Laboratory markers of severity across three COVID-19 outbreaks in Australia: has Omicron and vaccinations changed disease presentation?

Sulfated Bile Acids in Serum as Potential Biomarkers of Disease Severity and Mortality in COVID-19

The fight against coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) continues. Since the pandemic's onset, several biomarkers have been proposed to assess the diagnosis and prognosis of this disease. This research aimed to identify potential disease severity biomarkers in serum samples of patients with COVID-19 during the disease course. Data were collected using untargeted and targeted mass spectrometry methods. The results were interpreted by performing univariate and multivariate analyses. Important metabolite classes were identified by qualitative untargeted metabolomics in 15 serum samples from survivors of COVID-19. Quantitative targeted metabolomics on a larger patient cohort including 15 non-survivors confirmed serum 3-sulfate bile acids (i.e. GLCA-3S) were significantly increased in non-survivors compared to survivors during the early disease stage (p-value < 0.0001). Notably, it was associated with a higher risk of mortality (odds ratio of 26). A principal component analysis showed the ability to discriminate between survivors and non-survivors using the BA concentrations. Furthermore, increased BA-S is highly correlated with known parameters altered in severe clinical conditions.

Immune and inflammation features of severe and critical Omicron infected patients during Omicron wave in China

OBJECTIVE

The current study aimed to investigate the baseline immune and inflammatory features and in-hospital outcomes of patients infected with the Omicron variant (PIWO) who presented with different disease severities during the first wave of mass Omicron infections in the Chinese population has occurred.

METHOD

A cross-sectional study was conducted on 140 hospitalized PIWO between December 11, 2022, and February 16, 2023. The clinical features, antibodies against SARS-CoV-2, immune cells, and inflammatory cytokines among mildly, severely, and critically ill PIWO at baseline and during follow-up period were compared.

RESULT

Patients with severe (n = 49) and critical (n = 35) disease were primarily male, needed invasive mechanical ventilation treatment, and exhibited higher mortality than those with mild disease (n = 56). During acute infection, SARS-CoV-2-specific antibody levels fluctuated with disease severity, serum antibodies increased and the incidence of severe cases decreased in critically ill PIWO over time. Antibody titers in severe or critical PIWO with no antibody responses at baseline did not increase significantly over time. Meanwhile, CD4+T cell, CD8+T cell, and natural killer cell counts were negatively correlated with disease severity, whereas interleukin (IL)-6 and IL-10 levels were positively correlated. In addition, combined diabetes, immunosuppressive therapy before infection, serum amyloid A, IL-10 and neutrophil counts were independently associated with severe and critical illness in PIWO. Among the 11 nonsurvivors, 8, 2, 1 died of respiratory failure, sudden cardiac death, and renal failure, respectively. Compared with survivors, nonsurvivors exhibited lower seropositivity of SARS-CoV-2-specific antibody, reduced CD3+T and CD4+T cell counts, and higher IL-2R, IL-6, IL-8, and IL-10 levels. Of note, lactate dehydrogenase was a significant risk factor of death in severe or critically ill PIWO.

CONCLUSION

This present study assessed the dynamic changes of SARS-CoV-2-specific antibodies, immune cells and inflammatory indexes between severely and critically ill PIWO. Critical and dead PIWO featured compromised humoral immune response and excessive inflammation, which broadened the understanding of the pathophysiology of Omicron infection and provides warning markers for severe disease and poor prognosis.

Effect of vaccination on COVID-19 mortality during omicron wave among highly marginalized mexican population

Background

Social determinants have played a role in COVID-19 outcomes and vaccination has improved these and impacted on inflammatory response, we therefore sought to investigate the association between vaccination and inflammatory response with COVID-19 mortality in a Mexican population with high marginalization during the Omicron wave.

