Incidence Trends of Esophageal and Gastric Cancer Subtypes by Race, Ethnicity, and Age in the United States, 1997-2014

Evolving Treatment Landscape for Advanced Esophageal and Gastroesophageal Junction Adenocarcinoma

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

This review highlights advances and recent changes in the treatment paradigm for advanced esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) and gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma (GEJAC).

RECENT FINDINGS

Chemotherapy remains the backbone of treatment for advanced EAC/GEJAC. New targets/agents include immunotherapy, HER-2, claudin18.2, and FGFR2b, with various mechanisms (CAR-T, bispecific mAB, ADCs) altering the treatment landscape against these targets. The approaches to these targets may act together, in sequence, and even synergistically to improve outcomes. Herein, we review the state of the field, including highlighting ongoing clinical trials and additional emerging agents and approaches.

Survival outcomes in early-onset oesophageal adenocarcinoma patients: A systematic review and meta-analyses

BACKGROUND

The incidence of oesophageal adenocarcinoma (OAC) has been reported to be increasing in many countries. Alongside this trend, an increase in incidence of early-onset OAC, defined as OAC in adults aged under 50 years, has been observed. It is unclear whether survival outcomes for early-onset OAC patients differ from older age groups.

AIM

To investigate survival outcomes in early-onset OAC patients.

METHODS

Ovid Medline and Embase were searched from inception to January 2022 for relevant studies relating to early-onset OAC and survival outcomes. Results regarding the overall five-year survival and risk of death of younger and older patients with OAC were extracted and pooled using meta-analyses to produce pooled estimates and 95%CIs where possible.

RESULTS

Eleven studies which compared survival of early-onset OAC, defined as age at diagnosis of < 50 years, with older patients were included. A narrative review of median and mean survival demonstrated conflicting results, with studies showing early-onset OAC patients having both better and worse outcomes compared to older age groups. A meta-analysis of five-year survival demonstrated similar outcomes across age groups, with 22%-25% of patients in the young, middle and older age groups alive after five years. A meta-analysis of four studies demonstrated that early-onset OAC patients did not have a significantly increased risk of death compared to middle-aged patients (hazard ratio 1.12, 95%CI: 0.85-1.47).

CONCLUSION

Results suggest that early-onset OAC patients do not have a significantly different survival compared to older patients, but further population-based research, taking into account stage and treatment, is required.

Incidence trends of gastric cancer in the United States over 2000-2020: A population-based analysis

BACKGROUND

Gastric cancer ranks among the top cancers in terms of both occurrence and death rates in the United States (US). Our objective was to provide the incidence trends of gastric cancer in the US from 2000 to 2020 by age, sex, histology, and race/ethnicity, and to evaluate the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic.

METHODS

We obtained data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results 22 program. The morphologies of gastric cancer were classified as adenocarcinoma, gastrointestinal stromal tumor, signet ring cell carcinoma, and carcinoid tumor. We used average annual percent change (AAPC) and compared pairs using parallelism and coincidence. The numbers were displayed as both counts and age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) per 100000 individuals, along with their corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

Over 2000-2019, most gastric cancers were among those aged ≥55 years (81.82%), men (60.37%), and Non-Hispanic Whites (62.60%). By histology, adenocarcinoma had the highest incident cases. During the COVID-19 pandemic, there was a remarkable decline in ASIRs of gastric cancer in both sexes and all races (AAPC: -8.92; 95% CI: -11.18 to -6.67). The overall incidence trends of gastric cancer were not parallel, nor identical.

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of gastric cancer shows notable variations by age, race, and sex, with a rising trend across ethnicities. While the overall incidence has declined, a noteworthy increase has been observed among younger adults, particularly young Hispanic women; however, rates decreased significantly in 2020.

Proportion and number of cancer cases and deaths attributable to potentially modifiable risk factors in the United States, 2019

In 2018, the authors reported estimates of the number and proportion of cancers attributable to potentially modifiable risk factors in 2014 in the United States. These data are useful for advocating for and informing cancer prevention and control. Herein, based on up-to-date relative risk and cancer occurrence data, the authors estimated the proportion and number of invasive cancer cases (excluding nonmelanoma skin cancers) and deaths, overall and for 30 cancer types among adults who were aged 30 years and older in 2019 in the United States, that were attributable to potentially modifiable risk factors. These included cigarette smoking; second-hand smoke; excess body weight; alcohol consumption; consumption of red and processed meat; low consumption of fruits and vegetables, dietary fiber, and dietary calcium; physical inactivity; ultraviolet radiation; and seven carcinogenic infections. Numbers of cancer cases and deaths were obtained from data sources with complete national coverage, risk factor prevalence estimates from nationally representative surveys, and associated relative risks of cancer from published large-scale pooled or meta-analyses. In 2019, an estimated 40.0% (713,340 of 1,781,649) of all incident cancers (excluding nonmelanoma skin cancers) and 44.0% (262,120 of 595,737) of all cancer deaths in adults aged 30 years and older in the United States were attributable to the evaluated risk factors. Cigarette smoking was the leading risk factor contributing to cancer cases and deaths overall (19.3% and 28.5%, respectively), followed by excess body weight (7.6% and 7.3%, respectively), and alcohol consumption (5.4% and 4.1%, respectively). For 19 of 30 evaluated cancer types, more than one half of the cancer cases and deaths were attributable to the potentially modifiable risk factors considered in this study. Lung cancer had the highest number of cancer cases (201,660) and deaths (122,740) attributable to evaluated risk factors, followed by female breast cancer (83,840 cases), skin melanoma (82,710), and colorectal cancer (78,440) for attributable cases and by colorectal (25,800 deaths), liver (14,720), and esophageal (13,600) cancer for attributable deaths. Large numbers of cancer cases and deaths in the United States are attributable to potentially modifiable risk factors, underscoring the potential to substantially reduce the cancer burden through broad and equitable implementation of preventive initiatives.

Natural Compounds for Preventing Age-Related Diseases and Cancers

Aging is a multifaceted process influenced by hereditary factors, lifestyle, and environmental elements. As time progresses, the human body experiences degenerative changes in major functions. The external and internal signs of aging manifest in various ways, including skin dryness, wrinkles, musculoskeletal disorders, cardiovascular diseases, diabetes, neurodegenerative disorders, and cancer. Additionally, cancer, like aging, is a complex disease that arises from the accumulation of various genetic and epigenetic alterations. Circadian clock dysregulation has recently been identified as an important risk factor for aging and cancer development. Natural compounds and herbal medicines have gained significant attention for their potential in preventing age-related diseases and inhibiting cancer progression. These compounds demonstrate antioxidant, anti-inflammatory, anti-proliferative, pro-apoptotic, anti-metastatic, and anti-angiogenic effects as well as circadian clock regulation. This review explores age-related diseases, cancers, and the potential of specific natural compounds in targeting the key features of these conditions.

Unveiling the Younger Face of Gastric Cancer: A Comprehensive Review of Epidemiology, Risk Factors, and Prevention Strategies

Gastric cancer poses a significant global health challenge, with high incidence and mortality rates each year. Despite advancements in screening and treatment, late detection remains a critical issue. Efforts to address this include raising public awareness and implementing targeted screening programs for high-risk populations. The increasing incidence of gastric cancer among younger individuals underscores the need for lifestyle adjustments and targeted interventions to mitigate risks and improve outcomes. Understanding the various factors contributing to gastric cancer risk is essential for effective prevention strategies, including Helicobacter pylori eradication, lifestyle modifications, and regular screening for high-risk groups. A comprehensive approach addressing both individual behaviors and broader societal factors is crucial in the fight against gastric cancer. This review provides an in-depth examination of gastric cancer epidemiology, risk factors, preventive measures, and screening initiatives, with a particular focus on the rising incidence among younger demographics. Emphasizing the importance of early detection and intervention, the review highlights the need for proactive screening to improve patient outcomes and reduce mortality rates. By addressing these aspects comprehensively, this paper aims to enhance the understanding of gastric cancer dynamics, particularly its incidence among younger individuals, and to inform future strategies for prevention and control.

Clinical and molecular characteristics of early-onset vs average-onset esophagogastric cancer

BACKGROUND

The rate of esophagogastric cancer is rising among individuals under 50 years of age. It remains unknown whether early-onset esophagogastric cancer represents a unique entity. This study investigated the clinical and molecular characteristics of early-onset and average-onset esophagogastric cancer .

METHODS

We reviewed the Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center gastric, esophageal, and gastroesophageal junction cancer database. Associations between baseline characteristics and tumor and germline molecular alterations were compared between those with early-onset and average-onset esophagogastric cancer using Fisher exact tests and the Benjamini-Hochberg method for multiple-hypothesis correction.

RESULTS

We included 1123 patients with early-onset esophagogastric cancer (n = 219; median age = 43 years [range = 18-49 years]) and average-onset esophagogastric cancer (n = 904; median age = 67 years [range = 50-94 years]) treated between 2005 and 2018. The early-onset group had more women (39% vs 28%, P = .002). Patients with early-onset esophagogastric cancer were more likely to have a gastric primary site (64% vs 44%, P < .0001). The signet ring cell and/or diffuse type was 3 times more common in the early-onset esophagogastric cancer group (31% vs 9%, P < .0001). Early-onsite tumors were more frequently genomically stable (31% vs 18%, P = .0002) and unlikely to be microsatellite instability high (2% vs 7%, P = .003). After restricting to adenocarcinoma and signet ring cell and/or diffuse type carcinomas, we observed no difference in stage (P = .40) or overall survival from stage IV diagnosis (median = 22.7 vs 22.1 months, P = .78).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study supported a preponderance of gastric primary disease sites, signet ring histology, and genomically stable molecular subtypes in early-onset esophagogastric cancer. Our findings highlight the need for further research to define the underlying pathogenesis and strategies for early detection and prevention.

