Clustering of vascular risk factors and in-hospital death after acute ischemic stroke

Early Antiplatelet Resumption and the Risks of Major Bleeding After Intracerebral Hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

The appropriate timing of resuming antithrombotic therapy after intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) remains unclear. The aim of this study was to compare the risks of major bleeding between early and late antiplatelet resumption in ICH survivors.

METHODS

Between 2008 and 2017, ICH patients were available in the National Health Insurance Research Database. Patients with a medication possession ratio of antiplatelet treatment ≥50% before ICH and after antiplatelet resumption were screened. We excluded patients with atrial fibrillation, heart failure, under anticoagulant or hemodialysis treatment, and developed cerebrovascular events or died before antiplatelet resumption. Finally, 1584 eligible patients were divided into EARLY (≤30 days) and LATE groups (31-365 days after the index ICH) based on the timing of antiplatelet resumption. Patients were followed until the occurrence of a clinical outcome, end of 1-year follow-up, death, or until December 31, 2018. The primary outcome was recurrent ICH. The secondary outcomes included all-cause mortality, major hemorrhagic events, major occlusive vascular events, and ischemic stroke. Cox proportional hazard model after matching was used for comparison between the 2 groups.

RESULTS

Both the EARLY and LATE groups had a similar risk of 1-year recurrent ICH (EARLY versus LATE: 3.12% versus 3.27%; adjusted hazard ratio [AHR], 0.967 [95% CI, 0.522-1.791]) after matching. Both groups also had a similar risk of each secondary outcome at 1-year follow-up. Subgroup analyses disclosed early antiplatelet resumption in the patients without prior cerebrovascular disease were associated with lower risks of all-cause mortality (AHR, 0.199 [95% CI, 0.054-0.739]) and major hemorrhagic events (AHR, 0.090 [95% CI, 0.010-0.797]), while early antiplatelet resumption in the patients with chronic kidney disease were associated with a lower risk of ischemic stroke (AHR, 0.065 [95% CI, 0.012-0.364]).

CONCLUSIONS

Early resumption of antiplatelet was as safe as delayed antiplatelet resumption in ICH patients. Besides, those without prior cerebrovascular disease or with chronic kidney disease may benefit more from early antiplatelet resumption.

The Role of Vascular Risk Factors in Post-Stroke Delirium: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Vascular risk factors may predispose to post-stroke delirium (PSD). A systematic review and meta-analysis were performed by searching PubMed, Web of Science, and Scopus. The primary outcome was the prevalence of vascular risk factors in PSD vs. non-PSD patients. Odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) and mean differences (MDs) with 95% CIs were calculated for categorical and continuous variables, respectively. Fixed effects or random effects models were used in case of low- or high-statistical heterogeneity, respectively. We found an increased prevalence of atrial fibrillation (OR = 1.74, p = 0.0004), prior stroke (OR = 1.48, p < 0.00001), coronary artery disease (OR = 1.48, p < 0.00001), heart failure (OR = 2.01, p < 0.0001), and peripheral vascular disease (OR = 2.03, p < 0.00001) in patients with vs. without PSD. PSD patients were older (MD = 5.27 y, p < 0.00001) compared with their non-PSD counterparts. Advanced age, atrial fibrillation, prior stroke, coronary artery disease, heart failure, and peripheral vascular disease appeared to be significantly associated with PSD.

A Meta-Analysis of Prognostic Factors in Patients with Posterior Circulation Stroke after Mechanical Thrombectomy

BACKGROUND

Posterior circulation stroke is characterized by poor prognosis because its optimal thrombolysis "time window" is always missed. After mechanical thrombectomy (MT), the recanalization rate of posterior circulation obstruction is significantly increased, but prognosis remains poor. To best manage patients, prognostic factors are needed to inform MT triaging after posterior circulation stroke.

METHODS

A systematic literature search was done for the period through April 2020. Studies included those with posterior circulation stroke cases that underwent MT. The primary outcome measure in this study was the modified Rankin Scale on day 90.

