Impact of Frailty and Disability on 30-Day Mortality in Older Patients With Acute Heart Failure

The Impact of Acute Heart Failure on Frailty Degree and Outcomes in Elderly Patients with Severe Aortic Stenosis and Chronic Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction

Frailty degree plays a critical role in the decision-making and outcomes of elderly patients with severe aortic stenosis (AS). Acute heart failure (AHF) results in a severely worse clinical hemodynamic status in this population. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of AHF on frailty degree and outcomes in older patients referred for tailored interventional treatment due to AS. A total of 109 patients (68% female; mean age 83.3 ± 5.4), evaluated by a multidisciplinary path for "frailty-based management" of valve disease, were divided into two groups, one with (AHF+) and one without AHF (AHF-) and preserved ejection fraction (mean value EF: 57.4 ± 8.6). AHF occurred a mean value of 55 days before geriatric, clinical, and surgical assessment. A follow-up for all-cause mortality and readmission was conducted at 20 months. AHF+ patients showed a higher frequency of advanced frailty (53.3% vs. 46.7%, respectively), rehospitalization (35.5% vs. 12.8; p = 0.007), and death (41.9% vs. 12.8%; p < 0.001). In stepwise logistic regression analysis, AHF emerged as an independent risk factor for advanced frailty (OR: 3.8 CI 1.3-10.7; p = 0.01) and hospital readmission (OR: 3.6 CI 1.1-11.6; p = 0.03). In addition, preceding AHF was an independent determinant associated with a higher risk of mortality (HR 2.65; CI 95% 1.04-6.74; p-value 0.04). AHF is independently associated with advanced frailty and poor outcomes in elderly patients with severe AS. So, this population needs careful clinical and geriatric monitoring and the implementation of interventional therapy for AS in the early stages of frailty to avoid the occurrence of AHF and poor outcomes.

Association Between Chronic Diseases and Frailty in a Sample of Older Greek Inpatients

INTRODUCTION

Previous reports have associated frailty with the existence of various chronic diseases. Especially for cardiovascular diseases, this relationship seems to be bidirectional as common pathophysiological mechanisms lead to the progression of both diseases and frailty. The study aimed to examine the relationship between chronic diseases and frailty in a sample of older Greek inpatients Methodology: In 457 consecutively admitted older patients (226, 49.5% females), the median age was 82 years (interquartile range [IQR] 75-89), and demographic factors, medical history, cause of admission, and the degree of frailty assessed with the Clinical Frailty Scale were recorded. The level of frailty was calculated for the pre-hospital status of the patients. Parametric tests and logistic regression analysis were applied to identify diseases independently associated with frailty.

RESULTS

Using the scale, 277 patients (60.6%) were classified as frail and 180 as non-frail (39.4%). In univariate analysis, frail patients were more likely to have respiratory disease, dementia, Parkinson's disease, chronic kidney disease (CKD), atrial fibrillation (AFIB), neoplastic disease, depression, stroke, heart failure (HF), and coronary artery disease. In binomial regression analysis, the diseases that were statistically significantly associated with frailty were respiratory diseases (P = 0.009, odds ratio [OR] = 2.081, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.198-3.615), dementia (P ≤ 0.001, OR = 20.326, 95% CI 8.354-49.459), Parkinson's disease (P = 0.049, OR = 3.920, 95% CI 1.005-15.295), CKD (P = 0.018, OR = 2.542, 95% CI 1.172-5.512), AFIB (P = 0.017, OR = 1.863, 95% CI 1.118-3.103), HF (P = 0.002, OR = 2.411, 95% CI 1.389-4.185), and coronary artery disease (P = 0.004, OR = 2.434, 95% CI 1.324-4.475).

CONCLUSIONS

Among diseases independently associated with frailty, chronic diseases such as respiratory diseases, dementia, Parkinson's disease, CKD, and cardiovascular diseases (AFIB, HF, and coronary heart disease) have an important role. Recognizing the diseases that are highly related to frailty may contribute, by their optimal management, to delaying the progression or even reversing frailty in a large proportion of the elderly.

A Systematic Review of Frailty Scores Used in Heart Failure Patients

BACKGROUND

Frailty is a complex, multi-dimensional syndrome commonly observed in patients with heart failure (HF). The presence of frailty in patients living with HF is strongly associated with increased vulnerability to adverse events, including falls, hospitalisation, and increased mortality. Several scoring systems have been developed to assess the presence of frailty in patients with HF. These scoring systems vary in their complexity and applicability; however, they provide the physician with a more comprehensive understanding of the biological, functional, and psycho-social needs of these patients.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the clinical applicability of frailty tools in HF patients and their prognostic value, specifically relating to outcomes such as mortality, readmissions, and clinical deterioration.

