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Carr S, Bryazka D, McLaughlin SA, Zheng P, Bahadursingh S, Aravkin AY, Hay SI, Lawlor HR, Mullany EC, Murray CJL, Nicholson SI, Rehm J, Roth GA, Sorensen RJD, Lewington S, Gakidou E. A burden of proof study on alcohol consumption and ischemic heart disease. Nat Commun 2024; 15:4082. [PMID: 38744810 PMCID: PMC11094064 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-47632-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/14/2023] [Accepted: 04/08/2024] [Indexed: 05/16/2024] Open
Abstract
Cohort and case-control data have suggested an association between low to moderate alcohol consumption and decreased risk of ischemic heart disease (IHD), yet results from Mendelian randomization (MR) studies designed to reduce bias have shown either no or a harmful association. Here we conducted an updated systematic review and re-evaluated existing cohort, case-control, and MR data using the burden of proof meta-analytical framework. Cohort and case-control data show low to moderate alcohol consumption is associated with decreased IHD risk - specifically, intake is inversely related to IHD and myocardial infarction morbidity in both sexes and IHD mortality in males - while pooled MR data show no association, confirming that self-reported versus genetically predicted alcohol use data yield conflicting findings about the alcohol-IHD relationship. Our results highlight the need to advance MR methodologies and emulate randomized trials using large observational databases to obtain more definitive answers to this critical public health question.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sinclair Carr
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
| | - Dana Bryazka
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Susan A McLaughlin
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Peng Zheng
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
- Department of Health Metrics Sciences, School of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Sarasvati Bahadursingh
- Clinical Trial Service Unit & Epidemiological Studies Unit, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, Oxfordshire, UK
| | - Aleksandr Y Aravkin
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
- Department of Health Metrics Sciences, School of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
- Department of Applied Mathematics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Simon I Hay
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
- Department of Health Metrics Sciences, School of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Hilary R Lawlor
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Erin C Mullany
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Christopher J L Murray
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
- Department of Health Metrics Sciences, School of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Sneha I Nicholson
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Jürgen Rehm
- Institute for Mental Health Policy Research, Centre for Addiction and Mental Health, Toronto, ON, Canada
- Campbell Family Mental Health Research Institute, Centre for Addiction and Mental Health, Toronto, ON, Canada
- Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
- Faculty of Medicine, Institute of Medical Science (IMS), University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
- World Health Organization / Pan American Health Organization Collaborating Centre, Centre for Addiction and Mental Health, Toronto, ON, Canada
- Center for Interdisciplinary Addiction Research (ZIS), Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf (UKE), Hamburg, Germany
- Institute of Clinical Psychology and Psychotherapy, Technische Universität Dresden, Dresden, Germany
| | - Gregory A Roth
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
- Department of Health Metrics Sciences, School of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Reed J D Sorensen
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Sarah Lewington
- Clinical Trial Service Unit & Epidemiological Studies Unit, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, Oxfordshire, UK
| | - Emmanuela Gakidou
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
- Department of Health Metrics Sciences, School of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
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Zhang XY, Shu L, Si CJ, Yu XL, Liao D, Gao W, Zhang L, Zheng PF. Dietary Patterns, Alcohol Consumption and Risk of Coronary Heart Disease in Adults: A Meta-Analysis. Nutrients 2015; 7:6582-605. [PMID: 26262641 PMCID: PMC4555139 DOI: 10.3390/nu7085300] [Citation(s) in RCA: 36] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/27/2015] [Revised: 07/22/2015] [Accepted: 07/24/2015] [Indexed: 12/14/2022] Open
Abstract
Previous studies reported the potential associations between dietary patterns and the risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) in adulthood, however a consistent perspective has not been established to date. Herein, we carried out this meta-analysis to evaluate the associations between dietary patterns and the risk of CHD. MEDLINE and EBSCO were searched for relevant articles published up to April 2015. A total of 35 articles (reporting 37 original studies) met the inclusion criteria and were included in the present meta-analysis. The decreased risk of CHD was shown for the highest compared with the lowest categories of healthy/prudent dietary patterns (odds ratio (OR) = 0.67; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.60, 0.75; p < 0.00001) and alcohol consumption (OR = 0.68; 95% CI: 0.59, 0.78; p < 0.00001). There was evidence of an increased risk of CHD in the highest compared with the lowest categories of the unhealthy/Western-type dietary patterns (OR = 1.45; 95% CI: 1.05, 2.01; p = 0.02). The results of this meta-analysis indicate that different dietary patterns may be associated with the risk of CHD.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiao-Yan Zhang
- Department of Nutrition, Zhejiang Hospital, Hangzhou 310013, China.
