Evolution of Coronary Calcium Screening for Assessment of Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk and Role in Preventive Cardiology

Long-term all-cause death prediction by coronary, aortic, and valvular calcification in patients with acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction

BACKGROUND

To determine the prognostic value of cumulative calcification score of coronary artery calcification (CAC), thoracic aortic calcification (TAC) and aortic valve calcification (AVC) in acute ST segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients.

METHODS

This was a retrospective, single-center cohort study. A total of 332 STEMI patients who received primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PPCI) were enrolled in this study between January 2010 to October 2018. We assessed the calcification in the left anterior descending branch (LAD), left circumflex branch (LCX), right coronary artery (RCA), thoracic aorta, and aortic valve. Calcification of each part was counted as 1 point, and the cumulative calcification score was calculated as the sum of all points. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were used to determine association of cumulative calcification score with end points. The performance of the score was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and absolute net reclassification improvement (NRI), compared with the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) risk score.

RESULTS

The overall population's calcification score was 2.0 ± 1.6. During a mean follow-up time of 69.8 ± 29.3 months, the all-cause mortality rate was 12.1%. Kaplan-Meier curve showed that the score was significantly associated with mortality (log-rank p < 0.001). The multivariable Cox proportional hazard analyses showed that a calcification score of 4-5 was independently associated with all-cause death in STEMI patients [hazard ratio (HR) = 2.32, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.01-5.31, p = 0.046]. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the calcification score was 0.67 (95% CI: 0.61-0.72), and the AUC of the GRACE score was 0.80 (95% CI: 0.75-0.84). There was no statistical difference in the predictive value between both scores for 3-year mortality in STEMI patients after PPCI (p = 0.06). Based on the NRI analysis, the calcification score showed better risk classification compared with the GRACE score (absolute NRI = 6.63%, P = 0.027).

CONCLUSION

The cumulative calcification score is independently associated with the long-term prognosis of STEMI patients after PPCI.

Utility of coronary artery calcium in refining 10-year ASCVD risk prediction using a Thai CV risk score

Background

Coronary artery calcium (CAC) scanning is a valuable additional tool for calculating the risk of cardiovascular (CV) events. We aimed to determine if a CAC score could improve performance of a Thai CV risk score in prediction of 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk for asymptomatic patients with CV risk factors.

Methods

This was a retrospective cohort study that enrolled asymptomatic patients with CV risk factors who underwent CAC scans between 2005 and 2013. The patients were classified as low-, intermediate-, or high-risk (<10%, 10%-<20%, and ≥20%, respectively) of having ASCVD within 10-years based on a Thai CV risk score. In each patient, CAC score was considered as a categorical variable (0, 1-99, and ≥100) and natural-log variable to assess the risk of developing CV events (CV death, non-fatal MI, or non-fatal stroke). The C statistic and the net reclassification improvement (NRI) index were applied to assess whether CAC improved ASCVD risk prediction.

Results

A total of 6,964 patients were analyzed (mean age: 59.0 ± 8.4 years; 63.3% women). The majority of patients were classified as low- or intermediate-risk (75.3% and 20.5%, respectively), whereas only 4.2% were classified as high-risk. Nearly half (49.7%) of patients had a CAC score of zero (no calcifications detected), while 32.0% had scores of 1-99, and 18.3% of ≥100. In the low- and intermediate-risk groups, patients with a CAC ≥100 experienced higher rates of CV events, with hazard ratios (95% CI) of 1.95 (1.35, 2.81) and 3.04 (2.26, 4.10), respectively. Incorporation of ln(CAC + 1) into their Thai CV risk scores improved the C statistic from 0.703 (0.68, 0.72) to 0.716 (0.69, 0.74), and resulted in an NRI index of 0.06 (0.02, 0.10). To enhance the performance of the Thai CV risk score, a revision of the CV risk model was performed, incorporating ln(CAC + 1), which further increased the C statistic to 0.771 (0.755, 0.788).

Conclusion

The addition of CAC to traditional risk factors improved CV risk stratification and ASCVD prediction. Whether this adjustment leads to a reduction in CV events and is cost-effective will require further assessment.

