1
|
Dubin RF, Deo R, Ren Y, Wang J, Pico AR, Mychaleckyj JC, Kozlitina J, Arthur V, Lee H, Shah A, Feldman H, Bansal N, Zelnick L, Rao P, Sukul N, Raj DS, Mehta R, Rosas SE, Bhat Z, Weir MR, He J, Chen J, Kansal M, Kimmel PL, Ramachandran VS, Waikar SS, Segal MR, Ganz P. Incident heart failure in chronic kidney disease: proteomics informs biology and risk stratification. Eur Heart J 2024; 45:2752-2767. [PMID: 38757788 PMCID: PMC11313584 DOI: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehae288] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/30/2023] [Revised: 04/09/2024] [Accepted: 04/25/2024] [Indexed: 05/18/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS Incident heart failure (HF) among individuals with chronic kidney disease (CKD) incurs hospitalizations that burden patients and health care systems. There are few preventative therapies, and the Pooled Cohort equations to Prevent Heart Failure (PCP-HF) perform poorly in the setting of CKD. New drug targets and better risk stratification are urgently needed. METHODS In this analysis of incident HF, SomaScan V4.0 (4638 proteins) was analysed in 2906 participants of the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) with validation in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. The primary outcome was 14-year incident HF (390 events); secondary outcomes included 4-year HF (183 events), HF with reduced ejection fraction (137 events), and HF with preserved ejection fraction (165 events). Mendelian randomization and Gene Ontology were applied to examine causality and pathways. The performance of novel multi-protein risk models was compared to the PCP-HF risk score. RESULTS Over 200 proteins were associated with incident HF after adjustment for estimated glomerular filtration rate at P < 1 × 10-5. After adjustment for covariates including N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, 17 proteins remained associated at P < 1 × 10-5. Mendelian randomization associations were found for six proteins, of which four are druggable targets: FCG2B, IGFBP3, CAH6, and ASGR1. For the primary outcome, the C-statistic (95% confidence interval [CI]) for the 48-protein model in CRIC was 0.790 (0.735, 0.844) vs. 0.703 (0.644, 0.762) for the PCP-HF model (P = .001). C-statistic (95% CI) for the protein model in ARIC was 0.747 (0.707, 0.787). CONCLUSIONS Large-scale proteomics reveal novel circulating protein biomarkers and potential mediators of HF in CKD. Proteomic risk models improve upon the PCP-HF risk score in this population.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Ruth F Dubin
- Division of Nephrology, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, 5323 Harry Hines Blvd, H5.122E, Dallas, TX 75390, USA
| | - Rajat Deo
- Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Perelman School of Medicine at the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA
| | - Yue Ren
- Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA
| | - Jianqiao Wang
- Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Alexander R Pico
- Institute of Data Science and Biotechnology, Gladstone Institutes, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Josyf C Mychaleckyj
- Center for Public Health Genomics, University of Virginia School of Medicine, Charlottesville, VA, USA
| | - Julia Kozlitina
- McDermott Center for Human Growth and Development, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, USA
| | - Victoria Arthur
- Division of Cardiology, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, USA
| | - Hongzhe Lee
- Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA
| | - Amil Shah
- Division of Cardiology, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, USA
| | - Harold Feldman
- Patient-Centered Outcomes Research Institute, Washington, DC, USA
| | - Nisha Bansal
- Division of Nephrology, University of Washington Medical Center, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Leila Zelnick
- Division of Nephrology, University of Washington Medical Center, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Panduranga Rao
- Division of Nephrology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA
| | - Nidhi Sukul
- Division of Nephrology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA
| | - Dominic S Raj
- Division of Kidney Diseases and Hypertension, George Washington University School of Medicine, Washington, DC, USA
| | - Rupal Mehta
- Division of Nephrology and Hypertension, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, USA
| | - Sylvia E Rosas
- Joslin Diabetes Center, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Zeenat Bhat
- Division of Nephrology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA
| | - Matthew R Weir
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Jiang He
- Department of Epidemiology, Tulane University, New Orleans, LA, USA
| | - Jing Chen
- Department of Epidemiology, Tulane University, New Orleans, LA, USA
| | - Mayank Kansal
- Division of Cardiology, University of Illinois College of Medicine, Chicago, IL, USA
| | - Paul L Kimmel
- Division of Kidney, Urologic, and Hematologic Diseases, National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA
| | - Vasan S Ramachandran
- University of Texas School of Public Health San Antonio and the University of Texas Health Sciences Center in San Antonio, Section of Preventive Medicine and Epidemiology, Department of Medicine, Boston University Chobanian & Avedisian School of Medicine, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Sushrut S Waikar
