Improved air quality leads to enhanced vegetation growth during the COVID-19 lockdown in India

How does PM2.5 affect forest phenology? Integrating PM2.5 into phenology models for warm-temperate forests in China

Vegetation can regulate particulate matter (PM) through various mechanisms, such as facilitating the deposition of gases and particulates and purifying the air via photosynthesis. Conversely, PM directly damages leaves through dry deposition, while it also indirectly affects plant growth by altering weather conditions. However, the ways in which PM influence vegetation growth patterns, and the driving factors behind these impacts, remain unclear. In this study, we primarily focused on the start of the growing season (SOS) of warm-temperate zone forests in China with severe PM. SOS exhibited a trend of advancing at a rate of 0.15 days/yr during the study period from 2004 to 2022. We assessed the impact of satellite-derived fine PM (PM2.5) and coarser PM (PM10) on forest SOS across warm temperate forest regions in China using partial correlation analysis methods. After removing the effects of PM, we found that the correlation between temperature and SOS weakened. Additionally, PM exhibited a positive correlation with SOS in most pixels. Linear regression analysis revealed a significant negative correlation between relative humidity (RH) and the relationship between PM2.5 and SOS. However, in areas where RH exceeds 60.38%, this effect becomes unstable, presumably due to increased aerosol hygroscopicity or the saturation of aerosol particles. We also found that as road network density increased, the relationship between PM2.5 and SOS strengthened, whereas the impact of nightlight on this relationship was relatively weak. It is important to note that while the observed correlations reveal mechanisms by which PM2.5 affects SOS, they do not directly imply causation, as the complex interactions between environmental factors may influence these relationships. Finally, we incorporated PM2.5 into the phenology model and optimized its parameters using the least squares method, which improved the accuracy of SOS simulations and provided insights for predicting vegetation phenology in areas with severe PM pollution.

Warming-induced soil moisture stress threatens food security in India

Soil moisture (SM) interconnects various components of the Earth system and drives the land-atmosphere feedbacks and food production. However, around 40% of global vegetated land experiences SM drying. India is one of the global hotspots of land-atmosphere interactions and an extensively agrarian economy, but underexplored in terms of SM dynamics and its ramifications on food security. Here, we examine the mechanism of SM drying and its implications on cropland productivity in India based on remote sensing measurements and land surface model simulations in recent decades (2000-2019) and future projection of the 21st century. We find SM reduction predominantly in monsoon (4.5%) and winter (3%) seasons that are in the major agricultural seasons of Kharif and Rabi, respectively. Machine learning (ML)-based random forest (RF) reveals that temperature (T, 30.76%) is the dominant driver of SM variability, and then precipitation (P, 26.34%), evapotranspiration (ET, 26.08%) and surface greenness (16.82%). Concurrently, India experiences severe warming in terms of land (0.59 ℃/dec), soil (0.48 ℃/dec) and soil heat flux (SHF, 0.16 W/m2/dec) during 2000-2019. Partial correlation analysis between SM and T limiting the influence of P reveals a strong negative (> - 0.5) relationship in the agriculture intensive regions of Indo-Gangetic Plain (IGP) and South India (SI). Drying owing to warming and increased SHF, termed as warming-induced moisture stress, reduces gross primary productivity (GPP) (i.e. browning) and yield of major food crops of wheat, rain-fed rice, maize and soyabean, predominantly in SI and eastern IGP. Granger Causality shows that warming-induced soil moisture stress has a maximum temporal lag of 1 month. In a warming world, the ever-growing population demands more food, and therefore, the warming-induced soil moisture stress is a serious threat to food security in India and similar agro-climatic regions of the world. This calls for climate-resilient agriculture, better agronomic management, improved irrigation and adoption of water-efficient crops.

Increased global cropland greening as a response to the unusual reduction in atmospheric PM₂.₅ concentrations during the COVID-19 lockdown period

The devastating effects of COVID-19 pandemic have widely affected human lives and economy across the globe. There were significant changes in the global environmental conditions in response to the lockdown (LD) restrictions made due to COVID-19. The direct impact of LD on environment is analysed widely across the latitudes, but its secondary effect remains largely unexplored. Therefore, we examine the changes in particulate matter (PM₂.₅) during LD, and its impact on the global croplands. Our analysis finds that there is a substantial decline in the global PM₂.₅ concentrations during LD (2020) compared to pre-lockdown (PreLD: 2017-2019) in India (10-20%), East China (EC, 10%), Western Europe (WE, 10%) and Nigeria (10%), which are also the cropland dominated regions. Partial correlation analysis reveals that the decline in PM₂.₅ positively affects the cropland greening when the influence of temperature, precipitation and soil moisture are limited. Croplands in India, EC, Nigeria and WE became more greener as a result of the improvement in air quality by the reduction in particulates such as PM₂.₅ during LD, with an increase in the Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) of about 0.05-0.1, 0.05, 0.05 and 0.05-0.1, respectively. As a result of cropland greening, increase in the total above ground biomass production (TAGP) and crop yield (TWSO) is also found in EC, India and Europe. In addition, the improvement in PM₂.₅ pollution and associated changes in meteorology also influenced the cropland phenology, where the crop development stage has prolonged in India for wet-rice (1-20%) and maize (1-10%). Therefore, this study sheds light on the response of global croplands to LD-induced improvements in PM₂.₅ pollution. These finding have implications for addressing issues of air pollution, global warming, climate change, environmental conservation and food security to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).

