Resource Use and Burden of Hospitalization, Outpatient, Physician, and Drug Costs in Short- and Long-term Care After Acute Myocardial Infarction

Direct medical costs of cardiovascular diseases: Do cost components vary according to sex and age?

BACKGROUND

The aim was to estimate direct medical costs of men and women patients by age group related to cardiovascular diseases (coronary heart disease, strokes) in the province of Quebec, Canada from the economic perspective of the healthcare public system, encompassing five cost components: physician fees, hospitalization (hospital stay, intensive care stay), emergency visits and medication costs.

METHODS

This matched case-control study involved secondary data from a longitudinal cohort study (1997-2018) of 4584 white-collar workers. Participants were followed for a four-year period. We used an incremental cost method of difference-in-difference. Descriptive analyses using frequency counts, arithmetic means, standardized differences, chi-squared tests, and Student's T-tests were performed. Direct medical costs were estimated using mean and 95% bootstrap confidence interval.

RESULTS

Direct medical costs per case were CAD $4970 [4344, 5595] for all in the first year after the event. For men patients, direct medical costs were $5351 [4649, 6053] and $4234 [2880, 5588] for women in the first year after the event, $221 [-229, 671] for men and $226 [-727, 1179] for women in the second year, and $11 [-356, 377] for men and $-24 [-612, 564] for women in the third year. This decrease was observed for both men and women, with higher costs for men. Within the first year, physician fees dominated CVD-associated costs among both men and women cases younger than 65. However, hospital stay represented the costliest component among cases aged 65 and older, incurring higher costs in women compared to men. In the subsequent years, the distribution of costs showed variations according to sex and age, with either medication costs or physician fees being the predominant components, depending on the specific subgroups.

CONCLUSIONS

CVD-associated direct medical costs varied by components, sex, age, and follow-up years. Patients with CVD incurred more than twice the medical costs as compared to patients without CVD of same age and sex.

Resource Utilization and Costs Associated With Cardiogenic Shock Complicating Myocardial Infarction: A Population-Based Cohort Study

Background

Cardiogenic shock due to acute myocardial infarction (AMI-CS) is associated with significant short- and long-term morbidity and mortality. Despite this, little is known about associated cost.

Objectives

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the health care costs and resource use associated with AMI-CS using administrative data from the province of Ontario, Canada.

Methods

This was a retrospective cohort study of adult patients with AMI-CS from April 2009 to March 2019. One-year costs following index admission were reported at an individual level. We used generalized linear models to identify factors associated with increased cost. We stratified patients by revascularization strategy to compare cost in each group and examined total cost at a patient level per individual fiscal year.

Results

We included 9,789 consecutive patients with AMI-CS across 135 centers in Ontario (mean age 70.5 years; 67.7% male). Mortality in-hospital was 30.2%, and mortality at 2 years was 45.9%. The median inpatient cost per patient was $23,912 (IQR: $12,234-$41,833) with a median total 1-year cost of $37,913 (IQR: $20,113-$66,582). The median 1-year cost was $17,730 (IQR: $9,323-$38,379) for those who died in hospital, and $45,713 (IQR: $29,688-$77,683) for those surviving to discharge, with $12,719 (IQR: $4,262-$35,275) occurring after discharge. Patients who received coronary artery bypass grafting incurred the highest cost among revascularization groups. No significant differences were observed in cost per fiscal year from 2009 to 2019.

Conclusions

AMI-CS is associated with significant health care costs, both during the index hospitalization and following discharge. To optimize cost-effectiveness, future therapies should aim to reduce disability in addition to improving mortality.

Socioeconomic per-case costs of stroke, myocardial infarction, and preterm birth attributable to air pollution in Sweden

BACKGROUND

Incident cases of stroke, myocardial infarction, and preterm birth have established exposure-response functions associated with air pollution. However, there are no studies reporting detailed costs per case for these health outcomes that are adapted to the cost-benefit tools that guide the regulation of air pollution.

