Patterns of presentation, prevalence and associated factors of mortality in ICU among adult patients during the pandemic of COVID 19: A retrospective cross-sectional study

Prevalence of mortality among mechanically ventilated patients in the intensive care units of Ethiopian hospitals and the associated factors: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

In the intensive care unit (ICU), mechanical ventilation (MV) is a typical way of respiratory support. The severity of the illness raises the likelihood of death in patients who require MV. Several studies have been done in Ethiopia; however, the mortality rate differs among them. The objective of this systematic review and meta-analysis is to provide a pooled prevalence of mortality and associated factors among ICU-admitted patients receiving MV in Ethiopian hospitals.

METHODS

We used the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) 2020 criteria to conduct a comprehensive systematic review and meta-analysis in this study. We searched PubMed/Medline, SCOPUS, Embase, Hinari, and Web of Science and found 22 articles that met our inclusion criteria. We used a random-effects model. To identify heterogeneity within the included studies, meta-regression and subgroup analysis were used. We employed Egger's regression test and funnel plots for assessing publication bias. STATA version 17.0 software was used for all statistical analyses.

RESULTS

In this systematic review and meta-analysis, the pooled prevalence of mortality among 7507 ICU-admitted patients from 22 articles, who received MV was estimated to be 54.74% [95% CI = 47.93, 61.55]. In the subgroup analysis by region, the Southern Nations, Nationalities, and Peoples (SNNP) subgroup (64.28%, 95% CI = 51.19, 77.37) had the highest prevalence. Patients with COVID-19 have the highest mortality rate (75.80%, 95% CI = 51.10, 100.00). Sepsis (OR = 6.85, 95%CI = 3.24, 14.46), Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score<8 (OR = 6.58, 95%CI = 1.96, 22.11), admission with medical cases (OR = 4.12, 95%CI = 2.00, 8.48), Multi Organ Dysfunction Syndrome (MODS) (OR = 2.70, 95%CI = 4.11, 12.62), and vasopressor treatment (OR = 19.06, 95%CI = 9.34, 38.88) were all statistically associated with mortality.

CONCLUSION

Our review found that the pooled prevalence of mortality among mechanically ventilated ICU-admitted patients in Ethiopia was considerably high compared to similar studies in the United States (US), China, and other countries. Sepsis, GCS<8, medical cases, MODS, and use of vasopressors were statistically associated with mortality. Clinicians should exercise caution while mechanically ventilating ICU-admitted patients with these factors. However, it should be noted that the exact cause and effect relationship could not be established with this meta-analysis, as the available evidence is not sufficient. Thus, more studies using prospective methods will be required.

Relative Bradycardia and Tachycardia and Their Associations with Adverse Outcomes in Hospitalized COVID-19 Patients

Background

Relative-tachycardia (RT), a phenomenon of unproportionately high heart-rate elevation in response to fever, has been previously attributed to unfavourable outcomes in severe-inflammatory-response-syndrome (SIRS). Relative heart-rate to body-temperature ratio (RHR) and its prognostic associations in patients with severe and critical coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) have not been investigated.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed heart-rate and body-temperature data at admission in patients who were hospitalized due to COVID-19 at a tertiary center from March 2020 to June 2021. After excluding patients with known heart rate affecting medications (beta-blockers and other antiarrhythmics) and atrial fibrillation, a total of 3490 patients were analyzed. Patients were divided into quartiles based on RHR on admission, with patients belonging to the 1st quartile designated as having relative-bradycardia (RB) and patients belonging to 4th quartile designated as having RT. Comparisons with baseline clinical characteristics and the course of treatment were done.

Results

There were 57.5% male patients. Median age was 69 years. Most patients had severe or critical COVID-19 at admission. Median heart-rate at the time of hospital admission was 90/min, median body-temperature was 38 °C, and median RHR was 2.36 with interquartile-range 2.07-2.65. RB in comparison to middle-range RHR was significantly associated with older age, higher comorbidity burden, less severe COVID-19 and less pronounced inflammatory profile, and in comparison to RT additionally with higher frequency of hyperlipoproteinemia but lower frequency of obesity. RT in comparison to middle-range RHR was significantly associated with younger age, more severe COVID-19, lower comorbidity burden, lower frequency of arterial hypertension, higher frequency of diabetes mellitus, and more pronounced inflammatory profile. In multivariate analyses adjusted for clinically meaningful parameters, RB patients experienced more favorable survival compared to RT, whereas RT patients experienced higher mortality in comparison to RB and middle-range RHR patients, independently of older age, male sex, higher comorbidity burden and higher COVID-19 severity.

