognostic factor for DSS (hazard ratio: 2.050 (95% confidence interval 1.139-3.691), p = 0.017). However, the independent prognostic effect of NLR for DSS disappeared when tumor necrosis and TILs were added as co-variables. High NLR is an independent prognostic factor in patients with HCC who undergo curative resection. The prognostic effect of high NLR might originate from the prognostic effect of tumor necrosis or TILs.

The prevalence of cancer associated systemic inflammation: Implications of prognostic studies using the Glasgow Prognostic Score

The prognostic importance of SIR in patients with cancer is widely recognised. More recently it has become clear that the systemic inflammatory response is an important etiologic factor in the development of cancer cachexia. Two recent meta-analysis carried out in 2017 and 2018 were interrogated and the number of patients with specific cancer types were identified. The percentage of patients with operable cancer (n>28,000) who were systemically inflamed varied from 21% to 38%. The percentage of patients with inoperable cancer (n>12,000) who were systemically inflamed varied from 29% to 79%. Overall, the percentage of patients (n>40,000) who were systemically inflamed varied from 28% to 63% according to tumour type. The most commonly studied cancer was colorectal cancer (n∼10,000 patients) and 40% were systemically inflamed.

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio is associated with survival in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma treated with lenvatinib

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Lenvatinib, a newly developed molecularly targeted agent, has become available for patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been reported to be associated with poor outcomes in numerous malignancies. In this study, we investigated the impact of NLR on associating outcomes in patients with HCC treated with lenvatinib.

METHODS

A total of 237 patients with HCC treated with lenvatinib were included. We performed univariate and multivariate analyses in this cohort. In addition, we clarified appropriate cut-off NLR levels for associating overall survival using hazard ratio (HR) spline curves.

RESULTS

Cumulative overall survival at 100, 200 and 300 days was 95.2%, 83.4% and 66.6% respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that NLR ≥ 4 (HR, 1.874; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.097-3.119), α-foetoprotein ≥ 400 ng/mL (HR, 1.969; 95% CI, 1.188-3.265) and modified albumin-bilirubin grade 2b or 3 (HR, 2.123; 95% CI, 1.267-3.555) were independently associated with overall survival. Cumulative progression-free survival at 100, 200 and 300 days was 72.4%, 49.8% and 38.7% respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that NLR ≥ 4 (HR, 1.897; 95% CI, 1.268-2.837) and BCLC stage ≥ C (HR, 1.516; 95% CI, 1.028-2.236) were independently associated with progression-free survival. Disease control rate was significantly different between the patients with low NLR (<4) (85.5%) and high NLR (≥4) (67.3%) (P = .007). Spline curve analysis revealed that NLR of approximately 3.0-4.5 is an appropriate cut-off for associating overall survival.

CONCLUSIONS

NLR can be associated with outcomes in patients with HCC treated with lenvatinib.

Preoperative prognostic nutritional index as an independent prognostic factor for resected ampulla of Vater cancer

Introduction

Prognostic nutritional index (PNI) reflects the nutritional and immunologic status of the patients. The clinical application of PNI is already well-known in various kinds of solid tumors. However, there is no study investigating the relationship between PNI and oncological outcome of the resected ampulla of Vater (AoV) cancer.

Materials and methods

From January 2005 to December 2012, the medical records of patients who underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy for pathologically confirmed AoV cancer were retrospectively reviewed. Long-term oncological outcomes were compared according to the preoperative PNI value.

Result

A total of 118 patients were enrolled in this study. The preoperative PNI was 46.13±6.63, while the mean disease-free survival was 43.88 months and the mean disease-specific survival was 55.3 months. In the multivariate Cox analysis, initial CA19-9 (p = 0.0399), lymphovascular invasion (p = 0.0031), AJCC 8^th N-stage (p = 0.0018), and preoperative PNI (p = 0.0081) were identified as significant prognostic factors for resected AoV cancer. The disease-specific survival was better in the high preoperative PNI group (≤48.85: 40.77 months vs. >48.85: 68.05 months, p = 0.0015). A highly accurate nomogram was developed based on four clinical components to predict the 1, 3, and 5-year disease-specific survival probability (C-index 0.8169, 0.8426, and 0.8233, respectively).

Conclusion

In resected AoV cancer, preoperative PNI can play a significant role as an independent prognostic factor for predicting disease-specific survival.

The prognostic nutritional index predicts survival and response to first-line chemotherapy in advanced biliary cancer

BACKGROUND

An accurate risk-stratification is key to optimize the benefit-to-risk ratio of palliative treatment in advanced biliary cancer. We aimed at assessing the impact of the prognostic nutritional index (PNI) on survival and treatment response in advanced biliary cancer (ABC) receiving first-line chemotherapy.

