Predicting early death in older adults with cancer

Predictors of three-month mortality and severe chemotherapy-related adverse events in patients aged 70 years and older with metastatic non-small-cell lung cancer: A secondary analysis of ESOGIA-GFPC-GECP 08-02 study

INTRODUCTION

Predictors for mortality and toxicity in older patients with cancer are mainly studied in cohorts with various cancers at different stages. This study aims to identify predictive geriatric factors (PGFs) for early death and severe chemotherapy related adverse events (CRAEs) in patients aged ≥70 years with metastatic non-small-cell lung cancer (mNSCLC).

MATERIAL AND METHODS

This is a secondary analysis of the multicenter, randomized, phase 3 ESOGIA trial that compared, for patients ≥70 years with mNSCLC, a treatment algorithm based on performance status and age to another algorithm based on geriatric assessment. To identify PGFs of three-month mortality and grade 3, 4, or 5 CRAEs, multivariate Cox models and logistic models, adjusted for treatment group and center, and stratified by randomization arm, were constructed.

RESULTS

Among 494 included patients, 145 (29.4%) had died at three months and 344 (69.6%) had severe chemotherapy toxicity. For three-month mortality, multivariate analyses retained mobility (Test Get up and Go), instrumental activity of daily living (IADL) dependence and weight loss as PGFs. The combined effect of IADL ≤2/4 and weight loss ≥3 kg was strongly associated with three-month mortality (adjusted hazard ratio: 5.71 [95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.64-12.32]). For chemotherapy toxicity, Charlson Comorbidity Index ≥2 was independently associated with grade3, 4, or 5 CRAEs (adjusted odds ratio [95% CI]: 1.94 [1.06-3.56]).

DISCUSSION

Mobility, IADL dependence, and weight loss were predictive of three-month mortality in a population aged ≥70 years treated for mNSCLC, while comorbidities were independently associated with severe chemotherapy toxicity.

Assessing Frailty in Gastrointestinal Cancer: Two Diseases in One?

PURPOSEOF REVIEW

This review examines the challenges of treating gastrointestinal cancer in the aging population, focusing on the importance of frailty assessment. Emphasized are the rise in gastrointestinal cancer incidence in older adults, advances in frailty assessments for patients with gastrointestinal cancer, the development of novel frailty markers, and a summary of recent trials.

RECENT FINDINGS

Increasing evidence suggests that the use of a Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment (CGA) to identify frail older adults and individualize cancer care leads to lower toxicity and improved quality of life outcomes. However, the adoption of a full CGA prior to chemotherapy initiation in older cancer patients remains low. Recently, new frailty screening tools have emerged, including assessments designed to specifically predict chemotherapy-related adverse events. Additionally, frailty biomarkers have been developed, such as blood tests like IL-6 and performance tracking through physical activity monitors. The relevance of nutrition and muscle mass is discussed. Highlights from recent trials suggest the feasibility of successfully identifying patients most at risk of serious adverse events. There have been promising developments in identifying novel frailty markers and methods to screen for frailty in the older adult population. Further prospective trials that focus on and address the needs of the geriatric population for early identification of frailty in cancer care, facilitating a more tailored treatment approach. Practicing oncologists should select a frailty assessment to implement into their routine practice and adjust treatment accordingly.

Predicting Risk of Severe Toxicity and Early Death in Older Adult Patients Treated with Chemotherapy

BACKGROUND

Determining the risk of grade 3-5 toxicity and early death (ED) is important to plan chemotherapy in older adult patients with cancer. Our objective was to identify factors predicting these complications at the time of treatment initiation.

METHODS

234 patients aged ≥70 were subjected to a geriatric assessment and variables related to the tumor and the treatment were also collected. Logistic regression multivariable analysis was used to relate these factors with the appearance of grade 3-5 toxicity and ED. Predictive scores for both toxicity and ED were then developed.

RESULTS

Factors related to grade 3-5 toxicity were hemoglobin, MAX2 index, ADL, and the CONUT score. Factors related to ED were tumor stage and the GNRI score. Two predictive scores were developed using these variables. ROC curves for the prediction of toxicity and ED were 0.71 (95% CI: 0.64-0.78) and 0.73 (95% CI: 0.68-0.79), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Two simple and reliable scores were developed to predict grade 3-5 toxicity and ED in older adult patients with cancer. This may be helpful in treatment planning.

Early mortality in patients with cancer treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors in routine practice

BACKGROUND

We sought to estimate the proportion of patients with cancer treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) who die soon after starting ICI in the real world and examine factors associated with early mortality (EM).

