Early Prediction of Persistent Organ Failure by Serum Angiopoietin-2 in Patients with Acute Pancreatitis

A New Risk Score to Predict Intensive Care Unit Admission for Patients with Acute Pancreatitis 48 Hours After Admission: Multicenter Study

AIMS

The objective of this study was to develop and validate an easy-to-use risk score (APRS) to predict which patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) will need intensive care unit (ICU) treatment within 48 h post-hospitalization on the basis of the ubiquitously available clinical records.

METHODS

Patients with acute pancreatitis were retrospectively included from three independent institutions (RM cohort, 5280; TJ cohort, 262; SN cohort, 196), with 56 candidate variables collected within 48 h post-hospitalization. The RM cohort was randomly divided into a training set (N = 4220) and a test set (N = 1060). The most predictive features were extracted by LASSO from the RM cohort and entered into multivariate analysis. APRS was constructed using the coefficients of the statistically significant variables weighted by the multivariable logistic regression model. The APRS was validated by RM, TJ, and SN cohorts. The C-statistic was employed to evaluate the APRS's discrimination. DeLong test was used to compare area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) differences.

RESULTS

A total of 5738 patients with AP were enrolled. Eleven variables were selected by LASSO and entered into multivariate analysis. APRS was inferred using the above five factors (pleural effusion, ALT/AST, ALB/GLB, urea, and glucose) weighted by their regression coefficients in the multivariable logistic regression model. The C-statistics of APRS were 0.905 (95% CI 0.82-0.98) and 0.889 (95% CI 0.81-0.96) in RM and TJ validation. An online APRS web-based calculator was constructed to assist the clinician to earlier assess the clinical outcomes of patients with AP.

CONCLUSION

APRS could effectively stratify patients with AP into high and low risk of ICU admission within 48 h post-hospitalization, offering clinical value in directing management and personalize therapeutic selection for patients with AP.

Expression levels of RUNX3 and FGFR2 in peripheral blood of severe acute pancreatitis and their clinical significance

Purpose

Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) is a life-threatening inflammatory syndrome of the pancreas. This study aimed to analyze the clinical significance of runt-associated transcription factor 3 (RUNX3) and fibroblast growth factor receptor 2 (FGFR2) expression alterations in SAP.

Methods

This study included 18 SAP patients in Wuzhong People's Hospital from November 2019 to December 2021 and 18 healthy controls. RUNX3 and FGFR2 expression levels were determined by RT-quantitative PCR. Correlations between RUNX3/FGFR2 and sex, age, etiology, CRP, procalcitonin, AST, LDH, BUN, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II), Ranson score, Bedside Index for Severity in Acute Pancreatitis (BISAP) score, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), and modified computed tomography severity index (MCTSI) score were analyzed. Diagnostic values of RUNX3 and FGFR2 in SAP were analyzed using the receiver-operating characteristic curve. The binding of RUNX3 to FGFR2 was analyzed by chromatin immunoprecipitation.

Results

RUNX3 and FGFR2 were downregulated in peripheral blood of SAP patients. RUNX3 and FGFR2 were negatively correlated with CRP, procalcitonin, AST, LDH, BUN, APACHE II score, Ranson score, BISAP score, SOFA score, and MCTSI score. Sensitivity and specificity of RUNX3 level of <0.9650 for SAP diagnosis were 88.89% and 72.22%, respectively. Sensitivity and specificity of FGFR2 level of <0.8950 for SAP diagnosis were 66.67% and 83.33%, respectively. RUNX3 was enriched in the FGFR2 promoter and was positively correlated with FGFR2.

Conclusion

RUNX3 and FGFR2 were downregulated in peripheral blood of SAP patients and served as candidate biomarkers for SAP diagnosis. RUNX3 bound to the FGFR2 promoter to promote FGFR2 transcription.

Role of Pancreatic Stone Protein as an Early Biomarker for Risk Stratification of Acute Pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Early risk stratification of acute pancreatitis is crucial to improve clinical outcomes. The objective of this study was to evaluate the ability of pancreatic stone protein (PSP) to predict acute pancreatitis severity and to compare it with the biomarkers and severity scores currently used for that purpose.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Prospective single-center observational study enrolling 268 adult patients with acute pancreatitis. Biomarkers including PSP were measured upon admission to the Emergency Department and severity scores as SOFA, PANC-3, and BISAP were computed. Patients were classified into mild-moderate (non-severe) and severe acute pancreatitis according to the Determinant-Based Classification Criteria. Area under the curve (AUC) and regression analysis were used to analyze the discrimination abilities and the association of biomarkers and scores with severity.

RESULTS

Two hundred and thirty-five patients (87.7%) were classified as non-severe and 33 (12.3%) as severe acute pancreatitis. Median [IQR] PSP was increased in patients with severe acute pancreatitis (890 μg/L [559-1142] vs. 279 μg/L [141-496]; p < 0.001) and it was the best predictor (ROC AUC: 0.827). In multivariate analysis, PSP and urea were the only independent predictors for severe acute pancreatitis and a model combining them both ("biomarker model") showed an AUC of 0.841 for prediction of severe acute pancreatitis, higher than the other severity scores.

CONCLUSIONS

PSP is a promising biomarker for predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis upon admission. A model combining PSP and urea might further constitute a potential tool for early risk stratification of this disease.

Accuracy of angiopoietin-2 for predicting organ failure in patients with acute pancreatitis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Objective

Our aim was to assess the accuracy of angiopoietin-2 (Ang-2) as a prognostic marker for acute pancreatitis (AP) with organ failure (OF).

