An Explainable Artificial Intelligence Framework for the Deterioration Risk Prediction of Hepatitis Patients

Understanding machine learning applications in dementia research and clinical practice: a review for biomedical scientists and clinicians

Several (inter)national longitudinal dementia observational datasets encompassing demographic information, neuroimaging, biomarkers, neuropsychological evaluations, and muti-omics data, have ushered in a new era of potential for integrating machine learning (ML) into dementia research and clinical practice. ML, with its proficiency in handling multi-modal and high-dimensional data, has emerged as an innovative technique to facilitate early diagnosis, differential diagnosis, and to predict onset and progression of mild cognitive impairment and dementia. In this review, we evaluate current and potential applications of ML, including its history in dementia research, how it compares to traditional statistics, the types of datasets it uses and the general workflow. Moreover, we identify the technical barriers and challenges of ML implementations in clinical practice. Overall, this review provides a comprehensive understanding of ML with non-technical explanations for broader accessibility to biomedical scientists and clinicians.

Ensemble approach of transfer learning and vision transformer leveraging explainable AI for disease diagnosis: An advancement towards smart healthcare 5.0

Smart healthcare has advanced the medical industry with the integration of data-driven approaches. Artificial intelligence and machine learning provided remarkable progress, but there is a lack of transparency and interpretability in such applications. To overcome such limitations, explainable AI (EXAI) provided a promising result. This paper applied the EXAI for disease diagnosis in the advancement of smart healthcare. The paper combined the approach of transfer learning, vision transformer, and explainable AI and designed an ensemble approach for prediction of disease and its severity. The result is evaluated on a dataset of Alzheimer's disease. The result analysis compared the performance of transfer learning models with the ensemble model of transfer learning and vision transformer. For training, InceptionV3, VGG19, Resnet50, and Densenet121 transfer learning models were selected for ensembling with vision transformer. The result compares the performance of two models: a transfer learning (TL) model and an ensemble transfer learning (Ensemble TL) model combined with vision transformer (ViT) on ADNI dataset. For the TL model, the accuracy is 58 %, precision is 52 %, recall is 42 %, and the F1-score is 44 %. Whereas, the Ensemble TL model with ViT shows significantly improved performance i.e., 96 % of accuracy, 94 % of precision, 90 % of recall and 92 % of F1-score on ADNI dataset. This shows the efficacy of the ensemble model over transfer learning models.

An interpretable artificial intelligence model based on CT for prognosis of intracerebral hemorrhage: a multicenter study

OBJECTIVES

To develop and validate a novel interpretable artificial intelligence (AI) model that integrates radiomic features, deep learning features, and imaging features at multiple semantic levels to predict the prognosis of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) patients at 6 months post-onset.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Retrospectively enrolled 222 patients with ICH for Non-contrast Computed Tomography (NCCT) images and clinical data, who were divided into a training cohort (n = 186, medical center 1) and an external testing cohort (n = 36, medical center 2). Following image preprocessing, the entire hematoma region was segmented by two radiologists as the volume of interest (VOI). Pyradiomics algorithm library was utilized to extract 1762 radiomics features, while a deep convolutional neural network (EfficientnetV2-L) was employed to extract 1000 deep learning features. Additionally, radiologists evaluated imaging features. Based on the three different modalities of features mentioned above, the Random Forest (RF) model was trained, resulting in three models (Radiomics Model, Radiomics-Clinical Model, and DL-Radiomics-Clinical Model). The performance and clinical utility of the models were assessed using the Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUC), calibration curve, and Decision Curve Analysis (DCA), with AUC compared using the DeLong test. Furthermore, this study employs three methods, Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP), Grad-CAM, and Guided Grad-CAM, to conduct a multidimensional interpretability analysis of model decisions.

RESULTS

The Radiomics-Clinical Model and DL-Radiomics-Clinical Model exhibited relatively good predictive performance, with an AUC of 0.86 [95% Confidence Intervals (CI): 0.71, 0.95; P < 0.01] and 0.89 (95% CI: 0.74, 0.97; P < 0.01), respectively, in the external testing cohort.

