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Iwasaki H, Shimura T, Yamada T, Nishigaki R, Okuda Y, Fukusada S, Ozeki T, Kitagawa M, Katano T, Tanaka M, Nishie H, Ozeki K, Kubota E, Tanida S, Kataoka H. Novel and Simple Criteria for Predicting Mortality of Peptic Ulcer Disease. Intern Med 2021; 60:2349-2356. [PMID: 33612689 PMCID: PMC8381175 DOI: 10.2169/internalmedicine.6945-20] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/06/2022] Open
Abstract
Objective Conventional risk scores of peptic ulcer disease (PUD) are based on many parameters, and their application in clinical practice is therefore limited. The aim of this study was to establish simple and reliable criteria for predicting PUD-associated mortality. Methods A total of 499 patients with PUD were divided into 2 groups: the training cohort (n=333) and the validation cohort (n=166). To minimize selection bias due to missing values, we used imputed datasets generated by the multiple imputation method (training-cohort dataset, n=33,300; validation-cohort dataset, n=16,600). Results In the training-cohort dataset, the heart rate-to-systolic blood pressure ratio (HR/SBP) and serum albumin (s-Alb) level were significant independent predictive factors for mortality according to the multivariate analysis [HR/SBP, odds ratio (OR): 1.72; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.06-2.80, p=0.028; s-Alb, OR: 0.23, 95% CI, 0.11-0.51, p<0.001]. The model comprising HR/SBP and s-Alb was able to detect mortality due to PUD with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.855. In the validation-cohort dataset, this model also showed good efficacy with an AUC of 0.835. The novel criteria combining HR/SBP and s-Alb developed by a decision tree analysis showed 73.3% sensitivity and 87.6% specificity for predicting mortality in the total-cohort dataset. Our criteria were superior to the Glasgow Blatchford and Rockall scores and similar to the AIMS65 and Progetto Nazionale Emorragia Digestiva scores for predicting mortality. Conclusion The combination of the HR/SBP ratio and s-Alb level is a good predictor of mortality in patients with PUD.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hiroyasu Iwasaki
- Department of Gastroenterology and Metabolism, Nagoya City University Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Japan
| | - Takaya Shimura
- Department of Gastroenterology and Metabolism, Nagoya City University Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Japan
| | - Tomonori Yamada
- Department of Gastroenterology, Japanese Red Cross Nagoya Daini Hospital, Japan
| | - Ruriko Nishigaki
- Department of Gastroenterology and Metabolism, Nagoya City University Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Japan
| | - Yusuke Okuda
- Department of Gastroenterology and Metabolism, Nagoya City University Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Japan
| | - Shigeki Fukusada
- Department of Gastroenterology and Metabolism, Nagoya City University Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Japan
| | - Takanori Ozeki
- Department of Gastroenterology and Metabolism, Nagoya City University Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Japan
| | - Mika Kitagawa
- Department of Gastroenterology and Metabolism, Nagoya City University Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Japan
| | - Takahito Katano
- Department of Gastroenterology and Metabolism, Nagoya City University Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Japan
| | - Mamoru Tanaka
- Department of Gastroenterology and Metabolism, Nagoya City University Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Japan
| | - Hirotada Nishie
- Department of Gastroenterology and Metabolism, Nagoya City University Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Japan
| | - Keiji Ozeki
- Department of Gastroenterology and Metabolism, Nagoya City University Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Japan
| | - Eiji Kubota
- Department of Gastroenterology and Metabolism, Nagoya City University Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Japan
| | - Satoshi Tanida
- Department of Gastroenterology and Metabolism, Nagoya City University Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Japan
| | - Hiromi Kataoka
- Department of Gastroenterology and Metabolism, Nagoya City University Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Japan
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Gong EJ, Hsing LC, Seo HI, Seo M, Jun BG, Park JK, Lee SJ, Han KH, Kim YD, Jeong WJ, Cheon GJ, Kim MJ. Selected nasogastric lavage in patients with nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding. BMC Gastroenterol 2021; 21:113. [PMID: 33676407 PMCID: PMC7937281 DOI: 10.1186/s12876-021-01690-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/11/2020] [Accepted: 02/24/2021] [Indexed: 01/27/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Risk stratification before endoscopy is crucial for proper management of patients suspected as having upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB). There is no consensus regarding the role of nasogastric lavage for risk stratification. In this study, we investigated the usefulness of nasogastric lavage to identify patients with UGIB requiring endoscopic examination. METHODS From January 2017 to December 2018, patients who visited the emergency department with a clinical suspicion of UGIB and who underwent nasogastric lavage before endoscopy were eligible. Patients with esophagogastric variceal bleeding were excluded. The added predictive ability of nasogastric lavage to the Glasgow-Blatchford score (GBS) was estimated using category-free net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement. RESULTS Data for 487 patients with nonvariceal UGIB were analyzed. The nasogastric aspirate was bloody in 67 patients (13.8 %), coffee-ground in 227 patients (46.6 %), and clear in 193 patients (39.6 %). The gross appearance of the nasogastric aspirate was associated with the presence of UGIB. Model comparisons showed that addition of nasogastric lavage findings to the GBS improved the performance of the model to predict the presence of UGIB. Subgroup analysis showed that nasogastric lavage improved the performance of the prediction model in patients with the GBS ≤ 11, whereas no additive value was found when the GBS was greater than 11. CONCLUSIONS Nasogastric lavage is useful for predicting the presence of UGIB in a subgroup of patients, while its clinical utility is limited in high-risk patients with a GBS of 12 or more.