Methods

Prospective, longitudinal, single-center study in a setting of high marginalization conducted during the Omicron wave, from January to November 2022. Clinical and laboratory data were collected during admission and patients were followed until discharge or death. Patients were grouped according to outcome (survival and non-survival), and by complete (2 or more doses) and incomplete vaccination status for comparison.

Results

118 patients were included, 54% (64/118) male, with a median age 63 years and 86% (102/118) with self-reported comorbidities. Mortality was 42%. 58% (68/118) had complete vaccination. There was a 64% risk reduction for all-cause in-hospital mortality of having complete vaccination, hazard ratio 0.36, (95% CI 0.18-0.71, p = 0.004) in the proportional hazards Cox regression test. Survivor group arrived earlier to medical care and had higher SpO2 on admission, and for inflammatory response, had lower levels of Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, C-reactive protein, and D-dimer at admission. In the longitudinal measurement, only D-dimer showed significant differences between groups according to survival.

Conclusion

In a highly marginalized Mexican population, complete vaccination has a protective effect against COVID-19 all-cause in-hospital mortality compared with incomplete or no vaccination. However, mortality in this population during the Omicron wave is high. Socio-economic inequalities may play an important role in COVID-19 outcomes.

COVID-19 mortality prediction in Hungarian ICU settings implementing random forest algorithm

The emergence of newer SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern (VOCs) profoundly changed the ICU demography; this shift in the virus's genotype and its correlation to lethality in the ICUs is still not fully investigated. We aimed to survey ICU patients' clinical and laboratory parameters in correlation with SARS-CoV-2 variant genotypes to lethality. 503 COVID-19 ICU patients were included in our study beginning in January 2021 through November 2022 in Hungary. Furthermore, we implemented random forest (RF) as a potential predictor regarding SARS-CoV-2 lethality among 649 ICU patients in two ICU centers. Survival analysis and comparison of hypertension (HT), diabetes mellitus (DM), and vaccination effects were conducted. Logistic regression identified DM as a significant mortality risk factor (OR: 1.55, 95% CI 1.06-2.29, p = 0.025), while HT showed marginal significance. Additionally, vaccination demonstrated protection against mortality (p = 0.028). RF detected lethality with 81.42% accuracy (95% CI 73.01-88.11%, [AUC]: 91.6%), key predictors being PaO2/FiO2 ratio, lymphocyte count, and chest Computed Tomography Severity Score (CTSS). Although a smaller number of patients require ICU treatment among Omicron cases, the likelihood of survival has not proportionately increased for those who are admitted to the ICU. In conclusion, our RF model supports more effective clinical decision-making among ICU COVID-19 patients.

Updated Bivalent COVID-19 Vaccines Reduce Risk of Hospitalization and Severe Outcomes in Adults: An Observational Cohort Study

Background

This study evaluates the real-world effectiveness of updated bivalent coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccines in adults, as the virus evolves and the need for new vaccinations increases.

Methods

In this observational, retrospective, multi-center, cohort analysis, we examined emergency care encounters with COVID-19 in metro Detroit, Michigan, from January 1, 2022, to March 9, 2023. Patients were categorized by vaccination status: unvaccinated, fully vaccinated, fully vaccinated and boosted (FV&B), or fully vaccinated and bivalent boosted (FV&BB). The primary outcome was to assess the impact of bivalent COVID-19 vaccinations on the risk of composite severe outcomes (intensive care unit (ICU) admission, mechanical ventilation, or death) among patients presenting to a hospital with a primary diagnosis of COVID-19.

Results

A total of 21,439 encounters met inclusion criteria: 9,630 (44.9%) unvaccinated, 9,223 (43.0%) vaccinated, 2,180 (10.2%) FV&B, and 406 (1.9%) FV&BB. The average age was 48.8, with 59.6% female; 61.1% were White, 32.8% Black, and 6.0% other races. Severe disease affected 5.5% overall: 5.0% unvaccinated, 5.7% vaccinated, 7.0% FV&B, and 4.7% FV&BB (P = 0.001). Severe disease rates among admitted patients were 13.3% unvaccinated, 11.9% vaccinated, 12.2% boosted, and 8.1% FV&BB (P = 0.052). The FV&BB group showed a 4.0% (P = 0.0369) lower risk of severe disease compared to FV&B and a 5.1% (P = 0.0203) lower probability of hospitalization.