RESULTS

No outcome differences were found in gender, atrial fibrillation, smoking, and coronary artery disease (OR = 1.07, 95% CI: 0.90-1.28; OR = 1.02, 95% CI: 0.82-1.26; OR = 1.26, 95% CI: 0.94-1.68; and OR = 0.84, 95% CI: 0.58-1.22, respectively). Hypertension, diabetes mellitus, and previous stroke correlated with poorer prognosis (OR = 0.61, 95% CI: 0.48-0.77; OR = 0.60, 95% CI: 0.50-0.73; and OR = 0.74, 95% CI: 0.55-0.99, respectively). However, hyperlipidemia correlated with better prognosis (OR = 1.28, 95% CI: 1.04-1.58).

CONCLUSION

Our analysis indicates that hypertension, diabetes mellitus, or previous stroke correlate with poorer outcomes. Intriguingly, hyperlipidemia correlates with better prognosis. These factors may help inform triage decisions when considering MT for posterior circulation stroke patients. However, large, multicenter, randomized controlled trials are needed to validate these observations.

Prognosis and Associated Factors among Elderly Patients with Small Artery Occlusion

Small artery occlusion (SAO) is the one of the primary subtype of ischemic stroke in China. However, its outcomes among elderly patients are unclear. Consecutive patients with SAO were recruited at Jiamusi University First Hospital, China between January 2008 and December 2016. Stroke subtype, severity, and risk factors were collected; outcomes at 3, 12, and 36 months after stroke onset were assessed. A total of 1464 SAO patients were included in this study. Participants aged ≥75 years had higher dependency rates than Participants aged <75 years with SAO in all three follow-up periods, in addition to a higher recurrence rate at 12 months and a higher mortality rate 36 months after stroke. After adjusting for confounders, elevated triglyceride level was found to be a protective factor against mortality 36 months after stroke. Stroke severity, diabetes mellitus, artery stenosis, gender, obesity, and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol level were independently associated with the risk of dependency; elevated triglyceride level was an independent risk factor for recurrence at 3 months point after stroke onset. These findings suggest that it is vital to manage risk factors that may affect prognosis of stroke among elderly patients with SAO to improve patient prognosis and reduce the burden of stroke in China.

Cholesterol Levels Are Associated with 30-day Mortality from Ischemic Stroke in Dialysis Patients

BACKGROUND

We investigated the impact of serum cholesterol levels on 30-day mortality after ischemic stroke in dialysis patients.

METHODS

From the Taiwan Stroke Registry data, we identified 46,770 ischemic stroke cases, including 1101 dialysis patients and 45,669 nondialysis patients from 2006 to 2013.

RESULTS

Overall, the 30-day mortality was 1.46-fold greater in the dialysis group than in the nondialysis group (1.75 versus 1.20 per 1000 person-days). The mortality rates were 1.64, .62, 2.82, and 2.23 per 1000 person-days in dialysis patients with serum total cholesterol levels of <120 mg/dL, 120-159 mg/dL, 160-199 mg/dL, and ≥200 mg/dL, respectively. Compared to dialysis patients with serum total cholesterol levels of 120-159 mg/dL, the corresponding adjusted hazard ratios of mortality were 4.20 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.01-17.4), 8.06 (95% CI = 2.02-32.2), and 6.89 (95% CI = 1.59-29.8) for those with cholesterol levels of <120 mg/dL, 160-199 mg/dL, and ≥200 mg/dL, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Dialysis patients with serum total cholesterol levels of ≥160 mg/dL or <120 mg/dL on admission are at an elevated hazard of 30-day mortality after ischemic stroke.

Field Synopsis of the Role of Sex in Stroke Prediction Models

Background

Guidelines for stroke prevention recommend development of sex‐specific stroke risk scores. Incorporating sex in Clinical Prediction Models (CPMs) may support sex‐specific clinical decision making. To better understand their potential to guide sex‐specific care, we conducted a field synopsis of the role of sex in stroke‐related CPMs.

