Combination of the serum carbohydrate antigen 19-9 and carcinoembryonic antigen is a simple and accurate predictor of mortality in pancreatic cancer patients

Nucleosome assembly protein 1-like 1 (NAP1L1) in gastric cancer patients: a potential biomarker with diagnostic and prognostic utility

BACKGROUND

The nucleosome assembly protein 1-like 1 (NAP1L1) is suggested to have an oncogenic role in several tumors based on its overexpression. However, its diagnostic and prognostic role in gastric cancer remains unclarified. This study aimed to evaluate the diagnostic and prognostic utility of NAP1L1 in gastric cancer patients.

METHODS

A total of 85 patients [mean (SD) age: 60.9 (1.6) years, 49.4% were males] with newly-diagnosed gastric cancer and 40 healthy individuals [mean (SD) age: 60.7 (1.7) years, 52.5% were males] were included. Data on patient demographics (age, gender), TNM stages and tumor size, and the serum NAP1L1 levels were recorded.

RESULTS

Serum NAP1L1 levels were significantly higher in gastric cancer patients than in control subjects [12 (9.5-13.8) vs. 1.8 (1.5-2.4) ng/mL, p < 0.001]. Also, certain tumor characteristics such as tumor size of >4 vs. <4 cm (p < 0.001), M1 vs. M0 stage (p < 0.001), N2 vs. N0 and N1 stage (p < 0.001), and T4 vs. lower T stage (p < 0.001) were associated with significantly higher serum NAP1L1 levels in gastric cancer patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings revealed for the first time that serum levels for NAP1L1 were overexpressed in the gastric cancer, as also correlated with the disease progression. NAP1L1 seems to be a potential biomarker for gastric cancer, providing clinically important information on early diagnosis and risk stratification.

The diagnostic value of interleukin 6 as a biomarker for gastric cancer: A meta-analysis and systematic review

BACKGROUND

Gastric cancer is one of the most common cancers and a main cause of global cancer death. The expression of interleukin 6 is associated with the risk of gastric cancer. But the diagnostic accuracy of interleukin 6 remains unclear. This study was designed to assess the diagnostic performance of interleukin 6 in gastric cancer diagnosis.

METHODS

The related data was obtained from Oncomine and studied using bioinformatics analysis. The PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, Web of science databases were searched for related studies published from inception to July 14, 2020. Measuring tools of diagnostic performance including sensitivity, specificity, and diagnostic odds ratio were pooled using bivariate mixed-effects meta-analysis model. The summery receiver operator characteristic curves were plotted.

RESULTS

The result from Oncomine showed that the expression of interleukin 6 in gastric cancer (GC) patients was higher than the normal groups (P < .05). Furthermore, a total of 4 eligible articles were enrolled, containing 390 cases and 404 controls. The diagnostic results were as follows: a sensitivity of 0.80 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.57-0.92), a specificity of 0.86 (95% CI 0.74-0.93), a positive likelihood ratio of 5.76 (95% CI 3.49-9.49), a negative likelihood ratio of 0.23 (95% CI 0.11-0.51) and a diagnostic odds ratio of 24.58 (95% CI 14.14-42.73). The summary area under the receiver operating characteristic curves was 0.90 (95% CI 0.87-0.93).

CONCLUSION

Higher interleukin 6 expression was detected in GC patients, and interleukin 6 could be a helpful indicator of diagnosis of gastric cancer. Further large-scale prospective studies are required for identifying the diagnostic value of interleukin 6 in gastric cancer.

A stable gene set for prediction of prognosis and efficacy of chemotherapy in gastric cancer

Background

Gastric cancer (GC) is a primary reason for cancer death in the world. At present, GC has become a public health issue urgently to be solved to. Prediction of prognosis is critical to the development of clinical treatment regimens. This work aimed to construct the stable gene set for guiding GC diagnosis and treatment in clinic.

Methods

A public microarray dataset of TCGA providing clinical information was obtained. Dimensionality reduction was carried out by selection operator regression on the stable prognostic genes discovered through the bootstrap approach as well as survival analysis.

Findings

A total of 2 prognostic models were built, respectively designated as stable gene risk scores of OS (SGRS-OS) and stable gene risk scores of PFI (SGRS-PFI) consisting of 18 and 21 genes. The SGRS set potently predicted the overall survival (OS) along with progression-free interval (PFI) by means of univariate as well as multivariate analysis, using the specific risk scores formula. Relative to the TNM classification system, the SGRS set exhibited apparently higher predicting ability. Moreover, it was suggested that, patients who had increased SGRS were associated with poor chemotherapeutic outcomes.

Interpretation

The SGRS set constructed in this study potentially serves as the efficient approach for predicting GC patient survival and guiding their treatment.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12885-021-08444-w.

Evaluation of the diagnostic ability of laminin gene family for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

A poor outcome for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) patients is still a challenge worldwide. The aim of our study is to investigate the potential of key laminin subunits for being used both as a diagnostic and prognostic biomarker for PDAC patients. We evaluated the mRNA expression and prognostic value of laminin gene family in PDAC tissues using online public databases. Moreover, the relationship between key laminin subunits in PDAC blood cells and circulating tumor cells (CTCs) and the distinguishing ability of joint serum levels with carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) was analyzed. Two key differentially expressed subunits (LAMA3 and LAMC2) that are associated with prognosis of PDAC patients were found to show a potential for distinguishing between PDAC and non-tumor tissues. LAMA3 and LAMC2 expression were found to be positively related with CTC quantity in PDAC blood (R=0.628, p=0.029; R=0.776, p=0.003, respectively) using IgG chips. Furthermore, serum LAMC2 levels offered significant improvement over using CA19-9 alone for the discrimination of PDAC. Joint serum LAMC2 and CA19-9 levels increased the net benefit proportion in early stage/operational PDAC patients. Using integrated profiling, we identified LAMA3 and LAMC2 as potential therapeutic targets and prognostic markers for PDAC, for which further validation is warranted.

An elevated CA 19-9 is associated with invasive cancer and worse survival in IPMN

BACKGROUND

Current guidelines for IPMN include an elevated serum carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 among the worrisome features. However, the correlation of CA 19-9 with histological malignant features and survival is unclear. Serum CEA is also currently used for preoperative management of IPMN, although its measurement is not evidence-based. Accordingly, we aimed to assess the role of these tumor markers as predictors of malignancy in IPMN.

