Clinical applications of artificial intelligence in sepsis: A narrative review

Personalized, disease-stage specific, rapid identification of immunosuppression in sepsis

Introduction

Data overlapping of different biological conditions prevents personalized medical decision-making. For example, when the neutrophil percentages of surviving septic patients overlap with those of non-survivors, no individualized assessment is possible. To ameliorate this problem, an immunological method was explored in the context of sepsis.

Methods

Blood leukocyte counts and relative percentages as well as the serum concentration of several proteins were investigated with 4072 longitudinal samples collected from 331 hospitalized patients classified as septic (n=286), non-septic (n=43), or not assigned (n=2). Two methodological approaches were evaluated: (i) a reductionist alternative, which analyzed variables in isolation; and (ii) a non-reductionist version, which examined interactions among six (leukocyte-, bacterial-, temporal-, personalized-, population-, and outcome-related) dimensions.

Results

The reductionist approach did not distinguish outcomes: the leukocyte and serum protein data of survivors and non-survivors overlapped. In contrast, the non-reductionist alternative differentiated several data groups, of which at least one was only composed of survivors (a finding observable since hospitalization day 1). Hence, the non-reductionist approach promoted personalized medical practices: every patient classified within a subset associated with 100% survival subset was likely to survive. The non-reductionist method also revealed five inflammatory or disease-related stages (provisionally named 'early inflammation, early immunocompetence, intermediary immuno-suppression, late immuno-suppression, or other'). Mortality data validated these labels: both 'suppression' subsets revealed 100% mortality, the 'immunocompetence' group exhibited 100% survival, while the remaining sets reported two-digit mortality percentages. While the 'intermediary' suppression expressed an impaired monocyte-related function, the 'late' suppression displayed renal-related dysfunctions, as indicated by high concentrations of urea and creatinine.

Discussion

The data-driven differentiation of five data groups may foster early and non-overlapping biomedical decision-making, both upon admission and throughout their hospitalization. This approach could evaluate therapies, at personalized level, earlier. To ascertain repeatability and investigate the dynamics of the 'other' group, additional studies are recommended.

Role of artificial intelligence in critical care nutrition support and research

Nutrition plays a key role in the comprehensive care of critically ill patients. Determining optimal nutrition strategy, however, remains a subject of intense debate. Artificial intelligence (AI) applications are becoming increasingly common in medicine, and specifically in critical care, driven by the data-rich environment of intensive care units. In this review, we will examine the evidence regarding the application of AI in critical care nutrition. As of now, the use of AI in critical care nutrition is relatively limited, with its primary emphasis on malnutrition screening and tolerance of enteral nutrition. Despite the current scarcity of evidence, the potential for AI for more personalized nutrition management for critically ill patients is substantial. This stems from the ability of AI to integrate multiple data streams reflecting patients' changing needs while addressing inherent heterogeneity. The application of AI in critical care nutrition holds promise for optimizing patient outcomes through tailored and adaptive nutrition interventions. A successful implementation of AI, however, necessitates a multidisciplinary approach, coupled with careful consideration of challenges related to data management, financial aspects, and patient privacy.

Sepsis mortality prediction with Machine Learning Tecniques

OBJECTIVE

To develop a sepsis death classification model based on machine learning techniques for patients admitted to the Intensive Care Unit (ICU).

DESIGN

Cross-sectional descriptive study.

SETTING

The Intensive Care Units (ICUs) of three Hospitals from Murcia (Spain) and patients from the MIMIC III open-access database.

PATIENTS

180 patients diagnosed with sepsis in the ICUs of three hospitals and a total of 4559 patients from the MIMIC III database.

MAIN VARIABLES OF INTEREST

Age, weight, heart rate, respiratory rate, temperature, lactate levels, partial oxygen saturation, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, pH, urine, and potassium levels.

RESULTS

A random forest classification model was calculated using the local and MIMIC III databases. The sensitivity of the model of our database, considering all the variables classified as important by the random forest, was 95.45%, the specificity was 100%, the accuracy was 96.77%, and an AUC of 95%. . In the case of the model based on the MIMIC III database, the sensitivity was 97.55%, the specificity was 100%, and the precision was 98.28%, with an AUC of 97.3%.

CONCLUSIONS

According to random forest classification in both databases, lactate levels, urine output and variables related to acid.base equilibrium were the most important variable in mortality due to sepsis in the ICU. The potassium levels were more critical in the MIMIC III database than the local database.

An early sepsis prediction model utilizing machine learning and unbalanced data processing in a clinical context

Background

Early and accurate diagnoses of sepsis patients are essential to reduce the mortality. However, the sepsis is still diagnosed in a traditional way in China despite the increasing number of related studies, which may to some extent lead to delays in the treatment.

Methods

The study included 2,385 patients, including 364 with sepsis, collected from the First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University and partner hospitals from April to July 2022. External validation was conducted using the MIMIC-III database (over 60,000 patients from 2001 to 2012) and the eICU Collaborative Research Database (139,000 patients from 2014 to 2015). Multiple algorithm models, along with the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis, are applied to explore the main risk factors for the accurate prediction of the sepsis. Multiple Imputations for filling missing data and the Synthetic Minority Oversampling (SMOTE) balancing method for balancing data are used for the data processing.

Result

Eighteen diagnostic features are used in the predictive model for early sepsis. The Random Forest model has the best performance among all the models, with an Area Under the Curve (AUC) of 87% and an F1-score (F1) of 77%. Moreover, the interpretation from the SHAP analysis is generally consistent with the current clinical situation.

Conclusion

The study revealed the relationship between these 18 clinical features and diagnostic outcomes. The results indicate that patients with laboratory values of Systolic Blood Pressure, Albumin, and Heart Rate exceeding certain thresholds are at a high likelihood of developing sepsis.

Artificial intelligence and prescription of antibiotic therapy: present and future

INTRODUCTION

In the past few years, the use of artificial intelligence in healthcare has grown exponentially. Prescription of antibiotics is not exempt from its rapid diffusion, and various machine learning (ML) techniques, from logistic regression to deep neural networks and large language models, have been explored in the literature to support decisions regarding antibiotic prescription.

AREAS COVERED

In this narrative review, we discuss promises and challenges of the application of ML-based clinical decision support systems (ML-CDSSs) for antibiotic prescription. A search was conducted in PubMed up to April 2024.

EXPERT OPINION

Prescribing antibiotics is a complex process involving various dynamic phases. In each of these phases, the support of ML-CDSSs has shown the potential, and also the actual ability in some studies, to favorably impacting relevant clinical outcomes. Nonetheless, before widely exploiting this massive potential, there are still crucial challenges ahead that are being intensively investigated, pertaining to the transparency of training data, the definition of the sufficient degree of prediction explanations when predictions are obtained through black box models, and the legal and ethical framework for decision responsibility whenever an antibiotic prescription is supported by ML-CDSSs.

