Sub-region based radiomics analysis for survival prediction in oesophageal tumours treated by definitive concurrent chemoradiotherapy

Serum CD133-Associated Proteins Identified by Machine Learning Are Connected to Neural Development, Cancer Pathways, and 12-Month Survival in Glioblastoma

Glioma is the most prevalent type of primary central nervous system cancer, while glioblastoma (GBM) is its most aggressive variant, with a median survival of only 15 months when treated with maximal surgical resection followed by chemoradiation therapy (CRT). CD133 is a potentially significant GBM biomarker. However, current clinical biomarker studies rely on invasive tissue samples. These make prolonged data acquisition impossible, resulting in increased interest in the use of liquid biopsies. Our study, analyzed 7289 serum proteins from 109 patients with pathology-proven GBM obtained prior to CRT using the aptamer-based SOMAScan® proteomic assay technology. We developed a novel methodology that identified 24 proteins linked to both serum CD133 and 12-month overall survival (OS) through a multi-step machine learning (ML) analysis. These identified proteins were subsequently subjected to survival and clustering evaluations, categorizing patients into five risk groups that accurately predicted 12-month OS based on their protein profiles. Most of these proteins are involved in brain function, neural development, and/or cancer biology signaling, highlighting their significance and potential predictive value. Identifying these proteins provides a valuable foundation for future serum investigations as validation of clinically applicable GBM biomarkers can unlock immense potential for diagnostics and treatment monitoring.

Radiomics-based prediction of recurrence for head and neck cancer patients using data imbalanced correction

OBJECTIVES

To propose a radiomics-based prediction model for head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HSNCC) recurrence after radiation therapy using a novel data imbalance correction method known as Gaussian noise upsampling (GNUS).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The dataset includes 97 HNSCC patients treated with definitive radiotherapy alone or concurrent chemoradiotherapy at two institutions. We performed radiomics analysis using nine segmentations created on pretreatment positron emission tomography and computed tomography images. Feature selection was performed by the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator analysis via five-fold cross-validation. The proposed GNUS was compared with seven conventional data-imbalance correction methods. Classification models of HNSCC recurrence were constructed on oversampled features using the machine learning algorithms of linear regression. Their predictive performance was evaluated based on accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating performance characteristic curve via five-fold cross-validation using the same combinations as for feature selection.

RESULT

The prediction model without data imbalance correction shows sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and AUC values of 83 %, 96 %, 92 %, and 0.96, respectively. The conventional model with the best performance is the random over-sampler model, which shows sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and AUC values of 93 %, 91 %, 92 %, 0.97, respectively, whereas the GNUS model shows values of 93 %, 94 %, 94 %, 0.98, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Oversampling methods can reduce sensitivity and specificity bias. The proposed GNUS can improve accuracy as well as reduce sensitivity and specificity bias.

A nomogram based on pretreatment radiomics and dosiomics features for predicting overall survival associated with esophageal squamous cell cancer

OBJECTIVES

To propose a nomogram-based survival prediction model for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) treated with definitive chemoradiotherapy using pretreatment computed tomography (CT), positron emission tomography (PET) radiomics and dosiomics features, and common clinical factors.

METHODS

Radiomics and dosiomics features were extracted from CT and PET images and dose distribution from 2 institutions. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) with logistic regression was used to select radiomics and dosiomics features by calculating the radiomics and dosiomics scores (Rad-score and Dos-score), respectively, in the training model. The model was trained in 81 patients and validated in 35 patients at Center 1 using 10-fold cross validation. The model was externally tested in 26 patients at Center 2. The predictive clinical factors, Rad-score, and Dos-score were identified to develop a nomogram model.

RESULTS

Using LASSO Cox regression, 13, 11, and 19 CT, PET-based radiomics, and dosiomics features, respectively, were selected. The clinical factors T-stage, N-stage, and clinical stage were selected as significant prognostic factors by univariate Cox regression. In the external validation cohort, the C-index of the combined model of CT-based radiomics, PET-based radiomics, and dosiomics features with clinical factors were 0.74, 0.82, and 0.92, respectively. Significant differences in overall survival (OS) in the combined model of CT-based radiomics, PET-based radiomics, and dosiomics features with clinical factors were observed between the high- and low-risk groups (P = 0.019, 0.038, and 0.014, respectively).

CONCLUSION

The dosiomics features have a better predicter for OS than CT- and PET-based radiomics features in ESCC treated with radiotherapy.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

The current study predicted the overall survival for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients treated with definitive chemoradiotherapy. The dosiomics features have a better predicter for overall survival than CT- and PET-based radiomics features.

Diffusion kurtosis imaging-based habitat analysis identifies high-risk molecular subtypes and heterogeneity matching in diffuse gliomas

OBJECTIVE

High-risk types of diffuse gliomas in adults include isocitrate dehydrogenase (IDH) wild-type glioblastomas and grade 4 astrocytomas. Achieving noninvasive prediction of high-risk molecular subtypes of gliomas is important for personalized and precise diagnosis and treatment.

METHODS

We retrospectively collected data from 116 patients diagnosed with adult diffuse gliomas. Multiple high-risk molecular markers were tested, and various habitat models and whole-tumor models were constructed based on preoperative routine and diffusion kurtosis imaging (DKI) sequences to predict high-risk molecular subtypes of gliomas. Feature selection and model construction utilized Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and support vector machine (SVM). Finally, the Wilcoxon rank-sum test was employed to explore the correlation between habitat quantitative features (intra-tumor heterogeneity score，ITH score) and heterogeneity, as well as high-risk molecular subtypes.

RESULTS

The results showed that the habitat analysis model based on DKI performed remarkably well (with AUC values reaching 0.977 and 0.902 in the training and test sets, respectively). The model's performance was further enhanced when combined with clinical variables. (The AUC values were 0.994 and 0.920, respectively.) Additionally, we found a close correlation between ITH score and heterogeneity, with statistically significant differences observed between high-risk and non-high-risk molecular subtypes.

INTERPRETATION

The habitat model based on DKI is an ideal means for preoperatively predicting high-risk molecular subtypes of gliomas, holding significant value for noninvasively alerting malignant gliomas and those with malignant transformation potential.

A machine learning radiomics based on enhanced computed tomography to predict neoadjuvant immunotherapy for resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

Background

Patients with resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) receiving neoadjuvant immunotherapy (NIT) display variable treatment responses. The purpose of this study is to establish and validate a radiomics based on enhanced computed tomography (CT) and combined with clinical data to predict the major pathological response to NIT in ESCC patients.

Methods

This retrospective study included 82 ESCC patients who were randomly divided into the training group (n = 57) and the validation group (n = 25). Radiomic features were derived from the tumor region in enhanced CT images obtained before treatment. After feature reduction and screening, radiomics was established. Logistic regression analysis was conducted to select clinical variables. The predictive model integrating radiomics and clinical data was constructed and presented as a nomogram. Area under curve (AUC) was applied to evaluate the predictive ability of the models, and decision curve analysis (DCA) and calibration curves were performed to test the application of the models.

Results

One clinical data (radiotherapy) and 10 radiomic features were identified and applied for the predictive model. The radiomics integrated with clinical data could achieve excellent predictive performance, with AUC values of 0.93 (95% CI 0.87-0.99) and 0.85 (95% CI 0.69-1.00) in the training group and the validation group, respectively. DCA and calibration curves demonstrated a good clinical feasibility and utility of this model.

Conclusion

Enhanced CT image-based radiomics could predict the response of ESCC patients to NIT with high accuracy and robustness. The developed predictive model offers a valuable tool for assessing treatment efficacy prior to initiating therapy, thus providing individualized treatment regimens for patients.

Exploring habitats-based spatial distributions: improving predictions of lymphovascular invasion in invasive breast cancer

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

Accurate assessment of lymphovascular invasion (LVI) in invasive breast cancer (IBC) plays a pivotal role in tailoring personalized treatment plans. This study aimed to investigate habitats-based spatial distributions to quantitatively measure tumor heterogeneity on multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans and assess their predictive capability for LVI in patients with IBC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In this retrospective cohort study, we consecutively enrolled 241 women diagnosed with IBC between July 2020 and July 2023 and who had 1.5 T/T1-weighted images, fat-suppressed T2-weighted images, and dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI. Habitats-based spatial distributions were derived from the gross tumor volume (GTV) and gross tumor volume plus peritumoral volume (GPTV). GTV_habitats and GPTV_habitats were generated through sub-region segmentation, and their performances were compared. Subsequently, a combined nomogram was developed by integrating relevant spatial distributions with the identified MR morphological characteristics. Diagnostic performance was compared using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis and decision curve analysis. Statistical significance was set at p < 0.05.

RESULTS

GPTV_habitats exhibited superior performance compared to GTV_habitats. Consequently, the GPTV_habitats, diffusion-weighted imaging rim signs, and peritumoral edema were integrated to formulate the combined nomogram. This combined nomogram outperformed individual MR morphological characteristics and the GPTV_habitats index, achieving area under the curve values of 0.903 (0.847 -0.959), 0.770 (0.689 -0.852), and 0.843 (0.776 -0.910) in the training set and 0.931 (0.863 -0.999), 0.747 (0.613 -0.880), and 0.849 (0.759 -0.938) in the validation set.

CONCLUSION

The combined nomogram incorporating the GPTV_habitats and identified MR morphological characteristics can effectively predict LVI in patients with IBC.

CT-based quantification of intratumoral heterogeneity for predicting pathologic complete response to neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy in non-small cell lung cancer

Objectives

To investigate the prediction of pathologic complete response (pCR) in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) undergoing neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy (NAIC) using quantification of intratumoral heterogeneity from pre-treatment CT image.

