Usefulness and validation of the survival posT TAVI score for survival after transcatheter aortic valve implantation for aortic stenosis

Prognostic Implication of Preprocedural Pulmonary Hypertension in Patients with Severe Aortic Valve Stenosis Undergoing Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Pulmonary hypertension (PH) is a common comorbidity in patients with aortic stenosis (AS) who are candidates for transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI). Herein, we sought to elucidate the prognostic value of preprocedural PH on the early and late mortality after TAVI. The Cochrane Library, Scopus, PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, and ProQuest were screened using a predefined search query. We considered odds ratios (ORs) as the measure of effect. Meta-regression analysis was applied to investigate the potential impact of baseline characteristics on the outcomes. Egger's and Begg's tests were used to assess the publication bias. Thirty-three studies comprising 34 datasets representing 68,435 patients were included in the analysis. Regardless of the definition and severity of PH, pooled data analysis indicated that preprocedural PH was associated with higher cardiac and overall 30-day [OR, 1.45 (1.15-1.82) and OR, 1.75 (1.42-2.17), respectively], and 1-year mortality [OR, 1.63 (1.35-1.96) and OR, 1.59 (1.38-1.82), respectively]. Meta-regression analysis demonstrated that older age, higher New York Heart Association function class, history of hypertension, diabetes, and lower left ventricular ejection fraction were predictors of higher mortality rate following TAVI. Moreover, we found that preprocedural PH is significantly associated with higher in-hospital mortality and 30-day acute kidney injury. Our results demonstrated that preprocedural PH is associated with higher early and late cardiac and overall mortality following TAVI; however, this finding is limited regarding the considerable inconsistency in the definition of PH and PH severity among studies.

Impact of serum haemoglobin-to-creatinine ratio after transcatheter aortic valve implantation

OBJECTIVE

The association between a combined anaemia and renal failure index and 1-year prognosis of patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) is unexplored. We aimed to investigate a simple risk score in patients undergoing TAVI.

METHODS

A total of 469 consecutive patients undergoing TAVI between 2015 and 2021 were enrolled. After excluding patients undergoing dialysis, the remaining 458 patients were classified according to three tertiles of the serum haemoglobin-to-creatinine (Hgb/Cr) ratio 1 day before TAVI. The primary clinical outcome measure was all-cause mortality and heart failure hospitalisation 1 year after TAVI.

RESULTS

In the first, second and third tertiles, the 1-year cumulative incidence of all-cause mortality was 16.9% versus 7.2% versus 2.0%, respectively (p<0.01), and that of heart failure hospitalisation was 10.7% versus 3.4% versus 0.7%, respectively (p<0.01). The indexes of the area under the curve of the Hgb/Cr ratio for all-cause mortality and heart failure hospitalisation 1 year after TAVI were both 0.73. Cut-off values were 10.1 for all-cause mortality 1 year after TAVI (OR, 4.78; 95% CI 2.43 to 9.74; p<0.01) and 10.4 for heart failure hospitalisation 1 year after TAVI (OR, 5.3; 95% CI 2.21 to 14.1; p<0.01). In the multivariate analysis, the Hgb/Cr ratio was an independent predictor of all-cause mortality and heart failure hospitalisation 1 year after TAVI.

CONCLUSIONS

Hgb/Cr ratio calculation 1 day before TAVI may help predict midterm all-cause mortality and heart failure hospitalisation in patients with severe aortic valve stenosis undergoing TAVI.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

4143 (The Institutional Review Board of Kurashiki Central Hospital).