Racial and geographical disparities in oesophageal cancer incidence, mortality and county-level risk factors in the state of Mississippi between 2003 and 2019: a descriptive analysis

Background

Oesophageal cancer is one of the most aggressive cancers. The aim was to describe the disparities in oesophageal cancer incidence and mortality, and county-level factors in the state of Mississippi from 2003 to 2019 by sex, race, and geolocation.

Methods

This study used data from the Mississippi Cancer Registry, linked to county-level data from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, the American Community Survey, and the Institutes for Health Metrics and Evaluation. We estimated age-standardised incidence (crude ASR) and mortality rates (crude AMR), mortality-incidence rate ratio and average annual percent change (AAPC) in rates by sex, race, and geolocation, using the Joinpoint Software V.5.0. We further calculated relative risks for oesophageal cancer using age-adjusted quasi-Poisson regression for each county-level factor including smoking, obesity, college degree completion, unemployment rate and median household income ranking within the state.

Results

Between 2003 and 2019, a total of 2737 oesophageal cancer cases and 2259 oesophageal cancer deaths occurred in Mississippi. Black men had the greatest reduction in oesophageal cancer incidence and mortality despite high rates (crude ASR2019=10.5, crude AMR2019=7.3 per 100 000; AAPCincidence=-3.7%, p<0.001 and AAPCmortality=-4.9%, p<0.001). The reduction was largely driven by decreases in the non-Delta region (AAPCincidence=-4.2%, p<0.001), while incidence rate remained high among Black men in the Delta region (crude ASR2019=15.4 per 100 000, AAPCincidence=-1.8%, p=0.3). The rates among White men were relatively stable (crude ASR2019=8.5, crude AMR2019=7.6 per 100 000; AAPCincidence=0.18%, p=0.7, AAPCmortality=-0.4%, p=0.6). County-level smoking prevalence (in quartile, p=0.02) was significantly associated with oesophageal cancer incidence.

Discussion

This study highlights the importance of targeted interventions to address the persistent high incidence rate of oesophageal cancer among Black men in the Delta region.

Epidemiology of Gastric Malignancies 2000-2018 According to Histology: A Population-Based Analysis of Incidence and Temporal Trends

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Gastric cancer (GC) remains a leading cause of cancer and cancer-related mortality. Recent reports suggest noncardia GC is increasing in certain U.S.

POPULATIONS

However, whether these trends are driven by gastric adenocarcinoma (GA) or other histologies, including neuroendocrine tumors (NETs), lymphoma, or gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GISTs), is unclear.

METHODS

We analyzed the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results-18 cancer registry (2000-2018) to determine age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR) and annual percentage change (APC) trends for histologically-confirmed GCs, stratified by anatomic location (noncardia vs cardia), age group (20-49 vs 50+ years), sex, race, and ethnicity. Joinpoint regression modeling estimated the statistical significance of trend comparisons.

RESULTS

Of 74,520 individuals with noncardia GC, most (66.2%) were GA, with the next largest categories being non-mucosa-associated lymphoid tissue (non-MALT) lymphomas (6.9%), GIST (6.7%), NET (6.4%), and MALT lymphoma (5.6%). Noncardia GA ASIR was significantly higher than other histologies and demonstrated the greatest differences by race and ethnicity. APCs for GA and MALT, both Helicobacter pylori-associated cancers, declined significantly over time, which was driven primarily by trends among individuals ≥50 years-old. NET and GIST APCs significantly increased irrespective of age group, with the highest APCs observed among non-Hispanic white individuals. Cardia GC was rarer than noncardia GC and comprised primarily by GA (87.9%). Cardia GC incidence fell during the study period, which was primarily driven by decline in cardia GA.

CONCLUSIONS

GA was the most common histology. On the basis of our findings, the rise in noncardia GC among certain U.S. populations appears predominantly driven by NET and GIST, not GA. Further studies are needed to clarify underlying etiologies for these findings.

Hub gene identification and molecular subtype construction for Helicobacter pylori in gastric cancer via machine learning methods and NMF algorithm

Helicobacter pylori (HP) is a gram-negative and spiral-shaped bacterium colonizing the human stomach and has been recognized as the risk factor of gastritis, peptic ulcer disease, and gastric cancer (GC). Moreover, it was recently identified as a class I carcinogen, which affects the occurrence and progression of GC via inducing various oncogenic pathways. Therefore, identifying the HP-related key genes is crucial for understanding the oncogenic mechanisms and improving the outcomes of GC patients. We retrieved the list of HP-related gene sets from the Molecular Signatures Database. Based on the HP-related genes, unsupervised non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) clustering method was conducted to stratify TCGA-STAD, GSE15459, GSE84433 samples into two clusters with distinct clinical outcomes and immune infiltration characterization. Subsequently, two machine learning (ML) strategies, including support vector machine-recursive feature elimination (SVM-RFE) and random forest (RF), were employed to determine twelve hub HP-related genes. Beyond that, receiver operating characteristic and Kaplan-Meier curves further confirmed the diagnostic value and prognostic significance of hub genes. Finally, expression of HP-related hub genes was tested by qRT-PCR array and immunohistochemical images. Additionally, functional pathway enrichment analysis indicated that these hub genes were implicated in the genesis and progression of GC by activating or inhibiting the classical cancer-associated pathways, such as epithelial-mesenchymal transition, cell cycle, apoptosis, RAS/MAPK, etc. In the present study, we constructed a novel HP-related tumor classification in different datasets, and screened out twelve hub genes via performing the ML algorithms, which may contribute to the molecular diagnosis and personalized therapy of GC.

Patterns of the lymph node metastasis and the influencing factors in esophagogastric junction cancers

OBJECTIVE

A retrospective analysis of 214 cases of esophagogastric junction cancers (EGJCs) in Kunming, Yunnan Province, was conducted to investigate the lymph node metastasis (LNM) pattern for EGJCs and its associated risk factors (RFs), as well as the predictive value of common clinical metabolic indicators for it.

METHODS

The clinical data of 214 patients diagnosed with EGJCs by electronic gastroscope and postoperative pathology between 2013 and 2021 at the First Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University, Yunnan Cancer Hospital, and the Second Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University were retrospectively examined. Preoperative gastroscopy, imaging, biochemical data, and postoperative pathological findings analysis in EGJCs were statistically analyzed to determine the RFs of LNM.

RESULTS

At presentation, 92.5% of EGJCs were progressive malignancies, including 68.2% LNMs, 79.5% abdominal lymph nodes (ALN), 20.1% mediastinal lymph nodes (MLN), and 27.1% distal metastases. The ratio of Siewert subtypes was approximately 2:11:7 (type I to type II to type III). In terms of age, disease duration at initial presentation, history, tumor length, pathological biopsy histology, degree of differentiation, depth of infiltration, LNM status, MLN metastasis, and surgical route, the differences between the three Siewert subgroups were statistically significant (p < 0.05). Multifactor analysis revealed that the proportion of patients aged <65 at the time of consultation was significantly more significant in Siewert II and Siewert III than in Siewert I. Significantly more patients than in Siewert I had <2 months of disease duration at the time of their first consultation. The proportion of patients with tumors <3 Cm in length was significantly higher than in Siewert I. For the RFs analysis of LNM, Siewert staging (type I and type II), depth of infiltration, and distant metastasis were the independent RFs for LNM. The depth of infiltration and family history of the tumor were the independent RFs for ALN metastasis, and the number of lymph nodes cleared in the abdominal and mediastinal regions was a protective factor for ALN metastasis. Siewert staging(type I and type II), infiltration depth, invasion of the esophagus by the tumor, tumor length, and distant metastasis were independent risk factors for MLN metastasis. Among the metabolic variables evaluated, BMI was an independent RF for LNM, fasting glucose was an independent RF for ALN metastasis, and triacylglycerol was a protective factor for MLN metastasis.

CONCLUSIONS

EGJCs are frequently advanced at presentation, characterized by minimal differentiation and a high incidence of LNM. The Siewert subtype is concentrated near the stomach. Different Siewert subtypes exhibit distinct clinicopathological characteristics. LNM and MLN metastasis risk are considerably higher in type I tumors compared to types II and III. There is a strong correlation between LNM and MLN metastasis and distant metastasis in EGJCs, so Siewert I is more aggressive and associated with a worse prognosis. EGJCs have numerous RFs associated with LNM, and there are similarities and differences in the RFs affecting their LNM, ALN metastases, and MLN metastases, which are related to their unique anatomical features. There is a close relationship between metabolic factors and EGJCs with some predictive value.

Noncoding RNAs as regulators of STAT3 pathway in gastrointestinal cancers: Roles in cancer progression and therapeutic response

Gastrointestinal (GI) tumors (cancers of the esophagus, gastric, liver, pancreas, colon, and rectum) contribute to a large number of deaths worldwide. STAT3 is an oncogenic transcription factor that promotes the transcription of genes associated with proliferation, antiapoptosis, survival, and metastasis. STAT3 is overactivated in many human malignancies including GI tumors which accelerates tumor progression, metastasis, and drug resistance. Research in recent years demonstrated that noncoding RNAs (ncRNAs) play a major role in the regulation of many signaling pathways including the STAT3 pathway. The major types of endogenous ncRNAs that are being extensively studied in oncology are microRNAs, long noncoding RNAs, and circular RNAs. These ncRNAs can either be tumor-promoters or tumor-suppressors and each one of them imparts their activity via different mechanisms. The STAT3 pathway is also tightly modulated by ncRNAs. In this article, we have elaborated on the tumor-promoting role of STAT3 signaling in GI tumors. Subsequently, we have comprehensively discussed the oncogenic as well as tumor suppressor functions and mechanism of action of ncRNAs that are known to modulate STAT3 signaling in GI cancers.

