Deep Learning Preoperatively Predicts Value Metrics for Primary Total Knee Arthroplasty: Development and Validation of an Artificial Neural Network Model

Machine learning for predicting duration of surgery and length of stay: A literature review on joint arthroplasty

INTRODUCTION

In recent years, different factors such as population aging have caused escalating demand for hip and knee arthroplasty straining already limited hospitals' resources. To address this challenge, focus is put on medical and operational efficiency improvements. This includes an increased use of machine learning (ML) to predict duration of surgery (DOS) and length of stay (LOS) for total knee and total hip arthroplasty, which can be utilized for optimizing resource allocation to satisfy medical and operational limitations. This paper explores the development and performance of ML models in predicting DOS and LOS.

METHODS

A systematic search of publications between 2010-2023 was conducted following PRISMA guidelines. Considering the inclusion and exclusion criteria, 28 out of 722 gathered papers from PubMed, Web of Science, and manual search were included in the study. Descriptive statistics was used to analyze the extracted data regarding data preprocessing, model development, and model performance assessment.

RESULTS

Most of the papers work on LOS as a binary variable. Patient's age was identified as the most frequently used and reported as important variable for predicting DOS and LOS. Investigations also illustrated that within the resulting 28 papers, more than 71% of models reached good to perfect performance based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), where artificial neural networks and ensemble learning models had the biggest share among the best-performing models.

CONCLUSION

The utilization of ML models is increasing in the literature. The current performance level indicates that ML can potentially turn to powerful tools in predicting DOS and LOS for different purposes. Meanwhile, the literature is not matured yet in reporting real-life application. Future studies can focus on model specification and validation by considering empirical application.

Reliability assessment of leg length and angular alignment on manual reads versus artificial intelligence-generated lower extremity radiographic measurements

PURPOSE

Leg length discrepancy (LLD) and lower extremity malalignment can lead to pain and osteoarthritis. A variety of radiographic parameters are used to assess LLD and alignment. A 510(k) FDA approved artificial intelligence (AI) software locates landmarks on full leg standing radiographs and performs several measurements. The objective of this study was to assess the reliability of this AI tool compared to three manual readers.

METHODS

A sample of 320 legs was used. Three readers' measurements were compared to AI output for hip-knee-angle (HKA), anatomical-tibiofemoral angle (aTFA), anatomical-mechanical-axis angle (AMA), joint-line-convergence angle (JLCA), mechanical-lateral-proximal-femur-angle (mLPFA), mechanical-lateral-distal-femur-angle (mLDFA), mechanical-medial-proximal-tibia-angle (mMPTA), mechanical-lateral-distal-tibia- angle (mLDTA), femur length, tibia length, full leg length, leg-length-discrepancy (LLD), and mechanical-axis-deviation (MAD). Intraclass correlation coefficients (ICCs) and Bland-Altman analysis were used to track performance.

RESULTS

AI output was successfully produced for 272/320 legs in the study. The reader versus AI pairwise ICCs were mostly in the excellent range: 12/13, 12/13, and 9/13 variables were in the excellent range (ICC > 0.75) for readers 1, 2, and 3, respectively. There was better agreement for leg length, femur length, tibia length, LLD, and HKA than for other variables. The median reading times for the three readers and AI were 250, 282, 236, and 38 s, respectively.

CONCLUSION

This study showed that AI-based software provides reliable assessment of LLD and lower extremity alignment with substantial time savings.

Machine Learning Prediction Model to Predict Length of Stay of Patients Undergoing Hip or Knee Arthroplasties: Results from a High-Volume Single-Center Multivariate Analysis

Background: The growth of arthroplasty procedures requires innovative strategies to reduce inpatients' hospital length of stay (LOS). This study aims to develop a machine learning prediction model that may aid in predicting LOS after hip or knee arthroplasties. Methods: A collection of all the clinical notes of patients who underwent elective primary or revision arthroplasty from 1 January 2019 to 31 December 2019 was performed. The hospitalization was classified as "short LOS" if it was less than or equal to 6 days and "long LOS" if it was greater than 7 days. Clinical data from pre-operative laboratory analysis, vital parameters, and demographic characteristics of patients were screened. Final data were used to train a logistic regression model with the aim of predicting short or long LOS. Results: The final dataset was composed of 1517 patients (795 "long LOS", 722 "short LOS", p = 0.3196) with a total of 1541 hospital admissions (729 "long LOS", 812 "short LOS", p < 0.001). The complete model had a prediction efficacy of 78.99% (AUC 0.7899). Conclusions: Machine learning may facilitate day-by-day clinical practice determination of which patients are suitable for a shorter LOS and which for a longer LOS, in which a cautious approach could be recommended.

Clinical validation of artificial intelligence-based preoperative virtual reduction for Neer 3- or 4-part proximal humerus fractures

BACKGROUND

If reduction images of fractures can be provided in advance with artificial-intelligence (AI)-based technology, it can assist with preoperative surgical planning. Recently, we developed the AI-based preoperative virtual reduction model for orthopedic trauma, which can provide an automatic segmentation and reduction of fractured fragments. The purpose of this study was to validate a quality of reduction model of Neer 3- or 4-part proximal humerus fractures established by AI-based technology.

METHODS

To develop the AI-based preoperative virtual reduction model, deep learning performed the segmentation of fracture fragments, and a Monte Carlo simulation completed the virtual reduction to determine the best model. A total of 20 pre/postoperative three-dimensional computed tomography (CT) scans of proximal humerus fracture were prepared. The preoperative CT scans were employed as the input of AI-based automated reduction (AI-R) to deduce the reduction models of fracture fragments, meanwhile, the manual reduction (MR) was conducted using the same CT images. Dice similarity coefficient (DSC) and intersection over union (IoU) between the reduction model from the AI-R/MR and postoperative CT scans were evaluated. Working times were compared between the two groups. Clinical validity agreement (CVA) and reduction quality score (RQS) were investigated for clinical validation outcomes by 20 orthopedic surgeons.

RESULTS

The mean DSC and IoU were better when using AI-R that when using MR (0.78 ± 0.13 vs. 0.69 ± 0.16, p < 0.001 and 0.65 ± 0.16 vs. 0.55 ± 0.18, p < 0.001, respectively). The working time of AI-R was, on average, 1.41% of that of MR. The mean CVA of all cases was 81%±14.7% (AI-R, 82.25%±14.27%; MR, 76.75%±14.17%, p = 0.06). The mean RQS was significantly higher when AI-R compared with MR was used (91.47 ± 1.12 vs. 89.30 ± 1.62, p = 0.045).

CONCLUSION

The AI-based preoperative virtual reduction model showed good performance in the reduction model in proximal humerus fractures with faster working times. Beyond diagnosis, classification, and outcome prediction, the AI-based technology can change the paradigm of preoperative surgical planning in orthopedic surgery.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level IV.

Artificial intelligence in total and unicompartmental knee arthroplasty

The application of Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) tools in total (TKA) and unicompartmental knee arthroplasty (UKA) emerges with the potential to improve patient-centered decision-making and outcome prediction in orthopedics, as ML algorithms can generate patient-specific risk models. This review aims to evaluate the potential of the application of AI/ML models in the prediction of TKA outcomes and the identification of populations at risk.An extensive search in the following databases: MEDLINE, Scopus, Cinahl, Google Scholar, and EMBASE was conducted using the PIOS approach to formulate the research question. The PRISMA guideline was used for reporting the evidence of the data extracted. A modified eight-item MINORS checklist was employed for the quality assessment. The databases were screened from the inception to June 2022.Forty-four out of the 542 initially selected articles were eligible for the data analysis; 5 further articles were identified and added to the review from the PUBMED database, for a total of 49 articles included. A total of 2,595,780 patients were identified, with an overall average age of the patients of 70.2 years ± 7.9 years old. The five most common AI/ML models identified in the selected articles were: RF, in 38.77% of studies; GBM, in 36.73% of studies; ANN in 34.7% of articles; LR, in 32.65%; SVM in 26.53% of articles.This systematic review evaluated the possible uses of AI/ML models in TKA, highlighting their potential to lead to more accurate predictions, less time-consuming data processing, and improved decision-making, all while minimizing user input bias to provide risk-based patient-specific care.

Robots on the Stage: A Snapshot of the American Robotic Total Knee Arthroplasty Market

» Computer-assisted robots aid orthopaedic surgeons in implant positioning and bony resection. Surgeons selecting a robot for their practice are faced with numerous options. This study aims to make the choice less daunting by reviewing the most commonly used Food and Drug Administration-approved robotic total knee arthroplasty platforms in the American arthroplasty market.» Modern total knee arthroplasty (TKA) robots use computer guidance to create a virtual knee model that serves as the surgeon's canvas for resection planning.» Most available robotic TKA (rTKA) systems are closed semiactive systems that restrict implant use to those of the manufacturer.» Each system has distinct imaging requirements, safety features, resection methods, and operating room footprints that will affect a surgeon's technique and practice.» Robots carry different purchase, maintenance, and equipment costs that will influence patient access across different socioeconomic groups.» Some studies show improved early patient-reported outcomes with rTKA, but long-term studies have yet to show clinical superiority over manual TKA.

