The Delta-4 fibrosis score (D4FS): A novel fibrosis score in chronic hepatitis D

Hepatitis B Delta: assessment of the knowledge and practices of hepato-gastroenterologists practicing in non-academic settings in France

BACKGROUND

Data on the management of Hepatitis B-Delta (HB-D) by hepatogastroenterologists (HGs) practicing in nonacademic hospitals or private practices are unknown in France.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to evaluate the knowledge and practices of HGs practicing in nonacademic settings regarding HB-D.

METHODS

A Google form document was sent to those HGs from May to September 2021.

RESULTS

A total of 130 HGs (mean age, 45 years) have participated in this survey. Among HBsAg-positive patients, Delta infection was sought in only 89% of cases. Liver fibrosis was assessed using FibroScan in 77% of the cases and by liver biopsy in 81% of the cases. A treatment was proposed for patients with >F2 liver fibrosis in 49% of the cases regardless of transaminase levels and for all the patients by 39% of HGs. Responding HGs proposed a treatment using pegylated interferon in 50% of cases, bulevirtide in 45% of cases and a combination of pegylated interferon and bulevirtide in 40.5% of cases. Among the criteria to evaluate the treatment efficacy, a decrease or a normalization of transaminases was retained by 89% of responding HGs, a reduction of liver fibrosis score for 70% of them, an undetectable delta RNA and HBsAg for 55% of them and a 2 log 10 decline in delta viremia for 62% of the cases.

CONCLUSION

Hepatitis Delta screening was not systematically performed in HBsAg-positive patients despite the probable awareness and knowledge of the few responders who were able to prescribe treatments of hepatitis delta.

A holistic evaluation of patients with chronic Hepatitis D virus (HDV) infection enrolled in the Italian PITER-B and delta cohort

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

We aimed to characterize the epidemiologic and comorbidities profiles of patients with chronic Hepatitis D (CHD) followed in clinical practice in Italy and explored their interferon (IFN) eligibility.

METHODS

This was a cross-sectional study of the PITER cohort consisting of consecutive HBsAg-positive patients from 59 centers over the period 2019-2023. Multivariable analysis was performed by logistic regression model.

RESULTS

Of 5492 HBsAg-positive enrolled patients, 4152 (75.6%) were screened for HDV, 422 (10.2%) were anti-HDV positive. Compared with HBsAg mono-infected, anti-HDV positive patients were more often younger, non-Italians, with a history of drug use, had elevated alanine transaminase (ALT), cirrhosis, or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Compared with Italians, anti-HDV positive non-Italians were younger (42.2% age ≤ 40 years vs. 2.1%; P < 0.001), more often females (males 43.0% vs. 68.6%; P < 0.001) with less frequent cirrhosis and HCC. HDV-RNA was detected in 63.2% of anti-HDV-positive patients, who were more likely to have elevated ALT, cirrhosis, and HCC. Extrahepatic comorbidities were present in 47.4% of anti-HDV positive patients and could affect the eligibility of IFN-containing therapies in at least 53.0% of patients in care.

CONCLUSIONS

CHD affects young, foreign-born patients and older Italians, of whom two-thirds had cirrhosis or HCC. Comorbidities were frequent in both Italians and non-Italians and impacted eligibility for IFN.

Liver stiffness measurement as a noninvasive method for the diagnosis of liver cirrhosis in patients with chronic hepatitis D virus infection

BACKGROUND

Noninvasive tests (NITs) have been proposed as an alternative to liver biopsy for diagnosing liver cirrhosis. The evidence of NIT performance in patients with chronic hepatitis D (CHD) is limited.

AIMS

To evaluate the diagnostic performance of liver stiffness measurement (LSM) and other NITs in CHD patients.

METHODS

We evaluated the diagnostic performance of LSM by transient elastography for the detection of liver cirrhosis in a retrospective, multicentre cohort of 144 CHD patients with paired (±6 months) LSM and liver biopsies.