METHODS

IPMN resected between 1998 and 2018 at Massachusetts General Hospital were analyzed. Clinical, pathological and survival data were collected and compared to preoperative levels of CA 19-9 and CEA. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and Cox regression analyses were performed considering cut-offs of 37 U/ml (CA 19-9) and 5 μg/l (CEA).

RESULTS

Analysis of 594 patients showed that preoperative CA 19-9 levels > 37 U/ml (n = 128) were associated with an increased likelihood of invasive carcinoma when compared to normal levels (45.3% vs. 18.0%, P < 0.001), while there was no difference with respect to high-grade dysplasia (32.9% vs 31.9%, P = 0.88). The proportion of concurrent pancreatic cancer was higher in patients with CA 19-9 > 37 U/ml (17.2% vs 4.9%, P < 0.001). An elevated CA 19-9 was also associated with worse overall and disease-free survival (HR = 1.943, P = 0.007 and HR = 2.484, P < 0.001 respectively). CEA levels did not correlate with malignancy.

CONCLUSION

In patients with IPMN, serum CA19-9 > 37 U/ml is associated with invasive IPMN and concurrent pancreatic cancer as well as worse survival, but not with high-grade dysplasia. Serum CEA appears to have minimal utility in the management of these patients.

Elevated CEA and CA19-9 serum levels independently predict advanced pancreatic cancer at diagnosis

Purpose: It is suggested that tumour markers carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) could be used to predict the stage of pancreatic cancer. However, optimal cut-off values for CEA and CA19-9 are disputable. This study aimed to assess the value of CEA and CA19-9 serum levels at diagnosis of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) as predictors for the advanced stage of PDAC in patients discussed at pancreatic multidisciplinary team (MDT) meetings.Methods: Patients with suspected PDAC discussed at MDT meetings from 2013 to 2017 were reviewed, in order to determine optimal cut-off values of both CEA and CA19-9.Results: In total, 375 patients were included. Optimal cut-off values for predicting advanced PDAC were 7.0 ng/ml for CEA and 305.0 U/ml for CA19-9, resulting in positive predictive values of 83.3%, 73.6%, and 91.4% for CEA, CA19-9 and combined, respectively. Both tumour markers were independent predictors of advanced PDAC, demonstrated by an odds ratio of 4.21 (95% CI:1.85-9.56; p = 0.001) for CEA and 2.58 for CA19-9 (95% CI:1.30-5.14; p = 0.007).Conclusions: CEA appears to be a more robust predictor of advanced PDAC than CA19-9. Implementing CEA and CA19-9 serum levels during MDT meetings as an additional tool for establishing tumour resectability is worthwhile for tailored diagnostics.

Optimized Cutoff Value of Serum Squamous Cell Carcinoma Antigen Concentration Accurately Predicts Recurrence After Curative Resection of Squamous Cell Carcinoma of the Esophagus

BACKGROUND

Squamous cell carcinoma antigen (SCC-Ag) and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) are widely used in clinical practice to predict the prognosis of patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). However, their predictive values for prognosis are controversial. This study determined optimal cutoff values of serum SCC-Ag and CEA concentrations for predicting postoperative recurrence of ESCC, which enabled selection of high-risk patients.

METHODS

The study retrospectively analyzed 427 patients who underwent curative resection for ESCC. The optimal cutoff values of preoperative SCC-Ag and CEA concentrations for predicting postoperative recurrence were determined using combined analysis of hazard ratios and sensitivities for recurrence. Using the optimal cutoff value, the study evaluated survival, recurrence patterns, and temporal changes in marker concentrations.

RESULTS

The preoperative SCC-Ag concentration of 1.1 ng/ml was the optimal cutoff value for predicting postoperative recurrence, whereas precise cutoff values could not be determined for preoperative CEA concentrations. High preoperative SCC-Ag concentrations (> 1.1 ng/ml), which were significantly associated with more aggressive tumor phenotypes and shorter disease-free survival, were identified as an independent prognostic factor in the multivariable analysis. High preoperative SCC-Ag concentrations were significantly associated with greater prevalence of lung/pleura and local recurrences. Normalization of serum SCC-Ag concentrations after neoadjuvant treatment or esophagectomy was not associated with a decreased risk of postoperative recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

The optimal cutoff value of preoperative SCC-Ag concentrations that predicted recurrence of ESCC was 1.1 ng/ml, illuminating the utility of serum SCC-Ag concentrations as an easily measurable tool for selecting a perioperative management strategy.

Overexpression of PSMA7 predicts poor prognosis in patients with gastric cancer

Gastric cancer (GC) is the fourth most common tumor and the second most common cause of cancer-associated mortality worldwide. Current tumor biomarkers for GC, such as serum carcinoembryonic antigen and carbohydrate antigen 19-9, are not ideal due to their limited role as prognostic indicators for GC. Proteasome subunit α7 (PSMA7) is a multifunctional protein, which has been revealed to be involved in the development and progression of various types of malignancy. However, little is known about the role of PSMA7 in GC. In the present study, PSMA7 was identified to be overexpressed at the mRNA and protein levels in GC tissues, compared with in non-tumor tissues, using reverse transcription-quantitative PCR and immunohistochemistry. Furthermore, PSMA7 expression is associated with tumor invasion, lymph node metastasis, distant metastasis, and Tumor-Node-Metastasis stage. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis identified that PSMA7 expression is an independent prognostic factor for poor survival. Kaplan-Meier survival curves revealed that high PSMA7 expression is associated with a poor prognosis in patients with GC. Overall, the results of the present study suggested that PSMA7 may be a promising biomarker for the prognosis of GC, and may represent a new diagnostic marker and molecular therapeutic target for GC.

A prognostic Bayesian network that makes personalized predictions of poor prognostic outcome post resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

The narrative surrounding the management of potentially resectable pancreatic cancer is complex. Surgical resection is the only potentially curative treatment. However resection rates are low, the risk of operative morbidity and mortality are high, and survival outcomes remain poor. The aim of this study was to create a prognostic Bayesian network that pre-operatively makes personalized predictions of post-resection survival time of 12months or less and also performs post-operative prognostic updating.