Methods

We undertook a systematic search of the PubMed, Cochrane Library, Embase, Chinese Journals Full-text, Wanfang, China Biology Medicine disc, and Weipu databases to identify eligible cohort studies on the predictive value of Ang-2 for AP with OF. The main outcome measures were sensitivity and specificity. The effects were pooled using a bivariate mixed-effects model.

Results

Six articles with seven case-control studies (n = 650) were included. Pooled sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative likelihood ratios with 95% confidence intervals (CI) for AP with OF were 0.93 (95%CI: 0.75–0.99), 0.85 (95%CI: 0.75–0.92), 6.40 (95%CI: 3.36–12.19), and 0.08 (95%CI: 0.02–0.36), respectively. The area under the summary receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.95 (95%CI: 0.92–0.96), and the diagnostic odds ratio was 83.18 (95%CI: 11.50–623.17). Subgroup analysis showed that admission time of AP onset (< or ≥24 hours) was a source of overall heterogeneity. Sensitivity analysis supported this finding.

Conclusion

Ang-2 had high diagnostic accuracy for AP with OF; the best prediction of Ang-2 may be 24 to 72 hours after onset of AP.

Angiopoietin-2 Is an Early Predictor for Acute Gastrointestinal Injury and Intestinal Barrier Dysfunction in Patients with Acute Pancreatitis

BACKGROUNDS

Angiopoietin-2 (Ang-2) is a new predictor for acute pancreatitis (AP).

AIMS

To assess the predictive value of Ang-2 in determining the progress of AP and the subsequent acute gastrointestinal injury (AGI).

METHODS

This was a prospective study that enrolled 170 patients with AP and 100 healthy controls. Blood samples were collected within 24 h of the onset of AP.

RESULTS

The majority (108) of the patients were categorized as having MAP with the rest (62) classified as suffering from SAP. Considering AGI grading, there were 118 grade 1 and 12 grade 4 patients; in grades 2 and 3, there were 20 patients each. AP was accompanied by MODS and pancreatic necrosis in 46 and 24 cases, respectively. Eighty patients were admitted to the ICU, while mortality was reported among 7.1% patients. The plasma Ang-2 levels were higher among patients with AP than in controls. A similar trend prevailed, in patients with SAP compared to those with MAP. Ang-2 was significantly increased from AGI grade 1 through to grade 4, showing a desirable positive predictive accuracy. Moreover, Ang-2 also showed strong correlations with intestinal permeability as evaluated by d-lactate (DLA), diamine oxidase (DAO), and intestinal fatty acid binding proteins (I-FABPs). Tools (Ranson and APACHE II scores, CRP), which are used more conventionally, could not effectively distinguish the various grades of AGI. Furthermore, Ang-2 predicted poor prognosis and adverse outcomes, including mortality, among patients with AP.

CONCLUSIONS

This study showed Ang-2 to be an accurate early predictor for SAP, AGI, and intestinal barrier dysfunction, outperforming conventional biomarkers. Ang-2 levels also predicted the adverse outcomes and mortality due to AP.

Assessment of the course of acute pancreatitis in the light of aetiology: a systematic review and meta-analysis

The main causes of acute pancreatitis (AP) are biliary disease, alcohol consumption, hypertriglyceridaemia (HTG) and endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP). The aim of this meta-analysis was to evaluate the effects of these aetiological factors on the severity and outcome of AP. Pubmed and Embase were searched between 01/01/2012 and 31/05/2020. Included articles involved adult alcoholic, biliary, HTG- or post-ERCP AP (PAP) patients. Primary outcome was severity, secondary outcomes were organ failures, intensive care unit admission, recurrence rate, pancreatic necrosis, mortality, length of hospital stay, pseudocyst, fluid collection and systematic inflammatory response syndrome. Data were analysed from 127 eligible studies. The risk for non-mild (moderately severe and severe) condition was the highest in HTG-induced AP (HTG-AP) followed by alcoholic AP (AAP), biliary AP (BAP) and PAP. Recurrence rate was significantly lower among BAP vs. HTG-AP or AAP patients (OR = 2.69 and 2.98, 95% CI 1.55–4.65 and 2.22–4.01, respectively). Mortality rate was significantly greater in HTG-AP vs. AAP or BAP (OR = 1.72 and 1.50, 95% CI 1.04–2.84 and 0.96–2.35, respectively), pancreatic necrosis occurred more frequently in AAP than BAP patients (OR = 1.58, 95% CI 1.08–2.30). Overall, there is a potential association between aetiology and the development and course of AP. HTG-AP is associated with the highest number of complications. Furthermore, AAP is likely to be more severe than BAP or PAP. Greater emphasis should be placed on determining aetiology on admission.

New insights into acute pancreatitis

The incidence of acute pancreatitis continues to increase worldwide, and it is one of the most common gastrointestinal causes for hospital admission in the USA. In the past decade, substantial advancements have been made in our understanding of the pathophysiological mechanisms of acute pancreatitis. Studies have elucidated mechanisms of calcium-mediated acinar cell injury and death and the importance of store-operated calcium entry channels and mitochondrial permeability transition pores. The cytoprotective role of the unfolded protein response and autophagy in preventing sustained endoplasmic reticulum stress, apoptosis and necrosis has also been characterized, as has the central role of unsaturated fatty acids in causing pancreatic organ failure. Characterization of these pathways has led to the identification of potential molecular targets for future therapeutic trials. At the patient level, two classification systems have been developed to classify the severity of acute pancreatitis into prognostically meaningful groups, and several landmark clinical trials have informed management strategies in areas of nutritional support and interventions for infected pancreatic necrosis that have resulted in important changes to acute pancreatitis management paradigms. In this Review, we provide a summary of recent advances in acute pancreatitis with a special emphasis on pathophysiological mechanisms and clinical management of the disorder.