RESULTS

Cirrhosis was diagnosed histologically in 22 patients (15.3%). Mean LSM was significantly higher in patients with cirrhosis compared to those without fibrosis (23.4 vs 10.2 kPa, p < 0.0001) or with intermediate fibrosis (23.4 vs 13.5 kPa, p < 0.0001). In the detection of liver cirrhosis, LSM was superior to other NITs (AUROCs: 0.89 [LSM], 0.87 [D4FS], 0.74 [APRI], 0.73 [FIB-4], and 0.69 [AAR]). The optimal cut-off for identifying patients with liver cirrhosis was ≥15.2 kPa (Se 91%, Sp 84%, PPV 50%, NPV 98%). The ideal cut-off for diagnosing non-advanced liver fibrosis (Metavir ≤2) was <10.2 kPa (Se 55%, Sp 86%, PPV 90%, NPV 45%), correctly identifying 90% of patients. Data were validated in an independent cohort of 132 CHD patients.

CONCLUSIONS

LSM is a useful tool for identifying patients at risk for liver cirrhosis and is superior to other NITs. The cut-offs of <10.2 and < 15.2 kPa reliably diagnose non-advanced liver fibrosis and exclude cirrhosis in the majority of patients. However, LSM cannot completely replace liver biopsy in CHD patients.

Advances and Challenges in Managing Hepatitis D Virus: Evolving Strategies

Purpose of Review

Hepatitis D Virus (HDV), although a small defective virus, poses a substantial public health challenge due to lack of awareness, underrecognized prevalence, and limited treatment options. Universal HDV screening within hepatitis B virus (HBV) cohorts is essential to address this issue. Despite its aggressive nature, effective HDV therapies have remained elusive for over four decades.

Recent Findings

Advances in understanding HDV's biology and clinical behavior offer potential therapeutic breakthroughs, fostering optimism. As insights grow, effective and targeted therapies are being developed to improve HDV management.

Summary

This review delves into HDV's intricate structure and biology, highlighting formidable hurdles in antiviral development. It emphasizes the importance of widespread screening, exploring noninvasive diagnostics, and examining current and emerging innovative therapeutic strategies. Moreover, the review explores models for monitoring treatment response. In essence, this review simplifies the complexities of effectively combating HDV.

[Delta hepatitis in Africa: epidemiological and clinical particularities]

In 2022, the World Health Organization (WHO) estimated that hepatitis B virus (HBV) infections caused 1.5 million deaths, mostly attributable to complications from chronic infections, cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Despite the availability of a vaccine, 296 million people were chronically infected in 2019. Asia and Africa are the continents most affected by this infection, with around 100 million people infected in Africa as a whole.Hepatitis Delta or D virus (HDV), which is a "satellite" virus of HBV, is often misunderstood and its diagnosis remains neglected. However, it is associated with acute fulminant forms and chronic forms of hepatitis leading to a more rapid evolution towards cirrhosis and HCC than during HBV mono-infection. Research on these two viruses HBV and HDV has progressed a lot in recent years, and new treatments are currently in development.In people living with the human immunodeficiency virus (PlHIV), liver disease is a major cause of morbidity and mortality. Due to common modes of transmission, dual or triple HIV/HBV or HIV/HBV/HDV infections are relatively common, particularly in HBV endemic regions such as Africa. However, while today most co-infected patients benefit from effective treatment against both HIV and HBV, the latter is not active against HDV. In Africa, hepatitis B and D have already been the subject of several studies. However, the frequency and clinical consequences of these co-infections have been little studied in the general population and in PlHIV.This review seeks to update the epidemiological and clinical data and the therapeutic perspectives of HDV co-infections or triple infections (HIV-HBV-HDV) in Africa.

Hepatitis delta: Epidemiology to recent advances in therapeutic agents

Hepatitis D virus (HDV) was first described in 1977 and is dependent on the presence of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) for its entry into cells and on the human host for replication. Due to the envelopment with the hepatitis B virus (HBV) envelope, early phases of HDV entry resemble HBV infection. Unlike HBV, HDV activates innate immune responses. The global prevalence of HDV is estimated to be about 5% of HBsAg positive individuals. However, recent studies have described a wide range of prevalence between 12 to 72 million individuals. Infection can occur as super-infection or co-infection. The diagnosis of active HDV infection involves screening with anti HDV antibodies followed by quantitative PCR testing for HDV RNA in those who are HBsAg positive. The diagnostic studies have evolved over the years improving the validity and reliability of the tests performed. HDV infection is considered the most severe form of viral hepatitis and the HDV genotype may influence the disease course. There are eight major HDV genotypes with prevalence varying by geographic region. HDV treatment has been challenging as HDV strongly depends on the host cell for replication and provides few, if any viral targets. Better understanding of HDV virology has led to the development of several therapeutic agents currently being studied in different phase II and III clinical trials. There is increasing promise of effective therapies that will ameliorate the course of this devastating disease.

