Post-fracture pneumonia risk and association with health and survival outcomes for adults with cerebral palsy: A retrospective cohort study

Comorbidity Clusters Among Adults With Cerebral Palsy: A Latent Class Analysis

INTRODUCTION

Adults with cerebral palsy are at risk for early multimorbidity onset, but little is known about the composition of multimorbidity profiles or how these profiles present across adulthood. The objective of this study was to identify multimorbidity profiles and association with mortality among adults with cerebral palsy.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study used a random 20% fee-for-service Medicare database from January 1, 2008 to December 31, 2019 from adults aged ≥18 years with cerebral palsy. Latent class analyses using 4-class models were conducted within each age cohort (young adults aged 18-39 years, middle adulthood aged 40-64 years, and older adults aged ≥65 years) to determine patterns of 30 comorbidities defined using the International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision codes, identified from January 1, 2008 to December 31, 2010, and their association with mortality through December 31, 2019 (up to 11 years of follow-up); statistical analysis was performed in 2023.

RESULTS

Three classes were relatively consistent in the composition of comorbidities across young (n=7,020), middle (n=13,554), and older (n=4,193) cohorts: (1) low morbidity (low proportion of all comorbidities) representing 50.1% (young), 41.4% (middle), and 30.9% (older) of the cohorts; (2) neurologic multimorbidity (e.g., epilepsy, intellectual disabilities) representing 26.0% (young), 26.6% (middle), and 14.7% (older) of the cohorts; and complex multimorbidity (e.g., cardiorespiratory, nutritional, musculoskeletal, neurologic) representing 26.0% (young), 26.6% (middle), and 14.7% (older) of the cohorts. The fourth class varied by young (mental health disorders), middle (hypertension), and older (hypertension and osteoarthritis) age cohorts. Compared with the low morbidity class, other classes had an increased mortality rate for each age cohort (hazard ratio range=1.34-5.58, all p<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Findings provide insight into varied multimorbidity profiles and associations with mortality across the life course for adults with cerebral palsy.

Risk of post-fracture pneumonia and its association with cardiovascular events and mortality in adults with intellectual disabilities

Objective

Fragility fractures are associated with an increased risk of pneumonia, which is a leading cause of death in adults with intellectual disabilities; however, the timing and complications of post-fracture pneumonia are underinvestigated. The objectives of this study were to determine the 30-day pneumonia rate post-fracture and the association of post-fracture pneumonia with mortality and cardiovascular events among adults with intellectual disabilities.

Methods

This retrospective cohort study was conducted using Medicare and commercial claims from 01 January 2011 to 31 December 2016. Incidence of pneumonia 30 days after a fragility fracture among adults ≥18 years old with intellectual disabilities (Fx cohort) was compared to the incidence among matched adults with intellectual disabilities without fractures (w/oFx cohort) and the general population of patients with an incident fragility fracture (GP+Fx). For the Fx cohort, Cox regression was used to examine the adjusted association of time-varying pneumonia (within 30 days post-fracture) with mortality and incidence of cardiovascular events 0-30, 31-365, and 366-730 days post-fracture.

Results

There was a high-early rate of pneumonia within 30 days post-fracture for young, middle-aged, and elderly adults with intellectual disabilities (n = 6,183); this rate was 2.2- to 6.1-fold higher than the rate among the w/oFx (n = 12,366) and GP+Fx (n = 363,995) cohorts (all P < 0.05). For the Fx cohort, post-fracture 30-day incidence of pneumonia was associated with an increased 30-day rate of mortality (adjusted HR [aHR] = 5.19; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 3.68-7.32), heart failure (aHR = 2.96; 95% CI = 1.92-4.56), and cerebrovascular disease (aHF = 1.48; 95% CI = 0.93-2.35; P = 0.098), with sustained effects to 1 year for heart failure (aHR = 1.61; 95% CI = 1.19-2.17) and 2 years for mortality (aHR = 1.39; 95% CI = 1.06-1.83), and without evidence of effect modification by age.

Discussion

Adults with intellectual disabilities are vulnerable to post-fracture pneumonia within 30 days, and complications arising from this, across the adult lifespan, and not only during the elderly years.

The age-related association between serum creatinine and cardiorespiratory morbidity and mortality and fractures among adults with cerebral palsy

PURPOSE

Serum creatinine may be an objective biomarker of salient health issues in adults with cerebral palsy (CP). The objective was to assess the age-related association between serum creatinine with 3-year risk of cardiorespiratory morbidity/mortality and fracture among adults with CP.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This retrospective cohort study used medical records between Jan. 1, 2012 and Oct. 2, 2022 from adults ≥18 years old with CP. The association between baseline serum creatinine with the 3-year risk of all-cause mortality, respiratory/cardiovascular morbidity/mortality, and fracture was assessed by age and sex using logistic regression. The discriminative ability of serum creatinine alone and in conjunction with other variables was assessed.

