A closed-loop artificial pancreas based on model predictive control: Human-friendly identification and automatic meal disturbance rejection

Continuous glucose monitoring for automatic real-time assessment of eating events and nutrition: a scoping review

Background

Accurate dietary assessment remains a challenge, particularly in free-living settings. Continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) shows promise in optimizing the assessment and monitoring of ingestive activity (IA, i.e., consumption of calorie-containing foods/beverages), and it might enable administering dietary Just-In-Time Adaptive Interventions (JITAIs).

Objective

In a scoping review, we aimed to answer the following questions: (1) Which CGM approaches to automatically detect IA in (near-)real-time have been investigated? (2) How accurate are these approaches? (3) Can they be used in the context of JITAIs?

Methods

We systematically searched four databases until October 2023 and included publications in English or German that used CGM-based approaches for human (all ages) IA detection. Eligible publications included a ground-truth method as a comparator. We synthesized the evidence qualitatively and critically appraised publication quality.

Results

Of 1,561 potentially relevant publications identified, 19 publications (17 studies, total N = 311; for 2 studies, 2 publications each were relevant) were included. Most publications included individuals with diabetes, often using meal announcements and/or insulin boluses accompanying meals. Inpatient and free-living settings were used. CGM-only approaches and CGM combined with additional inputs were deployed. A broad range of algorithms was tested. Performance varied among the reviewed methods, ranging from unsatisfactory to excellent (e.g., 21% vs. 100% sensitivity). Detection times ranged from 9.0 to 45.0 min.

Conclusion

Several CGM-based approaches are promising for automatically detecting IA. However, response times need to be faster to enable JITAIs aimed at impacting acute IA. Methodological issues and overall heterogeneity among articles prevent recommending one single approach; specific cases will dictate the most suitable approach.

Data-driven meal events detection using blood glucose response patterns

BACKGROUND

In the Diabetes domain, events such as meals and exercises play an important role in the disease management. For that, many studies focus on automatic meal detection, specially as part of the so-called artificial [Formula: see text]-cell systems. Meals are associated to blood glucose (BG) variations, however such variations are not peculiar to meals, it mostly comes as a combination of external factors. Thus, general approaches such as the ones focused on glucose signal rate of change are not enough to detect personalized influence of such factors. By using a data-driven individualized approach for meal detection, our method is able to fit real data, detecting personalized meal responses even when such external factors are implicitly present.

METHODS

The method is split into model training and selection. In the training phase, we start observing meal responses for each individual, and identifying personalized patterns. Occurrences of such patterns are searched over the BG signal, evaluating the similarity of each pattern to each possible signal subsequence. The most similar occurrences are then selected as possible meal event candidates. For that, we include steps for excluding less relevant neighbors per pattern, and grouping close occurrences in time globally. Each candidate is represented by a set of time and response signal related qualitative variables. These variables are used as input features for different binary classifiers in order to learn to classify a candidate as MEAL or NON-MEAL. In the model selection phase, we compare all trained classifiers to select the one that performs better with the data of each individual.

RESULTS

The results show that the method is able to detect daily meals, providing a result with a balanced proportion between detected meals and false alarms. The analysis on multiple patients indicate that the approach achieves good outcomes when there is enough reliable training data, as this is reflected on the testing results.

CONCLUSIONS

The approach aims at personalizing the meal detection task by relying solely on data. The premise is that a model trained with data that contains the implicit influence of external factors is able to recognize the nuances of the individual that generated the data. Besides, the approach can also be used to improve data quality by detecting meals, opening opportunities to possible applications such as detecting and reminding users of missing or wrongly informed meal events.

A practical approach based on learning-based model predictive control with minimal prior knowledge of patients for artificial pancreas

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Complete identification of the glucose dynamics for a patient generally requires prior clinical procedures and several measurements for the patient. However, these steps may not be always feasible. To address this limitation, we propose a practical approach integrating learning-based model predictive control (MPC), adaptive basal and bolus injections, and suspension with minimal requirements of prior knowledge of the patient.

METHODS

The glucose dynamic system matrices were periodically updated using only input values, without any pretrained models. The optimal insulin dose was calculated based on a learning-based MPC algorithm. Meal detection and estimation modules were also introduced. The basal and bolus insulin injections were fine-tuned using the performance of glucose control from the previous day. To validate the proposed method, evaluations with 20 virtual patients from a type 1 diabetes metabolic simulator were employed.

RESULTS

Time-in-range (TIR) and time-below-range (TBR) were 90.8% (84.1% - 95.6%) and 0.3% (0% - 0.8%), as represented by the median, first (Q1), and third quartiles (Q3), respectively, when meal intakes were fully announced. When one out of three meal intake announcements was missing, TIR and TBR were 85.2% (75.0% - 88.9%) and 0.9% (0.4% - 1.1%), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed approach obviates the need for prior tests from patients and shows effective regulation of blood glucose levels. From the perspective of practical implementation in clinical environments, to deal with minimal prior information of the patient, our study demonstrates how essential clinical knowledge and learning-based modules can be integrated into a control framework for an artificial pancreas.

A New Meal Absorption Model for Artificial Pancreas Systems

BACKGROUND

Artificial pancreas (AP) systems reduce the treatment burden of Type 1 Diabetes by automatically regulating blood glucose (BG) levels. While many disturbances stand in the way of fully closed-loop (automated) control, unannounced meals remain the greatest challenge. Furthermore, different types of meals can have significantly different glucose responses, further increasing the uncertainty surrounding the meal.