Diagnosis of HDV: From virology to non-invasive markers of fibrosis

Hepatitis D viral infection in humans is a disease that requires the establishment of hepatitis B, relying on hepatitis B surface Ag and host cellular machinery to replicate and propagate the infection. Since its discovery in 1977, substantial progress has been made to better understand the hepatitis D viral life cycle, pathogenesis and modes of transmission along with expanding on clinical knowledge related to prevention, diagnosis, monitoring and treatment. The availability of serologic diagnostic assays for hepatitis D infection has evolved over time with current widespread availability, improved detection and standardized reporting. With human migration, the epidemiology of hepatitis D infection has changed over time. Thus, the ability to use diagnostic assays remains essential to monitor the global impact of hepatitis D infection. Separately, while liver biopsy remains the gold standard for the staging of this rapidly progressive and severe form of chronic viral hepatitis, there is an unmet need for clinical monitoring of chronic hepatitis D infection for management of progressive disease. Thus, exploration of the utility of non-invasive fibrosis markers in hepatitis D is ongoing. In this review, we discuss the virology, the evolution of diagnostics and the development of non-invasive markers for the detection and monitoring of fibrosis in patients with hepatitis D infection.

An Insight Into the Factors Affecting the Prevalence and Natural History of Hepatitis D

Epidemiological studies and recent metanalyses addressing hepatitis D have reported a wide variation in the prevalence of the disease. Between 4.5% to 15% of all hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) positive patients are thought to harbor the hepatitis D virus. The emergent variation in prevalence can be attributed to several factors. Unsurprisingly, published literature shows that the prevalence of the disease is higher in areas where aggregate viral hepatitis infections are endemic and amongst groups with high-risk practices facilitating the horizontal transfer. Meanwhile, the natural history of the disease is influenced by the genotype of the virus, the hepatitis D virus (HDV) RNA levels, HBV-HDV codominance, HBsAg titers, HBV genotype, nutritional status, HIV co-infection, and prior treatment. Together these factors contribute to the accelerated development of fibrosis and the increased risk of hepatocellular carcinoma. Superinfection with genotype 1 results in rapid progression to cirrhosis with lower rates of remission. Genotype 3 follows an aggressive course but shows a good response to interferon therapy. Other genotypes have better outcomes. The course of the disease leading to these outcomes can be tracked by HDV-specific models integrating clinical surrogate markers and epidemiological factors such as age, region, alanine aminotransferase (ALT), gamma-glutamyl transferase, albumin, platelets and cholinesterase, and liver stiffness.

Natural history of untreated HDV patients: Always a progressive disease?

A severe course has been described in early studies on chronic hepatitis D (CHD), with faster pace towards liver cirrhosis with subsequent high liver-related morbidity and mortality in the majority of patients. Earlier studies have included risk groups as people using intravenous drugs (PWID) or those with multiple co-morbidities. During the last decade, the epidemiological landscape of CHD has changed with domestic cases decreasing while increasing cases of CHD consisting of younger persons immigrating from endemic regions to low-endemic regions. Recently, further insights into the spectrum of the disease with an indolent disease course in a substantial proportion of persons with CHD have been gained. At diagnosis, ≥30%-50% had already established liver cirrhosis. Older age, liver cirrhosis, co-infection with HIV and lack of interferon (IFN) therapy are the main predictors of worse clinical outcome. The newly introduced and upcoming antivirals against CHD are highly anticipated, considering the historically low virological response rates to antiviral therapy. Further knowledge is needed to fully comprehend the natural course and the spectrum of this severe form of viral hepatitis. This is also to be able to evaluate the long-term effects of the new antivirals on disease progression.