| | - Long Shu
- Department of Nutrition, Zhejiang Hospital, Hangzhou 310013, China.
| | - Cai-Juan Si
- Department of Nutrition, Zhejiang Hospital, Hangzhou 310013, China.
| | - Xiao-Long Yu
- Department of Nutrition, Zhejiang Hospital, Hangzhou 310013, China.
| | - Dan Liao
- Department of Nutrition, Zhejiang Hospital, Hangzhou 310013, China.
| | - Wei Gao
- Department of Nutrition, Zhejiang Hospital, Hangzhou 310013, China.
| | - Lun Zhang
- Department of Nutrition, Zhejiang Hospital, Hangzhou 310013, China.
| | - Pei-Fen Zheng
- Department of Nutrition, Zhejiang Hospital, Hangzhou 310013, China.
- Department of Digestion, Zhejiang Hospital, Hangzhou 310013, China.
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Roerecke M, Rehm J. The cardioprotective association of average alcohol consumption and ischaemic heart disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Addiction 2012; 107:1246-60. [PMID: 22229788 PMCID: PMC3348338 DOI: 10.1111/j.1360-0443.2012.03780.x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 151] [Impact Index Per Article: 12.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
Abstract
AIMS Most, but not all, epidemiological studies suggest a cardioprotective association for low to moderate average alcohol consumption. The objective was to quantify the dose-response relationship between average alcohol consumption and ischaemic heart disease (IHD) stratified by sex and IHD end-point (mortality versus morbidity). METHODS A systematic search of published studies using electronic databases (1980-2010) identified 44 observational studies (case-control or cohort) reporting a relative risk measure for average alcohol intake in relation to IHD risk. Generalized least-squares trend models were used to derive the best-fitting dose-response curves in stratified continuous meta-analyses. Categorical meta-analyses were used to verify uncertainty for low to moderate levels of consumption in comparison to long-term abstainers. RESULTS The analyses used 38,627 IHD events (mortality or morbidity) among 957,684 participants. Differential risk curves were found by sex and end-point. Although some form of a cardioprotective association was confirmed in all strata, substantial heterogeneity across studies remained unexplained and confidence intervals were relatively wide, in particular for average consumption of one to two drinks/day. CONCLUSIONS A cardioprotective association between alcohol use and ischaemic heart disease cannot be assumed for all drinkers, even at low levels of intake. More evidence on the overall benefit-risk ratio of average alcohol consumption in relation to ischaemic heart disease and other diseases is needed in order to inform the general public or physicians about safe or low-risk drinking levels.
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Affiliation(s)
- Michael Roerecke
- Public Health and Regulatory Policies, Centre for Addiction and Mental Health, 33 Russell Street, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
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Roerecke M, Rehm J. Ischemic heart disease mortality and morbidity rates in former drinkers: a meta-analysis. Am J Epidemiol 2011; 173:245-58. [PMID: 21156750 DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwq364] [Citation(s) in RCA: 69] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/27/2022] Open
Abstract
Current abstainers from alcohol have been identified as an inadequate reference group in epidemiologic studies of the effects of alcohol, because inclusion of former drinkers might lead to overestimation of the protective effects and underestimation of the detrimental effects of drinking alcohol. The authors' objective in the current study was to quantify this association for ischemic heart disease (IHD). Electronic databases were systematically searched for relevant case-control or cohort studies published from 1980 to 2010. Thirty-eight articles fulfilled the inclusion criteria, contributing a total of 5,613 IHD events and 12,097 controls among case-control studies and 1,387 events with combined endpoints and 7,183 events stratified by endpoint among 232,621 persons at risk among cohort studies. Pooled estimates for the subset stratified by sex and endpoint showed a significantly increased risk among former drinkers compared with long-term abstainers for IHD mortality ( among men; relative risk = 1.25, 95% confidence interval: 1.15, 1.36; among women relative risk = 1.54, 95% confidence interval: 1.17, 2.03). For IHD morbidity, the estimates for both sexes were close to unity and not statistically significant. Results were robust in several sensitivity analyses. In future studies, researchers should separate former drinkers from the reference category to obtain unbiased effect estimates. Implications for the overall beneficial and detrimental effects of alcohol consumption on IHD are discussed below.