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study using linked health administrative data from Ontario, Canada. EM was defined as death from any cause within 60 days of ICI initiation. Patients with melanoma, lung, bladder, head and neck, or kidney cancer treated with ICI between 2012 and 2020 were included.

RESULTS

A total of 7126 patients treated with ICI were evaluated. Fifteen percent (1075 of 7126) died within 60 days of initiating ICI. The highest mortality was observed in patients with bladder and head and neck tumors (approximately 21% each). In multivariable analysis, previous hospital admission or emergency department visit, prior chemotherapy or radiation therapy, stage 4 disease at diagnosis, lower hemoglobin, higher white blood cell count, and higher symptom burden were associated with higher risk of EM. Conversely, patients with lung and kidney cancer (compared with melanoma), lower neutrophil to lymphocytes ratio, and with higher body mass index were less likely to die within 60 days post ICI initiation. In a sensitivity analysis, 30-day and 90-day mortality were 7% (519 of 7126) and 22% (1582 of 7126), respectively, with comparable clinical factors associated with EM identified.

CONCLUSIONS

EM is common among patients treated with ICI in the real-world setting and is associated with several patient and tumor characteristics. Development of a validated tool to predict EM may facilitate better patient selection for treatment with ICI in routine practice.

Prognostic evaluation in patients with advanced cancer in the last months of life: ESMO Clinical Practice Guideline

•This ESMO Clinical Practice Guideline provides key recommendations for using prognostic estimates in advanced cancer. •The guideline covers recommendations for patients with cancer and an expected survival of months or less. •An algorithm for use of clinical predictions, prognostic factors and multivariable risk prediction models is presented. •The author group encompasses a multidisciplinary group of experts from different institutions in Europe, USA and Asia. •Recommendations are based on available scientific data and the authors’ collective expert opinion.

Robot assisted radical prostatectomy in fit older patients compared to a standard population: Clinical characteristics, surgical, oncological and functional outcomes

INTRODUCTION

To compare robotic assisted radical prostatectomy (RARP) in well-selected older patients with clinically localized prostate cancer, compared to a younger population. Primary endpoint was perioperative outcomes comparison and secondary endpoint were oncological and functional outcomes comparison to a younger population.

METHODS

Single tertiary center cohort of consecutive patients treated with RARP (2017-2020) with retrospective analysis. Patients were classified by age in two groups: <75: control group (CG) and ≥75: study group (SG). Patients aged ≥75 had a comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) and only patients classified Balducci ≤2 were admitted to surgery.

RESULTS

Two hundred and sixty-nine patients were included, 56 in SG and 213 in CG. Median follow-up was 9.8 months. Univariate analysis showed no statistically significant (SS) difference between the groups for patients' characteristics (PSA, digital rectal examination -DRE- and biopsy Gleason Score), perioperative data (operative time, hospitalization length, transfusions rate, immediate complications, Clavien-Dindo complications, 30-days re-interventions and 30-days re-hospitalisation), oncological (TNM, margins, extraprostatic extension, postoperative PSA, BCR, metastases, overall survival -OS- and cancer specific survival -CSS-) and functional outcomes. Median perioperative blood loss was lower in the SG: 200.00 cc IQR [100.00, 300.00] vs 200.00cc IQR [100.00, 400.00] in the CG (P<0.05). A multivariate regression considering age>75, DRE, GS, PSA, cardiovascular history and diabetes showed none of variables associated with early BCR. Limitations are retrospective design, small number of patients and short follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

RARP shows similar perioperative, oncologic and functional outcomes for older patients selected by a CGA when compared to younger patients. The SG shows a minor perioperative bleeding.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

IV.

Adherence to Mediterranean Diet and Nutritional Status in Women with Breast Cancer: What Is Their Impact on Disease Progression and Recurrence-Free Patients' Survival?