Methods

This retrospective study included 178 patients with NSCLC who underwent NAIC at 4 different centers. The training set comprised 108 patients from center A, while the external validation set consisted of 70 patients from center B, center C, and center D. The traditional radiomics model was contrasted using radiomics features. The radiomics features of each pixel within the tumor region of interest (ROI) were extracted. The optimal division of tumor subregions was determined using the K-means unsupervised clustering method. The internal tumor heterogeneity habitat model was developed using the habitats features from each tumor sub-region. The LR algorithm was employed in this study to construct a machine learning prediction model. The diagnostic performance of the model was evaluated using criteria such as area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, specificity, sensitivity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV).

Results

In the training cohort, the traditional radiomics model achieved an AUC of 0.778 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.688-0.868], while the tumor internal heterogeneity habitat model achieved an AUC of 0.861 (95% CI: 0.789-0.932). The tumor internal heterogeneity habitat model exhibits a higher AUC value. It demonstrates an accuracy of 0.815, surpassing the accuracy of 0.685 achieved by traditional radiomics models. In the external validation cohort, the AUC values of the two models were 0.723 (CI: 0.591-0.855) and 0.781 (95% CI: 0.673-0.889), respectively. The habitat model continues to exhibit higher AUC values. In terms of accuracy evaluation, the tumor heterogeneity habitat model outperforms the traditional radiomics model, achieving a score of 0.743 compared to 0.686.

Conclusion

The quantitative analysis of intratumoral heterogeneity using CT to predict pCR in NSCLC patients undergoing NAIC holds the potential to inform clinical decision-making for resectable NSCLC patients, prevent overtreatment, and enable personalized and precise cancer management.

Radiation pneumonitis prediction with dual-radiomics for esophageal cancer underwent radiotherapy

BACKGROUND

To integrate radiomics and dosiomics features from multiple regions in the radiation pneumonia (RP grade ≥ 2) prediction for esophageal cancer (EC) patients underwent radiotherapy (RT).

METHODS

Total of 143 EC patients in the authors' hospital (training and internal validation: 70%:30%) and 32 EC patients from another hospital (external validation) underwent RT from 2015 to 2022 were retrospectively reviewed and analyzed. Patients were dichotomized as positive (RP+) or negative (RP-) according to CTCAE V5.0. Models with radiomics and dosiomics features extracted from single region of interest (ROI), multiple ROIs and combined models were constructed and evaluated. A nomogram integrating radiomics score (Rad_score), dosiomics score (Dos_score), clinical factors, dose-volume histogram (DVH) factors, and mean lung dose (MLD) was also constructed and validated.

RESULTS

Models with Rad_score_Lung&Overlap and Dos_score_Lung&Overlap achieved a better area under curve (AUC) of 0.818 and 0.844 in the external validation in comparison with radiomics and dosiomics models with features extracted from single ROI. Combining four radiomics and dosiomics models using support vector machine (SVM) improved the AUC to 0.854 in the external validation. Nomogram integrating Rad_score, and Dos_score with clinical factors, DVH factors, and MLD further improved the RP prediction AUC to 0.937 and 0.912 in the internal and external validation, respectively.

CONCLUSION

CT-based RP prediction model integrating radiomics and dosiomics features from multiple ROIs outperformed those with features from a single ROI with increased reliability for EC patients who underwent RT.

Integration of deep learning and habitat radiomics for predicting the response to immunotherapy in NSCLC patients

BACKGROUND

The non-invasive biomarkers for predicting immunotherapy response are urgently needed to prevent both premature cessation of treatment and ineffective extension. This study aimed to construct a non-invasive model for predicting immunotherapy response, based on the integration of deep learning and habitat radiomics in patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

METHODS

Independent patient cohorts from three medical centers were enrolled for training (n = 164) and test (n = 82). Habitat imaging radiomics features were derived from sub-regions clustered from individual's tumor by K-means method. The deep learning features were extracted based on 3D ResNet algorithm. Pearson correlation coefficient, T test and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression were used to select features. Support vector machine was applied to implement deep learning and habitat radiomics, respectively. Then, a combination model was developed integrating both sources of data.

RESULTS

The combination model obtained a strong well-performance, achieving area under receiver operating characteristics curve of 0.865 (95% CI 0.772-0.931). The model significantly discerned high and low-risk patients, and exhibited a significant benefit in the clinical use.

CONCLUSION

The integration of deep-leaning and habitat radiomics contributed to predicting response to immunotherapy in patients with NSCLC. The developed integration model may be used as potential tool for individual immunotherapy management.

Habitat Radiomics Based on MRI for Predicting Platinum Resistance in Patients with High-Grade Serous Ovarian Carcinoma: A Multicenter Study

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

This study aims to explore the feasibility of MRI-based habitat radiomics for predicting response of platinum-based chemotherapy in patients with high-grade serous ovarian carcinoma (HGSOC), and compared to conventional radiomics and deep learning models.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective study was conducted on HGSOC patients from three hospitals. K-means algorithm was used to perform clustering on T2-weighted images (T2WI), contrast-enhanced T1-weighted images (CE-T1WI), and apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) maps. After feature extraction and selection, the radiomics model, habitat model, and deep learning model were constructed respectively to identify platinum-resistant and platinum-sensitive patients. A nomogram was developed by integrating the optimal model and clinical independent predictors. The model performance and benefit was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), net reclassification index (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI).

RESULTS

A total of 394 eligible patients were incorporated. Three habitats were clustered, a significant difference in habitat 2 (weak enhancement, high ADC values, and moderate T2WI signal) was found between the platinum-resistant and platinum-sensitive groups (P < 0.05). Compared to the radiomics model (0.640) and deep learning model (0.603), the habitat model had a higher AUC (0.710). The nomogram, combining habitat signatures with a clinical independent predictor (neoadjuvant chemotherapy), yielded a highest AUC (0.721) among four models, with positive NRI and IDI.

CONCLUSION

MRI-based habitat radiomics had the potential to predict response of platinum-based chemotherapy in patients with HGSOC. The nomogram combining with habitat signature had a best performance and good model gains for identifying platinum-resistant patients.

CEMRI-Based Quantification of Intratumoral Heterogeneity for Predicting Aggressive Characteristics of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Using Habitat Analysis: Comparison and Combination of Deep Learning

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

To explore both an intratumoral heterogeneity (ITH) model based on habitat analysis and a deep learning (DL) model based on contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (CEMRI) and validate its efficiency for predicting microvascular invasion (MVI) and pathological differentiation in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

CEMRI images were retrospectively obtained from 277 HCCs in 265 patients. Habitat analysis and DL features were extracted from the CEMRI images and selected with the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator approach to develop ITH and DL models, respectively, and these robust features were then integrated to design a fusion model for predicting MVI and poorly differentiated HCC (pHCC). The predictive value of the three models was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).

RESULTS

The training and validation sets comprised 221 HCCs and 56 HCCs, respectively. The ITH and DL models presented AUC values of (0.90 vs. 0.87) for predicting MVI in the training set, with AUC values of 0.86 and 0.83 in the validation set. The AUC values of the ITH model to predict pHCC were 0.90 and 0.86 in the two sets, respectively; they were 0.84 and 0.80 for the DL model. The fusion model yielded the best performance for predicting MVI and pHCC in the training set (AUC=0.95, 0.90) and in the validation set (AUC=0.89, 0.87), respectively.

CONCLUSION

A fusion model integrating ITH and DL features derived from CEMRI images can serve as an excellent imaging biomarker for predicting aggressive characteristics in HCC.

Construction and Validation of a MRI‑Based Radiomic Nomogram to Predict Overall Survival in Patients with Local Advanced Cervical Cancer: A Multicenter Study

BACKGROUND

Cervical cancer is the fourth most common cancer among women. Radiomics has emerged as a new approach providing valuable information for cancer management. The aim of this study was to construct a radiomics nomogram to accurately predict survival outcomes in patients with locally advanced cervical cancer.

METHODS

This retrospective study enrolled a total of 582 locally advanced cervical cancer patients from three center (training cohort: n = 228; internal validation cohort: n = 98; external validation cohort: n = 256). Radiomic features were extracted from pretreatment MRI images. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator logistic regression were applied to select radiomic features and calculated the radiomic scores. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were used to identify the independent prognostic clinic-radiological factors for cervical cancer, which were incorporated into the nomogram.

RESULTS

A total of six radiomic features were found to be associated with overall survival (OS) of locally advanced cervical cancer patients. The AUC of radiomic scores in the training cohort was 0.634-0.708 for the training cohort, 0.725-0.762 for internal validation cohort and 0.788-0.881 for the external validation cohort. Age, parametrial invasion, and radiomic score were the independent prognostic indicators for cervical cancer patients (Age: HR=1.041, 95% CI=1.012-1.071, p = 0.006; Parametrial invasion: HR=4.755, 95% CI=1.493-15.144, p = 0.008; HR=2.324, 95% CI=1.050-5.143, p = 0.037). The nomogram model incorporating these factors showed favorable discrimination in predicting the overall survival rates of cervical cancer patients, with the AUC values of 0.809, 0.808, and 0.862 for 1-, 2-, and 3-year predictions. The decision curve analysis (DCA) indicated that the nomogram model achieved the highest clinical net benefit across the entire range of reasonable threshold probabilities.

CONCLUSION

The nomogram, incorporating clinicopathological factors and radiomic features derived from MRI images, showed satisfactory discrimination in predicting the OS rates of locally advanced cervical cancer patients.

Sub-region based radiomics analysis for prediction of isocitrate dehydrogenase and telomerase reverse transcriptase promoter mutations in diffuse gliomas

AIM

To enhance the prediction of mutation status of isocitrate dehydrogenase (IDH) and telomerase reverse transcriptase (TERT) promoter, which are crucial for glioma prognostication and therapeutic decision-making, via sub-regional radiomics analysis based on multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (MRI).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective study was conducted on 401 participants with adult-type diffuse gliomas. Employing the K-means algorithm, tumours were clustered into two to four subregions. Sub-regional radiomics features were extracted and selected using the Mann-Whitney U-test, Pearson correlation analysis, and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, forming the basis for predictive models. The performance of model combinations of different sub-regional features and classifiers (including logistic regression, support vector machines, K-nearest neighbour, light gradient boosting machine, and multilayer perceptron) was evaluated using an external test set.

