Predictors of shunt dependency after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage: results of a single-center clinical trial

Significant individual variation in cardiac-cycle-linked cerebrospinal fluid production following subarachnoid hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

Spontaneous subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) often results in altered cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) flow and secondary hydrocephalus, yet the mechanisms behind these phenomena remain poorly understood. This study aimed to elucidate the impact of SAH on individual CSF flow patterns and their association with secondary hydrocephalus.

METHODS

In patients who had experienced SAH, changes in CSF flow were assessed using cardiac-gated phase-contrast magnetic resonance imaging (PC-MRI) at the Sylvian aqueduct and cranio-cervical junction (CCJ). Within these regions of interest, volumetric CSF flow was determined for every pixel and net CSF flow volume and direction calculated. The presence of acute or chronic hydrocephalus was deemed from ventriculomegaly and need of CSF diversion. For comparison, we included healthy subjects and patients examined for different CSF diseases.

RESULTS

Twenty-four SAH patients were enrolled, revealing a heterogeneous array of CSF flow alterations at the Sylvian aqueduct. The cardiac-cycle-linked CSF net flow in Sylvian aqueduct differed from the traditional figures of ventricular CSF production about 0.30-0.40 mL/min. In 15 out of 24 patients (62.5%), net CSF flow was retrograde from the fourth to the third and lateral ventricles, while it was upward at the cranio-cervical junction in 2 out of 2 patients (100%). The diverse CSF flow metrics did not distinguish between individuals with acute or chronic secondary hydrocephalus. In comparison, 4/4 healthy subjects showed antegrade net CSF flow in the Sylvian aqueduct and net upward CSF flow in CCJ. These net CSF flow measures also showed interindividual variability among other patients with CSF diseases.

CONCLUSIONS

There is considerable inter-individual variation in net CSF flow rates following SAH. Net CSF flow in the Sylvian aqueduct differs markedly from the traditional ventricular CSF production rates of 0.30-0.40 mL/min in SAH patients, but less so in healthy subjects. Furthermore, the cardiac-cycle-linked net CSF flow rates in Sylvian aqueduct and CCJ suggest an important role of extra-ventricular CSF production.

Effect of External Ventricular Drainage on Shunt-Dependent Hydrocephalus and Prognosis After Microsurgical Clipping in Patients with Poor-Grade Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

OBJECTIVE

In poor-grade aneurysm subarachnoid hemorrhage (PaSAH), the use of external ventricular drainage (EVD) may be closely related to the occurrence of shunt-dependent hydrocephalus (SDHC). The purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of EVD on SDHC and prognosis after microsurgically clipping patients with PaSAH.

METHODS

The clinical data of 99 patients with PaSAH admitted to the 904th Hospital of People's Liberation Army from October 2011 to December 2020 were analyzed retrospectively. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to clarify the relationship between EVD implantation and its drainage volume and SDHC after PaSAH. Receiver operating characteristic curves were plotted to compare the prognostic efficiency of different drainage volumes on SDHC. Modified Poisson regression analysis was used to determine the effect of SDHC on prognosis after PaSAH.

RESULTS

EVD implantation increased the risk of SDHC (odds ratio = 6.715, 95% confidence interval 1.120-40.248, P = 0.037). The increased drainage volume on day 1, mean daily drainage volume within 2 days, and average within 3 days increased the risk of SDHC. EVD drainage volume on the first postoperative day has a good predictive ability for SDHC after PaSAH, with an area under the curve of 0.829 (95% confidence interval 0.731-0.928); the optimal cut-off value was 208 ml, with a sensitivity of 79.4%, a specificity of 81.6%, and a Youden index of 0.61. The occurrence of SDHC after aneurysm clipping significantly increases the risk of poor prognosis of PaSAH.

CONCLUSIONS

EVD implantation is an independent risk factor for SDHC after PaSAH, and a large drainage volume in the first 3 days after EVD implantation is an independent risk factor for SDHC after PaSAH. The drainage volume on the first day after surgery is the best predictor of SDHC after PaSAH. SDHC after PaSAH is the strongest independent risk factor for poor prognosis and prolongs hospital stay.

Risk factors of shunt-dependent hydrocephalus after subarachnoid hemorrhage: a systematic review and meta-analysis based on observational cohort studies

Shunt dependent hydrocephalus (SDHC) is a common sequel after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) and factors contributing to the development of SDHC remain obscure. The aim of this study was to identify predictors of SDHC following aSAH. We conducted a systematic review based on the Meta-analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (MOOSE) guidelines. We searched electronic databases including Pubmed, Embase, and Cochrane databases from 1980 through August 2019 for studies on the risk factors of SDHC after aSAH. Inclusion criteria were: (1) SAH and hydrocephalus confirmed by CT or magnetic resonance imaging findings; (2) the odds ratios (ORs) or the relative risk (RR) with 95% confidence interval (95%CI; or crude data that allowed their calculation) were reported; and (3) languages were restricted to English and Chinese. Two independent authors collected the data including study design, characteristics of patients and potential risk factors. Random-effects models were used to estimate weighted mean differences (WMD), relative risks (RR) with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI). For analysis with significant heterogeneity, subgroup analyses stratified by study design and geographic area were performed. In all, 37 cohort studies met inclusion criteria. Several factors were associated with SDHC. Infection, acute hydrocephalus, placement of external ventricular drainage, older age, higher Hunt and Hess grade, intraventricular hemorrhage, rebleeding, and mechanical ventilation were associated with greater 2-fold increased risk of SDHC. Vasospasm, female gender, high Fisher grade, preexisting hypertension, aneurysm in posterior location and intracerebral hemorrhage were associated with less than 2-fold increased risk. Treatment modality and diabetes mellitus were not associated with SDHC. SDHC is a multi-factorial disease that is associated with patient and treatment factors. Acknowledgement of these potential factors could help prevent SDHC.

A predictive model in patients with chronic hydrocephalus following aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage: a retrospective cohort study

Objective

Our aim was to develop a nomogram that integrates clinical and radiological data obtained from computed tomography (CT) scans, enabling the prediction of chronic hydrocephalus in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH).

Method

A total of 318 patients diagnosed with subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) and admitted to the Department of Neurosurgery at the Affiliated People's Hospital of Jiangsu University between January 2020 and December 2022 were enrolled in our study. We collected clinical characteristics from the hospital's medical record system. To identify risk factors associated with chronic hydrocephalus, we conducted both univariate and LASSO regression models on these clinical characteristics and radiological features, accompanied with penalty parameter adjustments conducted through tenfold cross-validation. All features were then incorporated into multivariate logistic regression analyses. Based on these findings, we developed a clinical-radiological nomogram. To evaluate its discrimination performance, we conducted Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and calculated the Area Under the Curve (AUC). Additionally, we employed calibration curves, and utilized Brier scores as an indicator of concordance. Additionally, Decision Curve Analysis (DCA) was performed to determine the clinical utility of our models by estimating net benefits at various threshold probabilities for both training and testing groups.

Results

The study included 181 patients, with a determined chronic hydrocephalus prevalence of 17.7%. Univariate logistic regression analysis identified 11 potential risk factors, while LASSO regression identified 7 significant risk factors associated with chronic hydrocephalus. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed three independent predictors for chronic hydrocephalus following aSAH: Periventricular white matter changes, External lumbar drainage, and Modified Fisher Grade. A nomogram incorporating these factors accurately predicted the risk of chronic hydrocephalus in both the training and testing cohorts. The AUC values were calculated as 0.810 and 0.811 for each cohort respectively, indicating good discriminative ability of the nomogram model. Calibration curves along with Hosmer-Lemeshow tests demonstrated excellent agreement between predicted probabilities and observed outcomes in both cohorts. Furthermore, Brier scores (0.127 for the training and 0.09 for testing groups) further validated the predictive performance of our nomogram model. The DCA confirmed that this nomogram provides superior net benefit across various risk thresholds when predicting chronic hydrocephalus. The decision curve demonstrated that when an individual's threshold probability ranged from 5 to 62%, this model is more effective in predicting the occurrence of chronic hydrocephalus after aSAH.

Conclusion

A clinical-radiological nomogram was developed to combine clinical characteristics and radiological features from CT scans, aiming to enhance the accuracy of predicting chronic hydrocephalus in patients with aSAH. This innovative nomogram shows promising potential in assisting clinicians to create personalized and optimal treatment plans by providing precise predictions of chronic hydrocephalus among aSAH patients.

