Inflammation and disability as risk factors for mortality in elderly acute care patients

Predictive Value of Blood Parameters and Comorbidities on Three-Month Mortality in Elderly Patients With Hip Fracture

Background Knowing the factors that increase the risk of death in patients with hip fractures will help us to take precautions and intervene when necessary in the pre- and postoperative periods. Therefore, it is important to have inexpensive and practical biomarkers that can predict postoperative complications and mortality. The present study aimed to identify the factors that contribute to early mortality in elderly patients with hip fractures in the first three months after trauma, as well as the parameters that may be determinants of mortality. Methods The data of 1,015 patients over 65 years of age with femoral neck and intertrochanteric fractures admitted between January 2009 and January 2020 were retrospectively reviewed. A total of 763 patients who met the inclusion criteria were included in the study. Our study was designed to include 110 (14.4%) patients in Group 1 who were determined to have died within three months after the diagnosis of hip fracture and 653 (85.6%) patients in Group 2 who were determined not to have died within one year after the trauma. Age, gender, comorbid diseases, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score, type of anesthesia, operation time, type of implant used, time until surgery, and some biochemical blood values were compared between the two groups. Our data were analyzed statistically using the IBM Statistical Product and Service Solutions (SPSS) software for Windows, v. 25.0 (IBM SPSS Statistics for Windows, Armonk, NY). Results Of all of the patients, 370 (48.5%) were female and 393 (51.5%) were male. The patients who survived had an average age of 76.08, while the patients who died had an average age of 80.57. The mean age among the groups is significantly higher in patients who died. High creatinine, alanine aminotransferase (ALT), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), and low albumin values were found to be associated with mortality. Conclusion It has been determined that advanced age, delayed operation time, high ASA score, and the number of comorbid diseases are associated with mortality in elderly patients with hip fractures, and biomarkers, such as creatinine, ALT, and LDH, can be used as markers for early mortality. With the increase of studies of similar nature, it will be possible to calculate a systematic risk map for mortality in elderly patients with a proximal femur fracture.

Understanding health-care outcomes of older people with cognitive impairment and/or dementia admitted to hospital: a mixed-methods study

Background

Cognitive impairment is common in older people admitted to hospital, but previous research has focused on single conditions.

Objective

This project sits in phase 0/1 of the Medical Research Council Framework for the Development and Evaluation of Complex Interventions. It aims to develop an understanding of current health-care outcomes. This will be used in the future development of a multidomain intervention for people with confusion (dementia and cognitive impairment) in general hospitals. The research was conducted from January 2015 to June 2018 and used data from people admitted between 2012 and 2013.

Design

For the review of outcomes, the systematic review identified peer-reviewed quantitative epidemiology measuring prevalence and associations with outcomes. Screening for duplication and relevance was followed by full-text review, quality assessment and a narrative review (141 papers). A survey sought opinion on the key outcomes for people with dementia and/or confusion and their carers in the acute hospital (n = 78). For the analysis of outcomes including cost, the prospective cohort study was in a medical admissions unit in an acute hospital in one Scottish health board covering 10% of the Scottish population. The participants (n = 6724) were older people (aged ≥ 65 years) with or without a cognitive spectrum disorder who were admitted as medical emergencies between January 2012 and December 2013 and who underwent a structured nurse assessment. ‘Cognitive spectrum disorder’ was defined as any combination of delirium, known dementia or an Abbreviated Mental Test score of < 8 out of 10 points. The main outcome measures were living at home 30 days after discharge, mortality within 2 years of admission, length of stay, re-admission within 2 years of admission and cost.

Data sources

Scottish Morbidity Records 01 was linked to the Older Persons Routine Acute Assessment data set.

