CHA2DS2-VASc score and prognosis in ischemic strokes with atrial fibrillation

Oral anticoagulant treatment in atrial fibrillation: the AFIRMA real-world study using natural language processing and machine learning

INTRODUCTION

Oral anticoagulation (OAC) is key in atrial fibrillation (AF) thromboprophylaxis, but Spain lacks substantial real-world evidence. We aimed to analyze the prevalence, clinical characteristics, and treatment patterns among patients with AF undertaking OAC, using natural language processing (NLP) and machine learning (ML).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective study included AF patients on OAC from 15 Spanish hospitals (2014-2020). Using EHRead® (including NLP and ML), and SNOMED_CT, we extracted and analyzed patient demographics, comorbidities, and OAC treatment from electronic health records. AF prevalence was estimated, and a descriptive analysis was conducted.

RESULTS

Among 4,664,224 patients in our cohort, AF prevalence ranged from 1.9% to 2.9%. A total of 57,190 patients on OAC therapy were included, 80.7% receiving Vitamin K antagonists (VKA) and 19.3% Direct-acting OAC (DOAC). The median age was 78 and 76 years respectively, with males constituting 53% of the cohort. Comorbidities like hypertension (76.3%), diabetes (48.0%), heart failure (42.2%), and renal disease (18.7%) were common, and more frequent in VKA users. Over 50% had a high CHA2DS2-VASc score. The most frequent treatment switch was from DOAC to acenocoumarol (58.6% to 70.2%). In switches from VKA to DOAC, apixaban was the most chosen (35.2%).

CONCLUSIONS

Utilizing NLP and ML to extract RWD, we established the most comprehensive Spanish cohort of AF patients with OAC to date. Analysis revealed a high AF prevalence, patient complexity, and a marked VKA preference over DOAC. Importantly, in VKA to DOAC transitions, apixaban was the favored option.

Stroke Risk Scores as Predictors of Severe Outcomes in Atrial Fibrillation: A Comprehensive Review

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most frequent sustained arrhythmia. It increases the risk of stroke, heart failure, death, hospitalizations, and costs.

AREA OF UNCERTAINTY

Several scores were introduced to stratify the stroke risk and need for anticoagulation in patients (pts) with AF . CHA2DS2-VASc, the most frequently used score, as well as other stroke risk scores have been additionally applied to estimate outcomes for different other conditions, with inhomogeneous results. To date, there has been no consensus regarding the usefulness of these scores to estimate outcomes outside of thromboembolic risk assessment, and their value in estimating different end-point outcomes is still a subject of debate. We conducted this review to investigate whether the stroke risk scores' utility can be extended for the prediction of other severe outcomes in pts with AF.

DATA SOURCES

We searched PubMed database and included studies that stratified the outcome of pts with AF by different stroke risk scores. We also included studies with a separate analysis of the pts with AF subpopulation.

RESULTS

Mortality rates increased with higher CHADS2 [from 2.28% (2.00%-2.58%) to 13.2% (8.24%-20.8%) per year] and CHA2DS2-VASc scores [risk ratio 1.26 (1.21-1.32), P < 0.0001 for score ≥3]. CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc predicted poor outcome in stroke [odds ratio (OR) ranging 1.42-6 for CHADS2 and 1.3-7.3 for CHA2DS2-VASc]. Acute myocardial infarction rates increased with higher CHADS2 [OR 2.120 (1.942-2.315) P < 0.001] and CHA2DS2-VASc [OR 1.63 (1.53-1.75), P < 0.001]. Limited data were reported for ABC( Age, Biomarkers, Clinical histoty) and R2CHADS2. No statistically significant correlation was found for major bleeding.

CONCLUSIONS

CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc are useful tools in identifying pts with AF at higher risk for all-cause death, regardless of other pathologies. Both scores correlated with the development of acute myocardial infarction, cardiovascular hospitalization, outcome in stroke, major adverse cardiovascular events, and major adverse cardiovascular and cerebral events, but not with serious bleeding.