Predictors of All-Cause Mortality After Successful Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation

Prevalent and incident atrial fibrillation are common in patients who undergo transcatheter aortic valve implantation and are associated with impaired postprocedural outcomes, including mortality. We determined predictors of long-term mortality in patients with atrial fibrillation after successful transcatheter aortic valve implantation. The EdoxabaN Versus standard of care and theIr effectS on clinical outcomes in pAtients havinG undergonE Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation-Atrial Fibrillation (ENVISAGE-TAVI AF) trial (NCT02943785) was a multicenter, prospective, randomized controlled trial in patients with prevalent or incident atrial fibrillation after successful transcatheter aortic valve implantation who received edoxaban or vitamin K antagonists. A Cox proportional hazard model was performed to identify predictors of all-cause mortality using a stepwise approach for multiple regression analysis. In addition, we assessed the performance of different risk scores and prediction models using ENVISAGE-TAVI AF data. Of 1,426 patients in ENVISAGE-TAVI AF, 178 (12.5%) died during the follow-up period (median 548 days). Our stepwise approach identified greater risk of mortality with older age, impaired renal function, nonparoxysmal atrial fibrillation, excessive alcohol use, New York Heart Association heart failure class III/IV, peripheral artery disease, and history of major bleeding or predisposition to bleeding. The present model (concordance statistic [c-statistic] 0.67) was a better discriminator than were other frequently used risk scores, such as the Society of Thoracic Surgeons score (c-statistic 0.56); Congestive heart failure, Hypertension, Age ≥75, Diabetes, Stroke, Vascular disease, Age 65 to 74 years, and Sex category (CHA2DS2-VASc) score (c-statistic 0.54); or Hypertension, Abnormal renal/liver function, Stroke, Bleeding history or predisposition, Labile international normalized ratio, Elderly, and Drugs/alcohol concomitantly (HAS-BLED) score (c-statistic 0.58). In ENVISAGE-TAVI AF, several modifiable and nonmodifiable clinical characteristics were significantly associated with greater long-term all-cause mortality. Improved risk stratification to estimate the probability of mortality after successful transcatheter aortic valve implantation in patients with atrial fibrillation may improve long-term patient prognosis.

Aortic valve replacement vs. balloon-expandable and self-expandable transcatheter implantation: A network meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

Recently, observational data have raised concerns about safety of selfexpandable (SE) compared to balloon-expandable (BE) valves in TAVI, although potentially limited by patient selection bias.

METHODS

All Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) comparing BE vs. SE TAVI or/and vs. aortic valve replacement (AVR) were included and compared through Network Meta Analysis (NMA). All-cause and cardiovascular (CV) mortality were the primary endpoints, stroke, rates of permanent pacemaker implantation (PPI), moderate/severe paravalvular leak (PVL) and reintervention were the secondary endpoints. Results We obtained data from 11 RCTs, encompassing 9752 patients. After one and two years, no significant differences for allcause and CV mortality were observed. Compared to surgical bioprostheses, both BE and SE TAVI reduced the risk of acute kidney injury (OR 0.42; CI 95% 0.30-0.60 and OR 0.44; CI 95% 0.32-0.60), new-onset atrial fibrillation (OR 0.24; CI 95% 0.14-0.42 and OR 0.21; CI 95% 0.13-0.34) and major bleedings (OR 0.32; CI 95% 0.16-0.65 and OR 0.47; CI 95% 0.25-0.89). The BE prostheses reduced the risk of moderate/severe PVL at 30-day (OR 0.31; CI 95% 0.17-0.55) and of PPI both at 30-day (OR 0.51; CI 95% 0.33-0.79) and 1 year (OR 0.40; CI 95% 0.30-0.55) as compared to SE TAVI. Conclusions A TAVI strategy, independently from BE or SE prostheses, offers a midterm survival comparable to AVR. The BE prostheses are associated with a reduction of PPI and PVL compared to SE prostheses without any differences in all-cause and CV mortality during two years of follow up. PROSPERO ID CRD42020182407.