Results

In the systematic review, methodological heterogeneity, especially concerning diagnostic criteria, means that there is significant overlap in conditions of patients presenting to general hospitals with confusion. Patients and their families expect that patients are discharged in the same or a better condition than they were in on admission or, failing that, that they have a satisfactory experience of their admission. Cognitive spectrum disorders were present in more than one-third of patients aged ≥ 65 years, and in over half of those aged ≥ 85 years. Outcomes were worse in those patients with cognitive spectrum disorders than in those without: length of stay 25.0 vs. 11.8 days, 30-day mortality 13.6% vs. 9.0%, 1-year mortality 40.0% vs. 26.0%, 1-year mortality or re-admission 62.4% vs. 51.5%, respectively (all p < 0.01). There was relatively little difference by cognitive spectrum disorder type; for example, the presence of any cognitive spectrum disorder was associated with an increased mortality over the entire period of follow-up, but with different temporal patterns depending on the type of cognitive spectrum disorder. The cost of admission was higher for those with cognitive spectrum disorders, but the average daily cost was lower.

Limitations

A lack of diagnosis and/or standardisation of diagnosis for dementia and/or delirium was a limitation for the systematic review, the quantitative study and the economic study. The economic study was limited to in-hospital costs as data for social or informal care costs were unavailable. The survey was conducted online, limiting its reach to older carers and those people with cognitive spectrum disorders.

Conclusions

Cognitive spectrum disorders are common in older inpatients and are associated with considerably worse health-care outcomes, with significant overlap between individual cognitive spectrum disorders. This suggests the need for health-care systems to systematically identify and develop care pathways for older people with cognitive spectrum disorders, and avoid focusing on only condition-specific pathways.

Future work

Development and evaluation of a multidomain intervention for the management of patients with cognitive spectrum disorders in hospital.

Study registration

This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42015024492.

Funding

This project was funded by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Health Services and Delivery Research programme and will be published in full in Health Services and Delivery Research; Vol. 9, No. 8. See the NIHR Journals Library website for further project information.

Biochemical markers of inflammation are associated with increased mortality in hip fracture patients: the Bispebjerg Hip Fracture Biobank

PURPOSE

The purpose of this study was to examine the possible association between mortality following a hip fracture and known biochemical markers of inflammation.

METHODS

The study population was identified using two local databases from Bispebjerg Hospital (Copenhagen, Denmark): the Hip Fracture Database containing all patients admitted to the hospital with a fractured hip from 1996 to 2012 and the Hip Fracture Biobank, containing whole blood, serum and plasma taken in relation to admission on a subgroup of patients from the Hip Fracture Database, consecutively collected over a period of 2.5 years from 2008 to 2011. The following biochemical markers of inflammation were included: C-reactive protein (CRP), the soluble urokinase plasminogen activating receptor (suPAR), ferritin and transferrin. The association between the blood markers and mortality was examined using Cox proportional hazards models. Hazard ratios (HR) were expressed per quartile increase in the biochemical markers.

RESULTS

A total of 698 patients were included, 69 (9.9%) died within 30 days after sustaining a hip fracture. The HR for 30-day mortality was significantly increased with increasing quartiles of suPAR, CRP and ferritin and with decreasing quartiles of transferrin.

CONCLUSION

This study shows that 30-day mortality after a hip fracture is associated with elevated levels of suPAR, CRP and ferritin as well as with lower levels of transferrin. This excess inflammatory response is likely caused by muscle damage associated with the hip fracture. However, this needs to be further clarified.

Acute inflammation is associated with lower muscle strength, muscle mass and functional dependency in male hospitalised older patients

Background

Hospitalisation is associated with adverse health outcomes including loss of muscle strength, muscle mass and functional decline, which might be further aggravated by acute inflammation. This study aimed to determine whether acute inflammation, as denoted by C-reactive protein (CRP), is associated with muscle strength, muscle mass and functional dependency in hospitalised older patients.

Methods

The observational, prospective EMPOWER study included 378 hospitalised patients aged 70 years and older. As part of the hospital assessment, 191 patients (50.5%) had CRP measured. Muscle strength and mass were measured using handheld dynamometry and bioelectrical impedance analysis respectively. Activities of Daily Living (ADL) were assessed using Katz score and Instrumental ADL (IADL) by Lawton and Brody score. Linear regression analyses and logistic regression analyses were performed stratified by sex and adjusted for age and comorbidities.