Conclusions

As the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) continues to mutate and evolve, updated vaccines are necessary to better combat COVID-19. In a real-world hospital-based population, this investigation demonstrates the incremental benefit of the bivalent booster vaccine in reducing the risk of hospitalization and severe outcomes in those diagnosed with COVID-19 compared to all other forms of vaccination.

Relationship between serum lactate dehydrogenase levels and prognosis in patients infected with omicron and delta variants of COVID-19: A cross-sectional study

Determining the prognosis of COVID-19 is crucial for understanding disease trends and developing effective treatment strategies, particularly for severe cases. However, there is currently insufficient evidence regarding the role of lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) in COVID-19 and its prognostic implications. This retrospective cross-sectional study analyzed data from all patients hospitalized at Urmia Imam Khomeini Hospital between September 2021 and March 2023 with a diagnosis of COVID-19 involving the Delta and Omicron variants. Patient information, including age, sex, duration of hospitalization, admission to the intensive care unit (ICU), strain type, and outcomes, was extracted. Exclusion criteria encompassed myocardial infarction, lung, liver, blood, skeletal muscle diseases, injury, neoplasm, pancreatitis, pregnancy, poisoning, unwillingness to participate in the study, and the use of ascorbic acid. A total of 609 patients with an average age of 54.80 years were included in this study. Among these patients, 56.3% were female, and the mortality rate was 20.7%. The serum LDH levels were significantly higher in patients who succumbed to the disease (P < 0.001), those requiring ICU admission (P < 0.001), and female patients (P = 0.02) compared to other groups. Furthermore, the LDH serum levels exhibited a strong significant correlation with the duration of hospitalization (r = -0.11, P = 0.007). The results revealed that there is a difference in the mean serum LDH levels between deceased patients and discharged patients (P < 0.001). The findings indicate that elevated serum LDH levels are associated with increased mortality, prolonged hospitalization, ICU admission, and infection with the Delta variant of COVID-19.

Effects of inflammation on thrombosis and outcomes in COVID-19: secondary analysis of the ATTACC/ACTIV-4a trial

Background

Patients hospitalized for COVID-19 are at high risk of thrombotic complications and organ failure, and often exhibit severe inflammation, which may contribute to hypercoagulability.

Objectives

To determine whether patients hospitalized for COVID-19 experience differing frequencies of thrombotic and organ failure complications and derive variable benefits from therapeutic-dose heparin dependent on the extent of systemic inflammation and whether observed benefit from therapeutic-dose anticoagulation varies depending on the degree of systemic inflammation.

Methods

We analyzed data from 1346 patients hospitalized for COVID-19 enrolled in the ATTACC and ACTIV-4a platforms who were randomized to therapeutic-dose heparin or usual care for whom levels of C-reactive protein (CRP) were reported at baseline.

Results

Increased CRP was associated with worse patient outcomes, including a >98% posterior probability of increased organ support requirement, hospital length of stay, risk of 28-day mortality, and incidence of major thrombotic events or death (patients with CRP 40-100 mg/L or ≥100 mg/L compared to patients with CRP <40 mg/L). Patients with CRP 40 to 100 mg/L experienced the greatest degree of benefit from treatment with therapeutic doses of unfractionated or low molecular weight heparin compared with usual-care prophylactic doses. This was most significant for an increase in organ support-free days (odds ratio: 1.63; 95% confidence interval, 1.09-2.40; 97.9% posterior probability of beneficial effect), with trends toward benefit for other evaluated outcomes.

Conclusion

Moderately ill patients hospitalized for COVID-19 with CRP between 40 mg/L and 100 mg/L derived the greatest benefit from treatment with therapeutic-dose heparin.