CONCLUSION

The multimodal explainable AI model proposed in this study can accurately predict the prognosis of ICH. Interpretability methods such as SHAP, Grad-CAM, and Guided Grad-Cam partially address the interpretability limitations of AI models. Integrating multimodal imaging features can effectively improve the performance of the model.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

Predicting the prognosis of patients with ICH is a key objective in emergency care. Accurate and efficient prognostic tools can effectively prevent, manage, and monitor adverse events in ICH patients, maximizing treatment outcomes.

MRI radiomics-based interpretable model and nomogram for preoperative prediction of Ki-67 expression status in primary central nervous system lymphoma

Objectives

To investigate the value of interpretable machine learning model and nomogram based on clinical factors, MRI imaging features, and radiomic features to predict Ki-67 expression in primary central nervous system lymphomas (PCNSL).

Materials and methods

MRI images and clinical information of 92 PCNSL patients were retrospectively collected, which were divided into 53 cases in the training set and 39 cases in the external validation set according to different medical centers. A 3D brain tumor segmentation model was trained based on nnU-NetV2, and two prediction models, interpretable Random Forest (RF) incorporating the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method and nomogram based on multivariate logistic regression, were proposed for the task of Ki-67 expression status prediction.

Results

The mean dice Similarity Coefficient (DSC) score of the 3D segmentation model on the validation set was 0.85. On the Ki-67 expression prediction task, the AUC of the interpretable RF model on the validation set was 0.84 (95% CI:0.81, 0.86; p < 0.001), which was a 3% improvement compared to the AUC of the nomogram. The Delong test showed that the z statistic for the difference between the two models was 1.901, corresponding to a p value of 0.057. In addition, SHAP analysis showed that the Rad-Score made a significant contribution to the model decision.

Conclusion

In this study, we developed a 3D brain tumor segmentation model and used an interpretable machine learning model and nomogram for preoperative prediction of Ki-67 expression status in PCNSL patients, which improved the prediction of this medical task.

Clinical relevance statement

Ki-67 represents the degree of active cell proliferation and is an important prognostic parameter associated with clinical outcomes. Non-invasive and accurate prediction of Ki-67 expression level preoperatively plays an important role in targeting treatment selection and patient stratification management for PCNSL thereby improving prognosis.

Predicting Outcome of Patients With Cerebral Hemorrhage Using a Computed Tomography-Based Interpretable Radiomics Model: A Multicenter Study

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to develop and validate an interpretable and highly generalizable multimodal radiomics model for predicting the prognosis of patients with cerebral hemorrhage.

METHODS

This retrospective study involved 237 patients with cerebral hemorrhage from 3 medical centers, of which a training cohort of 186 patients (medical center 1) was selected and 51 patients from medical center 2 and medical center 3 were used as an external testing cohort. A total of 1762 radiomics features were extracted from nonenhanced computed tomography using Pyradiomics, and the relevant macroscopic imaging features and clinical factors were evaluated by 2 experienced radiologists. A radiomics model was established based on radiomics features using the random forest algorithm, and a radiomics-clinical model was further trained by combining radiomics features, clinical factors, and macroscopic imaging features. The performance of the models was evaluated using area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, and calibration curves. Additionally, a novel SHAP (SHAPley Additive exPlanations) method was used to provide quantitative interpretability analysis for the optimal model.

RESULTS

The radiomics-clinical model demonstrated superior predictive performance overall, with an AUC of 0.88 (95% confidence interval, 0.76-0.95; P < 0.01). Compared with the radiomics model (AUC, 0.85; 95% confidence interval, 0.72-0.94; P < 0.01), there was a 0.03 improvement in AUC. Furthermore, SHAP analysis revealed that the fusion features, rad score and clinical rad score, made significant contributions to the model's decision-making process.