- Section of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Boston University Chobanian & Avedisian School of Medicine, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Mark R Segal
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Peter Ganz
- Division of Cardiology, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Patel R, Peesay T, Krishnan V, Wilcox J, Wilsbacher L, Khan SS. Prioritizing the primary prevention of heart failure: Measuring, modifying and monitoring risk. Prog Cardiovasc Dis 2024; 82:2-14. [PMID: 38272339 PMCID: PMC10947831 DOI: 10.1016/j.pcad.2024.01.001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/07/2024] [Accepted: 01/07/2024] [Indexed: 01/27/2024]
Abstract
With the rising incidence of heart failure (HF) and increasing burden of morbidity, mortality, and healthcare expenditures, primary prevention of HF targeting individuals in at-risk HF (Stage A) and pre-HF (Stage B) Stages has become increasingly important with the goal to decrease progression to symptomatic (Stage C) HF. Identification of risk based on traditional risk factors (e.g., cardiovascular health which can be assessed with the American Heart Association's Life's Essential 8 framework), adverse social determinants of health, inherited risk of cardiomyopathies, and identification of risk-enhancing factors, such as patients with viral disease, exposure to cardiotoxic chemotherapy, and history of adverse pregnancy outcomes should be the first step in evaluation for HF risk. Next, use of guideline-endorsed risk prediction tools such as Pooled Cohort Equations to Prevent Heart Failure provide quantification of absolute risk of HF based in traditional risk factors. Risk reduction through counseling on traditional risk factors is a core focus of implementation of prevention and may include the use of novel therapeutics that target specific pathways to reduce risk of HF, such as mineralocorticoid receptor agonists (e.g., fineronone), angiotensin-receptor/neprolysin inhibitors, and sodium glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors. These interventions may be limited in at-risk populations who experience adverse social determinants and/or individuals who reside in rural areas. Thus, strategies like telemedicine may improve access to preventive care. Gaps in the current knowledge base for risk-based prevention of HF are highlighted to outline future research that may target approaches for risk assessment and risk-based prevention with the use of artificial intelligence, genomics-enhanced strategies, and pragmatic trials to develop a guideline-directed medical therapy approach to reduce risk among individuals with Stage A and Stage B HF.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Ruchi Patel
- Department of Medicine, Division of General Internal Medicine, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, USA
| | - Tejasvi Peesay
- Department of Medicine, Division of General Internal Medicine, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, USA
| | - Vaishnavi Krishnan
- Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, USA
| | - Jane Wilcox
- Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, USA
| | - Lisa Wilsbacher
- Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, USA
| | - Sadiya S Khan
- Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, USA.
| |
Collapse
|
3
|
Khan SS, Shah SJ. Pre-Heart Failure Risk Assessment: Don't Get Lost in an Echo Chamber! J Card Fail 2023; 29:1490-1493. [PMID: 37532079 DOI: 10.1016/j.cardfail.2023.07.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/26/2023] [Accepted: 07/26/2023] [Indexed: 08/04/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Sadiya S Khan
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Illinois; Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Illinois.
| | - Sanjiv J Shah
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Illinois
| |
Collapse
|
4
|
Nadarajah R, Younsi T, Romer E, Raveendra K, Nakao YM, Nakao K, Shuweidhi F, Hogg DC, Arbel R, Zahger D, Iakobishvili Z, Fonarow GC, Petrie MC, Wu J, Gale CP. Prediction models for heart failure in the community: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Eur J Heart Fail 2023; 25:1724-1738. [PMID: 37403669 DOI: 10.1002/ejhf.2970] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/15/2023] [Revised: 05/25/2023] [Accepted: 07/01/2023] [Indexed: 07/06/2023] Open
Abstract
AIMS Multivariable prediction models can be used to estimate risk of incident heart failure (HF) in the general population. A systematic review and meta-analysis was performed to determine the performance of models. METHODS AND RESULTS From inception to 3 November 2022 MEDLINE and EMBASE databases were searched for studies of multivariable models derived, validated and/or augmented for HF prediction in community-based cohorts. Discrimination measures for models with c-statistic data from ≥3 cohorts were pooled by Bayesian meta-analysis, with heterogeneity assessed through a 95% prediction interval (PI). Risk of bias was assessed using PROBAST. We included 36 studies with 59 prediction models. In meta-analysis, the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) risk score (summary c-statistic 0.802, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.707-0.883), GRaph-based Attention Model (GRAM; 0.791, 95% CI 0.677-0.885), Pooled Cohort equations to Prevent Heart Failure (PCP-HF) white men model (0.820, 95% CI 0.792-0.843), PCP-HF white women model (0.852, 95% CI 0.804-0.895), and REverse Time AttentIoN model (RETAIN; 0.839, 95% CI 0.748-0.916) had a statistically significant 95% PI and excellent discrimination performance. The ARIC risk score and PCP-HF models had significant summary discrimination among cohorts with a uniform prediction window. 77% of model results were at high risk of bias, certainty of evidence was low, and no model had a clinical impact study. CONCLUSIONS Prediction models for estimating risk of incident HF in the community demonstrate excellent discrimination performance. Their usefulness remains uncertain due to high risk of bias, low certainty of evidence, and absence of clinical effectiveness research.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Ramesh Nadarajah