Real-time machine learning-assisted sepsis alert enhances the timeliness of antibiotic administration and diagnostic accuracy in emergency department patients with sepsis: a cluster-randomized trial

Machine learning (ML) has been applied in sepsis recognition across different healthcare settings with outstanding diagnostic accuracy. However, the advantage of ML-assisted sepsis alert in expediting clinical decisions leading to enhanced quality for emergency department (ED) patients remains unclear. A cluster-randomized trial was conducted in a tertiary-care hospital. Adult patient data were subjected to an ML model for sepsis alert. Patient visits were assigned into one of two groups. In the intervention cluster, staff received alerts on a display screen if patients met the ML threshold for sepsis diagnosis, while patients in the control cluster followed the regular alert process. The study compared triage-to-antibiotic (TTA) time, length of stay, and mortality rate between the two groups. Additionally, the diagnostic performance of the ML model was assessed. A total of 256 (intervention) and 318 (control) sepsis patients were analyzed. The proportions of patients who received antibiotics within 1 and 3 h were higher in the intervention group than in the control group (in 1 h; 68.4 vs. 60.1%, respectively; P = 0.04, in 3 h; 94.5 vs. 89.0%, respectively; P = 0.02). The median TTA times were marginally shorter in the intervention group (46 vs. 50 min). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of ML in early sepsis identification was significantly higher than qSOFA, SIRS, and MEWS. The ML-assisted sepsis alert system may help sepsis ED patients receive antibiotics more rapidly than with the conventional, human-dedicated alert process. The diagnostic performance of ML in prompt sepsis detection was superior to that of the rule-based system.Trial registration Thai Clinical Trials Registry TCTR20230120001. Registered 16 January 2023-Retrospectively registered, https://www.thaiclinicaltrials.org/show/TCTR20230120001 .

Implications of Artificial Intelligence in Addressing Antimicrobial Resistance: Innovations, Global Challenges, and Healthcare's Future

Antibiotic resistance poses a significant threat to global public health due to complex interactions between bacterial genetic factors and external influences such as antibiotic misuse. Artificial intelligence (AI) offers innovative strategies to address this crisis. For example, AI can analyze genomic data to detect resistance markers early on, enabling early interventions. In addition, AI-powered decision support systems can optimize antibiotic use by recommending the most effective treatments based on patient data and local resistance patterns. AI can accelerate drug discovery by predicting the efficacy of new compounds and identifying potential antibacterial agents. Although progress has been made, challenges persist, including data quality, model interpretability, and real-world implementation. A multidisciplinary approach that integrates AI with other emerging technologies, such as synthetic biology and nanomedicine, could pave the way for effective prevention and mitigation of antimicrobial resistance, preserving the efficacy of antibiotics for future generations.

Capturing artificial intelligence applications' value proposition in healthcare - a qualitative research study

Artificial intelligence (AI) applications pave the way for innovations in the healthcare (HC) industry. However, their adoption in HC organizations is still nascent as organizations often face a fragmented and incomplete picture of how they can capture the value of AI applications on a managerial level. To overcome adoption hurdles, HC organizations would benefit from understanding how they can capture AI applications' potential.We conduct a comprehensive systematic literature review and 11 semi-structured expert interviews to identify, systematize, and describe 15 business objectives that translate into six value propositions of AI applications in HC.Our results demonstrate that AI applications can have several business objectives converging into risk-reduced patient care, advanced patient care, self-management, process acceleration, resource optimization, and knowledge discovery.We contribute to the literature by extending research on value creation mechanisms of AI to the HC context and guiding HC organizations in evaluating their AI applications or those of the competition on a managerial level, to assess AI investment decisions, and to align their AI application portfolio towards an overarching strategy.

A hybrid modeling framework for generalizable and interpretable predictions of ICU mortality across multiple hospitals

The development of reliable mortality risk stratification models is an active research area in computational healthcare. Mortality risk stratification provides a standard to assist physicians in evaluating a patient's condition or prognosis objectively. Particular interest lies in methods that are transparent to clinical interpretation and that retain predictive power once validated across diverse datasets they were not trained on. This study addresses the challenge of consolidating numerous ICD codes for predictive modeling of ICU mortality, employing a hybrid modeling approach that integrates mechanistic, clinical knowledge with mathematical and machine learning models . A tree-structured network connecting independent modules that carry clinical meaning is implemented for interpretability. Our training strategy utilizes graph-theoretic methods for data analysis, aiming to identify the functions of individual black-box modules within the tree-structured network by harnessing solutions from specific max-cut problems. The trained model is then validated on external datasets from different hospitals, demonstrating successful generalization capabilities, particularly in binary-feature datasets where label assessment involves extrapolation.

A Machine Learning Predictive Model of Bloodstream Infection in Hospitalized Patients

The aim of the study was to build a machine learning-based predictive model to discriminate between hospitalized patients at low risk and high risk of bloodstream infection (BSI). A Data Mart including all patients hospitalized between January 2016 and December 2019 with suspected BSI was built. Multivariate logistic regression was applied to develop a clinically interpretable machine learning predictive model. The model was trained on 2016-2018 data and tested on 2019 data. A feature selection based on a univariate logistic regression first selected candidate predictors of BSI. A multivariate logistic regression with stepwise feature selection in five-fold cross-validation was applied to express the risk of BSI. A total of 5660 hospitalizations (4026 and 1634 in the training and the validation subsets, respectively) were included. Eleven predictors of BSI were identified. The performance of the model in terms of AUROC was 0.74. Based on the interquartile predicted risk score, 508 (31.1%) patients were defined as being at low risk, 776 (47.5%) at medium risk, and 350 (21.4%) at high risk of BSI. Of them, 14.2% (72/508), 30.8% (239/776), and 64% (224/350) had a BSI, respectively. The performance of the predictive model of BSI is promising. Computational infrastructure and machine learning models can help clinicians identify people at low risk for BSI, ultimately supporting an antibiotic stewardship approach.

Role of artificial intelligence in haemodynamic monitoring

This narrative review explores the evolving role of artificial intelligence (AI) in haemodynamic monitoring, emphasising its potential to revolutionise patient care. The historical reliance on invasive procedures for haemodynamic assessments is contrasted with the emerging non-invasive AI-driven approaches that address limitations and risks associated with traditional methods. Developing the hypotension prediction index and introducing CircEWSTM and CircEWS-lite TM showcase AI's effectiveness in predicting and managing circulatory failure. The crucial aspects include the balance between AI and healthcare professionals, ethical considerations, and the need for regulatory frameworks. The use of AI in haemodynamic monitoring will keep growing with ongoing research, better technology, and teamwork. As we navigate these advancements, it is crucial to balance AI's power and healthcare professionals' essential role. Clinicians must continue to use their clinical acumen to ensure that patient outliers or system problems do not compromise the treatment of the condition and patient safety.

Multi-organ spatiotemporal information aware model for sepsis mortality prediction

BACKGROUND

Sepsis is a syndrome involving multi-organ dysfunction, and the mortality in sepsis patients correlates with the number of lesioned organs. Precise prognosis models play a pivotal role in enabling healthcare practitioners to administer timely and accurate interventions for sepsis, thereby augmenting patient outcomes. Nevertheless, the majority of available models consider the overall physiological attributes of patients, overlooking the asynchronous spatiotemporal interactions among multiple organ systems. These constraints hinder a full application of such models, particularly when dealing with limited clinical data. To surmount these challenges, a comprehensive model, denoted as recurrent Graph Attention Network-multi Gated Recurrent Unit (rGAT-mGRU), was proposed. Taking into account the intricate spatiotemporal interactions among multiple organ systems, the model predicted in-hospital mortality of sepsis using data collected within the 48-hour period post-diagnosis.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Multiple parallel GRU sub-models were formulated to investigate the temporal physiological variations of single organ systems. Meanwhile, a GAT structure featuring a memory unit was constructed to capture spatiotemporal connections among multi-organ systems. Additionally, an attention-injection mechanism was employed to govern the data flowing within the network pertaining to multi-organ systems. The proposed model underwent training and testing using a dataset of 10,181 sepsis cases extracted from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III (MIMIC-III) database. To evaluate the model's superiority, it was compared with the existing common baseline models. Furthermore, ablation experiments were designed to elucidate the rationale and robustness of the proposed model.