Results

Mean age was 79.7 years (SD 6.4) and 50.8% were males. On admission and discharge, males with elevated CRP had significantly lower handgrip strength and lower absolute muscle mass compared with males with normal CRP and those with no CRP measured. At three months post-discharge, males with elevated CRP were more likely to be ADL dependent than those with normal CRP and with no CRP measured. In females, no associations were found between CRP and muscle strength, muscle mass, ADL or IADL.

Conclusions

Hospitalised older male patients with acute inflammation had lower muscle strength at admission and discharge and lower absolute muscle mass at admission and higher ADL dependency at three months post-discharge.

Serum miR-146a and miR-150 as Potential New Biomarkers for Hip Fracture-Induced Acute Lung Injury

Background

Acute lung injury (ALI) and subsequent pulmonary infection are the most severe and usually fatal complications for elderly hip fracture patients. It is necessary to find some biomarkers for early diagnosis and prognosis of it.

Objective

This study is aimed at examining the differential expression of miR-146a, miR-150, and cytokines (IL-6 and IL-10) between younger and elderly rats suffering from hip fracture and investigating the possible meaning of them in early diagnosis and prognosis of ALI after hip fracture.

Methods and Subjects

Elderly rats and younger rats were randomly divided into sham group and fracture group, respectively. Two fracture groups received hip fracture operations. The damage degree of ALI was evaluated by histological observation and pathological score. Cytokines were measured by ELISA; miR-146a and miR-150 were analysed by qRT-PCR.

Results

After treatment, compared with the corresponding sham groups, the pulmonary histological score, the serum miR-146a concentrations, and the cytokine (IL-6 and IL-10) levels in serum and BALF were significantly higher (the miR-150 were lower) in the fracture groups (with the exception of IL-6 of the younger fracture group at 72 h, all P < 0.05). Meanwhile, compared with the younger fracture group, the aforementioned variables were significantly higher (the miR-150 levels were lower) in the elderly fracture group (with the exception of serum IL-10 and pulmonary histological score at 8 h, all P < 0.05). The results of linear regression analysis showed that serum miR-146a and miR-150 were significantly associated with pulmonary histological score.

Conclusion

Hip fracture can result in significant systemic inflammation and ALI in the rats. Compared to the younger rats, the elderly rats suffered a more remarkable ALI after hip fracture. It may be related to the abnormal expression of miR-146a and miR-150. Serum miR-146a and miR-150 are potential biomarkers for diagnosis and prognosis of ALI after hip fracture.

Renin-Angiotensin System Blockers and Statins Are Associated With Lower In-Hospital Mortality in Very Elderly Hypertensives

OBJECTIVES

Cardiovascular diseases are mainly related to hypertension and dyslipidemia and increase with aging because of the larger time span for these risk factors to damage arterial blood vessels. The impact of cardiovascular drug therapy on outcomes in the very elderly hospitalized is still not well established. The aim of our study was to evaluate the associations between cardiovascular therapy and in-hospital mortality in very elderly hypertensives.

DESIGN

Prospective observational study.

SETTING

Hospital assessment.

PARTICIPANTS

310 very elderly hypertensive patients admitted to our Internal Medicine and Geriatrics Department for medical conditions.

MEASUREMENTS

Main comorbidities, laboratory parameters, and cardiovascular drug therapy taken before admission were considered for the analyses.

RESULTS

The mean age was 88.1 ± 5.1 years, with female prevalence of 57.4%. Among cardiovascular drugs taken before admission, angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors/angiotensin receptor blockers and statins were those associated with lower in-hospital mortality, even after adjusting for covariates (age, hemoglobin, albumin, acute kidney injury, ADL Hierarchy Scale, NT-proBNP levels) [odds ratio (OR) = 0.46, P = .045, and OR = 0.21, P = .008, respectively]. No difference regarding in-hospital mortality was found between ACE inhibitors and angiotensin receptor blockers (P = .414).