METHODS

A literature search using six electronic databases (PubMed, Scopus, Embase, Medline, Cochrane and Web of Science) was performed in accordance with Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. Key search Medical Subject Headings (MeSH) terms combined "Frailty" AND "Heart failure". Studies were included if they assessed frailty using systematically defined criteria in a HF population. The PRISMA guidelines were used to include all relevant articles based on titles and abstracts. Full text articles were screened based on abstract relevance. A systematic narrative review of the literature was conducted on the final list of full text articles.

RESULTS

An initial search yielded 8,066 articles. Following the removal of duplicates, title, and abstract searches, the remaining 154 articles underwent full text review, with 31 articles accepted for final qualitative synthesis. The two most utilised frailty scores were the Fried Frailty Phenotype (n=10) and the Barthel Index (n=8). The frailty scores provide prognostic data on multiple outcomes including mortality, increased hospitalisation, and functional decline.

CONCLUSION

At the present time there is no universally applied frailty measure in a HF population. Choice of frailty score should be guided by physician experience and clinical setting, as well as tailored to a patient's functional, biological, and psycho-social circumstances. A push to adopt a single universal scoring system may help to ensure that frailty is assessed in all patients who live with HF.

Practical management of frailty in older patients with heart failure: Statement from a panel of multidisciplinary experts on behalf the Heart Failure Working Group of the French Society of Cardiology and on behalf French Society of Geriatrics and Gerontology

AIMS

The heart failure (HF) prognosis in older patients remains poor with a high 5-years mortality rate more frequently attributed to noncardiovascular causes. The complex interplay between frailty and heart failure contribute to poor health outcomes of older adults with HF independently of ejection fraction. The aim of this position paper is to propose a practical management of frailty in older patients with heart failure.

METHODS

A panel of multidisciplinary experts on behalf the Heart Failure Working Group of the French Society of Cardiology and on behalf French Society of Geriatrics and Gerontology conducted a systematic literature search on the interlink between frailty and HF, met to propose an early frailty screening by non-geriatricians and to propose ways to implement management plan of frailty. Statements were agreed by expert consensus.

RESULTS

Clinically relevant aspects of interlink between frailty and HF have been reported to identify the population eligible for screening and the most suitable screening test(s). The frailty screening program proposed focuses on frailty model defined by an accumulation of deficits including geriatric syndromes, comorbidities, for older patients with HF in different settings of care. The management plan of frailty includes optimization of HF pharmacological treatments and non-surgical device treatment as well as optimization of a global patient-centred biopsychosocial blended collaborative care pathway.

CONCLUSION

The current manuscript provides practical recommendations on how to screen and optimize frailty management in older patients with heart failure.

The utility of the Barthel index as an outcome predictor in older patients with acute infection attending the emergency department

BACKGROUND

Functional decline and frailty are common in older adults and influence the risk of adverse outcomes. We aimed to assess the value of a Barthel index at the Emergency Department (ED-BI) score in predicting 30-day mortality and ED reconsultation among older patients with acute infection.

METHODS

We performed a prospective multicentre cohort study of older patients (≥75 years) diagnosed with acute infection in 69 Spanish EDs. Demographic, comorbidities, functional status, clinical and analytical data were collected. Unadjusted and adjusted logistic regression models were used to assess the association between ED-BI score, mortality and ED reconsultation.

RESULTS

In total 1596 patients with a mean age of 84.7 years were included in the study and 51.7% female. The most frequent focus of infection was respiratory in 918 patients (57.5%). Patients with an ED-BI< 60 points were significantly older, predominantly female, more likely institutionalized and more urinary infections. When comparing patients with an ED-BI score ≥ 60 points with those< 60 points no differences were found in ED reconsultation but in the latter group mortality at 30-days was higher (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

An ED-BI score< 60 points appears to be a strong predictor of mortality at the 30-day follow up in older patients with acute infection.

DATA AVAILABILITY

The data used to support the findings of this study are included within the article.

Association of adipokines with frailty in heart failure

Background

Frailty is a multifactorial physiological syndrome most often associated with age but which has received increasing recognition as a component of chronic illnesses such as heart failure. Patients with heart failure are likely to be frail, irrespective of their age. Adipokine dysregulation, which is associated with frailty, occurs in patients with heart failure. In this study, we tested the hypothesis that adipokines are associated with skeletal muscle and bone mineral density that change lead to frailty in patients with heart failure.

