Systemic inflammatory response syndrome in patients with liver cirrhosis

Association of preoperative antiviral treatment with incidences of post-hepatectomy liver failure in hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) is a common consequence of radical partial hepatectomy in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

AIMS

To investigate the relationship between preoperative antiviral therapy and PHLF, as well as assess the potential efficacy of hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA level in predicting PHLF.

METHODS

A retrospective study was performed involving 1301 HCC patients with HBV who underwent radical hepatectomy. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to assess the capacity of HBV DNA to predict PHLF and establish the optimal cutoff value for subsequent analyses. Logistic regression analyses were performed to assess the independent risk factors of PHLF. The increase in the area under the ROC curve, categorical net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) were used to quantify the efficacy of HBV DNA level for predicting PHLF. The P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

Logistic regression analyses showed that preoperative antiviral therapy was independently associated with a reduced risk of PHLF (P < 0.05). HBV DNA level with an optimal cutoff value of 269 IU/mL (P < 0.001) was an independent risk factor of PHLF. All the reference models by adding the variable of HBV DNA level had an improvement in area under the curve, categorical NRI, and IDI, particularly for the fibrosis-4 model, with values of 0.729 (95%CI: 0.705-0.754), 1.382 (95%CI: 1.341-1.423), and 0.112 (95%CI: 0.110-0.114), respectively. All the above findings were statistically significant.

CONCLUSION

In summary, preoperative antiviral treatment can reduce the incidence of PHLF, whereas an increased preoperative HBV DNA level has a correlative relationship with an increased susceptibility to PHLF.

Elevated neutrophil-to-hemoglobin ratio as an indicator of poor survival in hepatitis B virus-related decompensated cirrhosis

Aim: Our goal was to explore the prognostic value of the neutrophil-to-hemoglobin ratio (NHR) in HBV-related decompensated cirrhosis (HBV-DC) patients. Methods: 172 HBV-DC patients were enrolled. Multivariate analyses were used to identify risk factors influencing 30-day mortality. Results: The 30-day mortality was 12.8% (22/172). nonsurvivors exhibited a higher NHR than survivors. On multivariate analysis, NHR and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score were the only independent predictors of mortality. Notably, the predictive capabilities of NHR were found to be comparable to those of the MELD score. Conclusion: High NHR was associated with poor prognosis in HBV-DC patients, and NHR can serve as an effective and readily available indicator for the prediction of mortality in these patients.

Postoperative SIRS after thermal ablation of HCC: Risk factors and short-term prognosis

Background

We aimed to explore the potential risk factors and short-term prognosis for SIRS after thermal ablation of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Methods

Data from patients with HCC who underwent thermal ablation in the Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University between January 2015 and August 2021 were retrieved from the perioperative database. Pre-, intra- and postoperative data between SIRS group and non-SIRS group were compared and multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify the risk factors for SIRS after thermal ablation.

Results

A total of 1491 patients were enrolled and 234 (15.7 %) patients developed SIRS after thermal ablation. Compared with those without SIRS, patients with SIRS had a longer hospital stay, higher hospitalization costs and higher risk of more severe postoperative complications. In the multivariate logistic regression analysis, current smoking (OR 1.58, 95 %CI 1.09-2.29), decreased HCT (OR 1.51,95 %CI 1.11-2.04), NEUT < 1.5 × 109/L(OR 1.74, 95 %CI 1.14-2.65), NEUT% < 0.5 or > 0.7 (OR 1.36, 95 %CI 1.01-1.83) and PT > 16.3s (OR 2.42, 95 %CI 1.57-3.74) were significantly associated with postoperative SIRS.

Conclusions

Current smoking, decreased HCT, neutropenia, abnormal percentage of neutrophils and prolonged PT are the independent risk factors for SIRS after thermal ablation of HCC, which worsens outcomes of patients. This study can help identify high-risk population and guide appropriate care so as to reduce the incidence of postoperative SIRS.

Connecting the Dots: The Cerebral Lymphatic System as a Bridge Between the Central Nervous System and Peripheral System in Health and Disease

As a recently discovered waste removal system in the brain, cerebral lymphatic system is thought to play an important role in regulating the homeostasis of the central nervous system. Currently, more and more attention is being focused on the cerebral lymphatic system. Further understanding of the structural and functional characteristics of cerebral lymphatic system is essential to better understand the pathogenesis of diseases and to explore therapeutic approaches. In this review, we summarize the structural components and functional characteristics of cerebral lymphatic system. More importantly, it is closely associated with peripheral system diseases in the gastrointestinal tract, liver, and kidney. However, there is still a gap in the study of the cerebral lymphatic system. However, we believe that it is a critical mediator of the interactions between the central nervous system and the peripheral system.

Inflammatory Markers Showed Significant Incremental Value for Predicting Post-Hepatectomy Liver Failure in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients

BACKGROUND

Post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) remains a complication with the potential risk of mortality for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. The systemic inflammatory response (SIR) has been demonstrated to be associated with a bad prognosis of liver cirrhosis and tumors. This study aims to evaluate the incremental prognostic value of inflammatory markers in predicting PHLF in patients with HCC.

METHODS

Clinical characteristics and variables were retrospectively collected in 2824 patients diagnosed with HCC who underwent radical hepatectomy from the First Medical Center of the General Hospital of the People's Liberation Army. A recently published prognostic model for PHLF was used as the reference model. The increase in AUC (ΔAUC), integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and the continuous version of the net reclassification improvement (NRI) were applied for quantifying the incremental value of adding the inflammatory markers to the reference model. A p value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

The reference PHLF model showed acceptable prediction performance in the current cohort, with an AUC of 0.7492 (95%CI, 0.7191-0.7794). The calculated ΔAUC associated with procalcitonin (PCT) was the only one that was statistically significant (p < 0.05), with a value of 0.0044, and demonstrated the largest magnitude of the increase in AUC. The continuous NRI value associated with the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) was 35.79%, second only to GPS (46.07%). However, the inflammatory markers of the new models with statistically significant IDI only included WBC count, lymphocyte count, and SII. IDI associated with SII, meanwhile, was the maximum (0.0076), which was consistent with the performance of using the ΔAUC (0.0044) to assess the incremental value of each inflammatory variable.