OBJECTIVES

The primary objective was to establish non-fatal per-case monetary estimates for stroke, myocardial infarction, and preterm birth attributable to air pollution in Sweden, and the secondary objective was to ease the economic evaluation process of air pollution morbidity effects and their inclusion in cost-benefit assessments.

METHODS

Based on recommendations from the literature, the case-cost analysis considered direct and indirect medical costs, as well as production losses and informal costs relevant for the calculation of the net present value. A literature search was conducted to estimate the costs of each category for each incident case in Sweden. Informal costs were estimated using the quality-adjusted life-years approach and the corresponding willingness-to-pay in the Swedish population. The total average per-case cost was estimated based on specific health outcome durations and severity and was discounted by 3.5% per year. Sensitivity analysis included varying discount rates, severity of health outcome, and the range of societal willingness to pay for quality-adjusted life years.

RESULTS

The average net present value cost estimate was €2016 460k (185k-1M) for non-fatal stroke, €2016 24k (16k-38k) for myocardial infarction, and €2016 34k (19k-57k) for late preterm birth. The main drivers of the per-case total cost estimates were health outcome severity and societal willingness to pay for risk reduction. Varying the discount rate had the largest effect on preterm birth, with costs changing by ±30% for the discount rates analysed.

RECOMMENDATION

Because stroke, myocardial infarction, and preterm birth have established exposure-response functions linking these to air pollution, cost-benefit analyses should include the costs for these health outcomes in order to adequately guide future air pollution and climate change policies.

Clinical outcomes of generic versus brand-name clopidogrel for secondary prevention in patients with acute myocardial infarction: A nationwide cohort study

Skepticism exists among healthcare workers and patients regarding the efficacy and safety of generic medication, despite its potential to lower healthcare costs. This study aimed to compare the outcomes of a generic clopidogrel and its brand-name counterpart for secondary prevention in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Using the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database, we identified 49,325 patients who were hospitalized for AMI between January 1, 2008 and December 31, 2013 and prescribed either generic or brand-name clopidogrel. Among them, 2419 (4.9%) were prescribed the generic clopidogrel. After propensity score matching, both the generic and brand-name groups consisted of 2382 patients. The primary efficacy outcome was a composite of myocardial infarction, coronary revascularization, ischemic stroke, and all-cause death. The primary safety outcome was major bleeding requiring hospitalization. At a mean follow-up of 2.5 years, the generic and brand-name clopidogrel groups had comparable risks of primary efficacy outcome (41.9% vs. 42%; hazard ratio [HR] 0.96; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.88-1.04), and the risks of the individual components were also similar. There were no significant differences between the two groups in major bleeding (7.9% vs. 7.9%; HR 0.99; 95% CI 0.81-1.21). Subgroup analyses also revealed no statistically significant interactions between the treatment effect and various subgroups. In this retrospective database analysis, the generic clopidogrel was comparable to its brand-name counterpart regarding cardiovascular and bleeding outcomes for the treatment of patients with AMI.

Care Fragmentation After Hospitalization for Acute Myocardial Infarction

Care fragmentation (CF), or readmission at a nonindex hospital, has been linked to inferior clinical and financial outcomes for patients. However, its impact on patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is unclear. This study investigated the prevalence and impact of CF on the outcomes of patients with AMI. All US adult (≥18 years) hospitalizations for AMI from January 2010 to November 2019 were identified using the Nationwide Readmissions Database. Patients were stratified by readmission at an index or nonindex center. Multivariable models were developed to evaluate factors associated with CF, and independent associations with mortality, complications, and resource utilization. A total of 413,819 patients with AMI requiring nonelective readmission within 30 days of discharge were included for analysis. Of these, 25.4% (n = 104,966) experienced CF. The incidence of CF increased from 2010 to 2019 (nptrend <0.001). After adjustment, patients insured by Medicaid faced higher odds of nonindex readmission. CF was associated with in-hospital mortality (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] 1.09, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.01 to 1.18), and cardiac (AOR 1.12, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.22), respiratory (AOR 1.14, 95% CI 1.12 to 1.26), and infectious complications (AOR 1.14, 95% CI 1.07 to 1.22). Further, CF was linked to increased odds of nonhome discharge (AOR 1.18, 95% CI 1.11 to 1.24) and an additional ∼$5,000 in per-patient hospitalization costs (95% CI 4,260 to 5,100). Approximately 25% of AMI patients experienced CF, which was independently associated with excess mortality, complications, and expenditures. Given the growing national burden of cardiovascular disease, new efforts are needed to mitigate the significant clinical and financial implications of nonindex readmissions and improve value-based healthcare.

