Double- and Triple-Positive Tumor Markers Predict Early Recurrence and Poor Survival in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma within the Milan Criteria and Child-Pugh Class A

Cluster analysis of hepatocellular carcinoma prognosis using preoperative alpha-fetoprotein and des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin levels: a multi-institutional study

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains the leading cause of cancer-related mortality worldwide and is characterized by high recurrence rates after curative resection. The tumor markers des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) are crucial for HCC diagnosis and prognosis. However, their roles in the modern era of HCC epidemiology require reevaluation.

METHODS

This multi-institutional retrospective study analyzed 1515 patients who underwent hepatectomy for primary HCC. Patients were classified into 4 clusters using k-means analysis based on preoperative DCP and AFP levels. Clinicopathologic characteristics, overall survival (OS), and recurrence rate (RR) were evaluated using Cox proportional hazards models and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) comparisons.

RESULTS

Cluster 3 (concurrent elevations of DCP and AFP) had the poorest 5-year OS (52.8%) and the highest RR (79.3%), whereas cluster 4 (low levels of both markers) had the most favorable outcomes, with a 5-year OS rate of 71.5% and an RR of 55.7%. Cluster 1 (elevated DCP alone) was associated with larger tumors (median of 45 mm) and more frequent vascular invasion (43%) than cluster 2 (elevated AFP alone, median tumor size of 24 mm, and vascular invasion of 36%). DCP was a stronger predictor of 5-year OS in patients with preserved liver function (AUROC, 0.63), whereas AFP was more effective in stratifying RR in patients with impaired liver function (AUROC, 0.57). Non-B, non-C hepatitis (NBNC)-related HCC exhibited a distinct biomarker profile, with an elevated DCP level correlating with a higher 5-year RR (67%) than other etiologies.

CONCLUSION

Our study introduces tumor marker clustering as a novel analytical approach, providing a nuanced understanding of AFP and DCP's combined utility in predicting prognosis and recurrence. Our findings highlight the independent and complementary roles of these biomarkers, particularly in NBNC-related HCC and in cases with impaired liver function. AFP and DCP remain crucial tools for recurrence risk assessment, guiding personalized management strategies, such as surveillance, neoadjuvant therapies, and tailored postoperative interventions.

Liquid Chromatography/Tandem Mass Spectrometry-Based Simultaneous Analysis of 32 Bile Acids in Plasma and Conventional Biomarker-Integrated Diagnostic Screening Model Development for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Imaging tests, tumor marker (TM) screening, and biochemical tests provide a definitive diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, some patients with HCC may present TM-negative results, warranting a need for developing more sensitive and accurate screening biomarkers. Various diseases exhibit increased blood levels of bile acids, biosynthesized from cholesterol in the liver, and they have been associated with HCC. Herein, we analyzed plasma bile acids using liquid chromatography/tandem mass spectrometry and integrated them with conventional biomarkers to develop a diagnostic screening model for HCC. Plasma samples were obtained from patients diagnosed with chronic hepatitis, hepatic cirrhosis (HC), and HCC. A QTRAP 6500 mass spectrometer and a Nexera liquid chromatograph with a YMC-Triart C18 analytical column were used. The mobile phase A was a 20 mmol/L ammonium formate solution, and mobile phase B was a methanol/acetonitrile mixture (1:1, v/v) with 20 mmol/L ammonium formate. After determining the concentrations of 32 bile acids, statistical analysis and diagnostic screening model development were performed. Plasma concentrations of bile acids differed between sample groups, with significant differences observed between patients with HC and HCC. By integrating bile acid results with conventional biochemical tests, a potential diagnostic screening model for HCC was successfully developed. Future studies should increase the sample size and analyze the data in detail to verify the diagnostic efficacy of the model.

Ablative and non-surgical therapies for early and very early hepatocellular carcinoma: a systematic review and network meta-analysis

Background

A wide range of ablative and non-surgical therapies are available for treating small hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with very early or early-stage disease and preserved liver function.

Objective

To review and compare the effectiveness of all current ablative and non-surgical therapies for patients with small hepatocellular carcinoma (≤ 3 cm).

Design

Systematic review and network meta-analysis.

Data sources

Nine databases (March 2021), two trial registries (April 2021) and reference lists of relevant systematic reviews.