Reliability of artificial intelligence in predicting total knee arthroplasty component sizes: a systematic review

PURPOSE

This systematic review aimed to investigate the reliability of AI predictive models of intraoperative implant sizing in total knee arthroplasty (TKA).

METHODS

Four databases were searched from inception till July 2023 for original studies that studied the reliability of AI prediction in TKA. The primary outcome was the accuracy ± 1 size. This review was conducted per PRISMA guidelines, and the risk of bias was assessed using the MINORS criteria.

RESULTS

A total of four observational studies comprised of at least 34,547 patients were included in this review. A mean MINORS score of 11 out of 16 was assigned to the review. All included studies were published between 2021 and 2022, with a total of nine different AI algorithms reported. Among these AI models, the accuracy of TKA femoral component sizing prediction ranged from 88.3 to 99.7% within a deviation of one size, while tibial component sizing exhibited an accuracy ranging from 90 to 99.9% ± 1 size.

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrated the potential of AI as a valuable complement for planning TKA, exhibiting a satisfactory level of reliability in predicting TKA implant sizes. This predictive accuracy is comparable to that of the manual and digital templating techniques currently documented in the literature. However, future research is imperative to assess the impact of AI on patient care and cost-effectiveness.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE III

PROSPERO registration number: CRD42023446868.

Joint Replacement Technology in the Ambulatory Surgery Center: Current and Future Applications

Total joint replacement (TJR) surgery in the ambulatory surgery centers (ASCs) has grown significantly over the past several years, along with the ability to improve the value of care. Standardization of high-quality, perioperative care is pivotal to the success of a TJR ASC program. As surgeons are experiencing increasing overhead with decreasing reimbursement, technology integration can provide major advantages. In this article, we will therefore highlight several examples of technologies that are changing the field and improving care in the preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative settings.

The Use of Artificial Intelligence for the Prediction of Periprosthetic Joint Infection Following Aseptic Revision Total Knee Arthroplasty

Periprosthetic joint infection (PJI) following revision total knee arthroplasty (TKA) for aseptic failure is associated with poor outcomes, patient morbidity, and high health care expenditures. The aim of this study was to develop novel machine learning algorithms for the prediction of PJI following revision TKA for patients with aseptic indications for revision surgery. A single-institution database consisting of 1,432 consecutive revision TKA patients with aseptic etiologies was retrospectively identified. The patient cohort included 208 patients (14.5%) who underwent re-revision surgery for PJI. Three machine learning algorithms (artificial neural networks, support vector machines, k-nearest neighbors) were developed to predict this outcome and these models were assessed by discrimination, calibration, and decision curve analysis. This is a retrospective study. Among the three machine learning models, the neural network model achieved the best performance across discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve = 0.78), calibration, and decision curve analysis. The strongest predictors for PJI following revision TKA for aseptic reasons were prior open procedure prior to revision surgery, drug abuse, obesity, and diabetes. This study utilized machine learning as a tool for the prediction of PJI following revision TKA for aseptic failure with excellent performance. The validated machine learning models can aid surgeons in patient-specific risk stratifying to assist in preoperative counseling and clinical decision making for patients undergoing aseptic revision TKA.

Can machine learning models predict prolonged length of hospital stay following primary total knee arthroplasty based on a national patient cohort data?

INTRODUCTION

The total length of stay (LOS) is one of the biggest determinators of overall care costs associated with total knee arthroplasty (TKA). An accurate prediction of LOS could aid in optimizing discharge strategy for patients in need and diminishing healthcare expenditure. The aim of this study was to predict LOS following TKA using machine learning models developed on a national-scale patient cohort.

METHODS

The ACS-NSQIP database was queried to acquire 267,966 TKA cases from 2013 to 2020. Four machine learning models-artificial neural network (ANN), random forest, histogram-based gradient boosting, and k-nearest neighbor were trained and tested on the dataset for the prediction of prolonged LOS (LOS exceeded the 75th of all values in the cohort). The model performance was assessed by discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC]), calibration, and clinical utility.

RESULTS

ANN delivered the best performance among the four models. ANN distinguished prolonged LOS in the study cohort with an AUC of 0.71 and accurately predicted the probability of prolonged LOS for individual patients (calibration slope: 0.82; calibration intercept: 0.03; Brier score: 0.089). All models demonstrated clinical utility by generating positive net benefits in decision curve analyses. Operation time, pre-operative transfusion, pre-operative laboratory tests (hematocrit, platelet count, and white blood cell count), and BMI were the strongest predictors of prolonged LOS.

CONCLUSION

ANN demonstrated modest discrimination capacity and excellent performance in calibration and clinical utility for the prediction of prolonged LOS following TKA. Clinical application of the machine learning models has the potential to improve care coordination and discharge planning for patients at high risk of extended hospitalization after surgery. Incorporating more relevant patient factors may further increase the models' prediction strength.

Improving Image Classification of Knee Radiographs: An Automated Image Labeling Approach

Large numbers of radiographic images are available in musculoskeletal radiology practices which could be used for training of deep learning models for diagnosis of knee abnormalities. However, those images do not typically contain readily available labels due to limitations of human annotations. The purpose of our study was to develop an automated labeling approach that improves the image classification model to distinguish normal knee images from those with abnormalities or prior arthroplasty. The automated labeler was trained on a small set of labeled data to automatically label a much larger set of unlabeled data, further improving the image classification performance for knee radiographic diagnosis. We used BioBERT and EfficientNet as the feature extraction backbone of the labeler and imaging model, respectively. We developed our approach using 7382 patients and validated it on a separate set of 637 patients. The final image classification model, trained using both manually labeled and pseudo-labeled data, had the higher weighted average AUC (WA-AUC 0.903) value and higher AUC values among all classes (normal AUC 0.894; abnormal AUC 0.896, arthroplasty AUC 0.990) compared to the baseline model (WA-AUC = 0.857; normal AUC 0.842; abnormal AUC 0.848, arthroplasty AUC 0.987), trained using only manually labeled data. Statistical tests show that the improvement is significant on normal (p value < 0.002), abnormal (p value < 0.001), and WA-AUC (p value = 0.001). Our findings demonstrated that the proposed automated labeling approach significantly improves the performance of image classification for radiographic knee diagnosis, allowing for facilitating patient care and curation of large knee datasets.

Machine-learning vs. logistic regression for preoperative prediction of medical morbidity after fast-track hip and knee arthroplasty-a comparative study

BACKGROUND

Machine-learning models may improve prediction of length of stay (LOS) and morbidity after surgery. However, few studies include fast-track programs, and most rely on administrative coding with limited follow-up and information on perioperative care. This study investigates potential benefits of a machine-learning model for prediction of postoperative morbidity in fast-track total hip (THA) and knee arthroplasty (TKA).

METHODS

Cohort study in consecutive unselected primary THA/TKA between 2014-2017 from seven Danish centers with established fast-track protocols. Preoperative comorbidity and prescribed medication were recorded prospectively and information on length of stay and readmissions was obtained through the Danish National Patient Registry and medical records. We used a machine-learning model (Boosted Decision Trees) based on boosted decision trees with 33 preoperative variables for predicting "medical" morbidity leading to LOS > 4 days or 90-days readmissions and compared to a logistical regression model based on the same variables. We also evaluated two parsimonious models, using the ten most important variables in the full machine-learning and logistic regression models. Data collected between 2014-2016 (n:18,013) was used for model training and data from 2017 (n:3913) was used for testing. Model performances were analyzed using precision, area under receiver operating (AUROC) and precision recall curves (AUPRC), as well as the Mathews Correlation Coefficient. Variable importance was analyzed using Shapley Additive Explanations values.

RESULTS

Using a threshold of 20% "risk-patients" (n:782), precision, AUROC and AUPRC were 13.6%, 76.3% and 15.5% vs. 12.4%, 74.7% and 15.6% for the machine-learning and logistic regression model, respectively. The parsimonious machine-learning model performed better than the full logistic regression model. Of the top ten variables, eight were shared between the machine-learning and logistic regression models, but with a considerable age-related variation in importance of specific types of medication.

CONCLUSION

A machine-learning model using preoperative characteristics and prescriptions slightly improved identification of patients in high-risk of "medical" complications after fast-track THA and TKA compared to a logistic regression model. Such algorithms could help find a manageable population of patients who may benefit most from intensified perioperative care.

Prediction of gap balancing based on 2-D radiography in total knee arthroplasty for knee osteoarthritis patients

BACKGROUND

To investigate the influence of osteophytes on postoperative gap balancing, and to work out a predictive model of the relationship between osteophyte size and gap gaining in primary total knee replacement.

