Clinical risk factors for retinal artery occlusions: a nationwide case-control study

Unveiling the predictive capacity of inflammatory and platelet markers for central retinal artery occlusion

OBJECTIVES

Cell counting in peripheral blood samples and their combinations have gained wide usage in clinical research due to their convenient and minimally invasive sampling method. This study aims to evaluate the predictive value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), systemic Immunoinflammatory Index (SII), and systemic Inflammatory Response Index (SIRI), and platelet distribution width (PDW) for the occurrence of non-arteritic Central retinal artery occlusion (NA-CRAO).

METHODS

We included 123 patients diagnosed with NA-CRAO and 120 age-, sex- and blood pressure-matched individuals in this study. All participants underwent a comprehensive ophthalmic assessment. Peripheral blood samples were retrospectively analysed to obtain patients' blood counts and platelet-related indices, and further NLR, SII and SIRI were calculated.

RESULTS

NLR, SII, SIRI, and PDW were all found to be elevated and significantly different in NA-CRAO patients compared to controls (p < 0.05). Notably, elevated NLR and PDW were identified as independent influences on the development of NA-CRAO, with a combined predicted AUC of 0.876.

CONCLUSION

The utilization of NLR and PDW in NA-CRAO prediction may prove to be more effective compared to SII and SIRI.

Positive Prediction Value of Retinal Artery Occlusion Diagnoses in the Danish National Patient Registry: A Validation Study

PURPOSE

The hospital registration of retinal artery occlusions in the Danish National Patient Registry has not previously been validated. In this study, the diagnosis codes were validated to ensure the diagnoses had an acceptable validity for research. The validation was performed both for the overall diagnosis population and at the subtype diagnosis level.

METHODS

The medical records for all patients with retinal artery occlusion with an incident hospital record in the years 2017-2019 in Northern Jutland (Denmark) were assessed in this population-based validation study. Furthermore, fundus images and two-person verification were assessed for the included patients when available. The positive prediction values for the overall diagnosis of retinal artery occlusion, as well as for the central or branch subtypes, were calculated.

RESULTS

A total of 102 medical records were available for review. The overall positive prediction value for a retinal artery occlusion diagnosis was 79.4% (95% CI: 70.6-86.1%), while the overall positive prediction value at the subtype diagnosis level was 69.6% (95% CI: 60.1-77.7%), with 73.3% (95% CI: 58.1-85.4%) for branch retinal artery occlusion and 71.2% (95% CI: 56.9-82.9%) for central retinal artery occlusion. For the stratified analyses at the subtype diagnosis, age, sex, diagnosis year, and primary or secondary diagnosis, the positive prediction values ranged from 73.5 to 91.7%. In the stratified analyses at the subtype level, the positive prediction values ranged from 63.3 to 83.3%. The differences among the positive prediction values of the individual strata of both analyses were not statistically significant.

CONCLUSIONS

the validities of the retinal artery occlusion and subtype level diagnoses are comparable to other validated diagnoses and considered acceptable for use in research.

Incidence of Retinal Artery Occlusion and Related Mortality in Korea, 2005 to 2018

IMPORTANCE

It remains unclear whether comorbidities in patients with retinal artery occlusion (RAO), a rare retinal vascular disorder, differ by subtype and whether mortality is higher.

OBJECTIVE

To examine the nationwide incidence of clinically diagnosed, nonarteritic RAO, causes of death, and mortality rate in patients with RAO compared with that in the general population in Korea.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This retrospective, population-based cohort study examined National Health Insurance Service claims data from 2002 to 2018. The population of South Korea was 49 705 663, according to the 2015 census. Data were analyzed from February 9, 2021, to July 30, 2022.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The nationwide incidence of any RAO, including central RAO (CRAO; International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, Tenth Revision [ICD-10] code, H34.1) and noncentral RAO (other RAO; ICD-10 code, H34.2) was estimated using National Health Insurance Service claims data from 2002 to 2018, with 2002 to 2004 as the washout period. Furthermore, the causes of death were evaluated and the standardized mortality ratio was estimated. The primary outcomes were the incidence of RAO per 100 000 person-years and the standardized mortality ratio (SMR).