Review methods

Eligible studies were randomised controlled trials of ablative and non-surgical therapies, versus any comparator, for small hepatocellular carcinoma. Randomised controlled trials were quality assessed using the Cochrane Risk of Bias 2 tool and mapped. The comparative effectiveness of therapies was assessed using network meta-analysis. A threshold analysis was used to identify which comparisons were sensitive to potential changes in the evidence. Where comparisons based on randomised controlled trial evidence were not robust or no randomised controlled trials were identified, a targeted systematic review of non-randomised, prospective comparative studies provided additional data for repeat network meta-analysis and threshold analysis. The feasibility of undertaking economic modelling was explored. A workshop with patients and clinicians was held to discuss the findings and identify key priorities for future research.

Results

Thirty-seven randomised controlled trials (with over 3700 relevant patients) were included in the review. The majority were conducted in China or Japan and most had a high risk of bias or some risk of bias concerns. The results of the network meta-analysis were uncertain for most comparisons. There was evidence that percutaneous ethanol injection is inferior to radiofrequency ablation for overall survival (hazard ratio 1.45, 95% credible interval 1.16 to 1.82), progression-free survival (hazard ratio 1.36, 95% credible interval 1.11 to 1.67), overall recurrence (relative risk 1.19, 95% credible interval 1.02 to 1.39) and local recurrence (relative risk 1.80, 95% credible interval 1.19 to 2.71). Percutaneous acid injection was also inferior to radiofrequency ablation for progression-free survival (hazard ratio 1.63, 95% credible interval 1.05 to 2.51). Threshold analysis showed that further evidence could plausibly change the result for some comparisons. Fourteen eligible non-randomised studies were identified (n ≥ 2316); twelve had a high risk of bias so were not included in updated network meta-analyses. Additional non-randomised data, made available by a clinical advisor, were also included (n = 303). There remained a high level of uncertainty in treatment rankings after the network meta-analyses were updated. However, the updated analyses suggested that microwave ablation and resection are superior to percutaneous ethanol injection and percutaneous acid injection for some outcomes. Further research on stereotactic ablative radiotherapy was recommended at the workshop, although it is only appropriate for certain patient subgroups, limiting opportunities for adequately powered trials.

Limitations

Many studies were small and of poor quality. No comparative studies were found for some therapies.

Conclusions

The existing evidence base has limitations; the uptake of specific ablative therapies in the United Kingdom appears to be based more on technological advancements and ease of use than strong evidence of clinical effectiveness. However, there is evidence that percutaneous ethanol injection and percutaneous acid injection are inferior to radiofrequency ablation, microwave ablation and resection.

Study registration

PROSPERO CRD42020221357.

Funding

This award was funded by the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment (HTA) programme (NIHR award ref: NIHR131224) and is published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 27, No. 29. See the NIHR Funding and Awards website for further award information.

Usefulness of Tumor Marker Score for Predicting the Prognosis of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Treated with Atezolizumab Plus Bevacizumab: A Multicenter Retrospective Study

AIM

This study aimed to evaluate the ability of a previously reported tumor marker (TM) score involving alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), fucosylated AFP (AFP-L3), and des gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) as TMs in predicting the prognosis and therapeutic efficacy in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients administered atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (Atez/Bev) as first-line treatment.

MATERIALS/METHODS

The study period covered September 2020 to December 2022 and involved 371 HCC patients treated with Atez/Bev. The values of the TMs AFP, AFP-L3, and DCP were measured upon introducing Atez/Bev. Elevations in the values of AFP (≥100 ng/mL), AFP-L3 (≥10%), and DCP (≥100 mAU/mL) were considered to indicate a positive TM. The number of positive TMs was summed up and used as the TM score, as previously proposed. Hepatic reserve function was assessed using the modified albumin-bilirubin grade (mALBI). Predictive values for prognosis were evaluated retrospectively.

RESULTS

A TM score of 0 was shown in 81 HCC patients (21.8%), 1 in 110 (29.6%), 2 in 112 (29.9%), and 3 in 68 (18.3%). The median overall survival (OS) times for TM scores 0, 1, 2, and 3 were not applicable [NA] (95% CI NA-NA), 24.0 months (95% CI 17.8-NA), 16.7 months (95% CI 17.8-NA), and NA (95% CI 8.3-NA), respectively (p < 0.001). The median progression-free survival (PFS) times for TM scores 0, 1, 2, and 3 were 16.5 months (95% CI 8.0-not applicable [NA]), 13.8 months (95% CI 10.6-21.3), 7.7 months (95% CI 5.3-8.9), and 5.8 months (95% CI 3.0-7.6), respectively (p < 0.001). OS was well stratified in mALBI 1/2a and mALBI 2a/2b. PFS was well stratified in mALBI 2a/2b, but not in mALBI 1/2a.

