A predictive model for remission and low disease activity in patients with established rheumatoid arthritis receiving TNF blockers

Serum Reactive Oxygen Metabolites as a Predictor of Clinical Disease Activity Index, Simplified Disease Activity Index, and Boolean Remissions in Rheumatoid Arthritis Patients Treated With Biologic Agents

Introduction

Reactive oxygen metabolites (ROMs) are metabolite hydroperoxides in the blood, and their serum levels were associated with the disease activity score 28 (DAS28) in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA). In this study, we aimed to investigate whether ROMs would be predictive of the clinical disease activity index (CDAI) remission, simplified disease activity index (SDAI) remission, or Boolean remission.

Materials and methods

Fifty-one biologic agents (BA)-naïve RA patients were included in this observational study. Associations between ROMs, C-reactive protein, matrix metalloproteinase-3, DAS28-erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), CDAI, SDAI, and health assessment questionnaire (HAQ) at 12 weeks and the DAS28, CDAI, SDAI, and Boolean remission rates at 52 weeks were investigated.

Results

The DAS28, CDAI, SDAI, and Boolean remission rates at 52 weeks were 66.7, 52.9, 54.9, and 54.9%, respectively. A multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that ROMs and HAQ at 12 weeks were associated with the CDAI, SDAI, and Boolean remission at 52 weeks. Receiver operating characteristic analyses demonstrated that the cut-off value for CDAI, SDAI, and Boolean remission was 389.5 U.Carr.

Conclusion

Reactive oxygen metabolites at 12 weeks of initial treatment with BAs was a predictor for CDAI, SDAI, and Boolean remission at 52 weeks. Serum levels of ROMs may be a useful biomarker in the current treatment strategy aiming at early remission of RA.

Assessing prognosis and prediction of treatment response in early rheumatoid arthritis: systematic reviews

BACKGROUND

Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is a chronic, debilitating disease associated with reduced quality of life and substantial costs. It is unclear which tests and assessment tools allow the best assessment of prognosis in people with early RA and whether or not variables predict the response of patients to different drug treatments.

OBJECTIVE

To systematically review evidence on the use of selected tests and assessment tools in patients with early RA (1) in the evaluation of a prognosis (review 1) and (2) as predictive markers of treatment response (review 2).

DATA SOURCES

Electronic databases (e.g. MEDLINE, EMBASE, The Cochrane Library, Web of Science Conference Proceedings; searched to September 2016), registers, key websites, hand-searching of reference lists of included studies and key systematic reviews and contact with experts.

STUDY SELECTION

Review 1 - primary studies on the development, external validation and impact of clinical prediction models for selected outcomes in adult early RA patients. Review 2 - primary studies on the interaction between selected baseline covariates and treatment (conventional and biological disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs) on salient outcomes in adult early RA patients.

RESULTS

Review 1 - 22 model development studies and one combined model development/external validation study reporting 39 clinical prediction models were included. Five external validation studies evaluating eight clinical prediction models for radiographic joint damage were also included. c-statistics from internal validation ranged from 0.63 to 0.87 for radiographic progression (different definitions, six studies) and 0.78 to 0.82 for the Health Assessment Questionnaire (HAQ). Predictive performance in external validations varied considerably. Three models [(1) Active controlled Study of Patients receiving Infliximab for the treatment of Rheumatoid arthritis of Early onset (ASPIRE) C-reactive protein (ASPIRE CRP), (2) ASPIRE erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ASPIRE ESR) and (3) Behandelings Strategie (BeSt)] were externally validated using the same outcome definition in more than one population. Results of the random-effects meta-analysis suggested substantial uncertainty in the expected predictive performance of models in a new sample of patients. Review 2 - 12 studies were identified. Covariates examined included anti-citrullinated protein/peptide anti-body (ACPA) status, smoking status, erosions, rheumatoid factor status, C-reactive protein level, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, swollen joint count (SJC), body mass index and vascularity of synovium on power Doppler ultrasound (PDUS). Outcomes examined included erosions/radiographic progression, disease activity, physical function and Disease Activity Score-28 remission. There was statistical evidence to suggest that ACPA status, SJC and PDUS status at baseline may be treatment effect modifiers, but not necessarily that they are prognostic of response for all treatments. Most of the results were subject to considerable uncertainty and were not statistically significant.