Predicting and measuring mortality risk after transcatheter aortic valve replacement

Introduction: Over the last decade, transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) has emerged as a treatment option for most patients with severe symptomatic aortic stenosis (AS). With growing indications and exponential increase in the number of TAVR procedures, it is important to be able to accurately predict mortality after TAVR.Areas covered: Herein, we review the surgical and TAVR-specific mortality prediction models (MPMs) and their performance in their original derivation and external validation cohorts. We then discuss the role of other important risk assessment tools such as frailty, echocardiographic parameters, and biomarkers in patients, being considered for TAVR.Expert opinion: Conventional surgical MPMs have suboptimal predictive performance and are mis-calibrated when applied to TAVR populations. Although a number of TAVR-specific MPMs have been developed, their utility is also limited by their modest discriminative ability when applied to populations external to their original derivation cohorts. There is an unmet need for robust TAVR MPMs that accurately predict post TAVR mortality. In the interim, heart teams should utilize the currently available TAVR-specific MPMs in conjunction with other prognostic factors, such as frailty, echocardiographic or computed tomography (CT) imaging parameters, and biomarkers for risk assessment of patients, being considered for TAVR.

Five-Meter Walk Test as a Predictor of Prolonged Index Hospitalization After Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation

There are no studies evaluating comprehensive predictors of transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) outcomes encompassing frailty assessments in a South-East Asian cohort. In this longitudinal single-center cohort, all patients who underwent TAVI in a tertiary cardiac center and comprehensively assessed for frailty at baseline were included in a registry. The primary outcome was to investigate frailty indices predictive of prolonged index hospitalization after TAVI. Seventy-six patients with a mean age of 77.6 ± 8.5 years were included. Mean Society of Thoracic Society Predicted Risk of Mortality score was 5.2 ± 3.0, with 11 (14.5%) patients classified as high-risk (Society of Thoracic Society Predicted Risk of Mortality >8). Mean and median index hospitalization duration were 9.2 ± 5.6 and 7 [4.5 to 9.5] days, respectively. Univariate analysis demonstrated that lower hemoglobin (Hb) (p <0.01), longer 5-meter walk test (5MWT) (p <0.01), lower dominant hand grip strength (p <0.01), the use of transaortic access (p = 0.01), new atrial fibrillation post-TAVI (p <0.01), and lower postprocedural Hb (p <0.01) were associated with longer index hospitalization duration. Multivariate linear regression demonstrated preoperative Hb, preoperative atrial fibrillation and 5MWT were independent baseline predictors of index hospitalization duration (p <0.05). Additionally, a 5MWT cutoff of 11 seconds (0.45 m/s) had a high specificity (88.6%) in predicting prolonged index hospitalization duration. In conclusion, this is the first comprehensive frailty assessment in a South-East Asian cohort demonstrating 5MWT to be a significant predictor of prolonged index hospitalization. This simple and effective frailty assessment index may be considered to optimize patient selection for TAVI.

Can Clinical Predictive Models Identify Patients Who Should Not Receive TAVR? A Systematic Review

Background

One third of high- and prohibitive-risk TAVR patients remain severely symptomatic or die 1 year after treatment. There is interest in identifying individuals for whom this procedure is futile and should not be offered.

Methods

We performed a systematic review of the highest reported stratum of risk in TAVR clinical predictive models (CPMs). We explore whether currently available predictive models can identify patients for whom TAVR is futile, based on a quantitative futility definition and the observed and predicted outcomes for patients in the highest stratum of risk.

Results

17 TAVR CPMs representing 69,191 treated patients were published from 2013 to 2018. When reported, the median number of patients in the highest stratum of risk was 569 (range 1 to 1759). Observed mortality for this risk stratum ranged from 9% at 30 days to 59% at 1 year after TAVR. Statistical confidence in these observed event rates was low. The highest predicted event rates ranged from 11.0% for in-hospital mortality to 75.1% for the composite of mortality or high symptom burden 1 year after TAVR.

Conclusion

No high-risk TAVR group in currently available TAVR CPMs had an appropriate event rate and adequate statistical power to meet a quantitative definition of futility.

Is the Newly Defined R2CHA2DS2-Vasc Score a Predictor for Late Mortality in Patients Undergoing Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement?

