Mortality and risk factors among Israeli bullous pemphigoid patients

Survival and prognostic factors in bullous pemphigoid: A retrospective cohort study

Background

Bullous pemphigoid is the most common subepidermal autoimmune blistering disease. Till now, the reported prognostic factors in bullous pemphigoid vary considerably.

Aims

The purpose of this study was to determine the overall survival rate and prognostic factors in bullous pemphigoid.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective cohort study on newly diagnosed bullous pemphigoid patients between July 2001 and November 2019 in a referral unit for autoimmune blistering skin diseases in Romania.

Results

One hundred forty-eight patients were included in the study. The Kaplan-Meier overall survival rates at 1, 3, 5 and 10 years were respectively 74.2% (95% confidence interval, 67.5-81.6%), 53.4% (45.7-62.2%), 43.6% (35.9-53%) and 31.3% (23.5-41.7%). The median follow-up among survivors was 48 months (interquartile range: 11-150). Ninety (60.8%) patients died during the follow-up period; of them, 38 (42.2%) had active disease at the time of death. Advanced age, neurological diseases, valvular heart disease, malignancies, use of statins, skin infections and extensive cutaneous involvement were linked to poorer outcomes, while the use of topical corticosteroids was associated with increased overall survival.

Limitations

This study lacks a control cohort to validate the obtained results. It was conducted in a retrospective manner in a single centre. In addition, indirect immunofluorescence microscopy was not performed in all patients.

Conclusion

Beyond ageing and neurological comorbidities, the prognosis of bullous pemphigoid patients was significantly influenced by the presence of skin infections, valvular heart disease, use of statins and extensive cutaneous involvement. Topical corticosteroid treatment was associated with increased survival in these patients.

Mortality and prognostic factors in patients with bullous pemphigoid: a retrospective multicenter Italian study

INTRODUCTION

Bullous pemphigoid is the most common autoimmune bullous dermatosis. In recent years several studies have tried to identify the main factors of the disease related with an increased risk of death. The aim of this multicenter Italian study was to assess the risk score of death considering epidemiologic, clinical, immunological, and therapeutic factors in a cohort of patients affected by bullous pemphigoid and try to identify the cumulative survival up to 120 months.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of patients with bullous pemphigoid who were diagnosed between 2005 and 2020 in the 12 Italian centers. Data collected included sex, age at the time of diagnosis, laboratory findings, severity of disease, time at death/censoring, treatment, and multimorbidity.

RESULTS

A total of 572 patients were included in the study. The crude mortality rate was of 20.6%, with an incidence mortality rate of 5.9x100 person/year. The mortality rate at 1,3,5 and 10 years was 3,2%, 18,2%, 27,4% and 51,9%, respectively. Multivariate model results showed that the risk of death was significantly higher in patients older than 78 years, in presence of multimorbidity, anti-BP180 autoantibodies>72 U/ml or anti-BP230>3 U/ml at diagnosis. The variables jointly included provided an accuracy (Harrel's Index) of 77% for predicting mortality.

CONCLUSION

This study represents the first nationwide Italian study to have retrospectively investigated the mortality rates and prognostic factors in patients with bullous pemphigoid. A novel finding emerged in our study is that a risk prediction rule based on simple risk factors (age, multimorbidity, steroid-sparing drugs, prednisone use and disease severity) jointly considered with two biomarkers routinely measured in clinical practice (anti-BP230 and anti-BP180 autoantibodies) provided about 80% accuracy for predicting mortality in large series of patients with this disease.

Clinical Effectiveness and Safety of Initial Combination Therapy with Corticosteroids and Rituximab in Bullous Pemphigoid: A Retrospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Rituximab is a potential initial adjuvant therapy for bullous pemphigoid, yet clinical experience is scarce.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to examine the clinical outcomes and safety of initial combination therapy with systemic corticosteroids and adjuvant rituximab for the treatment of bullous pemphigoid.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was performed on 84 patients with bullous pemphigoid, who received systemic corticosteroids with or without initial adjuvant rituximab therapy (defined as rituximab use within 12 weeks after initiation of systemic corticosteroids).