LIMITATIONS

The meta-analysis in review 1 was limited by the availability of only a small number of external validation studies. Studies rarely investigated the interaction between predictors and treatment.

SUGGESTED RESEARCH PRIORITIES

Collaborative research (including the use of individual participant data) is needed to further develop and externally validate the clinical prediction models. The clinical prediction models should be validated with respect to individual treatments. Future assessments of treatment by covariate interactions should follow good statistical practice.

CONCLUSIONS

Review 1 - uncertainty remains over the optimal prediction model(s) for use in clinical practice. Review 2 - in general, there was insufficient evidence that the effect of treatment depended on baseline characteristics.

STUDY REGISTRATION

This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42016042402.

FUNDING

The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.

Guidelines for biomarkers in autoimmune rheumatic diseases - evidence based analysis

Autoimmune rheumatic diseases are characterised by an abnormal immune system response, complement activation, cytokines dysregulation and inflammation. In last years, despite many progresses in managing these patients, it has been shown that clinical remission is reached in less than 50% of patients and a personalised and tailored therapeutic approach is still lacking resulting in a significant gap between guidelines and real-world practice. In this context, the need for biomarkers facilitating early diagnosis and profiling those individuals at the highest risk for a poor outcome has become of crucial interest. A biomarker generally refers to a measured characteristic which may be used as an indicator of some biological state or condition. Three different types of medical biomarkers has been suggested: i. mechanistic markers; ii. clinical disease markers; iii. therapeutic markers. A combination of biomarkers from these different groups could be used for an ideal more accurate diagnosis and treatment. However, although a growing body of evidence is focused on improving biomarkers, a significant amount of this information is not integrated on standard clinical care. The overarching aim of this work was to clarify the meaning of specific biomarkers during autoimmune diseases; their possible role in confirming diagnosis, predicting outcome and suggesting specific treatments.

FCGR2A/FCGR3A Gene Polymorphisms and Clinical Variables as Predictors of Response to Tocilizumab and Rituximab in Patients With Rheumatoid Arthritis

We evaluated the influence of clinical, biochemical, and genetic factors on response in 142 patients diagnosed with rheumatoid arthritis, of whom 87 patients were treated with tocilizumab (61.26%) and 55 patients were treated with rituximab (38.7%;) according to the variables European League Against Rheumatism (EULAR) response, remission, low disease activity, and improvement in Disease Activity Score, 28 joints (DAS28) at 6, 12, and 18 months. A retrospective prospective cohort study was conducted. Patients carrying the FCGR3A rs396991-TT genotype treated with tocilizumab showed higher EULAR response (OR, 5.075; 95%CI, 1.20-21.33; P = .027) at 12 months, those who were naive for biological disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (bDMARDs) at the beginning of treatment showed satisfactory EULAR response, higher remission, and greater improvement in DAS28 at 6 months. Younger age at start of tocilizumab treatment was associated with satisfactory EULAR response at 18 months and greater remission at 6 and 18 months. Subcutaneous tocilizumab administration was associated with higher remission at 6 months and improved low disease activity rate at 12 months. In patients treated with rituximab, carriers of the FCGR2A rs1801274-TT genotype had higher EULAR response at 6 months (OR, 4.861; 95%CI, 1.11-21.12; P = .035), 12 months (OR, 4.667; p = 0.066, 95%CI, 0.90-24.12; P = .066), and 18 months (OR, 2.487; 95%CI, 0.35-17.31; P = .357), higher remission (OR: 10.625; p = 0.044, CI_95% : 1.07, 105.47) at 6 months, and greater improvement in DAS28 at 12 months (B = 0.782; 95%CI, -0.15 to 1.71; P = .098) and 18 months (B = 1.414; 95%CI, 0.19-2.63; P = .025). The FCGR3A rs396991-G allele was associated with improved low disease activity rate (OR, 4.904; 95%CI, 0.84-28.48; P = .077) and greater improvement in DAS28 (B = -1.083; 95%CI, -1.98 to -0.18; P = .021) at 18 months. Patients with a lower number of previous biological therapies had higher remission at 12 months. We suggest that the FCGR3A rs396991-TT genotype, higher baseline value of DAS28, subcutaneous tocilizumab administration, younger age at the beginning of treatment, and being bDMARD naive are associated with better response to tocilizumab. In patients treated with rituximab, we found better response in those patients with the FCGR2A rs1801274-TT genotype, the FCGR3A rs396991-G allele, and lower number of previous biological therapies.

