Patterns of relapse in breast cancer: changes over time

Decline in the Incidence of Distant Recurrence of Breast Cancer: A Population-Based Health Record Linkage Study, Australia 2001-2016

BACKGROUND

We investigated differences in cumulative incidence of first distant recurrence (DR) following non-metastatic breast cancer over a time period when new adjuvant therapies became available in Australia.

METHODS

We conducted a health record linkage study of females with localized (T1-3N0) or regional (T4 or N+) breast cancer in the New South Wales Cancer Registry in 2001 to 2002 and 2006 to 2007. We linked cancer registry records with administrative records from hospitals, dispensed medicines, radiotherapy services, and death registrations to estimate the 9-year cumulative incidence of DR and describe use of adjuvant treatment.

RESULTS

The study included 13,170 women (2001-2002 n = 6,338, 2006-2007 n = 6,832). The 9-year cumulative incidence of DR was 3.6% [95% confidence interval (CI), 2.3%-4.9%] lower for 2006-2007 diagnoses (15.0%) than 2001-2002 (18.6%). Differences in the annual hazard of DR between cohorts were largest in year two. DR incidence declined for localized and regional disease. Decline was largest for ages <40 years (absolute difference, 14.4%; 95% CI, 8.3%-20.6%), whereas their use of adjuvant chemotherapy (2001-2002 49%, 2006-2007 75%) and HER2-targeted therapy (2001-2002 0%, 2006-2007 16%) increased. DR did not decline for ages ≥70 years (absolute difference, 0.9%; 95% CI, -3.6%-1.8%) who had low use of adjuvant chemotherapy and HER2-targeted therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

This whole-of-population study suggests that DR incidence declined over time. Decline was largest for younger ages, coinciding with changes to adjuvant breast cancer therapy.

IMPACT

Study findings support the need for trials addressing questions relevant to older people and cancer registry surveillance of DR to inform cancer control programs.

Immunotherapy: an emerging modality to checkmate brain metastasis

The diagnosis of brain metastasis (BrM) has historically been a dooming diagnosis that is nothing less than a death sentence, with few treatment options for palliation or prolonging life. Among the few treatment options available, brain radiotherapy (RT) and surgical resection have been the backbone of therapy. Within the past couple of years, immunotherapy (IT), alone and in combination with traditional treatments, has emerged as a reckoning force to combat the spread of BrM and shrink tumor burden. This review compiles recent reports describing the potential role of IT in the treatment of BrM in various cancers. It also examines the impact of the tumor microenvironment of BrM on regulating the spread of cancer and the role IT can play in mitigating that spread. Lastly, this review also focuses on the future of IT and new clinical trials pushing the boundaries of IT in BrM.

Live Cell Lineage Tracing of Dormant Cancer Cells

Breast cancer is a leading cause of global cancer-related deaths, and metastasis is the overwhelming culprit of poor patient prognosis. The most nefarious aspect of metastasis is dormancy, a prolonged period between primary tumor resection and relapse. Current therapies are insufficient at killing dormant cells; thus, they can remain quiescent in the body for decades until eventually undergoing a phenotypic switch, resulting in metastases that are more adaptable and drug resistant. Unfortunately, dormancy has few in vitro models, largely because lab-derived cell lines are highly proliferative. Existing models address tumor dormancy, not cellular dormancy, because tracking individual cells is technically challenging. To combat this problem, a live cell lineage approach to find and track individual dormant cells, distinguishing them from proliferative and dying cells over multiple days, is adapted. This approach is applied across a range of different in vitro microenvironments. This approach reveals that the proportion of cells that exhibit long-term quiescence is regulated by both cell intrinsic and extrinsic factors, with the most dormant cells found in 3D collagen gels. This paper envisions that this approach will prove useful to biologists and bioengineers in the dormancy community to identify, quantify, and study dormant tumor cells.

Actual, Personalized Approaches to Preserve Cognitive Functions in Brain Metastases Breast Cancer Patients

Breast cancer (BC) is the most often diagnosed cancer among women worldwide and second most common cause of brain metastases (BMs) among solid malignancies being responsible for 10-16% of all BMs in oncological patients. Moreover, BMs are associated with worse prognosis than systemic metastases. The quality of life (QoL) among brain metastases breast cancer (BMBC) patients is significantly influenced by cognitive functions. Cancer-related cognitive deficits and the underlying neural deficits in BMBC patients can be caused via BMs per se, chemotherapy administration, brain irradiation, postmenopausal status, or comorbidities. Brain RT often leads to cognitive function impairment by damage of neural progenitor cells of the hippocampus and hence decreased QoL. Sparing the hippocampal region of the brain during RT provides protective covering of the centrally located hippocampi according to the patient's clinical requirements. This article discusses the personalized strategies for treatment options to protect cognitive functions in BMBC patients, with special emphasis on the innovative techniques of radiation therapy.