RESULTS

Compared with the baseline models for predicting mortality of sepsis, the rGAT-mGRU model demonstrated the largest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.8777 ± 0.0039 and the maximum area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC) of 0.5818 ± 0.0071, with sensitivity of 0.8358 ± 0.0302 and specificity of 0.7727 ± 0.0229, respectively. The proposed model was capable of delineating the varying contribution of the involved organ systems at distinct moments, as specifically illustrated by the attention weights. Furthermore, it exhibited consistent performance even in the face of limited clinical data.

CONCLUSION

The rGAT-mGRU model has the potential to indicate sepsis prognosis by extracting the dynamic spatiotemporal interplay information inherent in multi-organ systems during critical diseases, thereby providing clinicians with auxiliary decision-making support.

Performance of an AI algorithm during the different phases of the COVID pandemics: what can we learn from the AI and vice versa

Background

Artificial intelligence (AI) has proved to be of great value in diagnosing and managing Sars-Cov-2 infection. ALFABETO (ALL-FAster-BEtter-TOgether) is a tool created to support healthcare professionals in the triage, mainly in optimizing hospital admissions.

Methods

The AI was trained during the pandemic's "first wave" (February-April 2020). Our aim was to assess the performance during the "third wave" of the pandemics (February-April 2021) and evaluate its evolution. The neural network proposed behavior (hospitalization vs home care) was compared with what was actually done. If there were discrepancies between ALFABETO's predictions and clinicians' decisions, the disease's progression was monitored. Clinical course was defined as "favorable/mild" if patients could be managed at home or in spoke centers and "unfavorable/severe" if patients need to be managed in a hub center.

Results

ALFABETO showed accuracy of 76%, AUROC of 83%; specificity was 78% and recall 74%. ALFABETO also showed high precision (88%). 81 hospitalized patients were incorrectly predicted to be in "home care" class. Among those "home-cared" by the AI and "hospitalized" by the clinicians, 3 out of 4 misclassified patients (76.5%) showed a favorable/mild clinical course. ALFABETO's performance matched the reports in literature.

Conclusions

The discrepancies mostly occurred when the AI predicted patients could stay at home but clinicians hospitalized them; these cases could be handled in spoke centers rather than hubs, and the discrepancies may aid clinicians in patient selection. The interaction between AI and human experience has the potential to improve both AI performance and our comprehension of pandemic management.

ChatGPT's performance before and after teaching in mass casualty incident triage

Since its initial launching, ChatGPT has gained significant attention from the media, with many claiming that ChatGPT's arrival is a transformative milestone in the advancement of the AI revolution. Our aim was to assess the performance of ChatGPT before and after teaching the triage of mass casualty incidents by utilizing a validated questionnaire specifically designed for such scenarios. In addition, we compared the triage performance between ChatGPT and medical students. Our cross-sectional study employed a mixed-methods analysis to assess the performance of ChatGPT in mass casualty incident triage, pre- and post-teaching of Simple Triage And Rapid Treatment (START) triage. After teaching the START triage algorithm, ChatGPT scored an overall triage accuracy of 80%, with only 20% of cases being over-triaged. The mean accuracy of medical students on the same questionnaire yielded 64.3%. Qualitative analysis on pre-determined themes on 'walking-wounded', 'respiration', 'perfusion', and 'mental status' on ChatGPT showed similar performance in pre- and post-teaching of START triage. Additional themes on 'disclaimer', 'prediction', 'management plan', and 'assumption' were identified during the thematic analysis. ChatGPT exhibited promising results in effectively responding to mass casualty incident questionnaires. Nevertheless, additional research is necessary to ensure its safety and efficacy before clinical implementation.

Detecting changes in the performance of a clinical machine learning tool over time

BACKGROUND

Excessive use of blood cultures (BCs) in Emergency Departments (EDs) results in low yields and high contamination rates, associated with increased antibiotic use and unnecessary diagnostics. Our team previously developed and validated a machine learning model to predict BC outcomes and enhance diagnostic stewardship. While the model showed promising initial results, concerns over performance drift due to evolving patient demographics, clinical practices, and outcome rates warrant continual monitoring and evaluation of such models.

METHODS

A real-time evaluation of the model's performance was conducted between October 2021 and September 2022. The model was integrated into Amsterdam UMC's Electronic Health Record system, predicting BC outcomes for all adult patients with BC draws in real time. The model's performance was assessed monthly using metrics including the Area Under the Curve (AUC), Area Under the Precision-Recall Curve (AUPRC), and Brier scores. Statistical Process Control (SPC) charts were used to monitor variation over time.

FINDINGS

Across 3.035 unique adult patient visits, the model achieved an average AUC of 0.78, AUPRC of 0.41, and a Brier score of 0.10 for predicting the outcome of BCs drawn in the ED. While specific population characteristics changed over time, no statistical points outside the statistical control range were detected in the AUC, AUPRC, and Brier scores, indicating stable model performance. The average BC positivity rate during the study period was 13.4%.

INTERPRETATION

Despite significant changes in clinical practice, our BC stewardship tool exhibited stable performance, suggesting its robustness to changing environments. Using SPC charts for various metrics enables simple and effective monitoring of potential performance drift. The assessment of the variation of outcome rates and population changes may guide the specific interventions, such as intercept correction or recalibration, that may be needed to maintain a stable model performance over time. This study suggested no need to recalibrate or correct our BC stewardship tool.

FUNDING

No funding to disclose.

The application of artificial intelligence in the management of sepsis

Sepsis is a complex and heterogeneous syndrome that remains a serious challenge to healthcare worldwide. Patients afflicted by severe sepsis or septic shock are customarily placed under intensive care unit (ICU) supervision, where a multitude of apparatus is poised to produce high-granularity data. This reservoir of high-quality data forms the cornerstone for the integration of AI into clinical practice. However, existing reviews currently lack the inclusion of the latest advancements. This review examines the evolving integration of artificial intelligence (AI) in sepsis management. Applications of artificial intelligence include early detection, subtyping analysis, precise treatment and prognosis assessment. AI-driven early warning systems provide enhanced recognition and intervention capabilities, while profiling analyzes elucidate distinct sepsis manifestations for targeted therapy. Precision medicine harnesses the potential of artificial intelligence for pathogen identification, antibiotic selection, and fluid optimization. In conclusion, the seamless amalgamation of artificial intelligence into the domain of sepsis management heralds a transformative shift, ushering in novel prospects to elevate diagnostic precision, therapeutic efficacy, and prognostic acumen. As AI technologies develop, their impact on shaping the future of sepsis care warrants ongoing research and thoughtful implementation.

