Temporal Changes in Postdischarge Mortality Risk After Hospitalization for Heart Failure (from the EVEREST Trial)

Diagnostic and predictive abilities of myokines in patients with heart failure

Myokines are defined as a heterogenic group of numerous cytokines, peptides and metabolic derivates, which are expressed, synthesized, produced, and released by skeletal myocytes and myocardial cells and exert either auto- and paracrine, or endocrine effects. Previous studies revealed that myokines play a pivotal role in mutual communications between skeletal muscles, myocardium and remote organs, such as brain, vasculature, bone, liver, pancreas, white adipose tissue, gut, and skin. Despite several myokines exert complete divorced biological effects mainly in regulation of skeletal muscle hypertrophy, residential cells differentiation, neovascularization/angiogenesis, vascular integrity, endothelial function, inflammation and apoptosis/necrosis, attenuating ischemia/hypoxia and tissue protection, tumor growth and malignance, for other occasions, their predominant effects affect energy homeostasis, glucose and lipid metabolism, adiposity, muscle training adaptation and food behavior. Last decade had been identified 250 more myokines, which have been investigating for many years further as either biomarkers or targets for heart failure management. However, only few myokines have been allocated to a promising tool for monitoring adverse cardiac remodeling, ischemia/hypoxia-related target-organ dysfunction, microvascular inflammation, sarcopenia/myopathy and prediction for poor clinical outcomes among patients with HF. This we concentrate on some most plausible myokines, such as myostatin, myonectin, brain-derived neurotrophic factor, muslin, fibroblast growth factor 21, irisin, leukemia inhibitory factor, developmental endothelial locus-1, interleukin-6, nerve growth factor and insulin-like growth factor-1, which are suggested to be useful biomarkers for HF development and progression.

Predicting Prognosis in Internal Medicine: A Short and Long-Term Mortality Comparison Analysis

Introduction

The marked increase in life expectancy seen in Portugal in the last five decades led to a change in the profile of patients being most commonly admitted in internal medicine wards. In deciding the best care for these patients, prognostication models are needed in order to reduce readmissions, mortality, and adequate care. We aimed to study short and long-term mortality and predictors of all-cause mortality, independently of cause admission, of patients admitted in an internal medicine ward.

Methods

This two-part, single-center study enrolled patients from October 2013 to October 2014 with a follow-up of 60 months.

Results

A total of 681 patients were included; the mean age was 75.86 years with 60.4% females. The most frequent comorbidities were anemia, hypertension, and renal impairment. More than half of the population died in the follow-up period (51.5%). Deaths were significantly higher in the first six months after discharge (53% of all deaths) and then decreased abruptly to 11.6% in the second half-year after discharge. Based on the multivariate logistic regression model, with age over 80 years, anemia and neoplasm were independent predictors of short-term (p<0.001, p=0.001, p<0.001, respectively) and long-term (p<0.001 for the three conditions) mortality. Heart failure (p=0.018) and diabetes (p=0.025) were also predictors of long-term mortality.

Conclusion

High mortality, mainly in the first six months after discharge, elicits strategies targeting transition of care and close follow-up in the first months, which can be the key to improving outcomes. Identification of patients at higher risk may help design realistic models aiming to improve care for this frail population and decrease morbimortality.

Prognostic Role of Prior Heart Failure Hospitalization Among Patients Hospitalized for Worsening Chronic Heart Failure

BACKGROUND

Hospitalization for heart failure (HF) is associated with increased risk of death among patients with chronic HF. The degree to which hospitalization for HF is a distinct biologic entity with independent prognostic value versus a marker of higher risk chronic HF patients is unclear.

METHODS

After excluding patients with new-onset HF, the ASCEND-HF trial (Acute Study of Clinical Effectiveness of Nesiritide in Decompensated Heart Failure) included 4205 patients hospitalized for worsening chronic HF with reduced or preserved ejection fraction. The present analysis compared patients by presence or absence of prior HF hospitalization within 12 months and by timing of prior HF hospitalization relative to index hospitalization. Associations with 180-day all-cause mortality were assessed, including adjustment for 27 prespecified clinical factors.

RESULTS

Overall, 2241 (53.3%) patients had a HF hospitalization within the prior 12 months and 1964 (46.7%) did not. Mortality rates at 180 days were 15.5% and 11.9%, respectively. In unadjusted analyses, prior HF hospitalization was associated with increased risk of 180-day mortality (HR, 1.35 [95% CI, 1.14-1.59]; P<0.01). After adjustment, the point estimate was attenuated and the association not statistically significant (HR, 1.18 [95% CI, 0.99-1.40]; P=0.064). Similarly, after adjustment, compared with patients without prior hospitalization, prior HF hospitalization was not associated with mortality, irrespective of timing (0-4 months: HR, 1.10 [95% CI, 0.87-1.39], P=0.41; 4-8 months: HR, 0.95 [95% CI, 0.70-1.27]; P=0.72; 8-12 months: HR, 1.06 [95% CI, 0.74-1.51], P=0.77; >12 months: HR, 0.81 [95% CI, 0.63-1.06], P=0.12).