De novo and recurrent metastatic breast cancer - A systematic review of population-level changes in survival since 1995

BACKGROUND

Advances in breast cancer (BC) care have reduced mortality, but their impact on survival once diagnosed with metastasis is less well described. This systematic review aimed to describe population-level survival since 1995 for de novo metastatic BC (dnMBC) and recurrent MBC (rMBC).

METHODS

We searched MEDLINE 01/01/1995-12/04/2021 to identify population-based cohort studies of MBC reporting overall (OS) or BC-specific survival (BCSS) over time. We appraised risk-of-bias and summarised survival descriptively for MBC diagnoses in 5-year periods from 1995 until 2014; and for age, hormone receptor and HER2 subgroups.

FINDINGS

We identified 20 eligible studies (14 dnMBC, 1 rMBC, 5 combined). Potential sources of bias in these studies were confounding and shorter follow-up for the latest diagnosis period.For dnMBC, 13 of 14 studies reported improved OS or BCSS since 1995. In 2005-2009, the median OS was 26 months (range 24-30), a median gain of 6 months since 1995-1999 (range 0-9, 4 studies). Median 5-year OS was 23% in 2005-2009, a median gain of 7% since 1995-1999 (range -2 to 14%, 4 studies). For women ≥70 years, the median and 5-year OS was unchanged (1 study) with no to modest difference in relative survival (range: -1·9% (p = 0.71) to +2·1% (p = 0.045), 3 studies). For rMBC, one study reported no change in survival between 1998 and 2006 and 2007-2013 (median OS 23 months). For combined MBC, 76-89% had rMBC. Three of four studies observed no change in median OS after 2000. Of these, one study reported median OS improved for women ≤60 years (1995-1999 19·1; 2000-2004 22·3 months) but not >60 years (12·7, 11·6 months).

INTERPRETATION

Population-level improvements in OS for dnMBC have not been consistently observed in rMBC cohorts nor older women. These findings have implications for counselling patients about prognosis, planning cancer services and trial stratification.

FUNDING

SL was funded in part by a National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) Project Grant ID: 1125433. NH was funded by the NBCF Chair in Breast Cancer Prevention grant (EC-21-001) and a NHMRC Investigator (Leader) grant (194410). BD and SAP were funded in part by the NHMRC Centre of Research Excellence in Medicines Intelligence (1196900).

Brain metastases in de novo breast cancer: An updated population-level study from SEER database

PURPOSE

Although there are current studies on breast cancer brain metastasis, population-level analysis is still lacking. As treatment for metastatic breast cancer has improved, an updated population-level analysis is necessary. Our aim was to use the SEER database to characterize the incidence and survival of patients with brain metastases at the initial diagnosis of breast cancer.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients with breast cancer from 2010 to 2018 were identified using the SEER database. The stratified incidence and median survival of patients with BM at diagnosis were described. Multivariate logistic and Cox regression were performed to determine the covariates associated with brain metastasis and survival outcomes, respectively. Multiple comparisons based on Cox proportional hazards model were performed for the analysis of interactive effects on overall survival.

RESULTS

A total of 2,248 patients with brain metastases at the initial diagnosis of breast cancer were identified, accounting for 0.40% of all patients with breast cancer, and 7.26% of patients with metastatic disease. Incidence proportions were highest, and survival outcomes were worst among patients with hormone receptor (HR)-negative human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-positive and triple-negative subtypes. For patients with brain metastases, the prognostic differences among different molecular subtypes have been gradually narrowing, and the survival benefits from various treatment methods have been all increased over time.

CONCLUSION

Our study provides an updated population-level estimate of the incidence and survival for patients with brain metastases at the diagnosis of breast cancer, thus may help early identification, prognostic stratification and treatment planning for such patients.

Targeting brain metastases in breast cancer

Brain metastases (BMs) are an important source of morbidity and mortality in patients with metastatic breast cancer (BC). As survival of patients with advanced BC considerably improved thanks to research advancements and new therapeutic approaches, the apparent incidence of BMs is increasing. Local interventions, in the form of either surgical resection or radiation therapy, remain the mainstay in the management of BMs. Systemic treatments are typically used to complement local strategies to further improve and maintain control of central nervous system (CNS) disease. Although high-level evidence data about the impact of the blood-brain barrier (BBB), as well as the efficacy of anti-cancer agents on BMs and differentials between the systemic compartment and CNS are still scant, our understanding of the activity of systemic treatments with impact on BMs is rapidly evolving. Novel anti-HER2 agents, such as tucatinib, ado-trastuzumab emtansine, trastuzumab deruxtecan and neratinib, have shown intracranial efficacy. Current research efforts are ongoing not only to clarify the activity of existing treatments on the CNS, as well as to develop new drugs and innovative multi-modality approaches. This review will encompass the current treatment landscape of BMs arising from BC, with a focus on recent advancements in the field and investigational approaches.

A nomogram for predicting brain metastasis in patients with de novo stage IV breast cancer

Background

Brain metastasis (BM) is a very serious event in patients with breast cancer. The aim of this study was to establish a nomogram to predict the risk of BM in patients with de novo stage IV breast cancer.