Vapour, gas, dust and fume occupational exposures in male patients with rheumatoid arthritis resident in Cornwall (UK) and their association with rheumatoid factor and anti-cyclic protein antibodies: a retrospective clinical study

OBJECTIVES

To quantify exposure to vapour, gas, dust and fumes (VGDF) and smoking in male rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and investigate impact on rheumatoid factor (RF) and anti-citrullinated protein antibody (ACPA) levels.

DESIGN

A retrospective observational study.

SETTING

The Royal Cornwall Hospital Trust, UK. A single university hospital setting.

PARTICIPANTS

726 men followed up between February 2015 and August 2016, fulfilling RA diagnostic criteria.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Prevalence of VGDF exposure and smoking prior to RA diagnosis. Determination of association between VGDF, smoking and autoantibody levels.

RESULTS

546/726 (75%) had been exposed to VGDF for >1 year. 561/726 (77%) had been smokers. Only 58/726 (8%) had no exposure to VGDF and had never smoked. A significant difference in RF levels was observed between unexposed and VGDF exposed never smokers (median RF 24 vs 36, p=0.03), more marked when comparing unexposed with ≥2 VGDF exposures (median RF 24 vs 57, p=0.02). A significant difference in RF levels was also observed between unexposed and VGDF exposed smokers (median RF 71 vs RF 95, p=0.04), more marked when comparing unexposed with ≥2 VGDF exposures (median RF 71 vs RF 113, p=0.01). A significant difference in RF titre was observed between never smokers >2 VGDF exposures and smokers with >2 VGDF exposures (RF 57 vs RF 113, p=0.02). No association of ACPA seropositivity rates or titres with VGDF exposure was observed. Smokers with >2 VGDF exposures had a significantly lower age of RA diagnosis than smokers with no VGDF exposure (53 years vs 57 years, p=0.03). All results remained similar when corrected for social class.

CONCLUSIONS

VGDF exposure increases RF levels. Combination exposure to smoking and VDGF results in higher RF levels, particularly with multiple exposures. These compelling findings demonstrate the importance of combined inhaled exposures in RF generation.

Activation status of peripheral blood neutrophils and the complement system in adult rheumatoid arthritis patients undergoing combined therapy with infliximab and methotrexate

We examined the functional activity of peripheral blood neutrophils and the complement system activation status in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) undergoing infliximab/methotrexate combined therapy. We studied female RA patients under treatment with infliximab (3-5 mg/kg) and methotrexate (15-25 mg/week) who presented inactive (i-RA; n = 34, DAS-28 ≤ 2.6) or at least moderately active disease (a-RA; n = 29, DAS-28 > 3.2), and age-matched healthy women (n = 38). We measured the levels of reactive oxygen species (ROS) generation (chemiluminescence assay) and membrane expression of FcγRIIa/CD32, FcγRIIIb/CD16, CR1/CD35, and CR3/CD11b receptors (ELISA assay) in neutrophils. We also determined the hemolytic activity of the alternative and classical pathways of the complement system (spectrophotometry), serum levels of C5a and Bb (ELISA assay), and serum chemotactic activity (Boyden chamber). Compared with the control group, i-RA and a-RA patients exhibited: (1) increased neutrophil ROS production and membrane expression of FcγRIIa/CD32, FcγRIIIb/CD16, and CR1/CD35, indicating neutrophil activation; and (2) increased serum chemotactic activity and decreased activity of the alternative complement pathway, indicating systemic complement system activation. The levels of C-reactive protein in a-RA patients were augmented, compared with i-RA patients. Although infliximab/methotrexate combined therapy induced disease remission according to the DAS-28 criteria, both i-RA and a-RA patients still exhibited significant levels of systemic activation of neutrophils and the complement system.