RESULTS

Over the 3-year follow-up, 8.3% of 1368 adults with CP had all-cause mortality, 25.6% had respiratory morbidity/mortality, 12.4% had cardiovascular morbidity/mortality, and 8.9% sustained a fracture. The association between serum creatinine with outcomes was dependent on age. For younger adults, lower creatinine had a higher odds ratio (OR) for all-cause mortality, respiratory morbidity/mortality, and fracture. For 51-60 year olds, higher creatinine had a higher OR for cardiovascular morbidity/mortality. Serum creatinine alone had modest prediction of outcomes, and generally improved prediction when added to models that included sex and co-occurring intellectual disabilities and epilepsy (c-statistic range, 0.54-0.84).

CONCLUSIONS

Lower serum creatinine may reflect frailty while higher levels may reflect kidney dysfunction, helping to explain the differential associations by age. Serum creatinine may be a useful biomarker as part of risk prediction models for these salient health issues for adults with CP.

Longitudinal Patterns of Postfracture Outpatient Physical Therapy and Occupational Therapy Use and Its Association With 3-Year Mortality Among Adults With Cerebral Palsy

OBJECTIVE

Fragility fractures are common among adults with cerebral palsy (CP), but clinical rehabilitation use after fracture and its effect on long-term health outcomes have not been sufficiently studied. The objectives of this study were to identify patterns of the use of physical therapy, occupational therapy, or both in the 6-month postfracture period and the association with 3-year mortality in adults with CP.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included adults who were ≥18 years old, had CP, and had sustained an incident fragility fracture between January 1, 2014, and December 31, 2016, as identified from a random 20% Medicare fee-for-service dataset. Six-month outpatient physical therapy or occupational therapy use patterns after fracture were identified using group-based trajectory modeling. Cox regression determined the association between physical therapy or occupational therapy use trajectory patterns and mortality from 6 months to 3 years after fracture, adjusting for confounders. Effect modification by key characteristics was tested, including age, sex, and the modified Whitney Comorbidity Index (mWCI), which is a CP-specific comorbidity index that better captures overall medical complexity.

RESULTS

Of the 2429 participants included, the majority (73.2%) were characterized as having little to no probability of physical therapy or occupational therapy use, whereas 16.0 and 10.7% were characterized as having early initiation and later initiation, respectively. Compared to the mortality rate for the little to no physical therapy or occupational therapy group, the mortality rates were 26% lower for the early physical therapy or occupational therapy initiation group (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.74; 95% CI = 0.55-1.00) and were 20% lower for the later initiation group (HR = 0.80; 95% CI = 0.57-1.12). There was effect modification by the mWCI. The mortality rate was lower when the early initiation and later initiation groups were compared to the little to no initiation group across all mWCI values examined (median and interquartile range), but the effect was stronger (ie, lower mortality rate) for lower mWCI values for both early initiation and later initiation groups.

CONCLUSION

Most adults with CP underutilize outpatient physical therapy or occupational therapy services within 6 months postfracture. Early or later initiation versus little to no physical therapy or occupational therapy use was associated with a lower HR of mortality, although the effect was stronger and statistically significant among those with less medical complexity.

IMPACT

Throughout their lives, the use of rehabilitation services in individuals with CP, including physical therapy and occupational therapy, dramatically declines despite the need for continued rehabilitation across their lifespans. This study characterized longitudinal physical therapy or occupational therapy use patterns in the 6 months following a fragility fracture among adults with CP and found that nearly 3 in 4 adults with CP had little to no physical therapy or occupational therapy use during this critical window to optimize postfracture health and function. Further, those who more regularly used physical therapy or occupational therapy services, regardless of the timing of initiation (early vs later), had significantly improved survival up to 3 years after fracture, suggesting the need for greater access to and delivery of clinical rehabilitation services.

Five-year risk of fracture and subsequent fractures among adults with cerebral palsy

Background

Epidemiologic evidence documenting the incidence of fracture and subsequent fractures among adults with cerebral palsy (CP) is lacking, which could inform fracture prevention efforts. The objective was to characterize the 5-year rate of initial and subsequent fragility fractures among adults with CP.

Methods

This retrospective cohort study used Medicare claims from 01/01/2008–12/31/2019 from adults ≥18 years old with CP (n = 44,239) and elderly ≥65 years old without CP (n = 2,176,463) as a comparison. The incidence rate (IR), IR ratio (IRR), and site distribution were estimated for the initial and subsequent fragility fractures over 5-years by sex and age.