Objective

To assess the performance of the modified R₂CHA₂DS₂-VASc score for predicting mid-to-long-term mortality (> 30 days) in patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR).

Methods

Data of 78 patients who underwent TAVR were retrospectively reviewed. R₂CHA₂DS₂-VASc score was compared with the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation II (EuroSCORE II or ES II) and the transcatheter valve therapytranscatheter aortic valve replacement (TVT-TAVR) risk score.

Results

The mean follow-up period was 17.4±9.9 months (maximum 37 months). Early mortality (first 30 days) was observed in 10 (12.8%) patients, whereas mid-to-long-term mortality (> 30 days) was observed in 26 (33.3%) patients. Non-survivors had higher values of R₂CHA₂DS₂-VASc, ES II, and TAVR scores than survivors (P<0.001, P<0.001, and P=0.001, respectively). Analysis of Pearson’s correlation revealed that R₂CHA₂DS₂-VASc score was moderately correlated with ES II and TAVR scores (r=0.51, P<0.001; r=0.44, P=0.001, respectively). Pairwise comparisons of R₂CHA₂DS₂-VASc (area under the curve [AUC]: 0.870, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.776-0.964; P<0.001), ES II (AUC: 0.801, 95% CI: 0.703-0.899; P<0.001), and TAVR scores (AUC: 0.730, 95% CI: 0.610-852; P=0.002) showed similar accuracy for predicting mortality. R₂CHA₂DS₂-VASc score is an independent predictor of mortality in multivariable Cox regression analysis. A cutoff value of six for R₂CHA₂DS₂-VASc score showed a sensitivity of 74% and a specificity of 89% for predicting mid-to-long-term mortality.

Conclusion

R₂CHA₂DS₂-VASc score, easily calculated from clinical parameters, is associated with prediction of mid-to-longterm mortality in patients undergoing TAVR.

Clinical value of the 20% logistic EuroSCORE cut-off for selecting TAVI candidates: a single-centre cohort study analysis

Background

A logistic European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (logEuroSCORE) ≥20% is frequently recognised as a finite criteria for transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) reimbursement, despite guideline modifications to reflect the appropriacy of TAVI in selected lower-risk patients. The aim was to evaluate the clinical value of this threshold cut-off in TAVI patients and to identify factors associated with mortality in those below this threshold.

Methods

We analysed data from a single-centre, German, observational, TAVI-patient registry, gathered between 2008 and 2016. Patients were stratified by logEuroSCORE (≥ or <20%) for comparisons. Logistic regression was performed to identify predictors of mortality at 1 year, with this analysis used to generate a calculated (‘real’) risk value for each patient.

Results

1679 patients (logEuroSCORE <20%: n=789; logEuroSCORE ≥20%: n=890) were included. LogEuroSCORE <20% patients were significantly younger (80.1 vs 81.6 years; p<0.001) and less comorbid than logEuroSCORE ≥20% patients, with a higher rate of transfemoral TAVI (35.6% vs 26.1%; p<0.001) and predilation (70.0% vs 63.3%; p=0.004). Patients with a logEuroSCORE <20% experienced more vascular complications (3.4% vs 1.5%; p=0.010). One-year survival was 88.3% in the logEuroSCORE <20% and 81.8% in the logEuroSCORE ≥20% group (p=0.005), with the calculated mortality risk falling within 2% of the logEuroSCORE in just 12.9% of patients. In the logEuroSCORE <20% group, only coronary artery disease was significantly predictive of 1-year mortality (OR 2.408; 95% CI 1.361 to 4.262; p=0.003).

Conclusions

At our institution, patients with a logEuroSCORE <20% selected for TAVI have excellent outcomes. The decision not to reimburse TAVI in such patients may be viewed as inappropriate.

The importance of the Heart Team evaluation before transcatheter aortic valve replacement: Results from the BRAVO-3 trial

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Clinicians use validated scores to risk-stratify patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). However, evaluation by the Heart Team often deems patients to be at higher risk than their formal scores suggest. We sought to assess clinical outcomes of TAVR patients defined as high-risk by the Heart Team's assessment versus the patient's logistic EuroSCORE (LES).