RESULTS

The models demonstrated high predictive performance, with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) values ranging from 0.918 to 0.994 in the training set for IDH mutation prediction and from 0.758 to 0.939 for TERT promoter mutation prediction. In the external test sets, the two-cluster radiomics features and the logistic regression model yielded the highest prediction for IDH mutation, resulting in an AUC of 0.905. Additionally, the most effective predictive performance with an AUC of 0.803 was achieved using the four-cluster radiomics features and the support vector machine model, specifically for TERT promoter mutation prediction.

CONCLUSION

The present study underscores the potential of sub-regional radiomics analysis in predicting IDH and TERT promoter mutations in glioma patients. These models have the capacity to refine preoperative glioma diagnosis and contribute to personalised therapeutic interventions for patients.

Subregion-specific 18F-FDG PET-CT radiomics for the pre-treatment prediction of EGFR mutation status in solid lung adenocarcinoma

This study aimed to assess the efficacy of fluor-18 fluorodeoxyglucose (18F-FDG) PET/CT using sub-regional-based radiomics in predicting epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutation status in pretreatment patients with solid lung adenocarcinoma. A retrospective analysis included 269 patients (134 EGFR+ and 135 EGFR-) who underwent pretreatment 18F-FDG PET/CT scans and EGFR mutation testing. The most metabolically active intratumoral sub-region was identified, and radiomics features from whole tumors or sub-regional regions were used to build classification models. The dataset was split into a 7:3 ratio for training and independent testing. Feature subsets were determined by Pearson correlation and the Kruskal Wallis test and radiomics classifiers were built with support vector machines or logistic regressions. Evaluation metrics, including accuracy, area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) were employed for different classifiers. Results indicated that the sub-region-based classifier outperformed the whole-tumor classifier in terms of accuracy (73.8% vs. 66.2%), AUC (0.768 vs. 0.632), specificity (65.0% vs. 50.0%), PPV (70.2% vs. 62.2%), and NPV (78.8% vs. 74.0%). The clinical classifier exhibited an accuracy of 75.0%, AUC of 0.768, sensitivity of 72.5%, specificity of 77.5%, PPV of 76.3%, and NPV of 73.8%. The combined classifier, incorporating sub-region analysis and clinical parameters, demonstrated further improvement with an accuracy of 77.5%, AUC of 0.807, sensitivity of 77.5%, specificity of 77.5%, and NPV of 77.5%. The study suggests that sub-region-based 18F-FDG PET/CT radiomics enhances EGFR mutation prediction in solid lung adenocarcinoma, providing a practical and cost-efficient alternative to invasive EGFR testing.

Prediction of SBRT response in liver cancer by combining original and delta cone-beam CT radiomics: a pilot study

This study aims to explore the feasibility of utilizing a combination of original and delta cone-beam CT (CBCT) radiomics for predicting treatment response in liver tumors undergoing stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT). A total of 49 patients are included in this study, with 36 receiving 5-fraction SBRT, 3 receiving 4-fraction SBRT, and 10 receiving 3-fraction SBRT. The CBCT and planning CT images from liver cancer patients who underwent SBRT are collected to extract overall 547 radiomics features. The CBCT features which are reproducible and interchangeable with pCT are selected for modeling analysis. The delta features between fractions are calculated to depict tumor change. The patients with 4-fraction SBRT are only used for screening robust features. In patients receiving 5-fraction SBRT, the predictive ability of both original and delta CBCT features for two-level treatment response (local efficacy vs. local non-efficacy; complete response (CR) vs. partial response (PR)) is assessed by utilizing multivariable logistic regression with leave-one-out cross-validation. Additionally, univariate analysis is conducted to validate the capability of CBCT features in identifying local efficacy in patients receiving 3-fraction SBRT. In patients receiving 5-fraction SBRT, the combined models incorporating original and delta CBCT radiomics features demonstrate higher area under the curve (AUC) values compared to models using either original or delta features alone for both classification tasks. The AUC values for predicting local efficacy vs. local non-efficacy are 0.58 for original features, 0.82 for delta features, and 0.90 for combined features. For distinguishing PR from CR, the respective AUC values for original, delta and combined features are 0.79, 0.80, and 0.89. In patients receiving 3-fraction SBRT, eight valuable CBCT radiomics features are identified for predicting local efficacy. The combination of original and delta radiomics derived from fractionated CBCT images in liver cancer patients undergoing SBRT shows promise in providing comprehensive information for predicting treatment response.

Distinguishing immune checkpoint inhibitor-related pneumonitis from radiation pneumonitis by CT radiomics features in non-small cell lung cancer

PURPOSE

To develop a CT-based model to classify pneumonitis etiology in patients with non-small cell lung cancer(NSCLC) after radiotherapy(RT) and Immune checkpoint inhibitors(ICIs).

METHODS

We retrospectively identified 130 NSCLC patients who developed pneumonitis after receipt of ICIs only (n = 50), thoracic RT only (n = 50) (ICIs only + thoracic RT only, the training cohort, n = 100), and RT + ICIs (the test cohort, n = 30). Clinical and CT radiomics features were described and compared between different groups. We constructed a random forest (RF) classifier and a linear discriminant analysis (LDA) classifier by CT radiomics to discern pneumonitis etiology.

RESULTS

The patients in RT + ICIs group have more high grade (grade 3-4) pneumonitis compared to patients in ICIs only or RT only group (p < 0.05). Pneumonitis after the combined therapy was not a simple superposition mode of RT-related pneumonitis(RP) and ICI-related pneumonitis(CIP), resulting in the distinct characteristics of both RT and ICIs-related pneumonitis. The RF classifier showed favorable discrimination between RP and CIP with an area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) of 0.859 (95 %CI: 0.788-0.929) in the training cohort and 0.851 (95 % CI: 0.700-1) in the test cohort. The LDA classifier achieved an AUC of 0.881 (95 %CI: 0.815-0.947) in the training cohort and 0.842 (95 %CI: 0.686-0.997) in the test cohort. Our analysis revealed four principal CT-based features shared across both models:original_glrlm_LongRunLowGrayLevelEmphasis, wavelet-HLL_firstorder_Median, wavelet-LLL_ngtdm_Busyness， and wavelet-LLL_glcm_JointAverage.

CONCLUSION

CT radiomics-based classifiers could provide a noninvasive method to identify the predominant etiology in NSCLC patients who developed pneumonitis after RT alone, ICIs alone or RT + ICIs.

Using tumor habitat-derived radiomic analysis during pretreatment 18F-FDG PET for predicting KRAS/NRAS/BRAF mutations in colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

To investigate the association between Kirsten rat sarcoma viral oncogene homolog (KRAS) / neuroblastoma rat sarcoma viral oncogene homolog (NRAS) /v-raf murine sarcoma viral oncogene homolog B (BRAF) mutations and the tumor habitat-derived radiomic features obtained during pretreatment 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) positron emission tomography (PET) in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC).

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled 62 patients with CRC who had undergone 18F-FDG PET/computed tomography from January 2017 to July 2022 before the initiation of therapy. The patients were randomly split into training and validation cohorts with a ratio of 6:4. The whole tumor region radiomic features, habitat-derived radiomic features, and metabolic parameters were extracted from 18F-FDG PET images. After reducing the feature dimension and selecting meaningful features, we constructed a hierarchical model of KRAS/NRAS/BRAF mutations by using the support vector machine. The convergence of the model was evaluated by using learning curve, and its performance was assessed based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis. The SHapley Additive exPlanation was used to interpret the contributions of various features to predictions of the model.

RESULTS

The model constructed by using habitat-derived radiomic features had adequate predictive power with respect to KRAS/NRAS/BRAF mutations, with an AUC of 0.759 (95% CI: 0.585-0.909) on the training cohort and that of 0.701 (95% CI: 0.468-0.916) on the validation cohort. The model exhibited good convergence, suitable calibration, and clinical application value. The results of the SHapley Additive explanation showed that the peritumoral habitat and a high_metabolism habitat had the greatest impact on predictions of the model. No meaningful whole tumor region radiomic features or metabolic parameters were retained during feature selection.

CONCLUSION

The habitat-derived radiomic features were found to be helpful in stratifying the status of KRAS/NRAS/BRAF in CRC patients. The approach proposed here has significant implications for adjuvant treatment decisions in patients with CRC, and needs to be further validated on a larger prospective cohort.

A novel CT-based radiomics model for predicting response and prognosis of chemoradiotherapy in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

No clinically relevant biomarker has been identified for predicting the response of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) to chemoradiotherapy (CRT). Herein, we established a CT-based radiomics model with artificial intelligence (AI) to predict the response and prognosis of CRT in ESCC. A total of 44 ESCC patients (stage I-IV) were enrolled in this study; training (n = 27) and validation (n = 17) cohorts. First, we extracted a total of 476 radiomics features from three-dimensional CT images of cancer lesions in training cohort, selected 110 features associated with the CRT response by ROC analysis (AUC ≥ 0.7) and identified 12 independent features, excluding correlated features by Pearson's correlation analysis (r ≥ 0.7). Based on the 12 features, we constructed 5 prediction models of different machine learning algorithms (Random Forest (RF), Ridge Regression, Naive Bayes, Support Vector Machine, and Artificial Neural Network models). Among those, the RF model showed the highest AUC in the training cohort (0.99 [95%CI 0.86-1.00]) as well as in the validation cohort (0.92 [95%CI 0.71-0.99]) to predict the CRT response. Additionally, Kaplan-Meyer analysis of the validation cohort and all the patient data showed significantly longer progression-free and overall survival in the high-prediction score group compared with the low-prediction score group in the RF model. Univariate and multivariate analyses revealed that the radiomics prediction score and lymph node metastasis were independent prognostic biomarkers for CRT of ESCC. In conclusion, we have developed a CT-based radiomics model using AI, which may have the potential to predict the CRT response as well as the prognosis for ESCC patients with non-invasiveness and cost-effectiveness.