Methods

We gathered female patients diagnosed with de novo stage IV breast cancer between 2010 and 2015 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. After randomly allocating the patients to the training set and verification set, we used univariate and multivariate logistic regression to analyze the relationship between BM and clinicopathological features. Finally, we developed a nomogram which was validated by the analysis of calibration curve and receiver operating characteristic curve.

Results

Of 7,154 patients with de novo stage IV breast cancer, 422 developed BM. Age, tumor size, subtype, and the degree of lung involvement were significantly correlated with BM. The nomogram had discriminatory ability with an area under curve (AUC) of 0.640 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.607 to 0.673] in the training set, and 0.644 (95% CI: 0.595 to 0.693) in the validation set.

Conclusions

Our study developed a nomogram to predict BM for de novo stage IV breast cancer, thus helping clinicians to identify patients at high-risk of BM and implement early preventive interventions to improve their prognoses.

Loco-regional recurrence trend and prognosis in young women with breast cancer according to molecular subtypes: analysis of 1099 cases

BACKGROUND

The number of young patients diagnosed with breast cancer is on the rise. We studied the rate trend of local recurrence (LR) and regional recurrence (RR) in young breast cancer (YBC) patients and outcomes among these patients based on molecular subtypes.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was conducted based on data from Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital for patients ≤ 35 years of age with pathologically confirmed primary invasive breast cancer surgically treated between 2006 and 2014. Patients were categorized according to molecular subtypes on the basis of hormone receptor (HR) and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) status. The 5-year rates for LR, RR, and distant metastases (DM) were estimated by Kaplan-Meir statistics. Nelson-Aalen cumulative-hazard plots were used to describe local recurrence- and distant metastasis-free intervals.

RESULTS

We identified 25,284 patients with a median follow-up of 82 months, of whom 1099 (4.3%) were YBC patients ≤ 35 years of age. The overall 5-year LR, RR, and DM rates in YBC patients were 6.7%, 5.1%, and 16.6%, respectively. The LR and RR rates demonstrated a decreasing trend over time (P = 0.028 and P = 0.015, respectively). We found that early-stage breast cancer and less lymph node metastases increased over time (P = 0.004 and P = 0.007, respectively). Patients with HR-/HER2+ status had a significantly higher LR (HR 20.4; 95% CI, 11.8-35.4) and DM (HR 37.2; 95% CI, 24.6-56.3) at 10 years. Breast-conserving surgery (BCS) or mastectomy did not influence rates of LR and RR. In the overall population, the 5-year survival of YBC patients exceeded 90%.

CONCLUSIONS

The rates of LR and RR with YBC patients demonstrated a downward trend and the proportion of early-stage breast cancer increased between 2006 and 2014. We report the highest LR rates in this young population were associated with HR-/HER2+ tumors.

Clinicopathologic characteristics, metastasis-free survival, and skeletal-related events in 628 patients with skeletal metastases in a tertiary orthopedic and trauma center

Background

Skeletal-related events (SREs) due to bone metastases (BM) significantly impact the morbidity and mortality of cancer patients. The present study sought to investigate clinicopathological characteristics, metastasis-free survival (MFS), and SREs in patients referred to a tertiary orthopedic and trauma center.

Methods

Data were retrieved from electronic health records (n=628). Survival curves were estimated utilizing the Kaplan–Meier method. The Cox regression model was used to determine factors influencing MFS based on estimated hazard ratios (HRs).

Results

Breast (55.8%) and lung (18.2%), and lung (32.9%) and prostate (16.8%) cancer were the most common cancer types in our cohort in women and men, respectively. Fifteen percent of patients presented with BM as the first manifestation of tumor disease, 23% had metastasis diagnosis on the same day of primary tumor diagnosis or within 3 months, and 62% developed BM at least 3 months after primary tumor diagnosis. Osteolytic BM were predominant (72.3%) and most commonly affecting the spine (23%). Overall median MFS was 45 months (32 (men) vs. 53 (women) months). MFS was shortest in the lung (median 15 months, 95% CI 8.05–19) and longest in breast cancer (median 82 months, 95% CI 65.29–94). Age (≥ 60 vs. < 60 years) and primary cancer grading of ≥2 vs. 1 revealed prognostic relevance.

Conclusion

Women with breast or lung cancer, men with lung or prostate cancer, age ≥60 years, male sex, and primary cancer grading ≥2 are associated with increased risk for MBD. Intensified follow-up programs may reduce the risk of SREs and associated morbidity and mortality.

Ventriculoperitoneal Shunt for CNS Metastasis in Breast Cancer: Clinical Outcomes Based on Intrinsic Subtype

BACKGROUND

Leptomeningeal metastasis (LM) is associated with a grave prognosis in breast cancer (BC) and can be controlled with a ventriculoperitoneal shunt (VPS). Information regarding LM and VPS based on intrinsic subtype is limited; thus, we investigated the clinical outcomes of BC treated with VPS.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The present retrospective study comprised 70 patients diagnosed with LM who received a VPS. The patients were divided into 4 groups based on BC subtype: hormone receptor (HR)⁺/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)^-, HR⁺/HER2⁺, HR^-/HER2⁺, and triple negative BC (TNBC).

