Outcomes and risk factors for death among hospitalized children and adolescents with kidney diseases and COVID-19: an analysis of a nationwide database

Risk Factors for Pediatric Critical COVID-19: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Risk stratification is a cornerstone of the Pediatric Infectious Diseases Society COVID-19 treatment guidance. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to define the clinical characteristics and comorbidities associated with critical COVID-19 in children and adolescents.

METHODS

Two independent reviewers screened the literature (Medline and EMBASE) for studies published through August 31, 2023, that reported outcome data on patients aged ≤21 years with COVID-19. Critical disease was defined as an invasive mechanical ventilation requirement, intensive care unit admission, or death. Random-effects models were used to estimate pooled odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI), and heterogeneity was explored through subgroup analyses.

RESULTS

Among 10,178 articles, 136 studies met the inclusion criteria for review. Data from 70 studies, which collectively examined 172,165 children and adolescents with COVID-19, were pooled for meta-analysis. In previously healthy children, the absolute risk of critical disease from COVID-19 was 4% (95% CI, 1%-10%). Compared with no comorbidities, the pooled OR for critical disease was 3.95 (95% CI, 2.78-5.63) for the presence of one comorbidity and 9.51 (95% CI, 5.62-16.06) for ≥2 comorbidities. Key risk factors included cardiovascular and neurological disorders, chronic pulmonary conditions (excluding asthma), diabetes, obesity, and immunocompromise, all with statistically significant ORs > 2.00.

CONCLUSIONS

While the absolute risk for critical COVID-19 in children and adolescents without underlying health conditions is relatively low, the presence of one or more comorbidities was associated with markedly increased risk. These findings support the importance of risk stratification in tailoring pediatric COVID-19 management.

COVID-19 vaccination among adolescents and young adults with chronic kidney conditions: a single-center experience

BACKGROUND

Following the pandemic of COVID-19, the main focus has been on COVID-19 vaccines and herd immunity. Although the safety of the COVID-19 vaccines has been shown in clinical trials, children with chronic diseases were not included. We investigated the side effect profile and safety of the COVID-19 vaccines in adolescents with kidney disease.

METHODS

A questionnaire including demographic information, history of COVID-19, vaccination status, and vaccine-related side effects was administered to the patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) stage 2-5, glomerular disease treated with immunosuppression, and kidney transplant recipients.

RESULTS

Ninety-eight patients were vaccinated with CoronaVac-inactivated SARS-CoV-2 (n=16) or BNT162b2 messenger RNA (mRNA) COVİD-19 (n=82) vaccine. The mean age was 16.90±2.36 years. The most common side effects were local pain, fatigue, and fever. No serious side effects or renal disease flare were observed. There was no significant difference in the side effects reported after the BNT162b2 mRNA-RNA as compared to the Corona Vac-inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine. No significant relationship was found between the frequency of side effects according to age, glomerular filtration rate, immunosuppressive treatments, CKD stage, and the underlying disease.

CONCLUSION

Although the reported data are subjective because they were obtained through a questionnaire and studies with long-term follow-up are needed, our early experience suggests that the vaccine is safe and adolescents and young adults should be encouraged to be vaccinated.

Machine learning algorithms to predict outcomes in children and adolescents with COVID-19: A systematic review

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

We aimed to analyze the study designs, modeling approaches, and performance evaluation metrics in studies using machine learning techniques to develop clinical prediction models for children and adolescents with COVID-19.

METHODS

We searched four databases for articles published between 01/01/2020 and 10/25/2023, describing the development of multivariable prediction models using any machine learning technique for predicting several outcomes in children and adolescents who had COVID-19.

RESULTS

We included ten articles, six (60 % [95 % confidence interval (CI) 0.31 - 0.83]) were predictive diagnostic models and four (40% [95 % CI 0.170.69]) were prognostic models. All models were developed to predict a binary outcome (n= 10/10, 100 % [95 % CI 0.72-1]). The most frequently predicted outcome was disease detection (n=3/10, 30% [95 % CI 0.11-0.60]). The most commonly used machine learning models in the studies were tree-based (n=12/33, 36.3% [95 % CI 0.17-0.47]) and neural networks (n=9/27, 33.2% [95% CI 0.15-0.44]).

CONCLUSION

Our review revealed that attention is required to address problems including small sample sizes, inconsistent reporting practices on data preparation, biases in data sources, lack of reporting metrics such as calibration and discrimination, hyperparameters and other aspects that allow reproducibility by other researchers and might improve the methodology.

Risk Factors for Pediatric Critical COVID-19: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background

Risk stratification is a cornerstone of the Pediatric Infectious Diseases Society COVID-19 treatment guidance. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to define the clinical characteristics and comorbidities associated with critical COVID-19 in children and adolescents.

Methods

Two independent reviewers screened the literature (Medline and EMBASE) for studies published through August 2023 that reported outcome data on patients aged ≤21 years with COVID-19. Critical disease was defined as an invasive mechanical ventilation requirement, intensive care unit admission, or death. Random effects models were used to estimate pooled odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI), and heterogeneity was explored through subgroup analyses.

