Is Corneal Arcus Independently Associated With Incident Cardiovascular Disease in Asians?

Prevalence, associated risk factors; and patient and economic impact of multiple sensory impairment in a multi-ethnic elderly population in Singapore: the PIONEER study

BACKGROUND

To determine the prevalence, risk factors; and impact on patient health and economic outcomes across the laterality spectrum of multiple sensory impairment (MSI) in a multi-ethnic older Asian population.

METHODS

In this population-based study of Singaporeans aged ≥ 60 years, MSI was defined as concomitant vision (visual acuity > 0.3 logMAR), hearing (pure-tone air conduction average > 25 dB), and olfactory (score < 12 on the Sniffin' Sticks test) impairments across the spectrum of laterality (any, unilateral, combination [of unilateral and bilateral], and bilateral).

RESULTS

Among 2,057 participants (mean ± SD 72.2 ± 0.2 years; 53.1% female), the national census-adjusted prevalence rates of any, unilateral, combination, and bilateral MSI were 20.6%, 1.2%, 12.2%, and 7.2%, respectively. Older age, male gender, low socioeconomic status (SES), and smoking (all p < 0.05) were independently associated with higher likelihood of any MSI. Compared to those with no sensory loss, those with MSI had significantly decreased mobility (range 5.4%-9.2%), had poor functioning (OR range 3.25-3.45) and increased healthcare costs (range 4-6 folds) across the laterality spectrum. Additionally, bilateral MSI had a significant decrease in HRQoL (5.5%, p = 0.012).

CONCLUSIONS

MSI is a highly prevalent medical condition, with 1 in 5; and almost 1 in 10 community-dwelling older Asians having any and bilateral MSI, respectively, with a higher likelihood in men, smokers, and those with low SES. Critically, MSI has a substantial negative impact on patient health and economic outcomes across the laterality spectrum. Sensory testing is critical to detect and refer individuals with MSI for management to improve their functional independence and QoL.

Associations between visual impairment, incident falls and fall frequency among older asians: longitudinal findings from the Singapore Epidemiology of Eye Diseases study

BACKGROUND

Association between baseline visual impairment (VI) bilaterality and severity, and associated causes; and incident and frequent falls at 6 years in a multiethnic Asian population aged ≥60 years.

METHODS

It is a population-based prospective cohort study. Visual acuity was clinically measured at both visits. Self-reported incidence and frequency of falls were defined as having no fall at baseline but having one fall and ≥2 incident falls in the 12 months prior to the follow-up visit, respectively.

RESULTS

Of the 1972 older participants (mean age (SD): 67.37 (5.4) years), 253 (12.8%) and 69 (3.5%) reported at least one fall and ≥2 falls, respectively, at a 6-year follow-up. After multivariable adjustments, baseline bilateral VI, but not unilateral, was associated with higher odds of any incident falls (mild bilateral VI: OR=1.79, 95% CI 1.07 to 2.98; moderate-severe VI in one eye and mild VI in the other eye: OR=1.58, 95% CI 1.01 to 2.47). However, having any form of bilateral VI (OR ranging between 2.46 and 4.32; all p<0.05) and even unilateral mild VI (OR=2.34, 95% CI 1.09 to 5.03) significantly increased the odds of incident frequent falls, compared with bilateral normal vision. VI caused by correctable (OR=2.02, 95% CI 1.19 to 3.44) and uncorrectable (OR=3.09, 95% CI 1.08 to 8.80) eye conditions were both associated with greater odds of incident frequent falls, compared with no VI.

CONCLUSIONS

Baseline bilateral but not unilateral VI conferred nearly two-fold higher odds of incident fall. Importantly, even mild unilateral VI conferred a substantially greater likelihood of frequent falls from correctable and uncorrectable conditions.

Retinal Vascular Profile in Predicting Incident Cardiometabolic Diseases among Individuals with Diabetes

OBJECTIVE

To determine the longitudinal associations between retinal vascular profile (RVP) and four major cardiometabolic diseases; and to quantify the predictive improvements when adding RVP beyond traditional risk factors in individuals with diabetes.

METHODS

Subjects were enrolled from the Singapore Epidemiology of Eye Disease (SEED) study, a multi-ethnic population-based cohort. Four incident cardiometabolic diseases, calculated over a ~6-year period, were considered: cardiovascular disease (CVD), hypertension (HTN), diabetic kidney disease (DKD) and hyperlipidaemia (HLD). The RVP - vessel tortuosity, branching angle, branching coefficient, fractal dimension, vessel calibre, and DR status - was characterized at baseline using a computer-assisted program. Traditional risk factors at baseline included age, gender, ethnicity, smoking, blood pressure (BP), HbA1c, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) or cholesterol. The improvements in predictive performance when adding RVP (compared to only traditional risk factors) was calculated using several metrics including area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) and Net Reclassification Improvement (NRI).