The Delta Delta: Gaps in screening and patient assessment for hepatitis D virus infection

Hepatitis D virus (HDV) infection is highly prevalent in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). AASLD guidelines recommend a risk-based screening approach. Our aim was to ascertain if the risk-based approach leads to appropriate HDV screening, identify targets to improve screening rates, and study HDV clinical burden. CHB patients screened for HDV from 01/2016 to 12/2021 were identified. Level of training and specialty of providers ordering HDV screening tests were determined. HDV seropositive (HDV+) patient charts were reviewed for the presence of individual risk factors per the AASLD guidelines to determine if they met screening criteria. The severity of liver disease at the time of HDV screening was compared between the HDV+ group and a matched (based on age, hepatitis B e antigen status, BMI and sex) HDV seronegative (HDV-) group. During the study period, 1444/11,190 CHB patients were screened for HDV. Most screening tests were ordered by gastroenterology (90.2%) specialists and attending physicians (80.5%). HDV+ rate was 88/1444 (6%), and 72 HDV+ patients had complete information for analysis. 18% of HDV+ patients would be missed by a risk-based screening approach due to unreported or negative risk factors (see Table). A significantly higher number of HDV+ patients had developed significant fibrosis (p = 0.001) and cirrhosis (p < 0.01) by the time of screening than HDV- (n = 67) patients. In conclusion, targeted interventions are needed towards trainees and primary care clinics to improve screening rates. Current risk-based criteria do not appropriately screen for HDV. It is time for universal screening of HDV in CHB patients.

Prevalence of HDV infection in people living with HIV: Data from a multicenter Italian cohort

Objectives

The development of novel antiviral agents active against Hepatitis Delta Virus (HDV) might change the natural history of chronic infection, reducing the risk for end-stage liver disease. People living with HIV (PWH) are at risk for bloodborne pathogens infection, but limited data on epidemiology of HDV infection is available in this setting. The aim of this study was to investigate HDV prevalence and attitude toward HDV testing and treatment in infectious diseases centers.

Methods

A cross sectional survey was performed among centers participating in the CISAI (Coordinamento Italiano per lo Studio dell'Allergia in Infezione da HIV) Group. The survey addressed anti-HDV prevalence and HDV-RNA detectability rates in PWH as well as perceived obstacles to treatment.

Results

Overall, responses from ten sites were collected. Among participating centers, 316 PWH with HBV chronic infection are currently followed. Of them, 15.2% had positive anti-HDV antibodies, while 13.9% were not tested yet. Overall, 17% of anti-HDV positive PWH tested at least once for HDV-RNA had active HDV infection, and 71% of them had advanced liver disease. Most infectious diseases centers intend to treat locally HDV infection with upcoming anti-HDV drugs, but some concerns exist regarding treatment schedule.

Discussion

HDV testing needs to be implemented in PWH. At present, few patients followed in the CISAI centers seem to be candidate to receive new direct active anti-HDV agents, but repeated HDV-RNA measures could change this proportion.

Non-invasive fibrosis markers for assessment of liver fibrosis in chronic hepatitis delta

Assessment of liver fibrosis by non-invasive means is clinically important. Studies in chronic hepatitis delta (CHD) are scarce. We evaluated the performance of eight serum fibrosis markers [fibrosis-4 score (FIB-4), aspartate aminotransferase (AST) to alanine aminotransferase (ALT) ratio (AAR), age-platelet index (API), AST-to platelet-ratio-index (APRI), Goteborg University Cirrhosis Index (GUCI), Lok index, cirrhosis discriminant score (CDS) and Hui score] in CHD and chronic hepatitis B (CHB). Liver stiffness was assessed by transient elastography (TE) in CHD. The ability of fibrosis markers to detect significant fibrosis and cirrhosis were evaluated in 202 CHB and 108 CHD patients using published and new cut-offs through receiver operating characteristics (ROC) analysis. The latter was also applied to obtain cut-offs for TE. APRI, Fib-4, API and Hui score were assessed for significant fibrosis, and APRI, GUCI, Lok index, CDS and AAR for cirrhosis determination. Fibrosis markers displayed weak performance in CHB for significant fibrosis with area under ROC (AUROC) curves between 0.62 and 0.71. They did slightly better for CHD. TE displayed an AUROC of 0.92 and performed better than serum fibrosis markers (p < 0.05 for fibrosis markers). For cirrhosis determination, CDS and Lok Index displayed an AUROC of 088 and 0.89 in CHB and GUCI, Lok index and APRI displayed AUROCs around 0.90 in CHD. TE displayed the best AUROC (0.95). Hence TE is superior to serum fibrosis markers for diagnosing significant liver fibrosis and cirrhosis. GUCI, Lok index and APRI displayed a reasonable performance in CHD, which needs further confirmation.

