Roles of infrastructure and land use in bicycle crash exposure and frequency: A case study using Greater London bike sharing data

Quantifying the heterogeneity impact of risk factors on regional bicycle crash frequency: A hybrid approach of clustering and random parameter model

The existence of internal and external heterogeneity has been established by numerous studies across various fields, including transportation and safety analysis. The findings from these studies underscore the complexity of crash data and the multifaceted nature of risk factors involved in accidents. However, most studies consider the effects of unobserved heterogeneity from one perspective -- either within clusters (internal) or between clusters (external) -- and do not investigate the biases from both simultaneously on crash frequency analysis. To fill this gap, this study proposes a hybrid approach combining latent class cluster analysis with the random parameter negative binomial regression model (LCA-RPNB) to explore the association between risk factors and bicycle crash frequency. First, the bicycle crash data is categorized into three clusters using LCA based on crash features such as gender, trip purposes, weather, and light conditions. Then, the separated crash frequency models for different clusters and the overall model are developed based on RPNB using regional factors of crash locations as independent variables and the crash frequency of different clusters respectively as dependent variables. The hybrid approach enables a comprehensive examination of internal and external heterogeneities among bicycle crash frequency factors simultaneously. Results suggest that the proposed hybrid approach exhibits superior fitting and predictive performance compared to the model only considers the effects of unobserved heterogeneity from one perspective with the lower values of Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC), Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE). This approach can help policymakers and urban planners to design more effective safety interventions by understanding the distinct needs of different bicyclist clusters and the specific factors that contribute to crash risk in each group.

Cycling safely: Examining the factors associated with bicycle accidents in Seoul, South Korea

This study investigates the factors contributing to bicycle accidents, focusing on four types of bicycle lanes and other exposure and built environment characteristics of census blocks. Using Seoul as a case study, three years of bicycle accident spot data from 2018 to 2020 was collected, resulting in 1,330 bicycle accident spots and a total of 2,072 accidents. The geographically weighted Poisson regression (GWPR) model was used as a methodological approach to investigate the spatially varying relationships between the accident frequency and explanatory variables across the space, as opposed to the Poisson regression model. The results indicated that the GWPR model outperforms the global Poisson regression model in capturing unobserved spatial heterogeneity. For example, the value of deviance that determines the goodness of fit for a model was 0.244 for the Poisson regression model and 0.500 for the far better-fitting GWPR model. Further findings revealed that the factors affecting bicycle accidents have varying impacts depending on the location and distribution of accidents. For example, despite the presence of bicycle lanes, some census blocks, particularly in the northeast part of the city, still pose a risk for bicycle accidents. These findings can provide valuable insights for urban planners and policymakers in developing bicycle safety measures and regulations.

Investigating built environment and traffic flow impact on crash frequency in urban road networks

While numerous studies have examined the factors that influence crash occurrence, there remains a gap in understanding the intricate relationship between built environment, traffic flow, and crash occurrences across different spatial units. This study explores how built environment attributes, and dynamic traffic flow characteristics affect crash frequency by focusing on proposed traffic density-based zones (TDZs). Utilizing a comprehensive dataset from Greater Melbourne, Australia, this research emphasizes on the dynamic traffic flow variables and insights from the Macroscopic Fundamental Diagram model, considering parameters such as shockwave velocity and congestion index. The association between the potential influencing factors and crash frequency is examined using a random parameter negative binomial regression model. Results indicate that the data segmentation based on TDZs is instrumental in establishing a more refined crash model compared to traditional planning-based zones, as demonstrated by improved goodness-of-fit measures. Factors including density (e.g., employment density), network design (e.g., road density and highway density), land use diversity (e.g., job-housing balance and land use mixture), and public transit accessibility (e.g., bus route density) are significantly associated with crash occurrence. Furthermore, the unobserved heterogeneity effects of the shockwave velocity and congestion index on crashes are revealed. The study highlights the significance of incorporating dynamic traffic flow variables in understanding crash frequency variations across different spatial units. These findings can inform optimal real-time traffic monitoring, environmental design, and road safety management strategies to mitigate crash risks.

