"Get with the Guidelines Heart Failure Risk Score" for mortality prediction in patients undergoing MitraClip

Prognostic Impact of the Get-with-the-Guidelines Heart-Failure Risk Score (GWTG-HF) after Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement in Patients with Low-Flow-Low-Gradient Aortic Valve Stenosis

OBJECTIVES

This study examined the prognostic value of the get-with-the-guidelines heart-failure risk score (GWTG-HF) on mortality in patients with low-flow-low-gradient aortic valve stenosis (LFLG-AS) after transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI).

BACKGROUND

Data on feasibility of TAVI and mortality prediction in the LFLG-AS population are scarce. Clinical risk assessment in this particular population is difficult, and a score has not yet been established for this purpose.

METHODS

A total of 212 heart failure (HF) patients with real LFLG-AS were enrolled. Patients were classified into low-risk (n = 108), intermediate-risk (n = 90) and high-risk (n = 14) groups calculated by the GWTG-HF score. Clinical outcomes of cardiovascular events according to Valve Academic Research Consortium (VARC-2) recommendations and composite endpoint of death and hospitalization for heart failure (HHF) were assessed at discharge and 1 year of follow-up.

RESULTS

Baseline parameters of the groups showed a median age of 81.0 years [77.0; 84.0] (79.0 vs. 82.0 vs. 86.0, respectively p < 0.001), median EuroSCORE II of 6.6 [4.3; 10.7] (5.5 vs. 7.2 vs. 9.1, p = 0.004) and median indexed stroke volume of 26.7 mL/m² [22.0; 31.0] (28.2 vs. 25.8 vs. 25.0, p = 0.004). The groups significantly differed at follow-up in terms of all-cause mortality (10.2 vs. 21.1 vs. 28.6%; p < 0.035). There was no difference in intrahospital event rate (VARC). Postprocedural mean gradients were lower in high-risk group (7.0 vs. 7.0 vs. 5.0 mmHg, p = 0.011). No differences in postprocedural aortic valve area (1.9 vs. 1.7 vs. 1.9 cm², p = 0.518) or rate of device failure (5.6 vs. 6.8 vs. 7.7%, p = 0.731) could be observed. After adjustment for known predictors, the GWTG score (HR 1.07 [1.01-1.14], p = 0.030) as well as pacemaker implantation (HR 3.97 [1.34-11.75], p = 0.013) turned out to be possible predictors for mortality. An increase in stroke volume index (SVI) was, in contrast, protective (HR 0.90 [0.83-0.97]; p = 0.006).

CONCLUSIONS

The GWTG score may predict mortality after TAVI in LFLG-AS HF patients. Interestingly, all groups showed similar intrahospital event and mortality rates, independent of calculated mortality risk. Low SVI and new conduction disturbances associated with PPI after THV implantation had negative impact on mid-term outcome in post-TAVI HF-patients.

Early Outcomes of 2 Mitral Valve Transcatheter Leaflet Approximation Devices: A Propensity Score-Matched Multicenter Comparison

BACKGROUND

In addition to the edge-to-edge MitraClip repair system, the edge-to-spacer PASCAL repair system was approved for percutaneous treatment of severe mitral regurgitation (MR). Comparative data are lacking.

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to compare procedural and short-term safety and efficacy of 2 leaflet-based transcatheter mitral valve repair systems.

METHODS

Procedural and 30-day outcomes were investigated in a propensity score-matched cohort of 307 PASCAL and 307 MitraClip patients at 10 sites. Matching criteria included sex, age, left ventricular ejection fraction, New York Heart Association functional class, MR etiology, left ventricular end-diastolic diameter, left atrial volume index, and vena contracta width. The primary efficacy endpoints were technical success and degree of residual MR at discharge. The primary safety endpoint was the rate of major adverse events (MAE).