METHODS

Effective attenuation of a meal requires quick and accurate insulin delivery because of slow insulin action relative to meal effects on BG. The proposed Variable Hump (VH) model adapts to meals of varying compositions by inferring both meal size and shape. To appropriately address the uncertainty of meal size, the model divides meal absorption into two disjoint regions: a region with coarse meal size predictions followed by a fine-grain region where predictions are fine-tuned by adapting to the meal shape.

RESULTS

Using gold-standard triple tracer meal data, the proposed VH model is compared to three simpler second-order response models. The proposed VH model increased model fit capacity by 22% and prediction accuracy by 12% relative to the next best models. A 47% increase in the accuracy of uncertainty predictions was also found. In a simple control scenario, the controller governed by the proposed VH model provided insulin just as fast or faster than the controller governed by the other models in four out of the six meals. While the controllers governed by the other models all delivered at least a 25% excess of insulin at their worst, the VH model controller only delivered 9% excess at its worst.

CONCLUSIONS

The VH Model performed best in accuracy metrics and succeeded over the other models in providing insulin quickly and accurately in a simple implementation. Use in an AP system may improve prediction accuracy and lead to better control around mealtimes.

Automated meal detection from continuous glucose monitor data through simulation and explanation

Background

Artificial pancreas systems aim to reduce the burden of type 1 diabetes by automating insulin dosing. These systems link a continuous glucose monitor (CGM) and insulin pump with a control algorithm, but require users to announce meals, without which the system can only react to the rise in blood glucose.

Objective

We investigate whether CGM data can be used to automatically infer meals in daily life even in the presence of physical activity, which can raise or lower blood glucose.

Materials and Methods

We propose a novel meal detection algorithm that combines simulations with CGM, insulin pump, and heart rate monitor data. When observed and predicted glucose differ, our algorithm uses simulations to test whether a meal may explain this difference. We evaluated our method on simulated data and real-world data from individuals with type 1 diabetes.

Results

In simulated data, we detected meals earlier and with higher accuracy than was found in prior work (25.7 minutes, 1.2 g error; compared with 48.3 minutes, 17.2 g error). In real-world data, we discovered a larger number of plausible meals than was found in prior work (30 meals, 76.7% accepted; compared with 33 meals, 39.4% accepted).

Discussion

Prior research attempted meal detection from CGM, but had delays and lower accuracy in real data or did not allow for physical activity. Our approach can be used to improve insulin dosing in an artificial pancreas and trigger reminders for missed meal boluses.

Conclusions

We demonstrate that meal information can be robustly inferred from CGM and body-worn sensor data, even in challenging environments of daily life.

Increasing the safety of unannounced meal detection for artificial pancreas closed-loop with patient's hourly meal schedule

The daily challenge for people with type 1 diabetes is maintaining glycaemia in the "normal" range after meals, by injecting themselves the correct amount of insulin. Artificial pancreas systems were developed to adjust insulin delivery based on real-time monitoring of glycaemia and meal patient's report. Meal reporting is a heavy burden for patients as it requires carbohydrate estimation several times per day. To improve patient's quality of life and treatment, several methods aim at detecting unannounced meals. While untreated meals lead to hyperglycaemia and in the long-term to comorbidities, treating falsely detected meals can cause hypoglycaemia and coma. In this paper, we propose to customise the meal detection to the patient's hourly meal probability in order to limit false detection of unannounced meals.

A Data-Driven Personalized Model of Glucose Dynamics Taking Account of the Effects of Physical Activity for Type 1 Diabetes: An In Silico Study

This paper aims to develop a data-driven model for glucose dynamics taking into account the effects of physical activity (PA) through a numerical study. It intends to investigate PA's immediate effect on insulin-independent glucose variation and PA's prolonged effect on insulin sensitivity. We proposed a nonlinear model with PA (NLPA), consisting of a linear regression of PA and a bilinear regression of insulin and PA. The model was identified and evaluated using data generated from a physiological PA-glucose model by Dalla Man et al. integrated with the uva/padova Simulator. Three metrics were computed to compare blood glucose (BG) predictions by NLPA, a linear model with PA (LPA), and a linear model with no PA (LOPA). For PA's immediate effect on glucose, NLPA and LPA showed 45-160% higher mean goodness of fit (FIT) than LOPA under 30 min-ahead glucose prediction (P < 0.05). For the prolonged PA effect on glucose, NLPA showed 87% higher FIT than LPA (P < 0.05) for simulations using no previous measurements. NLPA had 25-37% and 31-54% higher sensitivity in predicting postexercise hypoglycemia than LPA and LOPA, respectively. This study demonstrated the following qualitative trends: (1) for moderate-intensity exercise, accuracy of BG prediction was improved by explicitly accounting for PA's effect; and (2) accounting for PA's prolonged effect on insulin sensitivity can increase the chance of early prediction of postexercise hypoglycemia. Such observations will need to be further evaluated through human subjects in the future.

Benchmarking Machine Learning Algorithms on Blood Glucose Prediction for Type I Diabetes in Comparison With Classical Time-Series Models

OBJECTIVE

This paper aims to compare the performance of several commonly known machine-learning (ML) models versus a classic Autoregression with Exogenous inputs (ARX) model in the prediction of blood glucose (BG) levels using time-series data of patients with Type 1 diabetes (T1D).