RESULTS

Among the 84 patients included (37 received systemic corticosteroids with rituximab and 47 were treated with systemic corticosteroids without rituximab), the median time to complete remission on minimal therapy or off therapy was 215 days (95% confidence interval 176.9-253.1) in patients receiving rituximab vs 529 days (95% confidence interval 338.6-719.4) in those not receiving rituximab. A Cox regression analysis showed an increased probability of reaching complete remission on minimal therapy or off therapy with the combined therapy (hazard ratio = 2.28 [1.28-4.07], p = 0.005) after age, Bullous Pemphigoid Disease Activity Index score, and underlying diseases were controlled. In multivariate logistic/linear regressions, initial adjuvant rituximab therapy was associated with a higher complete remission rate (odds ratio = 6.63 [2.09-21.03]) and lower cumulative prednisolone (mg)/body weight (kg) (B = -24.86 [-44.06 to -8.29]) within 48 weeks. Risk of hospitalization for infection was not elevated in the group treated with adjuvant rituximab.

CONCLUSIONS

Rituximab use as adjuvant therapy within 12 weeks after initiation of systemic corticosteroids was associated with a faster and higher rate of achieving complete remission on minimal therapy or off therapy, as well as a significant corticosteroid-sparing effect and a comparable safety profile in this retrospective study. Hence, initial combination therapy with corticosteroids and adjuvant rituximab could serve as an effective treatment option for bullous pemphigoid, but this requires confirmation in randomized controlled studies.

Prognostic factors for mortality in bullous pemphigoid: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Objective

To systematically evaluate the prognostic factors for mortality in bullous pemphigoid.

Methods

PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, China Biology Medicine disc and Wanfang Database were searched to collect literature on the prognostic factors for mortality in bullous pemphigoid. The quality of studies was assessed by Newcastle–Ottawa Quality Assessment Scale. Two researchers extracted relevant data and scored study quality independently. The hazard ratio (HR) was calculated using the random effects model. Study heterogeneity was assessed using both Cochran’s Q test and I² statistics. The causes of heterogeneity were assessed by subgroup analysis and/ or sensitivity analysis when heterogeneity was significant. When ten or more studies were included as outcome indicators, publication bias was evaluated by funnel plot and Egger’s test.

Results

Out of a total of 1,546 articles retrieved, 15 studies involving 2,435 patients were included. The meta-analysis showed that the mortality of patients with bullous pemphigoid increased with positive bullous pemphigoid 180 antibody (HR = 1.85, 95%CI: 1.25~2.75, P = 0.002); concomitant dementia (HR = 2.26, 95%CI: 1.43~3.59, P<0.001); stroke (HR = 2.09, 95% CI: 1.23–3.55, P = 0.007); heart disease (HR = 1.96, 95% CI: 1.41–2.73, P<0.001) and diabetes mellitus (HR = 2.39, 95% CI: 1.55–3.69, P<0.001). Sex, positive indirect immunofluorescence and hypertension were not associated with prognosis.

Conclusion

Positive bullous pemphigoid 180 antibody, dementia, stroke, heart disease and diabetes mellitus were the prognostic factors for mortality in bullous pemphigoid.

Bullous Pemphigoid-Associated Mortality Rate in a Canadian Tertiary Referral Centre

BACKGROUND

Bullous pemphigoid (BP) is the most common autoimmune blistering disorder in adults. Most individuals with BP are over the age of 60. Its worldwide incidence has been increasing owing to population aging. Observational studies published over the last 2 decades highlight the non-negligible, albeit variable overall mortality of BP patients, with reported 12-month mortality rates of 10.8% to 40.8%, and 24-month mortality rates of 20.1% to 51.0%. Data in the Canadian population are lacking.

