HANA: A Healthy Artificial Nutrition Analysis model during COVID-19 pandemic

Application of Machine Learning to Predict COVID-19 Spread via an Optimized BPSO Model

During the pandemic of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19), statistics showed that the number of affected cases differed from one country to another and also from one city to another. Therefore, in this paper, we provide an enhanced model for predicting COVID-19 samples in different regions of Saudi Arabia (high-altitude and sea-level areas). The model is developed using several stages and was successfully trained and tested using two datasets that were collected from Taif city (high-altitude area) and Jeddah city (sea-level area) in Saudi Arabia. Binary particle swarm optimization (BPSO) is used in this study for making feature selections using three different machine learning models, i.e., the random forest model, gradient boosting model, and naive Bayes model. A number of predicting evaluation metrics including accuracy, training score, testing score, F-measure, recall, precision, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were calculated to verify the performance of the three machine learning models on these datasets. The experimental results demonstrated that the gradient boosting model gives better results than the random forest and naive Bayes models with an accuracy of 94.6% using the Taif city dataset. For the dataset of Jeddah city, the results demonstrated that the random forest model outperforms the gradient boosting and naive Bayes models with an accuracy of 95.5%. The dataset of Jeddah city achieved better results than the dataset of Taif city in Saudi Arabia using the enhanced model for the term of accuracy.

An interpretable hybrid predictive model of COVID-19 cases using autoregressive model and LSTM

The Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) has had a profound impact on global health and economy, making it crucial to build accurate and interpretable data-driven predictive models for COVID-19 cases to improve public policy making. The extremely large scale of the pandemic and the intrinsically changing transmission characteristics pose a great challenge for effectively predicting COVID-19 cases. To address this challenge, we propose a novel hybrid model in which the interpretability of the Autoregressive model (AR) and the predictive power of the long short-term memory neural networks (LSTM) join forces. The proposed hybrid model is formalized as a neural network with an architecture that connects two composing model blocks, of which the relative contribution is decided data-adaptively in the training procedure. We demonstrate the favorable performance of the hybrid model over its two single composing models as well as other popular predictive models through comprehensive numerical studies on two data sources under multiple evaluation metrics. Specifically, in county-level data of 8 California counties, our hybrid model achieves 4.173% MAPE, outperforming the composing AR (5.629%) and LSTM (4.934%) alone on average. In country-level datasets, our hybrid model outperforms the widely-used predictive models such as AR, LSTM, Support Vector Machines, Gradient Boosting, and Random Forest, in predicting the COVID-19 cases in Japan, Canada, Brazil, Argentina, Singapore, Italy, and the United Kingdom. In addition to the predictive performance, we illustrate the interpretability of our proposed hybrid model using the estimated AR component, which is a key feature that is not shared by most black-box predictive models for COVID-19 cases. Our study provides a new and promising direction for building effective and interpretable data-driven models for COVID-19 cases, which could have significant implications for public health policy making and control of the current COVID-19 and potential future pandemics.

Bayesian Optimization with Support Vector Machine Model for Parkinson Disease Classification

Parkinson's disease (PD) has become widespread these days all over the world. PD affects the nervous system of the human and also affects a lot of human body parts that are connected via nerves. In order to make a classification for people who suffer from PD and who do not suffer from the disease, an advanced model called Bayesian Optimization-Support Vector Machine (BO-SVM) is presented in this paper for making the classification process. Bayesian Optimization (BO) is a hyperparameter tuning technique for optimizing the hyperparameters of machine learning models in order to obtain better accuracy. In this paper, BO is used to optimize the hyperparameters for six machine learning models, namely, Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), Logistic Regression (LR), Naive Bayes (NB), Ridge Classifier (RC), and Decision Tree (DT). The dataset used in this study consists of 23 features and 195 instances. The class label of the target feature is 1 and 0, where 1 refers to the person suffering from PD and 0 refers to the person who does not suffer from PD. Four evaluation metrics, namely, accuracy, F1-score, recall, and precision were computed to evaluate the performance of the classification models used in this paper. The performance of the six machine learning models was tested on the dataset before and after the process of hyperparameter tuning. The experimental results demonstrated that the SVM model achieved the best results when compared with other machine learning models before and after the process of hyperparameter tuning, with an accuracy of 92.3% obtained using BO.