Patterns in Cancer Incidence Among People Younger Than 50 Years in the US, 2010 to 2019

Importance

Emerging data suggest that the incidence of early-onset cancers, defined as cancers diagnosed in people younger than 50 years, is increasing, but updated data are limited.

Objective

To characterize the patterns in the incidence of early-onset cancers in the US from 2010 to 2019 and provide granular data on the cancers with the fastest-growing incidence rates.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This population-based cohort study analyzed data from 17 National Cancer Institute Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registries from January 1, 2010, to December 31, 2019. Age-standardized incidence rates per 100 000 people were extracted for early-onset cancers, with rates age adjusted to the US standard population. A total of 562 145 patients with early-onset cancer between 2010 and 2019 were identified and included. Data were analyzed from October 16, 2022, to May 23, 2023.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Primary outcomes were incidence rates and descriptive epidemiological data for people younger than 50 years with cancer. The annual percentage change (APC) of the age-standardized incidence rate was estimated using the Joinpoint regression program.

Results

Among 562 145 patients (324 138 [57.7%] aged 40-49 years; 351 120 [62.5%] female) with early-onset cancer, 4565 (0.8%) were American Indian or Alaska Native, 54 876 (9.8%) were Asian or Pacific Islander, 61 048 (10.9%) were Black, 118 099 (21.0%) were Hispanic, 314 610 (56.0%) were White, and 8947 (1.6%) were of unknown race and/or ethnicity. From 2010 to 2019, the age-standardized incidence rate of early-onset cancers increased overall (APC, 0.28%; 95% CI, 0.09%-0.47%; P = .01) and in female individuals (APC, 0.67%; 95% CI, 0.39%-0.94%; P = .001) but decreased in male individuals (APC, -0.37%; 95% CI, -0.51% to -0.22%; P < .001). In contrast, the age-standardized incidence rate of cancers in individuals aged 50 years and older decreased over the study period (APC, -0.87%; 95% CI, -1.06% to -0.67%; P < .001). In 2019, the highest number of incident cases of early-onset cancer were in the breast (n = 12 649). From 2010 to 2019, gastrointestinal cancers had the fastest-growing incidence rates among all early-onset cancer groups (APC, 2.16%; 95% CI, 1.66%-2.67%; P < .001). Among gastrointestinal cancers, those with the fastest-growing incidence rates were in the appendix (APC, 15.61%; 95% CI, 9.21%-22.38%; P < .001), intrahepatic bile duct (APC, 8.12%; 95% CI, 4.94%-11.39%; P < .001), and pancreas (APC, 2.53%; 95% CI, 1.69%-3.38%; P < .001).

Conclusions and Relevance

In this cohort study, the incidence rates of early-onset cancer increased from 2010 to 2019. Although breast cancer had the highest number of incident cases, gastrointestinal cancers had the fastest-growing incidence rates among all early-onset cancers. These data may be useful for the development of surveillance strategies and funding priorities.

Trends in Epidemiology of Esophageal Cancer in the US, 1975-2018

Importance

Esophageal cancer (EC) is the 7th most common cancer worldwide and 14th in the US. More data are needed to study the changing incidence patterns of its 2 primary histologic subtypes, squamous cell carcinoma of the esophagus (SCE) and adenocarcinoma of the esophagus (ACE).

Objective

To examine temporal trends in incidence rates of EC, ACE, and SCE from 1975 through 2018.

Design, Setting, and Participants

In this population-based cross-sectional study, data were derived from 9 Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) registries from January 1975 through December 2018 and from all 21 registries for January 2000 through December 2018 for patients with a diagnosis of EC from 1975 through 2018 (International Classification of Disease-Oncology, Third Edition codes). Age-adjusted incidence rates (AAIRs) of EC, ACE, and SCE were calculated. The timing and magnitude of the annual percentage change (APC) in incidence were examined using Joinpoint regression analyses. Data analysis was started in 2021 and updated and completed in 2023.

Main Outcome and Measures

The APC for age-adjusted EC incidence rates as stratified by histology, anatomical location, stage, sex, age, race and ethnicity, and geographic region.

Results

A total of 47 648 patients with a diagnosis of EC were retained for analysis. These included 22 419 (47.1%) with a diagnosis of SCE, 22 217 (46.6%) with ACE, and 3012 (6.3%) with other subtypes. The AAIR for EC changed from 4.14 per 100 000 population in 1975 to 4.18 in 2018, AAIRs of SCE declined from 3.06 in 1975 to 1.15 in 2018 as well as for ACE, and AAIRs increased from 0.42 in 1975 to 2.78 in 2018. From 1975 through 2004, EC incidence significantly increased (APC, 0.53; 95% CI, 0.4 to 0.7) but significantly decreased (APC, -1.03; 95% CI, -1.3 to -0.7) from then until 2018. The APC of SCE significantly continued to decline (-2.80, 95% CI, -3.0 to -2.6), and ACE increased from 2000 to 2006 (APC, 2.51; 95% CI, 1.0 to 4.0) but has since stabilized from 2006 to 2018.

Conclusions and Relevance

The results of this cross-sectional study suggest that the incidence of EC modestly declined since 2004 and that the incidence of SCE continued to decline while the incidence rate of ACE plateaued for more than a decade. Understanding factors associated with plateaued rates of ACE may help inform public health interventions.

Prognostic nomograms for gastric carcinoma after D2 + total gastrectomy to assist decision-making for postoperative treatment: based on Lasso regression

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to establish novel nomograms that could be used to predict the prognosis of gastric carcinoma patients who underwent D2 + total gastrectomy on overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS).

METHODS

Lasso regression was employed to construct the nomograms. The internal validation process included bootstrapping, which was used to test the accuracy of the predictions. The calibration curve was then used to demonstrate the accuracy and consistency of the predictions. In addition, the Harrell's Concordance index (C-index) and time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (t-ROC) curves were used to evaluate the discriminative abilities of the new nomograms and to compare its performance with the 8th edition of AJCC-TNM staging. Furthermore, decision curve analysis (DCA) was performed to assess the clinical application of our model. Finally, the prognostic risk stratification of gastric cancer was conducted with X-tile software, and the nomograms were converted into a risk-stratifying prognosis model.

RESULTS

LASSO regression analysis identified pT stage, the number of positive lymph nodes, vascular invasion, neural invasion, the maximum diameter of tumor, the Clavien-Dindo classification for complication, and Ki67 as independent risk factors for OS and pT stage, the number of positive lymph nodes, neural invasion, and the maximum diameter of tumor for PFS. The C-index of OS nomogram was 0.719 (95% CI: 0.690-0.748), which was superior to the 8th edition of AJCC-TNM staging (0.704, 95%CI: 0.623-0.783). The C-index of PFS nomogram was 0.694 (95% CI: 0.654-0.713), which was also better than that of the 8th edition of AJCC-TNM staging (0.685, 95% CI: 0.635-0.751). The calibration curves, t-ROC curves, and DCA of the two nomogram models showed that the prediction ability of the two nomogram models was outstanding. The statistical difference in the prognosis between the low- and high-risk groups further suggested that our model had an excellent risk stratification performance.

CONCLUSION

We reported the first risk stratification and nomogram for gastric carcinoma patients with total gastrectomy in Chinese population. Our model could potentially be used to guide treatment selections for the low- and high-risk patients to avoid delayed treatment or unnecessary overtreatment.

Translating Molecular Biology Discoveries to Develop Targeted Cancer Interception in Barrett's Esophagus

Esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) is a rapidly increasing lethal tumor. It commonly arises from a metaplastic segment known as Barrett's esophagus (BE), which delineates the at-risk population. Ample research has elucidated the pathogenesis of BE and its progression from metaplasia to invasive carcinoma; and multiple molecular pathways have been implicated in this process, presenting several points of cancer interception. Here, we explore the mechanisms of action of various agents, including proton pump inhibitors, non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, metformin, and statins, and explain their roles in cancer interception. Data from the recent AspECT trial are discussed to determine how viable a multipronged approach to cancer chemoprevention would be. Further, novel concepts, such as the repurposing of chemotherapeutic drugs like dasatinib and the prevention of post-ablation BE recurrence using itraconazole, are discussed.

Adequacy of endoscopic recognition and surveillance of gastric intestinal metaplasia and atrophic gastritis: A multicentre retrospective study in low incidence countries

BACKGROUND

Gastric atrophy (GA) and gastric intestinal metaplasia (GIM) are precursor conditions to gastric adenocarcinoma (GAC) and should be monitored endoscopically in selected individuals. However, little is known about adherence to recommendations in clinical practice in low-risk countries.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to evaluate endoscopic recognition and adequacy of surveillance for GA and GIM in countries with low GAC prevalence.

METHODS

We retrospectively analysed patients diagnosed with GIM or GA in three centers in The Netherlands and UK between 2012 and 2019. Cases with GIM and/or GA diagnosis at index endoscopy were retrieved through systematic search of pathology databases using 'gastric' and 'intestinal metaplasia' or 'atrophy' keywords. Endoscopy reports were analysed to ascertain accuracy of endoscopic diagnoses. Adequacy of surveillance was assessed following histological diagnosis at the index endoscopy based on ESGE guidelines published in 2012.