CONCLUSIONS

Among a wide range of inflammatory markers, only PCT and SII have potential incremental prognostic value for predicting PHLF in patients with radical resectable HCC.

Evaluation of five lymphocyte-based scores for prediction of mortality in hepatitis B virus-associated decompensated cirrhosis

Background

Lymphocytes are generally accepted to be a key component of the immune response, and an inadequate immune response is closely associated with disease severity and adverse outcomes in hepatitis B virus (HBV)-infected patients. The present study aimed to determine and compare the prognostic values of five lymphocyte-based scores (monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio [MLR], mean platelet volume-to-lymphocyte ratio [MPVLR], neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio [NLR], red cell distribution width-to-lymphocyte ratio [RLR], and C-reactive protein-to-lymphocyte ratio [CLR]) for HBV-associated decompensated cirrhosis (HBV-DC).

Methods

Data were extracted from an institutional database. The outcome was 30-day mortality. Receiver operating characteristic curve analyses were conducted, and the resulting area under the curve (AUC) values were used to evaluate the predictive capabilities of the five lymphocyte-based scores for mortality in HBC-DC relative to Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score.

Results

The study included 273 patients, and the 30-day mortality was 20.9%. Lymphocyte counts were slightly lower in non-survivors than in survivors. The prognostic values of CLR, NLR, MLR, MPVLR, and RLR for mortality in HBV-DC were different. The predictive powers of NLR and MLR were superior to those of the other three scores and similar to that of MELD score. Multivariate analyses identified NLR, MLR, and MELD score as independent prognostic predictors.

Conclusion

High NLR and MLR are easily accessible and reliable indicators for predicting 30-day mortality in HBV-DC and have superior prognostic ability compared with other lymphocyte-based scores.

Prognostic nutritional index: A potential biomarker for predicting the prognosis of decompensated liver cirrhosis

Background

Prognostic nutritional index (PNI) is an independent predictor of the prognosis of various diseases. However, the prognosis value of PNI in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis (DLC) remains unknown. The study aimed to investigate the prognostic significance of PNI in patients with DLC.

Methods

A total of 214 eligible patients were enrolled in the study's development cohort between January 2018 and March 2021. The clinical primary study endpoints were mortality at 3 and 6 months. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to assess the PNI's prediction accuracy, and Youden's index was utilized to determine the PNI's optimal cut-off value. Moreover, based on the optimal cut-off value, patients were categorized into high and low PNI groups. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to determine independent risk factors for mortality, while the relationship between PNI and the risk of death was identified and demonstrated using restricted cubic splines (RCS). A validation cohort of 139 patients was to verify the predictive power of the PNI.

Results

In the development cohort, the mortality rate at 3 and 6 months were 10.3% (22) and 14.0% (30), respectively. The PNI had comparable predictive power with the MELD score at all follow-up endpoints. Decreased PNI was an independent predictor of adverse prognosis at all follow-up endpoints. The RCS revealed a linear correlation between PNI and the risk of death. We confirmed that lower PNI was an independent predictor of poor prognosis in the validation cohort.

Conclusion

The findings showed that lower PNI is an independent factor of poor outcomes and might be utilized as a potentially promising prognostic predictor in patients with DLC.

A potential novel inflammation biomarker for predicting the prognosis of decompensated liver cirrhosis

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to explore the prognostic value of the lymphocyte (LYM)-to-white blood cell (WBC) ratio (LWR) in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis (DLC).

METHODS

This study was conducted by recruiting 214 patients with DLC with different aetiologies (development cohort). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were used to assess the predictive accuracy of the LWR, and Youden's index was used to determine the optimal cut-off values of the LWR based on the ROC curve. Next, patients were divided into high- and low-LWR groups according to the cut-off values. Multivariate logistic analyses were performed to determine the independent predictors for the 1-, 3- and 6-month mortality. Restricted cubic spline (RCS) was used to determine and visualize the association between LWR and the risk of death. We verified the predictive ability of LWR in the validation cohort of 139 patients.

RESULTS

In the development cohort, there were 16 (7.5%), 22 (10.3%) and 30 patients (14.0%) who died at 1, 3 and 6 months, respectively. The LWR was significantly lower in non-survivors than in survivors and was an independent predictor of poor outcomes. The ROC analyses with the Delong test showed that the LWR had comparable predictive power with the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, neutrophil-to-LYM ratio (NLR) and Chronic Liver Failure consortium score for acute decompensated (CLIF-C ADs). RCS showed a non-linear relationship between the LWR and the risk of death at 1 and 3 months, whereas a linear relationship was observed between the LWR and the risk of death at 6 months. We verified that the decreased LWR was an independent predictor of adverse outcomes at 3-, and 6-month follow-up endpoints in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings indicate that a lower LWR is an independent factor for unfavourable outcomes and may serve as a potential novel prognostic predictor in patients with DLC.KEY MESSAGESThis study is the first report on the prognostic value of the lymphocyte (LYM)-to-white blood cell (WBC) ratio (LWR) in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis (DLC).Decreased LWR is an independent factor for adverse outcomes in patients with DLC.

Low Hemoglobin-to-Red Cell Distribution Width Ratio Is Associated with Mortality in Patients with HBV-Related Decompensated Cirrhosis

Background

The prognostic role of hemoglobin-to-red blood cell distribution width ratio (HRR) in HBV-related decompensated cirrhosis (HBV-DeCi) has not been established. The present study is aimed at determining the potential of HRR as a predictive factor for the prognosis of HBV-DeCi patients.

Methods

The study included 177 HBV-DeCi patients. The clinical outcome was death at 30 days. Multivariate regression analysis and receiver operating characteristic curve analysis were applied to assess the predictive value of HRR for poor outcomes.