METHODS

The ML algorithms include ML-based regression models and deep learning models such as a vanilla Long-Short-Term-Memory (LSTM) Network and a Temporal Convolution Network (TCN). Evaluations have been conducted with respect to different input features, regression model orders, as well as using the recursive method or direct method for multi-step prediction of BG levels. Prediction performance metrics include the average Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), temporal gain (TG) for early prediction, and the normalized energy of the second-order differences (ESOD) of the predicted time series to reflect risk of false alerts on hypo/hyper glycemia events.

RESULTS

The ARX model achieved the lowest average RMSE for both recursive and direct methods, the second highest average TG under the direct method, but with a higher average normalized ESOD than some other models.

CONCLUSION

There was no significant advantage observed from the ML models compared to the classic ARX model in predicting BG levels for T1D, except that TCN's performance was more robust with respect to BG trajectories with spurious oscillations, for which ARX tended to over-predict peak BG values and under-predict valley BG values.

SIGNIFICANCE

Insight learned from this study could help researchers and clinical practitioners to select appropriate models for BG prediction.

Blood glucose regulation in type 1 diabetic patients: an adaptive parametric compensation control-based approach

Here, a direct adaptive control strategy with parametric compensation is adopted for an uncertain non‐linear model representing blood glucose regulation in type 1 diabetes mellitus patients. The uncertain parameters of the model are updated by appropriate design of adaptation laws using the Lyapunov method. The closed‐loop response of the plasma glucose concentration as well as external insulin infusion rate is analysed for a wide range of variation of the model parameters through extensive simulation studies. The result indicates that the proposed adaptive control scheme avoids severe hypoglycaemia and gives satisfactory performance under parametric uncertainty highlighting its ability to address the issue of inter‐patient variability.

Pattern Recognition Reveals Characteristic Postprandial Glucose Changes: Non-Individualized Meal Detection in Diabetes Mellitus Type 1

Accurate continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) is essential for fully automated glucose control in diabetes mellitus type 1. State-of-the-art glucose control systems automatically regulate the basal insulin infusion. Users still need to manually announce meals to dose the prandial insulin boluses. An automated meal detection could release the user and improve the glucose regulation. In this study, patterns in the postprandial CGM data are exploited for meal detection. Binary classifiers are trained to recognize the postprandial pattern in horizons of the estimated glucose rate of appearance and in CGM data. The appearance rate is determined by moving horizon estimation based on a simple model. Linear discriminant analysis (LDA) is used for classification. The proposed method is compared to methods that detect meals when thresholds are violated. Diabetes care data from 12 free-living pediatric patients was downloaded during regular screening. Experts identified meals and their start by retrospective evaluation. The classification was tested by cross-validation. Compared to the threshold-based methods, LDA showed higher sensitivity to meals with a low rate of false alarms. Classifying horizons outperformed the other methods also with respect to time of detection. The onset of meals can be detected by pattern recognition based on estimated model states and consecutive CGM measurements. No individual tuning is necessary. This makes the method easily adopted in the clinical practice.

Control of Blood Glucose for Type-1 Diabetes by Using Reinforcement Learning with Feedforward Algorithm

Background

Type-1 diabetes is a condition caused by the lack of insulin hormone, which leads to an excessive increase in blood glucose level. The glucose kinetics process is difficult to control due to its complex and nonlinear nature and with state variables that are difficult to measure.

Methods

This paper proposes a method for automatically calculating the basal and bolus insulin doses for patients with type-1 diabetes using reinforcement learning with feedforward controller. The algorithm is designed to keep the blood glucose stable and directly compensate for the external events such as food intake. Its performance was assessed using simulation on a blood glucose model. The usage of the Kalman filter with the controller was demonstrated to estimate unmeasurable state variables.

Results

Comparison simulations between the proposed controller with the optimal reinforcement learning and the proportional-integral-derivative controller show that the proposed methodology has the best performance in regulating the fluctuation of the blood glucose. The proposed controller also improved the blood glucose responses and prevented hypoglycemia condition. Simulation of the control system in different uncertain conditions provided insights on how the inaccuracies of carbohydrate counting and meal-time reporting affect the performance of the control system.

Conclusion

The proposed controller is an effective tool for reducing postmeal blood glucose rise and for countering the effects of external known events such as meal intake and maintaining blood glucose at a healthy level under uncertainties.

Postprandial fuzzy adaptive strategy for a hybrid proportional derivative controller for the artificial pancreas

This paper presents a support fuzzy adaptive system for a hybrid proportional derivative controller that will refine its parameters during postprandial periods to enhance performance. Even though glucose controllers have improved over the last decade, tuning them and keeping them tuned are still major challenges. Changes in a patient's lifestyle, stress, exercise, or other activities may modify their blood glucose system, making it necessary to retune or change the insulin dosing algorithm. This paper presents a strategy to adjust the parameters of a proportional derivative controller using the so-called safety auxiliary feedback element loop for type 1 diabetic patients. The main parameters, such as the insulin on board limit and proportional gain are tuned using postprandial performance indexes and the information given by the controller itself. The adaptive and robust performance of the control algorithm was assessed "in silico" on a cohort of virtual patients under challenging realistic scenarios considering mixed meals, circadian variations, time-varying uncertainties, sensor errors, and other disturbances. The results showed that an adaptive strategy can significantly improve the performance of postprandial glucose control, individualizing the tuning by directly taking into account the intra-patient variability of type 1 patients. Graphical Abstract title: Postprandial glycaemia improvement via fuzzy adaptive control A fuzzy inference engine was implemented within a clinically tested artificial pancreas control system. The aim of the fuzzy system was to adapt controller parameters to improve postprandial blood glucose control while ensuring safety. Results show a significant improvement over time of the postprandial glucose response due to the adaptation, thus demonstrating the usefulness of the fuzzy adaptive system.

