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Kuppermann N, Dayan PS, Levine DA, Vitale M, Tzimenatos L, Tunik MG, Saunders M, Ruddy RM, Roosevelt G, Rogers AJ, Powell EC, Nigrovic LE, Muenzer J, Linakis JG, Grisanti K, Jaffe DM, Hoyle JD, Greenberg R, Gattu R, Cruz AT, Crain EF, Cohen DM, Brayer A, Borgialli D, Bonsu B, Browne L, Blumberg S, Bennett JE, Atabaki SM, Anders J, Alpern ER, Miller B, Casper TC, Dean JM, Ramilo O, Mahajan P. A Clinical Prediction Rule to Identify Febrile Infants 60 Days and Younger at Low Risk for Serious Bacterial Infections. JAMA Pediatr 2019; 173:342-351. [PMID: 30776077 PMCID: PMC6450281 DOI: 10.1001/jamapediatrics.2018.5501] [Citation(s) in RCA: 206] [Impact Index Per Article: 41.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/23/2022]
Abstract
IMPORTANCE In young febrile infants, serious bacterial infections (SBIs), including urinary tract infections, bacteremia, and meningitis, may lead to dangerous complications. However, lumbar punctures and hospitalizations involve risks and costs. Clinical prediction rules using biomarkers beyond the white blood cell count (WBC) may accurately identify febrile infants at low risk for SBIs. OBJECTIVE To derive and validate a prediction rule to identify febrile infants 60 days and younger at low risk for SBIs. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS Prospective, observational study between March 2011 and May 2013 at 26 emergency departments. Convenience sample of previously healthy febrile infants 60 days and younger who were evaluated for SBIs. Data were analyzed between April 2014 and April 2018. EXPOSURES Clinical and laboratory data (blood and urine) including patient demographics, fever height and duration, clinical appearance, WBC, absolute neutrophil count (ANC), serum procalcitonin, and urinalysis. We derived and validated a prediction rule based on these variables using binary recursive partitioning analysis. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES Serious bacterial infection, defined as urinary tract infection, bacteremia, or bacterial meningitis. RESULTS We derived the prediction rule on a random sample of 908 infants and validated it on 913 infants (mean age was 36 days, 765 were girls [42%], 781 were white and non-Hispanic [43%], 366 were black [20%], and 535 were Hispanic [29%]). Serious bacterial infections were present in 170 of 1821 infants (9.3%), including 26 (1.4%) with bacteremia, 151 (8.3%) with urinary tract infections, and 10 (0.5%) with bacterial meningitis; 16 (0.9%) had concurrent SBIs. The prediction rule identified infants at low risk of SBI using a negative urinalysis result, an ANC of 4090/µL or less (to convert to ×109 per liter, multiply by 0.001), and serum procalcitonin of 1.71 ng/mL or less. In the validation cohort, the rule sensitivity was 97.7% (95% CI, 91.3-99.6), specificity was 60.0% (95% CI, 56.6-63.3), negative predictive value was 99.6% (95% CI, 98.4-99.9), and negative likelihood ratio was 0.04 (95% CI, 0.01-0.15). One infant with bacteremia and 2 infants with urinary tract infections were misclassified. No patients with bacterial meningitis were missed by the rule. The rule performance was nearly identical when the outcome was restricted to bacteremia and/or bacterial meningitis, missing the same infant with bacteremia. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE We derived and validated an accurate prediction rule to identify febrile infants 60 days and younger at low risk for SBIs using the urinalysis, ANC, and procalcitonin levels. Once further validated on an independent cohort, clinical application of the rule has the potential to decrease unnecessary lumbar punctures, antibiotic administration, and hospitalizations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nathan Kuppermann
- Departments of Emergency Medicine and Pediatrics, University of California, Davis School of Medicine, Sacramento
| | - Peter S. Dayan
- Division of Emergency Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, Columbia University College of Physicians and Surgeons, New York, New York
| | - Deborah A. Levine
- Department of Pediatrics, Bellevue Hospital, New York University Langone Medical Center, New York, New York
| | - Melissa Vitale
- Division of Emergency Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, Children’s Hospital of Pittsburgh, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
| | - Leah Tzimenatos
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of California, Davis School of Medicine, Sacramento
| | - Michael G. Tunik
- Department of Pediatrics, Bellevue Hospital, New York University Langone Medical Center, New York, New York
| | - Mary Saunders