Seven non-differentially expressed 'dark biomarkers' show transcriptional dysregulation in chronic lymphocytic leukemia

Aim: Transcriptional regulation is actively involved in the onset and progression of various diseases. This study used the feature-engineering approach model-based quantitative transcription regulation to quantitatively measure the correlation between mRNA and transcription factors in a reference dataset of chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) transcriptomes. Methods: A comprehensive investigation of transcriptional regulation changes in CLL was conducted using 973 samples in six independent datasets. Results & conclusion: Seven mRNAs were detected to have significantly differential model-based quantitative transcription regulation values but no differential expression between CLL patients and controls. We called these genes 'dark biomarkers' because their original expression levels did not show differential changes in the CLL patients. The overlapping lncRNAs might have contributed their transcripts to the expression miscalculations of these dark biomarkers.

A transfer learning approach for multiclass classification of Alzheimer's disease using MRI images

Alzheimer's is an acute degenerative disease affecting the elderly population all over the world. The detection of disease at an early stage in the absence of a large-scale annotated dataset is crucial to the clinical treatment for the prevention and early detection of Alzheimer's disease (AD). In this study, we propose a transfer learning base approach to classify various stages of AD. The proposed model can distinguish between normal control (NC), early mild cognitive impairment (EMCI), late mild cognitive impairment (LMCI), and AD. In this regard, we apply tissue segmentation to extract the gray matter from the MRI scans obtained from the Alzheimer's Disease National Initiative (ADNI) database. We utilize this gray matter to tune the pre-trained VGG architecture while freezing the features of the ImageNet database. It is achieved through the addition of a layer with step-wise freezing of the existing blocks in the network. It not only assists transfer learning but also contributes to learning new features efficiently. Extensive experiments are conducted and results demonstrate the superiority of the proposed approach.

Using machine learning models to predict the duration of the recovery of COVID-19 patients hospitalized in Fangcang shelter hospital during the Omicron BA. 2.2 pandemic

Background

Factors that may influence the recovery of patients with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection hospitalized in the Fangcang shelter were explored, and machine learning models were constructed to predict the duration of recovery during the Omicron BA. 2.2 pandemic.

Methods

A retrospective study was conducted at Hongqiao National Exhibition and Convention Center Fangcang shelter (Shanghai, China) from April 9, 2022 to April 25, 2022. The demographics, clinical data, inoculation history, and recovery information of the 13,162 enrolled participants were collected. A multivariable logistic regression model was used to identify independent factors associated with 7-day recovery and 14-day recovery. Machine learning algorithms (DT, SVM, RF, DT/AdaBoost, AdaBoost, SMOTEENN/DT, SMOTEENN/SVM, SMOTEENN/RF, SMOTEENN+DT/AdaBoost, and SMOTEENN/AdaBoost) were used to build models for predicting 7-day and 14-day recovery.

Results

Of the 13,162 patients in the study, the median duration of recovery was 8 days (interquartile range IQR, 6–10 d), 41.31% recovered within 7 days, and 94.83% recovered within 14 days. Univariate analysis showed that the administrative region, age, cough medicine, comorbidities, diabetes, coronary artery disease (CAD), hypertension, number of comorbidities, CT value of the ORF gene, CT value of the N gene, ratio of ORF/IC, and ratio of N/IC were associated with a duration of recovery within 7 days. Age, gender, vaccination dose, cough medicine, comorbidities, diabetes, CAD, hypertension, number of comorbidities, CT value of the ORF gene, CT value of the N gene, ratio of ORF/IC, and ratio of N/IC were related to a duration of recovery within 14 days. In the multivariable analysis, the receipt of two doses of the vaccination vs. unvaccinated (OR = 1.118, 95% CI = 1.003–1.248; p = 0.045), receipt of three doses of the vaccination vs. unvaccinated (OR = 1.114, 95% CI = 1.004–1.236; p = 0.043), diabetes (OR = 0.383, 95% CI = 0.194–0.749; p = 0.005), CAD (OR = 0.107, 95% CI = 0.016–0.421; p = 0.005), hypertension (OR = 0.371, 95% CI = 0.202–0.674; p = 0.001), and ratio of N/IC (OR = 3.686, 95% CI = 2.939–4.629; p < 0.001) were significantly and independently associated with a duration of recovery within 7 days. Gender (OR = 0.736, 95% CI = 0.63–0.861; p < 0.001), age (30–70) (OR = 0.738, 95% CI = 0.594–0.911; p < 0.001), age (>70) (OR = 0.38, 95% CI = 0292–0.494; p < 0.001), receipt of three doses of the vaccination vs. unvaccinated (OR = 1.391, 95% CI = 1.12–1.719; p = 0.0033), cough medicine (OR = 1.509, 95% CI = 1.075–2.19; p = 0.023), and symptoms (OR = 1.619, 95% CI = 1.306–2.028; p < 0.001) were significantly and independently associated with a duration of recovery within 14 days. The SMOTEEN/RF algorithm performed best, with an accuracy of 90.32%, sensitivity of 92.22%, specificity of 88.31%, F1 score of 90.71%, and AUC of 89.75% for the 7-day recovery prediction; and an accuracy of 93.81%, sensitivity of 93.40%, specificity of 93.81%, F1 score of 93.42%, and AUC of 93.53% for the 14-day recovery prediction.