Venous thromboembolism in an Asian COVID-19 cohort across 3 infection waves-a retrospective observational study

BACKGROUND

A high incidence of venous thromboembolism (VTE) in COVID-19 has led to international recommendations for thromboprophylaxis. With limited data on Asian patients with COVID-19, the role of thromboprophylaxis remains unclear.

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the in-hospital incidence of VTE in an Asian COVID-19 cohort, describe the VTE trend through successive COVID-19 waves (wild-type, delta, and omicron), and characterize the risk factors for VTE.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective observational cohort study of hospitalized COVID-19 adults from January 2020 to February 2022. Objectively confirmed VTE were reviewed to obtain VTE incidence and trend. Subset analysis of critical (intensive care), moderate (oxygen supplementation), and mild cases hospitalized ≥5 days was performed to investigate risk factors and in-hospital hazards of VTE.

RESULTS

Sixteen VTE events occurred among 3574 patients. Overall, VTE incidence was 0.45%, or 0.21% in mild, 3.60% in moderate, and 5.38% in critical infection. The maximum cumulative risk of VTE was 1.14% at 14 days for mild, 8.13% at 21 days for moderate, and 11.55% at 35 days for critical infection. Thromboprophylaxis use in mild, moderate, and critical cases was 5.7%, 28.8%, and 81.7%, respectively. In multivariable analysis, the severity of infection remained the strongest independent predictor of VTE. Compared with mild infection, the relative risk was 8.26 (95% CI, 2.26-30.16) for critical infection and 6.29 (95% CI, 1.54-25.67) for moderate infection.

CONCLUSION

Overall, VTE incidence in Asian patients with COVID-19 is <1% across successive waves. Patients with moderate and critical infections are at greater risk for VTE and should be considered for routine thromboprophylaxis.

Variant-Related Differences in Laboratory Biomarkers among Patients Affected with Alpha, Delta and Omicron: A Retrospective Whole Viral Genome Sequencing and Hospital-Setting Cohort Study

During the COVID-19 pandemic, different SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern (VOC) with specific characteristics have emerged and spread worldwide. At the same time, clinicians routinely evaluate the results of certain blood tests upon patient admission as well as during hospitalization to assess disease severity and the overall patient status. In the present study, we searched for significant cell blood count and biomarker differences among patients affected with the Alpha, Delta and Omicron VOCs at admission. Data from 330 patients were retrieved regarding age, gender, VOC, cell blood count results (WBC, Neut%, Lymph%, Ig%, PLT), common biomarkers (D-dimers, urea, creatinine, SGOT, SGPT, CRP, IL-6, suPAR), ICU admission and death. Statistical analyses were performed using ANOVA, the Kruskal-Wallis test, two-way ANOVA, Chi-square, T-test, the Mann-Whitney test and logistic regression was performed where appropriate using SPSS v.28 and STATA 14. Age and VOC were significantly associated with hospitalization, whereas significant differences among VOC groups were found for WBC, PLT, Neut%, IL-6, creatinine, CRP, D-dimers and suPAR. Our analyses showed that throughout the current pandemic, not only the SARS-CoV-2 VOCs but also the laboratory parameters that are used to evaluate the patient's status at admission are subject to changes.

Blood Biomarkers from the Emergency Department Disclose Severe Omicron COVID-19-Associated Outcomes

