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Sun Z, Wang Z, Qi X, Wang D, Gu X, Wang J, Lu H, Chen Y. Understanding key contributing factors on the severity of traffic violations by elderly drivers: a hybrid approach of latent class analysis and XGBoost based SHAP. Int J Inj Contr Saf Promot 2024; 31:273-293. [PMID: 38284989 DOI: 10.1080/17457300.2023.2300479] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/16/2023] [Accepted: 12/24/2023] [Indexed: 01/30/2024]
Abstract
Traffic violation is one of the leading causes of traffic crashes. In the context of global aging, it is important to study traffic violations by elderly drivers for improving traffic safety in preparation for a worldwide aging population. In this study, a hybrid approach of Latent Class Analysis (LCA) and XGBoost based SHAP is proposed to identify hidden clusters and to understand the key contributing factors on the severity of traffic violations by elderly drivers, based on the police-reported traffic violation dataset of Beijing (China). First, LCA is applied to segment the dataset into several latent homogeneous clusters, then XGBoost based SHAP is established on each cluster to identify feature contributions and the interaction effects of the key contributing factors on the severity of traffic violations by elderly drivers. Two comparison groups were set up to analyze factors, which are responsible for the different severities of traffic violations. The results show that elderly drivers can be classified into four groups by age, urban or not, license, and season; factors such as less annual number of traffic violations, national & provincial highway, night and winter are key contributing factors for higher severity of traffic violations, which are consistent with common cognition; key contributing factors for all clusters are similar but not identical, for example, more annual number of traffic violations contribute to more severe violation for all clusters except for Cluster 2; some factors which are not key contributing factors may affect the severity of traffic violations when they are combined with other factors, for example, the combination of lower annual number of traffic violations and county & township highway contributes to more severe violation for Cluster 1. These findings can help government to formulate targeted countermeasures to decrease the severity of traffic violations by specific elderly groups and improve road service for the driving population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zhiyuan Sun
- Beijing Key Laboratory of Traffic Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, China
| | - Zhicheng Wang
- Beijing Key Laboratory of Traffic Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, China
| | - Xin Qi
- Beijing Key Laboratory of Traffic Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, China
| | - Duo Wang
- Beijing Key Laboratory of Traffic Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, China
| | - Xin Gu
- Beijing Key Laboratory of Traffic Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, China
| | - Jianyu Wang
- Beijing Key Laboratory of General Aviation Technology, Beijing University of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Beijing, China
| | - Huapu Lu
- Institute of Transportation Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Yanyan Chen
- Beijing Key Laboratory of Traffic Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, China
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Benedetti MH, Humphries KD, Codden R, Sagar S, Kufera JA, Cook LJ, Norris J, Stamatiadis N, Vesselinov R, Zhu M. Age-based variability in the association between restraint use and injury type and severity in multi-occupant crashes. Ann Epidemiol 2022; 76:114-120.e2. [PMID: 36244513 PMCID: PMC9912102 DOI: 10.1016/j.annepidem.2022.10.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/18/2022] [Revised: 09/30/2022] [Accepted: 10/06/2022] [Indexed: 11/19/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE Previous studies have shown older adults receive relatively less protection from seat belts against fatal injuries, however it is unknown how seat belt protection against severe and torso injury changes with age. We estimated age-based variability in seat belt protection against fatal injuries, injuries with maximum abbreviated injury scale greater than two (MAIS 3+), and torso injuries. METHODS We leveraged the Crash Outcome Data Evaluation System to analyze binary indicators of fatal, MAIS 3+, and torso injuries. Using a matched cohort design and conditional Poisson regression, we estimated age-based relative risks (RR) of the outcomes associated with seat belt use. RESULTS Our results suggested that seat belts were highly protective against fatal injuries for all ages. For ages 16-30, seat belt use was associated with 66% lower risk of MAIS3+ injury (RR 0.34, 95% CI 0.30, 0.38) for occupants of the same vehicle, whereas for ages 75 and older, seat belt use was associated with 38% lower risk of MAIS3+ injury (RR 0.62; 95% CI 0.45, 0.86) for occupants in the same vehicle. The association between restraint use and torso injury also attenuated with age. CONCLUSIONS In multi-occupant crashes, seat belts were highly protective against fatal and MAIS3+ injury, however seat belt protection against MAIS3+ and torso injury attenuated with age.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marco H Benedetti
- The Center for Injury Research and Policy, Abigail Wexner Research Institute at Nationwide Children's Hospital, Columbus, OH
| | - Kayleigh D Humphries
- The Center for Injury Research and Policy, Abigail Wexner Research Institute at Nationwide Children's Hospital, Columbus, OH
| | | | - Shraddha Sagar
- UFTI Technology (T2) Center, Engineering School of Sustainable Infrastructure & Environment, University of Florida, Gainesville
| | | | | | | | | | | | - Motao Zhu
- The Center for Injury Research and Policy, Abigail Wexner Research Institute at Nationwide Children's Hospital, Columbus, OH; Division of Epidemiology, College of Public Health, The Ohio State University, Columbus; Department of Pediatrics, College of Medicine, The Ohio State University, Columbus.