RESULTS

The most common indications for VPS were uncontrolled intracranial pressure (57.1%) and uncontrolled headache (55.7%), which improved in 54 (77.1%) of 70 patients after VPS. The median overall survival (OS) after brain or LM and overall survival after VPS were 7.6 and 2.3 months, respectively. Anti-HER2 treatment was a significant prognostic factor for better OS after brain or LM based on multivariate analysis (hazard ratio, 0.15; 95% confidence interval, 0.04-0.57; P = .005), whereas TNBC was correlated with shorter OS after central nervous system metastasis (hazard ratio, 2.82; 95% confidence interval, 1.46-5.48; P = .002).

CONCLUSIONS

There were significant differences in clinical outcome based on the intrinsic subtype of patients with BC with LM who received a VPS. Anti-HER2 treatment in patients with HER2⁺ BC was associated with better survival in patients with metastatic BC with VPS insertion compared with those without. Survival of metastatic BC with VPS remained poor, especially in the TNBC subgroup.

Knockdown of CENPF inhibits the progression of lung adenocarcinoma mediated by ERβ2/5 pathway

Many studies have reported that estrogen (E2) promotes lung cancer by binding to nuclear estrogen receptors (ER), and altering ER related nuclear protein expressions. With the GEO database analysis, Human centromere protein F (CENPF) is highly expressed in lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD), and the co-expression of CENPF and ERβ was found in the nucleus of LUAD cells through immunofluorescence. We identified the nuclear protein CENPF and explored its relationship with the ER pathway. CENPF and ERβ2/5 were related with T stage and poor prognosis (P<0.05). CENPF knockout significantly inhibited LUAD cell growth, the tumor growth of mice and the expression of ERβ2/5 (P<0.05). The protein expression of CENPF and ERβ2/5 in the CENPF-Knockdown+Fulvestrant group was lower than CENPF- Negative Control +Fulvestrant group (P=0.002, 0.004, 0.001) in A549 cells. The tumor size and weight of the CENPF-Knockdown+Fulvestrant group were significantly lower than CENPF- Negative Control +Fulvestrant group (P=0.001, 0.039) in nude mice. All the results indicated that both CENPF and ERβ2/5 play important roles in the progression of LUAD, and knockdown CENPF can inhibit the progression of LUAD by inhibiting the expression of ER2/5. Thus, the development of inhibitors against ERβ2/5 and CENPF remained more effective in improving the therapeutic effect of LUAD.

Incidence of patients with bone metastases at diagnosis of solid tumors in adults: a large population-based study

Background

Bones are one of the most common metastatic sites for solid malignancies. Bone metastases can significantly increase mortality and decrease the quality of life of cancer patients. In the United States, around 350,000 people die each year from bone metastases. This study aimed to analyze and update the incidence and prognosis of bone metastases with solid tumors at the time of cancer diagnosis and its incidence rate for each solid cancer.

Methods

We used the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database to find patients diagnosed with solid cancers originating from outside the bones and joints between 2010 and 2016. Data were stratified by age, sex, and race. Patients with a tumor in situ or with an unknown bone metastases stage were excluded. We then selected most of the sites where cancer often occurred, leaving 2,207,796 patients for the final incidence analysis. For the survival analysis, patients were excluded if they were diagnosed at their autopsy or on their death certificate, or had unknown follow-ups. The incidence of bone metastases and overall survival was compared between patients with different primary tumor sites.

Results

We identified 2,470,634 patients, including 426,594 patients with metastatic disease and 113,317 patients with bone metastases, for incidence analysis. The incidence of bone metastases among the metastatic subset was 88.74% in prostate cancer, 53.71% in breast cancer, and 38.65% in renal cancer. In descending order of incidence, there were patients with other cancers in the genitourinary system (except for renal, bladder, prostate, and testicular cancer) (37.91%), adenocarcinoma of the lung (ADC) (36.86%), other gynecologic cancers (36.02%), small-cell lung cancer (SCLC) (34.56%), non-small cell lung cancer not otherwise specified and others [NSCLC (NOS/others)] (33.55%), and bladder (31.08%) cancers. The rate of bone metastases is 23.19% in SCLC, 22.50% in NSCLC (NOS/others), 20.28% in ADC, 8.44% in squamous cell carcinoma of the lung (SCC), and 4.11% in bronchioloalveolar carcinoma [NSCLC (BAC)]. As for the digestive system, the overall bone metastases rate was 7.99% in the esophagus, 4.47% in the gastric cancer, 4.42% in the hepatobiliary cancer, 3.80% in the pancreas, 3.26% in other digestive organs, 1.24% in the colorectum, and 1.00% in the anus. Overall, the incidence rate of bone metastases among the entire cohort in breast and prostate cancer was 3.73% and 5.69%, respectively.