METHODS

One hundred and ten patients were enrolled in the study. Pre- and postoperative radiographs were collected and analyzed. They were assigned to the training dataset and test dataset randomly at a ratio of 9:1 by using the statistical package R (version 4.0.5). Size and marginal distances of osteophytes, planned bone cut planes, predicted bone cuts and joint gaps were labeled on the preoperative standing anteroposterior and lateral views, while actual bone cuts and joint gaps were recorded on the postoperative plain films, respectively. Statistical analysis was performed.

RESULTS

Actual joint gaps were significantly related to the distances of medial and lateral predictive bone cutting lines, bone cut thickness on tibial side and posterior condylar, as well as size and marginal distances of osteophytes (P < 0.05). A predictive equation was generated, with a root mean square error (RMSE) of 3.4761 in validation. A 2-D planning system with adjustable input parameters and dim predictive outputs on joint gap was developed. The equation is [Formula: see text] CONCLUSION: Postoperative joint gap can be predicted on the basis of preoperative measurements on 2-D plain films. Larger sample size may help improve the effectiveness and accuracy of the predictive equation.

The Impact of Machine Learning on Total Joint Arthroplasty Patient Outcomes: A Systemic Review

BACKGROUND

Supervised machine learning techniques have been increasingly applied to predict patient outcomes after hip and knee arthroplasty procedures. The purpose of this study was to systematically review the applications of supervised machine learning techniques to predict patient outcomes after primary total hip and knee arthroplasty.

METHODS

A comprehensive literature search using the electronic databases MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, and Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews was conducted in July of 2021. The inclusion criteria were studies that utilized supervised machine learning techniques to predict patient outcomes after primary total hip or knee arthroplasty.

RESULTS

Search criteria yielded n = 30 relevant studies. Topics of study included patient complications (n = 6), readmissions (n = 1), revision (n = 2), patient-reported outcome measures (n = 4), patient satisfaction (n = 4), inpatient status and length of stay (LOS) (n = 9), opioid usage (n = 3), and patient function (n = 1). Studies involved TKA (n = 12), THA (n = 11), or a combination (n = 7). Less than 35% of predictive outcomes had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) in the excellent or outstanding range. Additionally, only 9 of the studies found improvement over logistic regression, and only 9 studies were externally validated.

CONCLUSION

Supervised machine learning algorithms are powerful tools that have been increasingly applied to predict patient outcomes after total hip and knee arthroplasty. However, these algorithms should be evaluated in the context of prognostic accuracy, comparison to traditional statistical techniques for outcome prediction, and application to populations outside the training set. While machine learning algorithms have been received with considerable interest, they should be critically assessed and validated prior to clinical adoption.

Artificial Intelligence for Automated Implant Identification in Knee Arthroplasty: A Multicenter External Validation Study Exceeding 3.5 Million Plain Radiographs

BACKGROUND

Surgical management of complications following knee arthroplasty demands accurate and timely identification of implant manufacturer and model. Automated image processing using deep machine learning has been previously developed and internally validated; however, external validation is essential prior to scaling clinical implementation for generalizability.

METHODS

We trained, validated, and externally tested a deep learning system to classify knee arthroplasty systems as one of the 9 models from 4 manufacturers derived from 4,724 original, retrospectively collected anteroposterior plain knee radiographs across 3 academic referral centers. From these radiographs, 3,568 were used for training, 412 for validation, and 744 for external testing. Augmentation was applied to the training set (n = 3,568,000) to increase model robustness. Performance was determined by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy. Implant identification processing speed was calculated. The training and testing sets were drawn from statistically different populations of implants (P < .001).

RESULTS

After 1,000 training epochs by the deep learning system, the system discriminated 9 implant models with a mean area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.989, accuracy of 97.4%, sensitivity of 89.2%, and specificity of 99.0% in the external testing dataset of 744 anteroposterior radiographs. The software classified implants at a mean speed of 0.02 seconds per image.

CONCLUSION

An artificial intelligence-based software for identifying knee arthroplasty implants demonstrated excellent internal and external validation. Although continued surveillance is necessary with implant library expansion, this software represents a responsible and meaningful clinical application of artificial intelligence with immediate potential to globally scale and assist in preoperative planning prior to revision knee arthroplasty.

Internal and External Validation of the Generalizability of Machine Learning Algorithms in Predicting Non-home Discharge Disposition Following Primary Total Knee Joint Arthroplasty

BACKGROUND

Nonhome discharge disposition following primary total knee arthroplasty (TKA) is associated with a higher rate of complications and constitutes a socioeconomic burden on the health care system. While existing algorithms predicting nonhome discharge disposition varied in degrees of mathematical complexity and prediction power, their capacity to generalize predictions beyond the development dataset remains limited. Therefore, this study aimed to establish the machine learning model generalizability by performing internal and external validations using nation-scale and institutional cohorts, respectively.

METHODS

Four machine learning models were trained using the national cohort. Recursive feature elimination and hyper-parameter tuning were applied. Internal validation was achieved through five-fold cross-validation during model training. The trained models' performance was externally validated using the institutional cohort and assessed by discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility.

RESULTS

The national (424,354 patients) and institutional (10,196 patients) cohorts had non-home discharge rates of 19.4 and 36.4%, respectively. The areas under the receiver operating curve of the model predictions were 0.83 to 0.84 during internal validation and increased to 0.88 to 0.89 during external validation. Artificial neural network and histogram-based gradient boosting elicited the best performance with a mean area under the receiver operating curve of 0.89, calibration slope of 1.39, and Brier score of 0.14, which indicated that the two models were robust in distinguishing non-home discharge and well-calibrated with accurate predictions of the probabilities. The low inter-dataset similarity indicated reliable external validation. Length of stay, age, body mass index, and sex were the strongest predictors of discharge destination after primary TKA.

CONCLUSION

The machine learning models demonstrated excellent predictive performance during both internal and external validations, supporting their generalizability across different patient cohorts and potential applicability in the clinical workflow.

Artificial Intelligence for Automated Implant Identification in Total Hip Arthroplasty: A Multicenter External Validation Study Exceeding Two Million Plain Radiographs

BACKGROUND

The surgical management of complications after total hip arthroplasty (THA) necessitates accurate identification of the femoral implant manufacturer and model. Automated image processing using deep learning has been previously developed and internally validated; however, external validation is necessary prior to responsible application of artificial intelligence (AI)-based technologies.

METHODS

We trained, validated, and externally tested a deep learning system to classify femoral-sided THA implants as one of the 8 models from 2 manufacturers derived from 2,954 original, deidentified, retrospectively collected anteroposterior plain radiographs across 3 academic referral centers and 13 surgeons. From these radiographs, 2,117 were used for training, 249 for validation, and 588 for external testing. Augmentation was applied to the training set (n = 2,117,000) to increase model robustness. Performance was evaluated by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy. Implant identification processing speed was calculated.

RESULTS

The training and testing sets were drawn from statistically different populations of implants (P < .001). After 1,000 training epochs by the deep learning system, the system discriminated 8 implant models with a mean area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.991, accuracy of 97.9%, sensitivity of 88.6%, and specificity of 98.9% in the external testing dataset of 588 anteroposterior radiographs. The software classified implants at a mean speed of 0.02 seconds per image.

CONCLUSION

An AI-based software demonstrated excellent internal and external validation. Although continued surveillance is necessary with implant library expansion, this software represents responsible and meaningful clinical application of AI with immediate potential to globally scale and assist in preoperative planning prior to revision THA.

A role for artificial intelligence applications inside and outside of the operating theatre: a review of contemporary use associated with total knee arthroplasty

BACKGROUND

Artificial intelligence (AI) has become involved in many aspects of everyday life, from voice-activated virtual assistants built into smartphones to global online search engines. Similarly, many areas of modern medicine have found ways to incorporate such technologies into mainstream practice. Despite the enthusiasm, robust evidence to support the utility of AI in contemporary total knee arthroplasty (TKA) remains limited. The purpose of this review was to provide an up-to-date summary of the use of AI in TKA and to explore its current and future value.

METHODS

Initially, a structured systematic review of the literature was carried out, following PRISMA search principles, with the aim of summarising the understanding of the field and identifying clinical and knowledge gaps.

RESULTS

A limited body of published work exists in this area. Much of the available literature is of poor methodological quality and many published studies could be best described as "demonstration of concepts" rather than "proof of concepts". There exists almost no independent validation of reported findings away from designer/host sites, and the extrapolation of key results to general orthopaedic sites is limited.

CONCLUSION

While AI has certainly shown value in a small number of specific TKA-associated applications, the majority to date have focused on risk, cost and outcome prediction, rather than surgical care, per se. Extensive future work is needed to demonstrate external validity and reliability in non-designer settings. Well-performed studies are warranted to ensure that the scientific evidence base supporting the use of AI in knee arthroplasty matches the global hype.