Introduction: Nutritional status impacts the survival of patients with cancer. There are few studies that investigate the role of nutritional status on breast cancer survival in women with breast cancer, and even fewer regarding the impact of adhering to the Mediterranean diet (MD). The present study aims to assess the nutritional status, MD adherence, physical activity levels and health-related quality of life (HRQOL) in women diagnosed with breast cancer and evaluate these parameters regarding recurrence-free survival. Methods: A total of 114 women, aged 35-87 years old, diagnosed with breast cancer in Larissa, Greece, participated in the study. Tumor histopathology was reported, and anthropometric indices were measured by a trained nurse, while questionnaires regarding nutritional status (via mini nutritional assessment), HRQOL via EORTC QLQ-C30, physical activity levels via IPAQ and Mediterranean diet adherence via MedDietScore were administered. The participants were followed-up for a maximum time interval of 42 months or until recurrence occurred. Results: A total of 74% of patients were overweight or obese, while 4% of women were undernourished, and 28% were at risk of malnutrition. After 42 months of follow-up, 22 patients (19.3%) had relapsed. The median time to recurrence was 38 months (IQR: 33-40 months) and ranged between 23 to 42 months. Higher levels of MD adherence were significantly associated with lower body mass index (BMI) values, earlier disease stage, smaller tumor size, absence of lymph node metastases and better physical activity levels (p < 0.05). Normal nutritional status was significantly associated with higher BMI values and better health-related quality of life (p ≤ 0.05). In univariate analysis, patients with higher levels of MD adherence and well-nourished patients had significantly longer recurrence-free survival (p < 0.05). In multivariate analysis, MD adherence and nutritional status were independently associated with recurrence-free patients' survival after adjustment for several confounding factors (p < 0.05). Conclusions: The impact of MD on time to recurrence is still under investigation, and future interventional studies need to focus on the role of adhering to the MD before and after therapy in survival and breast cancer progression. Furthermore, the present study also highlights the importance of an adequate nutritional status on disease progression, and the need for nutritional assessment, education and intervention in women with breast cancer.

Geriatric Assessment Predictors of 1-Year Mortality in Older Adults With GI Malignancies: A Survival Tree Analysis

PURPOSE

Identifying older patients with GI malignancies who are at increased risk of mortality remains challenging. The goal of our study was to examine geriatric assessment (GA) predictors of 1-year mortality and explore the use of a survival tree analysis in a prospective cohort of older adults (≥ 60 years) with newly diagnosed GI malignancies.

METHODS

Survival tree analysis was performed to understand variable interactions and identify predictors of overall survival, computed from time of GA to death or last follow-up. Cox regression was used to estimate associations of 1-year mortality, first using a base model (age, race, cancer stage, cancer risk group, and planned chemotherapy), then using all significant predictors from the univariable analyses, and finally only those identified in survival tree analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 478 participants met eligibility, with a mean age of 70 years. The survival tree analysis identified nutrition, cancer stage, physical and emotional health, age, and functional status as predictors of mortality. Older patients without malnutrition or depression had the best 1-year survival, whereas those with malnutrition, stage IV disease, and functional limitations had the worst 1-year survival. Our base model demonstrated good discrimination (area under curve [AUC] 0.76) but was improved with the addition of GA variables (AUC 0.82) or from survival tree analysis (AUC 0.82).

CONCLUSION

Measures of function, nutrition, and mental health are important predictors of mortality in older adults with GI cancers. Using GA as part of clinical management can aid in the prediction of survival and help inform treatment decision making.

Effectiveness of Geriatric Assessment-Driven Interventions on Survival and Functional and Nutritional Status in Older Patients with Head and Neck Cancer: A Randomized Controlled Trial (EGeSOR)

Simple Summary

Due to population ageing, there is an increasing number of older patients with head and neck cancers (HNC). Management of HNCs is complex. This population may be frailer than other patients with solid cancer. The Geriatric Assessment (GA) is a multidimensional diagnostic and therapeutic tool focused on frailty to propose a coordinated treatment plan and long-term follow-up. Several trials assessed the efficacy of GA-driven interventions on diverse outcomes but no recent randomized controlled trial demonstrated the impact on mortality, functional, or nutritional status as a primary outcome in this particular population. This trial highlighted several difficulties in implementation of geriatric interventions and suggested that the assessment of other models as co-management with oncologists and/or experienced practice nurses could be useful in clinical routine practice.

Abstract

This study assesses the efficacy of Geriatric Assessment (GA)-driven interventions and follow-up on six-month mortality, functional, and nutritional status in older patients with head and neck cancer (HNC). HNC patients aged 65 years or over were included between November 2013 and September 2018 by 15 Ear, Nose, and Throat (ENT) and maxillofacial surgery departments at 13 centers in France. The study was of an open-label, multicenter, randomized, controlled, and parallel-group design, with independent outcome assessments. The patients were randomized 1:1 to benefit from GA-driven interventions and follow-up versus standard of care. The interventions consisted in a pre-therapeutic GA, a standardized geriatric intervention, and follow-up, tailored to the cancer-treatment plan for 24 months. The primary outcome was a composite criterion including six-month mortality, functional impairment (fall in the Activities of Daily Living (ADL) score ≥2), and weight loss ≥10%. Among the patients included (n = 499), 475 were randomized to the experimental (n = 238) or control arm (n = 237). The median age was 75.3 years [70.4–81.9]; 69.5% were men, and the principal tumor site was oral cavity (43.9%). There were no statistically significant differences regarding the primary endpoint (n = 98 events; 41.0% in the experimental arm versus 90 (38.0%); p = 0.53), or for each criterion (i.e., death (31 (13%) versus 27 (11.4%); p = 0.48), weight loss of ≥10% (69 (29%) versus 65 (27.4%); p = 0.73) and fall in ADL score ≥2 (9 (3.8%) versus 13 (5.5%); p = 0.35)). In older patients with HNC, GA-driven interventions and follow-up failed to improve six-month overall survival, functional, and nutritional status.