Neural network-based model predictive control for type 1 diabetic rats on artificial pancreas system

Artificial pancreas system (APS) is a viable option to treat diabetic patients. Researchers, however, have not conclusively determined the best control method for APS. Due to intra-/inter-variability of insulin absorption and action, an individualized algorithm is required to control blood glucose level (BGL) for each patient. To this end, we developed model predictive control (MPC) based on artificial neural networks (ANNs), which combines ANN for BGL prediction based on inputs and MPC for BGL control based on the ANN (NN-MPC). First, we developed a mathematical model for diabetic rats, which was used to identify individual virtual subjects by fitting to empirical data collected through an APS, including BGL data, insulin injection, and food intake. Then, the virtual subjects were used to generate datasets for training ANNs. The NN-MPC determines control actions (insulin injection) based on BGL predicted by the ANN. To evaluate the NN-MPC, we conducted experiments using four virtual subjects under three different scenarios. Overall, the NN-MPC maintained BGL within the normal range about 90% of the time with a mean absolute deviation of 4.7 mg/dl from a desired BGL. Our findings suggest that the NN-MPC can provide subject-specific BGL control in conjunction with a closed-loop APS. Graphical abstract ᅟ.

Unannounced Meals in the Artificial Pancreas: Detection Using Continuous Glucose Monitoring

The artificial pancreas (AP) system is designed to regulate blood glucose in subjects with type 1 diabetes using a continuous glucose monitor informed controller that adjusts insulin infusion via an insulin pump. However, current AP developments are mainly hybrid closed-loop systems that include feed-forward actions triggered by the announcement of meals or exercise. The first step to fully closing the loop in the AP requires removing meal announcement, which is currently the most effective way to alleviate postprandial hyperglycemia due to the delay in insulin action. Here, a novel approach to meal detection in the AP is presented using a sliding window and computing the normalized cross-covariance between measured glucose and the forward difference of a disturbance term, estimated from an augmented minimal model using an Unscented Kalman Filter. Three different tunings were applied to the same meal detection algorithm: (1) a high sensitivity tuning, (2) a trade-off tuning that has a high amount of meals detected and a low amount of false positives (FP), and (3) a low FP tuning. For the three tunings sensitivities 99 ± 2%, 93 ± 5%, and 47 ± 12% were achieved, respectively. A sensitivity analysis was also performed and found that higher carbohydrate quantities and faster rates of glucose appearance result in favorable meal detection outcomes.

Automatic Detection and Estimation of Unannounced Meals for Multivariable Artificial Pancreas System

BACKGROUND

Automatically attenuating the postprandial rise in the blood glucose concentration without manual meal announcement is a significant challenge for artificial pancreas (AP) systems. In this study, a meal module is proposed to detect the consumption of a meal and to estimate the amount of carbohydrate (CHO) intake.

METHODS

The meals are detected based on qualitative variables describing variation of continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) readings. The CHO content of the meals/snacks is estimated by a fuzzy system using CGM and subcutaneous insulin delivery data. The meal bolus amount is computed according to the patient's insulin to CHO ratio. Integration of the meal module into a multivariable AP system allows revision of estimated CHO based on knowledge about physical activity, sleep, and the risk of hypoglycemia before the final decision for a meal bolus is made.

RESULTS

The algorithm is evaluated by using 117 meals/snacks in retrospective data from 11 subjects with type 1 diabetes. Sensitivity, defined as the percentage of correctly detected meals and snacks, is 93.5% for meals and 68.0% for snacks. The percentage of false positives, defined as the proportion of false detections relative to the total number of detected meals and snacks, is 20.8%.

CONCLUSIONS

Integration of a meal detection module in an AP system is a further step toward an automated AP without manual entries. Detection of a consumed meal/snack and infusion of insulin boluses using an estimate of CHO enables the AP system to automatically prevent postprandial hyperglycemia.

A Survey on Biofeedback and Actuation in Wireless Body Area Networks (WBANs)

Wireless body area networks (WBANs) have attained increasing popularity as the next generation framework of wearable technologies for human monitoring. Invasive or noninvasive wearable sensors designed in a WBAN are worn to gather vital information. Biofeedback is a recent concept where collected data are used to generate actuation signals in WBANs. Applications can be seen in various areas such as sports (e.g., locomotor velocity) or medicine (e.g., blood pressure measurement). However, since the body is closely regulated, the next generation WBAN technology must be smart enough to react to monitored data. The main aim of this paper is to review the current state of biofeedback and actuation technology on WBANs in terms of its structure, applications, benefits, and control approaches. The emphasis on the specific requirements when applying biofeedback to humans will be highlighted and discussed. Challenges and open research issues will be concluded at the end.

Development of glucose-responsive 'smart' insulin systems

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

The complexity of modern insulin-based therapy for type I and type II diabetes mellitus and the risks associated with excursions in blood-glucose concentration (hyperglycemia and hypoglycemia) have motivated the development of 'smart insulin' technologies (glucose-responsive insulin, GRI). Such analogs or delivery systems are entities that provide insulin activity proportional to the glycemic state of the patient without external monitoring by the patient or healthcare provider. The present review describes the relevant historical background to modern GRI technologies and highlights three distinct approaches: coupling of continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) to deliver devices (algorithm-based 'closed-loop' systems), glucose-responsive polymer encapsulation of insulin, and molecular modification of insulin itself.