Vegetation net primary productivity in urban areas of China responded positively to the COVID-19 lockdown in spring 2020

To prevent the spread of COVID-19, China implemented large-scale lockdown measures in early 2020, resulting in a marked reduction in human activities over a short period. Studies have explored environmental changes during lockdowns, lacking analysis of response of net primary productivity (NPP) to lockdowns, especially for diverse vegetation types. Correlation between NPP and impact factors during lockdowns remains unclear. Through Google Earth Engine, we evaluated spatial-temporal changes in spring NPP at multiple scales during lockdown period (LD, 2020) compared with unlocked period (UL, 2017-2019) by remote sensing data in urban areas of China. Changes in four impact factors, aerosol optical depth (AOD) and photosynthetically active radiation (PAR) (via remote sensing data), alongside temperature (TEM) and precipitation (PRE) (via meteorological data) were explored. Additionally, geodetector, a valuable statistical tool for detecting the driving ability of various elements, was employed to explore the underlying causes of vegetation changes during LD. In the spring of LD: 1) National urban NPP generally increased (+6.50 %), notably in Northeast China (NE), North China (N) and East China (E). Besides, overall urban AOD decreased (-3.64 %), notably in N and Central China (C). National urban PAR increased (+2.7 %), particularly in C and Northwest China (NW). However, overall urban TEM (-0.06 %) and PRE (-1.21 %) changed negatively. 2) NPP in all three vegetation types in urban areas enhanced, with change rates: croplands > forests > grasslands. Evident enhancements occurred in the forests and croplands in N, and the grasslands in NE. 3) Through geodetector, during LD, AOD (q = 0.223) and TEM (q = 0.272) emerged as the dominant factors for NPP. Compared with UL, the explanatory power of AOD and PAR on NPP increased during LD. This study provides valuable insights into understanding the effects of short-term human activities on vegetation productivity, offering reference for the formulation of ecological and environmental policies.

The weekly cycle of photosynthesis in Europe reveals the negative impact of particulate pollution on ecosystem productivity

Aerosols can affect photosynthesis through radiative perturbations such as scattering and absorbing solar radiation. This biophysical impact has been widely studied using field measurements, but the sign and magnitude at continental scales remain uncertain. Solar-induced fluorescence (SIF), emitted by chlorophyll, strongly correlates with photosynthesis. With recent advancements in Earth observation satellites, we leverage SIF observations from the Tropospheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI) with unprecedented spatial resolution and near-daily global coverage, to investigate the impact of aerosols on photosynthesis. Our analysis reveals that on weekends when there is more plant-available sunlight due to less particulate pollution, 64% of regions across Europe show increased SIF, indicating more photosynthesis. Moreover, we find a widespread negative relationship between SIF and aerosol loading across Europe. This suggests the possible reduction in photosynthesis as aerosol levels increase, particularly in ecosystems limited by light availability. By considering two plausible scenarios of improved air quality-reducing aerosol levels to the weekly minimum 3-d values and levels observed during the COVID-19 period-we estimate a potential of 41 to 50 Mt net additional annual CO2 uptake by terrestrial ecosystems in Europe. This work assesses human impacts on photosynthesis via aerosol pollution at continental scales using satellite observations. Our results highlight i) the use of spatiotemporal variations in satellite SIF to estimate the human impacts on photosynthesis and ii) the potential of reducing particulate pollution to enhance ecosystem productivity.

Browning of vegetation in efficient carbon sink regions of India during the past two decades is driven by climate change and anthropogenic intrusions

Accurate estimation of carbon cycle is a challenging task owing to the complexity and heterogeneity of ecosystems. Carbon Use Efficiency (CUE) is a metric to define the ability of vegetation to sequester carbon from the atmosphere. It is key to understand the carbon sink and source pathways of ecosystems. Here, we quantify CUE using remote sensing measurements to examine its variability, drivers and underlying mechanisms in India for the period 2000-2019, by applying the principal component analyses (PCA), multiple linear regression (MLR) and causal discovery. Our analysis shows that the forests in the hilly regions (HR) and northeast (NE), and croplands in the western areas of South India (SI) exhibit high (>0.6) CUE. The northwest (NW), Indo-Gangetic plain (IGP) and some areas in Central India (CI) show low (<0.3) CUE. In general, the water availability as soil moisture (SM) and precipitation (P) promote higher CUE, but higher temperature (T) and air organic carbon content (AOCC) reduce CUE. It is found that SM has the strongest relative influence (33%) on CUE, followed by P. Also, SM has a direct causal link with all drivers and CUE; reiterating its importance in driving vegetation carbon dynamics (VCD) for the cropland dominated India. The long-term analysis reveals that the low CUE regions in NW (moisture induced greening) and IGP (irrigation induced agricultural boom) have an increasing trend in productivity (greening). However, the high CUE regions in NE (deforestation and extreme events) and SI (warming induced moisture stress) exhibit a decreasing trend in productivity (browning), which is a great concern. Our study, therefore, provides new insights on the rate of carbon allocation and the need of proper planning for maintaining balance in the terrestrial carbon cycle. This is particularly important in the context of drafting policy decisions for the mitigation of climate change, food security and sustainability.