Integrating visual factors in crash rate analysis at Intersections: An AutoML and SHAP approach towards cycling safety

Cycling crashes constitute a significant and rising share of traffic accidents. Consequently, exploring factors affecting cycling safety has become a priority for both governmental bodies and scholars. However, most existing studies have neglected the vision factors capable of quantitatively describing the city-level cycling environment. Moreover, they have relied on limited models that lack interpretability and fail to capture the spatial variations in the contribution of factors. To address these gaps, this research proposed a framework that used origin-destination-based cycling flow and vision factors generated from Google Street View images to identify the leading factors. It also employed the comparative Automatic Machine Learning and interpretable SHAP value-based geospatial analysis to explain each factor's contribution to the cycling crash risk, with a particular focus on the spatial variations in the influence of vision factors. The effectiveness of this framework was validated by a case study in Manhattan, which examined the leading risk factors of cycling crash rates at intersections. The results showed that the LightGBM model, with selected subsets of factors, outperformed other models. Through SHAP explanations of global feature importance, the study identified the proportion of road barriers, the proportion of open sky, and the number of visible trucks as the leading visual risk factors. Additionally, using SHAP-based geospatial analysis, the study revealed the local variations in the effects of these three factors and identified eight areas with higher cycling crash rates. Based on these findings, the study provided practical measures for a safer cycling environment in Manhattan.

Self-reported cycling behavior and previous history of traffic accidents of cyclists

BACKGROUND

Cyclists are vulnerable traffic users and studying the cycling behavior of professional and elite cyclists, their previous history of traffic accidents combined with the current knowledge on high-risk behaviors of this group can be a useful basis for further studies on ordinary cyclists. This study aimed to determine the relationship between cycling behavior and the previous history of traffic accidents among members of the Cycling Federation of Guilan province in 2022.

METHODS

A descriptive-analytical study was performed in which the Bicycle Rider Behavior Questionnaire (BRBQ) constructed in the Porsline platform was distributed using the WhatsApp social network. All participants were asked to self-report their cycling behavior. The final analysis was performed by using STATA software (version 14).

RESULTS

The study subjects included a total of 109 cyclists with a mean age of 38.62 ± 10.94 years and a mean cycling experience of 13.75 ± 11.08 years. Using the logistic regression model, the relationship between gender (P = 0.039), years of cycling experience (P = 0.000), and education level (P ≤ 0.00), with previous traffic accidents, was found significant. There was also a significant relationship between stunts and distractions (P = 0.005), signaling violation (P = 0.000), and control error (P = 0.011) with previous traffic accidents. A significant association existed between stunts and distractions (P = 0.001) and signaling violation (P = 0.001) with a previous history of traffic injury within the last 3 years.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings of this study can be used to establish cyclist safety and preventative planning in society. In behavior change intervention programs, it is best to target male cyclists with higher-level education. In addition, the behavior of the cyclists whose predominant term of signaling violations must be corrected should be targeted. It is necessary to shape information campaigns and educational programs aimed for cyclists with common high-risk behaviors, especially signaling violations.

Can we trust our eyes? Interpreting the misperception of road safety from street view images and deep learning

Road safety is a critical concern that impacts both human lives and urban development, drawing significant attention from city managers and researchers. The perception of road safety has gained increasing research interest due to its close connection with the behavior of road users. However, safety isn't always as it appears, and there is a scarcity of studies examining the association and mismatch between road traffic safety and road safety perceptions at the city scale, primarily due to the time-consuming nature of data acquisition. In this study, we applied an advanced deep learning model and street view images to predict and map human perception scores of road safety in Manhattan. We then explored the association and mismatch between these perception scores and traffic crash rates, while also interpreting the influence of the built environment on this disparity. The results showed that there was heterogeneity in the distribution of road safety perception scores. Furthermore, the study found a positive correlation between perception scores and crash rates, indicating that higher perception scores were associated with higher crash rates. In this study, we also concluded four perception patterns: "Safer than it looks", "Safe as it looks", "More dangerous than it looks", and "Dangerous as it looks". Wall view index, tree view index, building view index, distance to the nearest traffic signals, and street width were found to significantly influence these perception patterns. Notably, our findings underscored the crucial role of traffic lights in the "More dangerous than it looks" pattern. While traffic lights may enhance people's perception of safety, areas in close proximity to traffic lights were identified as potentially accident-prone regions.