Assessing the predictive capacity of machine learning models using patient-specific variables in determining in-hospital outcomes after THA

Background

Machine learning is a subset of artificial intelligence using algorithmic modeling to progressively learn and create predictive models. Clinical application of machine learning can aid physicians through identification of risk factors and implications of predicted patient outcomes.

Aims

The aim of this study was to compare patient-specific and situation perioperative variables through optimized machine learning models to predict postoperative outcomes.

Methods

Data from 2016 to 2017 from the National Inpatient Sample was used to identify 177,442 discharges undergoing primary total hip arthroplasty, which were included in the training, testing, and validation of 10 machine learning models. 15 predictive variables consisting of 8 patient-specific and 7 situational specific variables were utilized to predict 3 outcome variables: length of stay, discharge, and mortality. The machine learning models were assessed in responsiveness via area under the curve and reliability.

Results

For all outcomes, Linear Support Vector Machine had the highest responsiveness among all models when using all variables. When utilizing patient-specific variables only, responsiveness of the top 3 models ranged between 0.639 and 0.717 for length of stay, 0.703-0.786 for discharge disposition, and 0.887-0.952 for mortality. The top 3 models utilizing situational variables only produced responsiveness of 0.552-0.589 for length of stay, 0.543-0.574 for discharge disposition, and 0.469-0.536 for mortality.

Conclusions

Linear Support Vector Machine was the most responsive machine learning model of the 10 algorithms trained, while decision list was most reliable. Responsiveness was observed to be consistently higher with patient-specific variables than situational variables, emphasizing the predictive capacity and value of patient-specific variables. The current practice in machine learning literature generally deploys a single model, it is suboptimal to develop optimized models for application into clinical practice. The limitation of other algorithms may prohibit potential more reliable and responsive models.Level of Evidence III.

Challenges of Integrating New Technologies for Orthopedic Doctors to Face up to Difficulties during the Pandemic Era

In the field of orthopedics, competitive progress is growing faster because new technologies used to facilitate the work of physicians are continuously developing. Based on the issues generated in the pandemic era in this field, a research study was developed to identify the intention of orthopedic doctors to integrate new medical technologies. The survey was based on a questionnaire that was used for data collection. The quantitative study registered a sample of 145 orthopedic doctors. The data analysis was performed based on the IBM SPSS program. A multiple linear regression model was applied, which analyzed how the independent variables can influence the dependent variables. After analyzing the data, it was observed that the intention of orthopedic doctors to use new medical technologies is influenced by the advantages and disadvantages perceived by them, the perceived risks, the quality of the medical technologies, the experience of physicians in their use, and their receptivity to other digital tools. The obtained results are highly important both for hospital managers and authorities, illustrating the main factors that influence doctors to use emergent technologies in their clinical work.

Artificial intelligence-based applications in shoulder surgery leaves much to be desired: a systematic review

Background

Artificial intelligence (AI) aims to simulate human intelligence using automated computer algorithms. There has been a rapid increase in research applying AI to various subspecialties of orthopedic surgery, including shoulder surgery. The purpose of this review is to assess the scope and validity of current clinical AI applications in shoulder surgery literature.

Methods

A systematic literature review was conducted using PubMed for all articles published between January 1, 2010 and June 10, 2022. The search query used the terms as follows: (artificial intelligence OR machine learning OR deep learning) AND (shoulder OR shoulder surgery OR rotator cuff). All studies that examined AI application models in shoulder surgery were included and evaluated for model performance and validation (internal, external, or both).

Results

A total of 45 studies were included in the final analysis. Eighteen studies involved shoulder arthroplasty, 13 rotator cuff, and 14 other areas. Studies applying AI to shoulder surgery primarily involved (1) automated imaging analysis including identifying rotator cuff tears and shoulder implants (2) risk prediction analyses including perioperative complications, functional outcomes, and patient satisfaction. Highest model performance area under the curve ranged from 0.681 (poor) to 1.00 (perfect). Only 2 studies reported external validation.

Conclusion

Applications of AI in the field of shoulder surgery are expanding rapidly and offer patient-specific risk stratification for shared decision-making and process automation for resource preservation. However, model performance is modest and external validation remains to be demonstrated, suggesting increased scientific rigor is warranted prior to deploying AI-based clinical applications.

An Interpretable Machine Learning Model for Predicting 10-Year Total Hip Arthroplasty Risk

BACKGROUND

As the demand for total hip arthroplasty (THA) rises, a predictive model for THA risk may aid patients and clinicians in augmenting shared decision-making. We aimed to develop and validate a model predicting THA within 10 years in patients using demographic, clinical, and deep learning (DL)-automated radiographic measurements.

METHODS

Patients enrolled in the Osteoarthritis Initiative were included. DL algorithms measuring osteoarthritis- and dysplasia-relevant parameters on baseline pelvis radiographs were developed. Demographic, clinical, and radiographic measurement variables were then used to train generalized additive models to predict THA within 10 years from baseline. A total of 4,796 patients were included (9,592 hips; 58% female; 230 THAs (2.4%)). Model performance using 1) baseline demographic and clinical variables 2) radiographic variables, and 3) all variables were compared.

RESULTS

Using 110 demographic and clinical variables, the model had a baseline area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) of 0.68 and area under the precision recall curve (AUPRC) of 0.08. Using 26 DL-automated hip measurements, the AUROC was 0.77 and AUPRC was 0.22. Combining all variables, the model improved to an AUROC of 0.81 and AUPRC of 0.28. Three of the top five predictive features in the combined model were radiographic variables including minimum joint space along with hip pain and analgesic use. Partial dependency plots revealed predictive discontinuities for radiographic measurements consistent with literature thresholds of osteoarthritis progression and hip dysplasia.

CONCLUSION

A machine learning model predicting 10-year THA performed more accurately with DL radiographic measurements. The model weighted predictive variables in concordance with clinical THA-pathology assessments.

Epidemiology of primary and revision total knee arthroplasty: analysis of demographics, comorbidities and outcomes from the national inpatient sample

INTRODUCTION

Primary total knee arthroplasty (TKA) is a preferred treatment for end-stage knee osteoarthritis. In the setting of a failed TKA, revision total knee arthroplasty (rTKA) acts as a salvage procedure and carries a higher risk compared to primary TKA. Given increased interest in postoperative outcomes from these procedures, a thorough understanding of the demographics, comorbidities, and inpatient outcomes is warranted. This study aimed to report the epidemiological data of demographics, comorbidity profiles and outcomes of patients undergoing TKA and rTKA.

METHODS

A retrospective review of NIS registry discharge data from 2006 to 2015 third quarter was performed. This study included adults aged 40 and older who underwent TKA or rTKA. A total of 5,901,057 TKA patients and 465,968 rTKA patients were included in this study. Simple descriptive statistics were used to present variables on demographics, medical comorbidities, and postoperative complications.

RESULTS

A total of 5,901,057 TKA and 465,968 rTKA discharges were included in this study, with an average age of 66.30 and 66.56 years, and the major payor being Medicare, accounting for 55.34% and 59.88% of TKA and rTKA cases, respectively. Infection (24.62%) was the most frequent reason for rTKA, and was followed by mechanical complications (18.62%) and dislocation (7.67%). The most common medical comorbidities for both groups were hypertension, obesity, and diabetes. All types of inpatient complications were reported in 22.21% TKA and 28.78% of rTKA cases. Postoperative anemia was the most common complication in both groups (20.34% vs. 25.05%).

CONCLUSIONS

Our data demonstrated a 41.9% increase in patients receiving TKA and 28.8% increase in rTKA from the years 2006 to 2014. The data showed a 22.21% and a 28.78% "complication" rate with TKA and rTKA, with postoperative anemia being the most common complication. The top 3 medical comorbidities were hypertension, obesity, and diabetes for both groups and with increased focus on perioperative optimization, future analyses into preoperative medical optimization, and improved primary arthroplasty protocol may result in improved postoperative outcomes.

Improving Resource Utilization for Arthroplasty Care by Leveraging Machine Learning and Optimization: A Systematic Review

Background

There is a growing demand for total joint arthroplasty (TJA) surgery. The applications of machine learning (ML), mathematical optimization, and computer simulation have the potential to improve efficiency of TJA care delivery through outcome prediction and surgical scheduling optimization, easing the burden on health-care systems. The purpose of this study was to evaluate strategies using advances in analytics and computational modeling that may improve planning and the overall efficiency of TJA care.

Methods

A systematic review including MEDLINE, Embase, and IEEE Xplore databases was completed from inception to October 3, 2022, for identification of studies generating ML models for TJA length of stay, duration of surgery, and hospital readmission prediction. A scoping review of optimization strategies in elective surgical scheduling was also conducted.

Results

Twenty studies were included for evaluating ML predictions and 17 in the scoping review of scheduling optimization. Among studies generating linear or logistic control models alongside ML models, only 1 found a control model to outperform its ML counterpart. Furthermore, neural networks performed superior to or at the same level as conventional ML models in all but 1 study. Implementation of mathematical and simulation strategies improved the optimization efficiency when compared to traditional scheduling methods at the operational level.