Enhancing the prediction for shunt-dependent hydrocephalus after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage using a machine learning approach

Early and reliable prediction of shunt-dependent hydrocephalus (SDHC) after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) may decrease the duration of in-hospital stay and reduce the risk of catheter-associated meningitis. Machine learning (ML) may improve predictions of SDHC in comparison to traditional non-ML methods. ML models were trained for CHESS and SDASH and two combined individual feature sets with clinical, radiographic, and laboratory variables. Seven different algorithms were used including three types of generalized linear models (GLM) as well as a tree boosting (CatBoost) algorithm, a Naive Bayes (NB) classifier, and a multilayer perceptron (MLP) artificial neural net. The discrimination of the area under the curve (AUC) was classified (0.7 ≤ AUC < 0.8, acceptable; 0.8 ≤ AUC < 0.9, excellent; AUC ≥ 0.9, outstanding). Of the 292 patients included with aSAH, 28.8% (n = 84) developed SDHC. Non-ML-based prediction of SDHC produced an acceptable performance with AUC values of 0.77 (CHESS) and 0.78 (SDASH). Using combined feature sets with more complex variables included than those incorporated in the scores, the ML models NB and MLP reached excellent performances, with an AUC of 0.80, respectively. After adding the amount of CSF drained within the first 14 days as a late feature to ML-based prediction, excellent performances were reached in the MLP (AUC 0.81), NB (AUC 0.80), and tree boosting model (AUC 0.81). ML models may enable clinicians to reliably predict the risk of SDHC after aSAH based exclusively on admission data. Future ML models may help optimize the management of SDHC in aSAH by avoiding delays in clinical decision-making.

Pretreatment and Posttreatment Factors Associated with Shunt-Dependent Hydrocephalus After Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Hydrocephalus is a common complication after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). This study aimed to evaluate novel preoperative and postoperative risk factors for shunt-dependent hydrocephalus (SDHC) after aSAH via a systematic review and meta-analysis.

METHODS

A systematic search was conducted using PubMed and Embase databases for studies pertaining to aSAH and SDHC. Articles were assessed by meta-analysis if the number of risk factors for SDHC was reported by >4 studies and could be extracted separately for patients who did or did not develop SDHC.

RESULTS

Thirty-seven studies were included, comprising 12,667 patients with aSAH (SDHC 2214 vs. non-SDHC 10,453). In a primary analysis of 15 novel potential risk factors, 8 were identified to be significantly associated with increased prevalence of SDHC after aSAH, including high World Federation of Neurological Surgeons grades (odds ratio [OR], 2.43), hypertension (OR, 1.33), anterior cerebral artery (OR, 1.36), middle cerebral artery (OR, 0.65), and vertebrobasilar artery (2.21) involvement, decompressive craniectomy (OR, 3.27), delayed cerebral ischemia (OR, 1.65), and intracerebral hematoma (OR, 3.91).

CONCLUSIONS

Several new factors associated with increased odds of developing SDHC after aSAH were found to be significant. By providing evidence-based risk factors for shunt dependency, we describe an identifiable list of preoperative and postoperative prognosticators that may influence how surgeons recognize, treat, and manage patients with aSAH at high risk for developing SDHC.

The value of ventricular measurements in the prediction of shunt dependency after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

OBJECTIVE

Chronic hydrocephalus requiring shunt placement is a common complication of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). Different risk factors and prediction scores for post-SAH shunt dependency have been evaluated so far. We analyzed the value of ventricle measurements for prediction of the need for shunt placement in SAH patients.

METHODS

Eligible SAH cases treated between 01/2003 and 06/2016 were included. Initial computed tomography scans were reviewed to measure ventricle indices (bifrontal, bicaudate, Evans', ventricular, Huckman's, and third ventricle ratio). Previously introduced CHESS and SDASH scores for shunt dependency were calculated. Receiver operating characteristic analyses were performed for diagnostic accuracy of the ventricle indices and to identify the clinically relevant cut-offs.

RESULTS

Shunt placement followed in 221 (36.5%) of 606 patients. In univariate analyses, all ventricular indices were associated with shunting (all: p<0.0001). The area under the curve (AUC) ranged between 0.622 and 0.662. In multivariate analyses, only Huckman's index was associated with shunt dependency (cut-off at ≥6.0cm, p<0.0001) independent of the CHESS score as baseline prediction model. A combined score (0-10 points) containing the CHESS score components (0-8 points) and Huckman's index (+2 points) showed better diagnostic accuracy (AUC=0.751) than the CHESS (AUC=0.713) and SDASH (AUC=0.693) scores and the highest overall model quality (0.71 vs. 0.65 and 0.67), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Ventricle measurements are feasible for early prediction of shunt placement after SAH. The combined prediction model containing the CHESS score and Huckman's index showed remarkable diagnostic accuracy regarding identification of SAH individuals requiring shunt placement. External validation of the presented combined CHESS-Huckman score is mandatory.

Morphometric Study of the Initial Ventricular Indices to Predict the Complications and Outcome of Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

Objective: Acute hydrocephalus is a common complication in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). Several ventricular indices have been introduced to enable measurements of ventricular morphology. Previously, researchers have showed their diagnostic value for various neurological disorders. In this study, we evaluated the association between ventricular indices and the clinical course, occurrence of complications and outcome of SAH. Methods: A total of 745 SAH patients with available early admission computed tomography scans were included in the analyses. Six ventricular indices (bifrontal, bicaudate, ventricular and third ventricle ratios and Evans’ and Huckman’s indices) were measured. Primary endpoints included the occurrence of cerebral infarctions, in-hospital mortality and a poor outcome at 6 months. Secondary endpoints included different adverse events in the course of SAH. Clinically relevant cut-offs for the indices were determined using receiver operating curves. Univariate analyses were performed. Multivariate analyses were conducted on significant findings in a stepwise backward regression model. Results: The higher the values of the ventricular indices were and the older the patient was, the higher the WFNS and Fisher’s scores were, and the lower the SEBES score was at admission. Patients with larger ventricles showed a shorter duration of intracranial pressure increase > 20 mmHg and required decompressive craniectomy less frequently. Ventricular indices were independently associated with the parameters of inflammatory response after SAH (C-reactive protein in serum and interleukin-6 in cerebrospinal fluid and fever). Finally, there were independent correlations between larger ventricles and all the primary endpoints. Conclusions: The lower risk of intracranial pressure increase and absence of an association with vasospasm or systemic infections during SAH, and the poorer outcome in individuals with larger ventricles might be related to a more pronounced neuroinflammatory response after aneurysmal bleeding. These observations might be helpful in the development of specific medical and surgical treatment strategies for SAH patients depending on the initial ventricle measurements.

A comparison of ventricular volume and linear indices in predicting shunt dependence in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

Background

Guidelines for determining shunt dependence after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) remain unclear. We previously demonstrated change in ventricular volume (VV) between head CT scans taken pre- and post-EVD clamping was predictive of shunt dependence in aSAH. We sought to compare the predictive value of this measure to more commonly used linear indices.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed images of 68 patients treated for aSAH who required EVD placement and underwent one EVD weaning trial, 34 of whom underwent shunt placement. We utilized an in-house MATLAB program to analyze VV and supratentorial VV (sVV) in head CT scans obtained before and after EVD clamping. Evans' index (EI), frontal and occipital horn ratio (FOHR), Huckman's measurement, minimum lateral ventricular width (LV-Min.), and lateral ventricle body span (LV-Body) were measured using digital calipers in PACS. Receiver operating curves (ROC) were generated.

Results

Area under the ROC curves (AUC) for the change in VV, sVV, EI, FOHR, Huckman's, LV-Min., and LV-Body with clamping were 0.84, 0.84, 0.65, 0.71.0.69, 0.67, and 0.66, respectively. AUC for post-clamp scan measurements were 0.75, 0.75, 0.74, 0.72, 0.72, 0.70, and 0.75, respectively.

Conclusion

VV change with EVD clamping was more predictive of shunt dependence in aSAH than change in linear measurements with clamping and all post-clamp measurements. Measurement of ventricular size on serial imaging with volumetrics or linear indices utilizing multidimensional data points may therefore be a more robust metric than unidimensional linear indices in predicting shunt dependence in this cohort. Prospective studies are needed for validation.