CHADS2, CHA2DS2-VASc, ATRIA, and Essen stroke risk scores in stroke with atrial fibrillation: A nationwide multicenter registry study

The performance of scoring systems for risk stratification in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) was not validated well in patients with stroke. The purpose of this study was to evaluate whether the risk scoring systems predict vascular outcomes in stroke patients with AF.Data were obtained from a nationwide multicenter registry for acute stroke with AF from January 1, 2013, to December 31, 2015. We investigated the predictive power of the CHADS2, CHA2DS2-VASc, ATRIA, and Essen stroke scores in stroke patients with AF. The subjects were further stratified into groups according to treatment with or without oral anticoagulants (OACs).A total of 3112 stroke with AF subjects were included. The rate of recurrent ischemic stroke and any stroke were not associated with the CHADS2, CHA2DS2-VASc, ATRIA, and Essen stroke risk scores. The risks of death and major adverse cerebrovascular and cardiovascular events (MACEs) increased sequentially with the increase of each risk score in OAC group. (the range of C-index 0.544-0.558 for recurrent ischemic stroke; 0.523-0.537 for any stroke; 0.580-0.597 for death; 0.564-0.583 for MACEs). However, in the group treated with OACs, all risk scores were significantly associated with the risk of MACEs. The C-statistics of the 4 scoring systems were 0.544 to 0.558, 0.523 to 0.537, 0.580 to 0.597, 0.564 to 0.583, respectively, for recurrent ischemic stroke, any stroke, death, and MACEs.The performance of the CHADS2, CHA2DS2-VASc, ATRIA, and Essen stroke risk scores for the prediction of recurrent stroke was unsatisfactory in stroke patients with AF whereas the performance for the prediction of recurrent stroke was not MACEs or death was good. A new risk stratification scheme that is specific for secondary stroke prevention in the AF population is needed.

Sex Differences in Disease Profiles, Management, and Outcomes Among People with Atrial Fibrillation After Ischemic Stroke: Aggregated and Individual Participant Data Meta-Analyses

Objectives: To examine sex differences in disease profiles, management, and survival at 1 and 5 years after ischemic stroke (IS) among people with atrial fibrillation (AF).

Methods: We performed a systematic literature search of reports of AF at IS onset according to sex. We undertook an individual participant data meta-analysis (IPDMA) of nine population-based stroke incidence studies conducted in Australasia, Europe, and South America (1993–2014). Poisson regression was used to estimate women:men mortality rate ratios (MRRs). Study-specific MRRs were combined using random effects meta-analysis.

Results: In our meta-analysis based on aggregated data from 101 studies, the pooled AF prevalence was 23% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 22%–25%) in women and 17% (15%–18%) in men. Our IPDMA is of 1,862 IS-AF cases, with women (79.2 ± 9.1, years) being older than men (76.5 ± 9.5, years). Crude pooled mortality rate was greater for women than for men (1-year MRR 1.24; 1.01–1.51; 5-year 1.12; 1.03–1.22). However, the sex difference was greatly attenuated after accounting for age, prestroke function, and stroke severity (1-year 1.09; 0.97–1.22; 5-year 0.98; 0.84–1.16). Women were less likely to have anticoagulant prescription at discharge (odds ratio [OR] 0.94; 95% CI: 0.89–0.98) than men when pooling IPDMA and aggregated data.

Conclusions: AF was more prevalent after IS among women than among men. Among IS-AF cases, women were less likely to receive anticoagulant agents at discharge; however, greater mortality rate in women was mostly attributable to prestroke factors. Further information needs to be collected in population-based studies to understand the reasons for lower treatment of AF in women.

Associations between Pre-Admission Risk Scores and Two-Year Clinical Outcomes in Ischemic Stroke or Transient Ischemic Attack Patients with Non-Valvular Atrial Fibrillation

BACKGROUND

We aimed to clarify associations between pre-admission risk scores (CHADS2, CHA2DS2-VASc, and HAS-BLED) and 2-year clinical outcomes in ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) using a prospective, multicenter, observational registry.

METHODS

From 18 Japanese stroke centers, ischemic stroke or TIA patients with NVAF hospitalized within 7 days after onset were enrolled. Outcome measures were defined as death/disability (modified Rankin Scale score ≥3) at 2 years, 2-year mortality, and ischemic or hemorrhagic events within 2 years.