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to estimate the 12- and 24-month overall mortality rate of Canadian patients diagnosed with BP, and to identify independent risk factors adversely impacting overall survival.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study of 166 patients with a diagnosis of BP between 2010 and 2020 was carried out at Centre hospitalier de l'Université de Montréal (CHUM), a tertiary referral center in Montréal, Québec, Canada. Cumulative mortality was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier estimator, and independent prognostic factors were identified using a Cox proportional hazards regression model.

RESULTS

Eighty-five patients (51.2%) in our study were female. The median age was 79.1 years old, and 80 patients (48.2%) were 80 years old or older. Mortality at 12 and 24 months in our study cohort was 16.2% (CI95% = 10.5 - 21.8) and 27.6% (CI95% = 20.5 - 34.7), respectively. In a multivariate analysis, patients who were male, 80 years old or older, and/or had a diagnosis of a major neurocognitive disorder had a poorer overall survival.

CONCLUSIONS

The all-cause mortality of patients with BP in our study population compared favorably with international data reported in the literature.

Global Incidence and Prevalence of Bullous Pemphigoid: a Systematic Review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Integrated information on the global prevalence and incidence of bullous pemphigoid (BP) is lacking.

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the incidence and prevalence of BP in a systematic review and meta-analysis.

METHODS

Observational studies were included by using databases of Medline, EMBASE and Cochrane Library. Subgroup analysis was by continent, age, sex and country income level. Random-effects model was used. Between-study heterogeneity was assessed using the I² statistic.

RESULTS

The global incidence was 0.0419 per 1000 person-years (95% CI: 0.0414-0.0424). The incidence was 0.047 per 1000 person-years (95% CI: 0.0462-0.0477), 0.0419 per 1000 person-years (95% CI: 0.0411-0.0426), 0.0072 per 1000 person-years (95% CI: 0.0067-0.0078), 0.003 per 1000 person-years (95% CI: 0.0023-0.0039) in North America, Europe, Asia and Africa, respectively; 0.0202 per 1000 person-years (95% CI: 0.0196; 0.0208) and 0.0181 per 1000 person-years (95% CI: 0.0175; 0.0188) females and males; 0.001 per 1000 person-years (95% CI: 0.001-0.001), 0.002 per 1000 person-years (95% CI:0.001-0.002), 0.004 per 1000 person-years (95% CI: 0.004-0.004); 0.007 per 1000 person-years (95% CI: 0.007-0.008), 0.011 per 1000 person-years (95% CI: 0.011-0.012), 0.017 per 1000 person-years (95% CI: 0.015-0.018) for age < 50, 50-59, 60-69, 70-79, 80-89 and ≥90 years. 0.0038 per 1000 person-years (95% CI:0.0036-0.004112) (I2 = 99%, p<.05) and 0.0456 per 1000 person-years (95% CI:0.0450-0.0462) (I2 = 100%, p<.05). The pooled clinic-based prevalence was 0.79 % (95% CI: 0.75%-0.84%), and 1.13% (95% CI: 1.06%-1.21%), 0.21% (95% CI: 0.17%-0.26%), 0.13% (95% CI:0.1%-0.15%) for Asia, Africa and Europe.

CONCLUSIONS

This study identified the global incidence and prevalence of BP in terms of spatial and population distributions and among various income level. A relatively higher incidence was in Europe, females, older people and high-income level country. The prevalence was higher in Asia. These findings should be interpreted with caution due to high heterogeneity of included studies.

Emerging Biomarkers and Therapeutic Strategies for Refractory Bullous Pemphigoid

Bullous pemphigoid (BP) is the most common autoimmune subepidermal blistering disorder in the elderly. Systemic and topical use of glucocorticoids and immunosuppressants has been shown to be effective in most patients. However, refractory BP patients are challenged to clinicians with severe clinical symptoms, resistance to treatment, and high relapse rate. How to predict and assess the refractory and severity of bullous pemphigoid is the key issue in clinical practice, and the urgent need for precision medicine in refractory patients is driving the search for biomarkers and biologics. Recently, some biomarkers, such as the level of specific autoantibodies and released cytokines, have been proposed as the potential parameters to reflect the disease severity and predict the treatment response and relapse of refractory BP. Moreover, new biologics targeting pathogenic antibodies, complement, Th2 axis, eosinophils, and Th17 axis have shown potent efficacy on refractory BP. Here, we review the literature and give an overview of emerging biomarkers and therapeutic strategies for refractory bullous pemphigoid to improve the prognosis of the patient.