Conclusions

Heart rate and axillary temperature are an indispensable part of a clinical exam, easy to measure, at effectively no cost. RT at admission, as a sign of excessive activation of the sympathetic nervous system, is independently associated with fatal outcomes in COVID-19 patients.

Survival status and predictors of mortality among patients admitted to surgical intensive care units of Addis Ababa governmental hospitals, Ethiopia: A multicenter retrospective cohort study

Introduction

Critical care is a serious global healthcare burden. Although a high number of surgical patients are being admitted to the surgical intensive care unit (SICU), the mortality remained high, particularly in low and middle-income countries. However, there is limited data in Ethiopia. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the survival status and predictors of mortality in surgical patients admitted to the SICUs of Addis Ababa governmental hospitals, Ethiopia.

Methods

A multicenter retrospective cohort study was conducted on 410 surgical patients admitted to the SICUs of three government hospitals in Addis Ababa selected using a simple random sampling from February 2017 to February 2020. The data were entered into Epidata version 4.6 and imported to STATA/MP version 16 for further analysis. Bi-variable and multivariable Cox regression models were fitted in the analysis to determine the predictor variables. A hazard ratio (HR) with a 95% confidence interval (CI) was computed, and variables with a p-value <0.05 were considered statistically significant.

Results

From a sample of 410 patients, 378 were included for final analysis and followed for a median follow-up of 5 days. The overall mortality among surgical patients in the SICU was 44.97% with an incidence rate of 5.9 cases per 100 person-day observation. Trauma (AHR = 1.83, 95% CI: 1.19-2.08), Glasgow coma score (GCS) <9 (AHR = 2.06, 95% CI: 1.28-3.31), readmission to the SICU (AHR = 3.52, 95% CI: 2.18-5.68), mechanical ventilation (AHR = 2.52, 95% CI: 1.23-5.15), and creatinine level (AHR = 1.09, 95% CI: 1.01-1.18) were found to be significantly associated with mortality in the SICU.

Conclusion

The mortality of surgical patients in the SICU was high. Trauma, GCS <9 upon admission, readmission to the SICU, mechanical ventilation, and increased in the creatinine level on admission to the SICU were the identified predictors of mortality in the SICU.

The magnitude of mortality and its determinants in Ethiopian adult intensive care units: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Introduction

Despite mortality in intensive care units being a global burden, it is higher in low-resource countries, including Ethiopia. A sufficient number of evidence is not yet established regarding mortality in the intensive care unit and its determinants. This study intended to determine the prevalence of ICU mortality and its determinants in Ethiopia.

Methods

PubMed, Google Scholar, The Cochrane Library, HINARI, and African Journals Online (AJOL) databases were systematically explored for potentially eligible studies on mortality prevalence and determinants reported by studies done in Ethiopia. Using a Microsoft Excel spreadsheet, two reviewers independently screen, select, review, and extract data for further analysis using STATA/MP version 17. A meta-analysis using a random-effects model was performed to calculate the pooled prevalence and odds ratio with a 95% confidence interval. In addition, using study region and sample size, subgroup analysis was also performed.

Results

9799 potential articles were found after removing duplicates and screening for eligibility, 14 were reviewed. Ethiopia's pooled national prevalence of adult intensive care unit mortality was 39.70% (95% CI: 33.66, 45.74). Mechanical ventilation, length of staying more than two weeks, GCS below 9, and acute respiratory distress syndrome were major predictors of mortality in intensive care units of Ethiopia.

Conclusion

Mortality in adult ICU is high in Ethiopia. We strongly recommend that all health care professionals and other stakeholders should act to decrease the high mortality among critically ill patients in Ethiopia.