Cost-Effectiveness of Polygenic Risk Scores to Guide Statin Therapy for Cardiovascular Disease Prevention

BACKGROUND

Atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are leading causes of death despite effective therapies and result in unnecessary morbidity and mortality throughout the world. We aimed to investigate the cost-effectiveness of polygenic risk scores (PRS) to guide statin therapy for Canadians with intermediate CVD risk and model its economic outlook.

METHODS

This cost-utility analysis was conducted using UK Biobank prospective cohort study participants, with recruitment from 2006 to 2010, and at least 10 years of follow-up. We included nonrelated white British-descent participants (n=96 116) at intermediate CVD risk with no prior lipid lowering medication or statin-indicated conditions. A coronary artery disease PRS was used to inform decision to use statins. The effects of statin therapy with and without PRS, as well as CVD events were modelled to determine the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio from a Canadian public health care perspective. We discounted future costs and quality-adjusted life-years by 1.5% annually.

RESULTS

The optimal economic strategy was when intermediate risk individuals with a PRS in the top 70% are eligible for statins while the lowest 1% are excluded. Base-case analysis at a genotyping cost of $70 produced an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $172 906 (143 685 USD) per quality-adjusted life-year. In the probabilistic sensitivity analysis, the intervention has approximately a 50% probability of being cost-effective at $179 100 (148 749 USD) per quality-adjusted life-year. At a $0 genotyping cost, representing individuals with existing genotyping information, PRS-guided strategies dominated standard care when 12% of the lowest PRS individuals were withheld from statins. With improved PRS predictive performance and lower genotyping costs, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio demonstrates possible cost-effectiveness under thresholds of $150 000 and possibly $50 000 per quality-adjusted life-year.

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggests that using PRS alongside existing guidelines might be cost-effective for CVD. Stronger predictiveness combined with decreased cost of PRS could further improve cost-effectiveness, providing an economic basis for its inclusion into clinical care.

Cognitive dysfunction correlates with physical impairment in frail patients with acute myocardial infarction

BACKGROUND

To the best of our knowledge, the association of physical impairment and cognitive decline has never been investigated in frail patients with acute myocardial infarction.

AIM

The aim of our study is to assess the correlation between physical and cognitive dysfunction in frail patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI).

METHODS

We examined consecutive frail patients with first STEMI treated with primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PPCI). All patients were evaluated via Mini Mental State Examination (MMSE) and 5-m gait speed test after PPCI.

RESULTS

A total of 871 frail patients with suspected STEMI were admitted and 301 patients successfully completed the study. We found that the gait speed significantly correlated with the MMSE score (r: 0.771; p: < 0.001). The independent effects on MMSE score were confirmed in a linear multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Taken together, our findings indicate that an assessment of both cognitive and physical conditions should be included in the comprehensive geriatric evaluation of hospitalized older STEMI patients.