CONCLUSION

Both proposed prognostic models for cerebral hemorrhage demonstrated high predictive levels, and the addition of macroscopic imaging features effectively improved the prognostic ability of the radiomics-clinical model. The radiomics-clinical model provides a higher level of predictive performance and model decision-making basis for the risk prognosis of cerebral hemorrhage.

A Novel Interpretable Radiomics Model to Distinguish Nodular Goiter From Malignant Thyroid Nodules

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study is to inquire about the potential association between radiomics features and the pathological nature of thyroid nodules (TNs), and to propose an interpretable radiomics-based model for predicting the risk of malignant TN.

METHODS

In this retrospective study, computed tomography (CT) imaging and pathological data from 141 patients with TN were collected. The data were randomly stratified into a training group (n = 112) and a validation group (n = 29) at a ratio of 4:1. A total of 1316 radiomics features were extracted by using the pyradiomics tool. The redundant features were removed through correlation testing, and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) or the minimum redundancy maximum relevance standard was used to select features. Finally, 4 different machine learning models (RF Hybrid Feature, SVM Hybrid Feature, RF, and LASSO) were constructed. The performance of the 4 models was evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic curve. The calibration curve, decision curve analysis, and SHapley Additive exPlanations method were used to evaluate or explain the best radiomics machine learning model.

RESULTS

The optimal radiomics model (RF Hybrid Feature model) demonstrated a relatively high degree of discrimination with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.87 (95% CI, 0.70-0.97; P < 0.001) for the validation cohort. Compared with the commonly used LASSO model (AUC, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.60-0.91; P < 0.01), there is a significant improvement in AUC in the validation set, net reclassification improvement, 0.79 (95% CI, 0.13-1.46; P < 0.05), and integrated discrimination improvement, 0. 20 (95% CI, 0.10-0.30; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The interpretable radiomics model based on CT performs well in predicting benign and malignant TNs by using quantitative radiomics features of the unilateral total thyroid. In addition, the data preprocessing method incorporating different layers of features has achieved excellent experimental results.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

As the detection rate of TNs continues to increase, so does the diagnostic burden on radiologists. This study establishes a noninvasive, interpretable and accurate machine learning model to rapidly identify the nature of TN found in CT.

IHCP: interpretable hepatitis C prediction system based on black-box machine learning models

BACKGROUND

Hepatitis C is a prevalent disease that poses a high risk to the human liver. Early diagnosis of hepatitis C is crucial for treatment and prognosis. Therefore, developing an effective medical decision system is essential. In recent years, many computational methods have been proposed to identify hepatitis C patients. Although existing hepatitis prediction models have achieved good results in terms of accuracy, most of them are black-box models and cannot gain the trust of doctors and patients in clinical practice. As a result, this study aims to use various Machine Learning (ML) models to predict whether a patient has hepatitis C, while also using explainable models to elucidate the prediction process of the ML models, thus making the prediction process more transparent.

RESULT

We conducted a study on the prediction of hepatitis C based on serological testing and provided comprehensive explanations for the prediction process. Throughout the experiment, we modeled the benchmark dataset, and evaluated model performance using fivefold cross-validation and independent testing experiments. After evaluating three types of black-box machine learning models, Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and AdaBoost, we adopted Bayesian-optimized RF as the classification algorithm. In terms of model interpretation, in addition to using common SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) to provide global explanations for the model, we also utilized the Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations with stability (LIME_stabilitly) to provide local explanations for the model.

CONCLUSION

Both the fivefold cross-validation and independent testing show that our proposed method significantly outperforms the state-of-the-art method. IHCP maintains excellent model interpretability while obtaining excellent predictive performance. This helps uncover potential predictive patterns of the model and enables clinicians to better understand the model's decision-making process.