- Department of Pediatrics, Children’s Hospital of Wisconsin, Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee,Children’s Hospital of Colorado, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora
| | - Richard M. Ruddy
- Division of Emergency Medicine, Cincinnati Children’s Hospital Medical Center, Cincinnati, Ohio,Department of Pediatrics, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, Cincinnati, Ohio
| | - Genie Roosevelt
- Department of Pediatrics, The Colorado Children’s Hospital, University of Colorado, Denver
| | - Alexander J. Rogers
- Departments of Emergency Medicine and Pediatrics, University of Michigan School of Medicine, Ann Arbor
| | - Elizabeth C. Powell
- Division of Emergency Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, Ann & Robert H. Lurie Children’s Hospital, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Illinois
| | - Lise E. Nigrovic
- Division of Emergency Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, Boston Children’s Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts
| | - Jared Muenzer
- Division of Emergency Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, St Louis Children’s Hospital, Washington University, St Louis, Missouri,Division of Emergency Medicine, Phoenix Children’s Hospital, Phoenix, Arizona
| | - James G. Linakis
- Department of Emergency Medicine and Pediatrics, Hasbro Children’s Hospital, Providence, Rhode Island,Brown University School of Medicine, Providence, Rhode Island
| | - Kathleen Grisanti
- Department of Pediatrics, Women and Children’s Hospital of Buffalo, State University of New York at Buffalo School of Medicine
| | - David M. Jaffe
- Division of Emergency Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, St Louis Children’s Hospital, Washington University, St Louis, Missouri
| | - John D. Hoyle
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Helen DeVos Children’s Hospital of Spectrum Health, Grand Rapids, Michigan,Departments of Emergency Medicine and Pediatrics, Western Michigan University Homer Stryker MD School of Medicine, Kalamazoo
| | - Richard Greenberg
- Division of Emergency Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, Primary Children’s Medical Center, University of Utah, Salt Lake City
| | - Rajender Gattu
- Division of Emergency Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, University of Maryland Medical Center, Baltimore
| | - Andrea T. Cruz
- Sections of Emergency Medicine and Infectious Diseases, Department of Pediatrics, Texas Children’s Hospital, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston
| | - Ellen F. Crain
- Department of Pediatrics, Jacobi Medical Center, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York
| | - Daniel M. Cohen
- Division of Emergency Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, Nationwide Children’s Hospital, Columbus, Ohio,The Ohio State University School of Medicine, Columbus
| | - Anne Brayer
- Departments of Emergency Medicine and Pediatrics, University of Rochester Medical Center, Rochester, New York
| | - Dominic Borgialli
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Hurley Medical Center, Flint, Michigan,University of Michigan School of Medicine, Ann Arbor
| | - Bema Bonsu
- Division of Emergency Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, Nationwide Children’s Hospital, Columbus, Ohio,The Ohio State University School of Medicine, Columbus
| | - Lorin Browne
- Departments of Pediatrics and Emergency Medicine, Children’s Hospital of Wisconsin, Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee
| | - Stephen Blumberg
- Department of Pediatrics, Jacobi Medical Center, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York
| | - Jonathan E. Bennett
- Division of Emergency Medicine, Alfred I. duPont Hospital for Children, Nemours Children’s Health System, Thomas Jefferson School of Medicine, Wilmington, Delaware
| | - Shireen M. Atabaki
- Division of Emergency Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, Children’s National Medical Center, The George Washington School of Medicine and Health Sciences, Washington, DC
| | - Jennifer Anders
- Department of Pediatrics, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Elizabeth R. Alpern
- Division of Emergency Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia, Perelman School of Medicine at the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia,Ann and Robert H. Lurie Children’s Hospital of Chicago, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Illinois
| | - Benjamin Miller
- Department of Pediatrics, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City
| | - T. Charles Casper
- Department of Pediatrics, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City
| | - J. Michael Dean
- Department of Pediatrics, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City