RESULTS

A total of 1,192 patients with NVAF (527 women; mean age, 78 ± 10 years), including 1,141 ischemic stroke and 51 TIA, were analyzed. Rates of death/disability, mortality, and ischemic or hemorrhagic events increased significantly with increasing pre-admission CHADS2 (p for trend <0.001 for death/disability and mortality, p for trend = 0.024 for events), CHA2DS2-VASc (p for trend <0.001 for all), and HAS-BLED (p for trend = 0.004 for death/disability, p for trend <0.001 for mortality, p for trend = 0.024 for events) scores. Pre-admission CHADS2 (OR per 1 point, 1.52; 95% CI 1.35-1.71; p <0.001 for death/disability; hazard ratio (HR) per 1 point, 1.23; 95% CI 1.12-1.35; p <0.001 for mortality; HR per 1 point, 1.14; 95% CI 1.02-1.26; p = 0.016 for events), CHA2DS2-VASc (1.55, 1.41-1.72, p < 0.001; 1.21, 1.12-1.30, p < 0.001; 1.17, 1.07-1.27, p < 0.001; respectively), and HAS-BLED (1.33, 1.17-1.52, p < 0.001; 1.23, 1.10-1.38, p < 0.001; 1.18, 1.05-1.34, p = 0.008; respectively) scores were independently associated with all outcome measures.

CONCLUSIONS

In ischemic stroke or TIA patients with NVAF, all pre-admission risk scores were independently associated with death/disability at 2 years and 2-year mortality, as well as ischemic or hemorrhagic events within 2 years.

Factors associated with confidence in decision making and satisfaction with risk communication among patients with atrial fibrillation

Background:

Atrial fibrillation is a prevalent cardiac arrhythmia. Effective communication of risks (e.g. stroke risk) and benefits of treatment (e.g. oral anticoagulants) is crucial for the process of shared decision making.

Aim:

The aim of this study was to explore factors associated with confidence in decision making and satisfaction with risk communication after a follow-up visit among patients who three months earlier had visited an emergency room for atrial fibrillation related symptoms.

Methods:

A cross-sectional design was used and 322 patients (34% women), mean age 66.1 years (SD 10.5 years) with atrial fibrillation were included in the south of Sweden. Clinical examinations were done post an atrial fibrillation episode. Self-rating scales for communication (Combined Outcome Measure for Risk Communication and Treatment Decision Making Effectiveness), uncertainty in illness (Mishel Uncertainty in Illness Scale–Community), mastery of daily life (Mastery Scale), depressive symptoms (Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale) and vitality, physical health and mental health (36-item Short Form Health Survey) were used to collect data.

Results:

Decreased vitality and mastery of daily life, as well as increased uncertainty in illness, were independently associated with lower confidence in decision making. Absence of hypertension and increased uncertainty in illness were independently associated with lower satisfaction with risk communication. Clinical atrial fibrillation variables or depressive symptoms were not associated with satisfaction with confidence in decision making or satisfaction with risk communication. The final models explained 29.1% and 29.5% of the variance in confidence in decision making and satisfaction with risk communication.

Conclusion:

Confidence in decision making is associated with decreased vitality and mastery of daily life, as well as increased uncertainty in illness, while absence of hypertension and increased uncertainty in illness are associated with risk communication satisfaction.

Brain Natriuretic Peptide Is a Powerful Predictor of Outcome in Stroke Patients with Atrial Fibrillation

Background

Since stroke patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) have poor outcomes in general, the prediction of outcomes following discharge is of utmost concern for these patients. We previously reported that brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels were significantly higher in NVAF patients with larger infarcts, higher modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score, and higher CHADS₂ score. In the present study, we evaluated an array of variables, including BNP, in order to determine significant predictors for functional outcome in patients with NVAF after acute ischemic stroke (AIS).

Methods

A total of 615 consecutive patients with AIS within 48 h of symptom onset, admitted to our hospital between April 2010 and October 2015, were retrospectively searched. Among these patients, we enrolled consecutive patients with NVAF. We evaluated the mRS score 3 months after onset of stroke and investigated associations between mRS score and the following clinical and echocardiographic variables. Categorical variables included male sex, current smoking, alcohol intake, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, coronary artery disease, peripheral artery disease, use of antiplatelet drugs, anticoagulants, or tissue plasminogen activator (tPA), and infarct size. Continuous variables included age, systolic blood pressure (SBP), diastolic blood pressure, hemoglobin, creatinine, D-dimer, brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), left atrial diameter, left ventricular ejection fraction (EF), and early mitral inflow velocity/diastolic mitral annular velocity (E/e’). We also analyzed the association of prestroke CHADS₂, CHA₂DS₂-VASc, and R₂CHADS₂ scores, and National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score on admission with mRS score 3 months after the onset of stroke. Patients were classified into 2 groups according to mRS score: an mRS score ≤2 was defined as good outcome, an mRS score ≥3 was defined as poor outcome. To clarify the correlations between categorical or continuous variables and mRS score, uni- and multivariate logistic regression models using the stepwise variable selection method were applied.