METHODS

Medical records of ABC treated with standard chemotherapy at the Modena Cancer Centre were retrospectively reviewed for variables deemed of potential interest, including the PNI. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to investigate the association between the covariates and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

114 ABC fulfilled the inclusion criteria and made up the training cohort. A PNI cut-off value of 36.7 was established using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. At both the univariate and the multivariate analysis, low PNI value (<36.7) was associated with shorter OS (P = .0011), together with increased NLR (P = .0046) and ECOG >1 (P < .0001). The median OS was 5.4 vs 12.1 months in the low- vs high PNI-group. Moreover, a PNI value >36.7 resulted in a higher disease control in patients treated with gemcitabine/platinum combination (61.4% vs 34.3%). These results were validated in an independent cohort of 253 ABC.

CONCLUSIONS

We demonstrated and externally validated a prognostic role for the PNI in ABC treated with first-line chemotherapy. Although the PNI turned out to be predictive in the subset of patients receiving platinum/gemcitabine combination, future prospective confirmation is needed.

The Preoperative Prognostic Nutritional Index in Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Curative Hepatectomy: A Retrospective Cohort Study and Meta-Analysis

OBJECTIVE

Conflicting results existed about the role of prognostic nutritional index (PNI) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients who received curative hepatectomy. The aim of this study is to identify the predictive capacity of PNI for survival after hepatectomy.

METHODS

Preoperative PNI, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), tumor feature and clinical information of 187 patients with HCC from Sir Run Run Shaw hospital were evaluated. We also conducted a meta-analysis of seven cohort studies.

RESULTS

Our study showed that HCC patients with a low PNI of <45 had a poor recurrence-free survival (RFS) rate (hazard ratio [HR] 1.762, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.066-2.911, p = 0.027, respectively). The 5-year OS and RFS rates of the high PNI (≥45) vs low PNI (<45) were 76.7% vs 50.1% (p = 0.001) and 47.0% vs 28.9% (p = 0.001), respectively. In HCC TNM I patients (n = 144), a low PNI remained an independent prognostic factor of OS and RFS (HR 2.305, 95% CI 1.008-5.268, p = 0.048; HR 2.122, 95% CI 1.149-3.920, p = 0.016). The 5-year OS and RFS rates of the high PNI vs low PNI were 81.3% vs 62.4% (p = 0.041) and 53.4% vs 45.6% (p = 0.013), respectively. In the pooled analysis, the data showed that a low PNI was significantly associated with poor OS and RFS (HR 2.27, 95% CI 1.03-4.07, p < 0.001 and HR 1.68, 95% CI 1.45-1.94, p < 0.001, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The preoperative PNI was an independent prognostic factor for OS and RFS rates in HCC patients who received hepatectomy.

Prognostic significance of the controlling nutritional status (CONUT) score in patients undergoing hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The clinical value of the controlling nutritional status (CONUT) score in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has increased. The aim of this meta-analysis was to systematically review the association between the CONUT score and outcomes in patients undergoing hepatectomy for HCC.

METHODS

Embase, Medline Ovid, Web of Science, Cochrane CENTRAL, and Google Scholar were systematically searched. Random effects meta-analyses were conducted to examine the prognostic value of the CONUT score in HCC patients.

RESULTS

A total of five studies including 4679 patients were found to be eligible and analyzed in the meta-analysis. The CONUT score was significantly associated with overall survival (HR 1.78, 95%CI = 1.20-2.64, P = 0.004, I² = 79%), recurrence-free survival (HR 1.34, 95%CI = 1.17-1.53, P < 0.001, I² = 16%) and postoperative major complications (OR 1.85, 95%CI: 1.19-2.87, P = 0.006, I² = 72%) in HCC patients. Moreover, the CONUT score was associated with the Child-Pugh classification, liver cirrhosis, ICGR15, and tumor differentiation. However, it was not associated with tumor size, tumor number, and microvascular invasion.

CONCLUSIONS

The CONUT score is an independent prognostic indicator of the prognosis and is associated with postoperative major complications and hepatic functional reserve in HCC patients.

Effects of a new perioperative enhanced recovery after surgery protocol in hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma

PURPOSE

Enhanced recovery after surgery (ERAS) protocols are becoming the standard of care in many surgical procedures, although data on their use following hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are scarce. This study aimed to evaluate the effects of a new ERAS pathway in terms of the patient nutrition status after hepatectomy for HCC.