RECENT FINDINGS

Recent advances in GRI research utilizing each of the three approaches are illustrated; these include newly developed algorithms for CGM-based insulin delivery systems, glucose-sensitive modifications of existing clinical analogs, newly developed hypoxia-sensitive polymer matrices, and polymer-encapsulated, stem-cell-derived pancreatic β cells.

SUMMARY

Although GRI technologies have yet to be perfected, the recent advances across several scientific disciplines that are described in this review have provided a path towards their clinical implementation.

A Variable State Dimension Approach to Meal Detection and Meal Size Estimation: In Silico Evaluation Through Basal-Bolus Insulin Therapy for Type 1 Diabetes

OBJECTIVE

This paper aims to develop an algorithm that can detect unannounced meals and estimate meal sizes to achieve a robust glucose control.

METHODS

A variable state dimension (VSD) algorithm is developed to detect unannounced meals and estimate meal sizes, where a Kalman filter operates on a quiescent state model when no meal is detected, and switches to a maneuvering state model to estimate meal information once the meal-induced glucose variability is statistically significant.

RESULTS

Through evaluation using 30 subjects of the UVa/Padova simulator, a basal-bolus (BB) control using the VSD-estimated meal size for each meal can achieve mean blood glucose (BG) of 142 mg/dl with an average 17.7% of time in hypoglycemia. In terms of 20 Monte-Carlo simulations for each subject over a two-day scenario, where each meal/snack has a probability of 0.5 not to be announced, the BB control using VSD for unannounced meals can achieve an average mean BG of 143 mg/dl with 8% of time in hypoglycemia, in contrast to mean BG of 180 mg/dl with 8% of time in hypoglycemia obtained by BB with missing boluses. Additionally, VSD is able to detect a meal within 45 (±14) min since its start with a 76% success rate and 16% false alarm rate.

CONCLUSION

The addition of VSD to the BB control improves glucose control when meal announcements are missed.

SIGNIFICANCE

The VSD can be used as a complementary tool to detect meal and estimate meal size in absence of a meal announcement.

Physiology-Invariant Meal Detection for Type 1 Diabetes

BACKGROUND

Fully automated artificial pancreas systems require meal detectors to supplement blood glucose level regulation, where false meal detections can cause unnecessary insulin delivery with potentially fatal consequences, and missed detections may cause the patient to experience extreme hyperglycemia. Most existing meal detectors monitor various measures of glucose rate-of-change to detect meals where varying physiology and meal content complicate balancing detector sensitivity versus specificity.

METHODS

We developed a novel meal detector based on a minimal glucose-insulin metabolism model and show that the detector is, by design, invariant to patient-specific physiological parameters in the minimal model. Our physiological parameter-invariant (PAIN) detector achieves a near-constant false alarm rate across all individuals and is evaluated against three other major existing meal detectors on a clinical type 1 diabetes data set.

RESULTS

In the clinical evaluation, the PAIN-based detector achieves an 86.9% sensitivity for an average false alarm rate of two alarms per day. In addition, for all false alarm rates, the PAIN-based detector performance is significantly better than three other existing meal detectors. In addition, the evaluation results show that the PAIN-based detector uniquely (as compared with the other meal detectors) has low variance in detection and false alarm rates across all patients, without patient-specific personalization.

CONCLUSIONS

The PAIN-based meal detector has demonstrated better detection performance than existing meal detectors, and it has the unique strength of achieving a consistent performance across a population with varying physiology without any individual-level parameter tuning or training.

A Review of Emerging Technologies for the Management of Diabetes Mellitus

OBJECTIVE

High prevalence of diabetes mellitus (DM) along with the poor health outcomes and the escalated costs of treatment and care poses the need to focus on prevention, early detection and improved management of the disease. The aim of this paper is to present and discuss the latest accomplishments in sensors for glucose and lifestyle monitoring along with clinical decision support systems (CDSSs) facilitating self-disease management and supporting healthcare professionals in decision making.

METHODS

A critical literature review analysis is conducted focusing on advances in: 1) sensors for physiological and lifestyle monitoring, 2) models and molecular biomarkers for predicting the onset and assessing the progress of DM, and 3) modeling and control methods for regulating glucose levels.

RESULTS

Glucose and lifestyle sensing technologies are continuously evolving with current research focusing on the development of noninvasive sensors for accurate glucose monitoring. A wide range of modeling, classification, clustering, and control approaches have been deployed for the development of the CDSS for diabetes management. Sophisticated multiscale, multilevel modeling frameworks taking into account information from behavioral down to molecular level are necessary to reveal correlations and patterns indicating the onset and evolution of DM.

CONCLUSION

Integration of data originating from sensor-based systems and electronic health records combined with smart data analytics methods and powerful user centered approaches enable the shift toward preventive, predictive, personalized, and participatory diabetes care.

SIGNIFICANCE

The potential of sensing and predictive modeling approaches toward improving diabetes management is highlighted and related challenges are identified.