Myocardial Infarction Complications After Surgery in Vietnam: Estimates of Incremental Cost, Readmission Risk, and Length of Hospital Stay

Myocardial infarction is a considerable burden on public health. However, there is a lack of information about its economic impact on both the individual and national levels. This study aims to estimate the incremental cost, readmission risk, and length of hospital stay due to myocardial infarction as a post-operative complication. We used data from a standardized national system managed by the Vietnam Social Insurance database. The original sample size was 1,241,893 surgical patients who had undergone one of seven types of surgery. A propensity score matching method was applied to create a matched sample for cost analysis. A generalized linear model was used to estimate direct treatment costs, the length of stay, and the effect of the complication on the readmission of surgical patients. Myocardial infarction occurs most frequently after vascular surgery. Patients with a myocardial infarction complication were more likely to experience readmission within 30 and 90 days, with an OR of 3.45 (95%CI: 2.92–4.08) and 4.39 (95%CI: 3.78–5.10), respectively. The increments of total costs at 30 and 90 days due to post-operative myocardial infarction were 4,490.9 USD (95%CI: 3882.3–5099.5) and 4,724.6 USD (95%CI: 4111.5–5337.8) per case, while the increases in length of stay were 4.9 (95%CI: 3.6–6.2) and 5.7 (95%CI: 4.2–7.2) per case, respectively. Perioperative myocardial infarction contributes significantly to medical costs for the individual and the national economy. Patients with perioperative myocardial infarction are more likely to be readmitted and face a longer treatment duration.

Association of soluble ST2 and infarct location within 12-24 h in STEMI: A cross-sectional study

Background

ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction (STEMI) causes the release of soluble ST2 biomarkers at high level on acute phase. However, sST2 has never been used as adjunct biomarker in ESC/AHA guideline for STEMI. Furthermore, the specific onset that sST2 may have role in acute phase of STEMI related with infarct location has not been established. This study aimed to prove the association between serum ST2 levels and infarct location in STEMI.

Material and methods

This study was cross-sectional. STEMI patients with onset of anginal pain 12–24 h were included in study. The exclusion criterias were patients with AMI aside from STEMI and other potential confounders affecting the sST2 level. Serum sST2 was collected on first medical contact when admitted to emergency unit. The patients were grouped into anterior STEMI and non-anterior STEMI. sST2 levels were compared with demographics data, clinical and laboratory variables using Student's t-test. Correlation of sST2 levels was analyzed using Spearman's correlation coefficient.

Results

19 subjects were included in the anterior STEMI and 20 subjects were included in the non-anterior STEMI. We found no difference in sST2 levels between anterior STEMI and non-anterior STEMI (mean ± SD; 729.97 pg/mL ± 147.78 pg/mL vs 606.87 pg/mL ± 147.78 pg/mL, p = 0.119). Onset was correlated with serum sST2 levels in male subjects (r = −0.459, p = 0.012). We found significant difference of mean sST2 between 2 onset groups divided at median (12–18 h vs 19–24 h, Δ mean = 107.75 pg/mL, p-value = 0.021).

Conclusion

sST2 was not associated with infarct location within 12–24 h onset of STEMI. This results suggest that infarct location might not responsible for the elevation of serum sST2 levels in acute phase of STEMI.

•

STEMI causes the release of soluble ST2 biomarkers at high level on acute phase.

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sST2 and it association with infarct location within 12–24 h.

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Infarct location might not responsible for the elevation of serum sST2 levels.

The Healthcare Cost Burden in Adults with High Risk for Cardiovascular Disease

OBJECTIVE

We calculated the short- and long-term care resource use and costs in adults with high-risk conditions for cardiovascular disease (HRCVD) as defined by the Canadian Cardiovascular Society dyslipidemia guidelines.

METHODS

We linked Alberta health databases to identify patients aged ≥ 18 years with HRCVD between fiscal year (FY) 2012 and FY2016. The first HRCVD event was the index event. Patients were categorized into (1) primary prevention patients and (2) secondary prevention patients at the index event and were followed until death, they moved out of the province, or they were censored at March 2018. We calculated the resource use and costs for each of the 5 years after the index event.