Hepatitis delta virus: Disease assessment and stratification

Hepatitis D virus (HDV) causes one of the most severe forms of hepatitis in people with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) infection. Timely and accurate assessment of hepatitis delta virus (HDV) and disease stratification is mandatory for thorough pre-therapeutic evaluation for prioritizing treatment and outcome prediction. Viral biomarkers associated with HDV and hepatitis B virus (HBV) are crucial to aid in diagnosis, and monitoring of serum viral nucleic acids for both viruses is recommended. Liver biopsy remains the gold standard for staging of liver fibrosis and grading of histological activity and should remain central for diagnostic purposes, but is also of importance for research to enhance our understanding of HDV. The emergence of novel non-invasive tests for the assessment of liver fibrosis in HDV patients coupled with the well-recognized potential complications of liver biopsy has resulted in reduced utility of liver biopsy in clinical practice. Preliminary data suggest that these emerging non-invasive modalities appear to be reliable, and their use is supported, similar to other viral hepatitis. Nevertheless, further validation is required before their widespread adoption into clinical practice.

Molecular epidemiology and clinical characteristics of hepatitis D virus infection in Canada

Background & Aims

HDV affects 4.5–13% of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients globally, yet the prevalence of HDV infection in Canada is unknown. To investigate the prevalence, genotype, demographics, and clinical characteristics of HDV in Canada, we conducted a retrospective analysis of (1) HDV antibody and RNA positivity among referred specimens, and (2) a cross-sectional subset study of 135 HDV seropositive +/-RNA (HDV+) patients compared with 5,132 HBV mono-infected patients in the Canadian HBV Network.

Methods

Anti-HDV IgG-positive specimens collected between 2012 and 2019 were RNA tested and the genotype determined. Patients enrolled in the Canadian HBV Network were >18 years of age and HBsAg-positive. Clinical data collected included risk factors, demographics, comorbidities, treatment, fibrosis assessment, and hepatic complications.

Results

Of the referred patients, 338/7,080 (4.8%, 95% CI 4.3–5.3) were HDV seropositive, with 219/338 RNA-positive (64.8%, 95% CI 59.6–69.7). The HDV+ cohort were more likely to be born in Canada, to be White or Black/African/Caribbean than Asian, and reporting high-risk behaviours, compared with HBV mono-infected patients. Cirrhosis, complications of end-stage liver disease, and liver transplantation were significantly more frequent in the HDV+ cohort. HDV viraemia was significantly associated with elevated liver transaminases and cirrhosis. Five HDV genotypes were observed among referred patients but no association between genotype and clinical outcome was detected within the HDV+ cohort.

Conclusions

Nearly 5% of the Canadian HBV referral population is HDV seropositive. HDV infection is highly associated with risk behaviours and both domestic and foreign-born patients with CHB. HDV was significantly associated with progressive liver disease highlighting the need for increased screening and surveillance of HDV in Canada.

Lay summary

Evidence of HDV infection was observed in approximately 5% of Canadians who were infected with HBV referred to medical specialists. HDV-positive patients were more likely to be male, born in Canada, or White or Black/African/Caribbean compared to Asian, and to have reported high-risk activities such as injection or intranasal drug use or high-risk sexual contact compared with patients infected with only HBV. Patients infected with HDV were also more likely to suffer severe liver disease, including liver cancer, compared with HBV mono-infected patients.

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There was ∼5% HDV seroprevalence in Canadian HBsAg-positive referred patients.

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HDV genotypes 1, 2, and 5–7 were observed in referred patients.

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HDV+ patients were more likely to be born in Canada, White or Black/African/Caribbean.

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HDV was highly associated with high-risk activities (sexual and intravenous drug use).

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HDV+ patients were more likely diagnosed with cirrhosis or liver cancer.

Durable virological response and functional cure of chronic hepatitis D after long-term peginterferon therapy

BACKGROUND

Hepatitis delta virus (HDV) infection is the most aggressive form of chronic viral hepatitis. Response rates to therapy with 1- to 2-year courses of pegylated interferon alpha (peginterferon) treatment are suboptimal.