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Assessing School Travel Safety in Scotland: An Empirical Analysis of Injury Severities for Accidents in the School Commute. SAFETY 2022. [DOI: 10.3390/safety8020029] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/01/2023] Open
Abstract
School travel has been a significant source of safety concerns for children, parents, and public authorities. It will continue to be a source of concerns as long as severe accidents continue to emerge during pupils’ commute to school. This study provides an empirical analysis of the factors influencing the injury severities of the accidents that occurred on trips to or from school in Scotland. Using 9-year data from the STATS19 public database, random parameter binary logit models with allowances for heterogeneity in the means were estimated in order to investigate injury severities in urban and rural areas. The results suggested that factors such as the road type, lighting conditions, vehicle type, and age of the driver or casualty constitute the common determinants of injury severities in both urban and rural areas. Single carriageways and vehicles running on heavy oil engines were found to induce opposite effects in urban and rural areas, whereas the involvement of a passenger car in the accident decomposed various layers of unobserved heterogeneity for both area types. The findings of this study can inform future policy interventions with a focus on traffic calming in the proximity of schools.
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Eichinger M, Robb HDP, Scurr C, Tucker H, Heschl S, Peck G. Challenges in the PREHOSPITAL emergency management of geriatric trauma patients - a scoping review. Scand J Trauma Resusc Emerg Med 2021; 29:100. [PMID: 34301281 PMCID: PMC8305876 DOI: 10.1186/s13049-021-00922-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/28/2021] [Accepted: 07/14/2021] [Indexed: 01/07/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Despite a widely acknowledged increase in older people presenting with traumatic injury in western populations there remains a lack of research into the optimal prehospital management of this vulnerable patient group. Research into this cohort faces many uniqu1e challenges, such as inconsistent definitions, variable physiology, non-linear presentation and multi-morbidity. This scoping review sought to summarise the main challenges in providing prehospital care to older trauma patients to improve the care for this vulnerable group. METHODS AND FINDINGS A scoping review was performed searching Google Scholar, PubMed and Medline from 2000 until 2020 for literature in English addressing the management of older trauma patients in both the prehospital arena and Emergency Department. A thematic analysis and narrative synthesis was conducted on the included 131 studies. Age-threshold was confirmed by a descriptive analysis from all included studies. The majority of the studies assessed triage and found that recognition and undertriage presented a significant challenge, with adverse effects on mortality. We identified six key challenges in the prehospital field that were summarised in this review. CONCLUSIONS Trauma in older people is common and challenges prehospital care providers in numerous ways that are difficult to address. Undertriage and the potential for age bias remain prevalent. In this Scoping Review, we identified and discussed six major challenges that are unique to the prehospital environment. More high-quality evidence is needed to investigate this issue further.