Results

Among 10,178 articles, 136 studies met the inclusion criteria for review. Data from 70 studies, which collectively examined 172,165 children and adolescents with COVID-19, were pooled for meta-analysis. In previously healthy children, the absolute risk of critical disease from COVID-19 was 4% (95% CI, 1%-10%). Compared with no comorbidities, the pooled OR for critical disease was 3.95 (95% CI, 2.78-5.63) for presence of one comorbidity and 9.51 (95% CI, 5.62-16.06) for ≥2 comorbidities. Key risk factors included cardiovascular and neurological disorders, chronic pulmonary conditions (excluding asthma), diabetes, obesity, and immunocompromise, all with statistically significant ORs >2.00.

Conclusions

While the absolute risk for critical COVID-19 in children and adolescents without underlying health conditions is relatively low, the presence of one or more comorbidities was associated with markedly increased risk. These findings support the importance of risk stratification in tailoring pediatric COVID-19 management.

COVID-19 in Children with Chronic Kidney Disease; Does it Differ Much?

BACKGROUND

COVID-19 is known to have a mild course in children, however more data on pediatric chronic kidney disease (CKD) is needed. We aimed to assess the incidence and severity of COVID-19 in pediatric CKD patients.

METHODS

A questionnaire including demographics, COVID-19 history, symptoms, and vaccination status was applied to patients with CKD. We also retrospectively reviewed the presentation and outcomes of SARS-CoV-2 infection in this patient group from March 2020 to December 2021.

RESULTS

220 patients were included, 48 were found to have experienced COVID-19. There was no significant difference regarding age, gender, underlying kidney disease, CKD stage, dialysis status, type or number of immunosuppressive medications, and glomerular filtration rate between patients with and without COVID-19. Most were infected by a household member (43.8%) and during outpatient or inpatient care (18.8%). Four (8.3%) were asymptomatic, and 43 (89.6%) had mild infection. Severe COVID-19 was observed in only one patient. Eleven (22.9%) patients with COVID-19 were previously vaccinated. Acute kidney injury was detected in 4 (8.3%); as stage 1 in all. Median follow-up after COVID-19 was 4.6 months. All patients fully recovered, and no renal disease flare or death was observed.

CONCLUSIONS

Although the vaccination rate was low in our cohort, the majority of the children with COVID-19 showed a mild course. Along with the vaccination, general precautions seemed to be successful for this population.

The association between pre-existing asthma and reduced risk of death among children and adolescents hospitalized with COVID-19 in Brazil

OBJECTIVE

There have been conflicting reports on the relationship between asthma and COVID-19 severity. This study aimed to compare the risk of death among children with asthma and healthy peers hospitalized due to COVID-19.

METHODS

We carried out an analysis of all pediatric patients 2-19 years of age with asthma and COVID-19 registered in Influenza Epidemiological Surveillance Information System-Gripe, a Brazilian nationwide surveillance database, between February 2020 and March 2022. The primary outcome was time to death, which was evaluated considering discharge as a competitive risk using the cumulative incidence function.

RESULTS

Among 30,405 hospitalized children with COVID-19, 21,340 (70.2%) had no comorbidities, 6444 (21.2%) had comorbidities other than asthma, 2165 (7.1%) had asthma, and 465 (1.5%) had asthma with other comorbidities. The estimated probability of a fatal outcome for each group was 4.1%, 14.9%, 2.1%, and 10.7%, respectively. After adjustment, children with asthma had a 60% reduction in the hazard of death than healthy peers (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.39, 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.29-0.53, p < 0.0001). Among children with asthma and no other comorbidities, two covariates were independently associated with in-hospital mortality, age ≥12 years, HR = 4.0, 95% CI, 2.5-6.4), and low oxygen saturation at admission (HR = 2.3, 95% CI, 1.4-3.2).

CONCLUSION

Children with asthma and no comorbidities had a lower risk of death compared with healthy peers after controlling for clinical and demographic confounding factors.

Epidemiology, severity, and risk of SARS-CoV-2-related relapse in children and young adults affected by idiopathic nephrotic syndrome: a retrospective observational cohort study

BACKGROUND

Children with underlying kidney diseases display a mild course of SARS-CoV-2 infection, but they only accounted for a minority of cases until the spread of the Omicron variant. Nonetheless, idiopathic nephrotic syndrome (INS) has been advocated as a predictor of worse outcome.

METHODS

We investigated the spread, severity, and risk of relapse related to SARS-CoV-2 infection among children with INS. The incidence and characteristics of SARS-CoV-2 infections, immunosuppression, and vaccination status were retrospectively collected from the beginning of the pandemic to May 31, 2022.

RESULTS

We enrolled 176 patients (73 females, median age 10.22 years); 28 had a steroid-resistant disease, and 108 (61.4%) were on immunosuppressive therapy. Sixty-one (34.7%) patients reported a SARS-CoV-2 infection, with incidence peaking between December 2021 and January 2022. No hospitalization or deaths were reported, and symptoms were absent or mild. The rate of SARS-CoV-2 infection was similar in children with and without immunosuppression (33.8% vs 35.2%; p = 0.85). None of the 38 immunosuppressed patients discontinued the therapy, but they had a longer time to negativization (13.31 vs. 10.04 days; p = 0.03). Proteinuria was detected in 7 patients, but only one had a relapse requiring steroid therapy, with prompt remission and a mild course.

CONCLUSIONS

After the spread of the Omicron variant, the rate of SARS-CoV-2 infection in children with INS was much higher than previously reported. In this large cohort, symptoms were mild, even in immunosuppressed patients and those with proteinuria. During the infection, transient proteinuria was common with a low rate of relapses. A higher resolution version of the Graphical abstract is available as Supplementary information.