METHODS

A Bayesian network was created by synthesizing data from PubMed post-resection survival analysis studies through a two-stage weighting process. Input variables included: inflammatory markers, tumour factors, tumour markers, patient factors and, if applicable, response to neoadjuvant treatment for pre-operative predictions. Prognostic updating was performed by inclusion of post-operative input variables including: pathology results and adjuvant therapy.

RESULTS

77 studies (n = 31,214) were used to create the Bayesian network, which was validated against a prospectively maintained tertiary referral centre database (n = 387). For pre-operative predictions an Area Under the Curve (AUC) of 0.7 (P value: 0.001; 95% CI 0.589-0.801) was achieved accepting up to 4 missing data-points in the dataset. For prognostic updating an AUC 0.8 (P value: 0.000; 95% CI:0.710-0.870) was achieved when validated against a dataset with up to 6 missing pre-operative, and 0 missing post-operative data-points. This dropped to AUC: 0.7 (P value: 0.000; 95% CI:0.667-0.818) when the post-operative validation dataset had up to 2 missing data-points.

CONCLUSION

This Bayesian network is currently unique in the way it utilizes PubMed and patient level data to translate the existing empirical evidence surrounding potentially resectable pancreatic cancer to make personalized prognostic predictions. We believe such a tool is vital in facilitating better shared decision-making in clinical practice and could be further developed to offer a vehicle for delivering personalized precision medicine in the future.

A systematic review of methodological quality of model development studies predicting prognostic outcome for resectable pancreatic cancer

OBJECTIVES

To assess the methodological quality of prognostic model development studies pertaining to post resection prognosis of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC).

DESIGN/SETTING

A narrative systematic review of international peer reviewed journals DATA SOURCE: Searches were conducted of: MEDLINE, Embase, PubMed, Cochrane database and Google Scholar for predictive modelling studies applied to the outcome of prognosis for patients with PDAC post resection. Predictive modelling studies in this context included prediction model development studies with and without external validation and external validation studies with model updating. Data was extracted following the Checklist for critical Appraisal and data extraction for systematic Reviews of prediction Modelling Studies (CHARMS) checklist.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

Primary outcomes were all components of the CHARMS checklist. Secondary outcomes included frequency of variables included across predictive models.

RESULTS

263 studies underwent full text review. 15 studies met the inclusion criteria. 3 studies underwent external validation. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression was the most commonly employed modelling method (n=13). 10 studies were based on single centre databases. Five used prospective databases, seven used retrospective databases and three used cancer data registry. The mean number of candidate predictors was 19.47 (range 7 to 50). The most commonly included variables were tumour grade (n=9), age (n=8), tumour stage (n=7) and tumour size (n=5). Mean sample size was 1367 (range 50 to 6400). 5 studies reached statistical power. None of the studies reported blinding of outcome measurement for predictor values. The most common form of presentation was nomograms (n=5) and prognostic scores (n=5) followed by prognostic calculators (n=3) and prognostic index (n=2).

CONCLUSIONS

Areas for improvement in future predictive model development have been highlighted relating to: general aspects of model development and reporting, applicability of models and sources of bias.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42018105942.

Outcome of head compared to body and tail pancreatic cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis of 93 studies

Background

Even when resectable pancreatic cancer (PC) is associated with a dismal prognosis. Initial presentation varies according with primary tumor location. Aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to evaluate the prognosis associated with site (head versus body/tail) in patients with PC.

Methods

We searched PubMed, Cochrane Library, SCOPUS, Web of Science, EMBASE, Google Scholar, LILACS, and CINAHL databases from inception to March 2018. Studies reporting information on the independent prognostic role of site in PC and comparing overall survival (OS) in head versus body/tail tumors were selected. Data were aggregated using hazard ratios (HRs) for OS of head versus body/tail PC according to fixed- or random-effect model.

Results

A total of 93 studies including 254,429 patients were identified. Long-term prognosis of head was better than body/tail cancers (HR =0.96, 95% CI: 0.92-0.99; P=0.02). A pooled HR of 0.95 (95% CI: 0.92-0.99, P=0.02) from multivariate analysis only (n=77 publications) showed that head site was an independent prognostic factor for survival.

Conclusions

Primary tumor location in the head of the pancreas at the time of diagnosis is a predictor of better survival. Such indicator should be acknowledged when designing future studies, in particular in the operable and neoadjuvant setting.

Clinicopathologic characteristics, laboratory parameters, treatment protocols, and outcomes of pancreatic cancer: a retrospective cohort study of 1433 patients in China

Objectives

The prognosis of people with pancreatic cancer is extremely unfavorable. However, the prognostic factors remain largely undefined. We aimed to perform comprehensive analyses of clinicopathologic characteristics, laboratory parameters, and treatment protocols for exploring their role as prognostic factors of pancreatic cancer.

Methods

Patients diagnosed with pancreatic cancer and hospitalized at the China National Cancer Center between April 2006 and May 2016 were enrolled in this retrospective cohort study. Clinicopathologic characteristics, laboratory parameters, and treatment protocols were compared among patients at different stages of the disease. The association between these factors and overall survival (OS) was analyzed using the Kaplan–Meier method and Cox proportional hazards model.

Results

The present study included 1,433 consecutive patients with pancreatic cancer. Median OS was 10.6 months (95% confidence interval [CI] 9.8–11.3 months), with 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival rates of 43.7%, 14.8%, and 8.8%, respectively. Cox multivariate analysis findings identified the following factors as independent predictors of OS: gender (female vs male, hazard ratio 0.72, 95% CI [0.54–0.95]); elevated total bilirubin (TBil; 1.82, 1.34–2.47); elevated carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9; 1.72, 1.17–2.54); tumor being located in pancreatic body and tail (1.52, 1.10–2.10); advanced T stage (T3-4 vs T1-2, 1.62, 1.15–2.27); lymph node metastasis (1.57, 1.20–2.07); distant metastasis (1.59, 1.12–2.27); the presence of surgical resection (0.53, 0.34–0.81); and the presence of systemic chemotherapy (0.62, 0.45–0.82).