Exploring the spatial relationship of e-bike and motorcycle crashes: Implications for risk reduction

INTRODUCTION

Electric bicycles, or e-bikes, have become very popular over the past decade. In order to reduce the risk of crashes, it is necessary to understand the contributing factors. While several researchers have examined these elements, few have considered the spatial heterogeneity between crashes and environmental variables, such as Points of Interest (POI). In addition, there is a scarcity of studies comparing the crash-related factors of e-bikes and motorcycles. Despite their differing speed and range capabilities, different POIs also tend to impact area/bandwidths differently because e-bikes cannot cover the same range that motorcycles can.

METHOD

In this study, we compared e-bike and motorcycle crashes at 11 different types of POIs in Taipei from 2016 to 2020. Since crashes are sparse events and easily affected by the Modifiable Areal Unit Problem (MAUP), Kernel Density Estimation (KDE) was employed to transform crash points (count data) to crash risk surfaces (continuous data). Additionally, an advanced variant of Geographical Weighted Regression (GWR), Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression (MGWR) utilized to predict crash risk because each predictor is allowed to have a different bandwidth.

RESULTS

The results showed: (a) For e-bike crashes, the MGWR model outperformed the GWR and OLS models in terms of AIC values, while the MGWR and GWR performed similarly with regard to motorcycle crashes; (b) The analysis revealed e-bike and motorcycle crash risk to be associated with various types of POIs. E-bike crashes tended to occur more frequently in areas with more schools, supermarkets, intersections, and elderly people. Meanwhile, motorcycle crashes were more likely to occur in areas with a high number of restaurants and intersections. The search bandwidths of e-bikes are inconsistent and narrower than those of motorcycles.

Factors associated with different types of freight crashes: A macro-level analysis

INTRODUCTION

Despite evidence showing higher fatality rates in freight-related crashes, there has been limited exploration of their spatial distribution and factors associated with such distribution. This gap in the literature primarily stems from the focus of existing studies on micro-level factors predicting the frequency or severity of injuries in freight crashes. The present study delves into the factors contributing to freight crashes at the neighborhood level, particularly focusing on different types of freight crashes: collisions involving a freight vehicle and a passenger vehicle, crashes between freight vehicles, and freight vehicle-non-motorized crashes.

METHOD

This study analyzes traffic crash data from the urbanized region of Seoul, collected between 2016 and 2019. To effectively deal with spatial autocorrelation and model different types of crashes in a unified framework, a Bayesian multivariate conditional autoregressive model was employed.

RESULTS

Findings show substantial differences in the factors associated with various types of freight crashes. The predictors for crashes between freight vehicles diverge significantly from those for freight vehicle-non-motorized crashes. Crashes between freight vehicles are relatively more influenced by road network structure, while freight crashes involving non-motorized users are relatively more affected by the built environment and freight facilities than the other crash types examined. Freight vehicle-passenger vehicle crashes fall into an intermediate category, sharing most predictors with either of the other two types of freight crashes.

CONCLUSIONS AND PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS

The findings of this study offer valuable lessons for transportation practitioners and policymakers. They can guide the formulation of effective land use policies and infrastructure planning, specifically designed to address the unique characteristics of different types of freight crashes.

Investigation on the driver-victim pairs in pedestrian and bicyclist crashes by latent class clustering and random forest algorithm

Pedestrians and bicyclists from marginalized and underserved populations experienced disproportionate fatalities and injury rates due to traffic crashes in the US. This disparity among road users of different races and the increasing trend of traffic risk for underserved racial groups called for an urgent agenda for transportation policy making and research to ensure equity in roadway safety. Pedestrian and bicyclist crashes involved drivers and pedestrians/bicyclists; the latter were usually victims. Traditional safety studies did not account for the interaction between the two parties and assumed that they were independent from each other. In this study we paired the driver and pedestrian/bicyclist involved in the same crash to understand the socioeconomic and demographic make-up of the two parties involved in crashes and assessed the geographic distribution of these crashes and crash-contributing factors. For this purpose, we applied thelatent class clustering analysis (LCA) to classify different crash types and analyze the patterns of the crashes based on the income and ethnicity of both drivers and victims involved in pedestrian and bicyclist crashes. We then used random forest algorithms and partial dependence plots (PDPs) to model and interpreted the contributing factors of the clusters in both pedestrian and bicyclist models. The clustering results showed a pattern of social segregation in pedestrian and bicyclist crashes that drivers and victims with similar socioeconomic characteristics tend to be involved in one crash. Pedestrian/bicyclist exposure, driver's age, victim's age, year of the car in use, annual average daily traffic (AADT), speed limit, roadbed width, and lane width were the most influential factors contributing to this pattern. Crashes that involved drivers and victims with lower income and non-white ethnicity tended to happen in the location with higher pedestrian/bicyclist exposure, higher speed limit, and wider road. The findings of this research can help to inform the decision-making process for improving safety to ensure equitable and sustainable safety for all road users and communities.