AIMS

To evaluate the long-term outcomes of patients with chronic hepatitis D after an extended course of peginterferon.

METHODS

Patients were followed after completion of trial NCT00023322 and classified based on virological response defined as loss of detectable serum HDV RNA at last follow-up. During extended follow-up, survival and liver-related events were recorded.

RESULTS

All 12 patients who received more than 6 months of peginterferon in the original study were included in this analysis. The cohort was mostly white (83%) and male (92%) and ranged in age from 18 to 58 years (mean = 42.6). Most patients had advanced but compensated liver disease at baseline, a median HBV DNA level of 536 IU per mL and median HDV RNA level of 6.86 log₁₀ genome equivalents per mL. The treatment duration averaged 6.1 years (range 0.8-14.3) with a total follow-up of 8.8 years (range 1.7-17.6). At last follow-up, seven (58%) patients had durable undetectable HDV RNA in serum, and four (33%) cleared HBsAg. Overall, one of seven (14%) responders died or had a liver-related event vs four of five (80%) non-responders.

CONCLUSIONS

With further follow-up, an extended course of peginterferon therapy was found to result in sustained clearance of HDV RNA and favourable clinical outcomes in more than half of patients and loss of HBsAg in a third.

Hepatitis delta virus: From infection to new therapeutic strategies

The hepatitis delta virus (HDV) is a small RNA virus that encodes a single protein and which requires the hepatitis B virus (HBV)-encoded hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) for its assembly and transmission. HBV/HDV co-infections exist worldwide and show a higher prevalence among selected groups of HBV-infected populations, specifically intravenous drug users, practitioners of high-risk sexual behaviours, and patients with cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. The chronic form of HDV-related hepatitis is usually severe and rapidly progressive. Patterns of the viral infection itself, including the status of co-infection or super-infection, virus genotypes (both for HBV and HDV), and persistence of the virus’ replication, influence the outcome of the accompanying and manifested liver disease. Unfortunately, disease severity is burdened by the lack of an effective cure for either virus type. For decades, the main treatment option has been interferon, administered as mono-therapy or in combination with nucleos(t)ide analogues. While its efficacy has been reported for different doses, durations and courses, only a minority of patients achieve a sustained response, which is the foundation of eventual improvement in related liver fibrosis. The need for an efficient therapeutic alternative remains. Research efforts towards this end have led to new treatment options that target specific steps in the HDV life cycle; the most promising among these are myrcludex B, which inhibits virus entry into hepatocytes, lonafarnib, which inhibits farnesylation of the viral-encoded L-HDAg large hepatitis D antigen, and REP-2139, which interferes with HBsAg release and assembly.

The changing context of hepatitis D

The global epidemiology of hepatitis D is changing with the widespread implementation of vaccination against hepatitis B. In high-income countries that achieved optimal control of HBV, the epidemiology of hepatitis D is dual, consisting of an ageing cohort of domestic patients with advanced liver fibrosis who represent the end stage of the natural history of HDV, and of a younger generation of immigrants from endemic countries who account for the majority of new infections. As observed in Europe in the 1980s, the distinctive clinical characteristic of chronic hepatitis D in endemic countries is the accelerated progression to cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. Despite some recent progress, the therapeutic management of HDV remains unsatisfactory, as most patients are not cured of HDV with currently available medicines. This review article describes the current epidemiology and clinical features of chronic hepatitis D, based on the literature published in the last 10 years.

The Severity of Hepatitis D in Young Adults of Age 18-25 Years

Background

Current literature on the prevalence and characteristics of hepatitis D virus (HDV) infection in young adults is limited. This study aims to determine the disease characteristics and severity in young adults.

Methods

The case records of HDV RNA positive patients of age 18-25 years were analyzed.