Results

A total of 26 patients (14.7%) had died by 30 days. Patients with unfavorable outcomes had lower HRR than patients with favorable outcomes. Multivariate analysis revealed that HRR and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score were independently associated with poor outcomes. Combination of HRR and MELD score may improve prognostic accuracy in HBV-DeCi.

Conclusions

The present findings indicate that low HRR may be a promising predictor for mortality in HBV-DeCi patients.

Cirrosis hepática o falla hepática crónica agudizada: definición y clasificación

La cirrosis se considera el estadio crónico e irreversible de la lesión hepática. Su etiología es diversa y abarca causas como las infecciones víricas, tóxicos como el alcohol, medicamentos, patologías autoinmunes y otras. La descompensación de la cirrosis hepática es consecuencia de cambios fisiopatológicos que se dan con el tiempo como ascitis, peritonitis bacteriana espontánea, hemorragia del tubo digestivo, síndrome hepatorrenal, encefalopatía hepática o hipertensión portopulmonar, mientras que la falla hepática crónica agudizada debe considerarse como una entidad que debe diferenciarse de la anterior, ya que es una falla multiorgánica de curso rápido, por lo regular en pacientes hospitalizados en unidad de cuidado intensivo, a menudo secundaria a desencadenantes como estados de choque. El clínico debe identificarlas para su abordaje y evaluación. El método actual adecuado para estadificar esta entidad es el puntaje CLIFF SOFA, que evalúa la mortalidad a 28 y 90 días, permitiendo intervenciones adecuadas en cada caso.

New prognostic factor for hepatitis B virus-related decompensated cirrhosis: Ratio of monocytes to HDL-cholesterol

Aim

Hepatitis B virus‐related decompensated cirrhosis (HBV‐DeCi) has a high mortality rate, and it remains a challenge to predict its outcomes in clinical practice. We aimed to determine the association between monocyte‐to‐HDL‐cholesterol ratio (MHR) and short‐term prognosis in HBV‐DeCi patients.

Methods

A total of 145 HBV‐DeCi patients were enrolled. A multivariate analysis was performed to identify predictors of mortality. The findings were validated by a receiver operating characteristic analysis using the area under the curve (AUC).

Results

A total of 20 (13.8%) patients had died 30 days after admission. MHR was markedly increased in the non‐survivors compared with the survivors. In the multivariate analysis, MHR was identified as an independent risk factor for mortality, with a significant predictive value (AUC = 0.825; sensitivity, 90.0%; specificity, 62.4%).

Conclusions

Elevated MHR is associated with increased mortality rate in HBV‐DeCi patients.

Association of Low High-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol Levels with Poor Outcomes in Hepatitis B-Associated Decompensated Cirrhosis Patients

Background

Lipid levels become decreased in cirrhotic patients and are correlated with disease severity. In the present study, we investigated the impact of serum high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) on prognosis in patients with HBV-associated decompensated cirrhosis (HBV-DeCi).

Methods

The medical records of 153 HBV-DeCi patients were analyzed. Patients were separated into survivors and nonsurvivors according to their 30-day survival. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify predictors of poor outcomes, and the performance of these predictors was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.

Results

The 30-day mortality in the cohort was 18.9%. HDL-C levels differed markedly between survivors and nonsurvivors. On multivariate analysis, Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score and HDL-C level were identified as independent risk factors for mortality in HBV-DeCi patients. In the ROC analyses, the prognostic accuracy for mortality was similar between HDL-C (area under ROC curve: 0.785) and MELD score (area under ROC curve: 0.853).

Conclusions

Low HDL-C level had a significant correlation with mortality in HBV-DeCi patients and can be used as a simple marker for risk assessment and selection of therapeutic options.

Usefulness of International Normalized Ratio to Albumin Ratio for Evaluation of Mortality in Hepatitis B Virus-Associated Decompensated Cirrhosis

Background

We sought to determine the prognostic value of prothrombin time-international normalized ratio to albumin ratio (PTAR) in patients with hepatitis B virus-associated decompensated cirrhosis (HBV-DeCi).

Methods

The study enrolled 166 HBV-DeCi patients. Multivariate regression analysis was performed to identify predictors associated with mortality.

Results

Among the 166 HBV-DeCi patients, 27 (16.3%) had died by 30 days after admission. PTAR was markedly increased in nonsurvivors compared with survivors, and had a significant positive correlation with disease severity. Multivariate analysis identified PTAR as an effective independent predictor for mortality in HBV-DeCi patients.

Conclusions

High PTAR was associated with poor outcomes and can act as a novel prognostic predictor for mortality in HBV-DeCi patients.

Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome in Patients Hospitalized for Acute Decompensation of Cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Although recently challenged, systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) criteria are still commonly used in daily practice to define sepsis. However, several factors in liver cirrhosis may negatively impact its prognostic ability. Goals. To investigate the factors associated with the presence of SIRS, the characteristics of SIRS related to infection, and its prognostic value among patients hospitalized for acute decompensation of cirrhosis. Study. In this cohort study from two tertiary hospitals, 543 patients were followed up, up to 90 days. Data collection, including the prognostic models, was within 48 hours of admission.

RESULTS

SIRS was present in 42.7% of the sample and was independently associated with upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGB), ACLF, infection, and negatively related to beta-blockers. SIRS was associated with mortality in univariate analysis, but not in multiple Cox regression analysis. The Kaplan-Meier survival probability of patients without SIRS was 73.0% and for those with SIRS was 64.7%. The presence of SIRS was not significantly associated with mortality when considering patients with or without infection, separately. Infection in SIRS patients was independently associated with Child-Pugh C and inversely related to UGB. Among subjects with SIRS, mortality was independently related to the presence of infection, ACLF, and Child-Pugh C.

CONCLUSIONS

SIRS was common in hospitalized patients with cirrhosis and was of no prognostic value, even in the presence of infection.