Conclusions

High-performing predictive ML-based models have been developed for TJA, as have mathematical strategies for elective surgical scheduling optimization. By leveraging artificial intelligence for outcome prediction and surgical optimization, there exist greater opportunities for improved resource utilization and cost-savings in TJA than when using traditional modeling and scheduling methods.

How to Create an Orthopaedic Arthroplasty Database Project: A Step-by-Step Guide Part II: Study Execution

In recent years, the use of national databases in orthopaedic surgery research has grown substantially with database studies comprising an estimated ∼10% of all published lower extremity arthroplasty research. The aim of this review is to serve as a guide on how to: (1) design; (2) execute; and (3) publish an orthopaedic database arthroplasty project. In part II, we discuss how to collect data, propose a novel checklist/standards for presenting orthopaedic database information (SOPOD), discuss methods for appropriate data interpretation/analysis, and summarize how to convert findings to a manuscript (providing a previously published example study). Data collection can be divided into two stages: baseline patient demographics and primary/secondary outcomes of interest. Our proposed SOPOD is more orthopaedic-centered and builds upon previous standards for observational studies from the EQUATOR network. There are a host of statistical methods available to analyze data to compare baseline demographics, primary/secondary outcomes, and reduce type 1 errors seen in large datasets. When drafting a manuscript, it is important to consider and discuss the limitations of database studies, including their retrospective nature, issues with coding/billing, differences in statistical versus clinical significance (or relevance), lack of surgery details (approach, laterality, and implants), and limited sampling or follow-up. We hope this paper will serve as a starting point for those interested in conducting lower extremity arthroplasty database studies.

Epidemiology of total hip arthroplasty: demographics, comorbidities and outcomes

BACKGROUND

Primary THA (THA) is a successful procedure for end-stage hip osteoarthritis. In the setting of a failed THA, revision total hip arthroplasty (rTHA) acts as a salvage procedure. This procedure has increased risks, including sepsis, infection, prolonged surgery time, blood loss, and increased length of stay. Increasing focus on understanding of demographics, comorbidities, and inpatient outcomes can lead to better perioperative optimization and post-operative outcomes. This epidemiological registry study aimed to compare the demographics, comorbidity profiles, and outcomes of patients undergoing THA and rTHA.

METHODS

A retrospective review of discharge data reported from 2006 to the third quarter of 2015 using the National Inpatient Sample registry was performed. The study included adult patients aged 40 and older who underwent either THA or rTHA. A total of 2,838,742 THA patients and 400,974 rTHA patients were identified.

RESULTS

The primary reimbursement for both THA and rTHA was dispensed by Medicare at 53.51% and 65.36% of cases respectively. Complications arose in 27.32% of THA and 39.46% of rTHA cases. Postoperative anemia was the most common complication in groups (25.20% and 35.69%). Common comorbidities in both groups were hypertension and chronic pulmonary disease. rTHA indications included dislocation/instability (21.85%) followed by mechanical loosening (19.74%), other mechanical complications (17.38%), and infection (15.10%).

CONCLUSION

Our data demonstrated a 69.50% increase in patients receiving THA and a 28.50% increase in rTHA from the years 2006 to 2014. The data demonstrated 27.32% and 39.46% complication rate with THA and rTHA, with postoperative anemia as the most common cause. Common comorbidities were hypertension and chronic pulmonary disease. Future analyses into preoperative optimizations, such as prior consultation with medical specialists or improved primary hip protocol, should be considered to prevent/reduce postoperative complications amongst a progressive expansion in patients receiving both THA and rTHA.

Concerns surrounding application of artificial intelligence in hip and knee arthroplasty

Literature surrounding artificial intelligence (AI)-related applications for hip and knee arthroplasty has proliferated. However, meaningful advances that fundamentally transform the practice and delivery of joint arthroplasty are yet to be realized, despite the broad range of applications as we continue to search for meaningful and appropriate use of AI. AI literature in hip and knee arthroplasty between 2018 and 2021 regarding image-based analyses, value-based care, remote patient monitoring, and augmented reality was reviewed. Concerns surrounding meaningful use and appropriate methodological approaches of AI in joint arthroplasty research are summarized. Of the 233 AI-related orthopaedics articles published, 178 (76%) constituted original research, while the rest consisted of editorials or reviews. A total of 52% of original AI-related research concerns hip and knee arthroplasty (n = 92), and a narrative review is described. Three studies were externally validated. Pitfalls surrounding present-day research include conflating vernacular (“AI/machine learning”), repackaging limited registry data, prematurely releasing internally validated prediction models, appraising model architecture instead of inputted data, withholding code, and evaluating studies using antiquated regression-based guidelines. While AI has been applied to a variety of hip and knee arthroplasty applications with limited clinical impact, the future remains promising if the question is meaningful, the methodology is rigorous and transparent, the data are rich, and the model is externally validated. Simple checkpoints for meaningful AI adoption include ensuring applications focus on: administrative support over clinical evaluation and management; necessity of the advanced model; and the novelty of the question being answered.

Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2022;104-B(12):1292–1303.

Artificial Intelligence in Modern Orthopaedics: Current and Future Applications

➢

With increasing computing power, artificial intelligence (AI) has gained traction in all aspects of health care delivery. Orthopaedics is no exception because the influence of AI technology has become intricately linked with its advancement as evidenced by increasing interest and research.

➢

This review is written for the orthopaedic surgeon to develop a better understanding of the main clinical applications and potential benefits of AI within their day-to-day practice.

➢

A brief and easy-to-understand foundation for what AI is and the different terminology used within the literature is first provided, followed by a summary of the newest research on AI applications demonstrating increased accuracy and convenience in risk stratification, clinical decision-making support, and robotically assisted surgery.

Meaningless Applications and Misguided Methodologies in Artificial Intelligence-Related Orthopaedic Research Propagates Hype Over Hope

There exists great hope and hype in the literature surrounding applications of artificial intelligence (AI) to orthopaedic surgery. Between 2018 and 2021, a total of 178 AI-related articles were published in orthopaedics. However, for every 2 original research papers that apply AI to orthopaedics, a commentary or review is published (30.3%). AI-related research in orthopaedics frequently fails to provide use cases that offer the uninitiated an opportunity to appraise the importance of AI by studying meaningful questions, evaluating unknown hypotheses, or analyzing quality data. The hype perpetuates a feed-forward cycle that relegates AI to a meaningless buzzword by rewarding those with nascent understanding and rudimentary technical knowhow into committing several basic errors: (1) inappropriately conflating vernacular ("AI/machine learning"), (2) repackaging registry data, (3) prematurely releasing internally validated algorithms, (4) overstating the "black box phenomenon" by failing to provide weighted analysis, (5) claiming to evaluate AI rather than the data itself, and (6) withholding full model architecture code. Relevant AI-specific guidelines are forthcoming, but forced application of the original Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis guidelines designed for regression analyses is irrelevant and misleading. To safeguard meaningful use, AI-related research efforts in orthopaedics should be (1) directed toward administrative support over clinical evaluation and management, (2) require the use of the advanced model, and (3) answer a question that was previously unknown, unanswered, or unquantifiable.

Predicting surgical operative time in primary total knee arthroplasty utilizing machine learning models

BACKGROUND

Prolonged surgical operative time is associated with postoperative adverse outcomes following total knee arthroplasty (TKA). Increasing operating room efficiency necessitates the accurate prediction of surgical operative time for each patient. One potential way to increase the accuracy of predictions is to use advanced predictive analytics, such as machine learning. The aim of this study is to use machine learning to develop an accurate predictive model for surgical operative time for patients undergoing primary total knee arthroplasty.

METHODS

A retrospective chart review of electronic medical records was conducted to identify patients who underwent primary total knee arthroplasty at a tertiary referral center. Three machine learning algorithms were developed to predict surgical operative time and were assessed by discrimination, calibration and decision curve analysis. Specifically, we used: (1) Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs), (2) Random Forest (RF), and (3) K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN).

RESULTS

We analyzed the surgical operative time for 10,021 consecutive patients who underwent primary total knee arthroplasty. The neural network model achieved the best performance across discrimination (AUC = 0.82), calibration and decision curve analysis for predicting surgical operative time. Based on this algorithm, younger age (< 45 years), tranexamic acid non-usage, and a high BMI (> 40 kg/m²) were the strongest predictors associated with surgical operative time.

CONCLUSIONS

This study shows excellent performance of machine learning models for predicting surgical operative time in primary total knee arthroplasty. The accurate estimation of surgical duration is important in enhancing OR efficiency and identifying patients at risk for prolonged surgical operative time.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level III, case control retrospective analysis.

Neural network models accurately predict discharge disposition after revision total knee arthroplasty?