Background: Since its outbreak, Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), a life-threatening respiratory illness, has rapidly become a public health emergency with a devastating social impact. Lately, the Omicron strain is considered the main variant of concern. Routine blood biomarkers are, indeed, essential for stratifying patients at risk of severe outcomes, and a huge amount of data is available in the literature, mainly for the previous variants. However, only a few studies are available on early routine biochemical blood biomarkers for Omicron-afflicted patients. Thus, the aim and novelty of this study were to identify routine blood biomarkers detected at the emergency room for the early prediction of severe morbidity and/or mortality. Methods: 449 COVID-19 patients from Sapienza University Hospital of Rome were divided into four groups: (1) the emergency group (patients with mild forms who were quickly discharged); (2) the hospital ward group (patients that after the admission in the emergency department were hospitalized in a COVID-19 ward); (3) the intensive care unit (ICU) group (patients that after the admission in the emergency department required intensive assistance); (4) the deceased group (patients that after the admission in the emergency department had a fatal outcome). Results: ANOVA and ROC data showed that high-sensitivity troponin-T (TnT), fibrinogen, glycemia, C-reactive protein, lactate dehydrogenase, albumin, D-dimer myoglobin, and ferritin for both men and women may predict lethal outcomes already at the level of the emergency department. Conclusions: Compared to previous Delta COVID-19 parallel emergency patterns of prediction, Omicron-induced changes in TnT may be considered other early predictors of severe outcomes.

How Protective are Antibodies to SARS-CoV-2, the Main Weapon of the B-Cell Response?

Since the beginning of the Coronavirus disease (COVID)-19 pandemic in December 2019, the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has been responsible for more than 600 million infections and 6.5 million deaths worldwide. Given the persistence of SARS-CoV-2 and its ability to develop new variants, the implementation of an effective and long-term herd immunity appears to be crucial to overcome the pandemic. While a vast field of research has focused on the role of humoral immunity against SARS-CoV-2, a growing body of evidence suggest that antibodies alone only confer a partial protection against infection of reinfection which could be of high importance regarding the strategic development goals (SDG) of the United Nations (UN) and in particular UN SDG3 that aims towards the realization of good health and well being on a global scale in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic.In this review, we highlight the role of humoral immunity in the host defense against SARS-CoV-2, with a focus on highly neutralizing antibodies. We summarize the results of the main clinical trials leading to an overall disappointing efficacy of convalescent plasma therapy, variable results of monoclonal neutralizing antibodies in patients with COVID-19 but outstanding results for the mRNA based vaccines against SARS-CoV-2. Finally, we advocate that beyond antibody responses, the development of a robust cellular immunity against SARS-CoV-2 after infection or vaccination is of utmost importance for promoting immune memory and limiting disease severity, especially in case of (re)-infection by variant viruses.

Impaired Fibrinolytic Potential Predicts Oxygen Requirement in COVID-19

Abnormal coagulation and fibrinolysis contributes to the respiratory distress syndrome in COVID-19. We aimed to explore the association of impaired fibrinolytic potential with disease severity and oxygen requirement in hospitalized patients. Adults admitted to hospital with confirmed COVID-19 infection between 1–31 January 2022 were included, corresponding to the first Omicron outbreak in Melbourne, Victoria. The first citrated plasma sample requested within 24 h of the patient’s presentation was obtained and analyzed by the overall hemostatic potential (OHP) assay, a spectrophotometric assay in which fibrin formation (triggered by small amounts of thrombin (OCP)) and fibrinolysis (by the addition of thrombin and tissue plasminogen activator (OHP and OFP%)) were simultaneously measured. There were 266 patients (median 72 years, 52.9% male), of which 49.6% did not require oxygen therapy. COVID-19 severity and requirement for oxygen was significantly associated with higher OCP, OHP, and lower OFP%. Vaccinated individuals compared with non-vaccinated individuals had significantly lower OHP (16.5 vs. 23.1, p = 0.015) and higher OFP (72.0% vs. 65.1%, p = 0.005), as well as significantly lower AST, ferritin, LDH, CRP, and D-dimer. A multivariate model containing OHP was constructed with the outcome of oxygen requirement, with c-statistic of 0.85 (95%CI 0.81–0.90). In this pilot study, we show a significant correlation between OHP results and requirement for oxygen supplementation in hospitalized patients during a period dominated by the Omicron variant. The results were incorporated into a multivariate model that predicted for oxygen requirement, with high discriminative ability.