Machine Learning-Based Early Prediction of Sepsis Using Electronic Health Records: A Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

Sepsis, a life-threatening infection-induced inflammatory condition, has significant global health impacts. Timely detection is crucial for improving patient outcomes as sepsis can rapidly progress to severe forms. The application of machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) to predict sepsis using electronic health records (EHRs) has gained considerable attention for timely intervention.

METHODS

PubMed, IEEE Xplore, Google Scholar, and Scopus were searched for relevant studies. All studies that used ML/DL to detect or early-predict the onset of sepsis in the adult population using EHRs were considered. Data were extracted and analyzed from all studies that met the criteria and were also evaluated for their quality.

RESULTS

This systematic review examined 1942 articles, selecting 42 studies while adhering to strict criteria. The chosen studies were predominantly retrospective (n = 38) and spanned diverse geographic settings, with a focus on the United States. Different datasets, sepsis definitions, and prevalence rates were employed, necessitating data augmentation. Heterogeneous parameter utilization, diverse model distribution, and varying quality assessments were observed. Longitudinal data enabled early sepsis prediction, and quality criteria fulfillment varied, with inconsistent funding-article quality correlation.

CONCLUSIONS

This systematic review underscores the significance of ML/DL methods for sepsis detection and early prediction through EHR data.

Artificial Intelligence-based online platform assists blood cell morphology learning: A mixed-methods sequential explanatory designed research

BACKGROUND

The study aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of learning blood cell morphology by learning on our Artificial intelligence (AI)-based online platform.

METHODS

Our study is based on mixed-methods sequential explanatory design and crossover design. Thirty-one third-year medical students were randomly divided into two groups. The two groups had platform learning and microscopy learning in diferent sequences with pretests and posttests, respectively. Students were interviewed, and the records were coded and analyzed by NVivo 12.0.

RESULTS

For both groups, test scores increased significantly after online-platform learning. Feasibility was the most mentioned advantage of the platform. The AI system could inspire the students to compare the similarities and differences between cells and help them understand the cells better. Students had positive perspectives on the online-learning platform.

CONCLUSION

The AI-based online platform could assist medical students in blood cell morphology learning. The AI system could function as a more knowledgeable other (MKO) and guide the students through their zone of proximal development (ZPD) to achieve mastery. It could be an effective and beneficial complement to microscopy learning. Students had very positive perspectives on the AI-based online learning platform. It should be integrated into the course and curriculum to facilitate the students.[Box: see text].

Deployment of machine learning algorithms to predict sepsis: systematic review and application of the SALIENT clinical AI implementation framework

OBJECTIVE

To retrieve and appraise studies of deployed artificial intelligence (AI)-based sepsis prediction algorithms using systematic methods, identify implementation barriers, enablers, and key decisions and then map these to a novel end-to-end clinical AI implementation framework.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Systematically review studies of clinically applied AI-based sepsis prediction algorithms in regard to methodological quality, deployment and evaluation methods, and outcomes. Identify contextual factors that influence implementation and map these factors to the SALIENT implementation framework.

RESULTS

The review identified 30 articles of algorithms applied in adult hospital settings, with 5 studies reporting significantly decreased mortality post-implementation. Eight groups of algorithms were identified, each sharing a common algorithm. We identified 14 barriers, 26 enablers, and 22 decision points which were able to be mapped to the 5 stages of the SALIENT implementation framework.

DISCUSSION

Empirical studies of deployed sepsis prediction algorithms demonstrate their potential for improving care and reducing mortality but reveal persisting gaps in existing implementation guidance. In the examined publications, key decision points reflecting real-word implementation experience could be mapped to the SALIENT framework and, as these decision points appear to be AI-task agnostic, this framework may also be applicable to non-sepsis algorithms. The mapping clarified where and when barriers, enablers, and key decisions arise within the end-to-end AI implementation process.

CONCLUSIONS

A systematic review of real-world implementation studies of sepsis prediction algorithms was used to validate an end-to-end staged implementation framework that has the ability to account for key factors that warrant attention in ensuring successful deployment, and which extends on previous AI implementation frameworks.

Computational Simulation of Virtual Patients Reduces Dataset Bias and Improves Machine Learning-Based Detection of ARDS from Noisy Heterogeneous ICU Datasets

Goal: Machine learning (ML) technologies that leverage large-scale patient data are promising tools predicting disease evolution in individual patients. However, the limited generalizability of ML models developed on single-center datasets, and their unproven performance in real-world settings, remain significant constraints to their widespread adoption in clinical practice. One approach to tackle this issue is to base learning on large multi-center datasets. However, such heterogeneous datasets can introduce further biases driven by data origin, as data structures and patient cohorts may differ between hospitals. Methods: In this paper, we demonstrate how mechanistic virtual patient (VP) modeling can be used to capture specific features of patients' states and dynamics, while reducing biases introduced by heterogeneous datasets. We show how VP modeling can be used for data augmentation through identification of individualized model parameters approximating disease states of patients with suspected acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) from observational data of mixed origin. We compare the results of an unsupervised learning method (clustering) in two cases: where the learning is based on original patient data and on data derived in the matching procedure of the VP model to real patient data. Results: More robust cluster configurations were observed in clustering using the model-derived data. VP model-based clustering also reduced biases introduced by the inclusion of data from different hospitals and was able to discover an additional cluster with significant ARDS enrichment. Conclusions: Our results indicate that mechanistic VP modeling can be used to significantly reduce biases introduced by learning from heterogeneous datasets and to allow improved discovery of patient cohorts driven exclusively by medical conditions.

Data Analytics in Healthcare: A Tertiary Study

The field of healthcare has seen a rapid increase in the applications of data analytics during the last decades. By utilizing different data analytic solutions, healthcare areas such as medical image analysis, disease recognition, outbreak monitoring, and clinical decision support have been automated to various degrees. Consequently, the intersection of healthcare and data analytics has received scientific attention to the point of numerous secondary studies. We analyze studies on healthcare data analytics, and provide a wide overview of the subject. This is a tertiary study, i.e., a systematic review of systematic reviews. We identified 45 systematic secondary studies on data analytics applications in different healthcare sectors, including diagnosis and disease profiling, diabetes, Alzheimer's disease, and sepsis. Machine learning and data mining were the most widely used data analytics techniques in healthcare applications, with a rising trend in popularity. Healthcare data analytics studies often utilize four popular databases in their primary study search, typically select 25-100 primary studies, and the use of research guidelines such as PRISMA is growing. The results may help both data analytics and healthcare researchers towards relevant and timely literature reviews and systematic mappings, and consequently, towards respective empirical studies. In addition, the meta-analysis presents a high-level perspective on prominent data analytics applications in healthcare, indicating the most popular topics in the intersection of data analytics and healthcare, and provides a big picture on a topic that has seen dozens of secondary studies in the last 2 decades.