METHODS

This is a retrospective analysis of 97 consecutive patients treated with open or laparoscopic hepatectomy for HCC between January 2011 and August 2014. We compared the perioperative outcomes between patients whose treatment incorporated the ERAS pathway and control patients. The nutritional status was evaluated using the controlling nutritional status score.

RESULTS

The length of hospital stay (LOS) after both open and laparoscopic hepatectomy was shorter for the ERAS group than the control group. The days of ambulation and cessation of intravenous infusion were earlier and the postoperative nutrition status was statistically better in the ERAS group than in the control group. A multivariate analysis showed that being in the non-ERAS group was a risk factor of delayed discharge. There were no marked differences in the rate of severe complications between the two groups.

CONCLUSIONS

The ERAS pathway seems feasible and safe and results in a faster recovery, reduced LOS, improved nutrition status, and fewer severe complications.

Comparative performance of inflammation-based prognostic scores in patients operated for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma

Objective

Prognostic performance of inflammation-based prognostic scores, including the Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS), modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS), neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR), lymphocyte to monocyte ratio (LMR), Prognostic Index (PI) and Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI) has been explored in patients with varied types of cancer, though little data is available in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC). This study sought to evaluate the impact of systemic inflammation on the overall survival (OS) of ICC patients, and to identify more optimal prognostic indices.

Patients and methods

The prognostic power of all the scores mentioned above was compared in 123 patients underwent curative surgery for ICC using Kaplan–Meier curves, COX regression models and the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves. The results were validated in a cohort of 95 ICC patients.

Results

Multivariate analysis identified LMR as the only independent inflammation-based predictor for OS in the training cohort (P=0.007, HR 2.082, 95% CI 1.218–3.558). More importantly, the combined score of LMR and pTNM designated the inflammation-based pathological stage (IPS) outperformed other established scores in terms of discriminatory ability, monotonicity and homogeneity in the training and validation cohorts.

Conclusion

This study reveals that preoperative LMR is an independent predictor of OS in ICC patients after hepatectomy, and the IPS can be applied as a novel prognostic indicator in these patients.

Comparison of prognostic value of three objective nutritional indicators in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma before radical resection

BACKGROUND

Various nutrition-based prognostic scores, including control of nutritional status (CONUT) score, nutritional risk index (NRI), and prognostic nutritional index (PNI), are associated with survival rates in patients with various types of cancer.

AIM

To compare the prognostic value of the above-mentioned scores in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) before radical resection.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of 470 patients who underwent radical resection for HCC at the Yiwu Central Hospital from January 2007 to June 2016 was performed. Clinical pathological parameters, CONUT score, NRI, and PNI were collected and compared. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was calculated to compare the predictive power of each scoring system. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed using the COX proportional hazards model to identify risk factors associated with overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

In the univariate analysis, albumin, PNI, NRI, CONUT score, and histology were significantly associated with OS in patients with HCC. PNI, NRI, and CONUT score were significantly associated with 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year HCC survival rates. NRI always had a higher AUC value than other nutrition-based prognostic scores. In the multivariate analysis, AST (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.503, P = 0.031), FIB status (HR = 1.981, P = 0.001), and NRI (HR = 1.584, P = 0.014) were independent risk factors for prognosis in patients with HCC.

CONCLUSION

Our study suggests that NRI is superior to other nutrition-based prognostic scores in predicting overall survival in patients undergoing radical surgery for HCC.

Preoperative Predictors Including the Role of Inflammatory Indices in Predicting Early Recurrence After Re-resection for Recurrent Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Repeat liver resection (RLR) for recurrent HCC (rHCC) is a widely accepted treatment modality. However, early recurrence rate is high, frequently resulting in futile resection. We performed this study to evaluate preoperative factors, including the value of inflammatory indices, in predicting early (<1 year) recurrence in patients who underwent RLR for rHCC. This may help clinicians better select patients for RLR, while excluding cases in which RLR for rHCC would likely be futile.

METHODS

This is a retrospective study of 80 patients where 90 operative cases of RLR and 84 cases of early recurrence (<1 year) post-RLR were evaluated. Preoperative predictors of early recurrence and overall survival (OS) were assessed.

RESULTS

There were 31 (34.4%) early recurrences with a 5-year OS of 38.9%. Elevated platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) >103.6 was a significant independent preoperative predictor of both early recurrence, relative risk (RR) 4.284 (P = 0.001) and OS, RR 2.139 (P = 0.027), while alphafetoprotein (AFP) ≥ 200 was a significant independent preoperative predictor of early recurrence only, RR 11.655 (P = 0.030). Patients were followed-up at a median of 14.3 months with 54.8% developing intrahepatic recurrences and 19.4% developing extrahepatic recurrences.