An Improved PID Algorithm Based on Insulin-on-Board Estimate for Blood Glucose Control with Type 1 Diabetes

Automated closed-loop insulin infusion therapy has been studied for many years. In closed-loop system, the control algorithm is the key technique of precise insulin infusion. The control algorithm needs to be designed and validated. In this paper, an improved PID algorithm based on insulin-on-board estimate is proposed and computer simulations are done using a combinational mathematical model of the dynamics of blood glucose-insulin regulation in the blood system. The simulation results demonstrate that the improved PID algorithm can perform well in different carbohydrate ingestion and different insulin sensitivity situations. Compared with the traditional PID algorithm, the control performance is improved obviously and hypoglycemia can be avoided. To verify the effectiveness of the proposed control algorithm, in silico testing is done using the UVa/Padova virtual patient software.

GoCARB in the Context of an Artificial Pancreas

BACKGROUND

In an artificial pancreas (AP), the meals are either manually announced or detected and their size estimated from the blood glucose level. Both methods have limitations, which result in suboptimal postprandial glucose control. The GoCARB system is designed to provide the carbohydrate content of meals and is presented within the AP framework.

METHOD

The combined use of GoCARB with a control algorithm is assessed in a series of 12 computer simulations. The simulations are defined according to the type of the control (open or closed loop), the use or not-use of GoCARB and the diabetics' skills in carbohydrate estimation.

RESULTS

For bad estimators without GoCARB, the percentage of the time spent in target range (70-180 mg/dl) during the postprandial period is 22.5% and 66.2% for open and closed loop, respectively. When the GoCARB is used, the corresponding percentages are 99.7% and 99.8%. In case of open loop, the time spent in severe hypoglycemic events (<50 mg/dl) is 33.6% without the GoCARB and is reduced to 0.0% when the GoCARB is used. In case of closed loop, the corresponding percentage is 1.4% without the GoCARB and is reduced to 0.0% with the GoCARB.

CONCLUSION

The use of GoCARB improves the control of postprandial response and glucose profiles especially in the case of open loop. However, the most efficient regulation is achieved by the combined use of the control algorithm and the GoCARB.

Adaptive control of artificial pancreas systems - a review

Artificial pancreas (AP) systems offer an important improvement in regulating blood glucose concentration for patients with type 1 diabetes, compared to current approaches. AP consists of sensors, control algorithms and an insulin pump. Different AP control algorithms such as proportional-integral-derivative, model-predictive control, adaptive control, and fuzzy logic control have been investigated in simulation and clinical studies in the past three decades. The variability over time and complexity of the dynamics of blood glucose concentration, unsteady disturbances such as meals, time-varying delays on measurements and insulin infusion, and noisy data from sensors create a challenging system to AP. Adaptive control is a powerful control technique that can deal with such challenges. In this paper, a review of adaptive control techniques for blood glucose regulation with an AP system is presented. The investigations and advances in technology produced impressive results, but there is still a need for a reliable AP system that is both commercially viable and appealing to patients with type 1 diabetes.

Algorithms for a closed-loop artificial pancreas: the case for model predictive control

The relative merits of model predictive control (MPC) and proportional-integral-derivative (PID) control are discussed, with the end goal of a closed-loop artificial pancreas (AP). It is stressed that neither MPC nor PID are single algorithms, but rather are approaches or strategies that may be implemented very differently by different engineers. The primary advantages to MPC are that (i) constraints on the insulin delivery rate (and/or insulin on board) can be explicitly included in the control calculation; (ii) it is a general framework that makes it relatively easy to include the effect of meals, exercise, and other events that are a function of the time of day; and (iii) it is flexible enough to include many different objectives, from set-point tracking (target) to zone (control to range). In the end, however, it is recognized that the control algorithm, while important, represents only a portion of the effort required to develop a closed-loop AP. Thus, any number of algorithms/approaches can be successful--the engineers involved in the design must have experience with the particular technique, including the important experience of implementing the algorithm in human studies and not simply through simulation studies.

Multivariable adaptive closed-loop control of an artificial pancreas without meal and activity announcement

BACKGROUND

Accurate closed-loop control is essential for developing artificial pancreas (AP) systems that adjust insulin infusion rates from insulin pumps. Glucose concentration information from continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) systems is the most important information for the control system. Additional physiological measurements can provide valuable information that can enhance the accuracy of the control system. Proportional-integral-derivative control and model predictive control have been popular in AP development. Their implementations to date rely on meal announcements (e.g., bolus insulin dose based on insulin:carbohydrate ratios) by the user. Adaptive control techniques provide a powerful alternative that do not necessitate any meal or activity announcements.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Adaptive control systems based on the generalized predictive control framework are developed by extending the recursive modeling techniques. Physiological signals such as energy expenditure and galvanic skin response are used along with glucose measurements to generate a multiple-input-single-output model for predicting future glucose concentrations used by the controller. Insulin-on-board (IOB) is also estimated and used in control decisions. The controllers were tested with clinical studies that include seven cases with three different patients with type 1 diabetes for 32 or 60 h without any meal or activity announcements.

RESULTS

The adaptive control system kept glucose concentration in the normal preprandial and postprandial range (70-180 mg/dL) without any meal or activity announcements during the test period. After IOB estimation was added to the control system, mild hypoglycemic episodes were observed only in one of the four experiments. This was reflected in a plasma glucose value of 56 mg/dL (YSI 2300 STAT; Yellow Springs Instrument, Yellow Springs, OH) and a CGM value of 63 mg/dL).

CONCLUSIONS

Regulation of blood glucose concentration with an AP using adaptive control techniques was successful in clinical studies, even without any meal and physical activity announcement.