Automated digital technologies for supporting sepsis prediction in children: a scoping review protocol

INTRODUCTION

While there have been several literature reviews on the performance of digital sepsis prediction technologies and clinical decision-support algorithms for adults, there remains a knowledge gap in examining the development of automated technologies for sepsis prediction in children. This scoping review will critically analyse the current evidence on the design and performance of automated digital technologies to predict paediatric sepsis, to advance their development and integration within clinical settings.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

This scoping review will follow Arksey and O'Malley's framework, conducted between February and December 2022. We will further develop the protocol using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses extension for scoping reviews. We plan to search the following databases: Association of Computing Machinery (ACM) Digital Library, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINAHL), Embase, Google Scholar, Institute of Electric and Electronic Engineers (IEEE), PubMed, Scopus and Web of Science. Studies will be included on children >90 days postnatal to <21 years old, predicted to have or be at risk of developing sepsis by a digitalised model or algorithm designed for a clinical setting. Two independent reviewers will complete the abstract and full-text screening and the data extraction. Thematic analysis will be used to develop overarching concepts and present the narrative findings with quantitative results and descriptive statistics displayed in data tables.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

Ethics approval for this scoping review study of the available literature is not required. We anticipate that the scoping review will identify the current evidence and design characteristics of digital prediction technologies for the timely and accurate prediction of paediatric sepsis and factors influencing clinical integration. We plan to disseminate the preliminary findings from this review at national and international research conferences in global and digital health, gathering critical feedback from multidisciplinary stakeholders. SCOPING REVIEW REGISTRATION: https://osf.io/veqha/?view_only=f560d4892d7c459ea4cff6dcdfacb086.

OnAI-Comp: An Online AI Experts Competing Framework for Early Sepsis Detection

Sepsis is a major public concern due to its high mortality, morbidity, and financial cost. There are many existing works of early sepsis prediction using different machine learning models to mitigate the outcomes brought by sepsis. In the practical scenario, the dataset grows dynamically as new patients visit the hospital. Most existing models, being "offline" models and having used retrospective observational data, cannot be updated and improved dynamically using the new observational data. Incorporating the new data to improve the offline models requires retraining the model, which is very computationally expensive. To solve the challenge mentioned above, we propose an Online Artificial Intelligence Experts Competing Framework (OnAI-Comp) for early sepsis detection using an online learning algorithm called Multi-armed Bandit. We selected several machine learning models as the artificial intelligence experts and used average regret to evaluate the performance of our model. The experimental analysis demonstrated that our model would converge to the optimal strategy in the long run. Meanwhile, our model can provide clinically interpretable predictions using existing local interpretable model-agnostic explanation technologies, which can aid clinicians in making decisions and might improve the probability of survival.

Multi-Omics Techniques Make it Possible to Analyze Sepsis-Associated Acute Kidney Injury Comprehensively

Sepsis-associated acute kidney injury (SA-AKI) is a common complication in critically ill patients with high morbidity and mortality. SA-AKI varies considerably in disease presentation, progression, and response to treatment, highlighting the heterogeneity of the underlying biological mechanisms. In this review, we briefly describe the pathophysiology of SA-AKI, biomarkers, reference databases, and available omics techniques. Advances in omics technology allow for comprehensive analysis of SA-AKI, and the integration of multiple omics provides an opportunity to understand the information flow behind the disease. These approaches will drive a shift in current paradigms for the prevention, diagnosis, and staging and provide the renal community with significant advances in precision medicine in SA-AKI analysis.

Artificial intelligence and clinical deterioration

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

To provide an overview of the systems being used to identify and predict clinical deterioration in hospitalised patients, with focus on the current and future role of artificial intelligence (AI).

RECENT FINDINGS

There are five leading AI driven systems in this field: the Advanced Alert Monitor (AAM), the electronic Cardiac Arrest Risk Triage (eCART) score, Hospital wide Alert Via Electronic Noticeboard, the Mayo Clinic Early Warning Score, and the Rothman Index (RI). Each uses Electronic Patient Record (EPR) data and machine learning to predict adverse events. Less mature but relevant evolutions are occurring in the fields of Natural Language Processing, Time and Motion Studies, AI Sepsis and COVID-19 algorithms.

SUMMARY

Research-based AI-driven systems to predict clinical deterioration are increasingly being developed, but few are being implemented into clinical workflows. Escobar et al. (AAM) provide the current gold standard for robust model development and implementation methodology. Multiple technologies show promise, however, the pathway to meaningfully affect patient outcomes remains challenging.

Definition and Classification of Postoperative Complications After Cardiac Surgery: A Pilot Delphi Study (Preprint)

Background

Postoperative complications following cardiac surgery are common and represent a serious burden to health services and society. However, there is a lack of consensus among experts on what events should be considered as a “complication” and how to assess their severity.

Objective

This study aimed to consult domain experts to pilot the development of a definition and classification system for complications following cardiac surgery with the goal to allow the progression of standardized clinical processes and systems in cardiac surgery.

Methods

We conducted a Delphi study, which is a well-established method to reach expert consensus on complex topics. We sent 2 rounds of surveys to domain experts, including cardiac surgeons and anesthetists, to define and classify postoperative complications following cardiac surgery. The responses to open-ended questions were analyzed using a thematic analysis framework.

Results

In total, 71 and 37 experts’ opinions were included in the analysis in Round 1 and Round 2 of the study, respectively. Cardiac anesthetists and cardiac critical care specialists took part in the study. Cardiac surgeons did not participate. Experts agreed that a classification for postoperative complications for cardiac surgery is useful, and consensus was reached for the generic definition of a postoperative complication in cardiac surgery. Consensus was also reached on classification of complications according to the following 4 levels: “Mild,” “Moderate,” “Severe,” and “Death.” Consensus was also reached on definitions for “Mild” and “Severe” categories of complications.

Conclusions

Domain experts agreed on the definition and classification of complications in cardiac surgery for “Mild” and “Severe” complications. The standardization of complication identification, recording, and reporting in cardiac surgery should help the development of quality benchmarks, clinical audit, care quality assessment, resource planning, risk management, communication, and research.

Research on the Impacts of Cognitive Style and Computational Thinking on College Students in a Visual Artificial Intelligence Course

Visual programming language is a crucial part of learning programming. On this basis, it is essential to use visual programming to lower the learning threshold for students to learn about artificial intelligence (AI) to meet current demands in higher education. Therefore, a 3-h AI course with an RGB-to-HSL learning task was implemented; the results of which were used to analyze university students from two different disciplines. Valid data were collected for 65 students (55 men, 10 women) in the Science (Sci)-student group and 39 students (20 men, 19 women) in the Humanities (Hum)-student group. Independent sample t-tests were conducted to analyze the difference between cognitive styles and computational thinking. No significant differences in either cognitive style or computational thinking ability were found after the AI course, indicating that taking visual AI courses lowers the learning threshold for students and makes it possible for them to take more difficult AI courses, which in turn effectively helping them acquire AI knowledge, which is crucial for cultivating talent in the field of AI.

Machine Learning Models for Early Prediction of Sepsis on Large Healthcare Datasets

Sepsis is a highly lethal syndrome with heterogeneous clinical manifestation that can be hard to identify and treat. Early diagnosis and appropriate treatment are critical to reduce mortality and promote survival in suspected cases and improve the outcomes. Several screening prediction systems have been proposed for evaluating the early detection of patient deterioration, but the efficacy is still limited at individual level. The increasing amount and the versatility of healthcare data suggest implementing machine learning techniques to develop models for predicting sepsis. This work presents an experimental study of some machine-learning-based models for sepsis prediction considering vital signs, laboratory test results, and demographics using Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III (MIMIC-III) (v1.4), a publicly available dataset. The experimental results demonstrate an overall higher performance of machine learning models over the commonly used Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) and Quick SOFA (qSOFA) scoring systems at the time of sepsis onset.