Conclusions

The results of this study provide population-based estimates for the incidence rates of patients with bone metastases at initial diagnosis of their solid tumor. The findings can help clinicians to early detect bone metastases by bone screening to anticipate the occurrence of symptoms and favorably improve the prognosis.

The impact of new systemic therapies on survival and time on hormonal treatment in hormone receptor-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative metastatic breast cancer: A population-based study in British Columbia from 2003 to 2013

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study was to determine whether new systemic therapy regimens have resulted in improved survival and increased time on first- and second-line hormonal treatment for patients with hormone receptor (HR)-positive metastatic breast cancer (MBC) over time.

METHODS

Patients diagnosed with HR-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative MBC were identified across 3 time cohorts (2003-2005, 2007-2009, and 2011-2013). Data were prospectively collected. Cases with previous, synchronous, or subsequent contralateral breast cancer were excluded. The types of first- and second-line therapies, the times on first- and second-line hormonal treatment, and the median survival times were compared across the cohorts.

RESULTS

Within the time period analyzed, 9 new adjuvant systemic therapies (with or without neoadjuvant therapy) and 2 metastatic systemic therapies were approved at BC Cancer for the treatment of HR-positive, HER2-negative MBC. In the 3 time cohorts, 3953 patients diagnosed with MBC were identified. Among the 2432 patients (62%) who had HR-positive/HER2-negative disease, 2197 (90%) received at least 1 line of systemic therapy after the diagnosis of MBC, and 80% of these patients (1752 of 2197) received first- and/or second-line hormonal treatment. The median duration on hormonal treatment was 9.0 months for the first line and 6.1 months for the second line. The durations were similar across the time cohorts (range for the first line, 8.9-9.0 months; range for the second line, 6.0-6.1 months). The median survival for the entire study population was 2.0 years (95% confidence interval, 1.8-2.1 years), and there was no significant difference between the cohorts (range, 1.9-2.0 years).

CONCLUSIONS

Even though more adjuvant and metastatic systemic therapies have been approved since 2003, population-level gains in survival and the time on hormonal treatment for patients with HR-positive, HER2-negative MBC have not been made over the course of a decade.

From latency to overt bone metastasis in breast cancer: potential for treatment and prevention

Bone metastasis is present in a high percentage of breast cancer (BCa) patients with distant disease, especially in those with the estrogen receptor‐positive (ER⁺) subtype. Most cells that escape primary tumors are unable to establish metastatic lesions, which suggests that target organ microenvironments are hostile for tumor cells. This implies that BCa cells must achieve a process of speciation to adapt to the new conditions imposed in the new organ. Bone has unique characteristics that can be exploited by cancer cells: it undergoes constant remodeling and comprises diverse environments (including osteogenic, perivascular, and hematopoietic stem cell niches). This allows colonizing cells to take advantage of numerous adhesion molecules, matrix proteins, and soluble factors that facilitate homing, survival, and, eventually, metastatic outgrowth. However, in most cases, metastatic lesions enter into a latency state that can last months, years, or even decades, before forming a clinically detectable macrometastasis. This dormant state challenges the effectiveness of adjuvant chemotherapy. Detecting which tumors are more prone to metastasize to bone and developing new specific therapies that target bone metastasis represent urgent clinical needs. Here, we review the biological mechanisms of BCa bone metastasis and provide the latest options of treatments and predictive markers that are currently in clinical use or are being tested in clinical assays. © 2019 The Authors. The Journal of Pathology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Pathological Society of Great Britain and Ireland.

Metastatic breast cancer incidence, site and survival in Australia, 2001-2016: a population-based health record linkage study protocol

INTRODUCTION

Advances in systemic therapy for early and metastatic breast cancer (BC) over the last two decades have improved patients' survival, but their impact on metastatic disease outcomes at a population level is not well described. The aim of this study is to investigate changes in the incidence, site and survival of metastatic disease for women with a first diagnosis of BC in 2001-2002 vs 2006-2007.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

Population-based retrospective cohort study of women with first primary invasive BC registered in the New South Wales (NSW) Cancer Registry in 2001-2002 and 2006-2007. We will use linked records from NSW hospitals, dispensed medicines, outpatient services and death registrations to determine: women's demographic and tumour characteristics; treatments received; time to first distant metastasis; site of first metastasis and survival. We will use the Kaplan-Meier method to estimate cumulative incidence of distant metastasis, distant recurrence-free interval and postmetastasis survival by extent of disease at initial diagnosis, site of metastasis and treatment-defined tumour receptor type (hormone receptor-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor-2-positive, triple negative). We will use Cox proportional hazards regression to estimate the relative effects of prognostic factors, and we will compare systemic therapy patterns by area-of-residence and area-level socioeconomic status to examine equity of access to healthcare.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

Research ethics committee approval was granted by the Australian Institute of Health and Welfare (#EO2017/2/255), NSW Population and Health Services (#HREC/17/CIPHS/19) and University of Notre Dame Australia (#0 17 144S). We will disseminate research findings to oncology, BC consumer and epidemiology audiences through national and international conference presentations, lay summaries to BC consumer groups and publications in international peer-reviewed oncology and cancer epidemiology journals.