RESULTS

Among 1,770 individuals with diabetes, incidences were 6.3% (n=79/1259) for CVD, 48.7% (n=166/341) for HTN, 14.6% (n=175/1199) for DKD, and 59.4% (n=336/566) for HLD. DR preceded the onset of CVD (RR 1.85[1.14;3.00]) and DKD (1.44 [1.06;1.96]). Narrower arteriolar calibre preceding the onset of HTN (0.84 [0.72;0.99]), and changes in arteriolar branching angle preceded the onset of CVD (0.78 [0.62;0.98]) and HTN (1.15 [1.03;1.29]). The largest predictive improvement was found for HTN with AUC increment of 3.4% (p=0.027) and better reclassification of 11.4% of the cases and 4.6% of the controls (p=0.008).

CONCLUSION

We found that RVPs improved the prediction of HTN in individuals with diabetes, but add limited information for CVD, DKD and HLD predictions.

Different impact of early and late stages irreversible eye diseases on vision-specific quality of life domains

To determine the differential impact of the irreversible eye diseases on vision-related quality of life (VRQoL) in a multi-ethnic Asian population. 2652 participants from the Singapore Epidemiology of Eye Disease Study, with any of the following early and late-stage eye conditions including age-related macular degeneration (AMD, n = 158), diabetic retinopathy (DR, n = 105; non vision threatening [non-VTDR]; VTDR), glaucoma (n = 57) and myopic macular degeneration (MMD, n = 106), or none of the above (controls, 2226 [83.9%]) were included. Rasch-scaled scores of the Emotional well-being Mobility and Reading subscales of the Impact of Vision Impairment (IVI) questionnaire, collectively referred to as "VRQoL" were assessed. Multivariable linear regression analyses and pairwise comparisons adjusting for age, gender, ethnicity, socio-economic status, BMI, smoking, alcohol use, presence of systemic diseases and presenting VI were performed to assess and compare the impact of the presence and severity of each eye condition on the three IVI domains. Multivariable adjusted pairwise comparisons of VRQoL between early stages of the four eye diseases showed no significant differences (all P > 0.05). For late stage diseases, individuals with VTDR had significantly larger decrements in Emotional well-being compared to glaucoma (β - 0.81; 95% CI - 1.47 to - 0.16) and MMD (β - 1.17; 95% CI - 2.16 to - 0.18); and Reading decrements compared to glaucoma (β - 0.66; 95% CI - 1.22 to - 0.11). When compared to late glaucoma, individuals with late AMD (β - 0.76; 95% CI - 1.50 to - 0.01) had significantly larger IVI Mobility subscale decrements. VTDR and late AMD, appear to have the greatest impact on VRQoL, compared to late glaucoma and MMD, suggesting a differential impact of late-stage eye disease categorization on VRQoL.

Relations of physical signs to genotype, lipid and inflammatory markers, coronary stenosis or calcification, and outcomes in patients with heterozygous familial hypercholesterolemia

BACKGROUND

Although the presence of physical signs [tendon xanthomas and/or corneal arcus (TX/CA)], are associated with the risk of coronary artery disease in patients with heterozygous familial hypercholesterolemia (HeFH), their relationship with genotypes and clinical characteristics has not been fully determined. This study aimed to examine the association of TX/CA with genetic mutation, lipid- and inflammation-related markers, the severity of coronary stenosis or calcification, and cardiovascular events (CVEs) in patients with HeFH.

METHODS

LDLR, APOB, and PCSK9 genes were screened in 523 HeFH patients, and patients with TX/CA (n = 50) were 1:4 propensity score-matched to patients without TX/CA (n = 200) to adjust for age and sex. Laboratory markers (proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 [PCSK9], lipoprotein(a) and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein [hsCRP]), computed tomography angiography, coronary angiography, and follow-up for CVEs were performed.

RESULTS

Patients with physical signs had significantly higher low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels; higher PCSK9 or hsCRP concentrations; more LDLR positive mutations; and higher prevalence of high tertiles of Gensini, SYNTAX and Jeopardy scores as well as coronary artery calcium scores than did those without. Over an average follow-up of 3.7 years, the incidence of CVEs was significantly higher in patients with TX/CA (log-rank p < 0.001). Patients with physical signs and mutation positivity had threefold higher risks of CVEs (adjusted hazard ratio 3.34, 95% confidence interval 1.04-10.72, p = 0.024).

CONCLUSIONS

Physical signs were associated with genotypes and phenotypes, and worse outcomes in patients with HeFH, suggesting that these signs may help in risk stratification in these patients.

Six-year incidence and systemic associations of retinopathy in a multi-ethnic Asian population without diabetes

PURPOSE

We described the 6-year incidence and changes of retinopathy, and their associated risk factors in a multi-ethnic Asian population without diabetes.

METHODS

We included 4374 participants with non-diabetes from a population-based cohort, the Singapore Epidemiology of Eye Disease Study, with gradable retinal photographs at baseline and 6-year follow-up visit. Retinopathy was assessed according to the modified Airlie House classification system.