Conclusions

Being male, elevated TBil and carcinoembryonic antigen, tumor being located in pancreatic body and tail, advanced T stage, lymph node and distant metastasis, the absence of surgical resection, and the absence of systematic chemotherapy were associated with worse OS in patients with pancreatic cancer.

The mitochondrial one-carbon metabolic pathway is associated with patient survival in pancreatic cancer

The expression levels of one-carbon metabolic enzymes were investigated and observed to be correlated with clinicopathological parameters in patients with pancreatic cancer. Mitochondrial one-carbon metabolism comprises a network of biological reactions that integrate nutrient status with nucleotide synthesis, amino acid metabolism, antioxidant reduced nicotinamide adenine dinucleotide phosphate production and epigenetic methylation processes. Previous studies have reported that the hyper-activation of mitochondrial one-carbon metabolism serves a significant role in malignant cancer phenotypes. A total of 103 patients underwent surgical resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinomas (PDAC) at Osaka University Hospital between April 2007 and December 2013 and were enrolled in this study. Subsequently, the expression of the one-carbon metabolic enzymes methylenetetrahydrofolate dehydrogenase 2 (MTHFD2), aldehyde dehydrogenase 1 family member L2 (ALDH1L2), and serine hydroxymethyltransferase (SHMT2) was examined using immunohistochemical analysis. The immunohistochemical analyses demonstrated that patients with high expression levels of MTHFD2, ALDH1L2 or SHMT2 had significantly poor overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) rates, as compared with patients with low expression levels. Furthermore, multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis indicated that MTHFD2 and ALDH1L2 were independent prognostic factors for OS and DFS, whereas SHMT2 was not predictive of DFS. However, high and low expression levels of all three folate metabolic enzymes were significantly associated with improved OS and DFS, compared with the high expression of one or two folate metabolic enzymes. The expression levels of mitochondrial one-carbon metabolic enzymes are independent prognostic factors and potential therapeutic targets for future pancreatic cancer treatments.

Rankl expression predicts poor prognosis in gastric cancer patients: results from a retrospective and single-center analysis

The receptor activator of nuclear factor κB ligand (RANKL)/RANK pathway plays an important role in the prognosis of several solid tumor types, but its role in gastric cancer prognosis has been poorly characterized. A total of 116 gastric cancer patients who underwent surgical resection were enrolled in this study. Expressions of RANKL and RANK in gastric cancer tissues were detected using immunohistochemical staining. Thirty-eight patients (33%) showed a high level of RANKL expression and 61 patients (53%) showed a high level of RANK expression. There was a positive correlation between expressions of RANKL and RANK (P=0.014, r=0.221). A high level of RANKL expression indicated shorter overall survival (OS) (P=0.008), and was associated with a higher pathological tumor/lymph node/metastasis (pTNM) stage (P=0.035), while no significant correlation was detected between RANK expression and clinicopathological parameters. RANKL also predicted poor prognosis in patients with high RANK expression (P=0.008) and Bormann's type III/IV (P=0.002). Furthermore, RANKL expression correlated with pTNM stage according to high RANK expression (P=0.009), while no significance was found in patients with low RANK expression (P=1.000). Together, our results revealed that high expression of RANKL could predict worse outcomes in gastric cancer especially combined with RANK detection, and thereby this pathway could be a useful prognostic indicator of gastric cancer.

Serum Helicobacter pylori FliD antibody and the risk of gastric cancer

FliD and CagA are important virulence factors of H. pylori. We aimed to evaluate the screening values of FliD and CagA for gastric cancer (GC). Serum samples were obtained from 232 cases and 266 controls in a case-control study. Unconditional multivariate logistic regression with odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) was used to analyze the relationships between FliD, CagA and GC. The sensitivities, specificities and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were calculated. Finally, the combined screening values of FliD, FlaA, NapA and CagA were assessed based on discriminant analysis. In all subjects, the associations of FliD and CagA with GC were evident with ORs (95% CIs) of 7.6 (4.7-12.3) and 2.5 (1.6-3.8), respectively (*p<0.001). The areas under ROC curves (AUCs) for FliD and CagA were 0.800 and 0.653, respectively. The AUC for the combination of FliD, FlaA and NapA was 0.915, which represented an increase of 0.115 over that of FliD alone (*p<0.001). These findings indicate that the FliD antibody is associated with GC and could exhibit high validity as a biomarker in screening for GC patients. The combination of FliD, FlaA and NapA improved the screening validity.

Diagnostic and prognostic value of carcinoembryonic antigen in pancreatic cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) is one of the most widely used tumor markers and is increased in 30%–60% of patients with pancreatic cancer. Although carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) is the most important serum biomarker in pancreatic cancer, the diagnostic and prognostic value of CEA is gradually being recognized.

Materials and methods

The MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Web of Science databases were searched for related literature published until January 2017. Diagnostic accuracy variables were pooled using the Meta-Disc software. The pooled hazard ratios (HRs) for prognostic data were calculated and analyzed using Stata software.

Results

A total of 3,650 participants enrolled in 19 studies met our inclusion criteria. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio, and negative likelihood ratio of a CEA-based panel were 0.45 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.41–0.50), 0.89 (95% CI, 0.86–0.91), 5.39 (95% CI, 3.16–9.18), and 0.55 (95% CI, 0.41–0.72), respectively. The area under the curve (AUC, 0.90) and Q-value (0.84) of the CEA-based panel indicated a significantly higher diagnostic accuracy compared with CEA or CA19-9 alone. Moreover, there was also a significant association between high levels of CEA and worse overall survival (HR, 1.43; 95% CI, 1.31–1.56).

Conclusion

Our meta-analysis indicated that elevated serum CEA level, as a vital supplementary to CA19-9, can play an important role in the clinical diagnosis of pancreatic cancer patients and predict poor prognosis.