Measuring Walking Speed Failed to Predict Early Death and Toxicity in Elderly Patients with Metastatic Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC) Selected for Undergoing First-Line Systemic Treatment: An Observational Exploratory Study

Walking speed (WS) has emerged as a potential predictor of mortality in elderly cancer patients, yet data involving non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients are scarce. Our prospective exploratory study sought to determine whether WS would predict early death or toxicity in patients with advanced NSCLC receiving first-line systemic intravenous treatment. Overall, 145 patients of ≥70 years were diagnosed with NSCLC over 19 months, 91 of whom displayed locally-advanced or metastatic cancer. As first-line treatment, 21 (23%) patients received best supportive care, 13 (14%) targeted therapy, and 57 (63%) chemotherapy or immunotherapy. Among the latter, 38 consented to participate in the study (median age: 75 years). Median cumulative illness rating scale for geriatrics (CIRS-G) was 10 (IQR: 8−12), and median WS 1.09 (IQR: 0.9−1.31) m/s. Older age (p = 0.03) and comorbidities (p = 0.02) were associated with Grade 3−4 treatment-related adverse events or death within 6 months of accrual. Overall survival was 14.3 (IQR: 6.1-NR) months for patients with WS < 1 m/s versus 17.3 (IQR: 9.2−26.5) for those with WS ≥ 1 m/s (p = 0.78). This exploratory study revealed WS to be numerically, yet not significantly, associated with early mortality in older metastatic NSCLC patients. Following these hypothesis-generating results, a larger prospective, multicenter study appears to be required to further investigate this outcome.

How aging of the global population is changing oncology

Population aging is causing a demographic redistribution with implications for the future of healthcare. How will this affect oncology? First, there will be an overall rise in cancer affecting older adults, even though age-specific cancer incidences continue to fall due to better prevention. Second, there will be a wider spectrum of health functionality in this expanding cohort of older adults, with differences between “physiologically older” and “physiologically younger” patients becoming more important for optimal treatment selection. Third, greater teamwork with supportive care, geriatric, mental health and rehabilitation experts will come to enrich oncologic decision-making by making it less formulaic than it is at present. Success in this transition to a more nuanced professional mindset will depend in part on the development of user-friendly computational tools that can integrate a complex mix of quantitative and qualitative inputs from evidence-based medicine, functional and cognitive assessments, and the personal priorities of older adults.

Prediction of Chemotoxicity, Unplanned Hospitalizations and Early Death in Older Patients with Colorectal Cancer Treated with Chemotherapy

Simple Summary

Chemotoxicity, unplanned hospitalizations (Uhs) and early death (ED) are common among older patients with cancer who receive chemotherapy. Our objective was to determine factors predicting these complications. A predictive score for these three complications based on geriatric, tumor and laboratory variables was developed in a series of 215 older patients with colorectal carcinoma receiving chemotherapy. The use of this score may reliably identify patients at risk to have excessive toxicity with chemotherapy, UH or ED, thus helping to plan treatment, implement adaptive measures, and intensify follow-up.

Abstract

Purpose: To identify risk factors for toxicity, unplanned hospitalization (UH) and early death (ED) in older patients with colorectal carcinoma (CRC) initiating chemotherapy. Methods: 215 patients over 70 years were prospectively included. Geriatric assessment was performed before treatment, and tumor and treatment variables were collected. The association between these factors and grade 3–5 toxicity, UH and ED (<6 months) was examined by using multivariable logistic regression. Score points were assigned to each risk factor. Results: During the first 6 months of treatment, 33% of patients developed grade 3–5 toxicity, 31% had UH and 23% died. Risk factors were, for toxicity, instrumental activities of daily living, creatinine clearance, weight loss and MAX2 index; for UH, Charlson Comorbidity Score, creatinine clearance, weight loss, serum albumin, and metastatic disease; and for ED, basic activities in daily living, weight loss, metastatic disease, and hemoglobin levels. Predictive scores were built with these variables. The areas under receiver operation characteristic (ROC) curves for toxicity, UH and ED were 0.70 (95% CI: 0.64–0.766), 0.726 (95% IC: 0.661–0.799) and 0.74 (95% IC: 0.678–0.809), respectively. Conclusion: Simple scores based on geriatric, tumor and laboratory characteristics predict severe toxicity, UH and ED, and may help in treatment planning.