A novel sub-regional radiomics model to predict immunotherapy response in non-small cell lung carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Identifying precise biomarkers of immunotherapy response for non-small cell lung carcinoma (NSCLC) before treatment is challenging. This study aimed to construct and investigate the potential performance of a sub-regional radiomics model (SRRM) as a novel tumor biomarker in predicting the response of patients with NSCLC treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors, and test whether its predictive performance is superior to that of conventional radiomics, tumor mutational burden (TMB) score and programmed death ligand-1 (PD-L1) expression.

METHODS

We categorized 264 patients from retrospective databases of two centers into training (n = 159) and validation (n = 105) cohorts. Radiomic features were extracted from three sub-regions of the tumor region of interest using the K-means method. We extracted 1,896 features from each sub-region, resulting in 5688 features per sample. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression method was used to select sub-regional radiomic features. The SRRM was constructed and validated using the support vector machine algorithm. We used next-generation sequencing to classify patients from the two cohorts into high TMB (≥ 10 muts/Mb) and low TMB (< 10 muts/Mb) groups; immunohistochemistry was performed to assess PD-L1 expression in formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded tumor sections, with high expression defined as ≥ 50% of tumor cells being positive. Associations between the SRRM and progression-free survival (PFS) and variant genes were assessed.

RESULTS

Eleven sub-regional radiomic features were employed to develop the SRRM. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUCs) of the proposed SRRM were 0.90 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.84-0.96) and 0.86 (95% CI 0.76-0.95) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The SRRM (low vs. high; cutoff value = 0.936) was significantly associated with PFS in the training (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.35 [0.24-0.50], P < 0.001) and validation (HR = 0.42 [0.26-0.67], P = 0.001) cohorts. A significant correlation between the SRRM and three variant genes (H3C4, PAX5, and EGFR) was observed. In the validation cohort, the SRRM demonstrated a higher AUC (0.86, P < 0.001) than that for PD-L1 expression (0.66, P = 0.034) and TMB score (0.54, P = 0.552).

CONCLUSIONS

The SRRM had better predictive performance and was superior to conventional radiomics, PD-L1 expression, and TMB score. The SRRM effectively stratified the progression-free survival (PFS) risk among patients with NSCLC receiving immunotherapy.

Deep Learning-based Lung dose Prediction Using Chest X-ray Images in Non-small Cell Lung Cancer Radiotherapy

Purpose

This study aimed to develop a deep learning model for the prediction of V20 (the volume of the lung parenchyma that received ≥20 Gy) during intensity-modulated radiation therapy using chest X-ray images.

Methods

The study utilized 91 chest X-ray images of patients with lung cancer acquired routinely during the admission workup. The prescription dose for the planning target volume was 60 Gy in 30 fractions. A convolutional neural network-based regression model was developed to predict V20. To evaluate model performance, the coefficient of determination (R2), root mean square error (RMSE), and mean absolute error (MAE) were calculated with conducting a four-fold cross-validation method. The patient characteristics of the eligible data were treatment period (2018-2022) and V20 (19.3%; 4.9%-30.7%).

Results

The predictive results of the developed model for V20 were 0.16, 5.4%, and 4.5% for the R2, RMSE, and MAE, respectively. The median error was -1.8% (range, -13.0% to 9.2%). The Pearson correlation coefficient between the calculated and predicted V20 values was 0.40. As a binary classifier with V20 <20%, the model showed a sensitivity of 75.0%, specificity of 82.6%, diagnostic accuracy of 80.6%, and area under the receiver operator characteristic curve of 0.79.

Conclusions

The proposed deep learning chest X-ray model can predict V20 and play an important role in the early determination of patient treatment strategies.

PST-Radiomics: a PET/CT lymphoma classification method based on pseudo spatial-temporal radiomic features and structured atrous recurrent convolutional neural network

Objective.Existing radiomic methods tend to treat each isolated tumor as an inseparable whole, when extracting radiomic features. However, they may discard the critical intra-tumor metabolic heterogeneity (ITMH) information, that contributes to triggering tumor subtypes. To improve lymphoma classification performance, we propose a pseudo spatial-temporal radiomic method (PST-Radiomics) based on positron emission tomography computed tomography (PET/CT).Approach.Specifically, to enable exploitation of ITMH, we first present a multi-threshold gross tumor volume sequence (GTVS). Next, we extract 1D radiomic features based on PET images and each volume in GTVS and create a pseudo spatial-temporal feature sequence (PSTFS) tightly interwoven with ITMH. Then, we reshape PSTFS to create 2D pseudo spatial-temporal feature maps (PSTFM), of which the columns are elements of PSTFS. Finally, to learn from PSTFM in an end-to-end manner, we build a light-weighted pseudo spatial-temporal radiomic network (PSTR-Net), in which a structured atrous recurrent convolutional neural network serves as a PET branch to better exploit the strong local dependencies in PSTFM, and a residual convolutional neural network is used as a CT branch to exploit conventional radiomic features extracted from CT volumes.Main results.We validate PST-Radiomics based on a PET/CT lymphoma subtype classification task. Experimental results quantitatively demonstrate the superiority of PST-Radiomics, when compared to existing radiomic methods.Significance.Feature map visualization of our method shows that it performs complex feature selection while extracting hierarchical feature maps, which qualitatively demonstrates its superiority.

Habitat-based radiomics enhances the ability to predict lymphovascular space invasion in cervical cancer: a multi-center study

Introduction

Lymphovascular space invasion (LVSI) is associated with lymph node metastasis and poor prognosis in cervical cancer. In this study, we investigated the potential of radiomics, derived from magnetic resonance (MR) images using habitat analysis, as a non-invasive surrogate biomarker for predicting LVSI in cervical cancer.

Methods

This retrospective study included 300 patients with cervical cancer who underwent surgical treatment at two centres (centre 1 = 198 and centre 2 = 102). Using the k-means clustering method, contrast-enhanced T1-weighted imaging (CE-T1WI) images were segmented based on voxel and entropy values, creating sub-regions within the volume ofinterest. Radiomics features were extracted from these sub-regions. Pearson correlation coefficient and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator LASSO) regression methods were used to select features associated with LVSI in cervical cancer. Support vector machine (SVM) model was developed based on the radiomics features extracted from each sub-region in the training cohort.

Results

The voxels and entropy values of the CE-T1WI images were clustered into three sub-regions. In the training cohort, the AUCs of the SVM models based on radiomics features derived from the whole tumour, habitat 1, habitat 2, and habitat 3 models were 0.805 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.745-0.864), 0.873(95% CI: 0.824-0.922), 0.869 (95% CI: 0.821-0.917), and 0.870 (95% CI: 0.821-0.920), respectively. Compared with whole tumour model, the predictive performances of habitat 3 model was the highest in the external test cohort (0.780 [95% CI: 0.692-0.869]).

Conclusions

The radiomics model based on the tumour sub-regional habitat demonstrated superior predictive performance for an LVSI in cervical cancer than that of radiomics model derived from the whole tumour.

Predicting response to CCRT for esophageal squamous carcinoma by a radiomics-clinical SHAP model

BACKGROUND

Radical concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) is frequently used as the first-line treatment for patients with locally advanced esophageal cancer. Unfortunately, some patients respond poorly. To predict response to radical concurrent chemoradiotherapy in pre-treatment patients with esophageal squamous carcinoma (ESCC), and compare the predicting efficacies of radiomics features of primary tumor with or without regional lymph nodes, we developed a radiomics-clinical model based on the positioning CT images. Finally, SHapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) was used to explain the models.

METHODS

This retrospective study enrolled 105 patients with medically inoperable and/or unresectable ESCC who underwent radical concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) between October 2018 and May 2023. Patients were classified into responder and non-responder groups with RECIST standards. The 11 recently admitted patients were chosen as the validation set, previously admitted patients were randomly split into the training set (n = 70) and the testing set (n = 24). Primary tumor site (GTV), the primary tumor and the uninvolved lymph nodes at risk of microscopic disease (CTV) were identified as Regions of Interests (ROIs). 1762 radiomics features from GTV and CTV were respectively extracted and then filtered by statistical differential analysis and Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO). The filtered radiomics features combined with 13 clinical features were further filtered with Mutual Information (MI) algorithm. Based on the filtered features, we developed five models (Clinical Model, GTV Model, GTV-Clinical Model, CTV Model, and CTV-Clinical Model) using the random forest algorithm and evaluated for their accuracy, precision, recall, F1-Score and AUC. Finally, SHAP algorithm was adopted for model interpretation to achieve transparency and utilizability.

RESULTS

The GTV-Clinical model achieves an AUC of 0.82 with a 95% confidence interval (CI) of 0.76-0.99 on testing set and an AUC of 0.97 with a 95% confidence interval (CI) of 0.84-1.0 on validation set, which are significantly higher than those of other models in predicting ESCC response to CCRT. The SHAP force map provides an integrated view of the impact of each feature on individual patients, while the SHAP summary plots indicate that radiomics features have a greater influence on model prediction than clinical factors in our model.

CONCLUSION

GTV-Clinical model based on texture features and the maximum diameter of lesion (MDL) may assist clinicians in pre-treatment predicting ESCC response to CCRT.

