Gartner DR, Kaestner R, Margerison CE. Impacts of the Affordable Care Act's Medicaid Expansion on Live Births.
Epidemiology 2022;
33:406-414. [PMID:
35067567 PMCID:
PMC9040191 DOI:
10.1097/ede.0000000000001462]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/27/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND
We hypothesize that the Affordable Care Act's (ACA) Medicaid expansion, which extended health insurance coverage to preconception, between-conception, and postconception periods for women meeting income eligibility guidelines, impacted the number of live births in the United States by increasing access to contraception and financial well-being. These impacts may differ by maternal socioeconomic and demographic characteristics.
METHODS
Using data from birth certificates aggregated to the state-year level and a difference-in-differences design, we estimated the association between Medicaid expansion and count of live births. We also examined whether associations differed by socioeconomic and demographic characteristics.
RESULTS
Overall, Medicaid expansion was not meaningfully associated with the count of births (difference-in-differences ß = 0.002; 95% confidence interval [CI] = -0.010, 0.015). However, among certain groups, Medicaid expansion was associated with meaningful changes in the count of live births, though all confidence intervals included the null value. The estimate of the relation between Medicaid expansion and the count of live births was -0.025 (95% CI = -0.052, 0.001) for those ages 18-24 years; -0.078 (95% CI = -0.231, 0.075) for those who were married, and -0.035 (95% CI = -0.104, 0.034) for those who were unmarried.
CONCLUSIONS
Despite its potential to impact live births, our results indicate that the ACA's Medicaid expansion was not, in general, associated with live births of US residents of reproductive age. However, for younger, married, and unmarried women, the magnitude of estimates supports the hypothesis of a potentially meaningful effect of Medicaid expansions on live births.
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