Challenges and Recent Progress in the Development of a Closed-loop Artificial Pancreas

Pursuit of a closed-loop artificial pancreas that automatically controls the blood glucose of individuals with type 1 diabetes has intensified during the past six years. Here we discuss the recent progress and challenges in the major steps towards a closed-loop system. Continuous insulin infusion pumps have been widely available for over two decades, but "smart pump" technology has made the devices easier to use and more powerful. Continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) technology has improved and the devices are more widely available. A number of approaches are currently under study for fully closed-loop systems; most manipulate only insulin, while others manipulate insulin and glucagon. Algorithms include on-off (for prevention of overnight hypoglycemia), proportional-integral-derivative (PID), model predictive control (MPC) and fuzzy logic based learning control. Meals cause a major "disturbance" to blood glucose, and we discuss techniques that our group has developed to predict when a meal is likely to be consumed and its effect. We further examine both physiology and device-related challenges, including insulin infusion set failure and sensor signal attenuation. Finally, we discuss the next steps required to make a closed-loop artificial pancreas a commercial reality.

Artificial neural networks for closed loop control of in silico and ad hoc type 1 diabetes

The closed loop control of blood glucose levels might help to reduce many short- and long-term complications of type 1 diabetes. Continuous glucose monitoring and insulin pump systems have facilitated the development of the artificial pancreas. In this paper, artificial neural networks are used for both the identification of patient dynamics and the glycaemic regulation. A subcutaneous glucose measuring system together with a Lispro insulin subcutaneous pump were used to gather clinical data for each patient undergoing treatment, and a corresponding in silico and ad hoc neural network model was derived for each patient to represent their particular glucose-insulin relationship. Based on this nonlinear neural network model, an ad hoc neural network controller was designed to close the feedback loop for glycaemic regulation of the in silico patient. Both the neural network model and the controller were tested for each patient under simulation, and the results obtained show a good performance during food intake and variable exercise conditions.

Control-relevant models for glucose control using a priori patient characteristics

One of the difficulties in the development of a reliable artificial pancreas for people with type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM) is the lack of accurate models of an individual's response to insulin. Most control algorithms proposed to control the glucose level in subjects with T1DM are model-based. Avoiding postprandial hypoglycemia ( 60 mg/dl) while minimizing prandial hyperglycemia ( > 180 mg/dl) has shown to be difficult in a closed-loop setting due to the patient-model mismatch. In this paper, control-relevant models are developed for T1DM, as opposed to models that minimize a prediction error. The parameters of these models are chosen conservatively to minimize the likelihood of hypoglycemia events. To limit the conservatism due to large intersubject variability, the models are personalized using a priori patient characteristics. The models are implemented in a zone model predictive control algorithm. The robustness of these controllers is evaluated in silico, where hypoglycemia is completely avoided even after large meal disturbances. The proposed control approach is simple and the controller can be set up by a physician without the need for control expertise.

A closed-loop artificial pancreas based on risk management

BACKGROUND

Control algorithms that regulate blood glucose (BG) levels in individuals with type 1 diabetes mellitus face several fundamental challenges. Two of these are the asymmetric risk of clinical complications associated with low and high glucose levels and the irreversibility of insulin action when using only insulin. Both of these nonlinearities force a controller to be more conservative when uncertainties are high. We developed a novel extended model predictive controller (EMPC) that explicitly addresses these two challenges.

METHOD

Our extensions to model predictive control (MPC) operate in three ways. First, they explicitly minimize the combined risk of hypoglycemia and hyperglycemia. Second, they integrate the effect of prediction uncertainties into the risk. Third, they understand that future control actions will vary if measurements fall above or below predictions. Using the University of Virginia/Padova Simulator, we compared our novel controller (EMPC) against optimized versions of a proportional-integral-derivative (PID) controller, a traditional MPC, and a basal/bolus (BB) controller, as well as against published results of an independent MPC (IMPC). The BB controller was optimized retrospectively to serve as a bound on the possible performance.

RESULTS

We tuned each controller, where possible, to minimize a published blood glucose risk index (BGRI). The simulated controllers (PID/MPC/EMPC/BB) provided BGRI values of 2.99/3.05/2.51/1.27 as compared to the published IMPC BGRI value of 4.10. These correspond to 73/79/84/92% of BG values lying in the euglycemic range (70-180 mg/dl), respectively, with mean BG levels of 151/156/147/140 mg/dl.

CONCLUSION

The EMPC strategy extends MPC to explicitly address the issues of asymmetric glycemic risk and irreversible insulin action using estimated prediction uncertainties and an explicit risk function. This controller reduces the avoidable BGRI by 56% (p < .05) relative to a published MPC algorithm studied on a similar population.

An autonomous drug release system based on chemo-mechanical energy conversion "Organic Engine" for feedback control of blood glucose

A novel autonomous drug release system was fabricated and tested. The system consists of two integrated units: decompression unit and drug release unit. The decompression unit was fabricated by separating a cylindrical cell into a top cell (gas phase) and a bottom cell (liquid phase) by glucose oxidase (GOD) enzyme immobilized membrane. The enzyme membrane recognizes glucose and converts chemical energy found in glucose to mechanical energy. The linear correlation between glucose concentration and de-pressure slope of the top cell was revealed as applying glucose solution to the bottom cell. Afterward, the drug release unit which utilizes the energy of the decompression unit as a power source was fabricated and evaluated by recording its release actions. The drug release unit was made to release at a constant quantity of drug in the liquid phase. The system was then fabricated by combining the decompression unit and the drug release unit. And it was evaluated in an open loop and in a closed loop by applying a mixture of glucose solution (100 mmol/l) and NADH(+) using glucose dehydrogenase enzyme (GDH) as a glucose reducer. Glucose concentration decreased gradually in the closed loop and, as a consequence, interval time of the GDH release became longer. In other words, an inverse correlation between actuation interval of the system and glucose concentration was shown. As a result, the possibility of feedback control of glucose concentration by the drug release system without external energy was confirmed.