RESULTS

A total of 51 326 patients with RAO were identified (28 857 [56.2%] men; mean [SD] age at index date: 63.6 [14.1] years). The nationwide incidence of any RAO was 7.38 (95% CI, 7.32-7.44) per 100 000 person-years. The incidence rate of noncentral RAO was 5.12 (95% CI, 5.07-5.18), more than twice that of CRAO (2.25 [95% CI, 2.22-2.29]). Mortality was higher in patients with any RAO than in the general population (SMR, 7.33 [95% CI, 7.15-7.50]). The SMR for CRAO (9.95 [95% CI, 9.61-10.29]) and for noncentral RAO (5.97 [95% CI, 5.78-6.16]) showed a tendency toward a gradual decrease with increasing age. The top 3 causes of death in patients with RAO were diseases of the circulatory system (28.8%), neoplasms (25.1%), and diseases of the respiratory system (10.2%).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

This cohort study found that the incidence rate of noncentral RAO was higher than that of CRAO, whereas SMR was higher for CRAO than noncentral RAO. Patients with RAO show higher mortality than the general population, with circulatory system disease as the leading cause of death. These findings suggest that it is necessary to investigate the risk of cardiovascular or cerebrovascular disease in patients newly diagnosed with RAO.

Evaluation of Risk Scores as Predictive Tools for Stroke in Patients with Retinal Artery Occlusion: A Danish Nationwide Cohort Study

Purpose  We investigated the 1-year risk of stroke in patients with retinal artery occlusion and evaluated the predictive and discriminating abilities of contemporary risk stratification models for embolic stroke. Methods  This register-based cohort study included 7,906 patients with retinal artery occlusion from Danish nationwide patient registries between 1995 and 2018. The study population was stratified according to the number of points obtained in the stroke risk scores: the CHA ₂ DS ₂ -VASc score and the ESSEN Stroke Risk score. The 1-year risk of stroke within strata was evaluated and compared using the cox proportional hazards model. Furthermore, the discrimination of the risk scores as predictive tools for stroke risk assessment was investigated using C-statistics, Brier score, and the index of prediction accuracy. Results  The stroke event rate in patients with retinal artery occlusion increased as the score increased for both risk scores, ranging from 3.62 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.46-5.31) per 100 person-years to 13.25 (95% CI: 11.78--14.89) per 100-person-years for increasing levels of the CHA ₂ DS ₂ -VASc score and from 3.97 (95% CI: 2.97-5.32) per 100 person-years to 16.43 (95% CI: 14.01-19.27) per 100 person-years for increasing levels of the ESSEN Stroke Risk score. Using a risk score of 0 as a reference, the difference was statistically significant for retinal artery occlusion patients with a CHA ₂ DS ₂ -VASc score of 2 or above and for all levels of the ESSEN Stroke Risk score. The C-statistics for the risk scores was 61% (95% CI: 58%-63%) and 62% (95% CI: 59-64%) for the CHA ₂ DS ₂ -VASc score and ESSEN Stroke Risk score, respectively. Conclusion  The results suggested that the use of the CHA ₂ DS ₂ -VASc score and the ESSEN Stroke Risk score was applicable for risk stratification of stroke in patients with retinal artery occlusion, but discrimination was poor due to low specificity.

Similarities and differences in systemic risk factors for retinal artery occlusion and retinal vein occlusion: A nationwide case-control study

BACKGROUND

To investigate the relationship between risk factors for retinal artery occlusion (RAO) and retinal vein occlusion (RVO) and thereby identify similarities and differences between the two types of retinal vascular occlusions.

METHODS

In this case-control study, 5708 patients with RAO were included and matched with three patients with RVO each. The patients with RVO were matched on sex and age at index date. All patients, personal information, diagnoses, and prescriptions were obtained from the Danish nationwide registries. Adjusted conditional logistic regression was used to investigate the association of RAO and RVO with the included risk factors.

RESULTS

RAO was stronger associated with arterial hypertension, heart failure, ischemic heart disease, peripheral artery disease, and stroke than RVO, with effect measures ranging from 1.10 to 2.21. RVO was associated with cataract and glaucoma with effect measures of 0.80 (95% CI 0.73-0.87) and 0.65 (95% CI 0.56-0.76), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Differences in the level of associations with the included risk factors suggests differences in the pathophysiologies of the two diseases. The main pathophysiology associated with RAO was atherosclerosis, whereas the main pathophysiology associated with RVO was changes in the pressure gradients of the eyes.