Implementation approaches and barriers for rule-based and machine learning-based sepsis risk prediction tools: a qualitative study

Objective

Many options are currently available for sepsis surveillance clinical decision support (CDS) from electronic medical record (EMR) vendors, third party, and homegrown models drawing on rule-based (RB) and machine learning (ML) algorithms. This study explores sepsis CDS implementation from the perspective of implementation leads by describing the motivations, tool choices, and implementation experiences of a diverse group of implementers.

Materials and Methods

Semi-structured interviews were conducted with and a questionnaire was administered to 21 hospital leaders overseeing CDS implementation at 15 US medical centers. Participants were recruited via convenience sampling. Responses were coded by 2 coders with consensus approach and inductively analyzed for themes.

Results

Use of sepsis CDS is motivated in part by quality metrics for sepsis patients. Choice of tool is driven by ease of integration, customization capability, and perceived predictive potential. Implementation processes for these CDS tools are complex, time-consuming, interdisciplinary undertakings resulting in heterogeneous choice of tools and workflow integration. To improve clinician acceptance, implementers addressed both optimization of the alerts as well as clinician understanding and buy in. More distrust and confusion was reported for ML models, as compared to RB models. Respondents described a variety of approaches to overcome implementation barriers; these approaches related to alert firing, content, integration, and buy-in.

Discussion

While there are shared socio-technical challenges of implementing CDS for both RB and ML models, attention to user education, support, expectation management, and dissemination of effective practices may improve feasibility and effectiveness of ML models in quality improvement efforts.

Conclusion

Further implementation science research is needed to determine real world efficacy of these tools. Clinician acceptance is a significant barrier to sepsis CDS implementation. Successful implementation of less clinically intuitive ML models may require additional attention to user confusion and distrust.

Sepsis is a life-threatening illness. Improving sepsis care is a growing priority for many hospitals. Patients at risk of developing sepsis can be identified before they get very sick using tools that analyze data from computerized medical records systems. A variety of options are available from different sources. Some tools are programmed using established sepsis screening criteria used in clinical practice. Others rely on machine learning, where computer algorithms identify patterns in the available data without being pre-programmed by a human being. In this study, we interviewed 21 individuals at 15 US medical centers who oversaw hospital level implementations of these tools. Teams were motivated by wanting to improve quality of care for patients with sepsis. One major challenge was making the tools identify as many patients truly at risk for sepsis as possible while limiting false identification of patients not actually at risk. Many interviewees also described lack of trust in the tools from the nurses and doctors using the tools. There was more distrust and confusion reported by implementers of tools that relied on machine learning than tools that programmed human logic. Strategies emphasizing user education, user support, and expectation management were reported to be helpful.

Artificial Intelligence Tools for Suicide Prevention in Adolescents and Young Adults

Background:

Artificial Intelligence is making a significant transformation in human lives. Its application in the medical and healthcare field has been also observed making an impact and improving overall outcomes. There has been a quest for similar processes in mental health due to the lack of observable changes in the areas of suicide prevention. In the last five years, there has been an emerging body of empirical research applying the technology of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) in mental health.

Objective:

To review the clinical applicability of the AI/ML-based tools in suicide prevention.

Methods:

The compelling question of predicting suicidality has been the focus of this research. We performed a broad literature search and then identified 36 articles relevant to meet the objectives of this review. We review the available evidence and provide a brief overview of the advances in this field.

Conclusion:

In the last five years, there has been more evidence supporting the implementation of these algorithms in clinical practice. Its current clinical utility is limited to using electronic health records and could be highly effective in conjunction with existing tools for suicide prevention. Other potential sources of relevant data include smart devices and social network sites. There are some serious questions about data privacy and ethics which need more attention while developing these new modalities in suicide research.

Hierarchical Cluster Analysis Identifies Distinct Physiological States After Acute Brain Injury

BACKGROUND

Analysis of intracranial multimodality monitoring data is challenging, and quantitative methods may help identify unique physiological signatures that inform therapeutic strategies and outcome prediction. The aim of this study was to test the hypothesis that data-driven approaches can identify distinct physiological states from intracranial multimodality monitoring data.

METHODS

This was a single-center retrospective observational study of patients with either severe traumatic brain injury or high-grade subarachnoid hemorrhage who underwent invasive multimodality neuromonitoring. We used hierarchical cluster analysis to group hourly values for heart rate, mean arterial pressure, intracranial pressure, brain tissue oxygen, and cerebral microdialysis across all included patients into distinct groups. Average values for measured physiological variables were compared across the identified clusters, and physiological profiles from identified clusters were mapped onto physiological states known to occur after acute brain injury. The distribution of clusters was compared between patients with favorable outcome (discharged to home or acute rehab) and unfavorable outcome (in-hospital death or discharged to chronic nursing facility).

RESULTS

A total of 1704 observations from 20 patients were included. Even though the difference in mean values for measured variables between patients with favorable and unfavorable outcome were small, we identified four distinct clusters within our data: (1) events with low brain tissue oxygen and high lactate-to-pyruvate ratio-values (consistent with cerebral ischemia), (2) events with higher intracranial pressure values without evidence for ischemia (3) events which appeared to be physiologically "normal," and (4) events with high cerebral lactate without brain hypoxia (consistent with cerebral hyperglycolysis). Patients with a favorable outcome had a greater proportion of cluster 3 (normal) events, whereas patients with an unfavorable outcome had a greater proportion of cluster 1 (ischemia) and cluster 4 (hyperglycolysis) events (p < 0.0001, Fisher-Freeman-Halton test).

CONCLUSIONS

A data-driven approach can identify distinct groupings from invasive multimodality neuromonitoring data that may have implications for therapeutic strategies and outcome predictions. These groupings could be used as classifiers to train machine learning models that can aid in the treatment of patients with acute brain injury. Further work is needed to replicate the findings of this exploratory study in larger data sets.

Sepsis Performance Improvement Programs: From Evidence Toward Clinical Implementation

This article is one of ten reviews selected from the Annual Update in Intensive Care and Emergency Medicine 2022. Other selected articles can be found online at https://www.biomedcentral.com/collections/annualupdate2022. Further information about the Annual Update in Intensive Care and Emergency Medicine is available from https://link.springer.com/bookseries/8901.

Sepsis prediction, early detection, and identification using clinical text for machine learning: a systematic review

OBJECTIVE

To determine the effects of using unstructured clinical text in machine learning (ML) for prediction, early detection, and identification of sepsis.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

PubMed, Scopus, ACM DL, dblp, and IEEE Xplore databases were searched. Articles utilizing clinical text for ML or natural language processing (NLP) to detect, identify, recognize, diagnose, or predict the onset, development, progress, or prognosis of systemic inflammatory response syndrome, sepsis, severe sepsis, or septic shock were included. Sepsis definition, dataset, types of data, ML models, NLP techniques, and evaluation metrics were extracted.