Characterizing the effects of contributing factors on crash severity involving e-bicycles: a study based on police-reported data

Mitigating e-bicycle crash occurrence has become a great challenge across the world. It is of paramount importance for improving traffic safety to characterize the relationship between e-bicycle crash injury severities and contributing factors. This study positions itself at clarifying the roles of the factors in e-bicycle crashes from time, space, road, environment, rider and object characteristics. The partial proportional odds (PPOs) model as well as its elasticity analysis was employed to identify the influences based on 15,138 police-reported e-bicycle crashes in Shangyu District of Shaoxin City, China. The results evidenced that there were 12 factors having significant effects. Especially, the results emphasized the greater influences of rider gender, age, object hit and road type. Their maximum of the absolutes of elasticities was greater than 24%. Increased crash severity was associated with females, younger riders, and higher speed collisions. However, the remaining significant variables had minor effects (no more than 10%). The findings provide meaningful insights for advancing e-bicycle development, when making related policies and prioritizing safety countermeasures.

The impacts of non-motorized traffic enforcement cameras on red light violations of cyclists at signalized intersections

INTRODUCTION

With a significant increase in accidents involving cyclists, more attention has been paid to cycling safety. Previous studies on traffic accident revealed that red-light violations of non-motorized vehicles have become the leading cause of crashes at signalized intersections. The objective of this study is to investigate the impact of non-motorized traffic enforcement cameras (NTECs) on the red-light running behavior of cyclists, including ordinary e-bike riders, delivery e-bike riders, and bicyclists.

METHOD

An observational study of 5,217 cyclists was conducted at six primary intersections in the downtown areas of Nanjing, China. A random parameter logit model was used to explore the safety effect of the NTECs and other factors related to red-light violation behavior.

RESULTS

The results indicate higher reductions in red-light violations at intersections with the NTECs compared than at the non-adjacent intersections without the NTECs. Furthermore, the NTECs demonstrated a beneficial but smaller impact on the reduction of violations at adjacent intersections. Another primary finding was that the effects of the NTECs varied among three types of cyclists (ordinary e-bike riders, delivery e-bike riders, and bicyclists).

CONCLUSIONS

The NTECs were found to be most effective in the case of delivery e-bike riders, followed by ordinary e-bike riders and bicyclists. In addition, the factors associated with the red-light violation behaviors of these three groups were also found to be different. In general, group size, maximum waiting time, waiting position, and visual search were significantly related to the probability of red-light violations in all three groups.

PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS

Based on these findings, this study provides some feasible suggestions for improving the effect of the NTECs and for the future extension of the NTECs installation, such as the randomization of the enforcement and publicity campaigns.

Effect of transit-oriented design on pedestrian and cyclist safety using bivariate spatial models

INTRODUCTION

Walking and cycling for transportation provide immense benefits (e.g., health, environmental, social). However, pedestrians and bicyclists are the most vulnerable segment of the traveling public due to the lack of protective structure and difference in body mass compared with motorized vehicles. Numerous studies are dedicated to enhancing active transportation modes, but very few studies are devoted to the safety analysis of the transit stops, which serve as the important modal interface for pedestrians and bicyclists.

METHOD

This study bridges the gap by developing joint models based on the multivariate conditional autoregressive (MCAR) priors with distance-oriented neighboring weight matrix. For this purpose, transit-oriented design (TOD) related data in Los Angeles County were used for model development. Feature selection relying on both random forest (RF) and correlation analysis was employed, which leads to different covariates inputs to each of the two joint models, resulting in increased model flexibility. An integrated nested Laplace approximation (INLA) algorithm was adopted due to its fast, yet robust, analysis. For a comprehensive comparison of the predictive accuracy of models, different evaluation criteria were utilized.