S100A12 Is Associated with Response to Therapy in Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis

OBJECTIVE

Around one-third of patients with juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) fail to respond to first-line methotrexate (MTX) or anti-tumor necrosis factor (TNF) therapy, with even fewer achieving ≥ American College of Rheumatology Pediatric 70% criteria for response (ACRpedi70), though individual responses cannot yet be accurately predicted. Because change in serum S100-protein myeloid-related protein complex 8/14 (MRP8/14) is associated with therapeutic response, we tested granulocyte-specific S100-protein S100A12 as a potential biomarker for treatment response.

METHODS

S100A12 serum concentration was determined by ELISA in patients treated with MTX (n = 75) and anti-TNF (n = 88) at baseline and followup. Treatment response (≥ ACRpedi50 score), achievement of inactive disease, and improvement in Juvenile Arthritis Disease Activity Score (JADAS)-10 score were recorded.

RESULTS

Baseline S100A12 concentration was measured in patients treated with anti-TNF [etanercept n = 81, adalimumab n = 7; median 200, interquartile range (IQR) 133-440 ng/ml] and MTX (median 220, IQR 100-440 ng/ml). Of the patients in the anti-TNF therapy group, 74 (84%) were also receiving MTX. Responders to MTX (n = 57/75) and anti-TNF (n = 66/88) therapy had higher baseline S100A12 concentration compared to nonresponders: median 240 (IQR 125-615) ng/ml versus 150 (IQR 87-233) ng/ml, p = 0.021 for MTX, and median 308 (IQR 150-624) ng/ml versus 151 (IQR 83-201) ng/ml, p = 0.002, for anti-TNF therapy. Followup S100A12 could be measured in 44/75 MTX-treated patients (34/44 responders) and 39/88 anti-TNF-treated patients (26/39 responders). Responders had significantly reduced S100A12 concentration (MTX: p = 0.031, anti-TNF: p < 0.001) at followup versus baseline. Baseline serum S100A12 in both univariate and multivariate regression models for anti-TNF therapy and univariate analysis alone for MTX therapy was significantly associated with change in JADAS-10.

CONCLUSION

Responders to MTX or anti-TNF treatment can be identified by higher pretreatment S100A12 serum concentration levels.

Is Male Rheumatoid Arthritis an Occupational Disease? A Review

Background:

Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is a systemic, inflammatory disease with an estimated global prevalence of 0.3–1.0%. An unexplained association exists between low formal education and the development of RA independent of smoking. It is established that RA is initiated in the lungs and that various occupations associated with dust, fume and metal inhalation can increase the risk of RA development.

Objective:

The objective of this review is to evaluate published clinical reports related to occupations associated with RA development. We highlight the concept of a “double-hit” phenomenon involving adsorption of toxic metals from cigarette smoke by dust residing in the lung as a result of various work exposures. We discuss the relevant pathophysiological consequences of these inhalational exposures in relation to RA associated autoantibody production.

Method:

A thorough literature search was performed using available databases including Pubmed, Embase, and Cochrane database to cover all relative reports, using combinations of keywords: rheumatoid arthritis, rheumatoid factor, anti-citrullinated peptide antibody silica, dust, fumes, metals, cadmium, cigarette smoking, asbestos, mining, bronchial associated lymphoid tissue, heat shock protein 70, and adsorption.

Conclusion:

We postulate that the inhalation of dust, metals and fumes is a significant trigger factor for RA development in male patients and that male RA should be considered an occupational disease. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first review of occupations as a risk factor for RA in relation to the potential underlying pathophysiology.

Soluble vascular endothelial (VE) cadherin and autoantibodies to VE-cadherin in rheumatoid arthritis patients treated with etanercept or adalimumab

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to investigate the clinical value of sVE and anti-vascular endothelial-cadherin antibodies (AAVE) in RA treated with etanercept or adalimumab combined with methotrexate.