RESULTS

We included 396 patients with a median follow-up of 57.2 months. Mean age was 66 years and the rates of antrum-predominant versus extensive GIM were comparable (37% vs 38%). Endoscopic recognition rates were 48.5% for GA and 16.3% for GIM. Surveillance was adequately carried out in 215 of 396 patients (54.3%).

CONCLUSION

In countries with a low incidence of GAC, the rate of endoscopic recognition of gastric pre-cancerous lesions and adherence to surveillance recommendation are low. Substantial improvement is required in endoscopic training and awareness of guidelines recommendation in order to optimise detection and management of pre-malignant gastric conditions.

Population-based investigation of common and deviating patterns of gastric cancer and oesophageal cancer incidence across populations and time

BACKGROUND

The subtypes of gastric cancer (GC) and oesophageal cancer (EC) manifest distinct epidemiological profiles. Here, we aim to examine correlations in their incidence rates and to compare their temporal changes globally, both overall and by subtype.

METHODS

Long-term incidence data were obtained from population-based registries available from the Cancer Incidence in Five Continents series. Variation in the occurrence of EC and GC (overall and by subtype) was assessed using the GC:EC ratio of sex-specific age-standardised rates (ASR) in 2008-2012. Average annual per cent changes were estimated to assess temporal trends during 1998-2012.

RESULTS

ASRs for GC and EC varied remarkably across and within world regions. In the countries evaluated, the GC:EC ratio in men exceeded 10 in several South American countries, Algeria and Republic of Korea, while EC dominated in most sub-Saharan African countries. High rates of both cardia gastric cancer and oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) were observed in several Asian populations. Non-cardia gastric cancer rates correlated positively with ESCC rates (r=0.60) and negatively with EAC (r=-0.79). For the time trends, while GC incidence has been uniformly decreasing by on average 2%-3% annually over 1998-2012 in most countries, trends for EC depend strongly on histology, with several but not all countries experiencing increases in EAC and decreases in ESCC.

CONCLUSIONS

Correlations between GC and EC incidence rates across populations are positive or inverse depending on the GC subsite and EC subtype. Multisite studies that include a combination of populations whose incidence rates follow and deviate from these patterns may be aetiologically informative.

Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor, Nivolumab, Combined with Chemotherapy Improved the Survival of Unresectable Advanced and Metastatic Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma: A Real-World Experience

Patients with advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) have a poor prognosis when treated with standard chemotherapy. Programmed death ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression in esophageal cancer has been associated with poor survival and more advanced stage. Immune checkpoint inhibitors, such as PD-1 inhibitors, showed benefits in advanced esophageal cancer in clinical trials. We analyzed the prognosis of patients with unresectable esophageal SCC who received nivolumab with chemotherapy, dual immunotherapy (nivolumab and ipilimumab), or chemotherapy with or without radiotherapy. Patients who received nivolumab with chemotherapy had a better overall response rate (ORR) (72% vs. 66.67%, p = 0.038) and longer overall survival (OS) (median OS: 609 days vs. 392 days, p = 0.04) than those who received chemotherapy with or without radiotherapy. In patients receiving nivolumab with chemotherapy, the duration of the treatment response was similar regardless of the treatment line they received. According to clinical parameters, liver and distant lymph nodes metastasis showed a trend of negative and positive impacts, respectively, on treatment response in the whole cohort and in the immunotherapy-containing regimen cohort. Nivolumab add-on treatment showed less gastrointestinal and hematological adverse effects, compare with chemotherapy. Here, we showed that nivolumab combined with chemotherapy is a better choice for patients with unresectable esophageal SCC.

Clinical characteristics and changing trajectories of esophageal cancer and gastric cancer in China from 2010 to 2019: An analysis of a hospital-based database of 24,327 patients

Purpose

This analysis aimed to investigate the clinical characteristics and changing trajectories of gastric cancer (GC) and esophageal cancer (EC).

Methods

We collected data from a large cancer hospital in Beijing, China, from 2010 to 2019. Joinpoint regression was used to analyze the trends of histological characteristics and comorbidities.

Results

From 2010 to 2019, there were a total of 10,083 EC patients and 14,244 GC patients. Patients were mainly men and diagnosed at 55-64 years old. Metabolic comorbidity was the most common comorbidity, with hypertension being predominant. The percentages of stage I showed significant increases for EC [average annual percent change (AAPC): 10.5%] and GC (AAPC: 9.7%) patients. We also observed an increasing trend of EC and GC patients over 65 years old. For EC patients, esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (93.1%) remained as the prioritized subtype, and the middle third of the esophagus was the most common site. EC patients with three or more comorbidities increased from 0.1% to 2.2% (AAPC, 27.7%; 95% CI, 14.7% to 42.2%). For GC patients, adenocarcinoma accounts for 86.9% of the total cases, and cardia was the most common site. The ulcerative comorbidity rate decreased from 2.0% to 1.2% (AAPC, −6.1%; 95% CI, −11.6% to −0.3%).

Conclusion

ESCC remained as the prioritized histological subtype, and the middle third of the esophagus was the most common site of EC. The majority of GC patients had adenocarcinoma, and the cardia was the most common site. There was an increasing trend of patients diagnosed at stage I. These findings provide scientific evidence to guide future treatment.

Genome-wide DNA methylation profiling of gastric cardia cancer

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Aberrant DNA methylation has been found in various cancer types including gastric cancer, yet the genome-wide DNA methylation profile of gastric cardia cancer (GCC) remains unclear. Therefore, we aimed to profile the DNA methylation pattern of GCC and identify promising diagnostic epigenetic biomarkers.

METHODS

We investigated the genome-wide DNA methylation pattern in eight pairs of GCC and adjacent normal tissues using Illumina 850K microarrays. Subsequently, bisulfite-pyrosequencing and quantitative real-time PCR were performed on eight pairs of GCC-adjacent normal tissues for validation. Finally, we performed immunohistochemistry to examine ADHFE1 expression on 126 pairs of GCC-adjacent normal samples.

RESULTS

DNA methylome analysis showed global hypomethylation and local hypermethylation of promoter cytosine-phosphate-guanine (CpG) islands (CGIs) in GCC tissues compared with gastric cardia normal mucosa (P < 2.2 × 10^-16 ). Differential methylation analysis identified a total of 91 723 differentially-methylated probes (DMPs), and the candidate gene with the largest average DNA methylation difference mapped to ADHFE1 (mean Δβ = 0.53). Subsequently, three DMPs in the ADHFE1 promoter were validated by pyrosequencing. Notably, the mean methylation level of the three candidate DMPs (ADHFE1_cg08090772, ADHFE1_cg19283840, and ADHFE1_cg20295442) was negatively associated with ADHFE1 mRNA expression level (Spearman rho = -0.64, P = 0.01). Moreover, both mRNA (P = 0.0213) and protein (P < 0.0001) expression of ADHFE1 were significantly decreased in GCCs compared with the adjacent normal tissues.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results reveal DNA methylation aberrations in GCC and that ADHFE1 gene DNA methylation contributes to the risk of GCC, thus providing novel mechanistic insights into gastric cardia cancer carcinogenesis.

Efficacy and safety of Nivolumab in patients with advanced esophageal, gastroesophageal, and gastric cancers: a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

BACKGROUND

Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) have revolutionized care in oncology with improved overall survival in several cancer populations. Nivolumab has recently been approved for use in patients with upper gastrointestinal cancers. We quantitatively summarized the efficacy and safety of Nivolumab use in patients with advanced esophageal, gastroesophageal, and gastric carcinoma compared to standard chemotherapy.

METHODS

Systemic search of electronic databases was performed to analyze phase III randomized controlled trials (RCTs) comparing Nivolumab versus standard chemotherapy in patients with advanced upper gastrointestinal cancers. Primary endpoints were overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). Data were pooled using random effects model via RevMan 5.4 software.

RESULTS

Four RCTs with a total of 3369 patients and a median follow-up of 13 months were included. The patients' mean age was 61 ± 20 years, 74.6% were males, and 26% had ≥1% PD-L1 expression. Compared to the chemotherapy group, Nivolumab group had a significantly favorable OS and PFS [HR 0.81;95% CI (0.74, 0.89), p < .001], [HR 0.82;95% CI (0.69, 0.98), p = .03], respectively. Nivolumab significant effect was only in patients with ≥1% PD L1 expression [HR 0.72; 95% CI (0.58, 0.89), p < .001]. No statistical difference was detected between groups regarding serious adverse effects (AE) [OR 1.47; 95%CI (0.94,2.31), p = 0.09].

CONCLUSIONS

Compared to standard chemotherapy, the use of Nivolumab in patients with advanced esophageal, gastroesophageal, and gastric cancers is associated with improved overall and progression-free survival, with similar rates of AE and AE leading to death. The improvement in survival was significant in patients with ≥1% PD L1 expression.

Factors Associated With Esophagus Cancers in Togo, Sub-Saharan Africa

Background

Esophagus cancer is cancer of poor prognosis, of often late diagnosis. The objective of this study was to describe the factors associated with esophagus cancers in the Togolese population.

Methods

It was a retrospective descriptive, cross-sectional study, on esophagus cancers histologically diagnosed at the Pathological Laboratory of Lomé over a period of 31 years (1990-2021).

Results

We have collected 144 cases of esophagus cancer. The average age of patients was 57 ± 12 years, and the sex ratio was 2.34. The most applicant service was the service of Hepato Gastroenterology of CHU Campus (30.6%). Alcohol (57.6%), tobacco (45.8%) were the most present risk factors. Biopsies were the most addressed (97.2%). The average duration of symptom evolution was 6.42 months and the main symptom at the time of diagnosis was dysphagia (36.8%). The location of cancer was the lower third for 71.5% of cases. At histology, epidermoid carcinoma was the dominant type (90.3%). Male sex was statistically associated with the occurrence of epidermoid carcinoma and female sex with the occurrence of adenocarcinoma (P < .001). Alcohol, smoking, and consumption of hot foods were statistically associated with the occurrence of epidermoid carcinoma in this study (P < .05).