RESULTS

The study included 459,739 HRCVD patients (13,947 [3%] were secondary prevention patients). The secondary prevention patients were older (median age 61 years vs. 55 years; p < 0.001), and there were fewer females in this group (30.4% vs. 51.3%; p < 0.001). The total healthcare costs in the first year decreased over time (FY2012: 1.16 billion Canadian dollars (CA$); FY2016: CA$1.05 billion; p < 0.001). An HRCVD patient incurred CA$12,068, CA$5626, and CA$4655 during the first, second, and fifth year, respectively (p for trend < 0.001). During the first year, healthcare costs per secondary prevention patient (CA$36,641) were triple that for a primary prevention patient (CA$11,299; p < 0.001), primarily due to higher hospitalization costs in secondary prevention patients (CA$26,896 vs. CA$6051; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The healthcare costs for HRCVD patients were substantial but decreased over time. The costs were highest in the year following the index event and decreased thereafter. Secondary prevention patients incurred higher costs than the primary prevention patients.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Direct Oral Anticoagulants Vs. Vitamin K Antagonists in the Elderly With Atrial Fibrillation: Insights From the Evidence in a Real-World Setting

Background: In the clinical setting, the economic benefits of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) remain unclear. This study aimed to estimate and compare the cost-effectiveness of DOACs (dabigatran, rivaroxaban, apixaban, and edoxaban) and vitamin K antagonists (VKAs; warfarin) in preventing stroke among AF patients aged >75 years in real-world practice. Methods: A Markov model with a 10-year span was constructed to estimate the long-term clinical and economic outcomes among AF patients aged >75 years treated with DOACs and warfarin. The study was populated with a hypothetical cohort of 10,000 AF patients aged >75 years. Probabilities of clinical outcomes were obtained from the pooled observational studies (OSs), comparing DOACs (dabigatran, rivaroxaban, apixaban, and edoxaban) with VKAs. Other model inputs, including the utilities and the costs, were all estimated from public sources and the published literature. The costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QAYLs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) were estimated for each treatment strategy. Subgroup analyses of individual DOACs and the scenario analysis were performed. Uncertainty was evaluated by deterministic sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA). Results: Compared to warfarin, DOACs were associated with a gain of 0.36 QALY at an additional cost of $15,234.65, resulting in an ICER of $42,318.47 per QALY. Sensitivity analysis revealed that the ICER was sensitive to the cost of DOACs. Direct oral anticoagulants also shifted from dominating to dominated status When their annual costs of DOACs were over $3,802.84 or the risk ratio of death compared to warfarin was over 1.077%/year. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) suggested that DOACs had a 53.83 and 90.7% probability of being cost-effective when the willingness-to-pay threshold was set at $50,000 and $100,000, respectively. Among all the four individual DOACs, edoxaban treatment was revealed as the preferred treatment strategy for the AF patients aged over 75 years by yielding the most significant health gain with the relatively low total cost. Conclusions: Despite the high risk for major bleeding in elderly patients with AF, DOACs are more cost-effective treatment options than warfarin in real-world practice. Edoxaban was the preferred treatment strategy among four kinds of DOACs for AF patients aged over 75 years. Furthermore, beyond their safety profiles, the treatment benefits of DOACs assumed greater relevance and importance in older adults.

Association of Acidemia With Short-Term Mortality of Acute Myocardial Infarction: A Retrospective Study Base on MIMIC-III Database

Acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is a leading cause of death and not a few of these patients are combined with acidemia. This study aimed to detect the association of acidemia with short-term mortality of AMI patients. A total of 972 AMI patients were selected from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC) III database for analysis. Propensity-score matching (PSM) was used to reduce the imbalance. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to compare the mortality, and Cox-proportional hazards model was used to detect related factors associated with mortality. After PSM, a total of 345 non-acidemia patients and 345 matched acidemia patients were included. The non-acidemia patients had a significantly lower 30-day mortality (20.0% vs. 28.7%) and lower 90-day mortality (24.9% vs. 31.9%) than the acidemia patients (P < 0.001 for all). The severe-acidemia patients (PH < 7.25) had the highest 30-day mortality (52.6%) and 90-day mortality (53.9%) than non-acidemia patients and mild-acidemia (7.25 ≤ PH < 7.35) patients (P < 0.001). In Cox-proportional hazards model, acidemia was associated with improved 30-day mortality (HR = 1.518; 95%CI = 1.110-2.076, P = 0.009) and 90-day mortality (HR = 1.378; 95%CI = 1.034 -1.837, P = 0.029). These results suggest that severe acidemia is associated with improved 30-day mortality and 90-day mortality of AMI patients.