CONCLUSIONS

The TM score involving AFP, AFP-L3, and DCP as TMs was useful in predicting the prognosis and therapeutic efficacy in terms of OS and PFS in HCC patients administered Atez/Bev as first-line treatment.

Prothrombin induced by vitamin K Absence-II versus alpha-fetoprotein in detection of both resectable hepatocellular carcinoma and early recurrence after curative liver resection: A retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and prothrombin induced by vitamin K absence-II (PIVKA-II) are two commonly used biomarkers for detection and prognostic prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study sought to evaluate and compare the use of these two biomarkers to detect HCC, as well as predict postoperative early recurrence (within 2 years after HCC resection).

METHODS

Data on consecutive patients who underwent curative resection for HCC between 2014 and 2020 was prospectively collected and reviewed. Serum AFP and PIVKA-II levels within one week before surgery or at the time of detection of early recurrence were assessed; preoperative AFP positivity (≥20 ng/ml) and preoperative PIVKA-II positivity (≥40 mAU/ml) were examined relative to recurrence using univariate and multivariate Cox-regression analyses.

RESULTS

Among 751 patients who underwent curative HCC resection, 589 (78.4%) patients had preoperative PIVKA-II positivity versus 498 (66.3%) patients had preoperative AFP positivity (P < 0.001). With a median follow-up of 41.6 months, 370 (50.1%) patients had an early HCC recurrence; among patients with an early recurrence, the proportion of patients with PIVKA-II positivity versus AFP positivity (76.5% vs. 60.0%, P = 0.002) was higher. On multivariate analysis, preoperative PIVKA-II positivity, but not preoperative AFP positivity was an independent risk factor to predict early recurrence after HCC resection.

CONCLUSIONS

AFP and PIVKA-II are useful biomarkers to detect resectable HCC and predict early recurrence after HCC resection, with the latter showing higher rates of positivity. Preoperative PIVKA-II positivity was independently associated with early recurrence following HCC resection.

Clinical evaluation of Elecsys PIVKA-II for patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma

Background

Prothrombin induced by vitamin K absence-II (PIVKA-II) was reported as a diagnosis and prognosis marker for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Although the development of systemic therapies for advanced HCC has been remarkable, the role of PIVKA-II is unclear. This prospective study aimed to verify Elecsys PIVKA-II compared with Lumipulse PIVKA-II in a cohort with advanced HCC undergoing systemic therapy.

Methods

A total of 62 HCC patients who were treated with atezolizumab and bevacizumab (ATZ+BEV) and molecular targeted agents (MTAs) were prospectively enrolled at Musashino Red Cross Hospital from January 2020 to December 2020. A total of 208 serum samples from 52 patients were tested using Elecsys PIVKA-II and Lumipulse PIVKA-II assays. Furthermore, the relationship of Elecsys PIVKA-II and progression-free survival (PFS) was investigated with 48 patients (24 ATZ+BEV and 24 MTAs) whose Lumipulse PIVKA-II levels were >40 mAU/mL.

Results

In the test accuracy analysis, the Elecsys assay has a correlation coefficient (R) of 0.92 compared with that of the Lumipulse assay (ATZ+BEV, 0.95; MTAs, 0.91). In the PFS analysis, the number of patients who received ATZ+BEV and MTAs as first- and late-line therapy were 9 and 13, and 15 and 11, respectively. The PIVKA-II response was defined for patients who had a reduction in the Elecsys PIVKA-II level on the first month of treatment evaluation. The PFS of patients with Elecsys PIVKA-II response was significantly longer than that of nonresponse patients (5.8 months vs 3.8 months, p = 0.0205).

Conclusion

The Elecsys PIVKA-II was not only as useful as the Lumipulse PIVKA-II but also for stratifying the PFS of patients with advanced HCC.

Prognostic Significance of Preoperative Tumor Markers in Pseudomyxoma Peritonei from Low-Grade Appendiceal Mucinous Neoplasm: a Study from the US HIPEC Collaborative

BACKGROUND

Tumor markers are commonly utilized in the diagnostic evaluation, treatment decision making, and surveillance of appendiceal tumors. In this study, we aimed to determine the prognostic significance of elevated preoperative tumor markers in patients with pseudomyxoma peritonei secondary to low-grade appendiceal mucinous neoplasm who underwent cytoreductive surgery and hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy.