Conclusion

Esophagus cancer remains a serious condition for late diagnosis. These are mainly epidermoid carcinomas and having alcohol and tobacco as risk factors. The awareness of the population on the main risk factors would reduce the incidence of oesophagus cancers within the Togolese population.

Trends in Esophageal Adenocarcinoma and Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Incidence in the United States from 1992 to 2019

BACKGROUND

Esophageal cancer (EC) incidence rates overall have declined in recent decades; however, the two main subtypes, esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) and esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), show divergent secular trends.

METHODS

Age-adjusted EC incidence rates were calculated using data from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) 12 Program. We examined secular trends from 1992 to 2019 overall and by age group, sex, race/ethnicity, tumor location, and SEER registry. Joinpoint regression was used to compute annual percent changes (APC) and average annual percent changes (AAPC). We used age-period-cohort models to examine the potential impact of period and birth cohort effects on trends.

RESULTS

Between 1992 and 2019, overall EC incidence rates declined by 0.54% annually (95% confidence interval [CI]: -0.75%, -0.33%). While ESCC rates declined linearly throughout the study period (AAPC = -2.85; 95%CI: -3.05%, -2.65%), EAC rates increased by over 5% annually from 1992 to 2000 (APC = 5.17; 95%CI: 3.28%, 7.10%), before stabilizing from 2000 to 2019 (APC = 0.22; 95%CI: -0.16%, 0.60%). Trends in ESCC and EAC varied by age group, sex, and race/ethnicity. Relative to ESCC rates among cohorts born circa 1950, the rates were 81% lower in cohorts born circa 1985 (rate ratio, 0.19; 95%CI: 0.04, 0.96). For EAC, rates have remained stable across successive birth cohorts since 1950.

CONCLUSIONS

We observed linear declines in EC rates overall and for ESCC across age, sex, and race/ethnicity subgroups, but an inconsistent pattern for EAC. The trends in EAC cohorts born after 1955 were stable and suggest that EAC rates may have peaked in the U.S.

Clinical Understaging, Treatment Response, and Survival Among Esophageal Adenocarcinoma Patients

INTRODUCTION

Selecting appropriate management for patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma (EA) is predicated on accurate clinical staging information. Inaccurate information could lead to inappropriate treatment and suboptimal survival. We investigated the relationship between staging accuracy, treatment, and survival.

METHODS

This was a national cohort study of EA patients in the National Cancer Data Base (2006-2015) treated with upfront resection or neoadjuvant therapy (NAT). Clinical and pathological staging information was used to ascertain staging concordance for each patient. For NAT patients, Bayesian analysis was used to account for potential downstaging. We evaluated the association between staging concordance, receipt of NAT, and survival through hierarchical logistic regression and multivariable Cox regression.

RESULTS

Among 7635 EA patients treated at 877 hospitals, 3038 had upfront resection and 4597 NAT followed by surgery. Relative to accurately staged patients, understaging was associated with a lower likelihood (odds ratio [OR] 0.04 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.02-0.05) while overstaging was associated with a greater likelihood of receiving NAT (OR 1.98 [1.53-2.56]). Relative to upfront surgery, treatment of cT1N0 patients with NAT was associated with a higher risk of death (HR 3.08 [2.36-4.02]). For accurately or overstaged cT3-T4 patients, NAT was associated with a lower risk of death whether downstaging occurred (ypN0 disease-HR 0.67 [0.49-0.92]; N+ disease-HR 0.55 [0.45-0.66]) or not (ypN + disease-HR 0.78 [95% CI 0.65-0.93]).

CONCLUSIONS

Clinical understaging is associated with receipt of NAT which in turn may have a stage-specific impact on patients' survival regardless of treatment response. Guidelines should account for the possibility of inaccurate clinical staging.

Predicting Gastric Intestinal Metaplasia in a High-Risk Population

INTRODUCTION

Gastric intestinal metaplasia (GIM) is a precancerous lesion. It has a low prevalence rate in the United States. However, GIM is more common among non-White and immigrant populations. Harlem Hospital serves a community that includes predominantly African Americans, Hispanics, and immigrants from West Africa and Spanish-speaking Caribbean countries. This study aims to define the factors predicting GIM in this high-risk group as well as help define screening strategies for vulnerable populations.

METHODS

A total of 1351 patients who underwent endoscopic gastroduodenoscopy (EGD) and biopsy in 2018 and 2019 for any indication at Harlem Hospital were included in this study. Gastric biopsy specimens taken during the procedure were assessed for GIM by histopathology. Baseline demographics were collected, including age, sex, and ethnicity. Other information collected included risk factors for GIM such as Helicobacter pylori infection, smoking status, and the use of alcohol. Descriptive analysis was done and the Wilcoxon rank sum test and chi-squared test were used to test for associations. Multiple logistic regressions were used to assess the odds of independent factors associated with increased risk of GIM.

RESULTS

Of the 1351 patients reviewed, 106 had GIM for a prevalence of 8.0% (CI: 6.7%-9.6%, p < 0.001). Univariate analysis revealed older patients, males, history of smoking, alcohol, and H. pylori infection were significantly associated with GIM. Using multiple logistic regressions and adjusting for underlying risk factors, smoking (OR: 1.61, 95% CI: 1.00-2.570) and H. pylori infection (OR: 3.35, 95% CI: 2.18-5.15) continued to be significantly associated with increased risk of GIM; however, alcohol use was not significant after adjusting for other risk factors (OR: 1.10, 95% CI: 0.68-1.78). Hispanic risk for GIM was slightly higher than African Americans (OR: 1.17, 95% CI: 0.74-1.83). The predicted marginal effect of age on the odds of GIM was significant from age 40 and increased exponentially at age 50. By age 70, the odds of GIM were as high as 11% (95% CI: 8.3-13.6).

CONCLUSION

The prevalence of GIM in our population is significantly higher compared to reported cases in the United States. Age, male gender, H. pylori infection, and smoking significantly increase the risk of GIM. Given the high prevalence of GIM in our population, early endoscopic screening would play an important role in evaluating dyspepsia to diagnose GIM with or without H. pylori infection. We propose screening all at-risk ethnicities from age 40 years with EGD according to the Sydney System biopsy protocol. We believe this will ultimately decrease the incidence of gastric cancer death in these vulnerable populations of color.

Targeting the complexity of ERBB2 biology in gastroesophageal carcinoma

ERBB2 is the most prominent therapeutic target in gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma (GEA). For two decades, trastuzumab was the only treatment available for GEA overexpressing ERBB2. Several drugs showing evidence of efficacy over or in complement to trastuzumab in breast cancer failed to show clinical benefit in GEA. This resistance to anti-ERBB2 therapy is peculiarly recurrent in GEA and is mostly due to tumor heterogeneity with the existence of low expressing ERBB2 tumor clones and loss of ERBB2 over time. The development of new ERBB2 testing strategies and the use of antibody-drug conjugates having a bystander effect are providing new tools to fight heterogeneity in ERBB2-positive GEA. Co-amplifications of tyrosine kinase receptors, alterations in mitogen-activated protein kinase (MAPK) and phosphatidylinositol-3-kinase (PI3K) signaling pathways and in proteins controlling cell cycle are well known to contribute resistance to anti-ERBB2 therapy, and they can be targeted by dual therapy. Recently described, NF1 mutations are responsible for Ras phosphorylation and activation and can also be targeted by MEK/ERK inhibition along with anti-ERBB2 therapy. Multiple lines of evidence suggest that immune mechanisms involving antibody-dependent cell-mediated cytotoxicity are preponderant over intracellular signaling in anti-ERBB2 therapy action. A better comprehension of these mechanisms could leverage immune action of anti-ERBB2 therapy and elucidate efficacy of combinations associating immunotherapy and anti-ERBB2 therapy, as suggested by the recent intermediate positive results of the KEYNOTE-811 trial.

Artificial intelligence in gastroenterology and hepatology: how to advance clinical practice while ensuring health equity

Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) systems are increasingly used in medicine to improve clinical decision-making and healthcare delivery. In gastroenterology and hepatology, studies have explored a myriad of opportunities for AI/ML applications which are already making the transition to bedside. Despite these advances, there is a risk that biases and health inequities can be introduced or exacerbated by these technologies. If unrecognised, these technologies could generate or worsen systematic racial, ethnic and sex disparities when deployed on a large scale. There are several mechanisms through which AI/ML could contribute to health inequities in gastroenterology and hepatology, including diagnosis of oesophageal cancer, management of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), liver transplantation, colorectal cancer screening and many others. This review adapts a framework for ethical AI/ML development and application to gastroenterology and hepatology such that clinical practice is advanced while minimising bias and optimising health equity.

Practical Considerations in Diagnosing and Managing Early-Onset GI Cancers

The incidence of early-onset (EO) GI cancers occurring in individuals younger than age 50 years has been rising at an alarming rate over the past two decades. Although this rise in incidence among young patients correlates with increased rates of obesity, changes in diet, and alterations in the environment, the effects of these environmental factors on carcinogenesis, metastasis, and treatment response are unknown. Although several unique clinical trends exist among EO-GI cancers and their average-onset GI cancer counterparts, GI cancers are molecularly indistinct between younger and older patients, and no data support distinct treatment paradigms for patients with EO disease. The majority of EO-GI cancers are not explained by germline changes. There remains a critical need for further research to understand the pathogenesis and optimal management of EO-GI cancers. In addition, current screening strategies are not adequate to identify EO-GI cancers, and early biomarkers are needed. Specialized centers, with a focus on psychosocial aspects of cancer management, can address the unique care needs of patients with EO-GI cancers.