CONCLUSIONS

In this cohort of patients hospitalized for worsening HF, prior HF hospitalization was not associated with 180-day mortality after comprehensively accounting for patient characteristics measured during the index patient visit. Clinical confounders measured at the point-of-care may explain previously observed associations between prior HF hospitalization and mortality, and these clinical factors may be a more direct means of predicting patient survival. Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT00475852.

Mildly symptomatic heart failure with reduced ejection fraction: diagnostic and therapeutic considerations

AIMS

Whereas up to about half of patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) report no or only mild symptoms and are considered as clinically stable, the progressive nature of HFrEF, often silent, renders clinical stability a misleading situation, especially if disease progression is unrecognized. We highlight the challenges in the definition of clinical stability and mild symptomatic status in HFrEF, outline clinical characteristics and available diagnostic tools, and discuss evidence and gaps in the current guidelines for the management of these patients.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This is a state-of-the-art review that focuses on clinical, diagnostic, and therapeutic aspects in mildly symptomatic HFrEF patients; summarizes the challenges; and proposes directions for future research in this group of patients. The New York Heart Association classification has been widely used as a measure of prognosis in HFrEF, but it lacks objectivity and reproducibility in terms of symptoms assessment. The definition of clinical stability as described in current guidelines is vague and may often lead to underdiagnosis of disease progression in patients who appear to be 'stable' but in fact are at an increased risk of clinical worsening, hospitalization, or death. Although an increasing number of clinical trials proved that the efficacy of HFrEF therapies was unrelated to the symptomatic status of patients and led to their implementation early in the course of the disease, clinical inertia in terms of under-prescription or underdosing of guideline-recommended medications in mildly symptomatic HFrEF patients is still a challenging issue to deal with.

CONCLUSIONS

Mildly symptomatic status in a patient with HFrEF is very frequent; it should not be ignored and should not be regarded as an index of disease stability. The application of risk scores designed to predict mortality and mode of death should be engaged among mildly symptomatic patients, not only to identify the most suitable HF candidates for cardioverter defibrillator implantation, but also to identify patients who might benefit from early intensification of medical treatment before the implementation of more interventional approaches.

Acutely decompensated versus acute heart failure: two different entities

Heart failure (HF) has been classified in chronic HF (CHF) and acute HF (AHF). The latter has been subdivided in acutely decompensated chronic HF (ADCHF) defined as the deterioration of preexisting CHF and de novo AHF defined as the rapid development of new symptoms and signs of HF that requires urgent medical attention. However, ADCHF and de novo AHF have fundamental pathophysiological differences. Most importantly, the typical illness trajectory of HF, which is similar to that of other chronic organ diseases including lung, renal, and liver failure, features a gradual decline, with acute episodes usually related to disease evolution followed by partial recovery. Thus, ADCHF should be considered part of the natural history of CHF and renamed CHF exacerbation (CHFE) in accordance with the appropriate terminology used in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. AHF, in turn, should include only acute de novo HF. The clinical implications of this paradigm shift will be in CHFE the change in focus from in-hospital to optimal ambulatory CHF management aiming at primary and secondary CHFE prevention, while in AHF, the institution of measures for in-hospital limitation of cardiac injury and prevention or retardation of symptomatic CHF development.

Long-Term Tolvaptan Treatment in Refractory Heart Failure

Background: The vasopressin type-2 receptor antagonist tolvaptan is an essential tool in the management of decompensated heart failure (HF) in the inpatient setting for short-term use with careful monitoring. There is conflicting evidence, however, for its long-term use.

Methods and Results: In this prospective, multi-center, open-labeled, randomized control trial, Assessment of QUAlity of life during long-term treatment of ToLVaptan in refractory HF (AQUA-TLV study), patients with congestive HF refractory to furosemide ≥60 mg/day were randomly assigned to a control group or tolvaptan add-on group and followed for 6 months, after confirmation of baseline urine osmolality ≥350 mOsm/L. Twenty-nine patients (median age, 60 years; 22 male) were enrolled and assigned to a control group (n=16) or a tolvaptan group (n=13). Minnesota Living with Heart Failure Questionnaire score improved significantly in the tolvaptan group (from 58 to 10, P=0.030). In the tolvaptan group, diuretics dose reduced (P=0.001), serum creatinine decreased (P=0.040), and hyponatremia tended to improve (P=0.12). The tolvaptan group had a lower HF readmission rate compared with the control group (0.213 vs. 1.242 events/year, P=0.13).

Conclusions: Six-month tolvaptan therapy improved quality of life and renal function and reduced HF readmissions, when given to the estimated responders (UMIN Clinical Trial Registry Number: UMIN 000009604).

Outpatient Worsening Heart Failure as a Target for Therapy: A Review

Importance

Hospitalizations for worsening heart failure (WHF) represent an enormous public health and financial burden, with physicians, health systems, and payers placing increasing emphasis on hospitalization prevention. In addition, maximizing time out of the hospital is an important patient-centered outcome. In this review, we discuss the concept of outpatient WHF, highlight the rationale and data for the outpatient treatment of WHF as an alternative to hospitalization, and examine opportunities and strategies for developing outpatient "interceptive" therapies for treatment of worsening symptoms and prevention of hospitalization.