CONCLUSION

Both, elevated PLR and AFP ≥ 200 were independent predictors of early (<1 year) recurrence after RLR for rHCC, while only an elevated PLR was an independent preoperative prognosticators of overall survival. Indication for RLR should be carefully discussed in patients with relapsed HCC with an elevated PLR, due to the potential of early recurrence and poor overall survival.

Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) may be superior to C-reactive protein (CRP) for predicting the occurrence of differentiated thyroid cancer

OBJECTIVES

NLR (neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio) and PLR (platelet-lymphocyte ratio) are prognostic markers of differentiated thyroid cancers. In our study, we evaluated NLR, PLR and C-reactive protein (CRP) for predicting the occurence of differentiated thyroid cancer. This is the first study that compares NLR and PLR to C-reactive protein indifferantiated thyroid cancer not only papillary cancer but also folliculer cancer.

METHODS

This study includes 51 papillary carcinoma, 42 papillary microcarcinoma and 31 folliculer carcinoma patients attending to our outpatient Endocrinology Clinic at Erzurum Region Training and Research Hospital between 2009 and 2014. The control group include 50 age, sex and body mass index matched healty subjects. Blood counts and CRP were measured at the day before surgery. Thyroglobulin was measured after 6 months of operation.

RESULTS

There were positive correlations between tumor diameter, age, white blood cell (WBC) and thyroglobulin levels. There were also positive correlation between NLR, PLR and CRP levels.

CONCLUSION

In our study, we found out that higher NLR and PLR was associated with higher levels of thyroglobulin which indicates worse survival. CRP levels were also associated with poorer tumor profile but the determining rate was lower according to ROC analysis.

Preoperative neutrophil-lymphocyte and platelet-lymphocyte ratios as independent predictors of T stages in hilar cholangiocarcinoma

Background: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the relationship between preoperative inflammatory markers (neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet–lymphocyte ratio (PLR)) and different American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) T stages in patients with hilar cholangiocarcinoma.

Methods: A total of 101 patients who underwent surgical treatment for hilar cholangiocarcinoma between 2003 and 2014 in Peking Union Medical College Hospital were retrospectively analyzed. Receiver-operating curves were used to calculate optimal cutoff values for the NLR and the PLR. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to identify whether the NLR and PLR can independently predict different AJCC T stages.

Results: Multivariate analysis showed that higher NLR and PLR independently predicted advanced AJCC T stages (OR 3.74, 95% CI 1.09–12.83, P=0.036; and OR 7.86, 95% CI 2.25–27.43, P=0.001, respectively). At a threshold of 2.75, the NLR was 75.9% sensitive and 66.7% specific for different AJCC T stages; at a threshold of 172.25, the PLR was 65.5% sensitive and 80.6% specific.

Conclusion: Preoperative NLR and PLR can be used as independent predictors of different AJCC T stages in patients with hilar cholangiocarcinoma.

Underlying liver disease and advanced stage liver cancer are associated with elevated neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio

Background/Aims

Inflammation-based scores, such as the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), have been associated with prognosis in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC); but variable cut-off values and potential lack of specificity have limited the utility of NLR. This study evaluates NLR in a large cohort of HCC patients.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed 789 HCC cases (1993–2017) for demographics, tumor characteristics, treatment, and survival. NLR was stratified into NLR ≥1.5 and NLR ≥3 and analyzed for correlation with American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stages. In 235 patients who underwent liver resection, survival and recurrence were evaluated by NLR.

Results

In 789 HCC cases, mean NLR was increased with advanced AJCC and BCLC stages. Hepatitis C patients were less likely to have NLR ≥1.5 and ≥3. Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis patients were more likely to have NLR ≥3. Patients with tumor size >5 cm, rupture, or macrovascular invasion were more likely to have NLR ≥3. In patients treated with resection, NLR ≥3 predicted early recurrence (odds ratio [OR] 4.14, P<0.01) and overall recurrence (OR 4.05, P<0.01). Mean NLR was 4.30 in those with recurrence and 2.75 in those without recurrence. Patients with NLR ≥3 showed significantly worse survival compared to those with NLR <3 (P<0.01 by log-rank test).

Conclusions

Elevated NLR is associated with advanced cancer stage and aggressive tumor characteristics, such as large size, rupture, and invasion. NLR ≥3 was associated with early and overall recurrence after resection but varied with etiology. NLR may be a useful biomarker in predicting recurrence for HCC patients undergoing curative resection, but further studies are required to elucidate the effect of disease etiology.