Results

Among 157 patients with NVAF after AIS, 63.7% were male and the mean age was 75.9 years. In univariate regression analysis, poor outcome (mRS score ≥3) was associated with use of tPA, infarct size, age, SBP, BNP, EF, and NIHSS score. In multivariate regression analysis, BNP levels (odds ratio [OR] 6.40; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.26–32.43; p = 0.0235) and NIHSS score (OR 2.87; 95% CI 1.84–4.47; p < 0.001) were significantly associated with poor outcome (mRS score ≥3) after adjusting for use of tPA, infarct size, age, BNP, EF, and NIHSS score.

Conclusions

Apart from NIHSS score, BNP was a very useful predictor for long-term outcomes of patients with NVAF after AIS.

Prestroke CHA2DS2-VASc Score and Severity of Acute Stroke in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation: Findings from RAF Study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to investigate for a possible association between both prestroke CHA₂DS₂-VASc score and the severity of stroke at presentation, as well as disability and mortality at 90 days, in patients with acute stroke and atrial fibrillation (AF).

METHODS

This prospective study enrolled consecutive patients with acute ischemic stroke, AF, and assessment of prestroke CHA₂DS₂-VASc score. Severity of stroke was assessed on admission using the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score (severe stroke: NIHSS ≥10). Disability and mortality at 90 days were assessed by the modified Rankin Scale (mRS <3 or ≥3). Multiple logistic regression was used to correlate prestroke CHA₂DS₂-VASc and severity of stroke, as well as disability and mortality at 90 days.

RESULTS

Of the 1020 patients included in the analysis, 606 patients had an admission NIHSS score lower and 414 patients higher than 10. At 90 days, 510 patients had mRS ≥3. A linear correlation was found between the prestroke CHA₂DS₂-VASc score and severity of stroke (P = .001). On multivariate analysis, CHA₂DS₂-VASc score correlated with severity of stroke (P = .041) and adverse functional outcome (mRS ≥3) (P = .001). A logistic regression with the receiver operating characteristic graph procedure (C-statistics) evidenced an area under the curve of .60 (P = .0001) for severe stroke. Furthermore, a correlation was found between prestroke CHA₂DS₂-VASc score and lesion size.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with AF, in addition to the risk of stroke, a high CHA₂DS₂-VASc score was independently associated with both stroke severity at onset and disability and mortality at 90 days.

A Validation of the Essen Stroke Risk Score in Outpatients with Ischemic Stroke

BACKGROUND

Little is known about the predictive accuracy of the Essen Stroke Risk Score (ESRS) for Chinese stroke outpatients. Our goal was to perform an external validation of the ESRS using a large multicenter cohort of outpatients with ischemic stroke (IS).

METHODS

We estimated the 1-year cumulative event rates for both recurrent stroke and combined vascular events for patients in different ESRS categories using data from a prospective cohort of 3316 outpatients with IS admitted to 18 hospitals in China. In addition, we evaluated the predictive accuracy of the ESRS for both recurrent stroke and combined vascular events using C statistic.

RESULTS

In the nonatrial fibrillation IS outpatients, the cumulative 1-year event rate was 2.47% (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.97%-3.06%) for recurrent stroke and 4.32% (95% CI, 3.65%-5.06%) for combined vascular events. The event rates were significantly higher in patients in higher ESRS categories. The ESRS had a predictive accuracy of .63 (.57-.69) for recurrent stroke and .63 (.58-.68) for combined vascular events.

CONCLUSION

Among the Chinese outpatients with IS, the ESRS was able to stratify the risk of both recurrent stroke and combined vascular events equally well. A prediction model suitable for Chinese IS populations is needed.