Corticosteroid-Dependent Leukocytosis Masks the Predictive Potential of White Blood Cells for Delayed Cerebral Ischemia and Ventriculoperitoneal Shunt Dependency in Aneurysmatic Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

A multitude of pathological and inflammatory processes determine the clinical course after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). However, our understanding of predictive factors and therapeutic consequences is limited. We evaluated the predictive value of clinically relevant factors readily available in the ICU setting, such as white blood cell (WBC) count and CRP, for two of the leading comorbidities, delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI) and ventriculoperitoneal (VP) shunt dependency in aSAH patients with and without corticosteroid treatment. We conducted a retrospective analysis of 484 aSAH patients admitted to our institution over an eight-year period. Relevant clinical factors affecting the risk of DCI and VP shunt dependency were identified and included in a multivariate logistic regression model. Overall, 233/484 (48.1%) patients were treated with corticosteroids. Intriguingly, predictive factors associated with the occurrence of DCI differed significantly depending on the corticosteroid treatment status (dexamethasone group: Hunt and Hess grade (p = 0.002), endovascular treatment (p = 0.016); no-dexamethasone group: acute hydrocephalus (p = 0.018), peripheral leukocyte count 7 days post SAH (WBC at day 7) (p = 0.009)). Similar disparities were found for VP shunt dependency (dexamethasone group: acute hydrocephalus (p = 0.002); no-dexamethasone group: WBC d7 (p = 0.036), CRP peak within 72 h (p = 0.015)). Our study shows that corticosteroid-induced leukocytosis negates the predictive prognostic potential of systemic inflammatory markers for DCI and VP shunt dependency, which has previously been neglected and should be accounted for in future studies.

Predicting Shunt Dependency from the Effect of Cerebrospinal Fluid Drainage on Ventricular Size

BACKGROUND

Prolonged external ventricular drainage (EVD) in patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) leads to morbidity, whereas early removal can have untoward effects related to recurrent hydrocephalus. A metric to help determine the optimal time for EVD removal or ventriculoperitoneal shunt (VPS) placement would be beneficial in preventing the prolonged, unnecessary use of EVD. This study aimed to identify whether dynamics of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) biometrics can temporally predict VPS dependency after SAH.

METHODS

This was a retrospective analysis of a prospective, single-center, observational study of patients with aneurysmal SAH who required EVD placement for hydrocephalus. Patients were divided into VPS-dependent (VPS+) and non-VPS dependent groups. We measured the bicaudate index (BCI) on all available computed tomography scans and calculated the change over time (ΔBCI). We analyzed the relationship of ΔBCI with CSF output by using Pearson's correlation. A k-nearest neighbor model of the relationship between ΔBCI and CSF output was computed to classify VPS.

RESULTS

Fifty-eight patients met inclusion criteria. CSF output was significantly higher in the VPS+ group in the 7 days post EVD placement. There was a negative correlation between delta BCI and CSF output in the VPS+ group (negative delta BCI means ventricles become smaller) and a positive correlation in the VPS- group starting from days four to six after EVD placement (p < 0.05). A weighted k-nearest neighbor model for classification had a sensitivity of 0.75, a specificity of 0.70, and an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.80.

CONCLUSIONS

The correlation of ΔBCI and CSF output is a reliable intraindividual biometric for VPS dependency after SAH as early as days four to six after EVD placement. Our machine learning model leverages this relationship between ΔBCI and cumulative CSF output to predict VPS dependency. Early knowledge of VPS dependency could be studied to reduce EVD duration in many centers (intensive care unit length of stay).

Monocyte Count on Admission Is Predictive of Shunt-Dependent Hydrocephalus After Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

The authors sought to evaluate whether immunologic counts on admission were associated with shunt-dependent hydrocephalus following aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage. A retrospective analysis of 143 consecutive patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage over a 9-year period was performed. A stepwise algorithm was followed for external ventricular drain weaning and determining the necessity of shunt placement. Data were compared between patients with and without shunt-dependent hydrocephalus. Overall, 11.19% of the cohort developed shunt-dependent hydrocephalus. On multivariate logistic regression analysis, acute hydrocephalus (OR: 61.027, 95% CI: 3.890–957.327; p = 0.003) and monocyte count on admission (OR: 3.362, 95% CI: 1.024–11.037; p = 0.046) were found to be independent predictors for shunt dependence. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis for the prediction of shunt-dependent hydrocephalus confirmed that monocyte count exhibited an acceptable area under the curve (AUC = 0.737, 95% CI: 0.601–0.872; p < 0.001). The best predictive cutoff value to discriminate between successful external ventricular drain weaning and shunt-dependent hydrocephalus was identified as a monocyte count ≥0.80 × 10³/uL at initial presentation. These preliminary data demonstrate that a monocyte count ≥0.80 × 10³/uL at admission predicts shunt-dependent hydrocephalus in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage; however, further large-scale prospective trials and validation are necessary to confirm these findings.

Assessment of Sustained Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome and CSF Markers as Predictive Values Associated with Shunt-Dependent Hydrocephalus after Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

Aim of the study: This study was conducted to detect incidence and risk factors of shunt-dependent hydrocephalus, including Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome. Patients and methods: After obtaining ethical approval from the research ethics committee of Cairo University, this study was conducted in two phases, phase I in the form of follow up study to detect the incidence of shunt dependent hydrocephalus in patients with ruptured subarachnoid aneurysm then phase II in the form of comparative one to detect the risk factors of acquisition of shunt dependent hydrocephalus and detect the predictive role of SIRS in SDH. The study included 90 patients with ruptured subarachnoid aneurysms followed up in the department of neurosurgery of Cairo university hospital from April 2018 to April 2020. Results: The incidence of shunt-dependent hydrocephalus was 28% among the studied patients with significant association with high-grade SIRS, Fisher score, Hunt and Hess score, and leukocytosis. The CSF white blood cells and protein were significantly higher in the hydrocephalus group. Also, there was significant hypernatremia among the hydrocephalic group. Conclusion: Despite the study's analytical design, we observed a link between high fisher, SIRS, hypernatremia, and shunt-dependent hydrocephalus in aneurysmal SAH patients. Serum sodium, CSF WBCs, and protein may all be used to predict HC.

Predicting Ventriculoperitoneal Shunt Dependence in High Grade Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

INTRODUCTION

Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) commonly presents with hydrocephalus due to obstruction of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) passage across the ventricular system in the brain. Placement of an external ventricular device (EVD) and in some cases ventriculoperitoneal shunt (VPS) are often necessary for patients requiring prolonged CSF diversion. The study aimed at evaluating critical factors that play a role in determining the need for extended extraventricular drainage.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective observational cohort study of two groups of patients with radiological imaging confirmed high grade aSAH (Hunt & Hess grades 3-5) who required VPS placement, shunt-dependent group, and who did not require long term CSF diversion, non-shunt-dependent group. We collected and analyzed data regarding the daily CSF output for 10 days following EVD placement, daily EVD height, intracranial pressure (ICP) and cerebral perfusion pressure (CPP), indicators of hydrocephalus, and CSF characteristics.

RESULTS

The cohort, comprising of 8 patients in the shunt-dependent group and 32 patients in the non-shunt-dependent group, displayed median daily CSF output of 275.1 mL/day and 193.4 mL/day, respectively (P = .0005). ROC curve for CSF drainage for the two groups showed an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.71 with a 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.65 to 0.77. Qualitative analysis of CSF characteristics revealed that the shunt-dependent group had more proteinaceous, darker red color, and greater proportion of red blood cells (RBCs) although not statistically significant.

CONCLUSIONS

Determinants of prolonged CSF drainage requirements in patients with high grade aSAH are not fully elucidated to this date and there is no standardized protocol for CSF diversion. Our study revealed potential markers that can be used in the assessment for the need for long term CSF diversion. Our limited sample size necessitates further research to establish clear correlations and cutoffs of these parameters in predicting long term CSF diversion requirements.

Quantitative Modeling of External Ventricular Drain Output to Predict Shunt Dependency in Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Acute hydrocephalus is a common complication of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH); however, attempts to predict shunt-dependent chronic hydrocephalus using clinical parameters have been equivocal.

METHODS

Cohort study of aSAH is treated with external ventricular drainage (EVD) placement at our institution, 2001-2016, via logistic regression. EVD-related parameters included mean/total EVD output (days 0-2), EVD days, EVD days ≤ 5 mmHg, and wean/clamp fails. aSAH outcomes assessed included ventriculoperitoneal shunt (VPS) placement, delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI), radiographic infarction (RI), symptomatic vasospasm (SV), age, and aSAH grades.