Development and Validation of a Nomogram for Predicting Survival in Patients with Advanced Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma

This study aimed to develop and validate an effective prognostic nomogram for advanced PDAC patients. We conducted a prospective multicenter cohort study involving 1,526 advanced PDAC patients from three participating hospitals in China between January 1, 2004 and December 31, 2013. Two thirds of the patients were randomly assigned to the training set (n = 1,017), and one third were assigned to the validation set (n = 509). Multivariate cox regression analysis was performed to identify significant prognostic factors for overall survival to develop the nomogram. Internal and external validation using C-index and calibration curve were conducted in the training set and validation set respectively. As results, seven independent prognostic factors were identified: age, tumor stage, tumor size, ALT (alanine aminotransferase), ALB (albumin), CA 19-9, HBV infection status, and these factors were entered into the nomogram. The proposed nomogram showed favorable discrimination and calibration both in the training set and validation set. The C-indexes of the training set and validation set were 0.720 and 0.696 respectively, which were both significantly higher than that of the staging system (C-index = 0.613, P < 0.001). In conclusion, the proposed nomogram may be served as an effective tool for prognostic evaluation of advanced PDAC.

Risk factors of liver metastasis from advanced pancreatic adenocarcinoma: a large multicenter cohort study

BACKGROUND

Clinical prognostic parameters of liver metastasis from pancreatic adenocarcinoma have not been specifically identified.This study is to explore the risk factors of liver metastasis in advanced pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PDAC) patients in China.

METHODS

A multicenter cohort study was conducted to explore whether liver metastasis in locally advanced and metastatic PDAC could be reflected by some common laboratory indexes. We collected 1787 advanced PDAC patients from three participating hospitals between 2004 and 2014. The associations between some laboratory indexes and risks of liver metastases were analyzed.

RESULTS

Results have shown that 87% of stage IV patients developed synchronous liver metastasis. Primary tumor location (body/tail vs. head/neck, OR 0.55, 95% CI 0.36-0.83), primary tumor diameter (≥20 mm vs. <20 mm, OR 1.77, 95% CI 1.16-2.70), elevated ALT and AST (OR 1.62, 95% CI 0.92-2.83), and elevated CA19-9 (OR 2.72, 95% CI 1.85-3.99) upon diagnosis are significantly associated with risk of synchronous liver metastasis. Among stage III patients, 30.1% developed metachronous liver metastasis. However, no risk factors were identified among these patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Primary tumor location, diameter, elevated ALT and AST, and increased CA19-9 are independent risk factors of synchronous liver metastasis in PDAC patients.

C-Reactive Protein/Albumin Ratio and Prognostic Nutritional Index Are Strong Prognostic Indicators of Survival in Resected Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma

Purpose: We evaluated the clinical importance, such as the occurrence of postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) or prognosis, of preoperative serum markers of chronic inflammation, nutrition, and immunity, as well as that of serum tumor markers after curative resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinomas (PDACs). Methods: Between 2006 and 2015, 43 patients with PDACs underwent curative resection at Tottori Prefectural Central Hospital. We analyzed which preoperative indicators (i.e., C-reactive protein/albumin ratio [CAR], neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio [NLR], prognostic nutritional index [PNI], carcinoembryonic antigen [CEA], and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 [CA 19-9]) were the most relevant risk factors for occurrence of POPF and poor patient survival. Results: POPF was detected in 8/43 (18.6%) patients. One patient died of pancreatic fistula at 2 months postoperatively. Among nine candidate factors (operative procedure, operation time, tumor stage, preoperative serum amylase, preoperative CAR, NLR, PNI, CEA, and CA 19-9), we did not identify any significant risk factor for the occurrence of POPF. The 5-year overall survival (OS) rate of the 43 patients was 22.4%, and the overall median survival time was 21 months. The multivariate OS analysis demonstrated that high CAR and low PNI were strong preoperative markers of poor prognosis independently of tumor stage. Conclusions: Preoperative CAR and PNI are useful prognostic markers for patients with operable PDACs.

PFKFB3 was overexpressed in gastric cancer patients and promoted the proliferation and migration of gastric cancer cells

OBJECTIVE

Gastric cancer is one of the most common cancers worldwide, and the prognosis is still very poor due to the lack of specific and sensitive biomarkers. Aerobic glycolysis is one of the critical hallmarks of gastric cancer cells, and several glycolytic enzymes are highly expressed in gastric cancer patients. However, the expression and clinical significances of phosphofructokinase-2/fructose-2,6-bisphosphatase3 (PFKFB3, one of the glycolytic enzymes) in a large sample of gastric cancer patients remain unclear.

METHODS

The expression of PFKFB3 was detected in 134 gastric cancer patients by qRT-PCR, immunohistochemistry, and western blot analyses. The correlation between PFKFB3 expression and clinicopathological factors was analyzed by χ 2 test. In addition, we also analyzed whether the knockdown of PFKFB3 by siRNAs could inhibit the ability of gastric cancer cells (MGC-803 and AGS) to proliferate and migrate by MTT analysis and transwell analyses.

RESULTS

PFKFB3 was highly expressed in 81.3% (109/134) of gastric cancer patients. The overexpression of PFKFB3 was associated with lymph node metastasis (P = 0.045) and TNM stage (P = 0.033). Knockdown of PFKFB3 by siRNAs significantly inhibited the proliferation and migration abilities of gastric cancer cells.

CONCLUSION

Our data suggest that PFKFB3 might be a potential biomarker for gastric cancer and anti-neoplastic targeting gene.

Selectin Ligands Sialyl-Lewis a and Sialyl-Lewis x in Gastrointestinal Cancers

The tetrasaccharide structures Siaα2,3Galβ1,3(Fucα1,4)GlcNAc and Siaα2,3Galβ1,4(Fucα1,3)GlcNAc constitute the epitopes of the carbohydrate antigens sialyl-Lewis a (sLe^a) and sialyl-Lewis x (sLe^x), respectively, and are the minimal requirement for selectin binding to their counter-receptors. Interaction of sLe^x expressed on the cell surface of leucocytes with E-selectin on endothelial cells allows their arrest and promotes their extravasation. Similarly, the rolling of cancer cells ectopically expressing the selectin ligands on endothelial cells is potentially a crucial step favoring the metastatic process. In this review, we focus on the biosynthetic steps giving rise to selectin ligand expression in cell lines and native tissues of gastrointestinal origin, trying to understand whether and how they are deregulated in cancer. We also discuss the use of such molecules in the diagnosis of gastrointestinal cancers, particularly in light of recent data questioning the ability of colon cancers to express sLe^a and the possible use of circulating sLe^x in the early detection of pancreatic cancer. Finally, we reviewed the data dealing with the mechanisms that link selectin ligand expression in gastrointestinal cells to cancer malignancy. This promising research field seems to require additional data on native patient tissues to reach more definitive conclusions.