METHODS

The BRAVO-3 trial randomized patients at high risk (LES ≥ 18, or deemed inoperable by the Heart Team) to TAVR with periprocedural anticoagulation with unfractionated heparin versus bivalirudin. Endpoints included net adverse cardiac events (NACE: the composite of all-cause mortality, MI, stroke, or bleeding), major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE: death, MI, or stroke), the individual components of MACE, major vascular complications, BARC ≥ 3b bleeding and VARC life-threatening bleeding at 30 days. We compared patients deemed high-risk based on LES ≥ 18 versus high-risk by the Heart Team despite lower LES.

RESULTS

A total of 467/800 (58.4%) patients were deemed high-risk by the Heart Team despite LES < 18. After multivariable analysis, there were no differences in the odds of endpoints between groups (NACE, OR_LES≥18 : 1.32, 95% CI 0.86-2.02, p = .21; MACE, OR_LES≥18 : 1.27, 95% CI 0.72-2.25, p = .41; major vascular complications, OR_LES≥18 : 0.97, 95% CI 0.65-1.44, p = .88; BARC ≥3b, OR_LES≥18 : 1.38, 95% CI 0.82-2.33, p = .23; and VARC life-threatening bleeding, OR_LES≥18 : 0.99, 95% CI 0.69-1.41, p = .95).

CONCLUSION

Patients undergoing TAVR and labeled high-risk by LES ≥ 18 or Heart Team assessment despite LES < 18 have comparable short-term outcomes. Assignment of high-risk status to over 50% of patients is attributable to Heart Team's clinical assessment.

Clinical Prediction Models for Valvular Heart Disease

Background

While many clinical prediction models (CPMs) exist to guide valvular heart disease treatment decisions, the relative performance of these CPMs is largely unknown. We systematically describe the CPMs available for patients with valvular heart disease with specific attention to performance in external validations.

Methods and Results

A systematic review identified 49 CPMs for patients with valvular heart disease treated with surgery (n=34), percutaneous interventions (n=12), or no intervention (n=3). There were 204 external validations of these CPMs. Only 35 (71%) CPMs have been externally validated. Sixty‐five percent (n=133) of the external validations were performed on distantly related populations. There was substantial heterogeneity in model performance and a median percentage change in discrimination of −27.1% (interquartile range, −49.4%–−5.7%). Nearly two‐thirds of validations (n=129) demonstrate at least a 10% relative decline in discrimination. Discriminatory performance of EuroSCORE II and Society of Thoracic Surgeons (2009) models (accounting for 73% of external validations) varied widely: EuroSCORE II validation c‐statistic range 0.50 to 0.95; Society of Thoracic Surgeons (2009) Models validation c‐statistic range 0.50 to 0.86. These models performed well when tested on related populations (median related validation c‐statistics: EuroSCORE II, 0.82 [0.76, 0.85]; Society of Thoracic Surgeons [2009], 0.72 [0.67, 0.79]). There remain few (n=9) external validations of transcatheter aortic valve replacement CPMs.

Conclusions

Many CPMs for patients with valvular heart disease have never been externally validated and isolated external validations appear insufficient to assess the trustworthiness of predictions. For surgical valve interventions, there are existing predictive models that perform reasonably well on related populations. For transcatheter aortic valve replacement (CPMs additional external validations are needed to broadly understand the trustworthiness of predictions.