The gap before real clinical application of imaging-based machine-learning and radiomic models for chemoradiation outcome prediction in esophageal cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Due to tumoral heterogeneity and the lack of robust biomarkers, the prediction of chemoradiotherapy response and prognosis in patients with esophageal cancer (EC) is challenging. The goal of this study was to assess the study quality and clinical value of machine learning and radiomic-based quantitative imaging studies for predicting the outcomes of EC patients after chemoradiotherapy.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane were searched for eligible articles. The methodological quality and risk of bias were evaluated using the Radiomics Quality Score (RQS), Image Biomarkers Standardization Initiative (IBSI) Guideline, and Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) statement, as well as the modified Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies (QUADAS-2) tool. A meta-analysis of the evidence focusing on predicting chemoradiotherapy response and outcome in EC patients was implemented.

RESULTS

Forty-six studies were eligible for qualitative synthesis. The mean RQS score was 9.07, with an adherence rate of 42.52%. The adherence rates of the TRIPOD and IBSI were 61.70 and 43.17%, respectively. Ultimately, 24 studies were included in the meta-analysis, of which 16 studies had a pooled sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve (AUC) of 0.83 (0.76-0.89), 0.83 (0.79-0.86), and 0.84 (0.81-0.87) in neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy datasets, as well as 0.84 (0.75-0.93), 0.89 (0.83-0.93), and 0.93 (0.90-0.95) in definitive chemoradiotherapy datasets, respectively. Moreover, radiomics could distinguish patients from the low-risk and high-risk groups with different disease-free survival (DFS) (pooled hazard ratio: 3.43, 95% CI 2.39-4.92) and overall survival (pooled hazard ratio: 2.49, 95% CI 1.91-3.25). The results of subgroup and regression analyses showed that some of the heterogeneity was explained by the combination with clinical factors, sample size, and usage of the deep learning (DL) signature.

CONCLUSIONS

Noninvasive radiomics offers promising potential for optimizing treatment decision-making in EC patients. However, it is necessary to make scientific advancements in EC radiomics regarding reproducibility, clinical usefulness analysis, and open science categories. Improved model reporting of study objectives, blind assessment, and image processing steps are required to help promote real clinical applications of radiomics in EC research.

CT radiomics features of meso-esophageal fat in predicting overall survival of patients with locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma treated by definitive chemoradiotherapy

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the value of CT radiomics features of meso-esophageal fat in the overall survival (OS) prediction of patients with locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

METHODS

A total of 166 patients with locally advanced ESCC in two medical centers were retrospectively analyzed. The volume of interest (VOI) of meso-esophageal fat and tumor were manually delineated on enhanced chest CT using ITK-SNAP. Radiomics features were extracted from the VOIs by Pyradiomics and then selected using the t-test, the Cox regression analysis, and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator. The radiomics scores of meso-esophageal fat and tumors for OS were constructed by a linear combination of the selected radiomic features. The performance of both models was evaluated and compared by the C-index. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was employed to analyze the prognostic value of the meso-esophageal fat-based model. A combined model for risk evaluation was constructed based on multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

The CT radiomic model of meso-esophageal fat showed valuable performance for survival analysis, with C-indexes of 0.688, 0.708, and 0.660 in the training, internal, and external validation cohorts, respectively. The 1-year, 2-year, and 3-year ROC curves showed AUCs of 0.640-0.793 in the cohorts. The model performed equivalently compared to the tumor-based radiomic model and performed better compared to the CT features-based model. Multivariate analysis showed that meso-rad-score was the only factor associated with OS.

CONCLUSIONS

A baseline CT radiomic model based on the meso-esophagus provide valuable prognostic information for ESCC patients treated with dCRT.

Artificial intelligence-driven radiomics study in cancer: the role of feature engineering and modeling

Modern medicine is reliant on various medical imaging technologies for non-invasively observing patients' anatomy. However, the interpretation of medical images can be highly subjective and dependent on the expertise of clinicians. Moreover, some potentially useful quantitative information in medical images, especially that which is not visible to the naked eye, is often ignored during clinical practice. In contrast, radiomics performs high-throughput feature extraction from medical images, which enables quantitative analysis of medical images and prediction of various clinical endpoints. Studies have reported that radiomics exhibits promising performance in diagnosis and predicting treatment responses and prognosis, demonstrating its potential to be a non-invasive auxiliary tool for personalized medicine. However, radiomics remains in a developmental phase as numerous technical challenges have yet to be solved, especially in feature engineering and statistical modeling. In this review, we introduce the current utility of radiomics by summarizing research on its application in the diagnosis, prognosis, and prediction of treatment responses in patients with cancer. We focus on machine learning approaches, for feature extraction and selection during feature engineering and for imbalanced datasets and multi-modality fusion during statistical modeling. Furthermore, we introduce the stability, reproducibility, and interpretability of features, and the generalizability and interpretability of models. Finally, we offer possible solutions to current challenges in radiomics research.

A subregion-based prediction model for local-regional recurrence risk in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Given that the intratumoral heterogeneity of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma may be related to the local control rate of radiotherapy, the aim of this study was to construct a subregion-based model that can predict the risk of local-regional recurrence, and to quantitatively assess the relative contribution of subregions.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The CT images, PET images, dose images and GTVs of 228 patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma from four different institutions of the The Cancer Imaging Archive(TCIA) were included in the study. Using a supervoxel segmentation algorithm called maskSLIC to generate individual-level subregions. After extracting 1781 radiomics and 1767 dosiomics features from subregions, an attention-based multiple instance risk prediction model (MIR) was established. The GTV model was developed based on the whole tumour area and was used to compare the prediction performance with the MIR model. Furthermore, the MIR-Clinical model was constructed by integrating the MIR model with clinical factors. Subregional analysis was carried out through the Wilcoxon test to find the differential radiomic features between the highest and lowest weighted subregions.

RESULTS

Compared with the GTV model, the C-index of MIR model was significantly increased from 0.624 to 0.721(Wilcoxon test, p value< 0.0001). When MIR model was combined with clinical factors, the C-index was further increased to 0.766. Subregional analysis showed that for LR patients, the top three differential radiomic features between the highest and lowest weighted subregions were GLRLM_ShortRunHighGrayLevelEmphasis, GRLM_HghGrayLevelRunEmphasis and GLRLM_LongRunHighGrayLevelEmphasis.

CONCLUSION

This study developed a subregion-based model that can predict the risk of local-regional recurrence and quantitatively assess relevant subregions, which may provide technical support for the precision radiotherapy in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma.

Model integrating CT-based radiomics and genomics for survival prediction in esophageal cancer patients receiving definitive chemoradiotherapy

BACKGROUND

Definitive chemoradiotherapy (dCRT) is a standard treatment option for locally advanced stage inoperable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). Evaluating clinical outcome prior to dCRT remains challenging. This study aimed to investigate the predictive power of computed tomography (CT)-based radiomics combined with genomics for the treatment efficacy of dCRT in ESCC patients.

METHODS

This retrospective study included 118 ESCC patients who received dCRT. These patients were randomly divided into training (n = 82) and validation (n = 36) groups. Radiomic features were derived from the region of the primary tumor on CT images. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression was conducted to select optimal radiomic features, and Rad-score was calculated to predict progression-free survival (PFS) in training group. Genomic DNA was extracted from formalin-fixed and paraffin-embedded pre-treatment biopsy tissue. Univariate and multivariate Cox analyses were undertaken to identify predictors of survival for model development. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and C-index were used to evaluate the predictive performance and discriminatory ability of the prediction models, respectively.

RESULTS

The Rad-score was constructed from six radiomic features to predict PFS. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that the Rad-score and homologous recombination repair (HRR) pathway alterations were independent prognostic factors correlating with PFS. The C-index for the integrated model combining radiomics and genomics was better than that of the radiomics or genomics models in the training group (0.616 vs. 0.587 or 0.557) and the validation group (0.649 vs. 0.625 or 0.586).

CONCLUSION

The Rad-score and HRR pathway alterations could predict PFS after dCRT for patients with ESCC, with the combined radiomics and genomics model demonstrating the best predictive efficacy.

From Head and Neck Tumour and Lymph Node Segmentation to Survival Prediction on PET/CT: An End-to-End Framework Featuring Uncertainty, Fairness, and Multi-Region Multi-Modal Radiomics

Automatic delineation and detection of the primary tumour (GTVp) and lymph nodes (GTVn) using PET and CT in head and neck cancer and recurrence-free survival prediction can be useful for diagnosis and patient risk stratification. We used data from nine different centres, with 524 and 359 cases used for training and testing, respectively. We utilised posterior sampling of the weight space in the proposed segmentation model to estimate the uncertainty for false positive reduction. We explored the prognostic potential of radiomics features extracted from the predicted GTVp and GTVn in PET and CT for recurrence-free survival prediction and used SHAP analysis for explainability. We evaluated the bias of models with respect to age, gender, chemotherapy, HPV status, and lesion size. We achieved an aggregate Dice score of 0.774 and 0.760 on the test set for GTVp and GTVn, respectively. We observed a per image false positive reduction of 19.5% and 7.14% using the uncertainty threshold for GTVp and GTVn, respectively. Radiomics features extracted from GTVn in PET and from both GTVp and GTVn in CT are the most prognostic, and our model achieves a C-index of 0.672 on the test set. Our framework incorporates uncertainty estimation, fairness, and explainability, demonstrating the potential for accurate detection and risk stratification.