Prognostic impact of nodal statuses in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

The present study aimed to clarify the prognostic impact of nodal statuses in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) after potentially curative pancreatectomy.

METHODS

In 110 patients with >10 examined lymph nodes (ELNs), we investigated how nodal statuses were associated with postoperative survival. Nodal statuses included the number of positive LNs (PLNs); the ratio of PLNs to ELNs (lymph node ratio; LNR); and the location of regional LN metastases, classified as group one (peripancreatic area) and group 2 (outside the peripancreatic area). The maximum χ² value, provided by a Cox proportional hazards model, was used to determine the optimal cutoff value for the number of PLNs and the LNR.

RESULTS

The median numbers of ELNs and metastatic LNs were 33 and 2, respectively. Median survival was longer in patients with ≤3 PLNs (37.5 months), LNR <0.11 (36.1 months), and group 1 LN metastases (37.5 months) compared to in patients with ≥4 PLNs (23.7 months), LNR ≥0.11 (23.9 months), and group 2 LN metastases (22.8 months), respectively. Multivariate analyses revealed that all three investigated nodal statuses were independent factors associated with survival: HR of 2.38 and p = 0.0006 for the location of LN metastases, HR of 1.92 and p = 0.0071 for the number of PLNs, and HR of 1.89 and p = 0.010 for the LNR.

CONCLUSIONS

Three nodal statuses-the number of PLNs, the LNR, and the location of LN metastases-could stratify postoperative survival among PDAC patients with an adequate number of examined LNs after pancreatectomy.

Serum CA242, CA199, CA125, CEA, and TSGF are Biomarkers for the Efficacy and Prognosis of Cryoablation in Pancreatic Cancer Patients

This study aimed to compare the changes and determine the clinical significance of carbohydrate antigens CA242, CA199, CA125, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), and tumor-specific growth factor (TSGF) before and after cryoablation by Cryocare system. Thirty-one pancreatic cancer patients were selected to receive cryoablation by Cryocare system. The serum expression levels of CA242, CA199, CA125, CEA, and TSGF before and 1 month after treatment were determined. Meanwhile, the serum level of these factors was also determined in 31 healthy volunteers. The parameter changes were analyzed with the clinical pathological data. The serum levels of CA242, CA199, CA125, CEA, and TSGF in the pancreatic cancer group were significantly higher than those of the control group both before and after the cryoablation treatment (P < 0.05). The serum CA199, CEA, and TSGF dramatically decreased 1 month after the treatment, which were statistically different (P < 0.05). The positive rates of serum CA242, CA199, CA125, and CEA in the pancreatic cancer group were much higher than those in the control group both before and after treatment (P < 0.05), and the positive rate of TSGF was significantly higher than that of the control group before the treatment (P < 0.05). The positive rate of CA199, CEA, and TSGF after the treatment was significantly lower than that before the treatment (P < 0.05). Serum level of CA242 was correlated with the tumor diameter, clinical staging, tumor differentiation, lymph node, and liver metastasis (P < 0.05). Except gender, CA199 was correlated with all the other clinical pathological parameters (P < 0.05). The serum levels of CA125 and CEA were correlated with all the other clinical pathological parameters (P < 0.05). The serum level of TSGF was only correlated with tumor differentiation (P < 0.05). Cryoablation treatment by Cryocare system can decrease the serum levels of CA199, CEA, TSGF, and the positive rate. Serum CA199, CEA, and TSGF can be important index for pancreatic cancer treatment assessment. Serum levels of CA242, CA199, CA125, and CEA are of great clinical value for metastasis assessment and prognosis in pancreatic cancer patients.

The characteristics of the serum carcinoembryonic antigen and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 levels in gastric cancer cases

PURPOSE

Although carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 are the most commonly used tumor markers in gastric cancer, the differences in the characteristics of these two markers remain unclear, because most previous studies have included many patients who were positive for both markers.

METHODS

We analyzed the available data on 1050 patients with gastric cancer who underwent R0 resection. The background characteristics and recurrence-free survivals (RFS) were compared between the single-positive patients for CEA or CA 19-9 and double-negative patients.

RESULTS

Among these 1050 patients, 86 patients (8.2 %) were positive for CEA only, 77 patients (7.3 %) were positive for CA 19-9 only, and 867 patients (82.6 %) were double negative for both markers. Patients who were elderly, male and had a differentiated histology were more commonly observed in the CEA-positive group than in the double-negative group (P = 0.004, P = 0.009, and P = 0.001). The patients who were positive for either CEA or CA 19-9 had a significantly worse RFS than the patients who were negative for both (P < 0.001 and P < 0.001). The most frequent site of recurrence was the liver (9.3 %) in the CEA-positive group and the peritoneum (11.7 %) in the CA 19-9-positive group.

CONCLUSION

Age, sex, and histological type were thus found to be associated with CEA positivity. CEA is, therefore, considered to be a sensitive marker for liver recurrence, while CA 19-9 is a sensitive marker for peritoneal recurrence.

CA19-9-related tumor kinetics after first-line chemotherapy of patients with advanced pancreatic cancer: a monoinstitutional experience

The absolute value of carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) pretreatment and its reduction after chemotherapy are established prognostic variables for patients with advanced pancreatic cancer. The present study is a retrospective monoinstitutional evaluation of the prognostic role of the CA19-9 reduction and some CA19-9-related tumor kinetics parameters, such as tumor growth rate constant (G), kinetic tumor response and log ratio. Forty-one cases met the selection criteria. After 8 weeks only G reported an inverse relationship with OS (r = -0.494) that was confirmed by regression analysis (R (2) = 0.192). G after 8 weeks of chemotherapy appears as a possible surrogate end point of overall survival.

Survival analysis of veteran patients with pancreatic cancer

OBJECTIVE

For patients with pancreatic cancer, the identification of reliable predictors of their outcomes could be invaluable for directing the managements. This study aimed to identify clinical and laboratory factors that could be used to predict early (≤6 months) or late (>6 months) mortality.