Methods and Results

We identified stroke‐related CPMs in the Tufts Predictive Analytics and Comparative Effectiveness CPM Database, a systematic summary of cardiovascular CPMs published from January 1990 to May 2012. We report the proportion of models including the effect of sex on stroke incidence or prognosis, summarize the directionality of the predictive effects of sex, and explore factors influencing the inclusion of sex. Of 92 stroke‐related CPMs, 30 (33%) contained a coefficient for sex or presented sex‐stratified models. Only 12/58 (21%) CPMs predicting outcomes in patients included sex, compared to 18/30 (60%) models predicting first stroke (P<0.0001). Sex was most commonly included in models predicting stroke among a general population (69%). Female sex was consistently associated with reduced mortality after ischemic stroke (n=4) and higher risk of stroke from arrhythmias or coronary revascularization (n=5). Models predicting first stroke versus outcomes among patients with stroke (odds ratio=5.75, 95% CI 2.18–15.14, P<0.001) and those developed from larger versus smaller sample sizes (odds ratio=4.58, 95% CI 1.73–12.13, P=0.002) were significantly more likely to include sex.

Conclusions

Sex is included in a minority of published CPMs, but more frequently in models predicting incidence of first stroke. The importance of sex‐specific care may be especially well established for primary prevention.

Prognostic indices for early mortality in ischaemic stroke - meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

Several models have been developed to predict mortality in ischaemic stroke. We aimed to evaluate systematically the performance of published stroke prognostic scores.

METHODS

We searched MEDLINE and EMBASE in February 2014 for prognostic models (published between 2003 and 2014) used in predicting early mortality (<6 months) after ischaemic stroke. We evaluated discriminant ability of the tools through meta-analysis of the area under the curve receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) or c-statistic. We evaluated the following components of study validity: collection of prognostic variables, neuroimaging, treatment pathways and missing data.

RESULTS

We identified 18 articles (involving 163 240 patients) reporting on the performance of prognostic models for mortality in ischaemic stroke, with 15 articles providing AUC for meta-analysis. Most studies were either retrospective, or post hoc analyses of prospectively collected data; all but three reported validation data. The iSCORE had the largest number of validation cohorts (five) within our systematic review and showed good performance in four different countries, pooled AUC 0.84 (95% CI 0.82-0.87). We identified other potentially useful prognostic tools that have yet to be as extensively validated as iSCORE - these include SOAR (2 studies, pooled AUC 0.79, 95% CI 0.78-0.80), GWTG (2 studies, pooled AUC 0.72, 95% CI 0.72-0.72) and PLAN (1 study, pooled AUC 0.85, 95% CI 0.84-0.87).

CONCLUSIONS

Our meta-analysis has identified and summarized the performance of several prognostic scores with modest to good predictive accuracy for early mortality in ischaemic stroke, with the iSCORE having the broadest evidence base.

Prognostic factors for long-term poor outcomes after acute ischemic stroke in very old age (>80 years) patients: Total cholesterol level might differently influence long-term outcomes after acute ischemic stroke at ages above 80 years

AIM

We investigated the differences in determinant factors for functional outcomes between patients aged >80 years and those aged <80 years after acute ischemic stroke (AIS). In particular, we would like to know the differential impacts of initial total cholesterol (TC) levels between the two groups.

METHODS

We defined a poor outcome as 3-6 modified Rankin Scale 90 days after AIS.

RESULTS

In the present study, 2772 participants were enrolled. Among them, 374 patients (13.5%) were aged >80 years, and 1061 patients had a poor outcome 90 days after AIS. The proportion was significantly higher in patients aged >80 years than in those aged <80 years after AIS. Regarding factors relating to poor outcomes, previous history of stroke, stroke severity and stroke subtypes of ischemic stroke were independent factors in patients aged <80 years, and the stroke severity and initial TC level independently influenced the outcome for patients aged >80 years. In particular, risk of poor outcome adjusted for age, stroke severity and subtypes of ischemic stroke for patients (OR [95% CI]) in the first quartile range (≤157 mg%) were 2.21 (1.06-4.62), in the third quartile range (184-210 mg%) 2.76 (1.27-6.01) and in the fourth quartile range (≥211 mg%) 2.75 (1.21-6.24) compared with those in the second quartile range (158-183 mg%) in patients aged >80 years.

CONCLUSIONS

There were also some differences in related factors regarding occurrences of poor outcome between the two groups. In particular, the initial TC level might play a crucial role for the outcome after AIS in the very old population.