RESULTS

The results demonstrate that models with correlation effect perform much better than the models without a correlation of pedestrians and bicyclists. The joint models also aid in the identification of the significant covariates contributing to the safety of each of the two active transportation modes. The findings show that population density, employment density, and bus stop density positively influence bicyclist-involved crashes, suggesting that an increase in population, employment, or the number of bus stops leads to more active modes involved collisions.

PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS

The findings of this study may prove helpful in the development and implementation of the safety management process to improve the roadway environment for the active modes in the long run.

The influence of traffic-infrastructure factors on pedestrian accidents at the macro-level: The geographically weighted regression approach

INTRODUCTION

Walking is an active way of moving the population, but in recent years there have been more pedestrian casualties in traffic, especially in developing countries such as Serbia. Macro-level road safety studies enable the identification of influential factors that play an important role in creating pedestrian safety policies.

METHOD

This study analyzes the impact of traffic and infrastructure characteristics on pedestrian accidents at the level of traffic analysis zones. The study applied a geographically weighted regression approach to identify and localize all factors that contribute to the occurrence of pedestrian accidents. Taking into account the spatial correlations between the zones and the frequency distribution of accidents, the geographically Poisson weighted model showed the best predictive performance.

RESULTS

This model showed 10 statistically significant factors influencing pedestrian accidents. In addition to exposure measures, a positive relationship with pedestrian accidents was identified in the length of state roads (class I), the length of unclassified streets, as well as the number of bus stops, parking spaces, and object units. However, a negative relationship was recorded with the total length of the street network and the total length of state roads passing through the analyzed area.

CONCLUSION

These results indicate the importance of determining the categorization and function of roads in places where pedestrian flows are pronounced, as well as the perception of pedestrian safety near bus stops and parking spaces.

PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS

The results of this study can help traffic safety engineers and managers plan infrastructure measures for future pedestrian safety planning and management in order to reduce pedestrian casualties and increase their physical activity.

Impacts of enforcement cameras on pedestrians' risk perception and drivers' behaviors at non-signalized crosswalks

INTRODUCTION

Pedestrians are more vulnerable to traffic crashes than other road users, particularly at non-signalized crosswalks. Safety measures (such as law enforcement cameras) can be implemented to regulate road users' behavior and traffic safety. This study evaluates the effects of such cameras on pedestrian-vehicle conflicts by investigating different interaction patterns of pedestrian risk perception and driving style.

DATA

Field investigations were conducted at four non-signalized crosswalks. Video data were collected using unmanned aerial vehicles and roadside cameras.

METHOD

Two-step cluster analysis and k-means cluster analysis were employed to classify the pedestrian's behavior and driving style, respectively. Surrogate safety measures were adopted to measure the pedestrian-vehicle conflicts.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

The results suggest that the implementation of cameras would decrease both the actual and perceived risks of pedestrians, while the heterogeneity between the actual and perceived risk is more obvious at camera sites. They also indicate that the cameras have a positive influence on reducing drivers' aggressiveness and conflict severity. In terms of pedestrian-vehicle interaction patterns, the most severe conflicts occur when the pedestrian perceived risk level is low and the driving style is aggressive. Such dangerous interactions are observed more frequently at camera sites. In contrast, a safer interaction pattern is associated with a moderate driving style and cautious crossing behavior, which is more frequently observed at comparison sites. However, regardless of which interaction pattern is observed, the conflict severity is found to be lower at camera sites, indicating the effectiveness of the cameras.

PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS

Supplementary facilities, such as warning signs, flash lights, and speed control measures, should be implemented to maintain the effectiveness of the law enforcement cameras.

Exploring the impacts of street layout on the frequency of pedestrian crashes: A micro-level study

INTRODUCTION

Pedestrian safety has become a critical issue since walking is increasingly promoted as a sustainable transport mode. However, pedestrians are vulnerable to severe injury and mortality in road crashes. Therefore, it is important to understand the factors that affect the safety of pedestrians. This paper investigates the impacts of street layout on the frequency of pedestrian crashes by examining the interactive pattern of built environment, crossing facilities, and road characteristics.

METHOD

A surrogate exposure variable of pedestrian crashes at the road-segment level is proposed by considering the locations of crossing facilities, distribution of points of interest (POIs), road characteristics, and pedestrian activities. A network-based kernel density technique is used to identify the pedestrian crash risk at the road segment level. Bayesian spatial models based on different exposure variables are employed and compared.