Healthcare Costs Associated with Complications in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes among 1.85 Million Adults in Beijing, China

We aimed to provide reliable regression estimates of expenditures associated with various complications in type 2 diabetics in China. In total, 1,859,039 type 2 diabetes patients with complications were obtained from the Beijing Medical Claim Data for Employees database from 2008 to 2016. We estimated costs for complications using a generalized estimating equation model adjusted for age, sex, and the incidence of various complications. The average total cost for diabetic patients with complications was 17.12 thousand RMB. Prescribed drugs accounted for 63.4% of costs. We observed a significant increase in costs in the first year after the onset of complications. Compared with costs before the incidence of complications, the additional costs per person in the first year and >1 year after the event would be 10,631.16 RMB and 1150.71 RMB for cardiovascular disease, 1017.62 RMB and 653.82 RMB for cerebrovascular disease, and 301.14 RMB and 624.00 RMB for kidney disease, respectively. The estimated coefficients for outpatient visits were relatively lower than those of inpatient visits. Complications in diabetics exert a significant impact on total healthcare costs in the first year of their onset and in subsequent years. Our estimates may assist policymakers in quantifying the economic burden of diabetes complications.

Outcome and Cost of Optimal Control of Dyslipidemia in Adults With High Risk for Cardiovascular Disease

BACKGROUND

We assessed the impact of optimal dyslipidemia control on mortality and costs in adults at high risk for cardiovascular disease (HRCVD).

METHODS

We linked Alberta health databases to identify patients aged ≥ 18 years with HRCVD between April 2012 and March 2017. The first HRCVD event was considered the index event. Patients were categorized into (1) optimal control and (2) suboptimal control of dyslipidemia based on biomarkers and lipid-lowering therapy during the year post-index event. We measured the association between optimal dyslipidemia control and mortality and health care costs using difference-in-difference and propensity score-matching methods.

RESULTS

The study included 459,739 patients with HRCVD (43,776 [9.5%] optimal patients). The optimal patients were older (median age = 62 vs 55 years; P < 0.001), included fewer female patients (37.7% vs 52%; P < 0.001), and featured a higher proportion of secondary prevention patients (15.7% vs 1.7%; P < 0.001). Compared with suboptimal patients, the optimal patients had lower adjusted mortality (0.7% vs 1.9% at 1-year and 2.9% vs 5.1% at 3-year post-index event; both P < 0.001), and higher adjusted health care costs (CA$3758 and CA$6844 at 1-year and 3-year post-index event, respectively; both P < 0.001). Among the secondary prevention group, the optimal patients had lower adjusted mortality (2.4% and 5% absolute reduction at 1-year and 3-year post-index event, respectively; both P < 0.001) at no additional costs. The results were robust across 5 definitions of optimal dyslipidemia control.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with optimal dyslipidemia control have lower mortality and incur modestly higher costs. However, secondary prevention patients experience lower mortality at no additional costs.

The Current and Future Hospitalization Cost Burden of Syncope in Canada

BACKGROUND

Single-center studies have shown the high costs associated with the hospital evaluation of syncope. National cost estimates for syncope-related hospitalizations are sparse, and none exist in Canada.

METHODS

The Canadian Institute for Health Information Discharge Abstract Database was used to identify acute care hospitalizations with a primary diagnosis of syncope between fiscal years (FY) 2004 and 2015 in all provinces and territories (except Quebec). We used multiple linear regression to calculate the trends in prevalence of hospital admissions and generalized linear regression to estimate the costs of a hospitalization. The syncope hospitalization rate and the cost per hospitalization in Quebec were assumed to be the average of the rest of the country. The future hospitalization cost burden of syncope was projected to 2030.