RESULTS

Over the 6-year period, the cumulative rates were 2.5% (106/4279) for retinopathy incidence, 1.0% (1/95) for retinopathy progression and 68.4% (65/95) for retinopathy regression. In multivariable analysis, higher diastolic blood pressure (DBP) (risk ratio (RR)=1.02; 95% CI: 1.00 to 1.04; per 10 mm Hg increase in DBP) and wider retinal arteriolar calibre (RR=1.36; 95% CI: 1.13 to 1.63; per SD increase in central retinal artery equivalent) were associated with higher risk of incident retinopathy, while higher level of high-density lipoprotein (HDL) was associated with lower risk of incident retinopathy (RR=0.56; 95% CI: 0.32 to 0.99; per mmol/L increase in HDL). Compared with Chinese, Malays were more likely to have retinopathy regression (RR=1.63; 95% CI: 1.20 to 2.22), while overweight (RR=0.47; 95% CI: 0.26 to 0.84) and higher glycosylated haemoglobin (HbA1c) level (RR=0.58; 95% CI: 0.37 to 0.93; per per cent increase in HbA1c) were associated with lower likelihood of retinopathy regression.

CONCLUSION

Risk of developing retinopathy in Asians without diabetes is generally low. However, regression of retinopathy over time is common, suggesting that these retinopathy signs may reflect subclinical reversible microvascular dysfunction. Several metabolic risk factors are associated with incidence or regression of retinopathy, suggesting that good metabolic control may still be important in the management of non-diabetic retinopathy.

The value of physical signs in identifying patients with familial hypercholesterolemia in the era of genetic testing

Familial hypercholesterolemia (FH) is a common, inherited disorder of cholesterol metabolism characterized by very high plasma concentrations of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol. It is crucial to diagnose and treat this disorder early since if left untreated it increases the risk for coronary artery disease (CAD) at least by 10-fold. Although genetic testing for FH, when available and affordable, should ideally be offered to most individuals with clinical phenotype suggestive of FH, it is underutilized in most countries. Therefore, FH diagnosis in the majority of cases is made by combining cholesterol levels and clinical characteristics of the patient leaving the need for genetic testing usually in equivocal cases. The presence of some cutaneous and ocular signs can raise the suspicion or even lead to the diagnosis of FH among usually "healthy" individuals. These physical signs comprise cutaneous lesions such as tendon xanthomas or the less specific xanthelasmata and ocular signs, such as corneal arcus in individuals under the age of 45 years. The presence of these signs should prompt the physician to request lipid tests and use clinical scores to diagnose FH. If the diagnosis of FH is likely, aggressive lipid-lowering therapy should be initiated to reduce the risk of CAD and a cascade screening of family members should also be requested.

Logistic regression was as good as machine learning for predicting major chronic diseases

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the performance of machine learning (ML) algorithms and to compare them with logistic regression for the prediction of risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), chronic kidney disease (CKD), diabetes (DM), and hypertension (HTN) and in a prospective cohort study using simple clinical predictors.

STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING

We conducted analyses in a population-based cohort study in Asian adults (n = 6,762). Five different ML models were considered-single-hidden-layer neural network, support vector machine, random forest, gradient boosting machine, and k-nearest neighbor-and were compared with standard logistic regression.

RESULTS

The incidences at 6 years of CVD, CKD, DM, and HTN cases were 4.0%, 7.0%, 9.2%, and 34.6%, respectively. Logistic regression reached the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for CKD (0.905 [0.88, 0.93]) and DM (0.768 [0.73, 0.81]) predictions. For CVD and HTN, the best models were neural network (0.753 [0.70, 0.81]) and support vector machine (0.780 [0.747, 0.812]), respectively. However, the differences with logistic regression were small (less than 1%) and nonsignificant. Logistic regression, gradient boosting machine, and neural network were systematically ranked among the best models.

CONCLUSION

Logistic regression yields as good performance as ML models to predict the risk of major chronic diseases with low incidence and simple clinical predictors.

Risk of Incident Cardiovascular Disease and Cardiovascular Risk Factors in First and Second-Generation Indians: The Singapore Indian Eye Study

Population-based data investigating generational differences in the risk of incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) and its risk determinants are rare. We examined the 6-year incidence of CVD and its risk factors in first- and second-generation ethnic Indians living in Singapore. 1749 participants (mean age [SD]: 55.5 [8.8] years; 47.5% male) from a population-based, longitudinal study of Indian adults were included for incident CVD outcome. Incident CVD was defined as self-reported myocardial infarction, angina pectoris or stroke which developed between baseline and follow-up. CVD-related risk factors included incident diabetes, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, obesity and chronic kidney disease (CKD). For incident CVD outcome, of the 1749 participants, 406 (23.2%) and 1343 (76.8%) were first and second-generation Indians, respectively. Of these, 73 (4.1%) reported incident CVD. In multivariable models, second-generation individuals had increased risk of developing CVD (RR = 2.04; 95% CI 1.04, 3.99; p = 0.038), hyperlipidemia (RR = 1.27; 95% CI 1.06, 1.53; p = 0.011), and CKD (RR = 1.92; 95% CI 1.22, 3.04; p = 0.005), compared to first-generation Indians. Second-generation Indians have increased risk of developing CVD and its associated risk factors such as hyperlipidemia and CKD compared to first-generation immigrants, independent of traditional CVD risk factors. More stratified and tailored CVD prevention strategies on second and subsequent generations of Indian immigrants in Singapore are warranted.