PG-SGA SF in nutrition assessment and survival prediction for elderly patients with cancer

Background

This study was sought to report the prevalence of malnutrition in elderly patients with cancer. Validate the predictive value of the nutritional assessment tool (Patient-Generated Subjective Global Assessment Short Form, PG-SGA SF) for clinical outcomes and assist the therapeutic decision.

Methods

This is a secondary analysis of a multicentric, observational cohort study. Elderly patients with cancer older than 65 years were enrolled after the first admission. Nutritional status was identified using the PG-SGA SF.

Results

Of the 2724 elderly patients included in the analysis, 65.27% of patients were male (n = 1778); the mean age was 71.00 ± 5.36 years. 31.5% of patients were considered malnourished according to PG-SGA SF. In multivariate analysis, malnutrition(PG-SGA SF > 5) was significantly associated with worse OS (HR: 1.47,95%CI:1.29–1.68), affects the quality of life, and was related to more frequent nutrition impact symptoms. During a median follow-up of 4.5 years, 1176 death occurred. The mortality risk was 41.10% for malnutrition during the first 12 months and led to a rate of 323.98 events per-1000-patient-years. All nutritional assessment tools were correlated with each other (PG-SGA SF vs. PG-SGA: r = 0.98; PG-SGA SF vs. GLIM[Global Leadership Initiative on Malnutrition]: r = 0.48, all P < 0.05). PG-SGA SF and PG-SGA performed similarly to predict mortality but better than GLIM. PG-SGA SF improves the predictive ability of the TNM classification system for mortality in elderly patients with cancer, including distinguishing patients’ prognoses and directing immunotherapy.

Conclusions

The nutritional status as measured by PG-SGA SF which is a prognostic factor for OS in elderly cancer patients and could improve the prognostic model of TNM.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12877-021-02662-4.

Prognostic Value of Routinely Measured Inflammatory Biomarkers in Older Cancer Patients: Pooled Analysis of Three Cohorts

Simple Summary

The prognostic assessment of older cancer patients is complicated by their heterogeneity. We aimed to assess the prognostic value of routinely measured inflammatory biomarkers. We performed a pooled analysis of prospective multicenter cohorts of cancer patients aged ≥70. We measured CRP and albumin, and calculated Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS) and CRP/albumin ratio. The GPS has three levels (0 = CRP ≤ 10 mg/L, albumin ≥ 35 g/L, i.e., normal values; 1 = one abnormal value; 2 = two abnormal values). Overall, 1800 patients were analyzed (mean age: 79 ± 6; males: 62%; metastases: 38%). The GPS and CRP/albumin ratio were independently associated with mortality. The discriminative power of the baseline clinical model was increased by adding GPS and CRP/albumin ratio. Routine inflammatory biomarkers add prognostic value to clinical factors in older cancer patients.

Abstract

Background: The prognostic assessment of older cancer patients is complicated by their heterogeneity. We aimed to assess the prognostic value of routine inflammatory biomarkers. Methods: A pooled analysis of prospective multicenter cohorts of cancer patients aged ≥70 was performed. We measured CRP and albumin, and calculated Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS) and CRP/albumin ratio. The GPS has three levels (0 = CRP ≤ 10 mg/L, albumin ≥ 35 g/L, i.e., normal values; 1 = one abnormal value; 2 = two abnormal values). One-year mortality was assessed using Cox models. Discriminative power was assessed using Harrell’s C index (C) and net reclassification improvement (NRI). Results: Overall, 1800 patients were analyzed (mean age: 79 ± 6; males: 62%; metastases: 38%). The GPS and CRP/albumin ratio were independently associated with mortality in patients not at risk of frailty (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval] = 4.48 [2.03–9.89] for GPS1, 11.64 [4.54–29.81] for GPS2, and 7.15 [3.22–15.90] for CRP/albumin ratio > 0.215) and in patients at risk of frailty (2.45 [1.79–3.34] for GPS1, 3.97 [2.93–5.37] for GPS2, and 2.81 [2.17–3.65] for CRP/albumin ratio > 0.215). The discriminative power of the baseline clinical model (C = 0.82 [0.80–0.83]) was increased by adding GPS (C = 0.84 [0.82–0.85]; NRI events (NRI+) = 10% [2–16]) and CRP/albumin ratio (C = 0.83 [0.82–0.85]; NRI+ = 14% [2–17]). Conclusions: Routine inflammatory biomarkers add prognostic value to clinical factors in older cancer patients.