Clinical-Radiomics Nomogram Based on Contrast-Enhanced Ultrasound for Preoperative Prediction of Cervical Lymph Node Metastasis in Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

This study aimed to establish a new clinical-radiomics nomogram based on ultrasound (US) for cervical lymph node metastasis (LNM) in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). We collected 211 patients with PTC between June 2018 and April 2020, then we randomly divided these patients into the training set (n = 148) and the validation set (n = 63). 837 radiomics features were extracted from B-mode ultrasound (BMUS) images and contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) images. The maximum relevance minimum redundancy (mRMR) algorithm, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) algorithm, and backward stepwise logistic regression (LR) were applied to select key features and establish a radiomics score (Radscore), including BMUS Radscore and CEUS Radscore. The clinical model and clinical-radiomics model were established using the univariate analysis and multivariate backward stepwise LR. The clinical-radiomics model was finally presented as a clinical-radiomics nomogram, the performance of which was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic curves, Hosmer-Lemeshow test, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA). The results show that the clinical-radiomics nomogram was constructed by four predictors, including gender, age, US-reported LNM, and CEUS Radscore. The clinical-radiomics nomogram performed well in both the training set (AUC = 0.820) and the validation set (AUC = 0.814). The Hosmer-Lemeshow test and the calibration curves demonstrated good calibration. The DCA showed that the clinical-radiomics nomogram had satisfactory clinical utility. The clinical-radiomics nomogram constructed by CEUS Radscore and key clinical features can be used as an effective tool for individualized prediction of cervical LNM in PTC.

MRI texture-based machine learning models for the evaluation of renal function on different segmentations: a proof-of-concept study

BACKGROUND

To develop and validate an MRI texture-based machine learning model for the noninvasive assessment of renal function.

METHODS

A retrospective study of 174 diabetic patients (training cohort, n = 123; validation cohort, n = 51) who underwent renal MRI scans was included. They were assigned to normal function (n = 71), mild or moderate impairment (n = 69), and severe impairment groups (n = 34) according to renal function. Four methods of kidney segmentation on T2-weighted images (T2WI) were compared, including regions of interest covering all coronal slices (All-K), the largest coronal slices (LC-K), and subregions of the largest coronal slices (TLCO-K and PIZZA-K). The speeded-up robust features (SURF) and support vector machine (SVM) algorithms were used for texture feature extraction and model construction, respectively. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to evaluate the diagnostic performance of models.

RESULTS

The models based on LC-K and All-K achieved the nonsignificantly highest accuracy in the classification of renal function (all p values > 0.05). The optimal model yielded high performance in classifying the normal function, mild or moderate impairment, and severe impairment, with an area under the curve of 0.938 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.935-0.940), 0.919 (95%CI 0.916-0.922), and 0.959 (95%CI 0.956-0.962) in the training cohorts, respectively, as well as 0.802 (95%CI 0.800-0.807), 0.852 (95%CI 0.846-0.857), and 0.863 (95%CI 0.857-0.887) in the validation cohorts, respectively.

CONCLUSION

We developed and internally validated an MRI-based machine-learning model that can accurately evaluate renal function. Once externally validated, this model has the potential to facilitate the monitoring of patients with impaired renal function.

ITHscore: comprehensive quantification of intra-tumor heterogeneity in NSCLC by multi-scale radiomic features

OBJECTIVES

To quantify intra-tumor heterogeneity (ITH) in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) from computed tomography (CT) images.

METHODS

We developed a quantitative ITH measurement-ITHscore-by integrating local radiomic features and global pixel distribution patterns. The associations of ITHscore with tumor phenotypes, genotypes, and patient's prognosis were examined on six patient cohorts (n = 1399) to validate its effectiveness in characterizing ITH.

RESULTS

For stage I NSCLC, ITHscore was consistent with tumor progression from stage IA1 to IA3 (p < 0.001) and captured key pathological change in terms of malignancy (p < 0.001). ITHscore distinguished the presence of lymphovascular invasion (p = 0.003) and pleural invasion (p = 0.001) in tumors. ITHscore also separated patient groups with different overall survival (p = 0.004) and disease-free survival conditions (p = 0.005). Radiogenomic analysis showed that the level of ITHscore in stage I and stage II NSCLC is correlated with heterogeneity-related pathways. In addition, ITHscore was proved to be a stable measurement and can be applied to ITH quantification in head-and-neck cancer (HNC).

CONCLUSIONS

ITH in NSCLC can be quantified from CT images by ITHscore, which is an indicator for tumor phenotypes and patient's prognosis.

KEY POINTS

• ITHscore provides a radiomic quantification of intra-tumor heterogeneity in NSCLC. • ITHscore is an indicator for tumor phenotypes and patient's prognosis. • ITHscore has the potential to be generalized to other cancer types such as HNC.

A combined predicting model for benign esophageal stenosis after simultaneous integrated boost in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients (GASTO1072)

Purpose

We aimed to develop a combined predicting model for benign esophageal stenosis (BES) after simultaneous integrated boost (SIB) with concurrent chemotherapy in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

Methods

This study included 65 patients with EC who underwent SIB with chemotherapy. Esophageal stenosis was evaluated using esophagograms and the severity of eating disorders. Risk factors were investigated using univariate and multivariate analyses. Radiomics features were extracted based on contrast-enhanced CT (CE-CT) before treatment. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis was used for feature selection and radiomics signature construction. The model’s performance was evaluated using Harrell’s concordance index and receiver operating characteristic curves.

Results

The patients were stratified into low- and high-risk groups according to BES after SIB. The area under the curves of the clinical model, Rad-score, and the combined model were 0.751, 0.820 and 0.864, respectively. In the validation cohort, the AUCs of these three models were 0.854, 0.883 and 0.917, respectively. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed that there was no deviation from model fitting for the training cohort (p=0.451) and validation cohort (p=0.481). The C-indexes of the nomogram were 0.864 and 0.958 for the training and validation cohort, respectively. The model combined with Rad-score and clinical factors achieved favorable prediction ability.

Conclusion

Definitive chemoradiotherapy could alleviate tumor-inducing esophageal stenosis but result in benign stenosis. We constructed and tested a combined predicting model for benign esophageal stenosis after SIB. The nomogram incorporating both radiomics signature and clinical prognostic factors showed favorable predictive accuracy for BES in ESCC patients who received SIB with chemotherapy.

Trial registration number and date of registration

Registered in www.Clinicaltrial.gov, ID: NCT01670409, August 12, 2012

Prediction of Individual Lymph Node Metastatic Status in Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Using Routine Computed Tomography Imaging: Comparison of Size-Based Measurements and Radiomics-Based Models

BACKGROUND

Lymph node status is vital for prognosis and treatment decisions for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). This study aimed to construct and evaluate an optimal radiomics-based method for a more accurate evaluation of individual regional lymph node status in ESCC and to compare it with traditional size-based measurements.

METHODS

The study consecutively collected 3225 regional lymph nodes from 530 ESCC patients receiving upfront surgery from January 2011 to October 2015. Computed tomography (CT) scans for individual lymph nodes were analyzed. The study evaluated the predictive performance of machine-learning models trained on features extracted from two-dimensional (2D) and three-dimensional (3D) radiomics by different contouring methods. Robust and important radiomics features were selected, and classification models were further established and validated.

RESULTS

The lymph node metastasis rate was 13.2% (427/3225). The average short-axis diameter was 6.4 mm for benign lymph nodes and 7.9 mm for metastatic lymph nodes. The division of lymph node stations into five regions according to anatomic lymph node drainage (cervical, upper mediastinal, middle mediastinal, lower mediastinal, and abdominal regions) improved the predictive performance. The 2D radiomics method showed optimal diagnostic results, with more efficient segmentation of nodal lesions. In the test set, this optimal model achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.841-0.891, an accuracy of 84.2-94.7%, a sensitivity of 65.7-83.3%, and a specificity of 84.4-96.7%.

CONCLUSIONS

The 2D radiomics-based models noninvasively predicted the metastatic status of an individual lymph node in ESCC and outperformed the conventional size-based measurement. The 2D radiomics-based model could be incorporated into the current clinical workflow to enable better decision-making for treatment strategies.

Visualising spatial heterogeneity in glioblastoma using imaging habitats

Glioblastoma is a high-grade aggressive neoplasm characterised by significant intra-tumoral spatial heterogeneity. Personalising therapy for this tumour requires non-invasive tools to visualise its heterogeneity to monitor treatment response on a regional level. To date, efforts to characterise glioblastoma's imaging features and heterogeneity have focussed on individual imaging biomarkers, or high-throughput radiomic approaches that consider a vast number of imaging variables across the tumour as a whole. Habitat imaging is a novel approach to cancer imaging that identifies tumour regions or 'habitats' based on shared imaging characteristics, usually defined using multiple imaging biomarkers. Habitat imaging reflects the evolution of imaging biomarkers and offers spatially preserved assessment of tumour physiological processes such perfusion and cellularity. This allows for regional assessment of treatment response to facilitate personalised therapy. In this review, we explore different methodologies to derive imaging habitats in glioblastoma, strategies to overcome its technical challenges, contrast experiences to other cancers, and describe potential clinical applications.

Role of radiomics in the diagnosis and treatment of gastrointestinal cancer

Gastrointestinal cancer (GIC) has high morbidity and mortality as one of the main causes of cancer death. Preoperative risk stratification is critical to guide patient management, but traditional imaging studies have difficulty predicting its biological behavior. The emerging field of radiomics allows the conversion of potential pathophysiological information in existing medical images that cannot be visually recognized into high-dimensional quantitative image features. Tumor lesion characterization, therapeutic response evaluation, and survival prediction can be achieved by analyzing the relationships between these features and clinical and genetic data. In recent years, the clinical application of radiomics to GIC has increased dramatically. In this editorial, we describe the latest progress in the application of radiomics to GIC and discuss the value of its potential clinical applications, as well as its limitations and future directions.

Development and verification of radiomics framework for computed tomography image segmentation

BACKGROUND

Radiomics has been considered an imaging marker for capturing quantitative image information (QII). The introduction of radiomics to image segmentation is desirable but challenging.

PURPOSE

This study aims to develop and validate a radiomics-based framework for image segmentation (RFIS).