Comparison of Outcomes of Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation in Patients Aged >90 Years Versus <90 Years

Limited data exist regarding transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) in nonagenarians. This study evaluates the short- and mid-term outcomes of nonagenarians after TAVI. Between 2008 and 2017, all patients who underwent TAVI in 2 centers in Australia were prospectively included in a registry and followed-up for 5 years. Outcomes were based on VARC-2 criteria. Additionally, the patient's reliance on daily living support at 1 year was evaluated. Of the 588 patients, 71 (12.1%) were ≥90 years old (mean age 92.2 ± 2 vs 83.2 ± 6 years in <90-year-old patients), with a median STS-PROM score of 5.7 (vs 3.9 in <90-year-old patients, odds ratio [OR] 1.07, 95% confidence interval 1.01 to 1.13, p = 0.02) and a median clinical frailty score of 4 (vs 4 <90-year-old patients, OR 0.88, p = 0.44). Mortality was 0% in ≥90-year-old patients at 30 days (vs 1.4% in <90-year-old patients; p = 0.82) and 12% at 1 year (vs 7.4%, in <90-year-old patients; hazard ratio 1.64, p = 0.20). There were no significant differences in periprocedural complications and mortality at 5 years between the 2 groups. At 1 year, nonagenarians were significantly more likely to live in an aged-care facility compared with <90-year-old patients (25% vs 16%, OR 5.99, 95% confidence interval 2.62 to 13.67, p <0.001). In conclusion, carefully selected nonagenarians have excellent short- and mid-term outcomes post-TAVI and should therefore not be refused based on age alone. Nevertheless, the significantly higher rate of transfer to an aged-care facility highlights the importance of a more refined frailty assessment before TAVI than the currently widely used clinical frailty score.

Factors influencing the choice between transcatheter and surgical treatment of severe aortic stenosis in patients younger than 80 years: Results from the OBSERVANT study

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to analyze the baseline features and clinical outcomes of patients younger than 80 years undergoing transfemoral transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) or surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) enrolled in the OBservational Study of Effectiveness of SAVR-TAVR procedures for severe Aortic steNosis Treatment (OBSERVANT) real-world study, focusing on variables guiding Heart Team decision toward TAVI.

BACKGROUND

Patients treated with TAVI, independently of surgical risk score, are mostly older than 80 years.

METHODS

OBSERVANT is a multicenter, observational, prospective cohort study that enrolled patients with symptomatic severe aortic stenosis (AS) who underwent SAVR or TAVI from December 2010 to June 2012 in 93 Italian participating hospitals. For this analysis, baseline characteristics, therapeutic approach and outcomes up to 5 years of follow-up of 4,801 patients under 80 years of age were collected. Patients were stratified by age classes (<65, 65-74, and 75-79 years).

RESULTS

Patients <80 years of age with severe symptomatic AS undergoing TAVI (n = 483) had significantly higher Logistic EuroSCORE (10.84% vs. 5.22%, p < .001) and prevalence of comorbidities compared to subjects undergoing SAVR (n = 4,318). The decision to perform TAVI over SAVR was driven by anatomical factors, mainly previous cardiac surgery (odds ratio [OR] 24.73, confidence interval [CI] 12.71-48.10, p < .001) and the presence of porcelain aorta (OR 17.44, CI 6.67-45.55, p < .001), and clinical factors, mainly moderate-severe frailty score (OR 5.49, CI 3.33-9.07, p < .001), oxygen dependency (OR 7.42, CI 2.75-20.04, p < .001) and need for dialytic treatment (OR 5.24, CI 1.54-17.80, p < .008). Among patients undergoing TAVI, those under 65 years had the highest baseline risk profile (despite a low Logistic EuroSCORE) and the highest 5-year mortality compared to those 65-74 and 75-79-year-old (65.22% vs. 48.54% vs. 55.24%, log-rank p = .061).

CONCLUSION

Among patients under 80 years of age with symptomatic severe AS, only 10% underwent TAVI. These patients were at higher baseline risk compared to those undergoing SAVR. The decision to perform TAVI was driven by the presence of both anatomical and clinical factors beyond surgical risk scores. Patients under 65 years of age, despite the low Logistic EuroSCORE, had the highest preoperative risk profile and carried the worse outcome.