METHODS

Medical records of patients diagnosed with pancreatic cancer in the VA North Texas Health Care System from 2005 to 2010 were retrospectively reviewed. Univariate and multivariate analyses (MVA) were performed and the utility of cancer antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) test was explored.

RESULTS

Altogether 109 patients with pancreatic cancer, 89.0% of whom were with adenocarcinoma, were divided into early (n = 62) and late (n = 47) mortality groups. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed a median survival of 154 days [95% confidence interval (CI) 93-194 days]. On MVA, abdominal pain (OR = 10.6, P = 0.009) and large tumor size (OR = 2.4, P = 0.028) were significantly associated with early mortality, while palliative chemotherapy (OR = 0.048, P = 0.001) and neuroendocrine tumor (OR = 0.009, P = 0.024) were significantly associated with late mortality. Subgroup analyses of adenocarcinoma and late-stage patients revealed similar results. Serum CA19-9 performed poorly as a prognostic indicator in both groups (P = 0.43), in metastatic disease at diagnosis (P = 0.32) and after treatment (P = 0.65).

CONCLUSIONS

Abdominal pain and large tumor size portends a poor prognosis in patients with pancreatic cancer. Palliative chemotherapy and surgical intervention may prolong the patient's survival. CA19-9 is not universally reliable for predicting metastasis, survival, or the responses to chemotherapy.

Adverse prognostic impact of perioperative allogeneic transfusion on patients with stage II/III gastric cancer

BACKGROUND

Allogeneic blood transfusions (BTFs) are sometimes required for radical gastrectomy with regional lymph node dissection for advanced gastric cancer (GC). The prognostic impact of perioperative BTF in GC is controversial.

METHODS

Clinical data were collected retrospectively from 250 consecutive patients who underwent curative gastric resection for stage II/III GC. The prognostic impact of BTF on patient survival was evaluated. Subgroup analysis was performed according to units of blood transfused, timing of BTF, type of gastrectomy, splenectomy, intraoperative estimated blood loss, and year of surgery.

RESULTS

Fifty-seven (22.8%) patients underwent perioperative BTF. Patients who received BTF experienced a significantly shorter disease-specific survival after curative surgery, and multivariable analysis identified perioperative BTF as an independent prognostic factor for cancer-related death (hazard ratio, 1.80; 95% confidence interval, 1.05-3.02; p = 0.032). The BTF group experienced significantly lower recurrence-free survival rate and a higher rate of initial peritoneal recurrence. The amount of blood cells transfused had less impact on prognosis. Pre- or postoperative BTF without intraoperative BTF had limited influence on postoperative prognosis. Prognosis of patients was affected by splenectomy. Even when intraoperative blood loss exceeded 800 ml, the prognosis of the non-BTF group was more favorable. The prognostic impact of BTF became less clear after introduction of adjuvant chemotherapy with S-1.

CONCLUSIONS

BTF was an independent prognostic factor in patients with stage II/III GC after curative gastrectomy. To improve prognosis, BTF should be avoided when possible, particularly during surgery.

Recent advances in the molecular diagnostics of gastric cancer

Gastric cancer (GC) is the third most common cause of cancer-related death in the world, representing a major global health issue. Although the incidence of GC is declining, the outcomes for GC patients remain dismal because of the lack of effective biomarkers to detect early GC and predict both recurrence and chemosensitivity. Current tumor markers for GC, including serum carcinoembryonic antigen and carbohydrate antigen 19-9, are not ideal due to their relatively low sensitivity and specificity. Recent improvements in molecular techniques are better able to identify aberrant expression of GC-related molecules, including oncogenes, tumor suppressor genes, microRNAs and long non-coding RNAs, and DNA methylation, as novel molecular markers, although the molecular pathogenesis of GC is complicated by tumor heterogeneity. Detection of genetic and epigenetic alterations from gastric tissue or blood samples has diagnostic value in the management of GC. There are high expectations for molecular markers that can be used as new screening tools for early detection of GC as well as for patient stratification towards personalized treatment of GC through prediction of prognosis and drug-sensitivity. In this review, the studies of potential molecular biomarkers for GC that have been reported in the publicly available literature between 2012 and 2015 are reviewed and summarized, and certain highlighted papers are examined.

Combination of tumour markers CEA and CA19-9 improves the prognostic prediction in patients with pancreatic cancer

AIMS

Tumour markers including carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) or carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) are frequently determined at the time of diagnosis in patients with pancreatic cancer. Several studies indicate a prognostic relevance of these markers in pancreatic cancer, but space for improvement with regard to the predictive accuracy and ability is given. In this work, the main focus is on mathematical combinations of these two tumour markers in order to validate an improvement of prognostic test results in terms of sensitivity and specificity.

METHODS

This retrospective study includes 393 patients with pancreatic cancer, who were treated between the years 2005 and 2012 at the Division of Oncology, Medical University of Graz, Austria. The goal of this study was to explore whether an appropriate combination of two tumour markers leads to a statistically significant improvement of the prognostic prediction.

RESULTS

Receiver operating characteristic curves comparison analyses with the classification variable cancer-specific survival showed that the mathematical product of two tumour markers (TM(product)= (CEA×CA19-9); area under the curve (AUC)=0.727; 95% CI 0.680 to 0.770) is significantly better than CEA alone (AUC=0.644; 95% CI 0.594 to 0.691; p=0.003) but not significant compared with CA19-9 (AUC=0.710; 95% CI 0.662 to 0.754; p=0.1215). A linear combination of CEA and CA19-9 (TM(linear)=(85×CEA+CA19-9); AUC=0.748; 95% CI 0.702 to 0.790) is significantly better than CEA (p<0.0001) as well as CA19-9 alone (p=0.0304).

CONCLUSIONS

Mathematical combinations of pretherapeutic tumour markers CEA and CA19-9 are feasible and can significantly improve the prognostic prediction in patients with pancreatic cancer.

Trials of vaccines for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma: Is there any hope of an improved prognosis?