Observations

Worsening heart failure has traditionally been synonymous with an episode of in-hospital care for worsening symptoms. While WHF often leads to hospitalization, many patients experience WHF in the outpatient setting and carry a similarly poor prognosis. These findings support WHF as a distinct condition, independent of location of care. For those that are hospitalized, most patients have an uncomplicated clinical course, with diuretics as the only intravenous therapy. Although complicated scenarios exist, it is conceivable that improved tools for outpatient management of clinical congestion would allow a greater proportion of hospitalized patients to receive comparable care outside the hospital. Most patients with WHF have a gradual onset of congestive signs and symptoms, offering a potential window in which effective therapy may abort continued worsening and obviate the need for hospitalization. To date, outpatient WHF has received minimal attention in randomized clinical trials, but this high-risk group possesses key features that favor effective clinical trial investigation.

Conclusions and Relevance

As the public health and economic burdens of heart failure continue to grow, recognizing the entity of outpatient WHF is critical. Efforts to reduce heart failure hospitalization should include developing effective therapies and care strategies for outpatient WHF. The outpatient WHF population represents a major opportunity for therapeutic advancements that could fundamentally change heart failure care delivery.

Combined use of lung ultrasound, B-type natriuretic peptide, and echocardiography for outcome prediction in patients with acute HFrEF and HFpEF

BACKGROUND

Lung ultrasound (LUS) can be used to assess pulmonary congestion by imaging B-lines ('comets') for patients with acute heart failure (AHF).

OBJECTIVES

Investigate relationship of B-lines, plasma concentrations of B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP), and echocardiographic left ventricular (LV) function measured at admission and discharge and their relationship to prognosis for AHF with preserved (HFpEF) or reduced (HFrEF) LV ejection fraction.

METHODS

Patients with AHF had the above tests done at admission and discharge. The primary outcome was re-hospitalization for heart failure or death at 6 months.

RESULTS

Of 162 patients enrolled, 95 had HFrEF and 67 had HFpEF, median age was 80 [77-85] years, and 85 (52%) were women. The number of B-lines at admission (median 31 [27-36]) correlated with respiratory rate (r = 0.75; p < 0.001), BNP (r = 0.43; p < 0.001), clinical congestion score (r = 0.25; p = 0.001), and systolic pulmonary artery pressure (r = 0.42; p < 0.001). At discharge, B-lines were also correlated with BNP (r = 0.69; p < 0.001) and congestion score (r = 0.57; p < 0.001). B-line count at discharge predicted outcome (AUC 0.83 [0.77-0.90]; univariate HR 1.12 [1.09-1.16]; p < 0.001; multivariable HR 1.16 [1.11-1.21]; p < 0.001). Results were similar for HFpEF and HFrEF.

CONCLUSIONS

LUS appears a useful method to assess severity and monitor the resolution of lung congestion. At hospital admission, B-lines are strongly related to respiratory rate, which may be a key component of the sensation of dyspnea. Measurement of lung congestion at discharge provides prognostic information for patients with either HFpEF or HFrEF.

Ratio of Systolic Blood Pressure to Right Atrial Pressure, a Novel Marker to Predict Morbidity and Mortality in Acute Systolic Heart Failure

Congestion is the main contributor to heart failure (HF) morbidity and mortality. We assessed the combined role of congestion and decreased forward flow in predicting morbidity and mortality in acute systolic HF. The Evaluation Study of Congestive Heart Failure and Pulmonary Artery Catheterization Effectiveness trial data set was used to determine if the ratio of simultaneously measured systolic blood pressure (SBP)/right atrial pressure (RAP) on admission predicted HF rehospitalization and 6-month mortality. One hundred ninety-five patients (mean age 56.5 years, 75% men) who received pulmonary artery catheterization were studied. The RAP, SBP, and SBP/RAP had an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.593 (p = 0.0205), 0.585 (p = 0.0359), and 0.621 (p = 0.0026), respectively, in predicting HF rehospitalization. The SBP/RAP was a superior marker of HF rehospitalization compared with RAP alone (difference in AUC 0.0289, p = 0.0385). The optimal criterion of SBP/RAP <11 provided the highest combined sensitivity (77.1%) and specificity (50.9%) in predicting HF rehospitalization. The SBP/RAP had an AUC 0.622, p = 0.0108, and a cut-off value of SBP/RAP <8 had a sensitivity of 61.9% and specificity 64.1% in predicting mortality. Multivariate analysis showed that an SBP/RAP <11 independently predicted rehospitalization for HF (estimated odds ratio 3.318, 95% confidence interval 1.692 to 6.506, p = 0.0005) and an SBP/RAP <8 independently predicted mortality (estimated hazard ratio 2.025, 95% confidence interval 1.069 to 3.833, p = 0.030). In conclusion, SBP/RAP ratio is a marker that identifies a spectrum of complications after hospitalization of patients with decompensated systolic HF, starting with increased incidence of HF rehospitalization at SBP/RAP <11 to increased mortality with SBP/RAP <8.