Methods

Thirty-five patients with heart failure (age, 67 ± 14 years; 25 males; left ventricular ejection fraction, 45 ± 19%) were included. Serum adipokine levels, physical performance, and body composition were measured.

Results

Adiponectin and leptin were inversely correlated with grip strength. Adiponectin was inversely correlated with bone mineral density. Leptin was positively correlated with fat mass. Adipokines were not correlated with skeletal muscle mass.

Conclusions

Adipokines were associated with grip strength and bone mineral density in patients with heart failure. Adipokine dysregulation may play a role in the development of frailty in heart failure.

Risk stratification scores for patients with acute heart failure in the Emergency Department: A systematic review

AIMS

This study aimed to systematically identify and summarise all risk scores evaluated in the emergency department setting to stratify acute heart failure patients.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A systematic review of PubMed and Web of Science was conducted including all multicentre studies reporting the use of risk predictive models in emergency department acute heart failure patients. Exclusion criteria were: (a) non-original articles; (b) prognostic models without predictive purposes; and (c) risk models without consecutive patient inclusion or exclusively tested in patients admitted to a hospital ward. We identified 28 studies reporting findings on 19 scores: 13 were originally derived in the emergency department (eight exclusively using acute heart failure patients), and six in emergency department and hospitalised patients. The outcome most frequently predicted was 30-day mortality. The performance of the scores tended to be higher for outcomes occurring closer to the index acute heart failure event. The eight scores developed using acute heart failure patients only in the emergency department contained between 4-13 predictors (age, oxygen saturation and creatinine/urea included in six scores). Five scores (Emergency Heart Failure Mortality Risk Grade, Emergency Heart Failure Mortality Risk Grade 30 Day mortality ST depression, Epidemiology of Acute Heart Failure in Emergency department 3 Day, Acute Heart Failure Risk Score, and Multiple Estimation of risk based on Emergency department Spanish Score In patients with Acute Heart Failure) have been externally validated in the same country, and two (Emergency Heart Failure Mortality Risk Grade and Multiple Estimation of risk based on Emergency department Spanish Score In patients with Acute Heart Failure) further internationally validated. The c-statistic for Emergency Heart Failure Mortality Risk Grade to predict seven-day mortality was between 0.74-0.81 and for Multiple Estimation of risk based on Emergency department Spanish Score In patients with Acute Heart Failure to predict 30-day mortality was 0.80-0.84.

CONCLUSIONS

There are several scales for risk stratification of emergency department acute heart failure patients. Two of them are accurate, have been adequately validated and may be useful in clinical decision-making in the emergency department i.e. about whether to admit or discharge.

Consensus of experts from the French Society of Geriatrics and Gerontology on the management of heart failure in very old subjects

The prevalence of heart failure increases with age. In France, the 1-year mortality rate is 35% in subjects aged 80-89 years with heart failure, and 50% after the age of 90 years. In octogenarians, heart failure is associated with high rates of cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular events, and is one of the main causes of hospitalization and disability. The prevalence of frailty increases in elderly subjects with heart failure, and the co-occurrence of heart failure and frailty increases the risk of mortality in patients with heart failure. In the elderly, the presence of frailty must be evaluated using a comprehensive geriatric assessment to manage geriatric syndromes, such as cognitive disorders, malnutrition, falls, depression, polypharmacy, disability and social isolation. The objective of heart failure therapy in octogenarians is to reduce symptoms, mortality and hospitalizations, but also to improve quality of life. In the absence of specific studies involving very old subjects, most recommendations are extrapolated from evidence-based data from younger populations. Overall, the epidemiological studies in patients with heart failure aged>80 years highlight the underprescription of recommended drugs. This underprescription may be related to comorbidity, a fear of side-effects and the lack of specific recommendations for drug prescription in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction, which is common in this very old population. The benefit/risk ratio related to heart failure treatment and comorbidity should be carefully weighed and reassessed on a regular basis. Consideration of disease prognosis according to factors that predict mortality can help to better define the care plan and promote palliative and supportive care when needed.

Association between mortality and frailty in emergency general surgery: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Purpose

The purpose of this review was to determine the association between frailty and mortality among adults ≥ 65 years old undergoing emergency general surgery (EGS).