Neutrophil count to albumin ratio as a prognostic indicator for HBV-associated decompensated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

To explore the value of neutrophil count to albumin ratio (NAR) in predicting the outcomes of patients with HBV-associated decompensated cirrhosis (HBV-DeCi).

METHODS

One hundred and fifty-four HBV-DeCi patients were enrolled. The 30-day mortality was determined. Multivariate analysis was applied to identify risk factors for poor outcomes. Receiver operating characteristic curve analyses was performed to evaluate prognostic accuracy.

RESULTS

The 30-day mortality was 10.4%. NAR was significantly higher in non-survivors than in survivors and was an independent predictor for unfavorable prognosis.

CONCLUSIONS

The present results indicate that increased NAR is associated with poor survival in HBV-DeCi patients and has potential for clinical application.

Platelet-to-white blood cell ratio: A novel and promising prognostic marker for HBV-associated decompensated cirrhosis

Aim

The present study aimed to investigate associations of the platelet‐to‐white blood cell ratio (PWR)—a novel hematological indicator of inflammatory responses—with 30‐day outcomes in patients with HBV‐associated decompensated cirrhosis (HBV‐DeCi).

Methods

We recruited 131 patients with HBV‐DeCi for this retrospective study and extracted baseline clinical data and laboratory characteristics from medical records. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine major factors influencing 30‐day mortality. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve analyses was performed to compare the predictive values of prognostic markers.

Results

During the 30‐day follow‐up period, 15 patients died. The PWR was significantly different between nonsurvivors and survivors. Lower PWR was found to be associated with an increased risk of mortality, and PWR was found to be an independent predictor of mortality in patients with HBV‐DeCi.

Conclusions

Our results demonstrate that low PWR may be a predictor of poor prognosis in patients with HBV‐DeCi, and this factor may be a useful supplement to standard approaches to enable effective management of these patients.

Evaluation of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio, and red cell distribution width for the prediction of prognosis of patients with hepatitis B virus-related decompensated cirrhosis

Background

The development and progression of hepatitis B virus‐related decompensated cirrhosis (DeCi) is associated with inflammatory responses. The monocyte‐to‐lymphocyte ratio (MLR), neutrophil‐to‐lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and red cell distribution width (RDW) are well‐known inflammation markers. We aimed to assess the utility of these parameters for predicating the prognosis of patients with HBV‐DeCi.

Methods

We retrospectively recruited 174 patients diagnosed with HBV‐DeCi. Univariate and multivariate regression models were used to determine risk factors for mortality. Areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves were calculated to estimate and compare the predictive values of the three parameters. Hepatic function was evaluated using the Model for End‐Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score.

Results

The NLR, RDW, and MLR were found to be significantly higher in patients who did not survive compared with surviving patients. Moreover, these variables were all able to predict early poor outcomes in patients with HBV‐DeCi, with NLR exhibiting the highest accuracy. Furthermore, a combination of the NLR and MELD score was a more accurate prognostic marker for predicting mortality than either marker alone in such patients.

Conclusions

Hematological parameters can provide prognostic information for patients with HBV‐DeCi. Routine assessment of these parameters at admission may provide valuable data to complement other conventional measures for assessing disease condition in patients with HBV‐DeCi.

Astrocyte swelling in hepatic encephalopathy: molecular perspective of cytotoxic edema

Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) may occur in patients with liver failure. The most critical pathophysiologic mechanism of HE is cerebral edema following systemic hyperammonemia. The dysfunctional liver cannot eliminate circulatory ammonia, so its plasma and brain levels rise sharply. Astrocytes, the only cells that are responsible for ammonia detoxification in the brain, are dynamic cells with unique phenotypic properties that enable them to respond to small changes in their environment. Any pathological changes in astrocytes may cause neurological disturbances such as HE. Astrocyte swelling is the leading cause of cerebral edema, which may cause brain herniation and death by increasing intracranial pressure. Various factors may have a role in astrocyte swelling. However, the exact molecular mechanism of astrocyte swelling is not fully understood. This article discusses the possible mechanisms of astrocyte swelling which related to hyperammonia, including the possible roles of molecules like glutamine, lactate, aquaporin-4 water channel, 18 KDa translocator protein, glial fibrillary acidic protein, alanine, glutathione, toll-like receptor 4, epidermal growth factor receptor, glutamate, and manganese, as well as inflammation, oxidative stress, mitochondrial permeability transition, ATP depletion, and astrocyte senescence. All these agents and factors may be targeted in therapeutic approaches to HE.

Assessing the outcome of patients with liver cirrhosis during hospital stay: A comparison of lymphocyte/monocyte ratio with MELD and Child-Pugh scores

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Developing an easy and reliable score for evaluating the prognosis of patients with liver cirrhosis has always been challenging for hepatologists. This study aimed to assess the lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) in comparison with the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) and Child-Pugh (CP) scores for determining the outcomes in these patients during hospital stay.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve was used to assess the efficacy of three parameters (LMR and MELD and CP scores) in determining the outcomes in 182 patients with cirrhosis. The cutoff values were calculated using Youden index, and the area under the curves (AUCs) was also compared. The associations of these scores between the survived and nonsurvived group was studied. The predictors of patient survival were determined using logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

The mean values for LMR and MELD and CP scores were 6.23, 11.62, and 9.32, respectively. MELD and CP were positively correlated with each other. LMR was negatively correlated to both MELD and CP scores (p=0.04). Pairwise comparison showed that the difference between the AUCs of MELD and LMR was not statistically significant (0.958 vs. 0.807; p > 0.05). With the LMR cutoff value of > 3.31 (sensitivity, 80%; specificity, 74.83%), patients were segregated into low and high LMR groups. MELD and CP scores were significantly higher in the low LMR group than in the high LMR group (p=0.000). Patients in the low LMR group showed decreased survival than those in the high LMR group (p=0.000). The nonsurvived group had lower LMR and higher MELD and CP scores than those of the survived group (p=0.000). Logistic regression model showed MELD (p=0.000), CP score (p=0.010), 1/LMR (p=0.004), alanine aminotransferase (ALT) level (p=0.010), and international normalized ratio (INR; p=0.043) as predictors of outcome of these patients.