METHODS

This was an 18-month prospective multicenter study in which patients had active RA, requiring TNF antagonist. sVE rates and AAVE titers were measured respectively by dot blot and ELISA. The relationship of these biomarkers with parameters reflecting articular or systemic disease activity, progression of structural damage, and response or remission to treatment was analyzed.

RESULTS

Forty-eight patients received TNF blocking agents. Variation of sVE rates were significantly correlated with that of C-reactive protein (CRP) levels at weeks 6, 12, 26 and 52. A significant decrease in sVE levels was observed in the group of patients exhibiting a decrease in CRP levels as compared to the patient group with unmodified CRP. AAVE at baseline were correlated with rheumatoid factor. Kinetics analysis of sVE levels and AAVE titers showed that their level were not associated with disease activity score and to methotrexate/adalimumab or etanercept response.

CONCLUSIONS

sVE is a biomarker associated with systemic RA activity under anti-TNF. AAVE are related to autoantibodies usually associated to RA.

Serum level of reactive oxygen metabolites (ROM) at 12 weeks of treatment with biologic agents for rheumatoid arthritis is a novel predictor for 52-week remission

We have shown that serum levels of reactive oxygen metabolites (ROM) were associated with C-reactive protein (CRP) and disease activity score based on the examination of 28 joints (DAS28) in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA); however, their clinical significance as biomarkers has not been elucidated. Forty-eight biologic agent (BA)-naïve RA patients were included in this study. Associations between serum levels of ROM, CRP, matrix metalloproteinase-3 (MMP-3), DAS28-erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), and Health Assessment Questionnaire (HAQ) at 12 weeks of treatment and DAS28 (ESR) remission at 52 weeks (52-week remission) were investigated. The ROM serum level at baseline in the remission group (n = 34) was 527 ± 132 Carratelli units (U.Carr) (normal range <300), decreased to 335 ± 79.1 at 4 weeks, and remained low thereafter. In the non-remission group (n = 14), the ROM serum level at baseline was 592 ± 113 U.Carr, decreased to 450 ± 152 at 4 weeks, but gradually increased thereafter. Among significantly different factors at 12 weeks between the remission and non-remission groups, ROM and DAS28 (ESR) were identified as predictors of 52-week remission (p = 0.045, odds ratio 0.985, 95% confidence interval 0.97-1.000 for ROM). The cutoff value of ROM was determined to be 381.5 U.Carr (sensitivity 0.833, specificity 0.871). These results show that serum ROM levels can predict remission with high accuracy and could be a useful biomarker for achieving remission in the current treat-to-target strategy for RA.

Impact of baseline anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide-2 antibody concentration on efficacy outcomes following treatment with subcutaneous abatacept or adalimumab: 2-year results from the AMPLE trial

Objectives

To examine whether baseline anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide-2 (CCP2) antibody status and concentration correlated with clinical outcomes in patients treated with abatacept or adalimumab on background methotrexate (MTX) in the 2-year AMPLE (Abatacept versus adaliMumab comParison in bioLogic-naïvE rheumatoid arthritis subjects with background MTX) study.

Methods

In this exploratory analysis, anti-CCP2 antibody concentration was measured at baseline, and antibody-positive patients were divided into equal quartiles, Q1–Q4, representing increasing antibody concentrations. Clinical outcomes analysed by baseline anti-CCP2 status and quartile included change from baseline in disease activity and disability and remission rates.

Results

Baseline characteristics were generally comparable across quartiles and treatment groups. In both treatment groups, anti-CCP2 antibody-negative patients responded less well than antibody-positive patients. At year 2, improvements in disease activity and disability and remission rates were similar across Q1–Q3, but were numerically higher in Q4 in the abatacept group; in contrast, treatment effects were similar across all quartiles in the adalimumab group.