[Oncogeriatric assessment: The first step in personalizing cancer treatment in the elderly]

With aging worldwide population and the high incidence of cancer in the population of people over 75 years old, there is a need for oncologists and geriatricians to strengthen their collaboration to improve elderly patients care. Complexity of cancer and aging issues must be considered simultaneously to establish a personalized care plan. Thus, the G8 is a screening tool that allows to identify patients who should benefit from a geriatric assessment, which is a key step in the management process. This specific evaluation offers a multidisciplinary approach to functional, psychological, nutritional, cognitive and social status and has demonstrated its prognostic value in terms of choice of treatment but also in terms of patient survival. In nearly 20% of cases, the geriatric assessment leads to a change in the choice of treatment, and at one year the initial care plan is not carried out in a quarter of cases. The presence of malnutrition and functional impairment leading to dependence on basic activities of daily living had a significant impact on this change in therapeutic choice. Survival is not only impacted by malnutrition and functional impairment but also by the presence of severe comorbidities and thymic and neurocognitive impairment. The patient's choice must remain at the center of the elaboration of the care plan with the oncologists and geriatricians in order to propose the most appropriate treatment for his or her situation.

A predictive web-based nomogram for the early death of patients with lung adenocarcinoma and bone metastasis: a population-based study

Objective

To identify risk factors and develop predictive web-based nomograms for the early death of patients with bone metastasis of lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD).

Methods

Patients in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database diagnosed with bone metastasis of LUAD between 2010 and 2016 were included and randomly divided into training and validation sets. Early death-related risk factors (survival time ≤7 months) were evaluated by logistic regression. Two predictive nomograms were established and validated by calibration curves, receiver operating characteristic curves, and decision curve analysis.

Results

A total of 9189 patients (56.59%) died from all causes within 7 months of being diagnosed, including 8585 patients (56.67%) who died from cancer-specific causes. Age >65 years, sex (men), T stage (T3 and T4), N stage (N2 and N3), brain metastasis, and liver metastasis were risk factors for all-cause and cancer-specific early death. The area under the curves of the nomograms for all-cause and cancer-specific early death prediction were 0.754 and 0.753 (training set) and 0.747 and 0.754 (validation set), respectively. Further analysis showed that the two nomograms performed well.

Conclusions

Our two web-based nomograms for all-cause and cancer-specific early death provide valuable tools for predicting early death in these patients.

Quality of life and Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment (CGA) in older adults receiving Accelerated Partial Breast Irradiation (APBI) using a single fraction of Multi-Catheter Interstitial High-Dose Rate Brachytherapy (MIB). The SiFEBI phase I/II trial

OBJECTIVES

The SiFEBI trial demonstrated that a post-operative Multicatheter Interstitial Brachytherapy (MIB) appears feasible and with acceptable toxicity in older adults aged 70 years and older presenting with low-risk breast cancer. The aim of the present ancillary study was to analyze the quality of life and Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment (CGA) domains within 6 months in older adults receiving Accelerated Partial Breast Irradiation (APBI) using a single fraction of MIB.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

From 11/2012 to 09/2014, 37 patients were included and 26 were evaluable. Patients (pts) aged 70 years and older with a Balducci score of 1 or 2 and presenting with low-risk breast cancer were prospectively enrolled in this phase I/II trial (NCT01727011). After lumpectomy, intra-operative catheter implantation was performed for post-operative APBI after pathological findings. Quality of life (QoL) evaluation and CGA were scheduled at baseline and 1, 3, and 6 months after APBI. Autonomy decline was defined as a 1-point decrease in Activities of Daily Living (ADL).

RESULTS

Mean age was 77 years. Within the first 6 months of follow-up, no autonomy decline was observed in ADL, 3 patients had an autonomy decline in Instrumental Activities of Daily Living (IADL) and 2 patients had a slower gait speed but no changes in cognitive function, nutritional status, and depression screening. Global QoL was quite similar at baseline compared to 1, 3, and 6 months. No differences were observed for functional items.

CONCLUSION

APBI based on a single fraction of MIB in older adults with low-risk breast cancer appears to be feasible with a minimal loss of autonomy regarding IADL, no loss of autonomy in ADL, an acceptable decrease in other CGA domains, and with no impact on global quality of life.