RESULTS

The clinical text used in models include narrative notes written by nurses, physicians, and specialists in varying situations. This is often combined with common structured data such as demographics, vital signs, laboratory data, and medications. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) comparison of ML methods showed that utilizing both text and structured data predicts sepsis earlier and more accurately than structured data alone. No meta-analysis was performed because of incomparable measurements among the 9 included studies.

DISCUSSION

Studies focused on sepsis identification or early detection before onset; no studies used patient histories beyond the current episode of care to predict sepsis. Sepsis definition affects reporting methods, outcomes, and results. Many methods rely on continuous vital sign measurements in intensive care, making them not easily transferable to general ward units.

CONCLUSIONS

Approaches were heterogeneous, but studies showed that utilizing both unstructured text and structured data in ML can improve identification and early detection of sepsis.

Evaluating Pointwise Reliability of Machine Learning prediction

Interest in Machine Learning applications to tackle clinical and biological problems is increasing. This is driven by promising results reported in many research papers, the increasing number of AI-based software products, and by the general interest in Artificial Intelligence to solve complex problems. It is therefore of importance to improve the quality of machine learning output and add safeguards to support their adoption. In addition to regulatory and logistical strategies, a crucial aspect is to detect when a Machine Learning model is not able to generalize to new unseen instances, which may originate from a population distant to that of the training population or from an under-represented subpopulation. As a result, the prediction of the machine learning model for these instances may be often wrong, given that the model is applied outside its "reliable" space of work, leading to a decreasing trust of the final users, such as clinicians. For this reason, when a model is deployed in practice, it would be important to advise users when the model's predictions may be unreliable, especially in high-stakes applications, including those in healthcare. Yet, reliability assessment of each machine learning prediction is still poorly addressed. Here, we review approaches that can support the identification of unreliable predictions, we harmonize the notation and terminology of relevant concepts, and we highlight and extend possible interrelationships and overlap among concepts. We then demonstrate, on simulated and real data for ICU in-hospital death prediction, a possible integrative framework for the identification of reliable and unreliable predictions. To do so, our proposed approach implements two complementary principles, namely the density principle and the local fit principle. The density principle verifies that the instance we want to evaluate is similar to the training set. The local fit principle verifies that the trained model performs well on training subsets that are more similar to the instance under evaluation. Our work can contribute to consolidating work in machine learning especially in medicine.

Using machine learning to predict blood culture outcomes in the emergency department: a single-centre, retrospective, observational study

OBJECTIVES

To develop predictive models for blood culture (BC) outcomes in an emergency department (ED) setting.

DESIGN

Retrospective observational study.

SETTING

ED of a large teaching hospital in the Netherlands between 1 September 2018 and 24 June 2020.

PARTICIPANTS

Adult patients from whom BCs were collected in the ED. Data of demographic information, vital signs, administered medications in the ED and laboratory and radiology results were extracted from the electronic health record, if available at the end of the ED visits.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcome was the performance of two models (logistic regression and gradient boosted trees) to predict bacteraemia in ED patients, defined as at least one true positive BC collected at the ED.

RESULTS

In 4885 out of 51 399 ED visits (9.5%), BCs were collected. In 598/4885 (12.2%) visits, at least one of the BCs was true positive. Both a gradient boosted tree model and a logistic regression model showed good performance in predicting BC results with area under curve of the receiver operating characteristics of 0.77 (95% CI 0.73 to 0.82) and 0.78 (95% CI 0.73 to 0.82) in the test sets, respectively. In the gradient boosted tree model, the optimal threshold would predict 69% of BCs in the test set to be negative, with a negative predictive value of over 94%.

CONCLUSIONS

Both models can accurately identify patients with low risk of bacteraemia at the ED in this single-centre setting and may be useful to reduce unnecessary BCs and associated healthcare costs. Further studies are necessary for validation and to investigate the potential clinical benefits and possible risks after implementation.

Establishment and Effectiveness Evaluation of a Scoring System-RAAS (RDW, AGE, APACHE II, SOFA) for Sepsis by a Retrospective Analysis

Background

Methods

Results

Conclusion

A novel artificial intelligence based intensive care unit monitoring system: using physiological waveforms to identify sepsis

A massive amount of multimodal data are continuously collected in the intensive care unit (ICU) along each patient stay, offering a great opportunity for the development of smart monitoring devices based on artificial intelligence (AI). The two main sources of relevant information collected in the ICU are the electronic health records (EHRs) and vital sign waveforms continuously recorded at the bedside. While EHRs are already widely processed by AI algorithms for prompt diagnosis and prognosis, AI-based assessments of the patients' pathophysiological state using waveforms are less developed, and their use is still limited to real-time monitoring for basic visual vital sign feedback at the bedside. This study uses data from the MIMIC-III database (PhysioNet) to propose a novel AI approach in ICU patient monitoring that incorporates features estimated by a closed-loop cardiovascular model, with the specific goal of identifying sepsis within the first hour of admission. Our top benchmark results (AUROC = 0.92, AUPRC = 0.90) suggest that features derived by cardiovascular control models may play a key role in identifying sepsis, by continuous monitoring performed through advanced multivariate modelling of vital sign waveforms. This work lays foundations for a deeper data integration paradigm which will help clinicians in their decision-making processes. This article is part of the theme issue 'Advanced computation in cardiovascular physiology: new challenges and opportunities'.

Electronic Health Records and Genomics: Perspectives from the Association for Molecular Pathology Electronic Health Record (EHR) Interoperability for Clinical Genomics Data Working Group

The use of genomics in medicine is expanding rapidly, but information systems are lagging in their ability to support genomic workflows both from the laboratory and patient-facing provider perspective. The complexity of genomic data, the lack of needed data standards, and lack of genomic fluency and functionality as well as several other factors have contributed to the gaps between genomic data generation, interoperability, and utilization. These gaps are posing significant challenges to laboratory and pathology professionals, clinicians, and patients in the ability to generate, communicate, consume, and use genomic test results. The Association for Molecular Pathology Electronic Health Record Working Group was convened to assess the challenges and opportunities and to recommend solutions on ways to resolve current problems associated with the display and use of genomic data in electronic health records.

Towards Understanding the Effective Use of Antibiotics for Sepsis

BACKGROUND

The benefits of early antibiotics for sepsis have recently been questioned. Evidence for this mainly comes from observational studies. The only randomized trial on this subject, the Prehospital Antibiotics Against Sepsis (PHANTASi) trial, did not find significant mortality benefits from early antibiotics. That subgroups of patients benefit from this practice is still plausible, given the heterogeneous nature of sepsis.

RESEARCH QUESTION

Do subgroups of sepsis patients experience 28-day mortality benefits from early administration of antibiotics in a prehospital setting? And what key traits drive these benefits?

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

We used machine learning to conduct exploratory partitioning cluster analysis to identify possible subgroups of sepsis patients who may benefit from early antibiotics. We further tested the influence of several traits within these subgroups, using a logistic regression model.

RESULTS

We found a significant interaction between age and benefits of early antibiotics (P = .03). When we adjusted for this interaction and several other confounders, there was a significant benefit of early antibiotic treatment (OR, 0.07; 95% CI, 0.01-0.79; P = .03).

INTERPRETATION

An interaction between age and benefits of early antibiotics for sepsis has not been reported before. When validated, it can have major implications for clinical practice. This new insight into benefits of early antibiotic treatment for younger sepsis patients may enable more effective care.