RESULTS

The results suggest that models using the surrogate exposure of pedestrian crashes provide better model fit than the ones simply using the density of pedestrians. It is also found that the presence of POIs is related to a higher risk of pedestrian-vehicle crash. In addition, a significantly higher number of pedestrian crashes are found to occur on segments with more bus stops and metro stations. Results also show that the longer the distance between the crossing facilities and road segments, the more pedestrian crashes are observed.

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed aggregated indicator can provide more efficient exposure and higher prediction accuracy than the density of pedestrians. Besides, the POIs, crossing facilities, and road types were all significantly related to pedestrian crashes.

PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS

Our results suggest that the locations of POIs and transport facilities should be planned in a way that can decrease the number of road crossed or guide pedestrians to take safe crossing path.

Cycling-Related Injuries During COVID-19 Lockdown: A North London Experience

Objectives

There has been a notable surge in cycling injuries during the COVID-19(SARS-CoV-2 virus) pandemic. Cycling in general increased during lockdown as a leisure & fitness activity along with reduction in the use of public transport for commuting. We investigated the bicycle-related maxillofacial injuries & associations presenting through our emergency department(ED) which covers more than 1.6 million of London population.

Study Design/Methods

A retrospective observational study was undertaken in the Barnet General Hospital ("hub") which receives all maxillofacial referrals from 6 "spoke" hospitals & other urgent primary/community care practices in North London area between 16 March 2020 & 16 July 2020. All data corresponding to cycling injuries during the lockdown period was analyzed with the aid of trauma database/trust-wide electronic patient records.

Results

Twenty-two patients (6.7%) with cycling-related injuries out of a total of 322 patients who attended during the 4 months study period with maxillofacial emergencies were identified. Average age of patient cohort was 35.4 years, mainly consisting of adult males (77%). Seven patients had minor head injury and 1 patient suffered traumatic brain injury. About 59% patients did not wear a protective helmet & 3 patients had heavy alcohol/recreational drug intoxication during the accidents. Four patients needed inpatient admission and treatment under general anesthesia.

Conclusions

Based on our humble study, we advocate the need for robust road & personal safety measures with mandatory government legislations, policing of drug intoxication & encouragement of physical & mental health improvement measures during these unprecedented times & beyond.

Sustainable Transportation in Practice: A Systematic Quantitative Review of Case Studies

After the COVID-19 pandemic and the spectrum of new climate change disruptions in the supply chain, a holistic approach towards sustainable transportation is needed. Sustainable transportation could benefit sustainable development from different angles; reduced traffic deaths, increased share of renewable energy, higher quality of transport-related infrastructure, increased satisfaction with public transportation, increased responsible consumption and production, and reduced fossil fuel consumption. This study is an attempt to show whereon the scholars were focused previously and where the focus needs to be more on. This study has reviewed 358 case studies and categorized them into twenty groups based on the transportation mode and eleven groups based on the authors’ primary areas of concern. Keyword analysis followed by topics modeling showed three non-overlapping trends in the cohort. The results, with a corroboratory investigation on the benefits of the United States’ infrastructure bill, were discussed in four categories: in-vehicle improvements, built-environment elements, human factors, and planning and regulations.

Uncertainty matters: Bayesian modeling of bicycle crashes with incomplete exposure data

BACKGROUND

One major challenge faced by neighborhood-level bicycle safety analysis is the lack of complete and reliable exposure data for the entire area under investigation. Although the conventional travel-diary surveys, together with the emerging smartphone fitness applications and bike-sharing systems, provide straightforward and valuable opportunities to estimate territory-wide bicycle activities, the obtained ridership suffers inherently from underreporting.

METHODS

We introduced the Bayesian simultaneous-equation model as a sound methodological alternative here to address the uncertainty arising from incomplete exposure data when modeling bicycle crashes. The proposed method was successfully fitted to a crowdsourced dataset of 792 bicycle-motor vehicle (BMV) crashes aggregated from 209 neighborhoods over a 3-year period in Hong Kong.

RESULTS

Our analysis empirically demonstrated the bias due to omission of activity-based exposure measures or to the direct use of cycling distance extracted from the travel-diary survey without correcting for incompleteness. By modeling bicycle activities and the frequency of BMV crashes simultaneously, we also provided new evidence that an expansion of bicycle infrastructure was likely associated with a significant increase in cycling levels and a substantial reduction in the risk of BMV crashes, despite a slight increase in the absolute number of BMV crashes.