| | - Octavio Ramilo
- The Ohio State University School of Medicine, Columbus,Division of Pediatric Infectious Diseases and Center for Vaccines and Immunity, Nationwide Children’s Hospital, Columbus, Ohio
| | - Prashant Mahajan
- Division of Emergency Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, Children's Hospital of Michigan, Wayne State University, Detroit, Michigan,Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Michigan School of Medicine, Ann Arbor
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Horner K, Yamada M, Zuccoli G, Rosenberg S, Greene S, Vellody K, Zuckerbraun NS. A 34-Day-Old With Fever, Cerebrospinal Fluid Pleocytosis, and Staphylococcus aureus Bacteremia. Pediatrics 2016; 137:peds.2015-1406. [PMID: 26644490 DOI: 10.1542/peds.2015-1406] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 07/14/2015] [Indexed: 11/24/2022] Open
Abstract
A 34-day-old previously healthy boy born full term presented to the emergency department with fever at home (38.1°C), fussiness, and decreased oral intake for 1 day. He was difficult to console at home. He had decreased oral intake without emesis, diarrhea, or a change in urine output. He did not have rhinorrhea, cough, or increased work of breathing noted by parents. He lived at home with his parents and 13-year-old brother, did not attend day care, and had no sick contacts. On examination, he was fussy but consolable. He was febrile to 39.3°C, tachycardic (180 beats per minute), and tachypneic (64 breaths per minute), with mottling and a capillary refill of 3 seconds. The remainder of his examination was normal, without an infectious focus for his fever. A complete blood cell count with differential revealed leukocytosis. A basic metabolic panel was normal. A catheter urinalysis was normal. Cerebrospinal fluid examination yielded pleocytosis, low glucose, and elevated protein. Blood cultures were persistently positive with methicillin-sensitive Staphylococcus aureus, but cerebrospinal fluid cultures remained negative. We present his case, management, and ultimate diagnosis.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | - Stephanie Greene
- Neurosurgery, The Children's Hospital of Pittsburgh of UPMC, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
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Mekitarian Filho E, Carvalho WBD. Current management of occult bacteremia in infants. J Pediatr (Rio J) 2015; 91:S61-6. [PMID: 26344479 DOI: 10.1016/j.jped.2015.06.004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/15/2015] [Accepted: 06/17/2015] [Indexed: 10/23/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To summarize the main clinical entities associated with fever without source (FWS) in infants, as well as the clinical management of children with occult bacteremia, emphasizing laboratory tests and empirical antibiotics. SOURCES A non-systematic review was conducted in the following databases--PubMed, EMBASE, and SciELO, between 2006 and 2015. SUMMARY OF THE FINDINGS The prevalence of occult bacteremia has been decreasing dramatically in the past few years, due to conjugated vaccination against Streptococcus pneumoniae and Neisseria meningitidis. Additionally, fewer requests for complete blood count and blood cultures have been made for children older than 3 months presenting with FWS. Urinary tract infection is the most prevalent bacterial infection in children with FWS. Some known algorithms, such as Boston and Rochester, can guide the initial risk stratification for occult bacteremia in febrile infants younger than 3 months. CONCLUSIONS There is no single algorithm to estimate the risk of occult bacteremia in febrile infants, but pediatricians should strongly consider outpatient management in fully vaccinated infants older than 3 months with FWS and good general status. Updated data about the incidence of occult bacteremia in this environment after conjugated vaccination are needed.
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Affiliation(s)
- Eduardo Mekitarian Filho
- Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de São Paulo (USP), São Paulo, SP, Brazil; Pediatric Intensive Care Center, Instituto da Criança, Hospital das Clínicas, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de São Paulo (USP), São Paulo, SP, Brazil; Pediatric Intensive Care Unit, Hospital Santa Catarina, São Paulo, SP, Brazil; Emergency Care Unit, Hospital Israelita Albert Einstein, São Paulo, SP, Brazil.
| | - Werther Brunow de Carvalho
- Pediatric Intensive Care Unit, Hospital Santa Catarina, São Paulo, SP, Brazil; Department of Pediatrics, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de São Paulo (USP), São Paulo, SP, Brazil
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