Sociodemographic and Facility-Related Disparities in the Delivery of Guideline-Concordant Therapy Among Patients With Esophageal Adenocarcinoma

PURPOSE:

Evidence on health disparities among patients treated with multimodality therapy protocols is still limited. We aimed to evaluate the associations between patient-level and system-level factors and the receipt of guideline-concordant therapy among patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma (EA).

METHODS:

This is a national cohort study of patients with stage I-III EA in the National Cancer Database (2006-2018) treated with either upfront resection or neoadjuvant therapy followed by surgery. Clinical and pathologic staging data were used for defining guideline-concordant therapy. Logistic regression models were built to identify independent associations between deviations from treatment guidelines and clinical, sociodemographic, and hospital-related factors.

RESULTS:

Among 18,803 patients with EA treated at 1,049 hospitals, 4,511 had an endoscopic resection, 4,866 had upfront resection, and 9,426 had neoadjuvant therapy followed by surgery. A total of 16,002 patients (85.1%) received guideline-concordant therapy. Patients who were age 70 years or older (odds ratio [OR] 1.35; 95% CI, 1.14 to 1.60), had a Charlson-Deyo modified score of ≥ 1, and were treated at hospitals with a safety-net burden of ≥ 10% (OR 1.13; 95% CI, 1.02 to 1.25) had higher risk of deviations from guidelines, whereas treatment at high-volume facilities (OR 0.84; 95% CI, 0.74 to 0.95) and diagnosis after 2011 decreased this risk. Relative to cT0-1N0 patients, those with cT2N0 disease had the highest risk of deviations from guideline-concordant therapy (OR 3.76; 95% CI, 3.30 to 4.29). Among patients treated at high-volume facilities, safety-net burden over 10% increased the risk of deviations (OR 1.26; 95% CI, 1.01 to 1.57).

CONCLUSION:

The delivery of guideline-concordant therapy among patients with EA varies significantly across clinical stage groups and is associated with several sociodemographic disparities. This knowledge should be a resource for future quality improvement strategies intended to address inequitable care within vulnerable populations.

Differences in the Association Between Modifiable Lifestyle Factors and Gastric Precancerous Lesions Among Mongolians and Han Chinese

Background

There has been a paucity of evidence examining whether preventable behavioral risk factors led to ethnic differences of gastric precancerous lesions (GPL). We aimed to investigate the ethnic disparity of associations between GPL and lifestyle factors in Mongolian and Han Chinese populations.

Methods

The study included participants aged 36-75 years enrolled in the Cancer Screening Program during 2016-2017 in Hohhot and Tongliao City, Inner Mongolia. GPL was defined as the gross cascading events (i.e., gastric ulcer, atrophic gastritis, intestinal metaplasia, and dysplasia) that preceded gastric cancer.

Results

A total of 61638 participants were included, of whom 6863(11·1%) were Mongolians. Alcohol consumption was positively associated with GPL risk in both ethnic groups, but the magnitude was greater in Mongolians (odds ratio (OR) 6·91, 95%CI 5·82-8·28) than in Han Chinese (OR 5·64, 95%CI 5·27-6·04), corresponding to a higher population attributable fraction (PAF) for Mongolians (53·18% vs 43·71%). Besides, the strength of the positive association between physical inactivity and GPL risk was greater among Mongolians (OR 2·02, 95%CI 1·70-2·41; OR 1·09, 95%CI 1·02-1·17 among Han Chinese) with a higher PAF. Smoking was strongly associated with GPL risk in both ethnic groups as well, but the association was more prominent among Han Chinese (OR 5·24 (1·70-2·41) for <10 cigarettes/d, 8·19 (7·48-8·97) for 11-20 cigarettes/d, 7·07 (6·40-7·81) for ≥21 cigarettes/d; the corresponding ORs were 2·96 (2·19-4·00), 6·22 (5·04-7·68), and 7·03 (5·45-9·08) among Mongolians). Lastly, our findings revealed that a significant correlation between insufficient fruits and vegetable consumption and GPL risk was only found among Mongolians (OR 1·27, 95%CI 1·04-1·56).

Conclusions

Our result suggested that high-risk lifestyle factors should be reduced, particularly in Mongolians. Further studies are needed to elucidate the underlying mechanisms and to reduce health disparities in underserved ethnic groups.

Cancer Epidemiology in Hispanic Populations: What Have We Learned and Where Do We Need to Make Progress?

The Hispanic/Latino(x) population (H/L) in the United States of America is heterogeneous and fast growing. Cancer is the number one cause of death among H/Ls, accounting for 21% of deaths. Whereas for the most common cancers, incidence rates are lower in H/Ls compared with non-H/L White (NHW) individuals, H/Ls have a higher incidence of liver, stomach, cervical, penile, and gallbladder cancers. H/L patients tend to be diagnosed at more advanced stages for breast, colorectal, prostate, and lung cancers, and melanoma compared with NHW individuals. Etiologic and cancer outcomes research among H/Ls lags other populations. In this review, we provide a summary of challenges, opportunities, and research priorities related to cancer etiology, cancer outcomes, and survivorship to make progress in addressing scientific gaps. Briefly, we prioritize the need for more research on determinants of obesity, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and its progression to liver cancer, stomach and gallbladder cancers, and pediatric acute lymphoblastic leukemia. We emphasize the need to improve cancer screening, early detection of cancer, and survivorship care. We highlight critical resources needed to make progress in cancer epidemiologic studies among H/L populations, including the importance of training the next generation of cancer epidemiologists conducting research in H/Ls.

Ranitidine Use and Gastric Cancer Among Persons with Helicobacter pylori

BACKGROUND

The Food and Drug Administration requested withdrawal of ranitidine formulations, due to a potentially carcinogenic contaminant, N-nitrosodimethylamine.

AIMS

We evaluate whether ranitidine use is associated with gastric cancer.

METHODS

This is a retrospective multicenter, nationwide cohort study within the Veterans Health Administration, among patients with Helicobacter pylori (HP) prescribed long-term acid suppression with either: (1) ranitidine, (2) other histamine type 2 receptor blocker (H2RB), or (3) proton pump inhibitor (PPI)) between May 1, 1998, and December 31, 2018. Covariates included race, ethnicity, smoking, age, HP treatment, HP eradication. Primary outcome was non-proximal gastric adenocarcinomas, using multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis.

RESULTS

We identified 279,505 patients with HP prescribed long-term acid suppression (median 53.4 years; 92.9% male). Compared to ranitidine, non-ranitidine H2RB users were more likely to develop cancer (HR 1.83, 95%CI 1.36-2.48); PPI users had no significant difference in future cancer risk (HR 0.92, 95% CI 0.82-1.04), p < 0.001. Demographics associated with future cancer included increasing age (HR 1.18, 95% CI 1.15-1.20, p < 0.001), Hispanic/Latino ethnicity (HR 1.46, 95% CI 1.21-1.75, p < 0.001), Black race (HR 1.89, 95% CI 1.68-2.14) or Asian race (HR 2.03, 95% CI 1.17-3.52), p < 0.001, and gender (female gender HR 0.64, 95% CI 0.48-0.85, p = 0.02). Smoking was associated with future cancer (HR 1.38, 95% CI 1.23-1.54, p < 0.001). Secondary analysis demonstrated decreased cancer risk in those with confirmed HP eradication (HR 0.24, 95% CI 0.14-0.40). No association between ranitidine and increased gastric cancer was found.

CONCLUSION

There is no demonstrable association between ranitidine use and future gastric cancer among individuals with HP on long-term acid suppression.

Age-specific incidence, treatment, and survival trends in esophageal cancer: a Dutch population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Data on the age-specific incidence of esophageal cancer are lacking. Our aim was to investigate the age-stratified incidence, treatment, and survival trends of esophageal cancer in the Netherlands, with a focus on adults <50 years.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Patients diagnosed with esophageal cancer were included from the nationwide Netherlands Cancer Registry (1989-2018). Follow-up data were available until 31 December 2018. Annual percentage changes of incidence were analyzed according to age group (<50, 50-74, and ≥75 years) and histology type: adenocarcinoma (EAC) and squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). Treatment trends and relative survival rates (RSR) were estimated by age and stage grouping.

RESULTS

A total 59,584 patients were included. In adults <50 years, EAC incidence tripled (mean increase per year: males 1.5%, females 3%), while the incidence of ESCC decreased (mean decrease per year: males -5.3%, females -4.3%). Patients <50 years more often presented with advanced disease stages compared to older patients and were more likely to receive multimodality treatments. Most patients <50 years with potentially curable disease were treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy followed by surgery compared to patients 50-74 and ≥75 years (74% vs. 55% vs. 15%, respectively; p < .001), and received more frequent systemic therapy once staged with palliative disease (72% vs. 54% vs. 19%, respectively; p < .001). The largest RSR improvement was seen in patients <50 years with early-stage (five years: +47%), potentially curable (five years: +22%), and palliative disease (one year: +11%). Over time, a trend of increasing survival difference was seen between patients <50 and ≥75 years with potentially curable (five-year difference: 17% to 27%) and palliative disease (one-year difference: 11% to 20%).

CONCLUSION

The incidence of EAC is increasing in adults <50 years in the Netherlands. Differences in the use of multimodality treatments with curative or life-prolonging intent in different age categories may account for increasing survival gaps.