CONCLUSION

ACE inhibitors/angiotensin receptor blockers and statins, through their beneficial effects on the cardiovascular system, have a positive impact on survival in very elderly hospitalized patients. Our data confirm the important role of such drugs even in this particular population with a mean age higher than 88 years, where scientific evidence is still scanty.

Septic arthritis significantly increased the long-term mortality in geriatric patients

Background

The elderly are predisposed to septic arthritis (SA) because of the aging nature and increasing comorbidities. SA may in turn increase the long-term mortality in the geriatric patients; however, it remains unclear. We conducted this prospective nationwide population-based cohort study to clarify this issue.

Methods

Using Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD), we identified 1667 geriatric participants (≥ 65 years) with SA and 16,670 geriatric participants without SA matched at a ratio of 1:10 by age, sex, and index date between 1999 and 2010. A comparison of the long-term mortality between the two cohorts through follow-up until 2011 was performed.

Results

Geriatric participants with SA had a significantly increased mortality than those without SA [Adjusted hazard ratio (AHR): 1.49, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.34–1.66], particularly the old elderly (≥ 85 years, AHR: 2.12, 95% CI: 1.58–2.84) and males (AHR: 1.54, 95% CI: 1.33–1.79). These results were stated after adjustment for osteoarthritis, diabetes, gout, renal disease, liver disease, cancer, rheumatoid arthritis, systemic lupus erythematosus, alcoholism, and human immunodeficiency virus infection. The increased mortality risk was highest in the first month (AHR: 3.93, 95% CI: 2.94–5.25) and remained increased even after following up for 2–4 years (AHR: 1.30, 95% CI: 1.03–1.65). After Cox proportional hazard regression analysis, SA (AHR: 1.37, 95% CI: 1.20–1.56), older age (≥ 85 years, AHR: 1.79, 95% CI: 1.59–2.02, 75–84 years, AHR: 1.65, 95% CI: 1.53–1.78), male sex, diabetes, renal disease, liver disease, cancer, and gout were independent mortality predictors. There was no significant difference in the mortality for SA between upper limb affected and lower limb affected.

Conclusions

This study delineated that SA significantly increased the long-term mortality in geriatric participants. For the increasing aging population worldwide, strategies for the prevention and treatment of SA and concomitant control of comorbidities are very important.

Significance of Serum mtDNA Concentration in Lung Injury Induced by Hip Fracture

Acute lung injury is the most serious and fatal complication of the elderly patients with hip fracture, but the mechanisms are unknown. Recent studies demonstrated the mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) release was associated with lung injury after trauma. This study aimed to examine the differential release of mtDNA between younger and elderly rats suffering from hip fracture and to investigate the possible mechanism of mtDNA in the lung injury induced by hip fracture. In the first part of the study, we investigated the effects of hip fracture on the rats. The elderly and younger rats, respectively, received hip fracture operations. The degree of lung injury was evaluated, toll-like receptor 9 (TLR9) and nuclear factor kappa B (NF-κB) were determined using Western blot, and mtDNA were analyzed by fluorescent quantitative polymerase chain reaction. In the second part of the study, we investigated the effects of mtDNA on the rats. The elderly and younger rats directly received intravenous injections with mtDNA. After 24 h, the specimens were collected and detected as the first part. Hip fracture resulted in significant mtDNA release, TLR9 and NF-κB p65 expression, and lung injury in the rats. Meanwhile, the mtDNA injection could indirectly induce lung injury. Compared to the younger ones, the elderly rats suffered more serious lung injury after hip fracture and mtDNA injection. These results suggest that the lung injury induced by hip fracture may be involved with the mtDNA release and its TLR9/NF-κB pathway.

The Neutrophil to Lymphocyte Ratio on Admission and Short-Term Outcomes in Orthogeriatric Patients

AIM

To investigate the association of the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) at admission with presence of fracture, comorbid conditions, and its prognostic value for short-term outcomes in orthogeriatric patients.