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Affiliation(s)
- Eun Jeong Gong
- Department of Internal Medicine, Gangneung Asan Hospital, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Gangneung, Korea
| | - Li-Chang Hsing
- Department of Gastroenterology, Asan Medical Center, Seoul, Korea
| | - Hyun Il Seo
- Department of Internal Medicine, Gangneung Asan Hospital, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Gangneung, Korea. .,Department of Internal Medicine, Gangneung Asan Hospital, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, 38 Bangdong-gil, Sacheon-Myeon, Gangwon-do, 25440, Gangneung, Korea.
| | - Myeongsook Seo
- Department of Internal Medicine, Gangneung Asan Hospital, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Gangneung, Korea
| | - Baek Gyu Jun
- Department of Internal Medicine, Gangneung Asan Hospital, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Gangneung, Korea
| | - Jong Kyu Park
- Department of Internal Medicine, Gangneung Asan Hospital, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Gangneung, Korea
| | - Sang Jin Lee
- Department of Internal Medicine, Gangneung Asan Hospital, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Gangneung, Korea
| | - Koon Hee Han
- Department of Internal Medicine, Gangneung Asan Hospital, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Gangneung, Korea
| | - Young Don Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Gangneung Asan Hospital, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Gangneung, Korea
| | - Woo Jin Jeong
- Department of Internal Medicine, Gangneung Asan Hospital, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Gangneung, Korea
| | - Gab Jin Cheon
- Department of Internal Medicine, Gangneung Asan Hospital, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Gangneung, Korea
| | - Min-Ju Kim
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Asan Medical Center, Seoul, Korea
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Potakhin SN, Shapkin YG. Risk Factor Analysis And Method Development For Predicting The Recurrence Of Gastroduodenal Ulcer Bleeding. RUSSIAN OPEN MEDICAL JOURNAL 2020. [DOI: 10.15275/rusomj.2020.0419] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022] Open
Abstract
Objective — To clarify clinical, laboratory and endoscopic signs of a high recurrence risk of gastroduodenal ulcer bleeding (GDUB) and to develop a multifactorial method for its prediction. Material and Methods — The research was completed over 2019-2020. The study took place in two stages. At the first stage, 409 patients with GDUB, who were treated at the emergency surgical department of Saratov City Clinical Hospital No. 6 from 1991 to 2000, were included in the study. During that time, endoscopic hemostasis therapy was used in a few cases, while modern antisecretory therapy has not yet been developed and carried out. Two groups of patients were compared: with recurrent bleeding (104 patients) and without recurrent bleeding (305 patients). At the second stage, a retrospective analysis of the outcomes of treating 126 patients with GDUB, cared for at the clinic from 2001 to 2009, was carried out. During this period of time, assistance for this pathology was the most complete and matched all current standards. The analysis included 63 patients with recurrent bleeding and 63 patients without recurrent bleeding. We conducted a comparative analysis of the developed method for predicting bleeding recurrence versus the classifications by J.A. Forrest (1974) and G.P. Giderim (1992) in our original modification. Results — At the first stage of the study, the most significant signs for predicting recurrent bleeding were identified as unstable hemodynamics, severity of blood loss, nature of vomiting, presence of concomitant pathology, state of the ulcer surface sensu J.A. Forrest; and localization, size and depth of the ulcer. We determined their informative value in assessing the risk of recurrent bleeding and developed a novel method of its prediction. Taken alone, each of nine predictive signs has a correlation, comparable in the magnitude with patient allocation into each group (based on the absolute value of gamma, ranging 0.49–0.66); the prediction accuracy is 60–74%, with a positive predictive value of 35-49%. The measure of the gamma relationship for splitting patients among groups by the original method based on nine features in conjunction with each other was -0.79 (p<0.001). Conclusion — Prediction of recurrent bleeding by one or two signs is inferior in informational content (although insignificantly) to the multifactorial method. The developed method for predicting the recurrence of ulcer bleeding from nine signs has an optimal ratio of sensitivity and specificity, which ensures a prediction accuracy of over 70% and a positive predictive value of 68.9%.