RESULTS

Two hundred and ten aSAH patients underwent EVD treatment for a median 12 days (range 1-54); 85 required VPS (40%). On univariate analysis, EVD output, total EVD days, EVD days ≤ 5 mmHg, and wean/clamp trial failures were significantly associated with VPS placement (p < 0.01 for all parameters). No EVD output parameter demonstrated a significant association with DCI, RI, or SV. On multivariate analysis, EVD output was a significant predictor of VPS placement, after adjusting for age and clinical and radiological grades; the optimal threshold for predicting VPS placement was mean daily output > 204 ml on days 0-2 (OR 2.59, 95% CI 1.31-5.07). Multiple wean failures were associated with unfavorable functional outcome, after adjusting for age, grade, and VPS placement (OR 1.65, 95% CI 1.10-2.47). We developed a score incorporating age, grade and EVD parameters (MAGE) for predicting VPS placement after aSAH.

CONCLUSIONS

EVD output parameters and wean/clamp trial failures predicted shunt dependence in an age- and grade-adjusted multivariable model. Early VPS placement may be warranted in patients with MAGE score ≥ 4, particularly following 2 failed wean trials.

Cerebrospinal Fluid Output as a Risk Factor of Chronic Hydrocephalus After Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

Chronic shunt-dependent hydrocephalus is a well-known complication of subarachnoid hemorrhage. Although the risk factors have been extensively investigated, most fail to predict permanent shunt dependency. It is unknown whether the volume of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) from external ventricular drainage and the daily volume of drainage during the acute hydrocephalus phase (first 72 hours) can predict shunt dependency. We aimed to determine whether CSF output during the acute hydrocephalus phase is a risk factor for shunt dependency.

METHODS

Patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage and hydrocephalus treated with external ventricular drainage were prospectively registered in our database between January 2017 and March 2020. Factors evaluated for predicting shunt dependency included age; sex; Hunt and Hess grade; World Federation of Neurological Surgeons grade; acute hydrocephalus; modified Fisher grade; aneurysm treatment modality; hospital length of stay; modified Rankin score; average daily overall CSF production; average CSF output for the first 24, 48, and 72 hours; external ventricular drainage days; the number of wean/clamp failures; and ventriculoperitoneal shunting.

RESULTS

Univariate analysis identified Hunt and Hess grade; acute hydrocephalus at onset; external ventricular drainage; overall CSF output; average CSF output for the first 24, 48, and 72 hours; and CSF output until the first clamp as significant risk factors for shunt dependency (P < 0.001). In a multivariate logistic regression analysis, overall CSF output and average CSF output for the first 72 hours were significant risk factors for shunt dependency.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall CSF output, especially during the acute hydrocephalus phase (first 72 hours), predicts the development of chronic hydrocephalus.

Predictors of Ventriculoperitoneal shunting following Subarachnoid Hemorrhage treated with External Ventricular Drainage

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is commonly associated with hydrocephalus due to subarachnoid hemorrhage blood products obstructing cerebrospinal fluid outflow. Hydrocephalus after aSAH is routinely managed with temporary external ventricular drainage (EVD) followed by standard EVD weaning protocols, which determine the need for ventriculoperitoneal shunting (VPS). We sought to investigate aSAH patients who initially passed EVD weaning trials and had EVD removal, but later presented with recurrent, delayed, symptomatic hydrocephalus requiring a VPS.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective review of all patients at our tertiary care medical center who presented with aSAH, requiring an EVD. We analyzed variables associated with ultimate VPS dependency during hospitalization.

RESULTS

We reviewed 489 patients with aSAH over a 6-year period (2008-2014). One hundred and thirty-eight (28.2%) developed hydrocephalus requiring a temporary EVD. Forty-four (31.9%) of these patients died or had withdrawal of care during admission, and were excluded from final analysis. Of the remaining 94 patients, 29 (30.9%) failed their clamp trial and required VPS. Sixty-five (69.1%) patients passed their clamp trial and were discharged without a VPS. However, 10 (15.4%) of these patients developed delayed hydrocephalus after discharge and ultimately required VPS [mean (range) days after discharge, 97.2 (35-188)]. Compared to early VPS, the delayed VPS group had a higher incidence of symptomatic vasospasm (90.0% vs 51.7%; P = 0.03). When comparing patients discharged from the hospital without VPS, delayed VPS patients also had higher 6- and 12-month mortality (P = 0.02) and longer EVD clamp trials (P < 0.01) than patients who never required VPS but had an EVD during hospitalization. Delayed hydrocephalus occurred in only 7.8% of patients who passed the initial EVD clamp trial, compared to 14.3% who failed the initial trial and 80.0% who failed 2 or more trials.

CONCLUSION

Patients who failed their initial or subsequent EVD clamp trials had a small, but increased risk of developing delayed hydrocephalus ultimately requiring VPS. Additionally, the majority of patients who presented with delayed hydrocephalus also suffered symptomatic vasospasm. These associations should be further explored and validated in a larger prospective study.

The Pathogenesis of Hydrocephalus Following Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

Hydrocephalus is a common complication of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) and reportedly contributes to poor neurological outcomes. In this review, we summarize the molecular and cellular mechanisms involved in the pathogenesis of hydrocephalus following aSAH and summarize its treatment strategies. Various mechanisms have been implicated for the development of chronic hydrocephalus following aSAH, including alterations in cerebral spinal fluid (CSF) dynamics, obstruction of the arachnoid granulations by blood products, and adhesions within the ventricular system. Regarding molecular mechanisms that cause chronic hydrocephalus following aSAH, we carried out an extensive review of animal studies and clinical trials about the transforming growth factor-β/SMAD signaling pathway, upregulation of tenascin-C, inflammation-dependent hypersecretion of CSF, systemic inflammatory response syndrome, and immune dysregulation. To identify the ideal treatment strategy, we discuss the predictive factors of shunt-dependent hydrocephalus between surgical clipping and endovascular coiling groups. The efficacy and safety of other surgical interventions including the endoscopic removal of an intraventricular hemorrhage, placement of an external ventricular drain, the use of intraventricular or cisternal fibrinolysis, and an endoscopic third ventriculostomy on shunt dependency following aSAH were also assessed. However, the optimal treatment is still controversial, and it necessitates further investigations. A better understanding of the pathogenesis of acute and chronic hydrocephalus following aSAH would facilitate the development of treatments and improve the outcome.

Validation of shunt dependency prediction scores after aneurysmal spontaneous subarachnoid hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

Currently available scores for predicting shunt dependency after aneurysmal spontaneous subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) are limited and not widely accepted. The key purpose of this study was to validate a recently created score for shunt dependency in aSAH (SDASH) in an independent population of aSAH patients. We compared this new SDASH score based on a combination of the Hunt and Hess grade, Barrow Neurological Institute (BNI) score, and the presence or not of acute hydrocephalus with other published predictive scores.

METHODS

The SDASH score, Hijdra score, BNI grading system, chronic hydrocephalus ensuing from SAH score (CHESS), Graeb score, and modified Graeb score (mGS) were calculated for a cohort of aSAH patients. Logistic regression analysis was used to determine the reliability of the SDASH score, and the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve was used to assess the discriminative ability of the model.

RESULTS

In 214 patients with aSAH, 40 (18.7%) developed shunt-dependent hydrocephalus (SDHC). The AUC for the SDASH score was 0.816. The SDASH score reliably predicted SDHC in aSAH (odds ratio: 2.93, 95% CI: 1.99-4.31; p < 0.001) with no statistically significant differences being found between the SDASH score and the CHESS score (AUC: 0.816), radiological-based Graeb score (AUC: 0.742), or modified Graeb score (AUC: 0.741). However, the Hijdra score (AUC: 0.673) and BNI grading system (AUC: 0.616) showed lower predictive values than the SDASH score.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings support the ability of the SDASH score to predict shunt dependency after SAH in a population independent to that used to develop the score. The SDASH score may aid in the early management of hydrocephalus in aSAH, and it does not differ greatly from other predictive scores.