CONCLUSION

LMR can be used to determine the outcome of patients during hospital stay, because it is easy to calculate and can be interpreted with efficacy nearly equal to those of MELD and CP scores.

Systemic inflammatory response syndrome and model for end-stage liver disease score accurately predict the in-hospital mortality of black African patients with decompensated cirrhosis at initial hospitalization: a retrospective cohort study

Background

Systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) predict short-term mortality in patients with cirrhosis. Prediction of mortality at initial hospitalization is unknown in black African patients with decompensated cirrhosis.

Aim

This study aimed to look at the role of MELD score and SIRS as the predictors of morbidity and mortality at initial hospitalization.

Patients and methods

In this retrospective cohort study, we enrolled 159 patients with cirrhosis (median age: 49 years, 70.4% males). The role of Child–Pugh–Turcotte (CPT) score, MELD score, and SIRS on mortality was determined by the Kaplan–Meier method, and the prognosis factors were assessed with Cox regression model.

Results

At initial hospitalization, 74.2%, 20.1%, and 37.7% of the patients with cirrhosis showed the presence of ascites, hepatorenal syndrome, and esophageal varices, respectively. During the in-hospital follow-up, 40 (25.2%) patients died. The overall incidence of mortality was found to be 3.1 [95% confidence interval (CI): 2.2–4.1] per 100 person-days. Survival probabilities were found to be high in case of patients who were SIRS negative (log-rank test= 4.51, p=0.03) and in case of patients with MELD score ≤16 (log-rank test=7.26, p=0.01) compared to the patients who were SIRS positive and those with MELD score >16. Only SIRS (hazard ratio (HR)=3.02, [95% CI: 1.4–7.4], p=0.01) and MELD score >16 (HR=2.2, [95% CI: 1.1–4.3], p=0.02) were independent predictors of mortality in multivariate analysis except CPT, which was not relevant in our study. Patients with MELD score >16 experienced hepatorenal syndrome (p=0.002) and encephalopathy (p=0.001) more frequently than that of patients with MELD score ≤16. SIRS was not useful in predicting complications.

Conclusion

MELD score and SIRS can be used as tools for the prediction of mortality in black African patients with decompensated cirrhosis.

A novel dynamic model for predicting outcome in patients with hepatitis B virus related acute-on-chronic liver failure

Aim

It is challenging to predict the outcome of patients with hepatitis B virus related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) through existing prognostic models. Our aim was to establish a novel dynamic model to improve the predictive efficiency of 30-day mortality in HBV-ACLF patients.

Methods

305 patients who were diagnosed as HBV-ACLF (derivation cohort, n=211; validation cohort, n=94) were included in this study. The HBV-ACLF dynamic (HBV-ACLFD) model was constructed based on the daily levels of predictive variables in 7 days after diagnosis combined with baseline risk factors by multivariate logistic regression analysis. The HBV-ACLFD model was compared with the Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score, end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, and MELD within corporation of serum sodium (MELD-Na) score by the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curves (AUROC).

Results

The HBV-ACLFD model demonstrated excellent discrimination with AUROC of 0.848 in the derivation cohort and of 0.813 in the validation cohort (p=0.620). The performance of the HBV-ACLFD model appeared to be superior to MELD score, MELD-Na score and CTP score (P<0.0001).

Conclusion

The HBV-ACLFD model can accurately predict 30-day mortality in patients with HBV-ACLF, which is helpful to select appropriate clinical procedures, so as to relieve the social and economic burden.

Clinical characteristics and prognostic factors of liver cirrhosis patients with systemic inflammatory response syndrome

AIM

Our objective is to study the clinical characteristics of cirrhosis patients with SIRS and investigate its prognostic factors.

METHODS

We analyzed 285 consecutive patients and their data were evaluated retrospectively. Data were compared in patients with/without SIRS during hospitalization. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were undertaken separately for cirrhotic patients with SIRS to assess predictive factors for 90-day mortality.

RESULTS

The mortality was 38.24% (52/136) in patients with SIRS and 6.04% (9/149) in patients without SIRS for 90-day follow-up (P < 0.001). The univariate analysis showed gastrointestinal hemorrhage (P < 0.001), hepatic encephalopathy (P < 0.001), albumin <30 g/L (P < 0.037), creatinine (Cr) >175 µmol/L (P < 0.001), cholinesterase(ChE) activity <3000 U/L (P = 0.019), white blood cell count ≥10 000 (109/L) (P = 0.018), neutrophils ≥80% (P = 0.018), C-reactive protein (CRP) ≥25 mg/L (P < 0.001), procalcitonin ≥1.0 ng/mL (P = 0.007), Child-Pugh class C (P < 0.001), septicemia (P < 0.001), pulmonary infection (P < 0.001),multi-site infection (P = 0.001), acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) (P < 0.001), and advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) (P < 0.001). In multivariate analysis, only Cr ≥175 µmol/L (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.768; confidence interval [CI], 1.53-5.04; P = 0.001), C-reactive protein ≥25 mg/L (HR = 3.179; CI, 1.772-7.03; P = 0.004), multi-site infection (HR = 19.427; CI, 7.484-50.431; P < 0.001), ACLF (HR = 7.308; CI, 3.048-17.521; P < 0.001), advanced HCC (HR = 2.523; CI, 1.019-6.248; P = 0.045) were independent predictors of 90-day mortality in cirrhotic patients with SIRS.

CONCLUSION

Cr ≥ 175 µmol/L, CRP ≥ 25 mg/L, multi-site infection, ACLF, and advanced HCC independently predicted a higher rate of 90-day mortality in liver cirrhosis with SIRS.