METHODS

On 415 consecutive patients (mean age 78.8 ±8.7[SD] years, 281 women, 255 with a non-vertebral bone fracture, including 167 with a hip fracture, HF) admitted to the Department of Orthopaedic Surgery at the Canberra hospital (2010 - 2011) data on clinical and laboratory characteristics were collected prospectively. The validation dataset included 294 consecutive patients (mean age 82.1 ± 8.0 years, 72.1% women) with HF.

RESULTS

Multivariate regression revealed four variables, presence of HF, hypoalbuminaemia (<33g/L), anaemia (<120g/L) and hyperparathyroidism (PTH>6.8 pmol/L), as independent determinants of admission NLR≥5.1. There was a dose-graded relationship between presence of fracture, especially HF, postoperative complications and levels of NLR categorized as tertiles. Compared to patients with NLR<5.1(first tertile), patients with NLR 5.1-8.5 (second tertile) had a 1.8-, 3.1-, 2.6-, and 2.5-fold higher risk for presence of any fracture, HF, developing postoperative myocardial injury (troponin I rise) and a high inflammatory response/infection (CRP>100mg/L after the 3rd postoperative day), respectively, while in subjects with NLR>8.5 (third tertile) these risks were 2.6-, 4.9-, 5.9- and 4.5-times higher, respectively; subjects with NLR>8.5 had a 9.7 times higher chance of dying in the hospital compared to patients with NLR 5.1-8.5; the NLR retained its significance on multivariate analyses. The NLR ≥5.1 predicted postoperative myocardial injury with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.626, CRP>100mg/L with AUC of 0.631 and the NLR >8.5 predicted in-hospital mortality with an AUC of 0.793, showing moderately high sensitivity (86.7%, 80% and 90%, respectively) and negative predictive value (92.9%, 71.2%, 99.6%, respectively), but low specificity. Admission NLR was superior to other, except hypoalbuminaemia, prognostic markers; combined use of both NLR≥5.1 and albumin<33g/L only moderately increased the accuracy of prediction. The validation study confirmed the prognostic value of the admission NLR.

CONCLUSIONS

In orthogeriatric patients, high NLR on admission is an independent indicator of fracture presence, a significant risk factor and moderate predictor of postoperative myocardial injury, high inflammatory response/infection and in-hospital death.

Patient Empowerment Improved Perioperative Quality of Care in Cancer Patients Aged ≥ 65 Years - A Randomized Controlled Trial

Purpose

This randomized controlled, clinical prospective interventional trial was aimed at exploring the effect of patient empowerment on short- and long-term outcomes after major oncologic surgery in elderly cancer patients.

Methods

This trial was performed from February 2011 to January 2014 at two tertiary medical centers in Germany. The study included patients aged 65 years and older undergoing elective surgery for gastro-intestinal, genitourinary, and thoracic cancer. The patients were randomly assigned to the intervention group, i.e. patient empowerment through information booklet and diary keeping, or to the control group, which received standard care. Randomization was done by block randomization in blocks of four in order of enrollment. The primary outcome were 1,postoperative length of hospital stay (LOS) and 2. long-term global health-related quality of life (HRQoL) one year postoperatively. HRQoL was assessed using the EORTC QLQ C30 questionnaire. Secondary outcomes encompassed postoperative stress and complications. Further objectives were the identification of predictors of LOS, and HRQoL at 12 months.

Results

Overall 652 patients were included. The mean age was 72 ± 4.9 years, and the majority of patients were male (68.6%, n = 447). The ^median of postoperative length of stay was 9 days (IQR 7–14 day). There were no significant differences between the intervention and the control groups in postoperative LOS (p = 0.99) or global HRQoL after one year (women: p = 0.54, men: p = 0.94). While overall complications and major complications occurred in 74% and 24% of the cases, respectively, frequency and severity of complications did not differ significantly between the groups. Patients in the intervention group reported significantly less postoperative pain (p = 0.03) than the control group. Independent predictors for LOS were identified as severity of surgery, length of anesthesia, major postoperative complications, nutritional state, and pre-operative physical functional capacity measured by the Timed Up and Go-test by multiple robust regressions.