Higher Plasma Osteopontin Concentrations Associated with Subsequent Development of Chronic Shunt-Dependent Hydrocephalus After Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

A matricellular protein osteopontin (OPN) is considered to exert neuroprotective and healing effects on neurovascular injuries in an acute phase of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). However, the relationships between OPN expression and chronic shunt-dependent hydrocephalus (SDHC) have never been investigated. In 166 SAH patients (derivation and validation cohorts, 110 and 56, respectively), plasma OPN levels were serially measured at days1-3, 4-6, 7-9, and 10-12 after aneurysmal obliteration. The OPN levels and clinical factors were compared between patients with and without subsequent development of chronic SDHC. Plasma OPN levels in the SDHC patients increased from days 1-3 to days 4-6 and remained high thereafter, while those in the non-SDHC patients peaked at days 4-6 and then decreased over time. Plasma OPN levels had no correlation with serum levels of C-reactive protein (CRP), a systemic inflammatory marker. Univariate analyses showed that age, modified Fisher grade, acute hydrocephalus, cerebrospinal fluid drainage, and OPN and CRP levels at days 10-12 were significantly different between patients with and without SDHC. Multivariate analyses revealed that higher plasma OPN levels at days 10-12 were an independent factor associated with the development of SDHC, in addition to a more frequent use of cerebrospinal fluid drainage and higher modified Fisher grade at admission. Plasma OPN levels at days 10-12 maintained similar discrimination power in the validation cohort and had good calibration on the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test. Prolonged higher expression of OPN may contribute to the development of post-SAH SDHC, possibly by excessive repairing effects promoting fibrosis in the subarachnoid space.

External Validation of Scoring Models to Predict Shunt Insertion after Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

The current study is an external validation of 4 scoring models proposed in the literature for predicting ventriculoperitoneal shunt insertion after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) using retrospective patient data from Sheffield Teaching Hospital (STH).

METHODS

Data were collected on various demographics, and patients were individually scored using the 4 scoring models. Models were compared with each other using receiver-operator characteristic curves. The best model had the highest area under the curve.

RESULTS

A total of 301 aSAH patients were referred to the neurosurgery department in STH between 1 January 2014 and 31 December 2017. Scoring model 4 also had the largest area under the curve of 0.853 (P < 0.001), and scoring model 3 had the lowest area under the curve of 0.654 (P = 0.036).

CONCLUSIONS

Scoring model 4 was found to be the best scoring model out of the 4 scoring models externally validated to predict shunt dependency after an aSAH in STH patients. Scoring model 4 is less applicable in modern practice due to a higher proportion of coiling and use of the Hunt and Hess scale grade. A new scoring model is needed to predict shunt insertion in modern practice.

Efficacy of translamina terminalis ventriculostomy tube in prevention of chronic hydrocephalus after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

Background

Chronic shunt-dependent hydrocephalus is still a common complication after aneurysmal SAH (aSAH) and is associated with increased morbidity. Pathology of chronic shunt-dependent hydrocephalus after aSAH is complex and multifactorial which makes its prevention challenging. We thought to evaluate whether external ventricular drainage (EVD) through fenestrated lamina terminalis would decrease the rate of chronic shunt-dependent hydrocephalus after aSAH.

Methods

A retrospective analysis of 68 consecutive patients with aSAH who underwent microsurgical clipping of the ruptured aneurysm. Patients were divided into two groups: Group A included patients with lamina terminalis fenestration without insertion of ventriculostomy tube and Group B included patients with EVD through fenestrated lamina terminalis. Demographic, clinical, radiological, and outcome variables were compared between groups.

Results

Group A comprised 29 patients with mean age of 47.8 years and Group B comprised 39 patients with mean age of 46.6 years. Group B patients had statistically significant (P < 0.05) lower incidence of chronic shunt- dependent hydrocephalus than Group A patients (30.8% vs. 55.2%, respectively).

Conclusion

EVD through fenestrated lamina terminalis is safe and may be effective in decreasing the incidence of chronic shunt-dependent hydrocephalus after aSAH.

Review of CHESS Score in SAH Patients in Local Malaysian Population

Background  Chronic hydrocephalus caused by subarachnoid hemorrhage is a reversible and treatable condition. To date, existing clinical scores for predicting the development of posthemorrhagic hydrocephalus are few and difficult to apply in the clinical settings. Chronic hydrocephalus ensuing subarachnoid hemorrhage score (CHESS) was first published in 2016. Although it showed promising results, no external validation has been done outside Europe. We designed this study to validate the accuracy and reliability of CHESS score and to also look for other factors that may cause posthemorrhagic shunt dependent hydrocephalus.

Objectives  This study is to determine the reliability of CHESS score and to look for other parameters with predictive value in patients with shunt-dependent posthemorrhagic hydrocephalus.

Results  Thirty-one percent of the studied population developed shunt-dependent hydrocephalus ( n = 41). CHESS score showed an odds ratio (OR) of 2.184 with p -value < 0.001 and two other risk factors were found to be strongly related to develop shunt-dependent hydrocephalus, that is, early infarct in computed tomography (CT) brain (OR = 0.182; p -value = 0.004) and Fisher’s grade > 3 (OR = 1.986; p -value = 0.047). The sensitivity and specificity for CHESS score in this cohort population showed a sensitivity of 73.2% and specificity of 93.3%. The area under the curve for CHESS score in our cohort is 0.922.

Conclusion  CHESS score is a reliable tool in early prediction of shunt-dependent hydrocephalus post subarachnoid hemorrhage.

A sustained systemic inflammatory response syndrome is associated with shunt-dependent hydrocephalus after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

OBJECTIVE

The authors sought to evaluate whether a sustained systemic inflammatory response was associated with shunt-dependent hydrocephalus following aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of 193 consecutive patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage was performed. Management of hydrocephalus followed a stepwise algorithm to determine the need for external CSF drainage and subsequent shunt placement. Systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) data were collected for all patients during the first 7 days of hospitalization. Patients who met the SIRS criteria every day for the first 7 days of hospitalization were considered as having a sustained SIRS. Univariate and multivariate regression analyses were used to determine predictors of shunt dependence.

RESULTS

Sixteen percent of patients required shunt placement. Sustained SIRS was observed in 35% of shunt-dependent patients compared to 14% in non-shunt-dependent patients (p = 0.004). On multivariate logistic regression, female sex (OR 0.35, 95% CI 0.142-0.885), moderate to severe vasospasm (OR 3.78, 95% CI 1.333-10.745), acute hydrocephalus (OR 21.39, 95% CI 2.260-202.417), and sustained SIRS (OR 2.94, 95% CI 1.125-7.689) were significantly associated with shunt dependence after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage. Receiver operating characteristic analysis revealed an area under the curve of 0.83 for the final regression model.

CONCLUSIONS

Sustained SIRS was a predictor of shunt-dependent hydrocephalus following aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage even after adjustment for potential confounding variables in a multivariate logistic regression model.

Shunt-dependent hydrocephalus after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

INTRODUCTION

Shunt-dependent hydrocephalus (SDHC) after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is the occurrence of symptomatic ventriculomegaly requiring permanent shunt diversion. Although several studies investigated the predictors of SDHC, the role of many of these factors, as well as the prevalence of SDHC and patients' clinical outcome, remain a matter of controversy.

EVIDENCE ACQUISITION

According to PRISMA guidelines we performed a systematic search looking into four databases with the purpose of clarifying the prevalence of SDHC after aSAH, the predictors of SDHC, the mortality rate and clinical outcome of patients with and without SDHC.

EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS

Our analysis included 23 studies involving 22,264 patients. The overall prevalence of SDHC was 22.3% (95% CI: 17.9-26.6%). The predictors of SDHC included radiological hydrocephalus at presentation (OR 6.3, 95% CI: 2.27-17.51%), external ventricular drainage insertion (OR 5.7, 95% CI: 3.77-8.61%), high Hunt and Hess scale score (HHS 3-5: OR 3.3, 95% CI: 2.64-4.15%; HHS 4-5: OR 3.2, 95% CI: 2.4-4.2%), high Fisher grade (OR 3.1, 95% CI: 2.58-3.72%), intraventricular blood (OR 3.1, 95% CI: 2.60-3.71%), vasospasm (OR 1.9, 95% CI: 1.30-2.81%), intraparenchymal hemorrhage (OR 1.8, 95% CI: 1.2-2.78%), female gender (OR 1.3, 95% CI: 1.14-1.65%) and posterior circulation aneurysms (OR 1.4, 95% CI: 1.11-1.71%). The modality of aneurysm repair did not affect the rate of permanent shunt diversion. Patients with SDHC were more likely to be associated with a poor clinical outcome (mRS 3-6) (OR 4.3), even if mortality rate was similar between shunted and non-shunted patients (9%, 95% CI: 2-16% vs. 10.8%, 95% CI: 3.2-18.5%) (P=0.09).