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Affiliation(s)
- Michael Eichinger
- Major Trauma and Cutrale Perioperative and Ageing Group, Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, London, UK
| | - Henry Douglas Pow Robb
- Academic Clinical Fellow in General Surgery, Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, London, UK
| | - Cosmo Scurr
- Department of Anaesthesia, Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, London, UK
| | | | - Stefan Heschl
- Department of Cardiac, Thoracic and Vascular Anaesthesiology and Intensive Care, Medical University Hospital, Graz, Austria
| | - George Peck
- Cutrale Peri-operative and Ageing Group, Imperial College London, London, UK
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Leijdesdorff HA, Gillissen S, Schipper IB, Krijnen P. Injury Pattern and Injury Severity of In-Hospital Deceased Road Traffic Accident Victims in The Netherlands: Dutch Road Traffic Accidents Fatalities. World J Surg 2021; 44:1470-1477. [PMID: 31897694 DOI: 10.1007/s00268-019-05348-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/19/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Further reduction in road traffic accident (RTA) fatalities is a key priority in the European Union. Since data on injury patterns related to mortality in RTAs are scarce, the aim of this study was to analyze injury patterns and injury severity of in-hospital RTA fatalities in the Netherlands. METHODS All in-hospital deceased RTA victims in the Netherlands during the period 2015-2016 were analyzed. Data were obtained from the National Trauma Registry. Injury patterns, injury severity, accident and patient characteristics of road user groups were compared. RESULTS A total of 497 deceased RTA victims were analyzed, of which most were bicyclists. All analyzed motorcyclists had an ISS ≥ 16. Head trauma was most frequent in pedestrians (73.7%) and bicyclists (71.3%). Thorax trauma was most frequent in motorcyclists and motorists (60.9% and 65.8%, respectively). RTA victims younger than 25 years were more severely injured (median ISS 38, interquartile range [IQR] 29-46) compared to RTA victims aged over 75 years (median ISS 25, IQR 13-30). More than 10% of the severely injured (ISS ≥ 16) RTA victims was not transported to a level I trauma center. The majority of this group was older than 75 years. CONCLUSIONS Further prevention of head trauma is needed to reduce RTA fatalities, especially in bicyclists. Also, undertriage of severe trauma in elderly RTA victims is obvious and should be addressed in the early phases of trauma care, especially during prehospital triage and initial care at admission.
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Affiliation(s)
- Henry A Leijdesdorff
- Department of Trauma Surgery, K06-R, Leiden University Medical Center, PO Box 9600, 2300 RC, Leiden, The Netherlands. .,Trauma Unit, Department of Surgery, Haaglanden Medical Center, The Hague, The Netherlands.
| | - Stijn Gillissen
- Department of Trauma Surgery, K06-R, Leiden University Medical Center, PO Box 9600, 2300 RC, Leiden, The Netherlands
| | - Inger B Schipper
- Department of Trauma Surgery, K06-R, Leiden University Medical Center, PO Box 9600, 2300 RC, Leiden, The Netherlands
| | - Pieta Krijnen
- Department of Trauma Surgery, K06-R, Leiden University Medical Center, PO Box 9600, 2300 RC, Leiden, The Netherlands
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Halari MM, Shkrum MJ. Fatal Motor Vehicle-Pedestrian Collision Injury Patterns-A Systematic Literature Review. Acad Forensic Pathol 2020; 10:144-157. [PMID: 33815635 PMCID: PMC7975992 DOI: 10.1177/1925362120986059] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/10/2020] [Accepted: 12/14/2020] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Injury patterns in pedestrians struck by motor vehicles were described in medical literature first published almost a half century ago. "Classical" triads of injury distribution were described for adults (skull-pelvis-extremity) and subsequently applied to children (head-hip or pelvis-distal femur/knee joint). Notably, these classical triads were derived from two publications reporting clinical observations of only 11 patients, all of whom were adults. METHODS A systematic literature review was conducted using Medline, CINAHL, EMBASE, and Cochrane to determine the evidence-base for motor vehicle collision (MVC)-pedestrian injury "triads" and other trauma patterns described for pedestrians in the adult and pediatric age groups. RESULTS Of the 1540 full-text articles identified in the review, 56 articles published in English met the inclusion criteria, that is, motor vehicle-pedestrian collision resulting in specific, fatal injuries determined by postmortem examinations. There were variations in injury patterns that differed from the "classical" triads. These differences likely stem from advances in vehicle design and safety features which have affected the nature and distribution of injuries. DISCUSSION Further research on the correlation of specific injuries sustained by pedestrians of different ages with various types of vehicles and impacts are needed to assess the validity of previously observed injury patterns in relation to the current motor vehicle fleet. Delineation of injury patterns can assist health care teams in trauma management. Vehicle manufacturers and government regulators can better assess whether the introduction of advanced driver assistance features designed to protect pedestrians when struck will be effective in reducing severe injuries. In forensic pathology practice, knowledge of pedestrian injury patterns based on data representative of impacts involving modern vehicles can provide MVC death investigators the means to determine MVC dynamics and pedestrian kinematics.