Results

Out of 119 patients, 105 (88%) patients were male. HBV-DNA was detectable in 83 (70%). Hepatitis B e-antigen (HBeAg) was non-reactive in 99 (83%). Cirrhosis was identified in 45 (37.8%) individuals; nine (7.5%) were classified as Child class B or Child class C. Twenty-four (20.2%) had a Model For End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score of ≥10, out of these 16 had a score of 15 or more. The risk of decompensation was calculated according to the Baseline-event-anticipation (BEA) score; eight (6.7%) patients were at BEA-A (mild risk), 105 (88.2%) were at BEA-B (moderate risk), and six (5.0%) were at BEA-C (severe risk). Notable findings in patients with cirrhosis included splenomegaly, low total leucocyte counts, low platelets, high bilirubin, elevated aspartate aminotransferase, gamma-glutamyl transferase and international normalization ratio, low albumin, high AST to Platelet Ratio Index (APRI), and high BEA score. The splenic size, platelet count, and albumin levels were independently associated with cirrhosis (p < 0.001, <0.001, and 0.003). A model using a combination of platelet count, albumin, and spleen size was developed to accurately predict cirrhosis in this cohort. It had an area under the receiver operating characteristics (AUROC) of 0.935.

Conclusions

HDV-infected young adults, age 18-25 years, were at moderate to severe risk of disease progression. About one-third of patients had already developed cirrhosis indicating the aggressive nature of the disease.

Artificial Neural Network Model for Liver Cirrhosis Diagnosis in Patients with Hepatitis B Virus-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Background

Testing for the presence of liver cirrhosis (LC) is one of the most critical diagnostic and prognostic assessments for patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). More non-invasive tools are needed to diagnose LC but the predictive abilities of current models are still inconclusive. This study aimed to develop and validate a novel and non-invasive artificial neural network (ANN) model for diagnosing LC in patients with HBV-related HCC using routine laboratory serological indicators.

Methods

A total of 1152 HBV-related HCC patients who underwent hepatectomy were included and randomly divided into the training set (n = 864, 75%) and validation set (n = 288, 25%). The ANN model was constructed from the training set using multivariate Logistic regression analysis and then verified in the validation set.

Results

The morbidity of LC in the training and validation sets was 41.2% and 46.8%, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that age, platelet count, prothrombin time and total bilirubin were independent risk factors for LC (P < 0.05). The area under the ROC curve (AUC) analyses revealed that the ANN model had higher predictive accuracy than the Logistic model (ANN: 0.757 vs Logistic: 0.721; P < 0.001), and other scoring systems (ANN: 0.757 vs CP: 0.532, MELD: 0.594, ALBI: 0.575, APRI: 0.621, FIB-4: 0.644, AAR: 0.491, and GPR: 0.604; P < 0.05 for all) in diagnosing LC. Similar results were obtained in the validation set.

Conclusion

The ANN model has better diagnostic capabilities than other commonly used models and scoring systems in assessing LC risk in patients with HBV-related HCC.

A novel clinical decision support system for liver fibrosis using evolutionary multi-objective method based numerical association analysis

Chronic liver diseases are among the major health problems in the world. Determining the degree of fibrosis and structural changes and early diagnosis is an important indicator for the course of chronic liver disease, screening of complications and response to treatment. Considering the prevalence of the disease, the use of an invasive biopsy method does not seem practical. At least a preliminary assessment should be able to determine which patients should have a biopsy. In addition, it is not possible to repeat the liver biopsy frequently to follow the course of the patients. Liver biopsy is expensive and it cannot be performed in every hospital. Difficulties in the application for physicians and patients, sampling errors, differences in evaluation, the requirement of a trained physician, difficulties to repeat, and serious complications during the procedure are other disadvantages. The association rule discovery aims to find interesting and valuable associations within the data. Although association analysis is a very useful and popular task in data mining, as far as we know, there is not any study about association analysis of liver fibrosis. We hypothesize at this work that, evolutionary multi-objective methods can be very efficiently modeled and adapted for the automatic miner of comprehensible, accurate, and interesting numerical positive and negative association rules in liver fibrosis clinical decision making. Due to the numerical valued attributes in liver fibrosis data, for the first time, evolutionary intelligent MOPNAR was handled as a rule miner from liver fibrosis without using any discretizing process that requires domain experts. The algorithms modeled for a clinical decision support system in this study modify and adapt themselves for automatic discovery of numerical association rules and do not require modifying or changing the data. Sensitivity analysis of MOPNAR for liver fibrosis was also performed for the first time and a better parameter setting for this task was presented. According to the discovered rules in liver fibrosis data, the MOPNAR outperformed the compared method with respect to average confidence, lift, certainty factor, netconf, yulesQ, number of attributes, and number of covered records.