Prognostic Nomogram for Early Gastric Cancer After Surgery to Assist Decision-Making for Treatment With Adjuvant Chemotherapy

Background: Most patients with early gastric cancer (EGC) can achieve a better 5-year survival rate after endoscopic resection or surgery. However, indications for adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) after surgery have not yet been determined.

Methods: A total of 4,108 patients with EGC diagnosed in 2004–2016 were retrospectively analyzed using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Of these, 3,521 patients received postoperative ACT and 587 patients did not. Propensity score matching was used to balance the two groups’ confounding factors. Kaplan-Meier method was utilized to perform survival analysis. Log-rank test was used to compare the differences between survival curves. Cox proportional-hazards regression model was used to screen independent risk factors and build a nomogram for the non-ACT group. The X-tile software was employed to artificially divide all patients into low-, moderate-, and high-risk groups according to the overall survival score prediction based on the nomogram. A total of 493 patients with EGC diagnosed between 2010 and 2014 in our hospital were included for external validation.

Results: Multivariate analysis found that age, sex, race, marital status, primary site, surgical extent, and metastatic lymph node ratio in the non-ACT group were independent prognostic factors for EGC and were included in the construction of the nomogram. The model C-index was 0.730 (95% confidence interval: 0.677–0.783). The patients were divided into three different risk groups based on the nomogram prediction score. Patients in the low-risk group did not benefit from ACT, while patients in the moderate- and high-risk groups did. External validation also demonstrated that moderate- and high-risk patients benefited from ACT.

Conclusion: The study nomogram can effectively evaluate postoperative prognosis of patients with EGC. Postoperative ACT is therefore recommended for moderate- and high-risk patients, but not for low-risk patients.

Trends in the Incidence of Upper Gastrointestinal Cancers Show Changing Dynamics

Over the last 50 years, there have been shifts in the incidence of gastric and esophageal cancers in the United States, including a decline in noncardia gastric adenocarcinoma (NCGC), and increases in cardia gastric adenocarcinoma (CGC) and esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC).^1,2 Hypotheses for the changing incidences include eradication of Helicobacter pylori, the main causative agent of NCGC, and rising rates of reflux, obesity, and diet, which are risk factors associated with EAC and CGC.^1,3.

Role of Obesity, Physical Exercise, Adipose Tissue-Skeletal Muscle Crosstalk and Molecular Advances in Barrett's Esophagus and Esophageal Adenocarcinoma

Both obesity and esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) rates have increased sharply in the United States and Western Europe in recent years. EAC is a classic example of obesity-related cancer where the risk of EAC increases with increasing body mass index. Pathologically altered visceral fat in obesity appears to play a key role in this process. Visceral obesity may promote EAC by directly affecting gastroesophageal reflux disease and Barrett’s esophagus (BE), as well as a less reflux-dependent effect, including the release of pro-inflammatory adipokines and insulin resistance. Deregulation of adipokine production, such as the shift to an increased amount of leptin relative to “protective” adiponectin, has been implicated in the pathogenesis of BE and EAC. This review discusses not only the epidemiology and pathophysiology of obesity in BE and EAC, but also molecular alterations at the level of mRNA and proteins associated with these esophageal pathologies and the potential role of adipokines and myokines in these disorders. Particular attention is given to discussing the possible crosstalk of adipokines and myokines during exercise. It is concluded that lifestyle interventions to increase regular physical activity could be helpful as a promising strategy for preventing the development of BE and EAC.

Clinicopathological characteristics, survival outcomes, and genetic alterations of younger patients with gastric cancer: Results from the China National Cancer Center and cBioPortal datasets

Background

The survival outcomes of younger patients with gastric cancer (GC) have remained controversial. This study explores the clinicopathological characteristics, survival outcomes, and genetic alterations of younger and older patients with GC.

Methods

Patients with GC were identified from the China National Cancer Center Gastric Cancer Database (NCCGCDB) during 1998–2018. Survival analysis was conducted using Kaplan–Meier estimates and Cox proportional hazards models. Sequencing datasets were enrolled from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and Memorial Sloan–Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC) databases.

Results

A total of 1146 younger (<40 years of age) and 16,988 older (≥40 years of age) cases were included in the study. Younger patients had more poorly differentiated lesions than older patients (53.7% vs. 33.8%, respectively; p < 0.0001), and were more often pTNM stage IV (19.5% vs. 11.8%, respectively; p < 0.001). The 5‐year overall survival (OS) of patients from the NCCGCDB increased from 1998 to 2018. Younger patients with pTNM stage III had a lower survival rate than older patients (p = 0.014), while no differences by age were observed at other stages. The mutation frequency of the LRP1B, GNAS, APC, and KMT2D genes was higher for older than younger patients (p < 0.05 for all genes). While not significantly different, younger patients from the TCGA and MSKCC databases were more likely to have CDH1, RHOA, and CTNNB1 gene mutations.

Conclusions

A stable proportion and improved survival of younger patients were reported using NCCGCDB data. Younger patients with pTNM stage III had lower rates of survival than older patients. Distinct molecular characteristics were identified in younger GC patients which may partly explain the histopathology and prognosis specific to this subpopulation.

Incidence trends for twelve cancers in younger adults-a rapid review

Many cancer referral guidelines use patient’s age as a key criterium to decide who should be referred urgently. A recent rise in the incidence of colorectal cancer in younger adults has been described in high-income countries worldwide. Information on other cancers is more limited. The aim of this rapid review was to determine whether other cancers are also increasing in younger age groups, as this may have important implications for prioritising patients for investigation and referral. We searched MEDLINE, Embase and Web of Science for studies describing age-related incidence trends for colorectal, bladder, lung, oesophagus, pancreas, stomach, breast, ovarian, uterine, kidney and laryngeal cancer and myeloma. ‘Younger’ patients were defined based on NICE guidelines for cancer referral. Ninety-eight studies met the inclusion criteria. Findings show that the incidence of colorectal, breast, kidney, pancreas, uterine cancer is increasing in younger age groups, whilst the incidence of lung, laryngeal and bladder cancer is decreasing. Data for oesophageal, stomach, ovarian cancer and myeloma were inconclusive. Overall, this review provides evidence that some cancers are increasingly being diagnosed in younger age groups, although the mechanisms remain unclear. Cancer investigation and referral guidelines may need updating in light of these trends.

Ten-year trends of utilizing palliative care and palliative procedures in patients with gastric Cancer in the United States from 2009 to 2018 - a nationwide database study

Objectives

Little is known about the current status and the changing trends of hospitalization and palliative care consultation of patients with gastric cancer in the United States. The aim of this study was to evaluate the changing trend in the number of hospitalization, palliative care consultation, and palliative procedures in the US during a recent 10-year period using a nationwide database.

Methods

This was a retrospective study that analyzed the National Inpatient Sample (NIS) database of 2009–2018. Patients aged more than 18 years who were diagnosed with a gastric cancer using International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-9 and 10 codes were included. Palliative care consultation included palliative care (ICD-9, V66.7; ICD-10, Z51.5) and advanced care planning (ICD-9, V69.89; ICD-10, Z71.89). Palliative procedures included percutaneous or endoscopic bypass, gastrostomy or enterostomy, dilation, drainage, nutrition, and irrigation for palliative purpose.

Results and discussion

A total of 86,430 patients were selected and analyzed in this study. Using a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) approach, the annual number of hospitalizations of gastric cancer patients was found to be decreased during 2009–2018 (CAGR: -0.8%, P = 0.0084), while utilization rates of palliative care and palliative procedures increased (CAGR: 9.3 and 1.6%, respectively; P < 0.0001). Multivariable regression analysis revealed that palliative care consultation was associated with reduced total hospital charges (−$34,188, P < 0.0001).

Conclusion

Utilization of palliative care consultation to patients with gastric cancer may reduce use of medical resources and hospital costs.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12913-021-07404-1.

In-vitro study on the identification of gastrointestinal stromal tumor tissues using laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy with chemometric methods

Early-stage detection of tumors helps to improve patient survival rate. In this work, we demonstrate a novel discrimination method to diagnose the gastrointestinal stromal tumor (GIST) and its healthy formalin fixed paraffin embedded (FFPE) tissues by combining chemometric algorithms with laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy (LIBS). Chemometric methods which include partial least square discrimination analysis (PLS-DA), k-nearest neighbor (k-NN) and support vector machine (SVM) were used to build the discrimination models. The comparison of PLS-DA, k-NN and SVM classifiers shows an increase in accuracy from 94.44% to 100%. The comparison of LIBS signal between the healthy and infected tissues shows an enhancement of calcium lines which is a signature of the presence of GIST in the FFPE tissues. Our results may provide a complementary method for the rapid detection of tumors for the successful treatment of patients.

Annual Report to the Nation on the Status of Cancer, Part 1: National Cancer Statistics

BACKGROUND

The American Cancer Society, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Cancer Institute, and North American Association of Central Cancer Registries collaborate to provide annual updates on cancer incidence and mortality and trends by cancer type, sex, age group, and racial/ethnic group in the United States. In this report, we also examine trends in stage-specific survival for melanoma of the skin (melanoma).

METHODS

Incidence data for all cancers from 2001 through 2017 and survival data for melanoma cases diagnosed during 2001-2014 and followed-up through 2016 were obtained from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention- and National Cancer Institute-funded population-based cancer registry programs compiled by the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries. Data on cancer deaths from 2001 to 2018 were obtained from the National Center for Health Statistics' National Vital Statistics System. Trends in age-standardized incidence and death rates and 2-year relative survival were estimated by joinpoint analysis, and trends in incidence and mortality were expressed as average annual percent change (AAPC) during the most recent 5 years (2013-2017 for incidence and 2014-2018 for mortality).