METHODS

Using a multi-institutional database, eligible patients with measured preoperative tumor markers [carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA 19-9), or cancer antigen 125 (CA-125)] were identified. Univariate and multivariate Cox-proportional hazards regression analysis assessed relationships between normal and elevated serum tumor markers with progression-free and overall survival in the context of multiple clinicopathologic variables.

RESULTS

zTwo hundred and sixty-four patients met criteria. CEA was the most commonly measured tumor marker (97%). Patients who had any elevated tumor marker had a higher peritoneal carcinomatosis index (PCI) as compared to those with normal range markers. Elevated CEA and CA 19-9 levels were individually associated with longer inpatient length of stay, requirement for intraoperative transfusion, and incomplete cytoreduction. Utilization of neoadjuvant chemotherapy, increased PCI score, elevated CA 19-9 (p = 0.007), and CA-125 levels (p = 0.01) were predictive of decreased progression-free survival on univariate analysis. However, in a multivariate model, only elevated PCI was a statistically significant predictor of progression-free survival.

CONCLUSION

Elevated preoperative tumor markers indicate a higher burden of disease but are not independently associated with survival in this retrospective multi-institutional cohort. Further prospective studies are needed to clarify the utility of these markers in this patient population.

Baseline Alpha-Fetoprotein, Alpha-Fetoprotein-L3, and Des-Gamma-Carboxy Prothrombin Biomarker Status in Bridge to Liver Transplant Outcomes for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Simple Summary

An abnormal alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) test is often associated with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development, although as many as 40% of HCC diagnoses are made in the absence of an abnormal AFP test. In Japan and other Asian countries, Lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive AFP fraction (AFP-L3) and des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) are used in combination with AFP for HCC diagnosis. Combined testing with all three biomarkers increases early diagnosis in addition to providing a patient-specific profile of HCC aggressiveness. The utility of AFP, AFP-L3, and DCP for HCC prognosis in the bridge to liver transplantation has not been established. The goal of this study is to define prognosis to first-line HCC treatment and the risk of progression prior to liver transplantation associated with biomarker profile at diagnosis. Biomarker profiling may have future implications in precision therapeutic management of HCC as a bridge to transplantation.

Abstract

The biomarkers α-fetoprotein (AFP), Lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive AFP fraction (AFP-L3), and des-γ-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) have emerging implications in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance, overall prognosis, and post-surgical recurrence risk. This retrospective study investigated treatment and bridge to liver transplant (LT) prognosis associated with AFP, AFP-L3%, and DCP biomarker profiles prior to liver-directed therapy (LDT). In a 140-patient cohort, each biomarker was associated with HCC progression risk using the established thresholds of AFP > 20 ng/mL, AFP-L3 > 15%, and DCP > 7.5 ng/mL. Over 60% of the cohort expressed at least one biomarker at baseline. Although most biomarker-positive patients expressed the clinical standard AFP (57/87), only 32% were positive for AFP alone. Biomarker accumulation increased HCC progression risk but was not associated with demographic factors or preserved liver function. Biomarker triple negative patients had smaller index HCC (p = 0.003), decreased multifocal burden (p = 0.010), and a higher objective response rate (ORR, 62% compared to 46%, p = 0.011). Expressing all three biomarkers at baseline was associated with dismal first-line ORR (12%) with a median time to progression (TTP) of only 181 days post-LDT. Patients with triple negative status for the HCC biomarkers AFP, AFP-L3%, and DCP have the highest first-line ORR with < 5% HCC progression 1-year post-LDT. Biomarker profiling can establish baseline prognosis for identifying optimal bridge to LT and downstaging to LT candidates with triple negative biomarker status and providing an ideal post-LDT target as a compliment to radiographic response.

Iron-sulphur cluster biogenesis factor LYRM4 is a novel prognostic biomarker associated with immune infiltrates in hepatocellular carcinoma

Background

LYRM4 is necessary to maintain the stability and activity of the human cysteine desulfurase complex NFS1-LYRM4-ACP. The existing experimental results indicate that cancer cells rely on the high expression of NFS1. However, the role of LYRM4 in liver hepatocellular carcinoma (LIHC) remains unclear.

Methods

In this study, we combined bioinformatics analysis and clinical specimens to evaluate the mRNA, protein expression, and gene regulatory network of LYRM4 in LIHC. Furthermore, we detected the activity of several classical iron-sulphur proteins in LIHC cell lines through UV-vis spectrophotometry.