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Cúrdia-Gonçalves T, Rosa B, Cotter J. New insights on an old medical emergency: non-portal hypertension related upper gastrointestinal bleeding. REVISTA ESPANOLA DE ENFERMEDADES DIGESTIVAS 2017; 108:648-656. [PMID: 26940680 DOI: 10.17235/reed.2016.4240/2016] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/20/2022]
Abstract
Upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) is a potentially life-threatening condition and is the most common medical emergency managed by gastroenterologists. Despite being one of the most antique medical problems, recent studies have been slowly changing the management of these patients, which should nowadays include not only initial resuscitation, but also risk stratification, pre-endoscopic therapy, endoscopy treatment, and post-procedure care. The aim of this paper is to review the extended approach to the patient with non-portal hypertension related UGIB.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Bruno Rosa
- Gastroenterology Department, Hospital da Senhora da Oliveira, Portugal
| | - José Cotter
- Gastroenterology, Hospital da Senhora da Oliveira, Portugal
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Wada T, Hagiwara A, Uemura T, Yahagi N, Kimura A. Early lactate clearance for predicting active bleeding in critically ill patients with acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding: a retrospective study. Intern Emerg Med 2016; 11:737-43. [PMID: 26837207 DOI: 10.1007/s11739-016-1392-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/21/2015] [Accepted: 01/09/2016] [Indexed: 01/24/2023]
Abstract
Not all patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) require emergency endoscopy. Lactate clearance has been suggested as a parameter for predicting patient outcomes in various critical care settings. This study investigates whether lactate clearance can predict active bleeding in critically ill patients with UGIB. This single-center, retrospective, observational study included critically ill patients with UGIB who met all of the following criteria: admission to the emergency department (ED) from April 2011 to August 2014; had blood samples for lactate evaluation at least twice during the ED stay; and had emergency endoscopy within 6 h of ED presentation. The main outcome was active bleeding detected with emergency endoscopy. Classification and regression tree (CART) analyses were performed using variables associated with active bleeding to derive a prediction rule for active bleeding in critically ill UGIB patients. A total of 154 patients with UGIB were analyzed, and 31.2 % (48/154) had active bleeding. In the univariate analysis, lactate clearance was significantly lower in patients with active bleeding than in those without active bleeding (13 vs. 29 %, P < 0.001). Using the CART analysis, a prediction rule for active bleeding is derived, and includes three variables: lactate clearance; platelet count; and systolic blood pressure at ED presentation. The rule has 97.9 % (95 % CI 90.2-99.6 %) sensitivity with 32.1 % (28.6-32.9 %) specificity. Lactate clearance may be associated with active bleeding in critically ill patients with UGIB, and may be clinically useful as a component of a prediction rule for active bleeding.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tomoki Wada
- Department of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, The University of Tokyo Hospital, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-Ku, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.
| | - Akiyoshi Hagiwara
- Department of Emergency Medicine and Critical Care, Center Hospital of the National Center for Global Health and Medicine, 1-21-1 Toyama, Shinjuku-Ku, Tokyo, 162-8655, Japan
| | - Tatsuki Uemura
- Department of Emergency Medicine and Critical Care, Center Hospital of the National Center for Global Health and Medicine, 1-21-1 Toyama, Shinjuku-Ku, Tokyo, 162-8655, Japan
| | - Naoki Yahagi
- Department of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, The University of Tokyo Hospital, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-Ku, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan
| | - Akio Kimura
- Department of Emergency Medicine and Critical Care, Center Hospital of the National Center for Global Health and Medicine, 1-21-1 Toyama, Shinjuku-Ku, Tokyo, 162-8655, Japan
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Abstract
Acute upper gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding is a potentially life-threatening condition requiring accurate, prompt, and appropriate patient evaluation and management. Clinicians of all specialties must know the best practices for preventing and managing upper GI bleeding. This article focuses on assessing and managing adults with acute nonvariceal upper GI bleeding.