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of SDHC is 22.3%. Our analysis identified several predictors of SDHC that can assist clinicians in monitoring patients with an aSAH. Shunt dependency is not related to the treatment modality of the ruptured aneurysm, whereas the occurrence of SDHC is a predictor of poor clinical outcome.

Magnitude and direction of aqueductal cerebrospinal fluid flow: large variations in patients with intracranial aneurysms with or without a previous subarachnoid hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

Net cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) flow within the cerebral aqueduct is usually considered to be antegrade, i.e., from the third to the fourth ventricle with volumes ranging between 500 and 600 ml over 24 h. Knowledge of individual CSF flow dynamics, however, is hitherto scarcely investigated. In order to explore individual CSF flow rate and direction, we assessed net aqueductal CSF flow in individuals with intracranial aneurysms with or without a previous subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH).

METHODS

A prospective observational study was performed utilizing phase-contrast magnetic resonance imaging (PC-MRI) to determine the magnitude and direction of aqueductal CSF flow with an in-depth, pixel-by-pixel approach. Estimation of net flow was used to calculate CSF flow volumes over 24 h. PC-MRI provides positive values when flow is retrograde.

RESULTS

The study included eight patients with intracranial aneurysms. Four were examined within days after their SAH; three were studied in the chronic stage after SAH while one patient had an unruptured intracranial aneurysm. There was a vast variation in magnitude and direction of aqueductal CSF flow between individuals. Net aqueductal CSF flow was retrograde, i.e., directed towards the third ventricle in 5/8 individuals. For the entire patient cohort, the estimated net aqueductal CSF volumetric flow rate (independent of direction) was median 898 ml/24 h (ranges 69 ml/24 h to 12.9 l/24 h). One of the two individuals who had a very high estimated net aqueductal CSF volumetric flow rate, 8.7 l/24 h retrograde, later needed a permanent CSF shunt.

CONCLUSIONS

The magnitude and direction of net aqueductal CSF flow vary extensively in patients with intracranial aneurysms. Following SAH, PC-MRI may offer the possibility to perform individualized assessments of the CSF circulation.

Prognostic Model for Chronic Shunt-Dependent Hydrocephalus After Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

Patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) are at risk of the development of chronic shunt-dependent hydrocephalus. However, identification of shunt-dependent patients remains challenging. We sought to develop a prognostic model to identify patients with aSAH at risk of chronic shunt-dependent hydrocephalus. In addition to the well-known prognostic variables, blood clearance in the cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) spaces was considered.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed the data from 227 patients treated at our institution from January 2012 to January 2016. The outcome was ventriculoperitoneal shunt placement within 30 days after aSAH. The candidate prognostic variables were patient age, World Federation of Neurological Surgeons grade and Fisher grade, external ventricular drainage, ventricular and intracerebral hemorrhage, and interval to blood clearance in the peripheral/basal CSF spaces. Adjustment for multiple testing was performed. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used for model development. Bootstrapping was applied for internal validation. The model performance measures included indexes for explained variance (R²), calibration (graphic plot, Hosmer-Lemeshow test), and discrimination (c-statistic).

RESULTS

Of the 227 patients, 90 (39.6%) required a ventriculoperitoneal shunt. The constructed prognostic model combined external ventricular drainage placement, the presence of ventricular blood, and the duration of blood clearance in the basal cisterns. The model performance was promising, with an R² of 33% (20% after bootstrapping), the calibration plot was adequate, the Hosmer-Lemeshow test result was not significant, and the c-statistic was 0.85 (0.84 as assessed after bootstrapping) indicating a good discriminating prognostic model.

CONCLUSIONS

Our prognostic model could help identify patients requiring permanent CSF diversion after aSAH, although additional modification and external validation are needed. Interventions aimed at accelerating the clearance of blood in the basal cisterns might have the potential to prevent the development of chronic hydrocephalus after aSAH.

Complications in Patients Undergoing Microsurgical Clipping of Intracranial Aneurysms with Pre-existing Ventriculoperitoneal Shunts Following a Cranial Procedure

INTRODUCTION

Patients with ventriculoperitoneal/pleural (VP) shunts occasionally must undergo subsequent craniotomy, craniectomy, or cranioplasty. Due to changes in pressure dynamics following shunt placement, we hypothesized that such patients may have an increased risk of developing symptomatic collections of extra-axial blood, fluid, and/or air postoperatively, leading to longer stays and worse outcomes compared to those undergoing cranial operations without a VP shunt.

METHODS

From a retrospective cohort of patients who underwent cranial operations for management of cerebral aneurysms in 2005-2014, we identified patients who previously had a VP shunt placed, determined the temporal relationship between shunt placement and cranial operation, and investigated outcomes in those with and without a shunt.

RESULTS

Of 818 patients who underwent cranial operations, 28 (3.4%) had a VP shunt. Four of these 28 (14.3%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 4.0%-32.7%) developed postoperative complications, compared to 42 of 790 (5.3%, 95% CI 4.0%-7.1%) without a history of VP shunt (P = .07). In addition, patients with a shunt were more likely to have longer cranial procedures (P = .04), longer hospital stays (P = .05), and more computed tomography scans during their craniotomy-associated admission (P = .002). Multivariate analysis, though not significant, demonstrated that the presence of a shunt contributed to the development of complications (odds ratio [OR] 2.24, 95% CI .70-7.13, P = .17). Length of surgery (OR 1.17, 95% CI 1.04-1.31, P = .01) and length of stay (OR 1.04, 95% CI 1.01-1.07, P = .01) were significantly longer in those with a postoperative complication.

CONCLUSION

We found a nonsignificant trend toward increased postoperative complications in patients with a VP shunt who underwent a subsequent cranial operation.

Role of Cerebrospinal Fluid Markers for Predicting Shunt-Dependent Hydrocephalus in Patients with Subarachnoid Hemorrhage and External Ventricular Drain Placement

OBJECTIVE

We sought to identify potential risk factors for the development of shunt-dependent chronic hydrocephalus after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) and external ventricular drain (EVD) insertion. In particular, the role of inflammatory markers within the cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) was assessed.

METHODS

For this single-center analysis, data were generated from consecutive patients with SAH and the need for EVD implantation treated on our neurosurgical intensive care unit between 2013 and 2015. Parameters were patient characteristics (age, sex, comorbidity), severity of SAH (according to the World Federation of Neurological Society score), imaging findings (intraventricular hemorrhage, diameter of the third ventricle, location of the ruptured aneurysm), and acute course of disease (cerebral infarction, vasospasm). Moreover, the impact of EVD drainage volume and CSF markers (total protein [_CSFTP], red blood cell count [_CSFRBC], interleukin-6 [_CSFIL-6], and glucose [_CSFGlc]) was assessed. Statistics including receiver-operating-curve with corresponding area-under-the-curve (AUC) analysis were calculated using SPSS.

RESULTS

Overall, 63 patients (21 males, mean age 55.2 years) were included. Twenty-one patients (30%) developed a shunt-dependent hydrocephalus. Significant risk factors for shunt dependency were the World Federation of Neurological Society score, cerebral infarction, and diameter of the third ventricle (P < 0.05). Moreover, CSF markers associated with shunt-dependent hydrocephalus included increased levels of _CSFTP on days 5 (AUC = 0.72)/11 (AUC = 0.97)/14 (AUC = 0.98), _CSFIL-6 on day 14 (AUC = 0.81), and _CSFRBC on day 15 (AUC = 0.83). The EVD drainage volume was not prognostic.

CONCLUSIONS

The time course of selected inflammatory markers in CSF may support management considerations in the early phase after SAH and critical impairment of CSF circulation.

Predictors of hydrocephalus as a complication of non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage: a retrospective observational cohort study in 107 patients

Background

The predictors of shunt dependency such as amount of subarachnoid blood, acute hydrocephalus (HC), mode of aneurysm repair, clinical grade at admission and cerebro spinal fluid (CSF) drainage in excess of 1500 ml during the 1st week after the subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) have been identified as predictors of shunt dependency. Therefore our main objective is to identify predictors of CSF shunt dependency following non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage.