CLIF-SOFA score and SIRS are independent prognostic factors in patients with hepatic encephalopathy due to alcoholic liver cirrhosis

Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is a complication associated with worst prognosis in decompensated liver cirrhosis (LC) patients. Previous studies have identified prognostic factors for HE, and recent studies reported an association between systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) and liver disease. This study aimed to identify prognostic factors for 30-day mortality in alcoholic LC patients with HE who visited the emergency department (ED).This was a retrospective study of alcoholic LC patients with HE from January 1, 2010, to April 30, 2015. The baseline characteristics, complications of portal hypertension, laboratory values, Child-Pugh class, Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, chronic liver failure-sequential organ failure assessment (CLIF-SOFA) score, and SIRS criteria were assessed. The presence of 2 or more SIRS criteria was considered SIRS. The primary outcomes were 30-day mortality and prognostic factors for patients with HE visiting the ED.In total, 105 patients who met the inclusion criteria were analyzed. Overall, the 30-day mortality rate was 6.7% (7 patients).Significant variables were hepatorenal syndrome, international normalized ratio, white blood cell count, total bilirubin level, MELD score CLIF-SOFA score, and SIRS in univariate analysis. CLIF-SOFA score and SIRS were the significant factors in the multivariate analysis (hazard ratio 5.56, 15.98; 95% confidence interval 1.18-26.18, 1.58-161.37; P = 0.03, P = 0.02). The mortality rates differed according to the CLIF-SOFA score (P < 0.01).The CLIF-SOFA score and SIRS in alcoholic LC patients with HE visiting the ED are independent predictors of 30-day mortality.

Hepatic encephalopathy in dogs and cats

OBJECTIVE

To comparatively review the pathogenesis, clinical presentation, diagnosis, and management of hepatic encephalopathy (HE) in dogs and cats.

DATA SOURCES

The Medline database was searched for articles related to HE in people, dogs, and cats. Articles published within the last 5 years were given special importance.

HUMAN DATA SYNTHESIS

The pathogenesis of HE is complex and incompletely understood, but ammonia appears to play a central role. Hyperammonemia leads to accumulation of glutamine in astrocytes, with subsequent astrocyte swelling and neurological dysfunction. The development of HE in patients with hepatic cirrhosis is a poor prognostic indicator. The fermentable disaccharide lactulose and the antimicrobial rifaximin are US Food and Drug Administration approved treatments for human HE. Severe protein restriction is no longer recommended for patients with this condition.

VETERINARY DATA SYNTHESIS

HE is often associated with portosystemic shunting in dogs and cats. Ammonia plays a central role in the pathogenesis of HE in dogs and cats, but other factors such as manganese and endogenous benzodiazepines may also contribute. Recently, a soy protein-based diet was found to be beneficial in treating canine HE. Severe dietary protein restriction is likely to be detrimental in affected animals. There have been no clinical trials of drugs routinely used in the management HE in veterinary medicine, but lactulose and antimicrobials such as metronidazole are well-established treatments.

CONCLUSIONS

HE is a potentially life-threatening condition that is probably underdiagnosed in companion animals. Although various treatment recommendations have been proposed, there is a lack of evidence in the veterinary literature regarding optimal strategies for the management of this condition. As our understanding of the pathogenesis of HE in dogs and cats evolves, novel diagnostic tests and therapeutic agents may become available.

Presence of Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome Predicts a Poor Clinical Outcome in Dogs with a Primary Hepatitis

Primary hepatopathies are a common cause of morbidity and mortality in dogs. The underlying aetiology of most cases of canine hepatitis is unknown. Consequently, treatments are typically palliative and it is difficult to provide accurate prognostic information to owners. In human hepatology there is accumulating data which indicates that the presence of systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) is a common and debilitating event in patients with liver diseases. For example, the presence of SIRS has been linked to the development of complications such as hepatic encephalopathy (HE) and is associated with a poor clinical outcome in humans with liver diseases. In contrast, the relationship between SIRS and clinical outcome in dogs with a primary hepatitis is unknown. Seventy dogs with histologically confirmed primary hepatitis were enrolled into the study. Additional clinical and clinicopathological information including respiratory rate, heart rate, temperature, white blood cell count, sodium, potassium, sex, presence of ascites, HE score, alanine aminotransferase (ALT), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), bilirubin and red blood cell concentration were available in all cases. The median survival of dogs with a SIRS score of 0 or 1 (SIRS low) was 231 days compared to a median survival of 7 days for dogs with a SIRS score of 2, 3 or 4 (SIRS high) (p<0.001). A Cox proportional hazard model, which included all other co-variables, revealed that a SIRS high score was an independent predictor of a poor clinical outcome. The effect of modulating inflammation on treatment outcomes in dogs with a primary hepatitis is deserving of further study.

Biomarkers for the early diagnosis of bacterial infection and the surveillance of hepatocellular carcinoma in cirrhosis

The early detection of bacterial infections and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) could ameliorate the prognosis of cirrhosis. C-reactive protein and procalcitonin are under investigation in the setting of cirrhosis as markers of sepsis. In the attempt to discriminate bacterial infection from systemic inflammation, the role of novel biomarkers such as lypopolysaccharide binding-protein, mid-regional fragment of pro-adrenomedullin and delta neutrophil index are currently in development. Concerning HCC, many studies attempted to evaluate biomarkers in the hope of ameliorating the accuracy of the surveillance based on ultrasound. The use of α-fetoprotein (AFP) has been extensively investigated, as well as other biomarkers expressed in the serum of HCC patients like lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive fraction of AFP, des-γ-carboxy prothrombin, glypican-3, α-l-fucosidase and their combined use.

The usefulness of C-reactive protein and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio for predicting the outcome in hospitalized patients with liver cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

The role of clinical parameters such as systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) criteria in predicting the infection remains unclear in cirrhosis patients. The aim was to evaluate the usefulness of inflammatory markers including C-reactive protein (CRP) and the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) for diagnosis of infection and predicting the outcomes in hospitalized cirrhotic patients.