Usefulness of the CHA2DS2-VASc Score to Predict Outcome in Patients Who Underwent Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation

Risk assessment for transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) patients remains challenging, especially in elderly and high-risk candidates. Although several risk factors contribute to increased morbidity and mortality after TAVI, simple risk scores for routine use are lacking. Applying the CHA₂DS₂-VAS_C (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥ 75 years, diabetes, prior stroke, vascular disease, age 65-74 years, sex [female] category) score as a novel risk stratification tool for conditions other than atrial fibrillation and stroke prevention has been previously examined; however, its usefulness in a population of patients with aortic stenosis after TAVI has not been established. Thus, we investigated 633 consecutive patients who underwent TAVI between November 2008 and May 2017, and calculated the CHA₂DS₂-VAS_C score. Patients were stratified according to their CHA₂DS₂-VAS_C score into 3 categories (0 to 3, 4 to 6, 7 to 9), and the association between CHA₂DS₂-VAS_C score and 1-year clinical outcomes (stroke, all-cause mortality, and combined outcome of stroke or mortality) was evaluated. We found that both stroke and mortality at 1 year were significantly more frequent with increasing CHA₂DS₂-VAS_C score (p = 0.012 and p = 0.025, respectively). Each single-point rise in CHA₂DS₂-VAS_C score was associated with a 38% increase in the 1-year combined outcome of mortality or stroke (p = 0.022; C index 0.615). In conclusion, CHA₂DS₂-VAS_C score can be used as a simple and effective tool to predict 1-year clinical outcomes including death and stroke in patients who underwent TAVI.

ANMCO/SIC/SICI-GISE/SICCH Executive Summary of Consensus Document on Risk Stratification in elderly patients with aortic stenosis before surgery or transcatheter aortic valve replacement

Aortic stenosis is one of the most frequent valvular diseases in developed countries, and its impact on public health resources and assistance is increasing. A substantial proportion of elderly people with severe aortic stenosis is not eligible to surgery because of the advanced age, frailty, and multiple co-morbidities. Transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) enables the treatment of very elderly patients at high or prohibitive surgical risk considered ineligible for surgery and with an acceptable life expectancy. However, a significant percentage of patients die or show no improvement in quality of life (QOL) in the follow-up. In the decision-making process, it is important to determine: (i) whether and how much frailty of the patient influences the risk of procedures; (ii) how the QOL and the individual patient's survival are influenced by aortic valve disease or from other associated conditions; and (iii) whether a geriatric specialist intervention to evaluate and correct frailty or other diseases with their potential or already manifest disabilities can improve the outcome of surgery or TAVI. Consequently, in addition to risk stratification with conventional tools, a number of factors including multi-morbidity, disability, frailty, and cognitive function should be considered, in order to assess the expected benefit of both surgery and TAVI. The pre-operative optimization through a multidisciplinary approach with a Heart Team can counteract the multiple damage (cardiac, neurological, muscular, respiratory, and kidney) that can potentially aggravate the reduced physiological reserves characteristic of frailty. The systematic application in clinical practice of multidimensional assessment instruments of frailty and cognitive function in the screening and the adoption of specific care pathways should facilitate this task.

Meta-Analysis of Effect of Body Mass Index on Outcomes After Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation

Controversial data exist regarding the impact of body mass index (BMI) on TAVI outcomes. Thirteen TAVI studies were included and analyzed for the incidence of procedural complications, 30-day, and long-term all-cause mortality. Three comparisons were executed: (1) underweight versus normal weight, (2) overweight versus normal weight, and (3) obese versus normal weight patients. Underweight patients (BMI <20 kg/m²) had similar 30-day all-cause mortality compared with the normal, although they displayed a significant worse survival at long-term follow-up (hazard ratio 1.68, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.09 to 2.59, p = 0.02). Underweight patients showed a higher incidence of major and life-threatening bleedings (2,566 patients, odds ratio 1.64, 95% CI 1.10 to 2.45, p = 0.02) and of major vascular complications (2,566 patients, odds ratio 1.86, 95% CI 1.16 to 2.98, p = 0.01), compared with normal weight patients. Overweight patients (BMI ≥25 and <30 kg/m²) display similar 30-day and long-term all-cause mortality, as well as similar procedural complication rate compared with normal weight patients. Obese patients (BMI >30 kg/m²) had similar 30-day all-cause mortality rates compared with the normal weight category, whereas they displayed a significant better survival at long-term (hazard ratio 0.79, 95% CI 0.67 to 0.93, p = 0.004). Procedural complications did not differ between obese and normal body weight patients. In conclusion, a low BMI is linked to a significantly worse prognosis after TAVI. Therefore, BMI represents an important and handily tool that might be used in the risk prediction of patients to be addressed for TAVI.