Childhood Screening for Familial Hypercholesterolemia: JACC Review Topic of the Week

Screening for familial hypercholesterolemia (FH) in childhood remains controversial. Existing guidelines offer practitioners conflicting advice despite generally agreeing on the evidence and areas in which evidence is lacking, including a lack of long-term clinical trials demonstrating coronary event reduction as a result of screening and long-term data on statin side effects. A limitation of existing evidence-based frameworks is reliance on 1 evidence grading system to determine recommendations. However, rigorous evidence evaluation alternatives relevant to FH exist. FH is considered a tier 1 genetic condition, meaning that identification and treatment will improve health outcomes among those affected. Elevated low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, the primary consequence of FH, can be considered causal for atherosclerosis and coronary heart disease. Incorporating these concepts into existing evidence pathways allows the inclusion of surrogate clinical trial outcomes (low-density lipoprotein cholesterol reduction and atherosclerosis regression) and observational data on medication safety, strengthening the evidence for pediatric screening for FH.

Environmental pollutant pre- and polyfluoroalkyl substances are associated with electrocardiogram parameters disorder in adults

Environmental pollutants exposure might disrupt cardiac function, but evidence about the associations of per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFASs) exposure and cardiac conduction system remains sparse. To explore the associations between serum PFASs exposure and electrocardiogram (ECG) parameters changes in adults, we recruited 1229 participants (mean age: 55.1 years) from communities of Guangzhou, China. 13 serum PFASs with detection rate > 85% were analyzed finally. We selected 6 ECG parameters [heart rate (HR), PR interval, QRS duration, Bazett heart rate-corrected QT interval (QTc), QRS electric axis and RV5 + SV1 voltage] as outcomes. Generalized linear models (GLMs) and Bayesian kernel machine regression (BKMR) model were conducted to explore the associations of individual and joint PFASs exposure and ECG parameters changes, respectively. We detected significant associations of PFASs exposure with decreased HR, QRS duration, but with increased PR interval. For example, at the 95th percentile of 6:2 Cl-PFESA, HR and QRS duration were - 6.98 [95% confidence interval (CI): - 9.07, - 4.90] and - 6.54(95% CI: -9.05, -4.03) lower, but PR interval was 7.35 (95% CI: 3.52, 11.17) longer than those at the 25th percentile. Similarly, significant joint associations were observed in HR, PR interval and QRS duration when analyzed by BKMR model.

Assessment of Normal Systolic Blood Pressure Maintenance with the Risk of Coronary Artery Calcification Progression in Asymptomatic Metabolically Healthy Korean Adults with Normal Weight, Overweight, and Obesity

Metabolically healthy obesity (MHO) is known to have a close association with subclinical coronary atherosclerosis. Despite recent data on the benefit of intensive systolic blood pressure (SBP) control in diverse clinical conditions, little is known regarding the association of normal SBP maintenance (SBP_maintain) with coronary artery calcification (CAC) progression in MHO. This study included 2724 asymptomatic adults (48.8 ± 7.8 years; 77.9% men) who had no metabolic abnormalities except overweight and obesity. Participants with normal weight (44.2%), overweight (31.6%), and obesity (24.2%) were divided into two groups: normal SBP_maintain (follow-up SBP < 120 mm Hg) and ≥elevated SBP_maintain (follow-up SBP ≥ 120 mm Hg). CAC progression was defined using the SQRT method, a difference of ≥2.5 between the square root (√) of the baseline and follow-up coronary artery calcium score. During a mean follow-up of 3.4 years, the proportion of normal SBP_maintain (76.2%, 65.2%, and 59.1%) and the incidence of CAC progression (15.0%, 21.3%, and 23.5%) was different in participants with normal weight, overweight, and obesity (all p < 0.05, respectively). The incidence of CAC progression was lower in the normal SBP_maintain group than in the ≥elevated SBP_maintain group in only participants with obesity (20.8% vs. 27.4%, p = 0.048). In multiple logistic models, compared to participants with normal weight, those with obesity had a higher risk of CAC progression. Normal SBP_maintain was independently associated with the decreased risk of CAC progression in participants with obesity. MHO had a significant association with CAC progression. Normal SBP_maintain reduced the risk of CAC progression in asymptomatic adults with MHO.