Mixed Individual-Aggregate Data on All-Cause Mortality in Bullous Pemphigoid: A Meta-analysis

Importance

The 1-year standardized mortality ratio (SMR) of bullous pemphigoid (BP) has been reported as 2.15 to 7.56 and lower in the US than in Europe.

Objective

To estimate the worldwide 1-year SMR of BP.

Data Sources

PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, Google Scholar, Lissa, and gray literature (eg, medRxiv) were screened for studies of BP published from inception to June 10, 2020, with review of reference lists.

Study Selection

Retrospective and prospective studies reporting 1-year all-cause mortality rate in patients with BP and providing age statistics (eg, mean [SD]).

Data Extraction and Synthesis

Two reviewers independently extracted the data. The 1-year SMR was computed in studies reporting 1-year mortality by combining information on age obtained from studies with aggregate data and individual data. Risk of representativity, misclassification, and attrition bias were assessed by a custom tool.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary end point was the worldwide 1-year SMR. Secondary analysis included comparison of 1-year SMRs between continents in a meta-regression.

Results

Three studies were performed in the US (n = 260), 1 in South America (n = 45), 16 in Asia (n = 1903), and 36 in Europe (n = 10 132) for a total of 56 unique studies and 12 340 unique patients included in the meta-analysis (mean [SD] age, 77.3 [12.7] years; 55.9% women). The mean (SD) patient age in the United States was 75.6 (13.7) years; in Asia, 73.8 (13.6) years; and in Europe, 78.1 (12.3) years. The worldwide 1-year SMR was estimated at 2.93 (95% CI, 2.59-3.28; I2 = 85.6%) for all 56 studies. The 1-year SMR in the US was 2.40 (95% CI, 0.89-3.90; I2 = 86.3%) for 3 studies; in Asia, 3.53 (95% CI, 2.85-4.20; I2 = 86.3%) for 16 studies; and in Europe, 2.77 (95% CI, 2.35-3.19; I2 = 86.3%) for 36 studies. After adjustment on the expected 1-year mortality rate, the European 1-year SMR did not differ significantly from the 1-year SMR in the United States (-0.48 vs Europe; 95% CI, -2.09 to 1.14; P = .56) and Asia (0.51 vs Europe; 95% CI, -0.56 to 1.58; P = .35). Risk of attrition bias was high (>10% censorship) in 16 studies (28.6%), low in 16 (28.6%), and unclear in 24 (42.9%). Only 4 studies (7.1%) had a sampling method guaranteeing the representativity of BP cases in a population.

Conclusions and Relevance

Although heterogeneity was high and overall quality of follow-up was poor, this meta-analysis confirms the high mortality rate among patients with BP.

Association of Immunosuppressants with Mortality of Patients with Bullous Pemphigoid: A Nationwide Population-Based Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Bullous pemphigoid (BP) is a common autoimmune blistering skin disease with substantial mortality.

OBJECTIVE

To identify whether the use of immunosuppressants was associated with reduced mortality in BP patients.

METHODS

The data for this study were obtained from the National Health Insurance Research Database in Taiwan from January 1, 1997 to December 31, 2013. Those BP patients receiving any immunosuppressant for ≥28 days per month for 3 consecutive months were defined as the immunosuppressant cohort. In total, 452 BP patients on immunosuppressants were matched 1:4 by age, sex, propensity score of comorbidities, and use of tetracycline with 1,808 BP patients taking only corticosteroids.