METHODS

The study included 184 cirrhotic patients consecutively hospitalized from 2011 to 2012. The presence of overt infection and survival was evaluated. CRP concentration, NLR, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score and the presence of SIRS were assessed.

RESULTS

The main cause of admission was uncontrolled ascites (36.4 %), followed by varix bleeding (23.9 %), and hepatic encephalopathy (13.6 %). Fifty-eight patients (31.5 %) had overt infection during hospitalization and thirty-two patients (17.4 %) expired during the follow up period (median 38 months). Ninety-two patients (52.2 %) fulfilled the SIRS criteria and among them, only 32 patients (38.5 %) had the overt infection. For diagnose of the infection, baseline CRP concentration was a significant factor compared to the presence of SIRS (odds ratio 1.202, P = 0.003). For predicting one-month short-term survival, MELD score, NLR and WBC count were significant factors but in Child-Pugh class C patients, NLR was only an independent factor.

CONCLUSIONS

CRP was a significant indicator of infection in hospitalized cirrhotic patients and a NLR was a useful predictor of 1-month survival, particularly in Child-Pugh class C patients. This study suggests that the inflammatory markers such as CRP and NLR can help identify cirrhotic patients at risk of unfavorable outcomes.

Association between lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) and the mortality of HBV-related liver cirrhosis: a retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

Infection with hepatitis B virus (HBV) remains a major cause of liver cirrhosis (LC) in China. Recent reports suggest that the lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) is a potential biomarker for predicting clinical outcomes. In our study, we investigated if LMR can be used as a prognostic marker of mortality in patients with HBV-related LC.

DESIGN

A retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

HBV-infected patients with LC and patients with chronic hepatitis B infection (CHB) from the Department of Infectious Disease were enrolled and 240 healthy individuals were recruited from the healthcare centre at the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University.

PARTICIPANTS

479 HBV-infected patients with LC, 134 patients with CHB and 240 healthy individuals were enrolled.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and multivariable logistic regression analysis after adjusting for total protein, albumin, total bilirubin and the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score were used to evaluate the power of LMR for predicting 1 year mortality in patients with LC.

RESULTS

The LMR was statistically lower in patients with LC. The MELD score and mortality were statistically higher in patients with LC compared with the CHB and control groups. The area under the ROC curve, cut-off values, sensitivity and specificity of LMR for predicting mortality LC in the training cohort were 0.817 (95% CI 0.746 to 0.888; p<0.001), 2.10, 82.6 and 78.8%, and these data were confirmed in the validation cohort. The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that LMR was an independent predictive factor of mortality in LC (OR 2.370, 95% CI (1.070 to 5.249); p=0.033).

CONCLUSIONS

Our results strongly suggest that low LMR can be considered as an independent biomarker for predicting mortality in patients with LC.

Role of systemic inflammation in cirrhosis: From pathogenesis to prognosis

The natural history of cirrhosis can be divided into an initial stage, known as compensated cirrhosis, and an advanced stage which encompasses both decompensated cirrhosis and acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). The latter syndrome has been recently described as an acute deterioration of liver function in patients with cirrhosis, which is usually triggered by a precipitating event and results in the failure of one or more organs and high short-term mortality rates. Each stage is characterized by distinctive clinical manifestations and prognoses. One of the key elements involved in cirrhosis physiopathology is systemic inflammation, recently described as one of the components in the cirrhosis-associated immune dysfunction syndrome. This syndrome refers to the combination of immune deficiency and exacerbated inflammation that coexist during the course of cirrhosis and relates to the appearance of clinical complications. Since systemic inflammation is often difficult to assess in cirrhosis patients, new objective, reproducible and readily-available markers are needed in order to optimize prognosis and lengthen survival. Thus, surrogate serum markers and clinical parameters of systemic inflammation have been sought to improve disease follow-up and management, especially in decompensated cirrhosis and ACLF. Leukocyte counts (evaluated as total leukocytes, total eosinophils or neutrophil:lymphocyte ratio) and plasma levels of procalcitonin or C-reactive protein have been proposed as prognostic markers, each with advantages and shortcomings. Research and prospective randomized studies that validate these and other markers are clearly warranted.

Updates on pathogenesis, diagnosis and treatment of hepatorenal syndrome

Hepatorenal syndrome (HRS) is one of the most detrimental conditions in patients with end stage liver cirrhosis and acute liver failure, with high morbidity and mortality. The pathophysiology of HRS is complex and has not been fully elucidated. The therapeutic approaches for HRS are limited, among them, terlipressin in combination with albumin infusion is the first line choice. Liver transplantation remains the most effective treatment method. Patients with HRS often experience poor prognosis and have low survival, and early diagnosis of HRS may play a critical role in making treatment plans and improving the prognosis. Currently, it is needed to enhance the reliability of diagnostic methods and the feasibility of therapeutic regimens, which can improve the quality of life and reduce the family and social financial burden. The aim of this review is to summarize the recent advances in understanding the pathophysiology, diagnosis and management of HRS.

Risk factors and outcome of bacterial infections in cirrhosis

Viable and non-viable pathological bacterial translocation promote a self-perpetuating circle of dysfunctional immune activation and systemic inflammation facilitating infections and organ failure in advanced cirrhosis. Bacterial infections and sepsis are now recognized as a distinct stage in the natural progression of chronic liver disease as they accelerate organ failure and contribute to the high mortality observed in decompensated cirrhosis. The increasing knowledge of structural, immunological and hemodynamic pathophysiology in advanced cirrhosis has not yet translated into significantly improved outcomes of bacterial infections over the last decades. Therefore, early identification of patients at the highest risk for developing infections and infection-related complications is required to tailor the currently available measures of surveillance, prophylaxis and therapy to the patients in need in order to improve the detrimental outcome of bacterial infections in cirrhosis.