A Feasibility Study of Diabetic Retinopathy Detection in Type II Diabetic Patients Based on Explainable Artificial Intelligence

Diabetic retinopathy (DR) is vision impairment and a life-threatening condition for diabetic patients. Especially type II diabetic people have higher chances of getting retinal problems. Hence, early prediction of DR is necessary for preventing the diabetic patients from vision impairment. The main aim of this feasibility study is to identify the most critical risk features that could lead to diabetic retinopathy. This study investigated type II diabetic patients' socio-analytical, diabetes, behavioral, and clinical risk factors. We conducted a self-individual questionnaire session for all participants. Our questionnaire asked about the reliability of results, feeling comfortable during the screening test, willingness to participate in future screenings, overall perspective, and satisfaction with the DR screening test. We proposed a random forest model for predicting the prevalence of DR risk among diabetics. Further explanations of the model were conducted using more robust SHAP eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) tools. The SHAP method makes it possible to understand how input variables interact with their representative output records, as well as how input variables are ranked. In addition, various descriptive and inferential statistical analyses were performed on the data and evaluated the significant relationship between the factors discussed above via hypothesis testing. This feasibility study involved 172 type II diabetic patients (73 males and 99 females). Therefore, we found that 81 (47.09%) out of 172 participants had referable DR. The average age of the patients was determined as 55.08, with a standard deviation of ± 9.770 (ranging from 40 to 79). Type II patients were affected by mild, moderate, severe, and advanced proliferative diabetic retinopathy (PDR) stages with 23.83%, 13.95%, 5.81%, and 3.48%, respectively, of the total samples. The developed RF model obtained high accuracy of 94.9% using clinical dataset. Our results showed that the formation of tiny microminiature lesions was noticeable in type II diabetic patients with aged people, abnormal blood glucose levels, and prolonged diabetes duration.

WindowSHAP: An efficient framework for explaining time-series classifiers based on Shapley values

Unpacking and comprehending how black-box machine learning algorithms (such as deep learning models) make decisions has been a persistent challenge for researchers and end-users. Explaining time-series predictive models is useful for clinical applications with high stakes to understand the behavior of prediction models, e.g., to determine how different variables and time points influence the clinical outcome. However, existing approaches to explain such models are frequently unique to architectures and data where the features do not have a time-varying component. In this paper, we introduce WindowSHAP, a model-agnostic framework for explaining time-series classifiers using Shapley values. We intend for WindowSHAP to mitigate the computational complexity of calculating Shapley values for long time-series data as well as improve the quality of explanations. WindowSHAP is based on partitioning a sequence into time windows. Under this framework, we present three distinct algorithms of Stationary, Sliding and Dynamic WindowSHAP, each evaluated against baseline approaches, KernelSHAP and TimeSHAP, using perturbation and sequence analyses metrics. We applied our framework to clinical time-series data from both a specialized clinical domain (Traumatic Brain Injury - TBI) as well as a broad clinical domain (critical care medicine). The experimental results demonstrate that, based on the two quantitative metrics, our framework is superior at explaining clinical time-series classifiers, while also reducing the complexity of computations. We show that for time-series data with 120 time steps (hours), merging 10 adjacent time points can reduce the CPU time of WindowSHAP by 80 % compared to KernelSHAP. We also show that our Dynamic WindowSHAP algorithm focuses more on the most important time steps and provides more understandable explanations. As a result, WindowSHAP not only accelerates the calculation of Shapley values for time-series data, but also delivers more understandable explanations with higher quality.