Development and Validation of an Early Mortality Risk Score for Older Patients Treated with Chemotherapy for Cancer

Background: Estimation of life expectancy in older patients is relevant to select the best treatment strategy. We aimed to develop and validate a score to predict early mortality in older patients with cancer. Patients and Methods: A total of 749 patients over 70 years starting new chemotherapy regimens were prospectively included. A prechemotherapy assessment that included sociodemographic variables, tumor/treatment variables, and geriatric assessment variables was performed. Association between these factors and early death was examined using multivariable logistic regression. Score points were assigned to each risk factor. External validation was performed on an independent cohort. Results: In the training cohort, the independent predictors of 6-month mortality were metastatic stage (OR 4.8, 95% CI [2.4–9.6]), ECOG-PS 2 (OR 2.3, 95% CI [1.1–5.2]), ADL ≤ 5 (OR 1.7, 95% CI [1.1–3.5]), serum albumin levels ≤ 3.5 g/dL (OR 3.4, 95% CI [1.7–6.6]), BMI < 23 kg/m² (OR 2.5, 95% CI [1.3–4.9]), and hemoglobin levels < 11 g/dL (OR 2.4, 95% CI (1.2–4.7)). With these results, we built a prognostic score. The area under the ROC curve was 0.78 (95% CI, 0.73 to 0.84), and in the validation set, it was 0.73 (95% CI: 0.67–0.79). Conclusions: This simple and highly accurate tool can help physicians making decisions in elderly patients with cancer who are planned to initiate chemotherapy treatment.

Comprehensive geriatric assessment in older adults with cancer: Recommendations by the Italian Society of Geriatrics and Gerontology (SIGG)

INTRODUCTION

Optimizing the approach to older adults with cancer is now a priority given the increasing frequency of new cancer diagnoses that are made in the older population. The comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) represents the gold-standard for (1) defining prognosis and ability to withstand cancer treatments, (2) exploring the multiple aspects that define the complexity of frail older persons, and (3) designing person-tailored interventions.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In this document, based on a comprehensive revision of the literature, the Italian Society for Geriatrics and Gerontology proposes a CGA model (ONCOGER CGA) to be adopted by oncology centers for their routine approach to older patients with cancer.

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

A widespread use of this standardized CGA format will facilitate comparisons across institutions, promote studies based on a multidimensional patient assessment, and foster the inclusion of geriatric endpoints in oncological clinical trials. Furthermore, we predict that the use of a standardized CGA approach will increase the integration of geriatricians into oncology care teams with the final result of improving therapeutic choices and clinical outcomes.

Comparison of Mobility Indices for Predicting Early Death in Older Patients With Cancer: The Physical Frailty in Elderly Cancer Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

To assess and compare the ability of five mobility indices to predict 6-month mortality in older patients with cancer.

METHODS

All consecutive ambulatory older patients with cancer referred for a geriatric assessment before a cancer treatment decision were included in a prospective two-center cohort study (Physical Frailty in Elderly Cancer) between 2013 and 2017. The mobility indices compared were the short physical performance battery, gait speed, hand grip strength, the one-leg stance balance test, and repeated falls. The primary endpoint was 6-month overall mortality. The adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval [CI]) for each mobility index was estimated using a multivariate Cox proportional hazard model adjusted for sex, the Cumulative Illness Rating Scale for Geriatrics, the body mass index, cancer site/extension, and the provision of supportive care alone. The models' predictive performances were assessed in terms of Harrell's C index, net reclassification improvement, and the standardized net benefit.

RESULTS

A total of 603 patients included (mean age: 81.2 ± 6.1 years; women: 54%; metastatic cancer: 45%). In multivariate analyses, an impairment in any of the mobility indices (with the exception of repeated falls) was independently associated with 6-month mortality following a geriatric assessment; the adjusted hazard ratio [95% CI] ranged from 2.35 [1.34-4.13] for the one-leg stance balance (C index: 0.74) to 3.03 [1.93-4.76] for the short physical performance battery (C index: 0.77). For each mobility index, inclusion in the multivariate model improved significantly the latter's prediction of 6-month mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Among mobility tests, short physical performance battery had the best discriminative value for predicting 6-month mortality in older patients with cancer.

Nutritional status according to the mini nutritional assessment (MNA)® as potential prognostic factor for health and treatment outcomes in patients with cancer - a systematic review

Background

Patients with cancer have an increased risk of malnutrition which is associated with poor outcome. The Mini Nutritional Assessment (MNA®) is often used in older patients with cancer but its relation to outcome is not known.

Methods

Four databases were systematically searched for studies relating MNA-results with any reported outcome. Two reviewers screened titles/abstracts and full-texts, extracted data and rated the risk of bias (RoB) independently.

Results

We included 56 studies which varied widely in patient and study characteristics. In multivariable analyses, (risk of) malnutrition assessed by MNA significantly predicts a higher chance for mortality/poor overall survival (22/27 studies), shorter progression-free survival/time to progression (3/5 studies), treatment maintenance (5/8 studies) and (health-related) quality of life (2/2 studies), but not treatment toxicity/complications (1/7 studies) or functional status/decline in (1/3 studies). For other outcomes – length of hospital stay (2 studies), falls, fatigue and unplanned (hospital) admissions (1 study each) – no adjusted results were reported. RoB was rated as moderate to high.