Incidence of bone metastases in patients with solid tumors: analysis of oncology electronic medical records in the United States

Background

Bone metastases commonly occur in conjunction with solid tumors, and are associated with serious bone complications. Population-based estimates of bone metastasis incidence are limited, often based on autopsy data, and may not reflect current treatment patterns.

Methods

Electronic medical records (OSCER, Oncology Services Comprehensive Electronic Records, 569,000 patients, 52 US cancer centers) were used to identify patients ≥18 years with a solid tumor diagnosis recorded between 1/1/2004 and 12/31/2013, excluding patients with hematologic tumors or multiple primaries. Each patient’s index date was set to the date of his or her first solid tumor diagnosis in the selection period. Kaplan-Meier analyses were used to quantify the cumulative incidence of bone metastasis with follow-up for each patient from the index date to the earliest of the following events: last clinic visit in the OSCER database, occurrence of a new primary tumor or bone metastasis, end of study (12/31/2014). Incidence estimates and associated 95% confidence intervals (CI) are provided for up to 10 years of follow-up for all tumor types combined and stratified by tumor type and stage at diagnosis.

Results

Among 382,733 study patients (mean age 64 years; mean follow-up 940 days), breast (36%), lung (16), and colorectal (12%) tumors were most common. Mean time to bone metastasis was 400 days (1.1 years). Cumulative incidence of bone metastasis was 2.9% (2.9–3.0) at 30 days, 4.8% (4.7–4.8) at one year, 5.6% (5.5–5.6) at two years, 6.9% (6.8–7.0) at five years, and 8.4% (8.3–8.5) at ten years. Incidence varied substantially by tumor type with prostate cancer patients at highest risk (18% – 29%) followed by lung, renal or breast cancer. Cumulative incidence of bone metastasis increased by stage at diagnosis, with markedly higher incidence among patients diagnosed at Stage IV of whom11% had bone metastases diagnosed within 30 days.

Conclusions

These estimates of bone metastasis incidence represent the experience of a population with longer follow-up than previously published, and represent experience in the recent treatment landscape. Underestimation is possible given reliance on coded diagnoses but the clinical detail available in electronic medical records contributes to the accuracy of these estimates.

Breast cancer recurrence, bone metastases, and visceral metastases in women with stage II and III breast cancer in Denmark

PURPOSE

We developed and validated algorithms to identify metastases and breast cancer recurrence in Danish medical registries. We computed the incidence rate (IR) and hazard ratios (HRs) to evaluate predictors of these outcomes in stage II/III breast cancer patients.

METHODS

We included all women in Denmark diagnosed during 1999-2011 with regional or stage II/III breast cancer. Demographic, tumor, and treatment data were ascertained from population-based health registries. To facilitate diagnostic work-up of the primary cancer, follow-up began 180 days after diagnosis and continued until recurrence/metastases, death, or 31 December 2012, whichever occurred first. We computed the positive predictive values (PPVs) of recurrence, bone metastases, and visceral metastases using medical records as a gold standard. We calculated the cumulative incidence, IR per 10,000 person years, and used Cox regression to compute the HRs and associated 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) for each outcome.

RESULTS

Among 23,478 patients, 7073 had regional stage and 16,405 had stage II/III breast cancer. The PPV for recurrence was 72.6% (95% CI 59.3, 83.3%). The PPVs for bone and visceral metastases were 92.3% (95% CI 69.3-99.2%) and 70.8% (95% CI 51.1, 85.9%), but had low sensitivity. Five-year cumulative incidence of recurrence, bone metastases, and visceral metastases were 18.4, 2.2, and 5.2%, with corresponding 5-year IRs of 540 (95% CI 524, 557), 60 (95% CI 55, 65), and 144 (95% CI 136, 152), respectively. Predictors of recurrence and metastases included age, stage, hormone receptor status, and cancer treatment.

CONCLUSION

Our algorithms show moderate to high PPVs for recurrence and metastases. The IRs of metastases were lower compared with other registry-based cohort studies, so may be underestimated in Danish registries.

Contemporary Locoregional Recurrence Rates in Young Patients With Early-Stage Breast Cancer

Purpose

The aim of this study was to evaluate contemporary rates of local recurrence (LR) and regional recurrence (RR) in young patients with breast cancer in relation to tumor biology as expressed by biomarker subtypes.

Patients and Methods

Women < 35 years of age who underwent surgery for primary unilateral invasive breast cancer between 2003 and 2008 were selected from the Netherlands Cancer Registry. Patients were categorized according to biomarker subtypes on the basis of hormone receptor (HR) and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) status. The 5-year risks of developing LR and regional lymph node recurrence were estimated by using Kaplan-Meier statistics.