Method for Classifying Schizophrenia Patients Based on Machine Learning

Schizophrenia is a chronic and severe mental disorder that affects individuals in various ways, particularly in their ability to perceive, process, and respond to stimuli. This condition has a significant impact on a considerable number of individuals. Consequently, the study, analysis, and characterization of this pathology are of paramount importance. Electroencephalography (EEG) is frequently utilized in the diagnostic assessment of various brain disorders due to its non-intrusiveness, excellent resolution and ease of placement. However, the manual analysis of electroencephalogram (EEG) recordings can be a complex and time-consuming task for healthcare professionals. Therefore, the automated analysis of EEG recordings can help alleviate the burden on doctors and provide valuable insights to support clinical diagnosis. Many studies are working along these lines. In this research paper, the authors propose a machine learning (ML) method based on the eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGB) algorithm for analyzing EEG signals. The study compares the performance of the proposed XGB-based approach with four other supervised ML systems. According to the results, the proposed XGB-based method demonstrates superior performance, with an AUC value of 0.94 and an accuracy value of 0.94, surpassing the other compared methods. The implemented system exhibits high accuracy and robustness in accurately classifying schizophrenia patients based on EEG recordings. This method holds the potential to be implemented as a valuable complementary tool for clinical use in hospitals, supporting clinicians in their clinical diagnosis of schizophrenia.

Machine learning-based prediction of cerebral hemorrhage in patients with hemodialysis: A multicenter, retrospective study

Background

Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is one of the most serious complications in patients with chronic kidney disease undergoing long-term hemodialysis. It has high mortality and disability rates and imposes a serious economic burden on the patient's family and society. An early prediction of ICH is essential for timely intervention and improving prognosis. This study aims to build an interpretable machine learning-based model to predict the risk of ICH in patients undergoing hemodialysis.

Methods

The clinical data of 393 patients with end-stage kidney disease undergoing hemodialysis at three different centers between August 2014 and August 2022 were retrospectively analyzed. A total of 70% of the samples were randomly selected as the training set, and the remaining 30% were used as the validation set. Five machine learning (ML) algorithms, namely, support vector machine (SVM), extreme gradient boosting (XGB), complement Naïve Bayes (CNB), K-nearest neighbor (KNN), and logistic regression (LR), were used to develop a model to predict the risk of ICH in patients with uremia undergoing long-term hemodialysis. In addition, the area under the curve (AUC) values were evaluated to compare the performance of each algorithmic model. Global and individual interpretive analyses of the model were performed using importance ranking and Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) in the training set.

Results

A total of 73 patients undergoing hemodialysis developed spontaneous ICH among the 393 patients included in the study. The AUC of SVM, CNB, KNN, LR, and XGB models in the validation dataset were 0.725 (95% CI: 0.610 ~ 0.841), 0.797 (95% CI: 0.690 ~ 0.905), 0.675 (95% CI: 0.560 ~ 0.789), 0.922 (95% CI: 0.862 ~ 0.981), and 0.979 (95% CI: 0.953 ~ 1.000), respectively. Therefore, the XGBoost model had the best performance among the five algorithms. SHAP analysis revealed that the levels of LDL, HDL, CRP, and HGB and pre-hemodialysis blood pressure were the most important factors.

Conclusion

The XGB model developed in this study can efficiently predict the risk of a cerebral hemorrhage in patients with uremia undergoing long-term hemodialysis and can help clinicians to make more individualized and rational clinical decisions. ICH events in patients undergoing maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) are associated with serum LDL, HDL, CRP, HGB, and pre-hemodialysis SBP levels.

Adaptive Aquila Optimizer with Explainable Artificial Intelligence-Enabled Cancer Diagnosis on Medical Imaging

Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) is a branch of AI that mainly focuses on developing systems that provide understandable and clear explanations for their decisions. In the context of cancer diagnoses on medical imaging, an XAI technology uses advanced image analysis methods like deep learning (DL) to make a diagnosis and analyze medical images, as well as provide a clear explanation for how it arrived at its diagnoses. This includes highlighting specific areas of the image that the system recognized as indicative of cancer while also providing data on the fundamental AI algorithm and decision-making process used. The objective of XAI is to provide patients and doctors with a better understanding of the system's decision-making process and to increase transparency and trust in the diagnosis method. Therefore, this study develops an Adaptive Aquila Optimizer with Explainable Artificial Intelligence Enabled Cancer Diagnosis (AAOXAI-CD) technique on Medical Imaging. The proposed AAOXAI-CD technique intends to accomplish the effectual colorectal and osteosarcoma cancer classification process. To achieve this, the AAOXAI-CD technique initially employs the Faster SqueezeNet model for feature vector generation. As well, the hyperparameter tuning of the Faster SqueezeNet model takes place with the use of the AAO algorithm. For cancer classification, the majority weighted voting ensemble model with three DL classifiers, namely recurrent neural network (RNN), gated recurrent unit (GRU), and bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM). Furthermore, the AAOXAI-CD technique combines the XAI approach LIME for better understanding and explainability of the black-box method for accurate cancer detection. The simulation evaluation of the AAOXAI-CD methodology can be tested on medical cancer imaging databases, and the outcomes ensured the auspicious outcome of the AAOXAI-CD methodology than other current approaches.

A systematic method for diagnosis of hepatitis disease using machine learning

Hepatitis is among the deadliest diseases on the planet. Machine learning approaches can contribute toward diagnosing hepatitis disease based on a few characteristics. On the UCI dataset, authors assessed distinct classifiers' performance in order to develop a systematic strategy for hepatitis disease diagnosis. The classifiers used are support vector machine, logistic regression (LR), K-nearest neighbor, and random forest. The classifiers were employed without class balancing and in conjunction with class balancing using SMOTE strategy. Both studies, classification without class balancing and with class balancing, were compared in terms of different performance parameters. After adopting class balancing, the efficiency of classifiers improved significantly. LR with SMOTE provided the highest level of accuracy (93.18%).

An explainable predictive model for suicide attempt risk using an ensemble learning and Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) approach

Machine learning approaches have been used to develop suicide attempt predictive models recently and have been shown to have a good performance. However, those proposed models have difficulty interpreting and understanding why an individual has suicidal attempts. To overcome this issue, the identification of features such as risk factors in predicting suicide attempts is important for clinicians to make decisions. Therefore, the aim of this study is to propose an explainable predictive model to predict and analyse the importance of features for suicide attempts. This model can also provide explanations to improve the clinical understanding of suicide attempts. Two complex ensemble learning models, namely Random Forest and Gradient Boosting with an explanatory model (SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP)) have been constructed. The models are used for predictive interpretation and understanding of the importance of the features. The experiment shows that both models with SHAP are able to interpret and understand the nature of an individual's predictions with suicide attempts. However, compared with Random Forest, the results show that Gradient Boosting with SHAP achieves higher accuracy and the analyses found that history of suicide attempts, suicidal ideation, and ethnicity as the main predictors for suicide attempts.

Application of explainable artificial intelligence for healthcare: A systematic review of the last decade (2011-2022)

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Artificial intelligence (AI) has branched out to various applications in healthcare, such as health services management, predictive medicine, clinical decision-making, and patient data and diagnostics. Although AI models have achieved human-like performance, their use is still limited because they are seen as a black box. This lack of trust remains the main reason for their low use in practice, especially in healthcare. Hence, explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) has been introduced as a technique that can provide confidence in the model's prediction by explaining how the prediction is derived, thereby encouraging the use of AI systems in healthcare. The primary goal of this review is to provide areas of healthcare that require more attention from the XAI research community.

METHODS

Multiple journal databases were thoroughly searched using PRISMA guidelines 2020. Studies that do not appear in Q1 journals, which are highly credible, were excluded.

RESULTS

In this review, we surveyed 99 Q1 articles covering the following XAI techniques: SHAP, LIME, GradCAM, LRP, Fuzzy classifier, EBM, CBR, rule-based systems, and others.

CONCLUSION

We discovered that detecting abnormalities in 1D biosignals and identifying key text in clinical notes are areas that require more attention from the XAI research community. We hope this is review will encourage the development of a holistic cloud system for a smart city.