RESULTS

The immunosuppressant cohort had a significantly lower 5-year mortality rate than the corticosteroid cohort (0.57 vs. 0.67). In the multivariable regression analysis adjusted for covariates, the use of immunosuppressants significantly reduced the risk of mortality (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.78, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.68-0.90, p < 0.001). Hyperlipidemia also reduced risk of mortality. However, age, diabetes, renal disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, cerebrovascular disease, and dementia were significant risk factors for mortality. In the subgroup analysis, the risk of mortality decreased most substantially in those aged <70 years (HR: 0.45, 95% CI: 0.28-0.72).

CONCLUSION

Immunosuppressant use was associated with a 22% reduced risk of BP mortality. The effects were more substantial in those aged <70 years, with a 55% reduced risk of mortality.

Incidence of pemphigoid diseases in Northern Germany in 2016 - first data from the Schleswig-Holstein Registry of Autoimmune Bullous Diseases

BACKGROUND

Autoimmune bullous diseases (AIBD) are rare disorders characterized by autoantibody formation against components of adhesion molecules; in pemphigoid diseases (PD), these are proteins of hemidesmosomes and basement membrane, important for cell-matrix adhesion in skin and/or mucous membranes. Incidences of these diseases vary considerably between different populations.

OBJECTIVES

To establish a registry prospectively recruiting all AIBD patients in a geographically well-defined region in Northern Germany (Schleswig-Holstein).

METHODS

Only patients with verified disease (by clinical presentation, histology, direct and/or indirect immunofluorescence and /or ELISA) living in Schleswig-Holstein were included. Incidences of PD were estimated based on the total number of inhabitants in Schleswig-Holstein, stratified by birth year and sex.

RESULTS

Of 67 patients with PD [35 male, 32 female, mean age 75 (standard deviation 14.3 years)], 83% were patients with bullous pemphigoid [n = 56, 28 male, 28 female, mean age 78 (SD 9.9)]. The resulting crude incidences were 23.4 patients/million/year for all pemphigoid patients, 19.6 patients/million/year for bullous pemphigoid (age-standardized 16.9 patients/million/year) with a strong increase in bullous pemphigoid patients in the age group of 85-90 years with 262 patients/million/year. Incidences for bullous pemphigoid were higher in urban compared to rural areas. Other PD (mucous membrane pemphigoid, linear IgA disease, anti-p200 pemphigoid) were less frequent with crude incidences of 2.1, 1.0 and 0.7 patients/million/year, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

This study prospectively analyses the incidence of PD in a carefully defined geographical area. The highest incidence among PD patients was found for bullous pemphigoid. The incidence of bullous pemphigoid is considerably increased compared to previous reports and reveals regional differences. Further studies are needed in order to clarify these findings.

Clinical characteristics, mortality, and prognostic factors for bullous pemphigoid in a Thai population

Bullous pemphigoid is an uncommon, autoimmune, blistering disease. Clinical features, associated conditions, and outcomes differ according to country. We aimed to determine the mortality rate and clinical characteristics of Thai patients and to evaluate the risk factors associated with survival.A retrospective analysis was conducted on 119 patients, over a ten-year period, at Songklanagarind Hospital, the largest tertiary university hospital in Southern Thailand.The median age of onset was 82 years [interquartile range 72, 90], and 60 (50.4%) patients were men. The underlying diseases were hypertension (53.8%), neurological disease (42.8%), and diabetes mellitus (31.9%). Fifty-eight patients (48.7%) experienced pruritus, and 61.3% of patients had mild cutaneous lesions (less than 10% of the body surface area) on the day of diagnosis. Nine percent of patients presented with mucosal involvement. Complete blood counts showed anemia (32.8%), neutrophilia (30.3%), and eosinophilia (42.9%). The 1-, 3- and 5-year overall mortality rates were 28.1% [95% confidence interval (CI), 7.8-36.6], 55.7% (95% CI, 44.4-64.7) and 71.9% (95% CI 59.9-80.2), respectively. On multivariate analysis, high neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio [odds ratio (OR) 5.55, P < .001] and anemia (OR 2.93, P = .025) were found to be independently associated with mortality rate, whereas disease remission (OR 0.25, P = .003) was demonstrated to be a good prognostic factor.This is the first study to analyze the mortality rate of Bullous pemphigoid in Thailand. Mortality was associated with high neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio and anemia.