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Affiliation(s)
- Moheem Masumali Halari
- Moheem Masumali Halari, Department of
Pathology & Laboratory Medicine, London Health Sciences Centre–University
Hospital, Room A3-140, 339 Windermere Rd, London, Ontario Canada N6A 5A5;
Michael James Shkrum, Department of Pathology
& Laboratory Medicine, London Health Sciences Centre–University Hospital,
Room A3-140, 339 Windermere Rd, London, Ontario Canada N6A 5A5;
| | - Michael James Shkrum
- Moheem Masumali Halari, Department of
Pathology & Laboratory Medicine, London Health Sciences Centre–University
Hospital, Room A3-140, 339 Windermere Rd, London, Ontario Canada N6A 5A5;
Michael James Shkrum, Department of Pathology
& Laboratory Medicine, London Health Sciences Centre–University Hospital,
Room A3-140, 339 Windermere Rd, London, Ontario Canada N6A 5A5;
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Furtado BMASM, Lima ACBD, Ferreira RCG. Road traffic accidents involving elderly people: an integrative review. REVISTA BRASILEIRA DE GERIATRIA E GERONTOLOGIA 2019. [DOI: 10.1590/1981-22562019022.190053] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/22/2022] Open
Abstract
Abstract Objective: To identify the epidemiological and socio-demographic profile of elderly victims of traffic accidents reported in articles published in scientific literature from 2013 to 2018. Method: The Literatura Latino Americana em Ciências da Saúde (Latin American Literature in Health Sciences), Base de Dados de Enfermagem (Database in Nursing), Scientific Electronic Library Online, and Medical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System Online databases were used, with the guiding question being: What is the scientific production on traffic accidents involving elderly people? A total of 355 articles were found. After the application of the selection criteria, 16 were evaluated, and nine remained for final analysis. Results: The age range was 60 to 69 years and the majority of the sample were men, who were married and had low schooling. Being run over was the most frequent accident. The width of the traffic lanes and the time of the accident influenced the frequency and risk of accidents and the severity of the injuries. Conclusion: Younger elderly persons were the most affected, and being run over was the most frequent type of accident.
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Secondary sclerosing cholangitis in critically ill patients after a traffic accident-a new entity that should be considered in death classification. Int J Legal Med 2018; 132:1729-1732. [PMID: 29484493 DOI: 10.1007/s00414-018-1801-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/28/2017] [Accepted: 02/14/2018] [Indexed: 10/17/2022]
Abstract
A 49-year-old female sustained a polytrauma after being hit by a vehicle in a traffic accident. Following the incident, the woman had various surgical interventions and underwent intensive care over a 6-week period. Eight months later, she died after developing secondary sclerosing cholangitis (SSC). Autopsy revealed liver failure and hepatic encephalopathy due to SSC caused by the polytrauma and the subsequent intensive care. Prior to the accident, there was no evidence of a pre-existing liver or biliary system disease. The death of the patient was classified as non-natural as a causal consequence of the traffic accident. SSC has been clinically described as a complication of intensive care. Since it has a high mortality rate, it is important that forensics and pathologists are aware of the condition.