Methods

This systematic review followed the PRISMA guidelines (CRD42020172482 on PROSPERO). A search in MEDLINE, PubMed, EMBASE, Scopus, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews was conducted from inception to March 5, 2020. Studies with patients ≥ 65 years undergoing EGS were included. The primary exposure was frailty, measured using the Clinical Frailty Scale or the Modified Frailty Index. The primary outcome was 30-day mortality. Secondary outcomes were 90-day and 1-year mortality, length of stay, complications, change in level of care at discharge, and loss of independence. Two independent reviewers screened articles and extracted data. Risk of bias was assessed according to the Newcastle–Ottawa Scale and quality of evidence was assessed using the GRADE approach. A meta-analysis was performed for 30-day mortality using a random-effects model.

Results

Our search yielded 847 articles and six cohort studies were included in the systematic review. There were 1289 patients, 283 being frail. The pooled OR from meta-analysis for frail compared to non-frail patients was 2.91 (95% CI 2.00, 4.23) for 30-day mortality. Frailty was associated with increased odds of all secondary outcomes.

Conclusion

Frailty is significantly associated with worse outcomes after emergency general surgery in adults ≥ 65 years of age. The Clinical Frailty Scale could be used to improve preoperative risk assessment for patients and shared decision-making between patients and healthcare providers.

Registration number

CRD42020172482 (PROSPERO).

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00068-020-01578-9.

Geriatric assessment for older adults admitted to the emergency department: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Older adults are the most frequent users of emergency services. Comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) can help identify high-risk older adults at an early stage. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to identify and evaluate CGA tools used in the emergency department (ED), analyze their predictive validity for adverse outcomes and recommend tools for this particular situation.

METHODS

We systematically searched Medline, Web of Science and CENTRAL for eligible articles published in peer-reviewed journals that observed patients ≥65 years admitted to the ED, used at least one assessment tool and reported adverse outcomes of interest. We performed a descriptive analysis and a bivariate meta-analysis of the diagnostic accuracy and predictive validity of the assessment tools for the chosen adverse outcomes.

RESULTS

28 eligible studies were included. The pooled sensitivity (95% CI) of the assessment tools for predicting mortality within short (28-90 days) and long (180-365 days) periods after the first ED visit was 0.77 (0.61-0.89) and 0.79 (0.46-0.96), respectively, with specificity (95% CI) values of 0.45 (0.32-0.59) and 0.37 (0.14-0.65). These findings indicate that the tools used in the included studies had modest predictive accuracy for mortality and were more appropriate for identifying individuals at high risk of readmission in the short term than in the long term.

CONCLUSIONS

Early use of assessment tools in the ED might improve clinical decision making and reduce negative outcomes for older adults.

[Cross-speciality geriatrics: A health-care challenge for the 21st century]

Increasing numbers of older persons are being treated by specialties other than Geriatric Medicine. Specialists turn to Geriatric Teams when they need to accurately stratify their patients' risk and prognosis, predict the potential impact of their, often, invasive interventions, optimise their clinical status, and contribute to discharge planning. Oncology and Haematology, Cardiology, General Surgery, and other surgical departments are examples where such collaborative working is already established, to a varying extent. The use of the term "Cross-speciality Geriatrics" is suggested when geriatric care is provided in clinical areas traditionally outside the reach of Geriatric Teams. The core principles of Geriatric Medicine (comprehensive geriatric assessment, patient-centred multidisciplinary targeted interventions, and input at point-of-care) are adapted to the specifics of each specialty and applied to frail older patients in order to deliver a holistic assessment/treatment, better patient/carer experience, and improved clinical outcomes. Using Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment methodology and Frailty scoring in such patients provides invaluable prognostic information, helps in decision making, and enables personalised treatment strategies. There is evidence that such an approach improves the efficiency of health care systems and patient outcomes. This article includes a review of these concepts, describes existing models of care, presents the most commonly used clinical tools, and offers examples of excellence in this new era of geriatric care. In an ever ageing population it is likely that teams will be asked to provide Cross-specialty Geriatrics across different Health Care systems. The fundamentals for its implementation are in place, but further evidence is required to guide future development and consolidation, making it one of the most important challenges for Geriatrics in the coming years.

The operationalization of fatigue in frailty scales: a systematic review

PURPOSE

To identify the different fatigue items in existing frailty scales.

METHODS

PubMed, Web of Knowledge and PsycINFO were systematically screened for frailty scales. 133 articles were included, describing 158 frailty scales. Fatigue items were extracted and categorized in 4 fatigue constructs: "mood state related tiredness", "general feeling of tiredness", "activity based feeling of tiredness" and "resistance to physical tiredness".