A robust sliding mode controller with internal model for closed-loop artificial pancreas

The study presents a robust closed-loop sliding mode controller with internal model for blood glucose control in type-1 diabetes. Type-1 diabetic patients depend on external insulin delivery to keep their blood glucose within near-normal ranges. Closed-loop artificial pancreas is developed to help avoid dangerous, potentially life-threatening hypoglycemia, as well as to prevent complication-inducing hyperglycemia. The proposed controller is designed using a combination of sliding mode and internal model control techniques. To enhance postprandial performance, a feedforward controller is added to inject insulin bolus. Simulation studies have been performed to test the controller, which revealed that the proposed control strategy is able to control the blood glucose well within the safe limits in the presence of meals and measurements errors. The controller shows acceptable robustness against changes in insulin sensitivity, model-patient mismatch, and errors in estimating meal's contents.

Feedforward-feedback multiple predictive controllers for glucose regulation in type 1 diabetes

Type 1 diabetic patients depend on insulin therapy to maintain blood glucose levels within safe range. The idea behind the "Artificial Pancreas" is to mimic, as close as possible, the functions of the natural pancreas in glucose sensing and insulin delivery, by using closed-loop control techniques. This work presents a model-based predictive control strategy for blood glucose regulation in diabetic patients. The controller is provided with a feedforward loop to improve meal compensation, a gain scheduling scheme to improve the controller performance in controlling the nonlinear glucose-insulin system, and an asymmetric cost function to reduce the hypoglycemic risk. Simulation scenarios with virtual patients are used to test the designed controller. The obtained results show a good controller performance in fasting conditions and meal disturbance rejection, and robustness against measurements errors, meal estimation errors, and changes in insulin sensitivity.

Zone model predictive control: a strategy to minimize hyper- and hypoglycemic events

BACKGROUND

Development of an artificial pancreas based on an automatic closed-loop algorithm that uses a subcutaneous insulin pump and continuous glucose sensor is a goal for biomedical engineering research. However, closing the loop for the artificial pancreas still presents many challenges, including model identification and design of a control algorithm that will keep the type 1 diabetes mellitus subject in normoglycemia for the longest duration and under maximal safety considerations.

METHOD

An artificial pancreatic beta-cell based on zone model predictive control (zone-MPC) that is tuned automatically has been evaluated on the University of Virginia/University of Padova Food and Drug Administration-accepted metabolic simulator. Zone-MPC is applied when a fixed set point is not defined and the control variable objective can be expressed as a zone. Because euglycemia is usually defined as a range, zone-MPC is a natural control strategy for the artificial pancreatic beta-cell. Clinical data usually include discrete information about insulin delivery and meals, which can be used to generate personalized models. It is argued that mapping clinical insulin administration and meal history through two different second-order transfer functions improves the identification accuracy of these models. Moreover, using mapped insulin as an additional state in zone-MPC enriches information about past control moves, thereby reducing the probability of overdosing. In this study, zone-MPC is tested in three different modes using unannounced and announced meals at their nominal value and with 40% uncertainty. Ten adult in silico subjects were evaluated following a scenario of mixed meals with 75, 75, and 50 grams of carbohydrates (CHOs) consumed at 7 am, 1 pm, and 8 pm, respectively. Zone-MPC results are compared to those of the "optimal" open-loop preadjusted treatment.

RESULTS

Zone-MPC succeeds in maintaining glycemic responses closer to euglycemia compared to the "optimal" open-loop treatment in te three different modes with and without meal announcement. In the face of meal uncertainty, announced zone-MPC presented only marginally improved results over unannounced zone-MPC. When considering user error in CHO estimation and the need to interact with the system, unannounced zone-MPC is an appealing alternative.

CONCLUSIONS

Zone-MPC reduces the variability of control moves over fixed set point control without the need to detune the controller. This strategy gives zone-MPC the ability to act quickly when needed and reduce unnecessary control moves in the euglycemic range.

A closed-loop artificial pancreas using model predictive control and a sliding meal size estimator

The objective of this article is to present a comprehensive strategy for a closed-loop artificial pancreas. A meal detection and meal size estimation algorithm is developed for situations in which the subject forgets to provide a meal insulin bolus. A pharmacodynamic model of insulin action is used to provide insulin-on-board constraints to explicitly include the future effect of past and currently delivered insulin boluses. In addition, a supervisory pump shut-off feature is presented to avoid hypoglycemia. All of these components are used in conjunction with a feedback control algorithm using model predictive control (MPC). A model for MPC is developed based on a study of 20 subjects and is tested in a hypothetical clinical trial of 100 adolescent and 100 adult subjects using a Food and Drug Administration-approved diabetic subject simulator. In addition, a performance comparison of previously and newly proposed meal size estimation algorithms using 200 in silico subjects is presented. Using the new meal size estimation algorithm, the integrated artificial pancreas system yielded a daily mean glucose of 138 and 132 mg/dl for adolescents and adults, respectively, which is a substantial improvement over the MPC-only case, which yielded 159 and 145 mg/dl.