Results

The mRNA and protein levels of LYRM4 were upregulated in LIHC. Subsequent analysis revealed that the LYRM4 mRNA expression was related to various clinical stratifications, prognosis, and survival of LIHC patients. In addition, the mRNA expression of LYRM4 was significantly associated with ALT, tumour thrombus, and encapsulation of HBV-related LIHC patients. IHC results confirmed that LYRM4 was highly expressed in LIHC tissues and showed that the expression of LYRM4 protein in LIHC was significantly correlated with age and serum low-density lipoprotein (LDL) and triglyceride (TG) content. In particular, the mRNA expression of key iron- sulphur proteins POLD1 and PRIM2 was significantly overexpressed and correlated with poor prognosis in LIHC patients. Compared with hepatocytes, the activities of mitochondrial complex I and aconitate hydratase (ACO2) in LIHC cell lines were significantly increased. These results indicated that the iron-sulphur cluster (ISC) biosynthesis was significantly elevated in LIHC, leading to ISC-dependent metabolic reprogramming. Changes in the activity of ISC-dependent proteins may also occur in paracancerous tissues. Further analysis of the biological interaction and gene regulation networks of LYRM4 suggested that these genes were mainly involved in the citric acid cycle and oxidative phosphorylation. Finally, LYRM4 expression in LIHC was significantly positively correlated with the infiltrating levels of six immune cell types, and both factors were strongly associated with prognosis.

Conclusion

LYRM4 could be a novel prognostic biomarker and molecular target for LIHC therapy. In particular, the potential regulatory networks of LYRM4 overexpression in LIHC provide a scientific basis for future research on the role of the ISC assembly mechanism and LYRM4-mediated sulphur transfer routes in carcinogenesis.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12935-021-02131-3.

Serum PIVKA-II and alpha-fetoprotein at virological remission predicts hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis B related cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

The risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is reduced but not eliminated after nucleos(t)ide analogue (NA) therapy in chronic hepatitis B (CHB). We aimed to investigate the role of serum Prothrombin Induced by Vitamin K Absence or Antagonist-II (PIVKA-II) and alpha-fetoprotein in predicting HCC and mortality in cirrhotic CHB patients at virological remission (VR) following NA therapy.

METHODS

Patients with CHB-related cirrhosis undergoing NA therapy from two medical centers in Taiwan were retrospectively included. Serum PIVKA-II were quantified by an automated chemiluminescence assay. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to identify predictors for HCC and death. Serial on-treatment PIVKA-II levels after VR were investigated.

RESULTS

Overall, 293 CHB-related cirrhosis patients were included. At VR, the mean age was 55, and the mean PIVKA-II level was 35 mAU/mL. After a mean follow-up of 78 months, 76 patients developed HCC and 19 died. After adjustment for confounding factors, alpha-fetoprotein >7 ng/mL (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.84, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.73-4.67) and PIVKA-II >50 mAU/mL (HR: 2.46, 95%CI: 1.35-4.49) at VR significantly predicted HCC development. In patients with alpha-fetoprotein ≤10 ng/mL or ≤20 ng/mL at VR, PIVKA-II >50 mAU/mL increased 2.45 or 3.16-fold risk of HCC, respectively. PIVKA-II levels after VR increased serially in patients who developed HCC afterwards.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with CHB-related cirrhosis, serum alpha-fetoprotein >7 ng/mL and PIVKA-II >50 mAU/mL at the time of antiviral therapy-induced VR is associated with a greater risk of HCC. PIVKA-II is a predictive marker for HCC in patients with low normal alpha-fetoprotein level.

The Role of the MCTS1 and DENR Proteins in Regulating the Mechanisms Associated with Malignant Cell Transformation

The mutations associated with malignant cell transformation are believed to disrupt the expression of a significant number of normal, non-mutant genes. The proteins encoded by these genes are involved in the regulation of many signaling pathways that are responsible for differentiation and proliferation, as well as sensitivity to apoptotic signals, growth factors, and cytokines. Abnormalities in the balance of signaling pathways can lead to the transformation of a normal cell, which results in tumor formation. Detection of the target genes and the proteins they encode and that are involved in the malignant transformation is one of the major evolutions in anti-cancer biomedicine. Currently, there is an accumulation of data that shed light on the role of the MCTS1 and DENR proteins in oncogenesis.

A Practical Model is Equivalent to the BALAD or BALAD-2 Score in Predicting Long-term Survival after Hepatectomy in Chinese Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Aim: To evaluate the predictive value of the BALAD and BALAD-2 scores on long-term survival after hepatectomy in Chinese hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients and to attempt to establish a more practical or effective model.