RESULTS

Technical success was 97.0% in the PASCAL group and 98.0% in the MitraClip group (P = 0.624). MR ≤2+ at discharge was comparable in both groups (PASCAL: 93.8% vs MitraClip: 92.4%; P = 0.527), with more patients exhibiting MR ≤1+ in the PASCAL group (70.5% vs 56.6%; P < 0.001). The postprocedural mean gradient was significantly higher in the MitraClip group (3.3 ± 1.5 mm Hg vs 3.9 ± 1.7 mm Hg; P < 0.001). At 30 days, all-cause mortality and MAE rates were similar (mortality: 1.7% vs 3.3%; P = 0.299; MAE: 3.9% vs 5.2%; P = 0.562).

CONCLUSIONS

In this first large propensity score-matched comparison, procedural success rates and MAE did not differ significantly between patients treated with the PASCAL or MitraClip valve repair system. Procedural results with less than moderate MR and no elevated transmitral gradient were more common in the PASCAL group, which might have an impact on long-term outcome.

Therapie der sekundären Mitralklappeninsuffizienz – Strategien eines interuniversitären Verbundes

Die sekundäre Mitralinsuffizienz ist bei Patienten mit Herzinsuffizienz häufig und mit einem schlechten Verlauf assoziiert. Aufgrund des hohen OP-Risikos war die Therapie traditionell auf eine Behandlung der Herzinsuffizienz beschränkt. Die Entwicklung von kathetergestützten Techniken ermöglicht nun die Behandlung mit geringem Risiko. Wenngleich die Studienevidenz immer noch begrenzt ist, erfolgte in den aktuellen Leitlinien der europäischen Fachgesellschaften eine Aufwertung der kathetergestützten Therapie für ausgewählte Patienten mit hohem OP-Risiko und hoher Wahrscheinlichkeit für ein Therapieansprechen. Dennoch bleiben viele Fragen offen, was die Rolle der chirurgischen Behandlung und auch die Patientenselektion für kathetergestützte Therapieverfahren angeht. Hier beschreiben wir den aktuellen Stand der Behandlung der sekundären Mitralinsuffizienz und zeigen Strategien von transuniversitären Verbundprojekten mit dem Ziel, Evidenz für die Behandlung dieser Patienten zu entwickeln.

Recurrent Mitral Regurgitation After MitraClip: Predictive Factors, Morphology, and Clinical Implication

BACKGROUND

Recurrent mitral regurgitation (MR) following MitraClip has not been thoroughly investigated. We aimed to examine the predictive factors, morphology, and long-term outcome of recurrent MR after MitraClip.

METHODS

We assessed data from the Heart Failure Network Rhineland registry from August 2010 to October 2018. Competing risk analyses were performed using the Fine and Gray model to assess the risk of recurrent MR.

RESULTS

Among 685 MitraClip patients with a reduction in MR to ≤2+, 61 patients developed recurrent MR within the first 12 months. Flail leaflet (hazard ratio, 3.68; P=0.002) and residual MR (MR grade 2+ versus ≤1+: hazard ratio, 2.56; P=0.03) were the predictors of recurrent MR in primary MR patients, while left atrial volume (per 10 mL increase: hazard ratio, 1.11; P<0.001) and residual MR (hazard ratio, 2.45; P=0.01) were independently associated with recurrent MR in secondary MR patients. In primary MR patients, loss of leaflet insertion or leaflet tear were the predominant morphologies with recurrent MR. In secondary MR patients, more than half of the patients with recurrent MR did not show any disorder of the clip or leaflets. Patients with recurrent MR were more likely to experience unplanned heart failure hospitalization or heart failure symptom with New York Heart Association scale III/IV (54.1% versus 37.8%; P=0.018) and undergo a repeat mitral valve intervention (9.8% versus 2.2%; P=0.005) during the follow-up. In the landmark survival analysis, patients with recurrent MR tended to have lower long-term survival (58.7% versus 83.9%; P=0.08) than patients without recurrent MR.

CONCLUSIONS

Flail leaflet and residual MR were the predictors of recurrent MR in primary MR patients, while a larger left atrial volume and residual MR were associated with recurrent MR in secondary MR patients, which may be associated with long-term clinical outcomes of patients after MitraClip.

A Score to Assess Mortality After Percutaneous Mitral Valve Repair

BACKGROUND

Risk stratification for transcatheter edge-to-edge mitral valve repair (TEER) is paramount in the decision-making process for treating severe mitral regurgitation (MR).