PURPOSE

Based on the rising incidence of revision total knee arthroplasty (TKA), bundled payment models may be applied to revision TKA in the near future. Facility discharge represents a significant cost factor for those bundled payment models; however, accurately predicting discharge disposition remains a clinical challenge. The purpose of this study was to develop and validate artificial intelligence algorithms to predict discharge disposition following revision total knee arthroplasty.

METHODS

A retrospective review of electronic patient records was conducted to identify patients who underwent revision total knee arthroplasty. Discharge disposition was defined as either home discharge or non-home discharge, which included rehabilitation and skilled nursing facilities. Four artificial intelligence algorithms were developed to predict this outcome and were assessed by discrimination, calibration and decision curve analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 2228 patients underwent revision TKA, of which 1405 patients (63.1%) were discharged home, whereas 823 patients (36.9%) were discharged to a non-home facility. The strongest predictors for non-home discharge following revision TKA were American Society of Anesthesiologist (ASA) score, Medicare insurance type and revision surgery for peri-prosthetic joint infection, non-white ethnicity and social status (living alone). The best performing artificial intelligence algorithm was the neural network model which achieved excellent performance across discrimination (AUC = 0.87), calibration and decision curve analysis.

CONCLUSION

This study developed four artificial intelligence algorithms for the prediction of non-home discharge disposition for patients following revision total knee arthroplasty. The study findings show excellent performance on discrimination, calibration and decision curve analysis for all four candidate algorithms. Therefore, these models have the potential to guide preoperative patient counselling and improve the value (clinical and functional outcomes divided by costs) of revision total knee arthroplasty patients.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

IV.

The current role of the virtual elements of artificial intelligence in total knee arthroplasty

The current applications of the virtual elements of artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning (ML), and deep learning (DL) in total knee arthroplasty (TKA) are diverse.

ML can predict the length of stay (LOS) and costs before primary TKA, the risk of transfusion after primary TKA, postoperative dissatisfaction after TKA, the size of TKA components, and poorest outcomes. The prediction of distinct results with ML models applying specific data is already possible; nevertheless, the prediction of more complex results is still imprecise. Remote patient monitoring systems offer the ability to more completely assess the individuals experiencing TKA in terms of mobility and rehabilitation compliance.

DL can accurately identify the presence of TKA, distinguish between specific arthroplasty designs, and identify and classify knee osteoarthritis as accurately as an orthopedic surgeon. DL allows for the detection of prosthetic loosening from radiographs.

Regarding the architectures associated with DL, artificial neural networks (ANNs) and convolutional neural networks (CNNs), ANNs can predict LOS, inpatient charges, and discharge disposition prior to primary TKA and CNNs allow for differentiation between different implant types with near-perfect accuracy.

Fully automated deep learning for knee alignment assessment in lower extremity radiographs: a cross-sectional diagnostic study

OBJECTIVES

Accurate assessment of knee alignment and leg length discrepancy is currently measured manually from standing long-leg radiographs (LLR), a process that is both time consuming and poorly reproducible. The aim was to assess the performance of a commercial available AI software by comparing its outputs with manually performed measurements.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The AI was trained on over 15,000 radiographs to measure various clinical angles and lengths from LLRs. We performed a retrospective single-center analysis on 295 LLRs obtained between 2015 and 2020 from male and female patients over 18 years. AI and expert measurements were performed independently. Kellgren-Lawrence score and reading time were assessed. All measurements were compared and non-inferiority, mean-absolute-deviation (sMAD), and intra-class-correlation (ICC) were calculated.

RESULTS

A total of 295 LLRs from 284 patients (mean age, 65 years (18; 90); 97 (34.2%) men) were analyzed. The AI model produces outputs on 98.0% of the LLRs. Manually annotations were considered as 100% accurate. For each measurement, its divergence was calculated, resulting in an overall accuracy of 89.2% when comparing the AI outputs to the manually measured. AI vs. mean observer revealed an sMAD between 0.39 and 2.19° for angles and 1.45-5.00 mm for lengths. AI showed good reliability in all lengths and angles (ICC ≥ 0.87). Non-inferiority comparing AI to the mean observer revealed an equivalence-index (γ) between 0.54 and 3.03° for angles and - 0.70-1.95 mm for lengths. On average, AI was 130 s faster than clinicians.

CONCLUSION

Automated measurements of knee alignment and length measurements produced with an AI tool result in reproducible, accurate measures with a time savings compared to manually acquired measurements.

Efficacy and Applications of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning Analyses in Total Joint Arthroplasty: A Call for Improved Reporting

BACKGROUND

There has been a considerable increase in total joint arthroplasty (TJA) research using machine learning (ML). Therefore, the purposes of this study were to synthesize the applications and efficacies of ML reported in the TJA literature, and to assess the methodological quality of these studies.

METHODS

PubMed, OVID/MEDLINE, and Cochrane libraries were queried in January 2021 for articles regarding the use of ML in TJA. Study demographics, topic, primary and secondary outcomes, ML model development and testing, and model presentation and validation were recorded. The TRIPOD (Transparent Reporting of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis) guidelines were used to assess the methodological quality.

RESULTS

Fifty-five studies were identified: 31 investigated clinical outcomes and resource utilization; 11, activity and motion surveillance; 10, imaging detection; and 3, natural language processing. For studies reporting the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), the median AUC (and range) was 0.80 (0.60 to 0.97) among 26 clinical outcome studies, 0.99 (0.83 to 1.00) among 6 imaging-based studies, and 0.88 (0.76 to 0.98) among 3 activity and motion surveillance studies. Twelve studies compared ML to logistic regression, with 9 (75%) reporting that ML was superior. The average number of TRIPOD guidelines met was 11.5 (range: 5 to 18), with 38 (69%) meeting greater than half of the criteria. Presentation and explanation of the full model for individual predictions and assessments of model calibration were poorly reported (<30%).

CONCLUSIONS

The performance of ML models was good to excellent when applied to a wide variety of clinically relevant outcomes in TJA. However, reporting of certain key methodological and model presentation criteria was inadequate. Despite the recent surge in TJA literature utilizing ML, the lack of consistent adherence to reporting guidelines needs to be addressed to bridge the gap between model development and clinical implementation.

Artificial intelligence in knee arthroplasty: current concept of the available clinical applications

Background

Artificial intelligence (AI) is defined as the study of algorithms that allow machines to reason and perform cognitive functions such as problem-solving, objects, images, word recognition, and decision-making. This study aimed to review the published articles and the comprehensive clinical relevance of AI-based tools used before, during, and after knee arthroplasty.

Methods

The search was conducted through PubMed, EMBASE, and MEDLINE databases from 2000 to 2021 using the 2009 Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses Protocol (PRISMA).

Results

A total of 731 potential articles were reviewed, and 132 were included based on the inclusion criteria and exclusion criteria. Some steps of the knee arthroplasty procedure were assisted and improved by using AI-based tools. Before surgery, machine learning was used to aid surgeons in optimizing decision-making. During surgery, the robotic-assisted systems improved the accuracy of knee alignment, implant positioning, and ligamentous balance. After surgery, remote patient monitoring platforms helped to capture patients’ functional data.

Conclusion

In knee arthroplasty, the AI-based tools improve the decision-making process, surgical planning, accuracy, and repeatability of surgical procedures.

The Ability of Deep Learning Models to Identify Total Hip and Knee Arthroplasty Implant Design From Plain Radiographs

INTRODUCTION

The surgical management of patients with failed total hip or knee arthroplasty (THA and TKA) necessitates the identification of the implant manufacturer and model. Failure to accurately identify implant design leads to delays in care, increased morbidity, and healthcare costs. The automated identification of implant designs has the potential to assist in the surgical management of patients with failed arthroplasty. This study aimed to develop and validate a convolutional neural network deep learning model for the identification of primary and revision hip and knee total joint arthroplasty designs from plain radiographs.

METHODS

This study trained a convolutional neural network deep learning model to automatically identify 24 THA designs and 14 TKA designs from 11,204 anterior-posterior radiographs obtained from 8,763 patients. From these radiographs, 8,963 radiographs (80%) were used for model training and 2,241 radiographs (20%) were used for model validation. Model performance was assessed through receiver operating curve characteristics.

RESULTS

After 1,000 training epochs by the convolutional neural network deep learning model, the computational model discriminated 17 primary THA designs with an area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) of 0.98, sensitivity of 95.8%, and specificity of 98.6%. The deep learning model discriminated eight primary TKA designs with an AUC of 0.97, sensitivity of 94.9%, and specificity of 97.8%. The deep learning model demonstrated an AUC of 0.98 and 0.96 for the identification of seven revision THA and six revision TKA designs, respectively.

DISCUSSION

This study developed and validated a convolutional neural network deep learning model for the identification of hip and knee total joint arthroplasty designs from plain radiographs. The study findings demonstrate excellent accuracy of the deep learning model for the identification of 24 THA and 14 TKA designs, illustrating the great potential of the deep learning model to assist in preoperative surgical planning of failed arthroplasty patients.