Results

A total of 1,000 patients were identified, of whom 59% had a known subtype: 39% HR-positive/HER2-negative; 17% HR-positive/HER2-positive; 10% HR-negative/HER2-positive; and 34% HR-negative/HER2-negative (triple negative). Overall 5-year LR and RR rates were 3.5% and 3.7%, respectively. A decreasing trend for both rates was observed over time and was accompanied by a significant decrease in the risk of distant metastases (DM). LR occurred in 4.2%, RR in 6.1%, and DM in 17.8% of patients in 2003, and in 3.2%, 4.4%, and 10.0%, respectively, in 2008. LR and RR rates varied with biomarker subtype. These differences were borderline significant when analyzed for the entire study period (P = .056 and P = .014, respectively) and leveled off after the introduction of trastuzumab after 2005 (P = .24 and P = .42, respectively). Patients with lymph node metastases at the time of diagnosis had an increased risk of RR. The type of surgery performed—breast-conserving or mastectomy—did not influence rates of LR and RR.

Conclusion

Overall, the rates of LR and RR in young patients with early-stage breast cancer were relatively low and varied by biomarker subtype.

Changing molecular profile of brain metastases compared with matched breast primary cancers and impact on clinical outcomes

Background:

Breast cancer commonly metastasises to the brain, but little is known about changes in the molecular profile of the brain secondaries and impact on clinical outcomes.

Methods:

Patients with samples from brain metastases and matched breast cancers were included. Immunohistochemical analysis for oestrogen receptor, progesterone receptor, p27kip1, cyclin D1, epidermal growth factor receptor, insulin like growth factor 1, insulin like growth factor 1 receptor, vascular endothelial growth factor A, transforming growth factor-β and HER2 receptor was performed. Borderline HER2 results were analysed by fluorescent in situ hybridisation. Levels of expression were compared, with review of effect on clinical outcomes.

Results:

A total of 41 patients were included. Of the patients, 20% had a change in oestrogen receptor or HER2 in their brain metastasis that could affect therapeutic decisions. There were statistically significant rises in brain metastases for p27kip1 (P=0.023) and cyclin D1 (P=0.030) and a fall in vascular endothelial growth factor A (P=0.012). Overall survival from the time of metastasis increased significantly with oestrogen receptor-positive (P=0.005) and progesterone receptor-positive (P=0.013) brain lesions and with a longer duration from diagnosis of the breast primary (P<0.001).

Conclusions:

In this cohort there were phenotypic differences in metastatic brain tumours compared with matched primary breast tumours. These could be relevant for aetiology, and have an impact on prognostication, current and future therapies.

Enhanced MAF Oncogene Expression and Breast Cancer Bone Metastasis

BACKGROUND

There are currently no biomarkers for early breast cancer patient populations at risk of bone metastasis. Identification of mediators of bone metastasis could be of clinical interest.

METHODS

A de novo unbiased screening approach based on selection of highly bone metastatic breast cancer cells in vivo was used to determine copy number aberrations (CNAs) associated with bone metastasis. The CNAs associated with bone metastasis were examined in independent primary breast cancer datasets with annotated clinical follow-up. The MAF gene encoded within the CNA associated with bone metastasis was subjected to gain and loss of function validation in breast cancer cells (MCF7, T47D, ZR-75, and 4T1), its downstream mechanism validated, and tested in clinical samples. A multivariable Cox cause-specific hazard model with competing events (death) was used to test the association between 16q23 or MAF and bone metastasis. All statistical tests were two-sided.

RESULTS

16q23 gain CNA encoding the transcription factor MAF mediates breast cancer bone metastasis through the control of PTHrP. 16q23 gain (hazard ratio (HR) for bone metastasis = 14.5, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 6.4 to 32.9, P < .001) as well as MAF overexpression (HR for bone metastasis = 2.5, 95% CI = 1.7 to 3.8, P < .001) in primary breast tumors were specifically associated with risk of metastasis to bone but not to other organs.

CONCLUSIONS

These results suggest that MAF is a mediator of breast cancer bone metastasis. 16q23 gain or MAF protein overexpression in tumors may help to select patients at risk of bone relapse.

Transcriptional Profiling of Breast Cancer Metastases Identifies Liver Metastasis-Selective Genes Associated with Adverse Outcome in Luminal A Primary Breast Cancer

PURPOSE

The complete molecular basis of the organ-specificity of metastasis is elusive. This study aimed to provide an independent characterization of the transcriptional landscape of breast cancer metastases with the specific objective to identify liver metastasis-selective genes of prognostic importance following primary tumor diagnosis.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

A cohort of 304 women with advanced breast cancer was studied. Associations between the site of recurrence and clinicopathologic features were investigated. Fine-needle aspirates of metastases (n = 91) were subjected to whole-genome transcriptional profiling. Liver metastasis-selective genes were identified by significance analysis of microarray (SAM) analyses and independently validated in external datasets. Finally, the prognostic relevance of the liver metastasis-selective genes in primary breast cancer was tested.