CONCLUSIONS

Our approach is promising in adjusting for the uncertainty in raw exposure data, extrapolating the missing exposure values, and untangling the linkage among built environment, bicycle activities, and the frequency of BMV crashes within a unified framework. To promote safer cycling, designated facilities should be provided to consecutively separate cyclists from motor vehicles.

Using latent class clustering and binary logistic regression to model Australian cyclist injury severity in motor vehicle-bicycle crashes

INTRODUCTION

In recent years, Australia is seeing an increase in the total number of cyclists. However, the rise of serious injuries and fatalities to cyclists has been a major concern. Understanding the factors affecting the fatalities and injuries of bicyclists in crashes with motor vehicles is important to develop effective policy measures aimed at improving the safety of bicyclists. This study aims to identify the factors affecting motor vehicle-bicycle (MVB) crashes in Victoria, Australia and introducing effective countermeasures for the identified risk factors.

METHOD

A data set of 14,759 MVB crash records from Victoria, Australia between 2006 and 2019 was analyzed using the binary logit model and latent class clustering.

RESULTS

It was observed that the factors that increase the risk of fatalities and serious injuries of bicyclists (FSI) in all clusters are: elderly bicyclist, not using a helmet, and darkness condition. Likewise, in areas with no traffic control, clear weather, and dry surface condition (cluster 1), high speed limits increase the risk of FSI, but the occurrence of MVB crashes in cross intersection and T-intersection has been significantly associated with a reduction in the risk of FSI. In areas with traffic control and unfavorable weather conditions (cluster 2), wet road surface increases the risk of FSI, but the areas with give way sign and pedestrian crossing signs reduce the risk of FSI. Practical Applications: Recommendations to reduce the risk of fatalities or serious injury to bicyclists are: improvement of road lighting and more exposure of bicyclists using reflective clothing and reflectors, separation of the bicycle and vehicle path in mid blocks especially in high-speed areas, using a more stable bicycle for the older people, monitoring helmet use, improving autonomous emergency braking, and using bicyclist detection technology for vehicles.

Infrastructure and Injury Prevention in Cycling

The focus of this article centers on bicycle injury prevention and related infrastructure. The article discusses the current epidemiology of cycling injuries, and known prevention strategies, specifically individual recommended practices related to helmet use in both adult and pediatric populations. The article also discusses different ways in which the environment plays a role in protecting cyclists from injuries, and what environmental changes have been adopted to reduce the likelihood for cycling injuries.

Vulnerable road users' crash hotspot identification on multi-lane arterial roads using estimated exposure and considering context classification

This research develops safety performance functions and identifies the crash hotspots based on estimated vulnerable road users' exposure at intersections and along the roadway segments. The study utilized big data including Automated Traffic Signal Performance Measures (ATSPM) data, crowdsourced data (Strava), Closed Circuit Television (CCTV) surveillance camera videos, crash data, traffic information, roadway features, land use attributes, and socio-demographic characteristics. It comprises an extensive comparison between a wide array of statistical and machine learning models that were developed to estimate pedestrian and bike exposure. The results indicated that the XGBoost approach was the best to estimate vulnerable road users' exposure at intersections as well as bike exposure along the roadway segments. Afterwards, the estimated exposure was utilized as input variables to develop crash prediction models that relate different crash types to potential explanatory variables. Negative Binomial approach was followed to develop crash prediction models to be consistent with the Highway Safety Manual. The results show that the exposure variables (i.e., AADT, bike exposure, and the interaction between them) have significant influences on the two types of crashes (i.e., crashes of vulnerable road users at intersections and bike crashes along the segments). Further, the results indicated that the context classification is significantly related to crashes. Based on the developed models, the PSIs were calculated and the hotspots were identified for the two crash types. It was found that hotspots were more likely to be located near the city of Orlando. Coastal roadways were classified as cold categories regarding bike crashes. Further, C4 roadway segments were found to be significantly related to the increase of vulnerable road users' crashes at intersections and bike crashes along the segments.