Predictive capacity of four machine learning models for in-hospital postoperative outcomes following total knee arthroplasty

Background

Machine learning (ML) methods have shown promise in the development of patient-specific predictive models prior to surgical interventions. The purpose of this study was to develop, test, and compare four distinct ML models to predict postoperative parameters following primary total knee arthroplasty (TKA).

Methods

Data from the Nationwide Inpatient Sample was used to identify patients undergoing TKA during 2016-2017. Four distinct ML models predictive of mortality, length of stay (LOS), and discharge disposition were developed and validated using 15 predictive patient and hospital-specific factors. Area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUCROC) and accuracy were used as validity metrics, and the strongest predictive variables under each model were assessed.

Results

A total of 305,577 patients were included. For mortality, the XGBoost, neural network (NN), and LSVM models all had excellent responsiveness during validation, while random forest (RF) had fair responsiveness. For predicting LOS, all four models had poor responsiveness. For the discharge disposition outcome, the LSVM, NN, and XGBoost models had good responsiveness, while the RF model had poor responsiveness. LSVM and XGBoost had the highest responsiveness for predicting discharge disposition with an AUCROC of 0.747.

Discussion

The ML models tested demonstrated a range of poor to excellent responsiveness and accuracy in the prediction of the assessed metrics, with considerable variability noted in the predictive precision between the models. The continued development of ML models should be encouraged, with eventual integration into clinical practice in order to inform patient discussions, management decision making, and health policy.

Machine Learning and Regression Analysis to Model the Length of Hospital Stay in Patients with Femur Fracture

Fractures of the femur are a frequent problem in elderly people, and it has been demonstrated that treating them with a diagnostic–therapeutic–assistance path within 48 h of admission to the hospital reduces complications and shortens the length of the hospital stay (LOS). In this paper, the preoperative data of 1082 patients were used to further extend the previous research and to generate several models that are capable of predicting the overall LOS: First, the LOS, measured in days, was predicted through a regression analysis; then, it was grouped by weeks and was predicted with a classification analysis. The KNIME analytics platform was applied to divide the dataset for a hold-out cross-validation, perform a multiple linear regression and implement machine learning algorithms. The best coefficient of determination (R²) was achieved by the support vector machine (R² = 0.617), while the mean absolute error was similar for all the algorithms, ranging between 2.00 and 2.11 days. With regard to the classification analysis, all the algorithms surpassed 80% accuracy, and the most accurate algorithm was the radial basis function network, at 83.5%. The use of these techniques could be a valuable support tool for doctors to better manage orthopaedic departments and all their resources, which would reduce both waste and costs in the context of healthcare.

Artificial intelligence in orthopaedic surgery: transforming technological innovation in patient care and surgical training

Artificial intelligence (AI) is an exciting field combining computer science with robust data sets to facilitate problem-solving. It has the potential to transform education, practice and delivery of healthcare especially in orthopaedics. This review article outlines some of the already used AI pathways as well as recent technological advances in orthopaedics. Additionally, this article further explains how potentially these two entities could be combined in the future to improve surgical education, training and ultimately patient care and outcomes.

Artificial intelligence in diagnosis of knee osteoarthritis and prediction of arthroplasty outcomes: a review

Background

Artificial intelligence is an emerging technology with rapid growth and increasing applications in orthopaedics. This study aimed to summarize the existing evidence and recent developments of artificial intelligence in diagnosing knee osteoarthritis and predicting outcomes of total knee arthroplasty.

Methods

PubMed and EMBASE databases were searched for articles published in peer-reviewed journals between January 1, 2010 and May 31, 2021. The terms included: ‘artificial intelligence’, ‘machine learning’, ‘knee’, ‘osteoarthritis’, and ‘arthroplasty’. We selected studies focusing on the use of AI in diagnosis of knee osteoarthritis, prediction of the need for total knee arthroplasty, and prediction of outcomes of total knee arthroplasty. Non-English language articles and articles with no English translation were excluded. A reviewer screened the articles for the relevance to the research questions and strength of evidence.

Results

Machine learning models demonstrated promising results for automatic grading of knee radiographs and predicting the need for total knee arthroplasty. The artificial intelligence algorithms could predict postoperative outcomes regarding patient-reported outcome measures, patient satisfaction and short-term complications. Important weaknesses of current artificial intelligence algorithms included the lack of external validation, the limitations of inherent biases in clinical data, the requirement of large datasets in training, and significant research gaps in the literature.

Conclusions

Artificial intelligence offers a promising solution to improve detection and management of knee osteoarthritis. Further research to overcome the weaknesses of machine learning models may enhance reliability and allow for future use in routine healthcare settings.

Artificial intelligence in orthopedic surgery: evolution, current state and future directions

Technological advances continue to evolve at a breath-taking pace. Computer-navigation, robot-assistance and three-dimensional digital planning have become commonplace in many parts of the world. With near exponential advances in computer processing capacity, and the advent, progressive understanding and refinement of software algorithms, medicine and orthopaedic surgery have begun to delve into artificial intelligence (AI) systems. While for some, such applications still seem in the realm of science fiction, these technologies are already in selective clinical use and are likely to soon see wider uptake. The purpose of this structured review was to provide an understandable summary to non-academic orthopaedic surgeons, exploring key definitions and basic development principles of AI technology as it currently stands. To ensure content validity and representativeness, a structured, systematic review was performed following the accepted PRISMA principles. The paper concludes with a forward-look into heralded and potential applications of AI technology in orthopedic surgery.While not intended to be a detailed technical description of the complex processing that underpins AI applications, this work will take a small step forward in demystifying some of the commonly-held misconceptions regarding AI and its potential benefits to patients and surgeons. With evidence-supported broader awareness, we aim to foster an open-mindedness among clinicians toward such technologies in the future.

Sports Medicine and Artificial Intelligence: A Primer

Artificial intelligence (AI) represents the fourth industrial revolution and the next frontier in medicine poised to transform the field of orthopaedics and sports medicine, though widespread understanding of the fundamental principles and adoption of applications remain nascent. Recent research efforts into implementation of AI in the field of orthopaedic surgery and sports medicine have demonstrated great promise in predicting athlete injury risk, interpreting advanced imaging, evaluating patient-reported outcomes, reporting value-based metrics, and augmenting the patient experience. Not unlike the recent emphasis thrust upon physicians to understand the business of medicine, the future practice of sports medicine specialists will require a fundamental working knowledge of the strengths, limitations, and applications of AI-based tools. With appreciation, caution, and experience applying AI to sports medicine, the potential to automate tasks and improve data-driven insights may be realized to fundamentally improve patient care. In this Current Concepts review, we discuss the definitions, strengths, limitations, and applications of AI from the current literature as it relates to orthopaedic sports medicine.

Machine learning in knee arthroplasty: specific data are key-a systematic review

PURPOSE

Artificial intelligence (AI) in healthcare is rapidly growing and offers novel options of data analysis. Machine learning (ML) represents a distinct application of AI, which is capable of generating predictions and has already been tested in different medical specialties with various approaches such as diagnostic applications, cost predictions or identification of risk factors. In orthopaedics, this technology has only recently been introduced and the literature on ML in knee arthroplasty is scarce. In this review, we aim to investigate which predictions are already feasible using ML models in knee arthroplasty to identify prerequisites for the effective use of this novel approach. For this reason, we conducted a systematic review of ML algorithms for outcome prediction in knee arthroplasty.

METHODS

A comprehensive search of PubMed, Medline database and the Cochrane Library was conducted to find ML applications for knee arthroplasty. All relevant articles were systematically retrieved and evaluated by an orthopaedic surgeon and a data scientist on the basis of the PRISMA statement. The search strategy yielded 225 articles of which 19 were finally assessed as eligible. A modified Coleman Methodology Score (mCMS) was applied to account for a methodological evaluation.

RESULTS

The studies presented in this review demonstrated fair to good results (AUC median 0.76/range 0.57-0.98), while heterogeneous prediction models were analysed: complications (6), costs (4), functional outcome (3), revision (2), postoperative satisfaction (2), surgical technique (1) and biomechanical properties (1) were investigated. The median mCMS was 65 (range 40-80) points.

CONCLUSION

The prediction of distinct outcomes with ML models applying specific data is already feasible; however, the prediction of more complex outcomes is still inaccurate. Registry data on knee arthroplasty have not been fully analysed yet so that specific parameters have not been sufficiently evaluated. The inclusion of specific input data as well as the collaboration of orthopaedic surgeons and data scientists are essential prerequisites to fully utilize the capacity of ML in knee arthroplasty. Future studies should investigate prospective data with specific and longitudinally recorded parameters.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

III.

Machine Learning Model Developed to Aid in Patient Selection for Outpatient Total Joint Arthroplasty

Background

Patient selection for outpatient total joint arthroplasty (TJA) is important for optimizing patient outcomes. This study develops machine learning models that may aid in patient selection for outpatient TJA based on medical comorbidities and demographic factors.