Methods

We performed a retrospective study including patients from January 1st 2012 to September 30th 2014 between 16 and 89 years old and had a non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage in cranial computed tomography (CCT). We excluded patients with the following characteristics: Patients who died 3 days after admittance, lesions in brainstem, previous surgical treatment in another clinic, traumatic brain injury, pregnancy and disability prior to SAH.

We performed a descriptive and comparative analysis as well as a logistic regression with the variables that showed a significant difference (p < 0.05). Hence we identified the variables concerning HC after non traumatic SAH and its correlation.

Results

One hundred and seven clinical files of patients with non-traumatic SAH were analyzed. Twenty one (48%) later underwent shunt treatment. Shunt patients had significantly clinical and corroborated with doppler ultrasonography vasospasmus (p = 0.015), OR = 5.2. The amount of subarachnoidal blood according to modified Fisher grade was (p = 0.008) OR = 10.9. Endovascularly treated patients were less often shunted as compared with those undergoing surgical aneurysm repair (p = 0.004).

Conclusion

Vasospasmus and a large amount of ventricular blood seem to be a predictor concerning hydrocephalus after non-traumatic SAH. Hence according to our results the presence of these two variables could alert the treating physician in the decision whether an early shunt implantation < 7 days after SAH should be necessary.

A novel score to predict shunt dependency after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

OBJECTIVE

Feasible clinical scores for predicting shunt-dependent hydrocephalus (SDHC) after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) are scarce. The chronic hydrocephalus ensuing from SAH score (CHESS) was introduced in 2015 and has a high predictive value for SDHC. Although this score is easy to calculate, several early clinical and radiological factors are required. The authors designed the retrospective analysis described here for external CHESS validation and determination of predictive values for the radiographic Barrow Neurological Institute (BNI) scoring system and a new simplified combined scoring system.

METHODS

Consecutive data of 314 patients with aSAH were retrospectively analyzed with respect to CHESS parameters and BNI score. A new score, the shunt dependency in aSAH (SDASH) score, was calculated from independent risk factors identified with multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

Two hundred twenty-five patients survived the initial phase after the hemorrhage, and 27.1% of these patients developed SDHC. The SDASH score was developed from results of multivariate analysis, which revealed acute hydrocephalus (aHP), a BNI score of ≥ 3, and a Hunt and Hess (HH) grade of ≥ 4 to be independent risk factors for SDHC (ORs 5.709 [aHP], 6.804 [BNI], and 4.122 [HH]; p < 0.001). All 3 SDHC scores tested (CHESS, BNI, and SDASH) reliably predicted chronic hydrocephalus (ORs 1.533 [CHESS], 2.021 [BNI], and 2.496 [SDASH]; p ≤ 0.001). Areas under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) for CHESS and SDASH were comparable (0.769 vs 0.785, respectively; p = 0.447), but the CHESS and SDASH scores were superior to the BNI grading system for predicting SDHC (BNI AUROC 0.649; p = 0.014 and 0.001, respectively). In contrast to CHESS and BNI scores, an increase in the SDASH score coincided with a monotonous increase in the risk of developing SDHC.

CONCLUSIONS

The newly developed SDASH score is a reliable tool for predicting SDHC. It contains fewer factors and is more intuitive than existing scores that were shown to predict SDHC. A prospective score evaluation is needed.

Gradual External Ventricular Drainage Weaning Reduces The Risk of Shunt Dependency After Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: A Pooled Analysis

BACKGROUND

Chronic posthemorrhagic hydrocephalus necessitating shunt placement is a common complication of subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH).

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the role of external ventricular drainage (EVD) weaning on risk of shunt dependency after SAH.

METHODS

Two German university hospitals with different EVD management regimes (rapid weaning [RW] vs gradual weaning [GW]) pooled the data of their observational cohorts containing altogether 1171 consecutive SAH patients treated between January 2005 and December 2012. Development and timing of shunt dependency in SAH survivals were the endpoints of the study.

RESULTS

The final cohort consisted of 455 and 510 SAH survivors treated in the centers with RW and GW, respectively. Mortality rates, as well as baseline demographic, clinical, and radiographic parameters, showed no differences between the centers. Patients with GW were less likely to develop shunt dependency (27.5% vs 34.7%, P = .018), Multivariate analysis confirmed independent association between RW regime and shunt dependency (P = .026). Shunt-dependent SAH patients undergoing GW required significantly longer time until shunting (mean 29.8 vs 21.7 d, P &lt; .001) and hospital stay (mean 39 vs 34.4 d, P = .03). In addition, patients with GW were at higher risk for secondary shunt placement after successful initial weaning (P = .001). The risk of cerebrospinal fluid infection was not associated with the weaning regime (15.3% vs 12.9%, P = .307).

CONCLUSION

At the expense of longer treatment, GW may decrease the risk of shunt dependency after SAH without an additional risk for infections. Due to the risk of secondary shunt dependency, SAH patients with GW require proper posthospital neurological care.

Intraventricular Hemorrhage Caused by Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: Does the Severity Matter?

OBJECTIVE

Aneurysm rupture might be accompanied by intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH), which is associated with poor outcome of subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). The aim of this study was to analyze risk factors and clinical impact of IVH severity.

METHODS

A total of 995 consecutive patients with SAH treated at our institution between January 2003 and June 2016 were eligible for this study. Clinical and radiologic findings were correlated with the presence and severity of IVH assessed with the original Graeb score.

RESULTS

A total of 487 patients with SAH (48.9%) presented with IVH (mean IVH severity, 5.48 points [±3.5]). IVH severity correlated with poorer initial clinical condition (World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies grade >3; P < 0.001), acute hydrocephalus (P = 0.001), and poor outcome at 6 months (modified Rankin Scale score >2; P < 0.001). The location of the ruptured aneurysm in the anterior cerebral artery independently predicted the occurrence (P = 0.007) and severity of IVH (P < 0.001). In turn, aneurysm size affected only the severity of IVH (P = 0.001) but not its occurrence (P = 0.153). Early complications of SAH occurring within 72 hours after the bleeding event (cerebral infarction [P = 0.043], early mortality [P = 0.001], and primary craniectomy [P = 0.043]) were independently associated with the severity of IVH.

CONCLUSIONS

Severity of aneurysmal IVH is a strong contributor to initial severity and early complications of SAH. Patients with larger aneurysms, especially located in the anterior cerebral artery, are at particular risk of severe IVH in cases of aneurysm rupture.

Early variations of laboratory parameters predicting shunt-dependent hydrocephalus after subarachnoid hemorrhage

Background and purpose

Hydrocephalus is a frequent complication following subarachnoid hemorrhage. Few studies investigated the association between laboratory parameters and shunt-dependent hydrocephalus. This study aimed to investigate the variations of laboratory parameters after subarachnoid hemorrhage. We also attempted to identify predictive laboratory parameters for shunt-dependent hydrocephalus.

Methods

Multiple imputation was performed to fill the missing laboratory data using Bayesian methods in SPSS. We used univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses to calculate hazard ratios for shunt-dependent hydrocephalus based on clinical and laboratory factors. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was used to determine the laboratory risk values predicting shunt-dependent hydrocephalus.

Results

We included 181 participants with a mean age of 54.4 years. Higher sodium (hazard ratio, 1.53; 95% confidence interval, 1.13–2.07; p = 0.005), lower potassium, and higher glucose levels were associated with higher shunt-dependent hydrocephalus. The receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed that the areas under the curve of sodium, potassium, and glucose were 0.649 (cutoff value, 142.75 mEq/L), 0.609 (cutoff value, 3.04 mmol/L), and 0.664 (cutoff value, 140.51 mg/dL), respectively.

Conclusions

Despite the exploratory nature of this study, we found that higher sodium, lower potassium, and higher glucose levels were predictive values for shunt-dependent hydrocephalus from postoperative day (POD) 1 to POD 12–16 after subarachnoid hemorrhage. Strict correction of electrolyte imbalance seems necessary to reduce shunt-dependent hydrocephalus. Further large studies are warranted to confirm our findings.

Predictors of Shunt-dependent Hydrocephalus After Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage? A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Hydrocephalus is a well-recognized complication after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). This study aimed to identify predictors for shunt-dependent hydrocephalus (SDHC) after aSAH via a systematic review and meta-analysis.