RESULTS

There were 128,263 hospitalizations for a primary diagnosis of syncope over the 10-year study period, resulting in a total cost of $619.9 million (Canadian). An estimate of 41,044 syncope hospitalizations occurred in Quebec, costing $198.7 million. The total hospitalization cost of syncope in Canada was estimated at $818.5 million. The annual costs of syncope hospitalizations increased from $66.6 to $68.5 million between FY2004 and FY2015, respectively, and are projected to increase to $87.1 million in 2030.

CONCLUSION

Hospitalization costs for syncope in Canada are high and rising. Research is needed to identify opportunities to deliver more efficient and cost-effective care.

Cost-effectiveness of low-dose colchicine after myocardial infarction in the Colchicine Cardiovascular Outcomes Trial (COLCOT)

Aims

In the randomized, placebo-controlled Colchicine Cardiovascular Outcomes Trial (COLCOT) of 4745 patients enrolled within 30 days after myocardial infarction (MI), low-dose colchicine (0.5 mg once daily) reduced the incidence of the primary composite endpoint of cardiovascular death, resuscitated cardiac arrest, MI, stroke, or urgent hospitalization for angina leading to coronary revascularization. To assess the in-trial period and lifetime cost-effectiveness of low-dose colchicine therapy compared to placebo in post-MI patients on standard-of-care therapy.

Methods and results

A multistate Markov model was developed incorporating the primary efficacy and safety results from COLCOT, as well as healthcare costs and utilities from the Canadian healthcare system perspective. All components of the primary outcome, non-cardiovascular deaths, and pneumonia were included as health states in the model as both primary and recurrent events. In the main analysis, a deterministic approach was used to estimate the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) for the trial period (24 months) and lifetime (20 years). Over the in-trial period, the addition of colchicine to post-MI standard-of-care treatment decreased the mean overall per-patient costs by 47%, from $502 to $265 Canadian dollar (CAD), and increased the quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) from 1.30 to 1.34. The lifetime per-patient costs were further reduced (69%) and QALYs increased with colchicine therapy (from 8.82 to 11.68). As a result, both in-trial and lifetime ICERs indicated colchicine therapy was a dominant strategy.

Conclusion

Cost-effectiveness analyses indicate that the addition of colchicine to standard-of-care therapy after MI is economically dominant and therefore generates cost savings.

Health economic assessment of a scenario to promote bicycling as active transport in Stockholm, Sweden

OBJECTIVES

To conduct a health economic evaluation of a proposed investment in urban bicycle infrastructure in Stockholm County, Sweden.

DESIGN

A cost-effectiveness analysis is undertaken from a healthcare perspective. Investment costs over a 50-year life cycle are offset by averted healthcare costs and compared with estimated long-term impacts on morbidity, quantified in disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). The results are re-calculated under different assumptions to model the effects of uncertainty.

SETTING

The Municipality of Stockholm (population 2.27 million) committed funds for bicycle path infrastructure with the aim of achieving a 15% increase in the number of bicycle commuters by 2030. This work is based on a previously constructed scenario, in which individual registry data on home and work address and a transport model allocation to different modes of transport identified 111 487 individuals with the physical capacity to bicycle to work within 30 min but that currently drive a car to work.

RESULTS

Morbidity impacts and healthcare costs attributed to increased physical activity, change in air pollution exposure and accident risk are quantified under the scenario. The largest reduction in healthcare costs is attributed to increased physical activity and the second largest to reduced air pollution exposure among the population of Greater Stockholm. The expected net benefit from the investment is 8.7% of the 2017 Stockholm County healthcare budget, and 3.7% after discounting. The economic evaluation estimates that the intervention is cost-effective and each DALY averted gives a surplus of €9933. The results remained robust under varied assumptions pertaining to reduced numbers of additional bicycle commuters.

CONCLUSION

Investing in urban infrastructure to increase bicycling as active transport is cost-effective from a healthcare sector perspective.