Ischemic stroke outcome: A review of the influence of post-stroke complications within the different scenarios of stroke care

Stroke remains one of the main causes of death and disability worldwide. The challenge of predicting stroke outcome has been traditionally assessed from a general point of view, where baseline non-modifiable factors such as age or stroke severity are considered the most relevant factors. However, after stroke occurrence, some specific complications such as hemorrhagic transformations or post stroke infections, which lead to a poor outcome, could be developed. An early prediction or identification of these circumstances, based on predictive models including clinical information, could be useful for physicians to individualize and improve stroke care. Furthermore, the addition of biological information such as blood biomarkers or genetic polymorphisms over these predictive models could improve their prognostic value. In this review, we focus on describing the different post-stroke complications that have an impact in short and long-term outcome across different time points in its natural history and on the clinical-biological information that might be useful in their prediction.

Variability of the Left Atrial Appendage in Human Hearts

Atrial fibrillation increases the risk of thrombus formation. It is commonly responsible for cerebral stroke whereas less frequently for pulmonary embolism. The aim of the study was to describe the morphology of the left atrial appendage in the human heart with respect to sex, age and weight. Macroscopic examination was carried out on 100 left appendages taken from the hearts of the patients aged 18–77, both sexes. All hearts preserved in 4% water solution of formaldehyde carried neither marks of coronary artery disease nor congenital abnormalities. Three axes of appendage orientation were performed. After the appendage had been cut off, morphological examination was performed in long and perpendicular axes. Measurements of the appendages were taken from anatomical specimens and their silicone casts. We classified the left atrial appendage into 4 morphological groups according to the number of lobes. Most left atrial appendages in female population were composed of 2 lobes. In the male group typically 2 or 3-lobed appendages were observed. The mean left atrial appendage orifice ranged from 12.0 to 16.0 mm and the most significant difference in the orifices between males and females was observed in LAA type 2 (about 3.3 mm). A smaller orifice and narrower, tubular shape of the LAA lobes could explain a higher risk of thrombus formation during nonvalvular atrial fibrillation in women. Knowledge of anatomical variability of the LAA helps diagnose some undefined echoes in the appendage during transesophageal echocardiographic examination.

Pre-admission CHADS2, CHA2DS2-VASc, and R2CHADS2 Scores on Severity and Functional Outcome in Acute Ischemic Stroke with Atrial Fibrillation

BACKGROUND

We examined the association between pre-admission risk scores and severity on admission and functional outcome in acute ischemic stroke with atrial fibrillation (AF).

METHODS

Between September 2011 and April 2014, we retrospectively extracted consecutive ischemic stroke patients with AF whose pre-admission modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score was 2 or less from our prospective database. Pre-admission CHADS2, CHA2DS2-VASc, and R2CHADS2 scores were calculated in each patient, and their association with the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score on admission or unfavorable outcome (mRS ≥ 3 at 3 months from the onset) was assessed.

RESULTS

A total of 344 patients (189 were men; age, 77.7 ± 10.0 years) were included in the analysis. The median pre-admission CHADS2, CHA2DS2-VASc, and R2CHADS2 scores were 2, 4, and 4, respectively. NIHSS score on admission was positively correlated with pre-admission CHADS2 (ρ = .116, P = .031), CHA2DS2-VASc (ρ = .166, P = .020), and R2CHADS2 scores (ρ = .106, P = .049). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis revealed that pre-admission CHADS2 score of 2 or more (sensitivity, 80%; specificity, 45%; area under the ROC curve [AUC], .654), CHA2DS2-VASc score of 3 or more (sensitivity, 86%; specificity, 44%; AUC, .683), and R2CHADS2 score of 4 or more (sensitivity, 61%; specificity, 62%; AUC, .657) were associated with unfavorable outcome. The pre-admission CHA2DS2-VASc score was better than the pre-admission CHADS2 score in estimating unfavorable outcome (P = .017). In multivariate analysis, cutoffs of these scores, female sex, higher NIHSS score, and internal carotid artery occlusion were associated with unfavorable outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

Pre-admission CHADS2, CHA2DS2-VASc, and R2CHADS2 scores were associated with onset severity and functional outcome in acute ischemic stroke with AF.