RESULTS

120 fatigue items were identified, of which 100 belonged to the construct "general feeling of tiredness" and only 9 to the construct "resistance to physical tiredness". 49,4% of the frailty scales included at least 1 fatigue item, representing 15 ± 9,3% of all items in these scales. Fatigue items have a significantly higher weight in single domain (dominantly physical frailty scales) versus multi domain frailty scales (21 ± 3.2 versus 10.6 ± 9.8%, p=<0,05).

CONCLUSION

Fatigue is prominently represented in frailty scales, covering a great diversity in fatigue constructs and underlying pathophysiological mechanisms by which fatigue relates to frailty. Although fatigue items were more prevalent and had a higher weight in physical frailty scales, the operationalization of fatigue leaned more towards psychological constructs. This review can be used as a reference for choosing a suitable frailty scale depending on the type of fatigue of interest.

Effect of risk of malnutrition on 30-day mortality among older patients with acute heart failure in Emergency Departments

BACKGROUND

Little is known about the prevalence and impact of risk of malnutrition on short-term mortality among seniors presenting with acute heart failure (AHF) in emergency setting. The objective was to determine the impact of risk of malnutrition on 30-day mortality risk among older patients who attended in Emergency Departments (EDs) for AHF.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We performed a secondary analysis of the OAK-3 Registry including all consecutive patients ≥65 years attending in 16 Spanish EDs for AHF. Risk of malnutrition was defined by the Mini Nutritional Assessment Short Form (MNA-SF) < 12 points. Unadjusted and adjusted logistic regression models were used to assess the association between risk of malnutrition and 30-day mortality.

RESULTS

We included 749 patients (mean age: 85 (SD 6); 55.8% females). Risk of malnutrition was observed in 594 (79.3%) patients. The rate of 30-day mortality was 8.8%. After adjusting for MEESSI-AHF risk score clinical categories (model 1) and after adding all variables showing a significantly different distribution among groups (model 2), the risk of malnutrition was an independent factor associated with 30-day mortality (adjusted OR by model 1 = 3.4; 95%CI 1.2-9.7; p = .020 and adjusted OR by model 2 = 3.1; 95%CI 1.1-9.0; p = .033) compared to normal nutritional status.

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of malnutrition assessed by the MNA-SF is associated with 30-day mortality in older patients with AHF who were attended in EDs. Routine screening of risk of malnutrition may help emergency physicians in decision-making and establishing a care plan.

Heart Failure and Problems with Frailty Syndrome: Why it is Time to Care About Frailty Syndrome in Heart Failure

Frailty syndrome (FS) is an independent predictor of mortality in cardiovascular disease and is found in 15–74% of patients with heart failure (HF). The syndrome has a complex, multidimensional aetiology and contributes to adverse outcomes. Proper FS diagnosis and treatment determine prognosis and support the evaluation of treatment outcomes. Routine FS assessment for HF patients should be included in daily clinical practice as an important prognostic factor within a holistic process of diagnosis and treatment. Multidisciplinary team members, particularly nurses, play an important role in FS assessment in hospital and primary care settings, and in the home care environment. Raising awareness of concurrent FS in patients with HF patients and promoting targeted interventions may contribute to a decreased risk of adverse events, and a better prognosis and quality of life.

Current Topics and Controversies in Pediatric Heart Transplantation: Proceedings of the Pediatric Heart Transplantation Summit 2017

In October 2017, a pediatric heart transplant summit was held in Seattle-the first of its kind internationally-which focused solely upon controversies in pediatric end-stage heart failure management and pediatric heart transplantation. We selected five of the most popular and contentious topics and asked the speakers to provide a position paper. Worldwide, the vast majority of programs perform only a handful of pediatric heart transplants a year. Because of this, these "orphan" areas of investigation provide an opportunity for us as a community to aggregate our collective knowledge, which may represent the only viable way that we might sort through these complex and controversial issues in the field. We hope this represents the first of many such conferences and that this initial selection of papers encourages us to begin this collaborative process.

Identification of Senior At Risk scale predicts 30-day mortality among older patients with acute heart failure

OBJECTIVE

To assess the value of frailty screening tool (Identification of Senior at Risk [ISAR]) in predicting 30-day mortality risk in older patients attended in emergency department (ED) for acute heart failure (AHF).

DESIGN

Observational multicenter cohort study.

SETTING

OAK-3 register.