Methods: A total of 251 HCC patients underwent hepatectomy were recruited. The BALAD and BALAD-2 scores were calculated with total bilirubin, albumin, alpha-fetoprotein, Lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive fraction of alpha-fetoprotein and des-gamma-carboxyprothrombin. The associations of the two scores and their components with the overall survival were analyzed. Finally, three prediction models were explored and constructed.

Results: We observed that HCC patients had 5-year survival rates that worsened with increasement of BALAD and BALAD-2 scores. The BALAD and BALAD-2 scores demonstrated fine value in predicting overall survival with Harrell-C statistics of 0.665 (0.618-0.712) and 0.603 (0.554-0.636). After two variables, largest tumor size and BMI, were included in BALAD [0.720 (0.671-0.769)] or BALAD-2 [0.701 (0.649-0.751)] multivariate models, the Harrell-C statistic increased significantly than BALAD (P=0.048) or BALAD-2 (P<0.001) alone. Taking into account availability and expense, an equivalent BAA-BS model was established based on total bilirubin, albumin, AFP, BMI and largest tumor size. The Harrell-C statistic of BAA-BS model [0.723(0.674-0.772)] was similar to that of BALAD (P=0.820) or BALAD-2 (P=0.209) multivariate model. And, the continuous net reclassification index and integrated discriminatory improvement were not statistically different. Finally, a nomogram of the equivalent BAA-BS model was constructed to assist surgeons and patients in predicting 5-year survival rates.

Conclusion: Both BALAD and BALAD-2 scores were highly suitable for predicting long-term survival after hepatectomy in Chinese HCC patients. A significant increase in predictive efficacy was observed after the addition of largest tumor size and BMI to BALAD or BALAD-2 score. Even if AFP-L3 and DCP are not detected, an equivalent BAA-BS model also obtained an excellent discriminatory performance.

Prognostic Role of Serum Cytokeratin-19 Fragment (CYFRA 21-1) in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Simple Summary

The prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma is mainly driven by the stage of the tumor and by the overall liver function status. However, survival rates of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma are heterogeneous. In this study, we investigated whether circulating biomarkers might allow us to stratify the survival of patients with a new diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma. We observed that three biomarkers (namely AFP, PIVKA-II, and CYFRA 21-1) were independent predictors of overall survival. In addition, the combined use of these biomarkers allowed us to further stratify patients with hepatocellular carcinoma, according to their survival probability. This approach might help clinicians to tailor more personalized treatment strategies.

Abstract

Keratin 19 (K19) is a cancer stem cell marker expressed by a subpopulation of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), associated with tumor aggressiveness. We evaluated the prognostic value of serum K19 fragment (CYFRA 21-1), in comparison or in combination with alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and protein induced by vitamin-K absence or antagonist-II (PIVKA-II), in patients with HCC. A total of 160 patients (28F/132M; median age 62, range 44–86 years) with a new diagnosis of HCC and available serum samples collected at tumor diagnosis were analyzed retrospectively. Median overall survival (OS) after HCC diagnosis was 35.1, 95% CI 27.1–70.5 months. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that CYFRA 21-1 > 2.7 ng/mL (hazard ratio (HR) = 3.39, p < 0.001), AFP > 20 ng/mL (HR = 2.27, p = 0.007), and PIVKA-II > 200 mAU/mL (HR = 2.17, p = 0.020) were independent predictors of OS. The combination of biomarkers positivity allowed us to stratify patients with HCC into four risk categories associated with a progressively lower survival probability (log-rank test, p < 0.001). CYFRA 21-1 resulted an independent prognostic factor of patients with HCC and its combination with AFP and PIVKA-II might be useful to tailor personalized treatment strategies.

Efficacy of surgical microwave ablation for recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma after curative hepatectomy

BACKGROUND

Little evidence exists regarding postrecurrence survival after microwave ablation for recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after curative hepatectomy; we aimed to evaluate the feasibility of surgical microwave ablation.

METHODS

In this retrospective review, we enrolled patients who underwent curative hepatectomy for primary HCC in our department and had intrahepatic recurrence. We analyzed overall survival according to treatment modality to clarify the prognostic factors for survival.