RESULTS

Liver relapse was associated with estrogen receptor (ER) expression (P = 0.002), luminal B subtype (P = 0.01), and was prognostic for an inferior postrelapse survival (P = 0.01). The major variation in the transcriptional landscape of metastases was also associated with ER expression and molecular subtype. However, liver metastases displayed unique transcriptional fingerprints, characterized by downregulation of extracellular matrix (i.e., stromal) genes. Importantly, we identified a 17-gene liver metastasis-selective signature, which was significantly and independently prognostic for shorter relapse-free (P < 0.001) and overall (P = 0.001) survival in ER-positive tumors. Remarkably, this signature remained independently prognostic for shorter relapse-free survival (P = 0.001) among luminal A tumors.

CONCLUSIONS

Extracellular matrix (stromal) genes can be used to partition breast cancer by site of relapse and may be used to further refine prognostication in ER positive primary breast cancer.

Pertuzumab, trastuzumab and docetaxel reduced the recurrence of brain metastasis from breast cancer: a case report

The CLEOPATRA trial reported the survival benefit of pertuzumab with trastuzumab plus docetaxel in HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer patients. However, there are a few case reports concerning the effects of a pertuzumab-containing regimen on brain metastases. A 55-year-old woman, who underwent curative surgery for breast cancer after neoadjuvant chemotherapy 5 years previously, developed repeated solitary brain metastasis in her right occipital lobe. Whole brain radiation therapy, stereotactic radiosurgery and 3 times of surgical resection were performed. Lapatinib and capecitabine plus tamoxifen were administered. The metastasis recurred in the stump of the previous surgery. Pertuzumab with trastuzumab plus docetaxel was initiated as second-line chemotherapy. A complete response of the brain metastasis was achieved, which persisted for 5 months. Pertuzumab with trastuzumab plus docetaxel was effective in reducing the brain metastases from breast cancer. Further studies are warranted to confirm the effect of this regimen on brain metastases.

The clinicopathological evaluation of the breast cancer patients with brain metastases: predictors of survival

We aimed to define the clinicopathologic characteristics of breast cancer (BC) patients with brain metastasis (BM) and to investigate the effect of these parameters on survival. Seventy-nine patients diagnosed with BC and symptomatic BM between 1995 and 2011 were retrospectively evaluated. The relationship between clinicopathological features and outcome was investigated. Triple negative patients had the shortest overall survival (OS) while HR(+)HER2(-) patients had the longest (48.2  vs 88.2 months, 95 % CI; p = 0.33). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that luminal A subtype was the strongest positive predictor of prolonged OS (HR 0.48, 95 % CI 0.28-0.84; p = 0.01), while poor performance status (PS) (ECOG 3-4) at BM was the strongest predictor of shortened OS (HR 1.92, 95 % CI 1.21-3.06; p = 0.006). The patients with early-stage BC at diagnosis had BM later than the advanced-staged patients (47 months for Stage I-II disease, 23.2 months for Stage III-IV disease, 95 % CI; p = 0.002). Median survival after BM was 10.2 months (6.4-14 months, 95 % CI). The patients with liver or skin metastases had significantly shorter survival than the patients with only BM (4.8 vs 17 months, p < 0.001 for liver and 4.8 vs 11.1 months, p = 0.04 for skin). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that regardless of the BC subtype, lack of systemic therapy, and liver involvement were independent factors associated with increased risk of death (HR 4, 95 % CI 1.7-9.1; p = 0.001 and HR 2.2, 95 % CI 1.05-4.9; p = 0.036 respectively). Clinical outcome after BM mostly depends on the ECOG PS and the fact that whether the patient received systemic therapy or not. Systemic therapy prolongs survival especially in HER2 positive patients.

Unfavourable pattern of metastases in M0 breast cancer patients during 1978-2008: a population-based analysis of the Munich Cancer Registry

Little is known about time trends in metastases in the patients treated in routine health care facilities without metastases at diagnosis (M0) and about survival after these metastases. Data on 33,771 M0 patients with primary breast cancer diagnosed between 1978 and 2003 were obtained from the Munich Cancer Registry. Survival analyses were restricted to the patients with metastases within 5 years of the initial diagnosis. The incident number of the patients approximately doubled each period and 5-year overall survival increased from 77% in the first to 82% percent in the last period. 5490 (16%) M0 patients developed metastases within 5 years after the initial diagnosis. The hazard of developing metastases was lowest in the most recent period compared to the first period (HR = 0.50, P < 0.001). The hazard of dying after metastases was equal for patients diagnosed between 1978-1984 and 1995-2003 (HR 1.08, P = 0.3). The percentage of the patients that developed bone metastases decreased each time period, but the percentage primary liver and CNS metastases increased. Exclusion of site of metastases in the multivariate analysis led to a 20% (P = 0.02) higher hazard of dying following metastases in the last versus the first period. In the period 1978-2008, unfavourable changes in the pattern of metastases were exhibited and no improvement was observed in survival of the patients after occurrence of metastases. An explanation might be the increased use of adjuvant systemic treatment, which has less effect on the highly lethal liver and CNS metastases than on bone metastases. The increased use also appeared to contribute to the overall prevention of metastases in breast cancer and therefore to improve overall survival.