- Leeds Institute for Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
- Leeds Institute of Data Analytics, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
- Department of Cardiology, Leeds Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust, Leeds, UK
| | - Tanina Younsi
- Department of Cardiology, Leeds Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust, Leeds, UK
| | - Elizabeth Romer
- Department of Cardiology, Leeds Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust, Leeds, UK
| | | | - Yoko M Nakao
- Leeds Institute for Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
- Leeds Institute of Data Analytics, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
| | - Kazuhiro Nakao
- Leeds Institute for Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
- Leeds Institute of Data Analytics, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Suita, Japan
| | | | - David C Hogg
- School of Computing, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
| | - Ronen Arbel
- Community Medical Services Division, Clalit Health Services, Tel Aviv, Israel
- Maximizing Health Outcomes Research Lab, Sapir College, Sderot, Israel
| | - Doron Zahger
- Department of Cardiology, Soroka University Medical Center, Beer Sheva, Israel
- Faculty of Health Sciences, Ben Gurion University of the Negev, Beer Sheva, Israel
| | - Zaza Iakobishvili
- Faculty of Health Sciences, Ben Gurion University of the Negev, Beer Sheva, Israel
- Department of Community Cardiology, Clalit Health Fund, Tel Aviv, Israel
| | - Gregg C Fonarow
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, University of California at Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Mark C Petrie
- Institute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Jianhua Wu
- School of Dentistry, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
- Wolfson Institute of Population Health, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK
| | - Chris P Gale
- Leeds Institute for Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
- Leeds Institute of Data Analytics, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
- Department of Cardiology, Leeds Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust, Leeds, UK
| |
Collapse
|
5
|
Hammond MM, Everitt IK, Khan SS. New strategies and therapies for the prevention of heart failure in high-risk patients. Clin Cardiol 2022; 45 Suppl 1:S13-S25. [PMID: 35789013 PMCID: PMC9254668 DOI: 10.1002/clc.23839] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/17/2022] [Revised: 04/16/2022] [Accepted: 04/19/2022] [Indexed: 11/05/2022] Open
Abstract
Despite declines in total cardiovascular mortality rates in the United States, heart failure (HF) mortality rates as well as hospitalizations and readmissions have increased in the past decade. Increases have been relatively higher among young and middle-aged adults (<65 years). Therefore, identification of individuals HF at-risk (Stage A) or with pre-HF (Stage B) before the onset of overt clinical signs and symptoms (Stage C) is urgently needed. Multivariate risk models (e.g., Pooled Cohort Equations to Prevent Heart Failure [PCP-HF]) have been externally validated in diverse populations and endorsed by the 2022 HF Guidelines to apply a risk-based framework for the prevention of HF. However, traditional risk factors included in the PCP-HF model only account for half of an individual's lifetime risk of HF; novel risk factors (e.g., adverse pregnancy outcomes, impaired lung health, COVID-19) are emerging as important risk-enhancing factors that need to be accounted for in personalized approaches to prevention. In addition to determining the role of novel risk-enhancing factors, integration of social determinants of health (SDoH) in identifying and addressing HF risk is needed to transform the current clinical paradigm for the prevention of HF. Comprehensive strategies to prevent the progression of HF must incorporate pharmacotherapies (e.g., sodium glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors that have also been termed the "statins" of HF prevention), intensive blood pressure lowering, and heart-healthy behaviors. Future directions include investigation of novel prediction models leveraging machine learning, integration of risk-enhancing factors and SDoH, and equitable approaches to interventions for risk-based prevention of HF.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Michael M. Hammond
- Department of MedicineNorthwestern University Feinberg School of MedicineChicagoIllinoisUSA
| | - Ian K. Everitt
- Department of MedicineNorthwestern University Feinberg School of MedicineChicagoIllinoisUSA
| | - Sadiya S. Khan
- Department of MedicineNorthwestern University Feinberg School of MedicineChicagoIllinoisUSA
- Department of Preventive MedicineNorthwestern University Feinberg School of MedicineChicagoIllinoisUSA
| |
Collapse
|