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Affiliation(s)
- Michael Roerecke
- Centre for Addiction and Mental Health, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
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Liu Y, Tanaka H, Sasazuki S, Yoshimasu K, Kodama H, Washio M, Tanaka K, Tokunaga S, Kono S, Arai H, Koyanagi S, Hiyamuta K, Doi Y, Kawano T, Nakagaki O, Takada K, Nii T, Shirai K, Ideishi M, Arakawa K, Mohri M, Takeshita A. Alcohol consumption and severity of angiographically determined coronary artery disease in Japanese men and women. Atherosclerosis 2001; 156:177-83. [PMID: 11369012 DOI: 10.1016/s0021-9150(00)00627-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/24/2022]
Abstract
The relation of alcohol consumption to the severity of coronary atherosclerosis was examined among 323 men and 220 women who underwent coronary arteriography. Severity of coronary atherosclerosis was assessed by the number of vessels obstructed > or =75% in diameter and Gensini's severity score. Alcohol consumption was divided into 5 categories in men (never, past, 1-24, 25-49, and > or =50 ml per day) and 3 categories in women (never, past, and current). Among men, odds ratios of severe stenosis (multiple-vessel disease or Gensini's score >15) decreased substantially and significantly in all current drinking categories but without dose-response effect. There was a weak, inverse association of current alcohol consumption with one-vessel disease, but not with moderate stenosis in terms of Gensini's score (< or =15). Past drinkers showed a fairly large, but statistically nonsignificant, decrease in the odds ratios of not only severe stenosis but also of moderate stenosis. Among women, current drinkers showed a small, statistically nonsignificant decrease in the risk of severe stenosis in terms of Gensini's score. These associations with alcohol use did not change after adjustment for known coronary risk factors. The present findings add to evidence that alcohol drinking confers protection against coronary atherosclerosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Y Liu
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, 3-1-1 Maidashi, Higashi-ku, Fukuoka, 812-8582, Japan.
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Miyake Y. Risk factors for non-fatal acute myocardial infarction in middle-aged and older Japanese. Fukuoka Heart Study Group. JAPANESE CIRCULATION JOURNAL 2000; 64:103-9. [PMID: 10716523 DOI: 10.1253/jcj.64.103] [Citation(s) in RCA: 29] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
Abstract
It remains uncertain whether established risk factors for coronary heart disease in middle-aged persons can be generalized to elderly persons. Based on a case-control study, risk factors for nonfatal acute myocardial infarction (AMI) were assessed separately in middle-aged (40-64 years) and older (65-79 years) Japanese. Eligible cases were patients who were admitted to 22 collaborating hospitals for the first AMI between September 1996 and January 1998. Community controls were recruited by using the resident registers of the municipalities with individual matching by gender, year of birth (within 2 years), and proximity in residence. The present study used 384 sets of 384 cases and 656 controls. Smoking, hypertension, and angina pectoris were associated with an increased risk of AMI, and alcohol use and leisure-time exercise were related to a decreased risk of AMI in the elderly as well as in middle-aged persons. There was no apparent relation between body mass index and AMI in either middle-aged or older adults. Diabetes mellitus was significantly associated with an increased risk of AMI in older persons, but not in middle-aged persons. Hypercholesterolemia was related to an increased risk of AMI in middle-aged individuals alone. The findings suggest that risk factors for AMI in the elderly are generally similar to those of middle-aged persons, but provide no evidence that hypercholesterolemia in the elderly is an important risk factor.
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Affiliation(s)
- Y Miyake
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan.
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