SUBJECTS

Patients aged ≥65 years attended with ADHF in 16 Spanish EDs from January to February 2016.

INTERVENTION

No.

VARIABLES

Variable of study was ISAR scale. The outcome was all-cause 30-day mortality.

RESULTS

We included 1059 patients (mean age 85±5,9 years old). One hundred and sixty (15.1%) cases had 0-1 points, 278 (26.3%) 2 points, 260 (24.6%) 3 points, 209 (19.7%) 4 points, and 152 (14.3%) 5-6 points of ISAR scale. Ninety five (9.0%) patients died within 30 days. The percentage of mortality increased in relation to ISAR category (lineal trend P value <.001). The area under curve of ISAR scale was 0.703 (95%CI 0.655-0.751; P<.001). After adjusting for EFFECT risk categories, we observed a progressive increase in odds ratios of ISAR scale groups compared to reference (0-1 points).

CONCLUSIONS

scale is a brief and easy tool that should be considered for frailty screening during initial assessment of older patients attended with AHF for predicting 30-day mortality.

Frailty phenotypes and mortality after lung transplantation: A prospective cohort study

Frailty is associated with increased mortality among lung transplant candidates. We sought to determine the association between frailty, as measured by the Short Physical Performance Battery (SPPB), and mortality after lung transplantation. In a multicenter prospective cohort study of adults who underwent lung transplantation, preoperative frailty was assessed with the SPPB (n = 318) and, in a secondary analysis, the Fried Frailty Phenotype (FFP; n = 299). We tested the association between preoperative frailty and mortality following lung transplantation with propensity score-adjusted Cox models. We calculated postestimation marginalized standardized risks for 1-year mortality by frailty status using multivariate logistic regression. SPPB frailty was associated with an increased risk of both 1- and 4-year mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 7.5; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.6-36.0 and aHR 3.8; 95%CI: 1.8-8.0, respectively). Each 1-point worsening in SPPB was associated with a 20% increased risk of death (aHR: 1.20; 95%CI: 1.08-1.33). Frail subjects had an absolute increased risk of death within the first year after transplantation of 12.2% (95%CI: 3.1%-21%). In secondary analyses, FFP frailty was associated with increased risk of death within the first postoperative year (aHR: 3.8; 95%CI: 1.1-13.2) but not over longer follow-up. Preoperative frailty is associated with an increased risk of death after lung transplantation.

Renal function and acute heart failure outcome

The interaction between acute heart failure (AHF) and renal dysfunction is complex. Several studies have evaluated the prognostic value of this syndrome. The aim of this systematic review, which includes non-selected samples, was to investigate the impact of different renal function variables on the AHF prognosis. The categories included in the studies reviewed included: creatinine, blood urea nitrogen (BUN), the BUN/creatinine quotient, chronic kidney disease, the formula to estimate the glomerular filtration rate, criteria of acute renal injury and new biomarkers of renal damage such as neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL and cystatin c). The basal alterations of the renal function, as well as the acute alterations, transient or not, are related to a worse prognosis in AHF, it is therefore necessary to always have baseline, acute and evolutive renal function parameters.

In-hospital mortality risk score for very old patients hospitalized with decompensated chronic heart failure

OBJECTIVE

To derive a risk score to predict in-hospital mortality for very old patients with decompensated chronic heart failure (DCHF).

METHODOLOGY

Retrospective cohort study that included patients ≥ 80 years admitted to a Geriatric Acute Care Unit with DCHF between January 2012 and December 2014. We analyzed 70 candidate risk factors and in-hospital mortality. We derived a risk model using multivariate logistic regression model and constructed a scale for scoring risk. We used bootstrapping techniques for the internal validation.

RESULTS

We included 629 patients with mean age of 90 (SD5) years, 470 (73.1%) being women. Eighty-six (13.7%) patients died during the hospitalization. Factors included in the final risk model were NYHA class III-IV, severe functional dependence (Katz activities of daily living index < 2), infection as cause of exacerbation of heart failure, number of medications ≥ 8, albumin < 3 mg/dL, glomerular filtration rate < 60 mL/min, level of potassium in blood > 5.5 mEq/L and red blood cell distribution width (RDW) > 17%. In-hospital mortality in risk groups was 3.0, 4.6, 9.5, 15.1 and 36.3%, respectively. The area under ROC curve risk for score after bootstrapping was 0.77 (95%: CI 0.70-0.83).

CONCLUSION

This risk score could be useful for stratifying risk for in-hospital mortality among very old patients admitted to hospital for DCHF.