METHODS

RFIS is designed using features extracted from volume (svfeatures) created by sliding window (swvolume). The 53 svfeatures are extracted from 11 phantom series. Outliers in the svfeature datasets are detected by isolation forest (iForest) and specified as the mean value. The percentage coefficient of variation (%COV) is calculated to evaluate the reproducibility of svfeatures. RFIS is constructed and applied to the gross target volume (GTV) segmentation from the peritumoral region (GTV with a 10 mm margin) to assess its feasibility. The 127 lung cancer images are enrolled. The test-retest method, correlation matrix, and Mann-Whitney U test (p < 0.05) are used to select non-redundant svfeatures of statistical significance from the reproducible svfeatures. The synthetic minority over-sampling technique is utilized to balance the minority group in the training sets. The support vector machine is employed for RFIS construction, which is tuned in the training set using 10-fold stratified cross-validation and then evaluated in the test sets. The swvolumes with the consistent classification results are grouped and merged. Mode filtering is performed to remove very small subvolumes and create relatively large regions of completely uniform character. In addition, RFIS performance is evaluated by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and Dice similarity coefficient (DSC).

RESULTS

30249 phantom and 145008 patient image swvolumes were analyzed. Forty-nine (92.45% of 53) svfeatures represented excellent reproducibility(%COV<15). Forty-five features (91.84% of 49) included five categories that passed test-retest analysis. Thirteen svfeatures (28.89% of 45) svfeatures were selected for RFIS construction. RFIS showed an average (95% confidence interval) sensitivity of 0.848 (95% CI:0.844-0.883), a specificity of 0.821 (95% CI: 0.818-0.825), an accuracy of 83.48% (95% CI: 83.27%-83.70%), and an AUC of 0.906 (95% CI: 0.904-0.908) with cross-validation. The sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and AUC were equal to 0.762 (95% CI: 0.754-0.770), 0.840 (95% CI: 0.837-0.844), 82.29% (95% CI: 81.90%-82.60%), and 0.877 (95% CI: 0.873-0.881) in the test set, respectively. GTV was segmented by grouping and merging swvolume with identical classification results. The mean DSC after mode filtering was 0.707 ± 0.093 in the training sets and 0.688 ± 0.072 in the test sets.

CONCLUSION

Reproducible svfeatures can capture the differences in QII among swvolumes. RFIS can be applied to swvolume classification, which achieves image segmentation by grouping and merging the swvolume with similar QII.

Radiomic Analysis for Pretreatment Prediction of Recurrence Post-Radiotherapy in Cervical Squamous Cell Carcinoma Cancer

Background: The current study aims to predict the recurrence of cervical cancer patients treated with radiotherapy from radiomics features on pretreatment T1- and T2-weighted MR images. Methods: A total of 89 patients were split into model training (63 patients) and model testing (26 patients). The predictors of recurrence were selected using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression. The machine learning used neural network classifiers. Results: Using LASSO analysis of radiomics, we found 25 features from the T1-weighted and 4 features from T2-weighted MR images, respectively. The accuracy was highest with the combination of T1- and T2-weighted MR images. The model performances with T1- or T2-weighted MR images were 86.4% or 89.4% accuracy, 74.9% or 38.1% sensitivity, 81.8% or 72.2% specificity, and 0.89 or 0.69 of the area under the curve (AUC). The model performance with the combination of T1- and T2-weighted MR images was 93.1% accuracy, 81.6% sensitivity, 88.7% specificity, and 0.94 of AUC. Conclusions: The radiomics analysis with T1- and T2-weighted MR images could highly predict the recurrence of cervix cancer after radiotherapy. The variation of the distribution and the difference in the pixel number at the peripheral and the center were important predictors.

A deep learning approach with subregion partition in MRI image analysis for metastatic brain tumor

Purpose

To propose a deep learning network with subregion partition for predicting metastatic origins and EGFR/HER2 status in patients with brain metastasis.

Methods

We retrospectively enrolled 140 patients with clinico-pathologically confirmed brain metastasis originated from primary NSCLC (n = 60), breast cancer (BC, n = 60) and other tumor types (n = 20). All patients underwent contrast-enhanced brain MRI scans. The brain metastasis was subdivided into phenotypically consistent subregions using patient-level and population-level clustering. A residual network with a global average pooling layer (RN-GAP) was proposed to calculate deep learning-based features. Features from each subregion were selected with least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) to build logistic regression models (LRs) for predicting primary tumor types (LR-NSCLC for the NSCLC origin and LR-BC for the BC origin), EGFR mutation status (LR-EGFR) and HER2 status (LR-HER2).

Results

The brain metastasis can be partitioned into a marginal subregion (S1) and an inner subregion (S2) in the MRI image. The developed models showed good predictive performance in the training (AUCs, LR-NSCLC vs. LR-BC vs. LR-EGFR vs. LR-HER2, 0.860 vs. 0.909 vs. 0.850 vs. 0.900) and validation (AUCs, LR-NSCLC vs. LR-BC vs. LR-EGFR vs. LR-HER2, 0.819 vs. 0.872 vs. 0.750 vs. 0.830) set.

Conclusion

Our proposed deep learning network with subregion partitions can accurately predict metastatic origins and EGFR/HER2 status of brain metastasis, and hence may have the potential to be non-invasive and preoperative new markers for guiding personalized treatment plans in patients with brain metastasis.

Development of survival predictors for high-grade serous ovarian cancer based on stable radiomic features from computed tomography images

Less than 35% of advanced patients with high-grade serous ovarian cancer (HGSOC) survive for 5 years after diagnosis. Here, we developed radiomics-based models to predict HGSOC clinical outcomes using preoperative contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) images. 891 radiomics features were extracted between primary, metastatic, or lymphatic lesions from preoperative venous phase CECT images of 217 patients with HGSOC. A heuristic method, Frequency Appearance in Multiple Univariate preScreening (FAMUS), was proposed to identify stable and task-relevant radiomic features. Using FAMUS, we constructed predictive models of overall survival and disease-free survival in patients with HGSOC based on these stable radiomic features. According to their CT images, patients with HGSOC can be accurately stratified into high-risk or low-risk groups for cancer-related death within 2-6 years or for likely recurrence within 1-5 years. These radiomic models provide convincing and reliable non-invasive markers for individualized prognostic evaluation and clinical decision-making for patients with HGSOC.

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Frequency Appearance in Multiple Univariate preScreening (FAMUS) identifies stable and task-relevant radiomic features from computed tomography (CT) images

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Radiomics-based signatures are highly predictive of the clinical outcome of high-grade serous ovarian cancer (HGSOC)

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FAMUS improves the prognostic performance of radiomics-based prediction models

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Developed radiomic models can help clinicians tailor treatment plans for HGSOC

CT-based radiomics nomogram may predict local recurrence-free survival in esophageal cancer patients receiving definitive chemoradiation or radiotherapy: a multicenter study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

To establish and validate a contrast-enhanced computed tomography-based hybrid radiomics nomogram for prediction of local recurrence-free survival (LRFS) in esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC) patients receiving definitive (chemo)radiotherapy in a multicenter setting.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective study included 302 ESCC patients from Xijing Hospital receiving definitive (chemo)radiotherapy, which were randomly assigned to the training (n=201) and internal validation set (n=101). And 74 and 21 ESCC patients from the other two centers were used as the external validation set (n=95). A hybrid radiomics nomogram was established by integrating clinical factors, radiomic signature and deep-learning signature in training set and was tested in two validation sets.

RESULTS

The deep-learning signature showed better prognostic performance than radiomic signature for predicting LRFS in training (C-index:0.73 vs 0.70), internal (Cindex: 0.72 vs 0.64) and external validation set (C-index:0.72 vs 0.63), which could stratify patients into high and low-risk group with different prognosis (cut-off value: -0.06). Low-risk groups had better LRFS than high-risk groups in training (p<0.0001; 2-y LRFS 71.1% vs 33.0%), internal (p<0.01; 2-y LRFS 58.8% vs 34.8%) and external validation sets (p<0.0001; 2-y LRFS 61.9% vs 22.4%), respectively. The hybrid radiomics nomogram established by integrating radiomic signature, deep-learning signature with clinical factors including T stage and concurrent chemotherapy outperformed any one or two combinations in training (C-index:0.82), internal (Cindex: 0.78), and external validation set (C-index:0.76). Calibration curves showed good agreement.

CONCLUSIONS

The hybrid radiomics based on pretreatment contrast-enhanced computed tomography provided a promising way to predict local recurrence of ESCC patients receiving definitive (chemo)radiotherapy.

Can 18F-FDG PET/CT Radiomics Features Predict Clinical Outcomes in Patients with Locally Advanced Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma?

Simple Summary

PET/CT is an important staging modality in the baseline assessment of locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. Accurate staging and response prediction in these patients is essential for management. The aim of this retrospective study was to assess the usefulness of ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT radiomics features in predicting outcomes such as tumor and nodal categories, PET-based response to induction chemotherapy, progression-free survival, and overall survival. In a final cohort of 74 patients, we found that the developed radiomics models can predict these clinical and prognostic outcomes with reasonable accuracy, similar or better than those derived from conventional imaging. Future studies with a larger cohort would be helpful in establishing the significance of these models.