Serum procalcitonin to differentiate acute antepartum pyelonephritis from asymptomatic bacteriuria and acute cystitis during pregnancy: A multicenter prospective observational study

OBJECTIVE

To examine whether serum procalcitonin (PCT) is useful for differentiating acute pyelonephritis (APN) from asymptomatic bacteriuria and acute cystitis during pregnancy.

METHODS

A multicenter prospective observational study was conducted to compare serum white blood cell (WBC) counts, erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), C-reactive protein (CRP) level, and PCT level among pregnant women with asymptomatic bacteriuria, acute cystitis, and APN and healthy pregnant women (controls). Utility of WBC count, ESR, CRP, and PCT biomarkers for the prediction of APN during pregnancy were measured.

RESULTS

Area under the curve (AUC) values of PCT, CRP, ESR, and WBC count for predicting asymptomatic bacteriuria were 0.576, 0.628, 0.542, and 0.532, respectively; those for predicting acute cystitis were 0.766, 0.735, 0.681, and 0.597, respectively; and those for predicting acute pyelonephritis 0.859, 0.763, 0.711, and 0.732, respectively. Compared with the other inflammatory markers used to predict APN, PCT exhibited the highest AUC (0.859 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.711-0.935]). A cutoff value of >0.25 ng/ml had a sensitivity of 87% and a specificity of 79%.

CONCLUSION

Serum PCT can be a valuable addition to existing methods of differentiating asymptomatic bacteriuria, acute cystitis, and APN during pregnancy and can facilitate the early identification of APN during pregnancy.

Survival Outcome of Sepsis in Recipients of Solid Organ Transplant

Sepsis is a complex disease stemming from a dysregulated immune response toward an infectious agent. In transplantation, sepsis remains one of the leading causes of morbidity and mortality. Solid organ transplant recipients have impaired adaptive immunity due to immunosuppression required to prevent rejection. Immunosuppression has unintended consequences, such as increasing the risk of infections and sepsis. Due to its high morbidity and mortality, early detection of sepsis is paramount to start aggressive treatment. Several biomarkers or combination of biomarkers of sepsis have emerged in the last decade, but they are not dependable for early diagnosis or for outcome prognosis.

The future of acute and emergency care

Improved outcomes for acutely unwell patients are predicated on early identification of deterioration, accelerating the time to accurate diagnosis of the underlying condition, selection and titration of treatments that target biological phenotypes, and personalised endpoints to achieve optimal benefit yet minimise iatrogenic harm. Technological developments entering routine clinical practice over the next decade will deliver a sea change in patient management. Enhanced point of care diagnostics, more sophisticated physiological and biochemical monitoring with superior analytics and computer-aided support tools will all add considerable artificial intelligence to complement clinical skills. Experts in different fields of emergency and critical care medicine offer their perspectives as to which research developments could make a big difference within the next decade.

Artificial Intelligence for Clinical Decision Support in Sepsis

Sepsis is one of the main causes of death in critically ill patients. Despite the continuous development of medical technology in recent years, its morbidity and mortality are still high. This is mainly related to the delay in starting treatment and non-adherence of clinical guidelines. Artificial intelligence (AI) is an evolving field in medicine, which has been used to develop a variety of innovative Clinical Decision Support Systems. It has shown great potential in predicting the clinical condition of patients and assisting in clinical decision-making. AI-derived algorithms can be applied to multiple stages of sepsis, such as early prediction, prognosis assessment, mortality prediction, and optimal management. This review describes the latest literature on AI for clinical decision support in sepsis, and outlines the application of AI in the prediction, diagnosis, subphenotyping, prognosis assessment, and clinical management of sepsis. In addition, we discussed the challenges of implementing and accepting this non-traditional methodology for clinical purposes.

EnRank: An Ensemble Method to Detect Pulmonary Hypertension Biomarkers Based on Feature Selection and Machine Learning Models

Pulmonary hypertension (PH) is a common disease that affects the normal functioning of the human pulmonary arteries. The peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PMBCs) served as an ideal source for a minimally invasive disease diagnosis. This study hypothesized that the transcriptional fluctuations in the PMBCs exposed to the PH arteries may stably reflect the disease. However, the dimension of a human transcriptome is much higher than the number of samples in all the existing datasets. So, an ensemble feature selection algorithm, EnRank, was proposed to integrate the ranking information of four popular feature selection algorithms, i.e., T-test (Ttest), Chi-squared test (Chi2), ridge regression (Ridge), and Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (Lasso). Our results suggested that the EnRank-detected biomarkers provided useful information from these four feature selection algorithms and achieved very good prediction accuracy in predicting the PH patients. Many of the EnRank-detected biomarkers were also supported by the literature.

A systematic review of machine learning in logistics and supply chain management: current trends and future directions

Purpose

This paper presents a review of the existing state-of-the-art literature on machine learning (ML) in logistics and supply chain management (LSCM) by analyzing the current literature, contemporary concepts, data and gaps and suggesting potential topics for future research.

Design/methodology/approach

A systematic/structured literature review in the subject discipline and a bibliometric analysis were organized. Information regarding industry involvement, geographic location, research design and methods, data analysis techniques, university, affiliation, publishers, authors, year of publications is documented. A wide collection of eight databases from 1994 to 2019 were explored using the keywords “Machine Learning” and “Logistics“, “Transportation” and “Supply Chain” in the title and/or abstract. A total of 110 articles were found, and information on a chain of variables was gathered.

Findings

Over the last few decades, the application of emerging technologies has attracted significant interest all around the world. Analysis of the collected data shows that only nine literature reviews have been published in this area. Further, key findings show that 53.8 per cent of publications were closely clustered on transportation and manufacturing industries and 54.7 per cent were centred on mathematical models and simulations. Neural network is applied in 22 papers as their exclusive algorithms. Finally, the main focuses of the current literature are on prediction and optimization, where detection is contributed by only seven articles.

Research limitations/implications

This review is limited to examining only academic sources available from Scopus, Elsevier, Web of Science, Emerald, JSTOR, SAGE, Springer, Taylor and Francis and Wiley which contain the words “Machine Learning” and “Logistics“, “Transportation” and “Supply Chain” in the title and/or abstract.

Originality/value

This paper provides a systematic insight into research trends in ML in both logistics and the supply chain.

Early Detection of Sepsis With Machine Learning Techniques: A Brief Clinical Perspective

Sepsis is a major cause of death worldwide. Over the past years, prediction of clinically relevant events through machine learning models has gained particular attention. In the present perspective, we provide a brief, clinician-oriented vision on the following relevant aspects concerning the use of machine learning predictive models for the early detection of sepsis in the daily practice: (i) the controversy of sepsis definition and its influence on the development of prediction models; (ii) the choice and availability of input features; (iii) the measure of the model performance, the output, and their usefulness in the clinical practice. The increasing involvement of artificial intelligence and machine learning in health care cannot be disregarded, despite important pitfalls that should be always carefully taken into consideration. In the long run, a rigorous multidisciplinary approach to enrich our understanding in the application of machine learning techniques for the early recognition of sepsis may show potential to augment medical decision-making when facing this heterogeneous and complex syndrome.