Federated learning-based AI approaches in smart healthcare: concepts, taxonomies, challenges and open issues

Federated Learning (FL), Artificial Intelligence (AI), and Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) are the most trending and exciting technology in the intelligent healthcare field. Traditionally, the healthcare system works based on centralized agents sharing their raw data. Therefore, huge vulnerabilities and challenges are still existing in this system. However, integrating with AI, the system would be multiple agent collaborators who are capable of communicating with their desired host efficiently. Again, FL is another interesting feature, which works decentralized manner; it maintains the communication based on a model in the preferred system without transferring the raw data. The combination of FL, AI, and XAI techniques can be capable of minimizing several limitations and challenges in the healthcare system. This paper presents a complete analysis of FL using AI for smart healthcare applications. Initially, we discuss contemporary concepts of emerging technologies such as FL, AI, XAI, and the healthcare system. We integrate and classify the FL-AI with healthcare technologies in different domains. Further, we address the existing problems, including security, privacy, stability, and reliability in the healthcare field. In addition, we guide the readers to solving strategies of healthcare using FL and AI. Finally, we address extensive research areas as well as future potential prospects regarding FL-based AI research in the healthcare management system.

Two Novel Nomograms Predicting the Risk and Prognosis of Pancreatic Cancer Patients With Lung Metastases: A Population-Based Study

Background

Pancreatic cancer (PC) is one of the most common malignant types of cancer, with the lung being the frequent distant metastatic site. Currently, no population-based studies have been done on the risk and prognosis of pancreatic cancer with lung metastases (PCLM). As a result, we intend to create two novel nomograms to predict the risk and prognosis of PCLM.

Methods

PC patients were selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program (SEER) database from 2010 to 2016. A multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to identify risk factors for PCLM at the time of diagnosis. The multivariate Cox regression analysis was carried out to assess PCLM patient's prognostic factors for overall survival (OS). Following that, we used area under curve (AUC), time-dependent receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves, calibration plots, consistency index (C-index), time-dependent C-index, and decision curve analysis (DCA) to evaluate the effectiveness and accuracy of the two nomograms. Finally, we compared differences in survival outcomes using Kaplan-Meier curves.

Results

A total of 803 (4.22%) out of 19,067 pathologically diagnosed PC patients with complete baseline information screened from SEER database had pulmonary metastasis at diagnosis. A multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that age, histological subtype, primary site, N staging, surgery, radiotherapy, tumor size, bone metastasis, brain metastasis, and liver metastasis were risk factors for the occurrence of PCLM. According to multivariate Cox regression analysis, age, grade, tumor size, histological subtype, surgery, chemotherapy, liver metastasis, and bone metastasis were independent prognostic factors for PCLM patients' OS. Nomograms were constructed based on these factors to predict 6-, 12-, and 18-months OS of patients with PCLM. AUC, C-index, calibration curves, and DCA revealed that the two novel nomograms had good predictive power.

Conclusion

We developed two reliable predictive models for clinical practice to assist clinicians in developing individualized treatment plans for patients.

Comparison and Determination of Optimal Machine Learning Model for Predicting Generation of Coal Fly Ash

The rapid development of industry keeps increasing the demand for energy. Coal, as the main energy source, has a huge level of consumption, resulting in the continuous generation of its combustion byproduct coal fly ash (CFA). The accumulated CFA will occupy a large amount of land, but also cause serious environmental pollution and personal injury, which makes the resource utilization of CFA gradually to be attached importance. However, given the variability of the amount of CFA generation, predicting it in advance is the basis to ensure effective disposal and rational utilization. In this study, CFA generation was taken as the target variable, three machine learning (ML) algorithms were used to construct the model, and four evaluation indices were used to evaluate its performance. The results showed that the DNN model with the R = 0.89, R2 = 0.77 on the testing set performed better than the traditional multiple linear regression equation and other ML algorithms, and the feasibility of DNN as the optimal model framework was demonstrated. Applying this model framework to the engineering field enables managers to identify the next step of the disposal method in advance, so as to rationally allocate ways of recycling and utilization to maximize the use and sales benefits of CFA while minimizing its disposal costs. In addition, sensitivity analysis further explains ML’s internal decisions and verifies that coal consumption is more important than installed capacity, which provides a certain reference for ensuring the rational utilization of CFA.