Atrial fibrillation and stroke - Coexistence and attitude to preventive therapy on the basis of Szczecin and Szczecin region patients

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is an independent factor increasing the risk of an ischemic stroke (IS) fivefold. The objective of the study was to evaluate the frequency of coexistence of non-valvular AF and IS during the acute stroke and to analyze the attitude of AF patients to treatment. The study included 3712 successive patients presenting either an IS or a transient ischemic attack. The analysis revealed a significant increase in the rate of patients with AF and IS in the years 2010-2013 (31.9%) compared with 2002-2005 (20.2%). A rise in the proportion of AF and IS patients was recorded over the course of consecutive years in group II. The proportion of newly detected AF cases during hospital stay differed significantly between the groups (16.9% vs. 31.9%). Group I and II patients differed essentially with regards to hypertension incidence and female rates. Antiplatelet medications or OACs were taken by a significantly greater number of AF patients in group II. Low number of therapeutic levels of INR was recorded in both groups. IS and AF coexist more frequently than indicated by previous assessments and demographic data from other countries. Increase in the number of IS and AF patients may result from higher detectability of AF and older age of patients affected with stroke, women in particular. Despite a well grounded knowledge about the benefits of OACs use in the prophylaxis of thrombotic-embolic events in AF patients, they are rarely used. A surprisingly low proportion of patients taking OACs reaches a therapeutic INR level.

The association of CHA2DS2-VASc score and blood biomarkers with ischemic stroke outcomes: the Belgrade stroke study

BACKGROUND

Many blood biomarkers have a positive association with stroke outcome, but adding blood biomarkers to the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) did not significantly improve its discriminatory ability. We investigated the association of the CHA2DS2-VASc score with unfavourable functional outcome (defined as a 30-day modified Rankin Scale [mRS] ≥ 3) in patients presenting with acute ischemic stroke (AIS), and examined whether the addition of blood biomarkers (troponin I [TnI], fibrinogen, C-reactive protein [CRP]) affects the model discriminatory ability.

METHODS

We conducted an observational single-centre study of consecutive patients with AIS. All patients were admitted to hospital within 24 hours from the neurological symptoms onset.

RESULTS

Of 240 patients (mean age 70.0 ± 8.9 years), unfavourable 30-day outcome occurred in 92 (38.3%). Patients with mRS ≥ 3 were older and more likely to have atrial fibrillation or other comorbidities (all p<0.001). They had higher levels of CRP, fibrinogen, TnI and higher CHA2DS2-VASc and CHADS2 scores (all p<0.05). The adjusted CHA2DS2-VASc score had excellent predictive ability for poor stroke outcome (c-statistic 0.982;95%CI,0.964-1.000, p<0.001). Whilst CRP had the highest sensitivity (83.7%), cardiac TnI was the most specific (97.3%) for prediction of poor stroke outcome (cut-off: >0.09 µg/L). Compared with each of these biomarkers, CHA2DS2-VASc score had significantly better predictive ability for poor stroke outcome (c-statistic for CRP, Fibrinogen and TnI was 0.853;95%CI,0.802-0.895, 0.848;95%CI,0.796-0.891, and 0.792;95%CI,0.736-0.842, all p<0.001, respectively, versus 0.932;95%CI,0.892-0.960, p<0.001 for the CHA2DS2-VASc, all p for the comparisons<0.01). There was no significant difference in the predictive ability of the CHA2DS2-VASc score vs. combinations of the CHA2DS2-VASc and TnI or TnI, fibrinogen and CRP (z statistic 0.369, p = 0.7119; integrated discrimination index 0.00801 and 0.00172, respectively, both p>0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The CHA2DS2-VASc score alone reliably predicts 30-day unfavourable outcome of stroke. Adding blood biomarkers to the CHA2DS2-VASc score did not significantly increase the predictive ability of the model.

Impact of atrial fibrillation and inadequate antithrombotic management on mortality in acute neurovascular syndrome

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study was to observe adherence to antithrombotic management guidelines among atrial fibrillation (AF) patients and to determine prognostic factors for 3-month mortality in both ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke patients with or without AF.

METHODS

This was a retrospective observational single stroke center cohort study. In 2007, 380 patients with acute stroke-like symptoms were admitted to Tampere University Hospital as candidates for intravenous thrombolysis. Group comparisons (with or without AF) were performed, and binary logistic regression modeling was used to predict 3-month mortality for different clinical and imaging variables.