Conclusions

In AMPLE, baseline anti-CCP2 positivity was associated with a better response for abatacept and adalimumab. Patients with the highest baseline anti-CCP2 antibody concentrations had better clinical response with abatacept than patients with lower concentrations, an association that was not observed with adalimumab.

Trial registration number

NCT00929864.

MRP8/14 serum levels as a predictor of response to starting and stopping anti-TNF treatment in juvenile idiopathic arthritis

Introduction

Approximately 30 % of juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) patients fail to respond to anti-TNF treatment. When clinical remission is induced, some patients relapse after treatment has been stopped. We tested the predictive value of MRP8/14 serum levels to identify responders to treatment and relapse after discontinuation of therapy.

Methods

Samples from 88 non-systemic JIA patients who started and 26 patients who discontinued TNF-blockers were analyzed. MRP8/14 serum levels were measured by in-house MRP8/14 ELISA and by Bühlmann Calprotectin ELISA at start of anti-TNF treatment, within 6 months after start and at discontinuation of etanercept in clinical remission. Patients were categorized into responders (ACRpedi ≥ 50 and/or inactive disease) and non-responders (ACRpedi < 50) within six months after start, response was evaluated by change in JADAS-10. Disease activity was assessed within six months after discontinuation.

Results

Baseline MRP8/14 levels were higher in responders (median MRP8/14 of 1466 ng/ml (IQR 1045–3170)) compared to non-responders (median MRP8/14 of 812 (IQR 570–1178), p < 0.001). Levels decreased after start of treatment only in responders (p < 0.001). Change in JADAS-10 was correlated with baseline MRP8/14 levels (Spearman’s rho 0.361, p = 0.001). Patients who flared within 6 months after treatment discontinuation had higher MRP8/14 levels (p = 0.031, median 1025 ng/ml (IQR 588–1288)) compared to patients with stable remission (505 ng/ml (IQR 346–778)). Results were confirmed by Bühlmann ELISA with high reproducibility but different overall levels.

Conclusion

High levels of baseline MRP8/14 are associated with good response to anti-TNF treatment, whereas elevated MRP8/14 levels at discontinuation of etanercept are associated with higher chance to flare.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s13075-015-0723-1) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Evaluating drug-free remission with abatacept in early rheumatoid arthritis: results from the phase 3b, multicentre, randomised, active-controlled AVERT study of 24 months, with a 12-month, double-blind treatment period

Objectives

To evaluate clinical remission with subcutaneous abatacept plus methotrexate (MTX) and abatacept monotherapy at 12 months in patients with early rheumatoid arthritis (RA), and maintenance of remission following the rapid withdrawal of all RA treatment.

Methods

In the Assessing Very Early Rheumatoid arthritis Treatment phase 3b trial, patients with early active RA were randomised to double-blind, weekly, subcutaneous abatacept 125 mg plus MTX, abatacept 125 mg monotherapy, or MTX for 12 months. Patients with low disease activity (Disease Activity Score (DAS)28 (C reactive protein (CRP)) <3.2) at month 12 entered a 12-month period of withdrawal of all RA therapy. The coprimary endpoints were the proportion of patients with DAS28 (CRP) <2.6 at month 12 and both months 12 and 18, for abatacept plus MTX versus MTX.

Results

Patients had <2 years of RA symptoms, DAS28 (CRP) ≥3.2, anticitrullinated peptide-2 antibody positivity and 95.2% were rheumatoid factor positive. For abatacept plus MTX versus MTX, DAS28 (CRP) <2.6 was achieved in 60.9% versus 45.2% (p=0.010) at 12 months, and following treatment withdrawal, in 14.8% versus 7.8% (p=0.045) at both 12 and 18 months. DAS28 (CRP) <2.6 was achieved for abatacept monotherapy in 42.5% (month 12) and 12.4% (both months 12 and 18). Both abatacept arms had a safety profile comparable with MTX alone.

Conclusions

Abatacept plus MTX demonstrated robust efficacy compared with MTX alone in early RA, with a good safety profile. The achievement of sustained remission following withdrawal of all RA therapy suggests an effect of abatacept's mechanism on autoimmune processes.

Trial registration number

NCT01142726.