The Influence of Stroke Risk Factors and Comorbidities on Assessment of Stroke Therapies in Humans and Animals

The main driving force behind the assessment of novel pharmacological agents in animal models of stroke is to deliver new drugs to treat the human disease rather than to increase knowledge of stroke pathophysiology. There are numerous animal models of the ischaemic process and it appears that the same processes operate in humans. Yet, despite these similarities, the drugs that appear effective in animal models have not worked in clinical trials. To date, tissue plasminogen activator is the only drug that has been successfully used at the bedside in hyperacute stroke management. Several reasons have been put forth to explain this, but the failure to consider comorbidities and risk factors common in older people is an important one. In this article, we review the impact of the risk factors most studied in animal models of acute stroke and highlight the parallels with human stroke, and, where possible, their influence on evaluation of therapeutic strategies.

Risk Score for In-Hospital Ischemic Stroke Mortality Derived and Validated Within the Get With The Guidelines–Stroke Program

Background—

There are few validated models for prediction of in-hospital mortality after ischemic stroke. We used Get With the Guidelines–Stroke Program data to derive and validate prediction models for a patient's risk of in-hospital ischemic stroke mortality.

Methods and Results—

Between October 2001 and December 2007, there were 1036 hospitals that contributed 274 988 ischemic stroke patients to this study. The sample was randomly divided into a derivation (60%) and validation (40%) sample. Logistic regression was used to determine the independent predictors of mortality and to assign point scores for a prediction model. We also separately derived and validated a model in the 109 187 patients (39.7%) with a National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score recorded. Model discrimination was quantified by calculating the C statistic from the validation sample. In-hospital mortality was 5.5% overall and 5.2% in the subset in which NIHSS score was recorded. Characteristics associated with in-hospital mortality were age, arrival mode (eg, via ambulance versus other mode), history of atrial fibrillation, previous stroke, previous myocardial infarction, carotid stenosis, diabetes mellitus, peripheral vascular disease, hypertension, history of dyslipidemia, current smoking, and weekend or night admission. The C statistic was 0.72 in the overall validation sample and 0.85 in the model that included NIHSS score. A model with NIHSS score alone provided nearly as good discrimination (C statistic 0.83). Plots of observed versus predicted mortality showed excellent model calibration in the validation sample.

Conclusions—

The Get With the Guidelines–Stroke risk model provides clinicians with a well-validated, practical bedside tool for mortality risk stratification. The NIHSS score provides substantial incremental information on a patient's short-term mortality risk and is the strongest predictor of mortality.

Telemedicine in acute stroke: remote video-examination compared to simple telephone consultation

BACKGROUND

Telemedicine is increasingly being used in acute stroke care. Some of the first studies and network projects are already applying remote audiovisual communication for patient evaluation. Formerly the telephone was the method of choice to contact experts for case discussion. We compared remote video-examination and telephone consultation in acute stroke care.

METHODS

Two district hospitals were linked to stroke centers in Northern Bavaria. Patients with symptoms suggestive of an acute stroke were included. Remote video examination (RVE) was provided by live audiovisual communication and access to brain images; telephone consultation (TC) was done via standard telephone using a structured interview. There was a weekly rotation of the two methods. Demographic data and other data concerning process and quality of care as well as outcome 10 days after stroke were recorded and compared between the two groups.

RESULTS

Within the study period 151 consultations were made in acute stroke patients (mean age 66.8 years). 77 patients were seen by RVE and 74 by TC. Total examination times were 49.8 min for RVE and 27.2 min for TC (p < 0.01). Patients were more frequently transferred to the stroke center after TC consultation (9.1 % vs. 14.9 %, p < 0.05) and had a higher mortality 10 days after stroke (6.8 % vs. 1.3 %, p < 0.05). Diagnosis made by TC had to be corrected more frequently (17.6 % vs. 7.1 %; p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Creating a network improves stroke care by establishing cooperation between hospitals. Telephone consultation could be a simple method of telemedicine to support cooperation as it is easy and widely available. However, outcome parameters like mortality indicate that remote video examination is superior to TC. Therefore, full-scale audiovisual communication is recommended for remote consultation in acute stroke care.