Applications of Explainable Artificial Intelligence in Diagnosis and Surgery

In recent years, artificial intelligence (AI) has shown great promise in medicine. However, explainability issues make AI applications in clinical usages difficult. Some research has been conducted into explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) to overcome the limitation of the black-box nature of AI methods. Compared with AI techniques such as deep learning, XAI can provide both decision-making and explanations of the model. In this review, we conducted a survey of the recent trends in medical diagnosis and surgical applications using XAI. We have searched articles published between 2019 and 2021 from PubMed, IEEE Xplore, Association for Computing Machinery, and Google Scholar. We included articles which met the selection criteria in the review and then extracted and analyzed relevant information from the studies. Additionally, we provide an experimental showcase on breast cancer diagnosis, and illustrate how XAI can be applied in medical XAI applications. Finally, we summarize the XAI methods utilized in the medical XAI applications, the challenges that the researchers have met, and discuss the future research directions. The survey result indicates that medical XAI is a promising research direction, and this study aims to serve as a reference to medical experts and AI scientists when designing medical XAI applications.

A novel explainable COVID-19 diagnosis method by integration of feature selection with random forest

Several Artificial Intelligence-based models have been developed for COVID-19 disease diagnosis. In spite of the promise of artificial intelligence, there are very few models which bridge the gap between traditional human-centered diagnosis and the potential future of machine-centered disease diagnosis. Under the concept of human-computer interaction design, this study proposes a new explainable artificial intelligence method that exploits graph analysis for feature visualization and optimization for the purpose of COVID-19 diagnosis from blood test samples. In this developed model, an explainable decision forest classifier is employed to COVID-19 classification based on routinely available patient blood test data. The approach enables the clinician to use the decision tree and feature visualization to guide the explainability and interpretability of the prediction model. By utilizing this novel feature selection phase, the proposed diagnosis model will not only improve diagnosis accuracy but decrease the execution time as well.

Machine Learning Models for Predicting In-Hospital Mortality in Acute Aortic Dissection Patients

Background: Acute aortic dissection is a potentially fatal cardiovascular disorder associated with high mortality. However, current predictive models show a limited ability to efficiently and flexibly detect this mortality risk, and have been unable to discover a relationship between the mortality rate and certain variables. Thus, this study takes an artificial intelligence approach, whereby clinical data-driven machine learning was utilized to predict the in-hospital mortality of acute aortic dissection. Methods: Patients diagnosed with acute aortic dissection between January 2015 to December 2018 were voluntarily enrolled from the Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University in the study. The diagnosis was defined by magnetic resonance angiography or computed tomography angiography, with an onset time of the symptoms being within 14 days. The analytical variables included demographic characteristics, physical examination, symptoms, clinical condition, laboratory results, and treatment strategies. The machine learning algorithms included logistic regression, decision tree, K nearest neighbor, Gaussian naive bayes, and extreme gradient boost (XGBoost). Evaluation of the predictive performance of the models was mainly achieved using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. SHapley Additive exPlanation was also implemented to interpret the final prediction model. Results: A total of 1,344 acute aortic dissection patients were recruited, including 1,071 (79.7%) patients in the survivor group and 273 (20.3%) patients in non-survivor group. The extreme gradient boost model was found to be the most effective model with the greatest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.927, 95% CI: 0.860-0.968). The three most significant aspects of the extreme gradient boost importance matrix plot were treatment, type of acute aortic dissection, and ischemia-modified albumin levels. In the SHapley Additive exPlanation summary plot, medical treatment, type A acute aortic dissection, and higher ischemia-modified albumin level were shown to increase the risk of hospital-based mortality.