RESULTS

Of 257 patients, 119 had intrahepatic recurrence. Three patients underwent repeat hepatectomy; 75 patients underwent surgical microwave ablation, and 34 patients underwent transcatheter arterial chemoembolization or hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy. The median postrecurrence survival time and 5-year postrecurrence survival after surgical microwave ablation were 37.4 months and 55.4%, respectively. The major complication rate (Clavien-Dindo classification IIIa or above) after surgical microwave ablation was 5.3% with no mortality. Multivariate analysis showed that microvascular invasion at primary tumors, and recurrent tumors within 3 cm and 3 nodules were independent prognostic factors for overall survival after surgical microwave ablation for recurrent HCC.

CONCLUSION

Our results suggested that surgical microwave ablation is safe and feasible for recurrent intrahepatic HCC after curative hepatectomy. Close follow-up and further curative treatment could be important for improving postrecurrence survival.

APASL HCV guidelines of virus-eradicated patients by DAA on how to monitor HCC occurrence and HBV reactivation

In the direct-acting antiviral (DAA) era for hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, sustained virological response (SVR) is very high, but close attention must be paid to the possible occurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and reactivation of hepatitis B virus (HBV) in patients with co-infection who achieved SVR in short term. HCC occurrence was more often observed in patients with previous HCC history. We found occurrence of HCC in 178 (29.6%) of 602 patients with previous HCC history (15.4 months mean follow-up post-DAA initiation) but, in contrast, in only 604 (1.3%) of 45,870 patients without previous HCC history (18.2 months mean follow-up). Thus, in these guidelines, we recommend the following: in patients with previous HCC history, surveillance at 4-month intervals for HCC by ultrasonography (US) and tumor markers should be performed. In patients without previous HCC history, surveillance at 6- to 12-month intervals for HCC including US is recommended until the long-term DAA treatment effects, especially for the resolution of liver fibrosis, are confirmed. This guideline also includes recommendations on how to follow-up patients who have been infected with both HCV and HBV. When HCV was eradicated in these HBsAg-positive patients or patients with previous HBV infection (anti-HBc and/or anti-HBs-positive), it was shown that HBV reactivation or HBV DNA reappearance was observed in 67 (41.4%) of 162 or 12 (0.9%) of 1317, respectively. For these co-infected patients, careful attention should be paid to HBV reactivation for 24 weeks post-treatment.

Hepatic resection versus operative microwave ablation for single hepatocellular carcinoma ≤5 cm: A propensity score-matched analysis

BACKGROUND

Little evidence exists regarding the perioperative and oncologic benefits of microwave ablation for hepatocellular carcinoma. The aim of this study was to compare the efficacy of hepatic resection and operative microwave ablation (microwave coagulo-necrotic therapy) for single hepatocellular carcinoma ≤5 cm.

METHODS

Between 1994 and 2015, a total of 551 patients with a single hepatocellular carcinoma ≤5 cm were treated in our institution (hepatic resection: n = 128; microwave coagulo-necrotic therapy: n = 423). We compared overall survival and recurrence-free survival between hepatic resection and microwave coagulo-necrotic therapy. Propensity score matching analysis identified 94 matched pairs of patients to compare outcomes.

RESULTS

After propensity score matching, baseline variables, including liver function and tumor size, were well-balanced between the 2 groups. The 5- and 10-year overall survival rates were 76% and 47% for hepatic resection and 77% and 48% for microwave coagulo-necrotic therapy, respectively (P = .865). The 5- and 10-year recurrence-free survival rates were 55% and 41% for hepatic resection and 47% and 32% for microwave coagulo-necrotic therapy, respectively (P = .377). In the subgroup analysis, the hepatic resection group had better recurrence-free survival than the microwave coagulo-necrotic therapy group in patients with tumor size >3 cm, with 5-year recurrence-free survival rates of 56.5% and 32.4% in the hepatic resection and microwave coagulo-necrotic therapy group, respectively (P = .029).

CONCLUSION

Our propensity score matching study confirmed no statistically significant differences in both overall survival and recurrence-free survival between hepatic resection and microwave coagulo-necrotic therapy for single hepatocellular carcinoma ≤5 cm; however, hepatic resection is recommended for hepatocellular carcinoma with tumor size >3 cm when patients have good liver function.