Conclusion

Patient empowerment through information booklet and diary keeping did not shorten the postoperative LOS in elderly onco-surgical patients, but improved quality of care regarding postoperative pain. Postoperative length of stay is influenced by pre-operative nutritional state, pre-operative functional impairment, severity of surgery, and length of anesthesia.

Trial Registration

Clinicaltrials.gov. Identifier NCT01278537

The Immediate Intramedullary Nailing Surgery Increased the Mitochondrial DNA Release That Aggravated Systemic Inflammatory Response and Lung Injury Induced by Elderly Hip Fracture

Conventional concept suggests that immediate surgery is the optimal choice for elderly hip fracture patients; however, few studies focus on the adverse effect of immediate surgery. This study aims to examine the adverse effect of immediate surgery, as well as to explore the meaning of mtDNA release after trauma. In the experiment, elderly rats, respectively, received hip fracture operations or hip fracture plus intramedullary nail surgery. After fracture operations, the serum mtDNA levels as well as the related indicators of systemic inflammatory response and lung injury significantly increased in the rats. After immediate surgery, the above variables were further increased. The serum mtDNA levels were significantly related with the serum cytokine (TNF-α and IL-10) levels and pulmonary histological score. In order to identify the meaning of mtDNA release following hip fracture, the elderly rats received injections with mtDNA. After treatment, the related indicators of systemic inflammatory response and lung injury significantly increased in the rats. These results demonstrated that the immediate surgery increased the mtDNA release that could aggravate systemic inflammatory response and lung injury induced by elderly hip fracture; serum mtDNA might serve as a potential biomarker of systemic inflammatory response and lung injury following elderly hip fracture.

Observational cohort study on correlates of mortality in older community-dwelling outpatients: The value of functional assessment

AIM

To analyze correlates of mortality with admission features/factors in older community-dwelling outpatients.

METHOD

This is an observational cohort study including 608 patients aged >60 years admitted to the geriatrics outpatient clinics of a university hospital. On admission, demographic characteristics, history of smoking-alcohol consumption, individual comorbidities, individual drugs, number of comorbidities, number of drugs and the components of comprehensive geriatric assessment (functional status, nutritional status, depression and cognition screening) of the patients were recorded. Survival status was assessed through the related official website. The relationship between mortality and recorded parameters were analyzed individually by univariate analyses. Consequently, stepwise forward Cox regression analysis was carried out to detect independent correlates for mortality (for those variables statistically significantly related to mortality.)

RESULTS

The mean age was 73.8 ± 6.9 years. 66.6% of participants were female. The mean follow-up time was 40.4 ± 25.3 months. The mortality rate was 17.8%. Correlates of mortality were calculated using univariate analysis. They were age, sex, nutritional status, activities of daily living (ADL), instrumental ADL, diabetes mellitus (P < 0.001 for all), suspected dementia (P = 0.002), hyperlipidemia (P = 0.048) and total number of diseases (P = 0.025). Independent correlates of mortality were advanced age (HR 1.10, 95% CI 1.06-1.13; P < 0.001, low ADL score (HR 1.22, 95% CI 1.12-1.32; P < 0.001), the presence of diabetes (HR 2.64, 95% CI 1.78-3.91, P < 0.001), male sex (HR 1.68, 95% CI 1.13-2.49; P = 0.01) and suspected dementia (HR 1.51, 95% CI 1.02-2.22; P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

In the present study--taking many factors into consideration--the variables associated with mortality were advanced age, low ADL score, presence of diabetes, male sex and suspected dementia. Functional status emerged as the second most significant factor associated with higher mortality--after advanced age. The present study highlights the importance of functional assessment in geriatric outpatient clinics.

Cerebral inflammation is an underlying mechanism of early death in Alzheimer's disease: a 13-year cause-specific multivariate mortality study

Introduction

Although Alzheimer’s disease (AD) is associated with early death, its life expectancy differs greatly between patients. A better understanding of this heterogeneity may reveal important disease mechanisms underlying the malignancy of AD. The aim of this study was to examine the relation between AD pathologies and early death in AD caused by dementia.