RESULTS

The prevalence of AF in the acute neurovascular syndrome population was 33%. During hospitalization, the detection rate of previously undiagnosed paroxysmal AF was 8% (17 of 217). Only 26% (18 of 69) of known AF-related ischemic stroke patients had an International Normalized Ratio value above 1.9. National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score and Alberta Stroke Program Early Computed Tomography Score at admission in ischemic stroke and intracerebral hemorrhage were significant prognostic factors for 3-month mortality in acute neurovascular syndrome patients with AF according to a multivariable analysis. Inadequate antithrombotic management according to at-the-time and current treatment guidelines was not a risk factor for 3-month mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with AF have more severe stroke and higher mortality than stroke patients without AF. Adherence to the antithrombotic treatment guidelines for the prevention of AF-related cardioembolic strokes is suboptimal. Further studies are needed to evaluate the impact of current antithrombotic treatment guidelines on mortality.

CHADS2 Score/CHA2DS2-VASc Score and Major Artery Occlusion in Cardioembolic Stroke Patients with Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation

Objective

The associations between the CHADS2 score/ CHA2DS2-VASc score, and the presence of cerebral vessel occlusion on admission were examined in cardioembolic stroke patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation.

Methods

The subjects were 546 consecutive patients hospitalized between April 2007 and December 2012 with onset of cardioembolic stroke associated with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation within 24 h. The associations between the CHADS2 score/CHA2DS2-VASc score and the presence of occluded cerebral vessels on magnetic resonance angiography were evaluated retrospectively. Occluded cerebral vessels were classified into the internal carotid artery, middle cerebral artery (M1, M2), basilar artery, and other (anterior cerebral artery [A1], posterior cerebral artery [P1], vertebral artery).

Results

Major artery occlusion was seen in 52% of patients with CHADS2 score 0, 52% of patients with score 1, 57% with score 2, 75% with score 3, and 75% with score ≥4. As for the CHA2DS2-VASc score, major artery occlusion was seen in 62% of patients with score 0, 49% with score 1, 53% with score 2, 53% with score 3, 65% with score 4, 71% with score 5, and 82% with score ≥6. The incidence of concurrent major arterial occlusion increased as both scores rose. When classified by occluded blood vessel, the incidence of concurrent internal carotid artery occlusion increased as both the CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores increased.

Conclusion

As the CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASs scores increased, the incidence of concurrent major arterial occlusion, particularly internal carotid artery occlusion, increased in patients with cardioembolic stroke associated with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation.

Thalamic hyperintensity on diffusion-weighted MRI in a patient with nonconvulsive status epilepticus

We present a 70-year-old woman with nonconvulsive status epilepticus (NCSE) with thalamic hyperintensity on diffusion-weighted MRI (DWI). She had no previous history of epilepsy. Her altered mentality was not normalized though we successfully controlled the ictal activity by standard treatment. Initial DWI showed diffuse hyperintensity in the right thalamus, which raised the possibility of seizure-related change. At the follow-up DWI, more localized high signal intensity lesion was present in the right pulvinar area. There was no apparent cause of her NCSE despite our extensive work-ups. The authors suggest that transient ischemia is a possible causative pathomechanism in this case.

One-year clinical prediction in Chinese ischemic stroke patients using the CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores: the China National Stroke Registry

AIMS

We investigated whether CHADS2 or CHA2DS2-VASc scores could be used to predict 1-year prognosis in stroke recurrence, mortality, and mortality of ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF).

METHODS

Patients were selected from a national prospective registry in China. The clinical prediction of the scores was examined using the C statistic. Univariate and multivariate logistic regressions were performed to analyze the relevant risk factors.

RESULTS

Thousand two hundred and ninety-seven of 22,216 patients were enrolled in the study. For stroke recurrence rate, the C statistic value was 0.53 (odds ratio [OR] 1.15, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.01 to 1.32) for CHADS2 and 0.55 (OR 1.14, 95% CI: 1.05 to 1.24) for CHA2DS2-VASc; adding baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score to these two scores, the value of C statistic was 0.58 (OR 1.25 95% CI: 1.14 to 1.37) and 0.58 (OR 1.19, 95% CI: 1.11 to 1.27), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Both CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores have limitations in predicting the 1-year prognosis of stroke/TIA patients with NVAF in China. The predictive value of these two scores improved by adding the baseline NIHSS score.