OBJECTIVES

This study sought to create and validate a user-friendly score (MitraScore) to predict the risk of mortality in patients undergoing TEER.

METHODS

The derivation cohort was based on a multicentric international registry that included 1,119 patients referred for TEER between 2012 and 2020. Score discrimination was assessed using Harrell's c-statistic, and the calibration was evaluated with the Gronnesby and Borgan goodness-of-fit test. An external validation was carried out in 725 patients from the GIOTTO registry.

RESULTS

After multivariate analysis, we identified 8 independent predictors of mortality during the follow-up (2.1 ± 1.8 years): age ≥75 years, anemia, glomerular filtrate rate <60 mL/min/1.73 m², left ventricular ejection fraction <40%, peripheral artery disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, high diuretic dose, and no therapy with renin-angiotensin system inhibitors. The MitraScore was derived by assigning 1 point to each independent predictor. The c-statistic was 0.70. Per each point of the MitraScore, the relative risk of mortality increased by 55% (HR: 1.55; 95% CI: 1.44-1.67; P < 0.001). The discrimination and calibration for mortality prediction was better than those of EuroSCORE II (c-statistic 0.61) or Society of Thoracic Surgeons score (c-statistic 0.57). The MitraScore maintained adequate performance in the validation cohort (c-statistic 0.66). The score was also predictive for heart failure rehospitalization and was correlated with the probability of clinical improvement.

CONCLUSIONS

The MitraScore is a simple prediction algorithm for the prediction of follow-up mortality in patients treated with TEER.

Early response of right-ventricular function to percutaneous mitral valve repair

Background

The change in right-ventricular function (RVF) after transcatheter mitral valve repair is still poorly understood. We assessed the early response of RVF to the MitraClip procedure and its clinical relevance.

Methods

We analyzed consecutive patients who underwent a MitraClip procedure to treat MR between August 2010 and March 2019 in the Heart Failure Network Rhineland registry. RVF was assessed before and after the procedure. Impaired RVF was defined as an RV fractional area change (RVFAC) < 35% or tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) < 16 mm.

Results

816 eligible patients (77 ± 9 years, 58.5% male) were included in the analysis. Baseline values of RVF were: RVFAC 38.6 (IQR 29.7–46.7) % and TAPSE 17.0 (IQR 14.0–21.0) mm. At a median time of 3 (IQR 2–5) days after the procedure, the RVF remained normal in 34% (n = 274), normalized in 17% (n = 140), deteriorated in 15% (n = 125), and was persistently impaired in 34% (n = 277) of patients. The RVF response was significantly associated with a composite outcome of all-cause mortality and hospitalization due to heart failure within a 2-year follow-up. Compared to stable/normal RVF, the adjusted hazard ratios for the outcome were 1.78 (95% CI 1.10–2.86) for normalized RVF, 1.89 (95% CI 1.34–3.15) for deteriorated RVF, and 2.25 (95% CI 1.47–3.44) for persistently impaired RVF. Changes in TAPSE and RVFAC as continuous variables were significantly correlated with the outcome.

Conclusion

An early change in RVF following transcatheter mitral valve repair is predictive of mortality and hospitalization due to heart failure during follow-up.

Graphic abstract

Early response of RVF after MitraClip and its clinical significance. An acute, early change in RVF can be observed following the MitraClip procedure, which is associated with the risk of mortality and hospitalization for HF.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00392-021-01951-7.

Machine Learning Identifies Clinical Parameters to Predict Mortality in Patients Undergoing Transcatheter Mitral Valve Repair

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to develop a machine learning (ML)-based risk stratification tool for 1-year mortality in transcatheter mitral valve repair (TMVR) patients incorporating metabolic and hemodynamic parameters.

BACKGROUND

The lack of appropriate, well-validated, and specific means to risk-stratify patients with mitral regurgitation complicates the evaluation of prognostic benefits of TMVR in clinical trials and practice.

METHODS

A total of 1,009 TMVR patients from 3 university hospitals within the Heart Failure Network Rhineland were included; 1 hospital (n = 317) served as external validation. The primary endpoint was all-cause 1-year mortality. Model performance was assessed using receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis. In the derivation cohort, different ML algorithms were tested using 5-fold cross-validation. The final model, called MITRALITY (transcatheter mitral valve repair mortality prediction system) was tested in the validation cohort with respect to existing clinical scores.