Methods

At a memory clinic, 247 referred consecutive patients with AD were monitored during 12.6 ± 1.6 years. Multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed with baseline measures of amyloid beta (Aβ) pathology (APOE genotype, cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) Aβ42) tau pathology (CSF phosphorylated tau and total tau), cerebrovascular pathology (white-matter lesions and CSF/serum albumin ratio), neuroinflammatory pathology (CSF soluble vascular cell adhesion molecule-1, sVCAM-1), frontal, temporal, and central brain atrophies, global cognition, sex, and age. Comorbidities and medications also were analyzed. All continuous variables were transformed to z scores to compare hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

Results

At follow-up, 89% of the patients had died. The mean survival time was 6.4 ± 3.0 years. The AD pathology that independently predicted an early death caused by dementia was cerebral inflammation (sVCAM-1; HR, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.07–1.64). Other independent predictors were lower global cognition (HR, 0.51; 95% CI, 0.43–0.61), frontal atrophy (HR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.12–1.70), and medial temporal atrophy (HR, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.02–1.49). When examining death caused by dementia and related causes (vascular diseases and infections), age (HR, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.04–1.46) and cerebrovascular pathology (white-matter lesions: HR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.01–1.36; and CSF/serum albumin ratio: HR, 1.16; 95% CI, 1.001–1.34) were also significant risk factors in addition to the previous variables. No comorbidity or medication was significant in the specific-cause models.

Conclusions

This is the first study to link neuroinflammation independently to early death in AD and, hence, a rapidly progressing disease. Frontal and medial temporal atrophies and low cognition were also significant predictors. These are probably downstream biomarkers that reflect neuronal degeneration and late-stage disease. Our results suggest that inflammation, and not amyloid or tau pathology, is an independent underlying mechanism in the malignancy of AD.

Cardiac and inflammatory biomarkers and in-hospital mortality in older medical patients

OBJECTIVES

Increasing evidence has mounted in recent years on the potential prognostic role of biomarkers out of cardiac-specific medical settings. We aimed to test whether cardiac and inflammatory biomarkers are independently associated with in-hospital mortality in older unselected medical inpatients undergoing standardized multidimensional evaluation.

DESIGN

Observational study conducted in a metropolitan university-teaching hospital. A standardized, multidimensional analysis was carried out on all patients by using medical and hospital discharge documentation and interview results integrated with information collected from family members or caregivers.

PARTICIPANTS AND SETTING

Patients older than 65 years consecutively admitted to the acute geriatric ward and to 2 acute medical wards of the hospital.

RESULTS

Male sex; low systolic blood pressure; APACHE score; functional impairment in activities of daily living (ADLs), instrumental ADLs, and Short Physical Performance Battery (SPPB); cognitive impairment; malnutrition; low albumin values; and elevated values of inflammatory and cardiac biomarkers were significantly associated with in-hospital mortality at univariate analysis. After multivariate analysis, male sex, low systolic blood pressure values at entry, severe cognitive impairment, and low functional performance measured by the SPPB resulted to be independently associated with in-hospital mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

The main finding of the present study is that these biomarkers, although associated with in-hospital mortality, do not have independent predictive significance when a comprehensive and multidimensional evaluation is conducted. The main clinical implication is that our findings should discourage the indiscriminate recourse to measurement of cardiac and inflammatory biomarkers, at least in older medical inpatients, thereby reducing a patient's hospital cost and potentially minimizing further unnecessary diagnostic procedures.

Plasma concentrations of pro- and anti-inflammatory cytokines and outcome prediction in elderly hip fracture patients

BACKGROUND

Hip fractures, particularly intertrochanteric fractures, frequently occur in the elderly, and they are associated with a high incidence of complications and mortality. The development of markers is essential to allow for adjustments to treatment strategies in patients, as it remains unclear why some patients endure organ failure and others do not under seemingly similar clinical conditions.

OBJECTIVE

Our objective was to determine the kinetics of tumour necrosis factor (TNF)-a, interleukin (IL)-6 and IL-10 during the hospitalisation of patients and to examine the relationship of these parameters to outcome (mortality and complications) 6 months and 12 months postoperatively.