Pancreatic tumors are chemoresistant and malignant, and there are very few therapeutic options for pancreatic cancer, as the disease is normally diagnosed at an advanced stage. Although attempts have been made to develop vaccine therapies for pancreatic cancer for a couple of decades, none of the resultant protocols or regimens have succeeded in improving the clinical outcomes of patients. We herein review vaccines tested within the past few years, including peptide, biological and multiple vaccines, and describe the three sets of criteria used to evaluate the therapeutic activity of vaccines in solid tumors.

Poor prognosis of common-type invasive ductal carcinomas that originate in the branching pancreatic duct

PURPOSE

To clarify the incidence, clinicopathological features and prognosis of pancreatic invasive ductal carcinomas (IDCs) with different tumor origin sites in the pancreatic duct.

METHODS

Based on the relationship between the invasive cancer area (ICA) and the main pancreatic duct (MPD), IDCs less than 2 cm in diameter were classified into two groups: type I, in which the ICA and MPD were separated, and type II, in which the MPD passed through the ICA. The clinicopathological findings and prognosis of each type were compared in a total of 37 patients.

RESULTS

The incidences of IDC types I and II were 18.9 and 81.1 %, respectively. Although there was no difference in local invasion, both node involvement and venous invasion tended to occur more frequently in type I IDC, and the three-year survival rate was significantly lower for type I (28.6 %) than type II (71.8 %) IDC.

CONCLUSIONS

The prognosis of IDCs that originated in the branching pancreatic duct (BPD) distant from the MPD (type I) was worse than the prognosis of IDCs that originated in either the MPD or the BPD close to the MPD (type II). These data suggest that the progression and degree of malignancy of IDCs may vary depending on the site of tumor origin in the pancreatic duct.

Neoadjuvant therapy for pancreas cancer: Past lessons and future therapies

Pancreatic adenocarcinoma remains a most deadly malignancy, with an overall 5-year survival of 5%. A subset of patients will be diagnosed with potentially resectable disease, and while complete surgical resection provides the only chance at cure, data from trials of postoperative chemoradiation and/or chemotherapy demonstrate a modest survival advantage over those patients who undergo resection alone. As such, most practitioners believe that completion of multimodality therapy is the optimal treatment. However, the sequence of surgery, chemotherapy and radiation therapy is frequently debated, as patients may benefit from a neoadjuvant approach by initiating chemotherapy and/or chemoradiation prior to resection. Here we review the rationale for neoadjuvant therapy, which includes a higher rate of completion of multimodality therapy, minimizing the risk of unnecessary surgical resection for patients who develop early metastatic disease, improved surgical outcomes and the potential for longer overall survival. However, there are no prospective, randomized studies of the neoadjuvant approach compared to a surgery-first strategy; the established and ongoing investigations of neoadjuvant therapy for pancreatic cancer are discussed in detail. Lastly, as the future of therapeutic regimens is likely to entail patient-specific genetic and molecular analyses, and the treatment that is best applied based on those data, a review of clinically relevant biomarkers in pancreatic cancer is also presented.

Readmission after pancreatic resection: causes and causality pattern

BACKGROUND

Readmission rates have been targeted for cost/reimbursement control. Our goal was to identify causes for readmission and delineate the pattern of early and late readmission.

METHODS

Between 2011 and 2012, a total of 490 patients underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy, distal pancreatectomy or central pancreatectomy. Logistic regression was used to identify predictors of readmission. K-medoids clustering was performed to identify the major readmission subgroups.

RESULTS

Median postoperative length of stay (LOS) was 7 days, and the 30- and 90-day readmission rates were 23 and 29 %, respectively. The most common cause for 30-day readmissions was procedure-related infections (58 %), while the most common cause for 31-90-day readmissions was failure to thrive and chemotherapy-related symptoms (38 %). Independent predictors of 30-day readmissions were central pancreatectomy, discharge with a drain, pancreatic duct <3 mm, previous abdominal surgery, and postoperative LOS. Independent predictors for 31-90-day readmissions were age and preoperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen. Cancer-related covariates were more common in the 31-90-day readmission group. Postoperative carbohydrate antigen 19-9 levels were twofold higher in the 31-90-day readmission group compared with the no readmission group (p = 0.03). K-medoids clustering identified a subgroup where 74 % of readmissions occur at a median of 7 days after discharge.

CONCLUSIONS

Readmissions after pancreatic operations are procedure-related in the first 30 days, but those after this period are influenced by the natural history of the underlying diagnosis. The readmission penalty policy should account for the timing of readmission and the natural history of the underlying disease and procedure. Early follow-up for patients at high risk for readmission may minimize early readmissions.

Estimated pancreatic parenchymal remnant volume accurately predicts clinically relevant pancreatic fistula after pancreatoduodenectomy

BACKGROUND

Postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) after pancreatoduodenectomy (PD) leads to prolonged hospitalization and potentially fatal complications. We sought to determine whether estimated pancreatic parenchymal remnant volume (EPPRV) on preoperative computed tomography (CT) predicts clinically relevant POPF.

METHODS

This retrospective study included 246 patients who underwent PD between 2008 and 2013. Pancreatic thickness, pancreatic width, and main pancreatic duct (MPD) diameter at the estimated transection line in addition to estimated whole pancreatic remnant volume (EWPRV) were measured on preoperative CT images. MPD volume was subtracted from EWPRV to determine EPPRV. The predictive ability of preoperative CT parameters for POPF was evaluated.

RESULTS

EPPRV was an independent predictor of POPF and had a stronger association with POPF than EWPRV. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed that EPPRV had the greatest area under the curve (0.885) for predicting POPF. EPPRV ≥25.5 cm(3) was the best cutoff value for predicting POPF, with a high negative predictive value (0.934) and low likelihood ratio of a negative result (0.235). Multivariate analysis including the preoperative CT parameters and well-known risk factors for POPF showed that EPPRV ≥25.5 cm(3) had the greatest odds ratio for POPF. EPPRV was correlated with pancreatic juice volume. Patients with EPPRV ≥25.5 cm(3) had a greater drainage fluid amylase concentration and greater duration of drainage tube placement than those with EPPRV <25.5 cm(3).

CONCLUSION

EPPRV from preoperative CT was highly predictive of POPF and may help in development of management for POPF after PD.