Safety effects of law enforcement cameras at non-signalized crosswalks: A case study in China

Pedestrians are vulnerable when crossing the street, especially at non-signalized crosswalks. In China, in spite of the priority that laws entitle the pedestrians, the yielding rates at non-signalized crosswalks are relatively low. In light of this situation, law enforcement cameras have been used to increase the percentage of drivers yielding to pedestrians. This study investigates the effectiveness of law enforcement cameras on drivers yielding behavior and vehicle-pedestrian conflicts at non-signalized crosswalks. Using Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) and roadside video recording, information including pedestrian characteristics, vehicular characteristics and environmental factors are collected. The conflict indicators used include Post-Encroachment Time (PET), Time to Collision (TTC), and Deceleration to Safety Time (DST). In this study, a conflict classification framework based on PET, TTC and DST using Support Vector Machine algorithm is employed. A multinomial logit regression model is used to identify the factors contributing to the conflicts. Then, binary logit regression models are constructed to analyze the effects of law enforcement cameras on drivers yielding behavior. Conflict study reveals that the implementation of law enforcement cameras would increase the probability of slight conflict but decrease the probability of serious conflict. Yielding behavior analysis shows that the illegitimate yielding behavior percentages are over 10 %, indicating the necessity of improving the awareness of yielding rules, and the implementation of law enforcement cameras would increase the yielding and legitimate yielding probability. Moreover, factors including the adjacent vehicle yielding behavior, number of lanes between pedestrian and vehicle, pedestrian speed change, pedestrian waiting time, pedestrian accepted gap time, vehicle upstream speed and vehicle speed change are significantly associated with conflict severity and drivers yielding behavior. We recommend that supplementary facilities and measures should be used to improve the safety performance of law enforcement cameras.

Enhancing non-motorist safety by simulating trip exposure using a transportation planning approach

Traditionally, in developing non-motorized crash prediction models, safety researchers have employed land use and urban form variables as surrogate for exposure information (such as pedestrian, bicyclist volumes and vehicular traffic). The quality of these crash prediction models is affected by the lack of "true" non-motorized exposure data. High-resolution modeling frameworks such as activity-based or trip-based approach could be pursued for evaluating planning level non-motorist demand. However, running a travel demand model system to generate demand inputs for non-motorized safety is cumbersome and resource intensive. The current study is focused on addressing this drawback by developing an integrated non-motorized demand and crash prediction framework for mobility and safety analysis. Towards this end, we propose a three-step framework to evaluate non-motorists safety: (1) develop aggregate level models for non-motorist generation and attraction at a zonal level, (2) develop non-motorists trip exposure matrices for safety evaluation and (3) develop aggregate level non-motorists crash frequency and severity proportion models. The framework is developed for the Central Florida region using non-motorist demand data from National Household Travel Survey (2009) Florida Add-on and non-motorist crash frequency and severity data from Florida. The applicability of the framework is illustrated through extensive policy scenario analysis.

Role of exposure in bicycle safety analysis: Effect of cycle path choice

Despite the recognized environmental and health benefits of cycling, bicyclists are vulnerable to severe injuries and mortalities in the road crashes. Therefore, it is of paramount importance to identify the possible factors that may affect the bicycle crash risk. However, reliable estimates of bicycle exposure are often not available for the safety risk evaluation of different entities. The objective of this study is to advance the estimation of exposure in the bicycle safety analysis, using the detailed origin-destination data of each trip of the London public bicycle rental system. Two approaches including shortest path method (SPM) and weighted shortest path method (WSPM) are proposed to model the bicycle path choice and to estimate the bicycle distance traveled (BDT). Then, the bicycle crash frequency models that adopt BDTs as the exposure estimated using SPM and three WSPMs are developed. Three exposure measures including bicycle trips, bicycle time traveled (BTT), and BDT are assessed. Results indicate that the bicycle crash frequency models that incorporate the BDTs using WSPM have superior model fit. Moreover, the bicycle crash frequency model that incorporate the BDTs as the exposure outperforms those that incorporate the bicycle trips and BTT as the exposures. Findings of current study are indicative to the development of bicycle crash frequency model. Moreover, it should enhance the understanding on the roles of environmental, traffic and bicyclist factors in bicycle crash risk, based on appropriate estimates of bicycle exposures. Therefore, it should be useful to the transport planners and engineers for the development of bicycle infrastructures that can improve the overall bicycle safety in the long run.