Invariant natural killer T cells are reduced in peripheral blood of bullous pemphigoid patients and accumulate in lesional skin

iNKT (invariant natural killer T) cells are unconventional immunoregulatory T cells which contribute to B cell maturation, antibody and cytokine production. iNKT cells are implicated in the control of autoimmune inflammation in different disorders. For bullous pemphigoid (BP), the most frequent bullous autoimmune dermatosis, the role of iNKT cells has not yet been studied. We, therefore, aimed at investigating the frequency of iNKT cells in peripheral blood and biopsies from lesional and non-lesional skin from patients with BP and controls. Circulating CD3⁺iTCR⁺ iNKT cells were assessed by flow cytometry in peripheral blood from 30 patients with BP and from 29 controls (19 patients with skin tumors and 10 healthy controls). In 34 lesional and 13 non-lesional skin biopsies from BP patients and 17 biopsies from control individuals the number of Vα24⁺Vβ11⁺ iNKT cells was investigated by immunofluorescence staining. BP patients showed a significantly lower frequency of circulating iNKT cells compared to the control group. Patients with severe disseminated blistering tended to display lower iNKT cell numbers than patients with moderate disease severity. In lesional skin of BP patients, an enrichment of iNKT cells was detected compared to skin biopsies from controls. Similarly to control biopsies, non-lesional biopsies of BP patients contained only few iNKT cells. In conclusion, the deficiency of circulating iNKT cells associated with enrichment at the site of cutaneous inflammation suggests that iNKT cells may play a pathophysiologically relevant role in BP.

From bench to bedside: evolving therapeutic targets in autoimmune blistering disease

Autoimmune blistering diseases comprise a group of heterogenous conditions characterized by the loss of tolerance and subsequent development of autoantibodies targeting epidermal and subepidermal adhesion proteins. Blisters and erosions form on the skin and mucous membranes leading to significant morbidity and mortality. Traditional therapies rely on systemic immunosuppression. Advancements in our understanding of the pathophysiology of pemphigus and pemphigoid have led to the development of molecules which target specific pathways involved in induction and perpetuation of disease. In this review, we outline the novel therapeutic strategies including B-cell depletion, T-regulatory cell repletion, cell signalling inhibitors and small molecular inhibitors, inhibitory monoclonal antibodies, as well as complement inhibition. We additionally review their current level of clinical evidence. We lastly review therapeutics targets gleaned from the experimental epidermolysis bullosa acquisita mouse model. These emerging treatments offer an exciting progression from basic science discoveries that have the potential to transform the treatment paradigm in autoimmune blistering diseases.

Coagulation and Skin Autoimmunity

Several lines of evidence indicate that the immune system, inflammation, and coagulation are simultaneously activated in autoimmune and immune-mediated skin diseases. Pro-inflammatory cytokines such as interleukin-6 and tumor necrosis factor-alpha induce the expression of the main initiator of coagulation, i.e., tissue factor. The proteases of coagulation in turn act on protease-activated receptors inducing the expression of various pro-inflammatory cytokines triggering inflammation. The cross-talk among immune system, inflammation, and coagulation amplifies and maintains the activation of all three pathways. This review focuses on three skin disorders as chronic spontaneous urticaria (CSU), angioedema, and bullous pemphigoid (BP), in which the relationships among the three systems have been investigated or their clinical consequences are relevant. Markers of thrombin generation, fibrinolysis, and inflammation have been reported to be increased in the plasma during flares of CSU and angioedema, as well as in the active phase of BP, with the marker levels reverting to normal during remission. The coagulation activation seems to be important only at local level in CSU and angioedema while both at local and systemic levels in BP which is the only condition associated with an increased thrombotic risk. The prothrombotic state in autoimmune skin diseases raises the question of the indication of anticoagulant treatment, particularly in the presence of other cardiovascular risk factors.