Methods

This study queried elective total knee arthroplasty (TKA) and total hip arthroplasty (THA) cases during 2010-2018 in the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program. Artificial neural network models predicted same-day discharge and length of stay (LOS) fewer than 2 days (short LOS). Multiple linear and logistic regression analyses were used to identify variables significantly associated with predicted outcomes.

Results

A total of 284,731 TKA cases and 153,053 THA cases met inclusion criteria. For TKA, prediction of short LOS had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.767 and accuracy of 84.1%; prediction of same-day discharge had an AUC of 0.802 and accuracy of 89.2%. For THA, prediction of short LOS had an AUC of 0.757 and accuracy of 70.6%; prediction of same-day discharge had an AUC of 0.814 and accuracy of 78.8%.

Conclusion

This study developed machine learning models for aiding patient selection for outpatient TJA, through accurately predicting short LOS or outpatient vs inpatient cases. As outpatient TJA expands, it will be important to optimize preoperative patient selection and effectively screen surgical candidates from a broader patient population. Incorporating models such as these into electronic medical records could aid in decision-making and resource planning in real time.

Artificial intelligence in orthopaedics: A scoping review

There is a growing interest in the application of artificial intelligence (AI) to orthopaedic surgery. This review aims to identify and characterise research in this field, in order to understand the extent, range and nature of this work, and act as springboard to stimulate future studies. A scoping review, a form of structured evidence synthesis, was conducted to summarise the use of AI in orthopaedics. A literature search (1946-2019) identified 222 studies eligible for inclusion. These studies were predominantly small and retrospective. There has been significant growth in the number of papers published in the last three years, mainly from the USA (37%). The majority of research used AI for image interpretation (45%) or as a clinical decision tool (25%). Spine (43%), knee (23%) and hip (14%) were the regions of the body most commonly studied. The application of artificial intelligence to orthopaedics is growing. However, the scope of its use so far remains limited, both in terms of its possible clinical applications, and the sub-specialty areas of the body which have been studied. A standardized method of reporting AI studies would allow direct assessment and comparison. Prospective studies are required to validate AI tools for clinical use.

Improving patient flow during infectious disease outbreaks using machine learning for real-time prediction of patient readiness for discharge

BACKGROUND

Delays in patient flow and a shortage of hospital beds are commonplace in hospitals during periods of increased infection incidence, such as seasonal influenza and the COVID-19 pandemic. The objective of this study was to develop and evaluate the efficacy of machine learning methods at identifying and ranking the real-time readiness of individual patients for discharge, with the goal of improving patient flow within hospitals during periods of crisis.

METHODS AND PERFORMANCE

Electronic Health Record data from Oxford University Hospitals was used to train independent models to classify and rank patients' real-time readiness for discharge within 24 hours, for patient subsets according to the nature of their admission (planned or emergency) and the number of days elapsed since their admission. A strategy for the use of the models' inference is proposed, by which the model makes predictions for all patients in hospital and ranks them in order of likelihood of discharge within the following 24 hours. The 20% of patients with the highest ranking are considered as candidates for discharge and would therefore expect to have a further screening by a clinician to confirm whether they are ready for discharge or not. Performance was evaluated in terms of positive predictive value (PPV), i.e., the proportion of these patients who would have been correctly deemed as 'ready for discharge' after having the second screening by a clinician. Performance was high for patients on their first day of admission (PPV = 0.96/0.94 for planned/emergency patients respectively) but dropped for patients further into a longer admission (PPV = 0.66/0.71 for planned/emergency patients still in hospital after 7 days).

CONCLUSION

We demonstrate the efficacy of machine learning methods at making operationally focused, next-day discharge readiness predictions for all individual patients in hospital at any given moment and propose a strategy for their use within a decision-support tool during crisis periods.

Artificial intelligence in arthroplasty

Artificial intelligence (AI) is altering the world of medicine. Given the rapid advances in technology, computers are now able to learn and improve, imitating humanoid cognitive function. AI applications currently exist in various medical specialties, some of which are already in clinical use. This review presents the potential uses and limitations of AI in arthroplasty to provide a better understanding of the existing technology and future direction of this field.Recent literature demonstrates that the utilization of AI in the field of arthroplasty has the potential to improve patient care through better diagnosis, screening, planning, monitoring, and prediction. The implementation of AI technology will enable arthroplasty surgeons to provide patient-specific management in clinical decision making, preoperative health optimization, resource allocation, decision support, and early intervention. While this technology presents a variety of exciting opportunities, it also has several limitations and challenges that need to be overcome to ensure its safety and effectiveness.

Artificial Learning and Machine Learning Decision Guidance Applications in Total Hip and Knee Arthroplasty: A Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) modeling in hip and knee arthroplasty (total joint arthroplasty [TJA]) is becoming more commonplace. This systematic review aims to quantify the accuracy of current AI- and ML-based application for cognitive support and decision-making in TJA.

METHODS

A comprehensive search of publications was conducted through the EMBASE, Medline, and PubMed databases using relevant keywords to maximize the sensitivity of the search. No limits were placed on level of evidence or timing of the study. Findings were reported according to the PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) guidelines. Analysis of variance testing with post-hoc Tukey test was applied to compare the area under the curve (AUC) of the models.

RESULTS

After application of inclusion and exclusion criteria, 49 studies were included in this review. The application of AI/ML-based models and average AUC is as follows: cost prediction-0.77, LOS and discharges-0.78, readmissions and reoperations-0.66, preoperative patient selection/planning-0.79, adverse events and other postoperative complications-0.84, postoperative pain-0.83, postoperative patient-reported outcomes measures and functional outcome-0.81. Significant variability in model AUC across the different decision support applications was found (P < .001) with the AUC for readmission and reoperation models being significantly lower than that of the other decision support categories.

CONCLUSIONS

AI/ML-based applications in TJA continue to expand and have the potential to optimize patient selection and accurately predict postoperative outcomes, complications, and associated costs. On average, the AI/ML models performed best in predicting postoperative complications, pain, and patient-reported outcomes and were less accurate in predicting hospital readmissions and reoperations.

Artificial neural network prediction of same-day discharge following primary total knee arthroplasty based on preoperative and intraoperative variables

AIMS

This study used an artificial neural network (ANN) model to determine the most important pre- and perioperative variables to predict same-day discharge in patients undergoing total knee arthroplasty (TKA).

METHODS

Data for this study were collected from the National Surgery Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) database from the year 2018. Patients who received a primary, elective, unilateral TKA with a diagnosis of primary osteoarthritis were included. Demographic, preoperative, and intraoperative variables were analyzed. The ANN model was compared to a logistic regression model, which is a conventional machine-learning algorithm. Variables collected from 28,742 patients were analyzed based on their contribution to hospital length of stay.

RESULTS

The predictability of the ANN model, area under the curve (AUC) = 0.801, was similar to the logistic regression model (AUC = 0.796) and identified certain variables as important factors to predict same-day discharge. The ten most important factors favouring same-day discharge in the ANN model include preoperative sodium, preoperative international normalized ratio, BMI, age, anaesthesia type, operating time, dyspnoea status, functional status, race, anaemia status, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Six of these variables were also found to be significant on logistic regression analysis.

CONCLUSION

Both ANN modelling and logistic regression analysis revealed clinically important factors in predicting patients who can undergo safely undergo same-day discharge from an outpatient TKA. The ANN model provides a beneficial approach to help determine which perioperative factors can predict same-day discharge as of 2018 perioperative recovery protocols. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2021;103-B(8):1358-1366.

Availability and reporting quality of external validations of machine-learning prediction models with orthopedic surgical outcomes: a systematic review

Background and purpose - External validation of machine learning (ML) prediction models is an essential step before clinical application. We assessed the proportion, performance, and transparent reporting of externally validated ML prediction models in orthopedic surgery, using the Transparent Reporting for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) guidelines.Material and methods - We performed a systematic search using synonyms for every orthopedic specialty, ML, and external validation. The proportion was determined by using 59 ML prediction models with only internal validation in orthopedic surgical outcome published up until June 18, 2020, previously identified by our group. Model performance was evaluated using discrimination, calibration, and decision-curve analysis. The TRIPOD guidelines assessed transparent reporting.Results - We included 18 studies externally validating 10 different ML prediction models of the 59 available ML models after screening 4,682 studies. All external validations identified in this review retained good discrimination. Other key performance measures were provided in only 3 studies, rendering overall performance evaluation difficult. The overall median TRIPOD completeness was 61% (IQR 43-89), with 6 items being reported in less than 4/18 of the studies.Interpretation - Most current predictive ML models are not externally validated. The 18 available external validation studies were characterized by incomplete reporting of performance measures, limiting a transparent examination of model performance. Further prospective studies are needed to validate or refute the myriad of predictive ML models in orthopedics while adhering to existing guidelines. This ensures clinicians can take full advantage of validated and clinically implementable ML decision tools.