Results

The IR of fragility fracture at any site over the 5-year follow-up was similar for 18–30-year-old men with CP (IR = 5.2; 95%CI = 4.4–5.9) and 30–34-year-old women with CP (IR = 6.3; 95%CI = 5.3–7.2) compared to the same sex youngest-old (65–74 years old) without CP (IRR = 1.09 and 0.94, respectively, both P > 0.05), and increased with older age for those with CP. The number of fragility fractures and IR of subsequent fragility fractures was similar for young men and middle-aged women with CP compared to elderly without CP, and increased with older age for those with CP. The proportion of fragility fracture at the tibia/fibula decreased while the vertebral column and multiple simultaneous sites (most involved hip/lower extremities) increased with older age.

Conclusion

Young and middle-aged adults with CP had similar-to-worse initial and subsequent fragility fracture profiles compared to the general elderly population- a well characterized group for bone fragility. Findings emphasize the need for fracture prevention efforts at younger ages for CP, possibly by ~5 decades younger.

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Fracture prevention efforts are focused on the elderly and postmenopausal women.

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Fragility fracture risk is elevated for those with CP across the adult lifespan.

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For men, the risk for 18–29 year olds (CP) was on par with 65–74 year olds (no CP).

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For women, risk for 30–34 year olds (CP) was on par with 65–74 year olds (no CP).

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CP had a higher risk of subsequent fragility fractures that was also premature.

Post-Fracture Inpatient and Outpatient Physical/Occupational Therapy and Its Association with Survival among Adults with Cerebral Palsy

Physical and/or occupational therapy (PT/OT) may improve post-fracture health and survival among adults with cerebral palsy (CP), but this has not been studied in the inpatient setting. The objective was to quantify the association between acute inpatient and outpatient PT/OT use with 1-year mortality among adults with CP. This was a retrospective cohort study of adults with CP with an incident fragility fracture admitted to an acute care or rehabilitation facility using a random 20% Medicare fee-for-service dataset. Acute care/rehabilitation PT/OT was measured as the average PT/OT cost/day for the length of stay (LOS). Weekly exposure to outpatient PT/OT was examined up to 6 months post-fracture. Cox regression examined the adjusted association between the interaction of acute care/rehabilitation average PT/OT cost/day and LOS with 1-year mortality. A separate Cox model added time-varying outpatient PT/OT. Of 649 adults with CP, average PT/OT cost/day was associated with lower mortality rate for LOS < 17 days (HR range = 0.78−0.93), and increased mortality rate for LOS > 27 days (HR ≥ 1.08) (all, p < 0.05). After acute care/rehabilitation, 44.5% initiated outpatient PT/OT, which was associated with lower mortality rate (HR = 0.52; 95% CI = 0.27−1.01). Post-fracture inpatient and outpatient PT/OT were associated with improved 1-year survival among adults with CP admitted to acute care/rehabilitation facilities.

Post-fracture rehabilitation pathways and association with mortality among adults with cerebral palsy

OBJECTIVE

Rehabilitation may mitigate the high mortality rates and health declines post-fracture for adults with cerebral palsy, but this is understudied. The objectives were to characterize the post-fracture rehabilitation pathways and identify their association with 1-year survival among adults with cerebral palsy.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study of adults with cerebral palsy with a fragility fracture with continuous health plan enrollment ≥1-year prior to and ≥1 day after their fracture date was performed using a random 20% Medicare fee-for-service dataset. Participants were categorized as a home discharge or inpatient rehabilitation admission post-fracture. For the home discharge cohort, weekly exposure to outpatient physical/occupational therapy (PT/OT) was examined up to 6-month post-fracture. Cox regression examined the association between time-varying PT/OTuse within 6-month post-fracture and mortality from 30 days to 1-year post-fracture before and after adjusting for confounders (e.g. medical complexity).

RESULTS

Of 3598 adults with cerebral palsy with an incident fragility fracture, 74% were discharged home without inpatient rehabilitation; they were younger, but more medically complex compared to the 26% admitted to inpatient rehabilitation. Among the home discharge cohort (n = 2662), 43.1% initiated PT/OTwithin 6-month post-fracture, and cumulative PT/OTexposure post-fracture was associated with improved survival; for example, per 3 weeks of PT/OTexposure, the adjusted mortality rate was 40% lower (95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.41-0.89).

CONCLUSIONS

Most adults with cerebral palsy with a fragility fracture were discharged home rather than to inpatient rehabilitation, and only 43.1% of that group initiated outpatient PT/OTwithin 6 months post-fracture. Receiving outpatient PT/OTwas associated with improved 1-year survival.