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Fujishiro M, Iguchi M, Kakushima N, Kato M, Sakata Y, Hoteya S, Kataoka M, Shimaoka S, Yahagi N, Fujimoto K. Guidelines for endoscopic management of non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding. Dig Endosc 2016; 28:363-378. [PMID: 26900095 DOI: 10.1111/den.12639] [Citation(s) in RCA: 57] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/01/2015] [Revised: 02/16/2016] [Accepted: 02/17/2016] [Indexed: 01/10/2023]
Abstract
Japan Gastroenterological Endoscopy Society (JGES) has compiled a set of guidelines for endoscopic management of non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding using evidence-based methods. The major cause of non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding is peptic gastroduodenal ulcer bleeding. As a result, these guidelines mainly focus on peptic gastroduodenal ulcer bleeding, although bleeding from other causes is also overviewed. From the epidemiological aspect, in recent years in Japan, bleeding from drug-related ulcers has become predominant in comparison with bleeding from Helicobacter pylori (HP)-related ulcers, owing to an increase in the aging population and coverage of HP eradication therapy by national health insurance. As for treatment, endoscopic hemostasis, in which there are a variety of methods, is considered to be the first-line treatment for bleeding from almost all causes. It is very important to precisely evaluate the severity of the patient's condition and stabilize the patient's vital signs with intensive care for successful endoscopic hemostasis. Additionally, use of antisecretory agents is recommended to prevent rebleeding after endoscopic hemostasis, especially for gastroduodenal ulcer bleeding. Eighteen statements with evidence and recommendation levels have been made by the JGES committee of these guidelines according to evidence obtained from clinical research studies. However, some of the statements that are supported by a low level of evidence must be confirmed by further clinical research.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | - Motohiko Kato
- Japan Gastroenterological Endoscopy Society, Tokyo, Japan
| | | | - Shu Hoteya
- Japan Gastroenterological Endoscopy Society, Tokyo, Japan
| | | | | | - Naohisa Yahagi
- Japan Gastroenterological Endoscopy Society, Tokyo, Japan
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Fortinsky KJ, Bardou M, Barkun AN. Role of Medical Therapy for Nonvariceal Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding. Gastrointest Endosc Clin N Am 2015; 25:463-78. [PMID: 26142032 DOI: 10.1016/j.giec.2015.02.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/04/2023]
Abstract
Nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) is a major cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Mortality from UGIB has remained 5-10% over the past decade. This article presents current evidence-based recommendations for the medical management of UGIB. Preendoscopic management includes initial resuscitation, risk stratification, appropriate use of blood products, and consideration of nasogastric tube insertion, erythromycin, and proton pump inhibitor therapy. The use of postendoscopic intravenous proton pump inhibitors is strongly recommended for certain patient populations. Postendoscopic management also includes the diagnosis and treatment of Helicobacter pylori, appropriate use of proton pump inhibitors and iron replacement therapy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kyle J Fortinsky
- Department of Medicine, Toronto General Hospital, University of Toronto, 200 Elizabeth Street, Toronto, Ontario M5G 2C4, Canada
| | - Marc Bardou
- Gastroenterology Department & Centre d'Investigations Clinique CIC1432, CHU de Dijon, 14 rue Gaffarel BP77908, Dijon, Cedex 21079, France.
| | - Alan N Barkun
- Gastroenterology Department, McGill University Health Centre, Montreal General Hospital Site, Room D7-346, 1650 Cedar Avenue, Montréal, Québec H3G 1A4, Canada
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Martínez-González J, Aicart-Ramos M, Foruny JR, López San Román A, Albillos A. Do we use more NGT than needed? Dig Dis Sci 2014; 59:892-4. [PMID: 24519520 DOI: 10.1007/s10620-014-3026-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/26/2013] [Accepted: 01/01/2014] [Indexed: 12/09/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Javier Martínez-González
- Servicio de Gastroenterología, Hospital Universitario Ramón y Cajal, IRYCIS, Universidad de Alcalá, Madrid, Spain,
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