Transplantation versus liver resection in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common solid cancers in the world. Its treatment strategies have evolved significantly over the past few decades but the best treatment outcomes remain in the surgical arena. Especially for early HCCs, the options are abundant. However, surgical resection and liver transplantation provide the best long-term survival. In addition, there are evidence the ablative therapy such as radiofrequency ablation, could provide equivalent outcome as compared to resection. However, HCC is a unique malignancy as the majority of patients develop this cancer in the background of cirrhotic livers. As such, the treatment consideration should not only look at the oncological perspective but also the functional status of the liver parenchyma, i.e., the state of cirrhosis and presence of portal hypertension. Even with the most widely adopted staging systems for HCC such as the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging system and many other staging systems, none of them are ideal in including the various considerations for patients with HCCs. In this article, the key issues between choosing surgical resection and liver transplantation are discussed. A comprehensive review of the current surgical options are outlined in order to explore the pros and cons of each option.

A Clinical Scoring System for Predicting Microvascular Invasion in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Within the Milan Criteria

BACKGROUND

Microvascular invasion (MVI) is recognized as a risk factor for early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) within the Milan criteria after curative treatment.

METHODS

One hundred eleven consecutive patients with HCC within the Milan criteria who underwent hepatic resection were retrospectively reviewed. Independent preoperative predictors of MVI were identified, and a scoring system was developed using significant predictors.

RESULTS

MVI was identified in 51 of 111 patients (46%). Multivariate analysis identified the following independent predictors of MVI: alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) of > 95 ng/mL (odds ratio [OR], 9.87; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 2.24-56.8; P = 0.002), des-γ-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) of > 55 mAU/mL (OR, 5.50; 95% CI, 2.09-15.4; P < 0.001), tumor size of > 2.8 cm (OR, 6.10; 95% CI, 2.07-20.0; P < 0.001), and non-smooth tumor margin in the hepatobiliary phase of gadolinium-ethoxybenzyl-diethylenetriamine pentaacetic acid (Gd-EOB-DTPA)-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) (OR, 5.34; 95% CI, 1.84-16.9; P = 0.002). A clinical scoring system was developed using these four variables. Within a total possible score of 0 to 4, the prevalence of MVI with a score of 0, 1, 2, 3, and 4 was 4.5%, 24.0%, 45.5%, 91.7%, and 100%, respectively (P < 0.001). The area under the curve of the scoring system was 0.865 based on the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis of the prediction score.

CONCLUSIONS

Our clinical scoring system, consisting of AFP, DCP, tumor size, and tumor margin in Gd-EOB-DTPA-enhanced MRI, can be valuable for predicting MVI in HCC within the Milan criteria before curative treatment.

High expression of density-regulated re-initiation and release factor drives tumourigenesis and affects clinical outcome

Previously, certain experiments have suggested that density-regulated re-initiation and release factor (DENR) could serve important roles in cancer, however, to the best of our knowledge, a comprehensive analysis of DENR and its association with cancer patient survival is lacking. The aim of the current study was to investigate the expression of DENR in multiple tumour types and to evaluate the effects of DENR on survival in malignancies. Sample expression profiles were downloaded from the Gene Expression Omnibus database. Association between DENR expression and clinicopathological features was analysed by Chi-square tests. The effects of DENR on survival were evaluated by Kaplan-Meier analysis. The results of the current study demonstrate that DENR expression was upregulated in nine cancer types. High DENR expression indicated poor prognosis of patients. The results of the present study demonstrated that DENR is highly expressed in multiple tumour types and may be used as a potential prognostic marker and therapeutic target.

Prognosis of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Who Achieved Long-Term Recurrence-Free Survival After Curative Therapy: Impact of the ALBI Grade

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Some patients experience very late recurrence of HCC more than 5 years after initial therapy. We aimed to clarify the predictive factors for very late recurrence of HCC in such cases.

METHODS

Among 807 HCC patients undergoing surgical resection or ablative therapy with curative intent, the patients who survived for 5 years without any recurrence were reviewed. The prognosis and possible predictive factors for late recurrence were analyzed retrospectively.

RESULTS

A total of 184 patients survived for more than 5 years without recurrence. Among them, 61 patients experienced recurrence, at a median of 6 years after initial therapy. In univariate analysis, the pre-treatment aspartate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase, Child-Pugh class, and ALBI grade were not related to recurrence, but those at 5 years after treatment were significantly related to recurrence. By multivariate analysis, an ALBI grade of 2-3 at 5 years was an independent risk factor for recurrence (P < 0.0001). Moreover, variation of the ALBI grade over the 5 years after the initial treatment was significantly related to recurrence-free survival.

CONCLUSIONS

The ALBI grade is an effective index of the variation in liver function after curative therapy and may be a useful prognostic factor for the long-term recurrence-free survival of HCC patients.