Hyperammonemia and systemic inflammatory response syndrome predicts presence of hepatic encephalopathy in dogs with congenital portosystemic shunts

Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is an important cause of morbidity and mortality in patients with liver disease. The pathogenesis of he is incompletely understood although ammonia and inflammatory cytokines have been implicated as key mediators. To facilitate further mechanistic understanding of the pathogenesis of HE, a large number of animal models have been developed which often involve the surgical creation of an anastomosis between the hepatic portal vein and the caudal vena cava. One of the most common congenital abnormalities in dogs is a congenital portosystemic shunt (cpss), which closely mimics these surgical experimental models of HE. Dogs with a cPSS often have clinical signs which mimic clinical signs observed in humans with HE. Our hypothesis is that the pathogenesis of HE in dogs with a cPSS is similar to humans with HE. The aim of the study was to measure a range of clinical, haematological and biochemical parameters, which have been linked to the development of HE in humans, in dogs with a cPSS and a known HE grade. One hundred and twenty dogs with a cPSS were included in the study and multiple regression analysis of clinical, haematological and biochemical variables revealed that plasma ammonia concentrations and systemic inflammatory response syndrome scores predicted the presence of HE. Our findings further support the notion that the pathogenesis of canine and human HE share many similarities and indicate that dogs with cPSS may be an informative spontaneous model of human HE. Further investigations on dogs with cPSS may allow studies on HE to be undertaken without creating surgical models of HE thereby allowing the number of large animals used in animal experimentation to be reduced.

Characteristics of alcoholic liver disease and predictive factors for mortality of patients with alcoholic cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Alcoholic liver disease is one of the major chronic liver diseases worldwide. The aim of the study was to describe the clinical characteristics of alcoholic liver disease and to compare the predictive values of biochemical parameters, complications, Child-Turcotte-Pugh score, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score and discriminant function score for the mortality of in-hospital or 3-month after discharge of patients with alcoholic cirrhosis (AC).

METHODS

A retrospective record review and statistical analysis were performed on 205 consecutive patients with the discharge diagnosis of alcoholic liver disease. Three models were used to predict the mortality of patients with AC. The number of variceal hemorrhage, infection, hepatic encephalopathy and hepatocellular carcinoma was analyzed as "numbers of complications". Model 1 consisted of creatinine, white blood cell count, international normalized ratio and "numbers of complications". Model 2 consisted of MELD score. Model 3 included "numbers of complications" and MELD score.

RESULTS

The risk of developing AC was significant for patients with alcohol consumption of higher than 80 g/d (OR=2.807, P<0.050) and drinking duration of longer than 10 years (OR=3.429, P<0.028). The area under curve for predicting in-hospital mortality of models 1, 2 and 3 was 0.950, 0.886 and 0.911 (all P<0.001), respectively. The area under curve for predicting the 3-month mortality of models 1, 2 and 3 was 0.867, 0.878 and 0.893 (all P<0.001), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

There is a dose-dependent relationship between alcohol consumption and the risk of developing AC. MELD score has a better predictive value than Child-Turcotte-Pugh or discriminant function score for patients with AC, and model 1 or 3 is better than model 2.

Estrogen derivatives: novel therapeutic agents for liver cirrhosis and portal hypertension

Sex differences in the incidence of liver cirrhosis and portal hypertension have been reported by epidemiological studies. Previous studies have indicated that estrogen therapy improved hepatic fibrosis, inhibited the activation of hepatic stellate cells, and reduced portal pressure, whereas the administration of exogenous estrogens resulted in some potential risks, limiting their clinical use. However, the biological actions of estrogens are mediated by three subtypes of estrogen receptors (ERs): ERα, ERβ, and G-protein-coupled ER. These ER subtypes act in distinct ways and exert different biological effects that mediate genomic and nongenomic events, resulting in tissue-specific responses. In addition, active estrogen metabolites, with little or no affinity for ERs, could mediate the fibrosuppressive effect of estrogens through an ER-independent pathway. Taken together, such specific estrogen derivatives as ER selective agonists, or active estrogen metabolites, would provide novel therapeutic opportunities, stratifying this hormonal treatment, thereby reducing undesired side-effects in the treatment of liver cirrhosis and portal hypertension.

High mortality of pneumonia in cirrhotic patients with ascites

Background

Cirrhotic patients with ascites are prone to develop various infectious diseases. This study aimed to evaluate the occurrence and effect of major infectious diseases on the mortality of cirrhotic patients with ascites.

Methods

We reviewed de-identified patient data from the National Health Insurance Database, derived from the Taiwan National Health Insurance Program, to enroll 4,576 cirrhotic patients with ascites, who were discharged from Taiwan hospitals between January 1, 2004 and June 30, 2004. We collected patients’ demographic and clinical data, and reviewed diagnostic codes to determine infectious diseases and comorbid disorders of their hospitalizations. Patients were divided into an infection group and non-infection group and hazard ratios (HR) were determined for specific infectious diseases.

Results

Of the total 4,576 cirrhotic patients with ascites, 1,294 (28.2%) were diagnosed with infectious diseases during hospitalization. The major infectious diseases were spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) (645, 49.8%), urinary tract infection (151, 11.7%), and pneumonia (100, 7.7%). After adjusting for patients’ age, gender, and other comorbid disorders, the HRs of infectious diseases for 30-day and 90-day mortality of cirrhotic patients with ascites were 1.81 (1.54-2.11) and 1.60 (1.43-1.80) respectively, compared to those in the non-infection group. The adjusted HRs of pneumonia, urinary tract infection (UTI), spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP), and sepsis without specific focus (SWSF) were 2.95 (2.05-4.25), 1.32 (0.86-2.05), 1.77 (1.45-2.17), and 2.19 (1.62-2.96) for 30-day mortality, and 2.57 (1.93-3.42), 1.36 (1.01-1.82), 1.51 (1.29-1.75), and 2.13 (1.70-2.66) for 90-day mortality, compared to those in the non-infection group.

Conclusion

Infectious diseases increased 30-day and 90-day mortality of cirrhotic patients with ascites. Among all infectious diseases identified, pneumonia carried the highest risk for mortality.