METHODS AND SUBJECTS

A total of 127 elderly patients, who underwent hip fracture surgery, were prospectively followed up for 12 months, and 60 healthy elderly volunteers were enrolled in the control group to examine the effects of trauma and surgery on the inflammatory response. The epidemiological characteristics, chronic medical conditions and type of operation and anaesthetic were recorded. Cognition was evaluated using the Mini-Mental State Examination, and TNF-a, IL-6 and IL-10 levels were assessed during admission and preoperatively (post-anaesthesia) as well as 1 h, 1 day, 3 days and 5 days postoperatively. During the follow-up period, serious complications and mortality within 1 year were evaluated.

RESULTS

Overall, 96 patients survived, and 31 died within the 6-month postoperative period; 43 patients died, and 84 survived when examining the 12-month postoperative period. There were significant within-subject effects of time on TNF-a, IL-6 and IL-10 (P<0.001, P<0.001 and P<0.001). The above three cytokines were all significantly increased in the hip fracture patients compared with the control group. There were also differences in the kinetic patterns of all three parameters when the patients who died were compared with those who survived during the 6-month and 12-month postoperative periods. Multiple logistic regression analysis showed that TNF-a at 1 day (odds ratio (OR)=1.020, P=0.045) and 3 days (OR=1.034, P=0.037) postoperatively and IL-6 at 1 day (OR=1.048, P=0.000) postoperatively were independent predictors of mortality at 6 months; IL-6 (OR=1.019, P=0.025) and IL-10 (OR=1.018, P=0.042) at 1 day postoperatively were independent predictors of mortality at 1 year. The analysis of the receiver operating characteristics curve (ROC) showed that only IL-6 or IL-10 had the highest values for the area under the curve for mortality at 6 months and 12 months. Of the 84 patients who survived, 23 patients had 32 complications. The most common complication was pneumonia infection (11/84, 13%). TNF-a, IL-6 and IL-10 kinetics were found to differ in patients with complications compared to those without complications and in patients with infections compared with patients without complications. Multiple logistic regression analysis showed that IL-6 (OR=1.081, P=0.000) at 1 day postoperatively was an independent outcome predictor.

CONCLUSION

In elderly hip fracture patients, cytokine concentrations (TNF-a, IL-6 and IL-10) represented independent outcome predictors for adverse postoperative outcomes (mortality and complications). The inflammatory response played an important role in postoperative organ dysfunction in elderly hip fracture patients, and further study is needed to define whether decreasing the inflammatory response through cytokine antibodies or damage control strategies would decrease mortality and complication following hip fracture.

Interest and limits of glomerular filtration rate (GFR) estimation with formulae using creatinine or cystatin C in the malnourished elderly population

Renal function is often altered in elderly patients. A lot of formulae are proposed to estimate GFR to adjust drug posology. French guidelines recommend the Cockcroft-Gault formula corrected with the body surface area (cCG), but the initially described unadjusted Cockcroft-Gault equation (CG) is mainly used in geriatric clinical practice. International recommendations have proposed the modification of diet in renal disease (MDRD) formula, since several authors recommended the Rule formula using cystatin C (cystC) in particular population. To appreciate the most accurate GFR estimation for posology adaptation in an elderly polypathological population, a cross-sectional study with prospective inclusion was carried out in Charles Foix Hospital. Plasma glucose levels (PGL), creatinine (CREA) levels and serum cystC, albumin (ALB), transthyretin (TTR), C-reactive protein (CRP), orosomucoid (ORO) total cholesterol (tCHOL) levels were determined among 193 elderly patients aged 70 and older. The results showed that in a malnourished, inflamed old population, CG, MDRD and Rule formulae resulted in different estimations of GFR, depending on nutritional and inflammatory parameters. Only cCG estimation was shown to be independent from these parameters. To conclude, cCG seems to be the most accurate and appropriate formula in a polypathological elderly population to evaluate renal function in order to adapt drug posology.