Conclusion

Age and vaccination dose were factors robustly associated with accelerated recovery both on day 7 and day 14 from the onset of disease during the Omicron BA. 2.2 wave. The results suggest that the SMOTEEN/RF-based model could be used to predict the probability of 7-day and 14-day recovery from the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 infection for COVID-19 prevention and control policy in other regions or countries. This may also help to generate external validation for the model.

The Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Nutrition, Health and Environment in Indonesia: A Qualitative Investigation of Perspectives from Multi-Disciplinary Experts

OBJECTIVES

The COVID-19 pandemic impacted food systems, health systems and the environment globally, with potentially greater negative effects in many lower-middle income countries (LMICs) including Indonesia. The purpose of this qualitative study was to investigate the potential impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on diets, health and the marine environment in Indonesia, based on the perspectives of a multidisciplinary group of informants.

METHODS

We conducted remote in-depth interviews with 27 key informants from many regions of Indonesia, who are either healthcare providers, nutrition researchers or environmental researchers. Interview question guides were developed based on a socio-ecological framework. We analyzed the data using a qualitative content analysis approach.

RESULTS

Informants suggested that while the COVID-19 brought increased awareness about and adherence to good nutrition and health behaviors, the impact was transitory. Informants indicated that healthy food options became less affordable, due to job losses and reduced income, suggesting a likely increase in food insecurity and obesity. Environmental researchers described higher levels of marine pollution from increase in hygienic wastes as well as from plastic packaging from food orders.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings reveal perceptions by informants that the increased awareness and adherence to health behaviors observed during the pandemic was not sustained. Our results also suggest that the pandemic may have exacerbated the double-burden paradox and marine pollution in Indonesia. This study offers information for generating hypotheses for quantitative studies to corroborate our findings and inform policies and programs to mitigate the long-term impacts of the COVID-19 on diets, health, and the marine environment in Indonesia.

Classification of Transmission Line Corridor Tree Species Based on Drone Data and Machine Learning

Tree growth in power line corridors poses a threat to power lines and requires regular inspections. In order to achieve sustainable and intelligent management of transmission line corridor forests, a transmission line corridor tree barrier management system is needed, and tree species classification is an important part of this. In order to accurately identify tree species in transmission line corridors, this study combines airborne LiDAR (light detection and ranging) point-cloud data and synchronously acquired high-resolution aerial image data to classify tree species. First, individual-tree segmentation and feature extraction are performed. Then, the random forest (RF) algorithm is used to sort and filter the feature importance. Finally, two non-parametric classification algorithms, RF and support vector machine (SVM), are selected, and 12 classification schemes are designed to perform tree species classification and accuracy evaluation research. The results show that after using RF for feature filtering, the classification results are better than those without feature filtering, and the overall accuracy can be improved by 3.655% on average. The highest classification accuracy is achieved when using SVM after combining a digital orthorectification map (DOM) and LiDAR for feature filtering, with an overall accuracy of 85.16% and a kappa coefficient of 0.79.

A Practical Multiclass Classification Network for the Diagnosis of Alzheimer’s Disease

Patients who have Alzheimer’s disease (AD) pass through several irreversible stages, which ultimately result in the patient’s death. It is crucial to understand and detect AD at an early stage to slow down its progression due to the non-curable nature of the disease. Diagnostic techniques are primarily based on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and expensive high-dimensional 3D imaging data. Classic methods can hardly discriminate among the almost similar pixels of the brain patterns of various age groups. The recent deep learning-based methods can contribute to the detection of the various stages of AD but require large-scale datasets and face several challenges while using the 3D volumes directly. The extant deep learning-based work is mainly focused on binary classification, but it is challenging to detect multiple stages with these methods. In this work, we propose a deep learning-based multiclass classification method to distinguish amongst various stages for the early diagnosis of Alzheimer’s. The proposed method significantly handles data shortage challenges by augmentation and manages to classify the 2D images obtained after the efficient pre-processing of the publicly available Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) dataset. Our method achieves an accuracy of 98.9% with an F1 score of 96.3. Extensive experiments are performed, and overall results demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms the state-of-the-art methods in terms of overall performance.