Abstract

This study aimed to assess the usefulness of radiomics features of ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT in patients with locally advanced esophageal cancers (ESCC) in predicting outcomes such as clinical tumor (cT) and nodal (cN) categories, PET response to induction chemotherapy (PET response), progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS). Pretreatment PET/CT images from patients who underwent concurrent chemoradiotherapy from July 2002 to February 2017 were segmented, and data were split into training and test sets. Model development was performed on the training datasets and a maximum of five features were selected. Final diagnostic accuracies were determined using the test dataset. A total of 86 PET/CTs (58 men and 28 women, mean age 65 years) were segmented. Due to small lesion size, 12 patients were excluded. The diagnostic accuracies as derived from the CT, PET, and combined PET/CT test datasets were as follows: cT category—70.4%, 70.4%, and 81.5%, respectively; cN category—69.0%, 86.2%, and 86.2%, respectively; PET response—60.0%, 66.7%, and 70.0%, respectively; PFS—60.7%, 75.0%, and 75.0%, respectively; and OS—51.7%, 55.2%, and 62.1%, respectively. A radiomics assessment of locally advanced ESCC has the potential to predict various clinical outcomes. External validation of these models would be further helpful.

Can 18F-FDG PET/CT Radiomics Features Predict Clinical Outcomes in Patients with Locally Advanced Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma?

This study aimed to assess the usefulness of radiomics features of ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT in patients with locally advanced esophageal cancers (ESCC) in predicting outcomes such as clinical tumor (cT) and nodal (cN) categories, PET response to induction chemotherapy (PET response), progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS). Pretreatment PET/CT images from patients who underwent concurrent chemoradiotherapy from July 2002 to February 2017 were segmented, and data were split into training and test sets. Model development was performed on the training datasets and a maximum of five features were selected. Final diagnostic accuracies were determined using the test dataset. A total of 86 PET/CTs (58 men and 28 women, mean age 65 years) were segmented. Due to small lesion size, 12 patients were excluded. The diagnostic accuracies as derived from the CT, PET, and combined PET/CT test datasets were as follows: cT category-70.4%, 70.4%, and 81.5%, respectively; cN category-69.0%, 86.2%, and 86.2%, respectively; PET response-60.0%, 66.7%, and 70.0%, respectively; PFS-60.7%, 75.0%, and 75.0%, respectively; and OS-51.7%, 55.2%, and 62.1%, respectively. A radiomics assessment of locally advanced ESCC has the potential to predict various clinical outcomes. External validation of these models would be further helpful.

Can 18F-FDG PET/CT Radiomics Features Predict Clinical Outcomes in Patients with Locally Advanced Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma?

This study aimed to assess the usefulness of radiomics features of ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT in patients with locally advanced esophageal cancers (ESCC) in predicting outcomes such as clinical tumor (cT) and nodal (cN) categories, PET response to induction chemotherapy (PET response), progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS). Pretreatment PET/CT images from patients who underwent concurrent chemoradiotherapy from July 2002 to February 2017 were segmented, and data were split into training and test sets. Model development was performed on the training datasets and a maximum of five features were selected. Final diagnostic accuracies were determined using the test dataset. A total of 86 PET/CTs (58 men and 28 women, mean age 65 years) were segmented. Due to small lesion size, 12 patients were excluded. The diagnostic accuracies as derived from the CT, PET, and combined PET/CT test datasets were as follows: cT category-70.4%, 70.4%, and 81.5%, respectively; cN category-69.0%, 86.2%, and 86.2%, respectively; PET response-60.0%, 66.7%, and 70.0%, respectively; PFS-60.7%, 75.0%, and 75.0%, respectively; and OS-51.7%, 55.2%, and 62.1%, respectively. A radiomics assessment of locally advanced ESCC has the potential to predict various clinical outcomes. External validation of these models would be further helpful.

Can 18F-FDG PET/CT Radiomics Features Predict Clinical Outcomes in Patients with Locally Advanced Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma?

This study aimed to assess the usefulness of radiomics features of ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT in patients with locally advanced esophageal cancers (ESCC) in predicting outcomes such as clinical tumor (cT) and nodal (cN) categories, PET response to induction chemotherapy (PET response), progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS). Pretreatment PET/CT images from patients who underwent concurrent chemoradiotherapy from July 2002 to February 2017 were segmented, and data were split into training and test sets. Model development was performed on the training datasets and a maximum of five features were selected. Final diagnostic accuracies were determined using the test dataset. A total of 86 PET/CTs (58 men and 28 women, mean age 65 years) were segmented. Due to small lesion size, 12 patients were excluded. The diagnostic accuracies as derived from the CT, PET, and combined PET/CT test datasets were as follows: cT category-70.4%, 70.4%, and 81.5%, respectively; cN category-69.0%, 86.2%, and 86.2%, respectively; PET response-60.0%, 66.7%, and 70.0%, respectively; PFS-60.7%, 75.0%, and 75.0%, respectively; and OS-51.7%, 55.2%, and 62.1%, respectively. A radiomics assessment of locally advanced ESCC has the potential to predict various clinical outcomes. External validation of these models would be further helpful.

Can 18F-FDG PET/CT Radiomics Features Predict Clinical Outcomes in Patients with Locally Advanced Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma?

This study aimed to assess the usefulness of radiomics features of ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT in patients with locally advanced esophageal cancers (ESCC) in predicting outcomes such as clinical tumor (cT) and nodal (cN) categories, PET response to induction chemotherapy (PET response), progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS). Pretreatment PET/CT images from patients who underwent concurrent chemoradiotherapy from July 2002 to February 2017 were segmented, and data were split into training and test sets. Model development was performed on the training datasets and a maximum of five features were selected. Final diagnostic accuracies were determined using the test dataset. A total of 86 PET/CTs (58 men and 28 women, mean age 65 years) were segmented. Due to small lesion size, 12 patients were excluded. The diagnostic accuracies as derived from the CT, PET, and combined PET/CT test datasets were as follows: cT category-70.4%, 70.4%, and 81.5%, respectively; cN category-69.0%, 86.2%, and 86.2%, respectively; PET response-60.0%, 66.7%, and 70.0%, respectively; PFS-60.7%, 75.0%, and 75.0%, respectively; and OS-51.7%, 55.2%, and 62.1%, respectively. A radiomics assessment of locally advanced ESCC has the potential to predict various clinical outcomes. External validation of these models would be further helpful.

Can 18F-FDG PET/CT Radiomics Features Predict Clinical Outcomes in Patients with Locally Advanced Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma?

This study aimed to assess the usefulness of radiomics features of ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT in patients with locally advanced esophageal cancers (ESCC) in predicting outcomes such as clinical tumor (cT) and nodal (cN) categories, PET response to induction chemotherapy (PET response), progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS). Pretreatment PET/CT images from patients who underwent concurrent chemoradiotherapy from July 2002 to February 2017 were segmented, and data were split into training and test sets. Model development was performed on the training datasets and a maximum of five features were selected. Final diagnostic accuracies were determined using the test dataset. A total of 86 PET/CTs (58 men and 28 women, mean age 65 years) were segmented. Due to small lesion size, 12 patients were excluded. The diagnostic accuracies as derived from the CT, PET, and combined PET/CT test datasets were as follows: cT category-70.4%, 70.4%, and 81.5%, respectively; cN category-69.0%, 86.2%, and 86.2%, respectively; PET response-60.0%, 66.7%, and 70.0%, respectively; PFS-60.7%, 75.0%, and 75.0%, respectively; and OS-51.7%, 55.2%, and 62.1%, respectively. A radiomics assessment of locally advanced ESCC has the potential to predict various clinical outcomes. External validation of these models would be further helpful.

Can 18F-FDG PET/CT Radiomics Features Predict Clinical Outcomes in Patients with Locally Advanced Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma?

This study aimed to assess the usefulness of radiomics features of ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT in patients with locally advanced esophageal cancers (ESCC) in predicting outcomes such as clinical tumor (cT) and nodal (cN) categories, PET response to induction chemotherapy (PET response), progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS). Pretreatment PET/CT images from patients who underwent concurrent chemoradiotherapy from July 2002 to February 2017 were segmented, and data were split into training and test sets. Model development was performed on the training datasets and a maximum of five features were selected. Final diagnostic accuracies were determined using the test dataset. A total of 86 PET/CTs (58 men and 28 women, mean age 65 years) were segmented. Due to small lesion size, 12 patients were excluded. The diagnostic accuracies as derived from the CT, PET, and combined PET/CT test datasets were as follows: cT category-70.4%, 70.4%, and 81.5%, respectively; cN category-69.0%, 86.2%, and 86.2%, respectively; PET response-60.0%, 66.7%, and 70.0%, respectively; PFS-60.7%, 75.0%, and 75.0%, respectively; and OS-51.7%, 55.2%, and 62.1%, respectively. A radiomics assessment of locally advanced ESCC has the potential to predict various clinical outcomes. External validation of these models would be further helpful.

Methodological quality of machine learning-based quantitative imaging analysis studies in esophageal cancer: a systematic review of clinical outcome prediction after concurrent chemoradiotherapy

PURPOSE

Studies based on machine learning-based quantitative imaging techniques have gained much interest in cancer research. The aim of this review is to critically appraise the existing machine learning-based quantitative imaging analysis studies predicting outcomes of esophageal cancer after concurrent chemoradiotherapy in accordance with PRISMA guidelines.

METHODS

A systematic review was conducted in accordance with PRISMA guidelines. The citation search was performed via PubMed and Embase Ovid databases for literature published before April 2021. From each full-text article, study characteristics and model information were summarized. We proposed an appraisal matrix with 13 items to assess the methodological quality of each study based on recommended best-practices pertaining to quality.

RESULTS

Out of 244 identified records, 37 studies met the inclusion criteria. Study endpoints included prognosis, treatment response, and toxicity after concurrent chemoradiotherapy with reported discrimination metrics in validation datasets between 0.6 and 0.9, with wide variation in quality. A total of 30 studies published within the last 5 years were evaluated for methodological quality and we found 11 studies with at least 6 "good" item ratings.

CONCLUSION

A substantial number of studies lacked prospective registration, external validation, model calibration, and support for use in clinic. To further improve the predictive power of machine learning-based models and translate into real clinical applications in cancer research, appropriate methodologies, prospective registration, and multi-institution validation are recommended.