RESULTS

Overall cancer incidence rates (per 100 000 population) for all ages during 2013-2017 were 487.4 among males and 422.4 among females. During this period, incidence rates remained stable among males but slightly increased in females (AAPC = 0.2%, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.1% to 0.2%). Overall cancer death rates (per 100 000 population) during 2014-2018 were 185.5 among males and 133.5 among females. During this period, overall death rates decreased in both males (AAPC = -2.2%, 95% CI = -2.5% to -1.9%) and females (AAPC = -1.7%, 95% CI = -2.1% to -1.4%); death rates decreased for 11 of the 19 most common cancers among males and for 14 of the 20 most common cancers among females, but increased for 5 cancers in each sex. During 2014-2018, the declines in death rates accelerated for lung cancer and melanoma, slowed down for colorectal and female breast cancers, and leveled off for prostate cancer. Among children younger than age 15 years and adolescents and young adults aged 15-39 years, cancer death rates continued to decrease in contrast to the increasing incidence rates. Two-year relative survival for distant-stage skin melanoma was stable for those diagnosed during 2001-2009 but increased by 3.1% (95% CI = 2.8% to 3.5%) per year for those diagnosed during 2009-2014, with comparable trends among males and females.

CONCLUSIONS

Cancer death rates in the United States continue to decline overall and for many cancer types, with the decline accelerated for lung cancer and melanoma. For several other major cancers, however, death rates continue to increase or previous declines in rates have slowed or ceased. Moreover, overall incidence rates continue to increase among females, children, and adolescents and young adults. These findings inform efforts related to prevention, early detection, and treatment and for broad and equitable implementation of effective interventions, especially among under resourced populations.

The outcome of young vs. old gastric cancer patients following gastrectomy: a propensity score matching analysis

Purpose

The purpose of the current study was to compare the postoperative complications, overall survival and disease-free survival in young and old gastric cancer patients after gastrectomy using propensity score matching (PSM).

Methods

Adult patients (aged ≥ 18 years) who underwent gastrectomy for gastric cancer in a single clinical center from January 2013 to December 2017 were enrolled continuously for retrospective analysis. To minimize the selection bias between the young and old groups, the PSM was conducted in this study.

Results

A total of 558 patients were included in this study, with 51 patients in the young group (aged ≤ 45 years) and 507 patients in the old group (aged > 45 years). After 1:1 matching according to PSM, 51 patients in the young group were matched to 51 patients in the old group. After PSM, there was no difference in the baseline information. In terms of short-term outcomes, no difference was found in operation time (P = 0.190), intraoperative blood loss (P = 0.336), retrieved lymph nodes (P = 0.948), blood transfusion (P = 0.339), postoperative hospital stay (P = 0.194), or postoperative complications (P = 0.477) between the two groups. For overall survival, no statistically significant difference was found in all stages (P = 0.383), stage I (P = 0.431), stage II (P = 0.875) or stage III (P = 0.446) gastric cancer. Furthermore, regarding disease-free survival, no differences were found between the two groups in all stages (P = 0.378), stage I (P = 0.431), stage II (P = 0.879) or stage III (P = 0.510) gastric cancer.

Conclusion

Age might not be an independent prognostic factor for short-term outcomes, OS, or DFS in gastric cancer patients who underwent gastrectomy. The pTNM stage of GC might be an independent prognostic factor for OS and DFS.

Incidence Trends of Gastric Cancer in Southern Iran: Adenocarcinoma and Non-cardia Gastric Cancer Are More Rising Among Younger Ages

BACKGROUND

Gastric Cancer (GC) is still one of the major causes of cancer mortality. Due to health-related transitions, the epidemiology of GC subtypes may change. These changes may have profound effects on clinical approaches as well as on public health management of GC. Iran, as a developing country, has experienced huge demographic and epidemiological transitions during the recent decades. This study aimed to investigate the subtype-specific population-based incidence trends of GC in southern Iran.

METHODS

We used data on GC incidence in southern Iran during 2001-2015. Data preparation and subtype grouping were done based on the ICD-O-3. The trends of Age-Standardized incidence Rate (ASR), truncated ASRs, incidence rate of adenocarcinoma, and cardia GC, and age-gender specific rates were analyzed using joinpoint regression modeling. Annual Percentage Change (APC) and its 95% Confidence Intervals (CIs) were estimated.

RESULTS

Overall APC was estimated as 7.2 for males and 8.7 for females. The estimated APCs for the trends of overall GC, and gastric adenocarcinoma were stable in both genders during 2009-2015. Nonetheless, cardia GC showed increasing trends in both genders. The estimated APCs for the trends of non-cardia GC was also stable.

CONCLUSION

The overall trends of the GC incidence in southern Iran were stable during the past decade. However, significant and different changes have occured in the pattern of GC. Thus, etiological and prognostic studies are needed for the improvement of GC management in Iran.

Proportion of Cancer Cases Attributable to Physical Inactivity by US State, 2013-2016

INTRODUCTION/PURPOSE

Little is known concerning the cancer burden attributable to physical inactivity by state. Our objective was to calculate the proportion of incident cancer cases attributable to physical inactivity among adults aged ≥30 years in 2013-2016 in all 50 states and District of Columbia.

METHODS

State-level, self-reported physical activity data from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System were adjusted by sex, age, and race/ethnicity using national level, self-reported physical activity data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Age-, sex-, and state-specific cancer incidence data were obtained from the US Cancer Statistics database. Sex-, age-, and state-specific adjusted prevalence estimates for 8 physical activity categories and cancer-specific relative risks for the same categories from a large-scale pooled analysis were used to calculate PAFs by state for stomach, kidney, esophageal (adenocarcinoma), colon, bladder, breast, and endometrial cancer.

RESULTS

When optimal physical activity was defined ≥5 hours/week of moderate-intensity activity, equivalent to ≥15 metabolic equivalent task (MET)-hours/week, 3.0% (95% CI 2.9%-3.0%) of all incident cancer cases (excluding non-melanoma skin cancers) were attributable to physical inactivity, accounting for an average of 46,356 attributable cases per year. The PAF ranged from 2.3% (95% CI 2.2%-2.5%) in Utah to 3.7% (95% CI 3.4%-3.9%) in Kentucky. By cancer site, the PAF ranged from 3.9% (95% CI 3.6%-4.2%) for urinary bladder to 16.9% (95% CI 16.1%-17.7%) for stomach.

CONCLUSION

Our results indicate that promoting physical activity through broad implementation of interventions could prevent many cancer cases. Over 46,000 cancer cases annually could be potentially avoided if the American population met the recommended 5 hours/week of moderate-intensity (or 15 (MET)-hours/week) physical activity.

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy with S-1 plus cisplatin for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

S-1 shows good efficacy for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) under single use or combined with cisplatin or radiotherapy. The S-1 plus cisplatin (SP) regimen is one of the chemotherapy candidates for ESCC. However, the efficacy of the SP regimen for neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) has not been verified. The aim of this study was to investigate the feasibility and efficacy of NAC with SP for advanced ESCC. In this study, patients with clinical stage II/III/IV ESCC received NAC with SP regimen from June 2016 to July 2020 in Ogaki Municipal Hospital were retrospectively evaluated. In the SP regimen, S-1 80 mg/m² was administered on days 1-14, and cisplatin was administered 70 mg/m² on day 1, repeated every 4 weeks, for two cycles. The completion rate, clinical and pathological response rate, adverse events, and long-term outcomes were analyzed. 43 ESCC patients were diagnosed clinical stage II/III/IV ESCC. Among the 43 patients, 31 patients underwent NAC with SP regimen. The completion rate was 93.5%. The clinical response and pathological response rates (grade 2 or 3) were 83.9% and 32.3%, respectively. Seven patients (22.6%) had a pathological complete response (grade 3). Grade 3 neutropenia was observed in 33.7% of cases. No other grade 3 cases or higher toxicity was observed. The 3-year relapse-free and overall survival rates were 52.6% and 65.6%, respectively. NAC with SP is a feasible and effective treatment strategy for advanced. ESCC. The antitumor response could be higher than that under the cisplatin plus 5-fluorouracil regimen.

Prognostic performance of different lymph node classification systems in young gastric cancer

Background

Accurate staging plays a pivotal role in cancer care. The lymph node (LN) ratio (LNR) and the log odds of positive LNs (LODDS) have been suggested as alternatives to the N staging since the TNM system has the risk of stage migration. The prognostic significance of LNR and LODDS in young patients with gastric cancer (GC) has not been reported. This study aims to investigate the correlations between LNR and LODDS and survival of young patients with GC, and compare the predictive performance of these LN staging methods.

Methods

GC patients before the age of 40 from 2004 to 2016 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database were enrolled. The prognostic evaluation of the N factor, LNR and LODDS was compared using the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, area under the curve (AUC), C-index and Akaike information criterion (AIC).

Results

Multivariate survival analysis identified that the LNR and LODDS were significantly independent prognostic indicators for overall survival (OS) in young patients with GC and in the subgroups comprised of patients with ≤15 LNs examined. The time-dependent ROC curves of the LNR and LODDS were continuously superior to that of the N factor in predicting OS during the observation period. And the AUCs revealed that the predictive accuracy of the LNR and LODDS was remarkably superior to the N factor at 1 and 3 years (P<0.05). The model incorporating LNR or LODDS had higher C-index and lower AIC when comparing to the model incorporating the N factor.

Conclusions

The LNR and LODDS improve accuracy of survival risk prediction in young patients with GC when comparing to the N factor. These two novel LN classification methods should be considered as alternatives to the N staging for the prognostic prediction of young patients with GC.