RESULTS

Extreme gradient boosting was selected for the MITRALITY score, using only 6 baseline clinical features for prediction (in order of predictive importance): urea, hemoglobin, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, mean arterial pressure, body mass index, and creatinine. In the external validation cohort, the MITRALITY score's area under the curve was 0.783 (95% CI: 0.716-0.849), while existing scores yielded areas under the curve of 0.721 (95% CI: 0.63-0.811) and 0.657 (95% CI: 0.536-0.778) at best.

CONCLUSIONS

The MITRALITY score is a novel, internally and externally validated ML-based tool for risk stratification of patients prior to TMVR, potentially serving future clinical trials and daily clinical practice.

Prognostic value of hepatorenal function following transcatheter edge-to-edge mitral valve repair

BACKGROUND

Hepatorenal dysfunction is a strong prognostic predictor in patients with heart failure. However, the prognostic impact of the hepatorenal dysfunction in patients undergoing transcatheter mitral valve repair (TMVR) has not been well studied.

METHODS

In consecutive patients who underwent edge-to-edge TMVR at three German centers, the model for end-stage liver disease excluding international normalized ratio (MELD-XI) score was calculated as 5.11 × ln [serum total bilirubin (mg/dl)] + 11.76 × ln [serum creatinine (mg/dl)] + 9.44. Patients were stratified into high (> 11) or low (≤ 11) MELD-XI score of which an incidence of the composite outcome, consisting of all-cause mortality and heart failure hospitalization, within 2 years after TMVR was assessed.

RESULTS

Of the 881 patients, the mean MELD-XI score was 11.0 ± 5.9, and 415 patients (47.1%) had high MELD-XI score. The MELD-XI score was correlated with male, effective regurgitant orifice area, and tricuspid regurgitation severity and inversely related to left ventricular ejection fraction. Patients with high MELD-XI score had a higher incidence of the composite outcome than those with low MELD-XI score (47.7% vs. 29.8%; p < 0.0001), and in multivariable analysis, the high MELD-XI score was an independent predictor of the composite outcome [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.34; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.02-1.77; p = 0.04). Additionally, the MELD-XI score as a continuous variable was also an independent predictor (adjusted HR 1.02; 95% CI 1.00-1.05; p = 0.048).

CONCLUSIONS

The MELD-XI score was associated with clinical outcomes within 2 years after TMVR and can be a useful risk-stratification tool in patients undergoing TMVR.

Prognostic significance of the get with the guidelines-heart failure (GWTG-HF) risk score in patients undergoing trans-catheter tricuspid valve repair (TTVR)

The Get-With-The-Guidelines-Heart-Failure (GWTG-HF) score is a risk assessment tool to predict mortality in patients with heart-failure (HF). We aimed to evaluate the GWTG-HF score for risk stratification in HF patients with tricuspid regurgitation undergoing trans-catheter tricuspid valve repair (TTVR). In total, 181 patients who underwent TTVR via edge-to-edge repair (86%) or annuloplasty (14%) were enrolled. Patients were categorized into a low- (≤ 43 points), intermediate- (44–53 points) and high-risk score groups (≥ 54 points). TTVR led to an improvement of TR (p < 0.0001) and NYHA (p < 0.0001). Kaplan–Meier analysis and log-rank test revealed that higher GWTG-HF scores were associated with reduced rates of event-free survival regarding mortality (96% vs 89% vs 73%, respectively, p = 0.001) and hospitalization for heart failure (HHF) (89% vs 86% vs 74%, respectively, p = 0.026). After adjusting for important variables like renal function, left ventricular ejection fraction and mitral regurgitation, the GWTG-HF score remained an independent predictor of the composite endpoint of HHF or mortality (hazard ratio 1.04 per 1-point increase, p = 0.029). Other remaining predictors were renal function and mitral regurgitation. The GWTG-HF score used as a risk stratification tool of mortality and HHF maintains its prognostic value in a HF population with severe TR undergoing TTVR.