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A decade of road traffic fatalities among the elderly in north-West Iran. BMC Public Health 2018; 18:111. [PMID: 29310628 PMCID: PMC5759218 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-017-4976-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/25/2016] [Accepted: 12/05/2017] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Iran has a uniquely catastrophic status for road traffic injury incidence and fatality. The elderly account for a substantial number of the hospitalizations and fatalities due to traffic injuries. The aim of this study was to investigate the crash mechanisms and medical outcomes of traffic fatalities among the elderly in East Azerbaijan province of Iran during the period 2006–2016. Methods A total of 9435 fatalities registered in East Azerbaijan forensic medicine database, Iran, during 2006–2016, were investigated. Of these, 1357 were elderly persons (age > 65). Both victim- and crash-related variables were compared for the elderly and other age groups. Bivariate and multivariate analysis methods were applied using Stata statistical software package version 13. Results Of the 9435 fatalities, 1357 victims (14.4%) were elderly persons. The mean age of the elderly traffic fatalities was 75.3(SD = 6.2) years. About 78% of the elderly versus 80% of those in other age groups were males. A decreasing trend of fatal traffic accidents was observed over the study period both for the elderly and other age groups. The elderly were nearly seven times more likely to die as a pedestrian compared to other age groups. By exclusively analyzing pedestrians, it was found that motorcycles were responsible for pedestrian deaths in 9.1% of the fatalities while this figure was 5.5% for pedestrians in other age groups killed in a traffic accident (P < 0.05). About 56% (N = 761) of the elderly died in hospital which was higher than the proportion for other age groups (39%). Ambulance was the main vehicle for transferring the injured victims in four-fifths of the cases both for the elderly and other age groups. Although, in the present study, head injuries were the most common type of injury regardless of the age group, the elderly had a lower percentage of head injuries and a higher percentage of injuries to the torso, pelvis and limbs compared to younger victims. Conclusions Pedestrian inner-city crashes in East Azerbaijan province of Iran are a major cause of road injury fatalities among the elderly and should be considered as a priority in road safety interventions.
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Katayama Y, Kitamura T, Kiyohara K, Iwami T, Kawamura T, Hayashida S, Ogura H, Shimazu T. Factors associated with prehospital death among traffic accident patients in Osaka City, Japan: A population-based study. TRAFFIC INJURY PREVENTION 2018; 19:49-53. [PMID: 28658590 DOI: 10.1080/15389588.2017.1347645] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/25/2017] [Accepted: 06/22/2017] [Indexed: 06/07/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Although it is important to assess the factors associated with traffic accident fatalities to decrease them as a matter of public health, such factors have not been fully identified. METHODS Using a large-scale data set of ambulance records in Osaka City, Japan, we retrospectively analyzed all traffic accident patients transported to hospitals by emergency medical service personnel from 2013 to 2014. In this study, prehospital death was defined as that occurring at the scene or in the emergency department immediately after hospital arrival. We assessed prehospital factors associated with prehospital death due to traffic accidents by logistic regression models. RESULTS This study enrolled 28,903 emergency patients involved in traffic accidents, of whom 68 died prehospital. In a multivariate model, elderly patients aged ≥75 years (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] = 4.34; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.29-8.23), nighttime (AOR = 2.75; 95% CI, 1.65-4.70), and type of injured person compared to bicyclists such as pedestrians (AOR = 9.58; 95% CI, 5.07-17.99), motorcyclists (AOR = 2.75; 95% CI, 1.21-6.24), and car occupants (AOR = 2.98; 95% CI, 1.39-6.40) were significantly associated with prehospital death due to traffic accidents. In addition, the AOR for automobile versus nonautomobile as the collision opponent was 4.76 (95% CI, 2.30-9.88). CONCLUSIONS In this population, the factors associated with prehospital death due to traffic accidents were elderly people, nighttime, and pedestrian as the type of patient. The proportion of prehospital deaths due to traffic accidents was also high when the collision component was an automobile.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yusuke Katayama
- a Department of Traumatology and Acute Critical Medicine , Osaka University Graduate School of Medicine , Suita , Japan
| | - Tetsuhisa Kitamura
- b Division of Environmental Medicine and Population Sciences, Department of Social and Environmental Medicine, Graduate School of Medicine , Osaka University , Suita , Japan
| | - Kosuke Kiyohara
- c Department of Public Health , Tokyo Women's Medical University , Tokyo , Japan
| | - Taku Iwami
- d Kyoto University Health Services , Kyoto , Japan
| | | | | | - Hiroshi Ogura
- a Department of Traumatology and Acute Critical Medicine , Osaka University Graduate School of Medicine , Suita , Japan
| | - Takeshi Shimazu
- a Department of Traumatology and Acute Critical Medicine , Osaka University Graduate School of Medicine , Suita , Japan
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Analysis of Injury and Mortality Patterns in Deceased Patients with Road Traffic Injuries: An Autopsy Study. World J Surg 2017; 41:3111-3119. [DOI: 10.1007/s00268-017-4122-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/30/2022]
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