Outcomes of patients with low-pressure aortic gradient undergoing transcatheter aortic valve implantation: A Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The risk/benefit balance of transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) in patients with low-gradient aortic stenosis (LGAS) remains to be well defined. Aim of the study was to investigate the impact of LGAS in patients undergoing TAVI.

METHODS

Medline, Cochrane Library, and Scopus were searched for articles reporting outcome of patients with LGAS undergoing TAVI. The primary endpoint was 12-months all-cause mortality and the secondary endpoint was 30-day all-cause mortality. Using event-rates as dependent variable, a meta-regression was performed to test for interaction between baseline clinical features (age, gender, diabetes mellitus, coronary artery disease, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and type of implanted valve) and transaortic gradient for the primary endpoint.

RESULTS

Eight studies with a total of 12,589 patients were included. Almost one-third of the patients presented with LGAS (27.3%: 24.4-29.2). Median LVEF was 48% in patients with LGAS and 56% in patients with high-gradient AS. Patients with LGAS were more likely to have diabetes mellitus, previous coronary artery disease, higher mean Logistic EuroSCORE, and lower EF. At 12 (12-16.6) months, low transaortic gradient emerged as independently associated with all-cause death, both if evaluated as a dichotomous and continuous value (respectively OR 1.17; 1.11-1.23 and OR 1.02; 1-1.04, all CI 95%). Clinical variables, including EF did not affect this result.

CONCLUSIONS

In a population of TAVI patients, LGAS appears to be independently related to dismal prognosis. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

Validation of transcatheter aortic valve implantation risk scores in relation to early and mid-term survival: a single-centre study

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to validate recently proposed risk scores for the prediction of mortality up to 1 year after transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI), using a self-expandable valve (CoreValve).

METHODS

In this single-centre study, 225 consecutive patients with severe symptomatic aortic valve stenosis, who underwent TAVI between December 2007 and January 2015, were included. Conventional surgical risk scores (logistic EuroSCORE, EuroSCORE II and STS score) were calculated as well as newly proposed TAVI risk scores (TAVI2-SCORe, STT Score and OBSERVANT score). Medium-term survival of the patients was assessed up to 1 year after TAVI.

RESULTS

The median age was 82 (77-86) years and 45.3% were male. Patients were categorized into 'non-high risk' or 'high risk' according to logistic EuroSCORE >20%, EuroSCORE II >8%, STS score >10%, TAVI2-SCORe >2, STT score >12% and OBSERVANT score >6. Thirty-day and 1-year survival rates were significantly different between 'non-high-risk' and 'high-risk' patients according to the STS score (1 year: low: 84.4% vs high: 67.0%, P = 0.010) and according to OBSERVANT score (1 year: low: 85.2% vs high: 68.4%, P = 0.005). In contrast, TAVI2-SCORe and STT score did not discriminate 'non-high-risk' and 'high-risk' patients. This was confirmed by Cox regression analysis [STS score >10%: hazard ratio: 2.484 (1.206-5.115), P = 0.014; OBSERVANT score >6: hazard ratio: 2.532 (1.295-4.952), P = 0.007].

CONCLUSIONS

In this single-centre study, OBSERVANT and STS score most accurately predicted early and mid-term survival in patients undergoing TAVI, using a self-expandable valve (CoreValve).