History of cancer and mortality in community-dwelling older adults

Is the relationship between chronic pain and mortality causal? A propensity score analysis

ABSTRACT

Chronic pain is a serious and prevalent condition that can affect many facets of life. However, uncertainty remains regarding the strength of the association between chronic pain and death and whether the association is causal. We investigate the pain-mortality relationship using data from 19,971 participants aged 51+ years in the 1998 wave of the U.S. Health and Retirement Study. Propensity score matching and inverse probability weighting are combined with Cox proportional hazards models to investigate whether exposure to chronic pain (moderate or severe) has a causal effect on mortality over a 20-year follow-up period. Hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) are reported. Before adjusting for confounding, we find a strong association between chronic pain and mortality (HR: 1.32, 95% CI: 1.26-1.38). After adjusting for confounding by sociodemographic and health variables using a range of propensity score methods, the estimated increase in mortality hazard caused by pain is more modest (5%-9%) and the results are often also compatible with no causal effect (95% CIs for HRs narrowly contain 1.0). This attenuation highlights the role of confounders of the pain-mortality relationship as potentially modifiable upstream risk factors for mortality. Posing the depressive symptoms variable as a mediator rather than a confounder of the pain-mortality relationship resulted in stronger evidence of a modest causal effect of pain on mortality (eg, HR: 1.08, 95% CI: 1.01-1.15). Future work is required to model exposure-confounder feedback loops and investigate the potentially cumulative causal effect of chronic pain at multiple time points on mortality.

Prior cancer diagnosis and mortality profile in US adults

BACKGROUND

Mortality profiles with multivariate adjustment in patients with a prior cancer diagnosis are scarce. This study aimed to investigate multivariate-adjusted mortality profile in US adults with a prior cancer diagnosis.

METHODS

This cohort study included 58,109 US adults (5,016 with a prior cancer diagnosis) who attended the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Mortality outcomes were ascertained by linkage to the National Death Index records. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and confidence intervals (CIs) of prior cancer diagnosis for mortality.

RESULTS

This cohort was followed up for 646,033 person-years with a mean follow-up of 11.1 years. Compared with those without cancer, participants with a prior cancer diagnosis had increased crude cumulative mortality rates in each leading cause. Prior cancer diagnosis was associated with a higher multivariate-adjusted risk of mortality from all causes (HR, 1.29; 95% CI, 1.22-1.35), cancer (HR, 2.32; 95% CI, 2.10-2.56), and accidents (HR, 1.90; 95% CI, 1.34-2.68). Prior cancer diagnosis-associated increase in accident mortality appeared only in males and was significant only in non-Hispanic black participants. Prior cancer diagnosis-associated increase in cancer mortality appeared high in non-Hispanic black participants.

CONCLUSIONS

This study found that patients with a prior cancer diagnosis had higher multivariate-adjusted accident mortality risks, suggesting that oncologists may need to evaluate accident risks in cancer patients and provide preventive interventions in particular for male and non-Hispanic black patients. Increased cancer mortality risk associated with prior cancer diagnosis in non-Hispanic black participants may also need clinical attention.

Reducing tobacco-related cancer incidence and mortality: summary of an institute of medicine workshop

Tobacco use remains a serious and persistent national problem. Recognizing that progress in combating cancer will never be fully achieved without addressing the tobacco problem, the National Cancer Policy Forum of the Institute of Medicine convened a public workshop exploring current issues in tobacco control, tobacco cessation, and implications for cancer patients. Workshop participants discussed potential policy, outreach, and treatment strategies to reduce tobacco-related cancer incidence and mortality, and highlighted a number of potential high-value action items to improve tobacco control policy, research, and advocacy.

Intrinsic association of widowhood with mortality in community-dwelling older women and men: findings from a prospective propensity-matched population study

OBJECTIVES

Widowhood is associated with increased mortality. However, to what extent this association is independent of other risk factors remains unclear. In the current study, we used propensity score matching to design a study to examine the independent association of widowhood with outcomes in a balanced cohort of older adults in the United States.