METHODS

A systematic search was conducted using the Embase, MEDLINE, and Web of Science databases for studies pertaining to aSAH and SDHC. Risk factors were assessed by meta-analysis when they were reported by at least 2 studies. The results were presented as odd ratios or risk ratios according to the study design with the corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI).

RESULTS

Twenty-five studies were included. In primary analysis of 14 potential risk factors, 12 were identified as predictors of SDHC after aSAH including age ≥50 years, female gender, high Hunt-Hess grade, Glasgow Coma Scale ≤8, Fisher grade ≥3, acute hydrocephalus, external ventricular drainage insertion, intraventricular hemorrhage, postcirculation aneurysm, anterior communicating artery aneurysm, meningitis, and rebleeding. The meta-analysis based on cohort studies found a significantly increased risk for SDHC in patients with aSAH treated by coiling (risk ratio, 1.16; 95% CI, 1.05-1.29), while the meta-analysis based on case-controlled studies failed to replicate this finding (odds ratio, 1.27; 95% CI, 0.95-1.71).

CONCLUSIONS

Several new predictors of SDHC after aSAH were identified that may assist with the early recognition and prevention of SDHC. The controversial evidence found in this study was insufficient to support the potential of neurosurgical clipping for reducing the risk of shunt dependency. Further well-designed studies are warranted to explore the effect of treatment modality on SDHC risk.

Hydrocephalus after Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: Pathophysiology, Diagnosis, and Treatment

Hydrocephalus (HCP) is a common complication in patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage. In this review, we summarize the advanced research on HCP and discuss the understanding of the molecular originators of HCP and the development of diagnoses and remedies of HCP after SAH. It has been reported that inflammation, apoptosis, autophagy, and oxidative stress are the important causes of HCP, and well-known molecules including transforming growth factor, matrix metalloproteinases, and iron terminally lead to fibrosis and blockage of HCP. Potential medicines for HCP are still in preclinical status, and surgery is the most prevalent and efficient therapy, despite respective risks of different surgical methods, including lamina terminalis fenestration, ventricle-peritoneal shunting, and lumbar-peritoneal shunting. HCP remains an ailment that cannot be ignored and even with various solutions the medical community is still trying to understand and settle why and how it develops and accordingly improve the prognosis of these patients with HCP.

Effect of early mobilization and rehabilitation on complications in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

OBJECTIVE

Early rehabilitation is effective in an array of acute neurological disorders but it is not established as part of treatment guidelines after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). This may in part be due to the fear of aggravating the development of cerebral vasospasm, which is the most feared complication of aSAH. The aim of this study was to evaluate the effect of early rehabilitation and mobilization on complications during the acute phase and within 90 days after aSAH.

METHODS

This was a prospective, interventional study that included patients with aSAH at the neuro-intermediate ward after aneurysm repair. The control group received standard treatment, whereas the early rehab group underwent early rehabilitation and mobilization in addition to standard treatment. Clinical and radiological characteristics of patients with aSAH, progression in mobilization, and treatment variables were registered. The frequency and severity of cerebral vasospasm, cerebral infarction acquired in conjunction with the aSAH, and acute and chronic hydrocephalus, as well as pulmonary and thromboembolic complications, were compared between the 2 groups.

RESULTS

Clinical and radiological characteristics of patients with aSAH were similar between the groups. The early rehab group was mobilized beginning on the first day after aneurysm repair. The significantly quicker and higher degree of mobilization in the early rehab group did not increase complications. Clinical cerebral vasospasm was not as frequent in the early rehab group and it also tended to be less severe. Each step of mobilization achieved during the first 4 days after aneurysm repair reduced the risk of severe vasospasm by 30%. Acute and chronic hydrocephalus were similar in both groups, but there was a tendency toward earlier shunt implantation among patients in the control group. Pulmonary infections, thromboembolic events, and death before discharge or within 90 days after the ictus were similar between the 2 groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Early rehabilitation of patients after aSAH is safe and feasible. The earlier and higher degree of mobilization does not increase neurosurgical complications. Rather, the frequency and severity of cerebral vasospasm following aSAH are alleviated and are not aggravated by early rehabilitation.

Clinical trial registration no.: NCT01656317 (www.clinicaltrials.gov).

The CHESS score: a simple tool for early prediction of shunt dependency after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Acute hydrocephalus is an early and common complication of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). However, considerably fewer patients develop chronic hydrocephalus requiring shunt placement. Our aim was to develop a risk score for early identification of patients with shunt dependency after SAH.

METHODS

Two hundred and forty-two SAH individuals who were treated in our institution between January 2008 and December 2013 and survived the initial impact were retrospectively analyzed. Clinical parameters within 72 h after the ictus were correlated with shunt dependency. Independent predictors were summarized into a new risk score which was validated in a subsequent SAH cohort treated between January and December 2014.

RESULTS

Seventy-five patients (31%) underwent shunt placement. Of 23 evaluated variables, only the following five showed independent associations with shunt dependency and were subsequently used to establish the Chronic Hydrocephalus Ensuing from SAH Score (CHESS, 0-8 points): Hunt and Hess grade ≥IV (1 point), location of the ruptured aneurysm in the posterior circulation (1 point), acute hydrocephalus (4 points), the presence of intraventricular hemorrhage (1 point) and early cerebral infarction on follow-up computed tomography scan (1 point). The CHESS showed strong correlation with shunt dependency (P = 0.0007) and could be successfully validated in both internal SAH cohorts tested. Patients scoring ≥6 CHESS points had significantly higher risk of shunt dependency (P < 0.0001) than other patients.

CONCLUSION

The CHESS may become a valuable diagnostic tool for early estimation of shunt dependency after SAH. Further evaluation and external validation will be required in prospective studies.

Validation of the modified Graeb score in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

Intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) in patients suffering from aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is a known negative predictor. Scoring systems like Fisher, Le Roux, and original Graeb score (oGS) are established to quantify the volume of IVH. The aim of this study was to evaluate the validity of the recently introduced modified Graeb score (mGS) in patients with aSAH.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of the validity of the oGS and mGS in 257 aSAH patients was performed to assess and compare the predictive value of hospital mortality, development of CHC, and early functional outcome.

RESULTS

In univariate analysis, an increase in either the oGS or mGS was associated with a higher risk for hospital mortality, development of CHC, and poor early functional outcome. The correlation of the oGS and mGS was excellent using Pearson's product-moment (r = 0.918; p < 0.001). The predictive value of the oGS was superior to the predictive value of the mGS using receiver operating characteristics and corresponding area under the curve value as there was no statistical significant differences between the scores.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study confirms the validity of the recently introduced mGS to quantify the volume of IVH and extends its value in aSAH. However, the mGS offers no additional predictive value for hospital mortality, development of CHC, and poor early functional outcome in patients with aSAH patients compared to the less complex oGS.

Predictors of Shunt-Dependent Hydrocephalus Following Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

Shunt-dependent hydrocephalus is a common complication of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). There is a need to identify patients who require ventriculoperitoneal shunt (VPS) insertion so that any modifiable risk factors can be addressed early after aSAH.

METHODS

Exploratory analysis was performed on 413 patients enrolled in CONSCIOUS-1, a prospective randomized controlled trial of patients with aSAH treated with clazosentan. The association between clinical and neuroimaging covariates and VPS placement was first determined by univariate analysis. Covariates with P < 0.15 on univariate analysis were then analyzed in a multivariate logistic regression model. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was used to define optimal predictive thresholds. The published literature was reviewed to determine the overall rate of VPS insertion after aSAH.

RESULTS

Overall, 17.2% (71/413) of patients required VPS insertion. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that insertion of an external ventricular drain (odds ratio, 6.21; 95% confidence interval, 2.51-16.91) and increasing volume of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) drainage per day (odds ratio, 1.004; 95% confidence interval, 1.000-1.009) were associated with VPS insertion. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis revealed an optimal daily CSF output threshold of 78 mL was predictive of VPS insertion. Among 41,789 patients with aSAH from 66 published studies, the overall VPS insertion rate was 12.7%.

CONCLUSIONS

The presence of an external ventricular drain and increased daily CSF output (above 78 mL/day) seems to be predictive of subsequent VPS insertion after aSAH. Although we could not identify modifiable risk factors for needing a VPS, nevertheless, these findings identify patients at greatest risk of VPS placement and inform treatment decisions as well as patient expectations.