METHODS

We used public-use copies of the Cardiovascular Health Study data obtained from the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute. Of the 5,795 community-dwelling older men and women aged 65 years and older in Cardiovascular Health Study, 3,820 were married and 1,436 were widows or widowers. Propensity scores for widowhood, estimated for each of the 5,256 participants, were used to assemble a cohort of 819 pairs of widowed and married participants who were balanced on 74 baseline characteristics. The 1,638 matched participants had a mean (± standard deviation) age of 75 (± 6) years, 78% were women, and 16% African American.

RESULTS

All-cause mortality occurred in 46% (374/819) and 51% (415/819) of matched married and widowed participants, respectively, during more than 11 years of median follow-up (hazard ratio associated with widowhood, 1.18; 95% confidence interval, 1.03-1.36; p = .018). Hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) for cardiovascular and noncardiovascular mortalities were 1.07 (0.87-1.32; p = .517) and 1.28 (1.06-1.55; p = .011), respectively. Widowhood had no independent association with all-cause or heart failure hospitalization or incident cardiovascular events.

CONCLUSIONS

Among community-dwelling older adults, widowhood was associated with increased mortality, which was independent of confounding by baseline characteristics and largely driven by an increased noncardiovascular mortality. Widowhood had no independent association with hospitalizations or incident cardiovascular events.

Relationship between stage of kidney disease and incident heart failure in older adults

BACKGROUND

The relationship between stage of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and incident heart failure (HF) remains unclear.

METHODS

Of the 5,795 community-dwelling adults ≥65 years in the Cardiovascular Health Study, 5,450 were free of prevalent HF and had baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR: ml/min/1.73 m(2)) data. Of these, 898 (16%) had CKD 3A (eGFR 45-59 ml/min/1.73 m(2)) and 242 (4%) had CKD stage ≥3B (eGFR <45 ml/min/1.73 m(2)). Data on baseline proteinuria were not available and 4,310 (79%) individuals with eGFR ≥60 ml/min/1.73 m(2) were considered to have no CKD. Propensity scores estimated separately for CKD 3A and ≥3B were used to assemble two cohorts of 1,714 (857 pairs with CKD 3A and no CKD) and 557 participants (148 CKD ≥3B and 409 no CKD), respectively, balanced on 50 baseline characteristics.

RESULTS

During 13 years of follow-up, centrally-adjudicated incident HF occurred in 19, 24 and 38% of pre-match participants without CKD (reference), with CKD 3A [unadjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.40; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.20-1.63; p < 0.001] and with CKD ≥3B (HR 3.37; 95% CI 2.71-4.18; p < 0.001), respectively. In contrast, among matched participants, incident HF occurred in 23 and 23% of those with CKD 3A and no CKD, respectively (HR 1.03; 95% CI 0.85-1.26; p = 0.746), and 36 and 28% of those with CKD ≥3B and no CKD, respectively (HR 1.44; 95% CI 1.04-2.00; p = 0.027).

CONCLUSIONS

Among community-dwelling older adults, CKD is a marker of incident HF regardless of stage; however, CKD ≥3B, not CKD 3A, has a modest independent association with incident HF.

Accuracy of GFR estimation by the Cockroft and Gault, MDRD, and Wright equations in Oncology patients with renal impairment

Estimation of renal function is crucial to guidance of systemic chemotherapy. With stable creatinine levels, the glomerular filtration rate (GFR) is often estimated from a single measurement of serum creatinine. We compared accuracy of the Cockroft and Gault (C&G), modifying diet in renal diseases (MDRD) and Wright estimates in Oncology patients with renal impairment. Analysis was carried out on the basis of monodentate platinum treatment as the nephrotoxic mechanism of these drugs may affect accuracy of these estimates. Sixty-two consecutive patients with stable creatinine levels who had isotopic GFR measurement of ≤ 60 ml min(-1) at a regional cancer center were reviewed. Twenty-nine were on monodentate platinum treatment. Isotopic GFR was compared with estimated GFR by the three equations. We defined three categories of estimate based on the fractional difference from isotopic GFR: 'perfect' (< 10%), 'reasonable' (≥ 10% but < 30%) and 'poor' (≥ 30%). There was a trend toward provision of more perfect estimates by the MDRD equation particularly in patients on monodentate platinum treatment. Similar numbers had poor estimates from either of these equations, particularly at extremes of body weight. The MDRD formula may be the most accurate of these equations in Oncology patients with renal impairment, particularly with monodentate platinum treatment.