Conclusions

MNA®-result predicts mortality/survival, cancer progression, treatment maintenance and (health-related) quality of life and did not predict adverse treatment outcomes and functional status/ decline in patients with cancer. For other outcomes results are less clear. The moderate to high RoB calls for studies with better control of potential confounders.

How to select candidates for microvascular head and neck reconstruction in the elderly? Predictive factors of postoperative outcomes

INTRODUCTION

The proportion of elderly patients with head and neck cancer is increasing. However, predictive factors of postoperative outcomes are insufficiently explored in this population. In this study, we aimed to determine predictive factors of postoperative outcomes in elderly patients undergoing head and neck free-flap reconstructive surgery in order to determine criteria on which patient selection could be based.

METHODS

All patients aged 65 years or over who underwent head and neck free-flap reconstructive surgery at our institution, between 2000 and 2016, were included in this retrospective study. Predictive factors of postoperative outcomes were investigated in uni- and multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

Two-hundred patients were included in the study. Older age (>70, >75 or > 80 yrs) had no significant impact on postoperative outcomes. Free flap failure local and general complications rates were 11%, 34% and 43%, respectively. Oromandibular reconstruction (p = 0.04) was significantly associated with free flap failure and salvage surgery (p = 0.04) with local complications. A high comorbidity level (Charlson Comorbidity Index score ≥ 4; p = 0.02) was associated with a higher risk of general complications. A G8 (Geriatric 8 questionnaire) score < 15 (p = 0.004), a high comorbidity level (Kaplan-Feinstein Index score ≥ 2; p = 0.04) and oromandibular reconstruction (p = 0.04) were associated with poor swallowing function at 6 months.

CONCLUSION

Head and neck free flap reconstruction should be offered to fit (G8 score ≥ 15) elderly patients without severe comorbidities (KFI < 2 or CCI < 4), particularly when oral/pharyngeal soft-tissue reconstruction is planned.

Metastatic disease in head & neck oncology

The head and neck district represents one of the most frequent sites of cancer, and the percentage of metastases is very high in both loco-regional and distant areas. Prognosis refers to several factors: a) stage of disease; b) loco-regional relapses; c) distant metastasis. At diagnosis, distant metastases of head and neck cancers are present in about 10% of cases with an additional 20-30% developing metastases during the course of their disease. Diagnosis of distant metastases is associated with unfavorable prognosis, with a median survival of about 10 months. The aim of the present review is to provide an update on distant metastasis in head and neck oncology. Recent achievements in molecular profiling, interaction between neoplastic tissue and the tumor microenvironment, oligometastatic disease concepts, and the role of immunotherapy have all deeply changed the therapeutic approach and disease control. Firstly, we approach topics such as natural history, epidemiology of distant metastases and relevant pathological and radiological aspects. Focus is then placed on the most relevant clinical aspects; particular attention is reserved to tumours with distant metastasis and positive for EBV and HPV, and the oligometastatic concept. A substantial part of the review is dedicated to different therapeutic approaches. We highlight the role of immunotherapy and the potential effects of innovative technologies. Lastly, we present ethical and clinical perspectives related to frailty in oncological patients and emerging difficulties in sustainable socio-economical governance.

Development, validation and clinical impact of a prediction model for 6-month mortality in older cancer patients: the GRADE

Background: To develop, validate, and assess the clinical impact of a clinical score to predict a 6-month mortality risk among older cancer patients.

Results: The mean age was 81.2 ± 6.1 years (women: 54%, various cancers, metastatic cancer: 45%). The score, namely the GRADE, included two geriatric variables (unintentional weight loss, impaired mobility), two oncological variables (cancer site, cancer extension), and exclusively supportive care. Up to a 14% risk of early death, the decision curves suggest that cancer treatment should be instated.

Conclusion: We have developed and validated a simple score, easy to implement in daily oncological practice, to predict early death among older cancer patients which could guide oncologists in their treatment decisions.

Methods: 603 outpatients prospectively included in the Physical Frailty in Elderly Cancer patients cohort study. We created a multivariate prediction model by evaluating the strength of the individual components of the Geriatric Assessment regarding risk of death at 6 months. Each component was evaluated by univariate analysis and the significant variables (P ≤ 0.20) were carried on as covariates in the multivariate cox proportion hazard analysis. The beta coefficients from the model were used to build a point-based scoring system. Clinical impact was assessed using decision curves.

Predicting Chemotherapy Toxicity and Death in Older Adults with Colon Cancer: Results of MOST Study

PURPOSE

Older patients with colon cancer (CC) are vulnerable to chemotherapy toxicity and death. Establishing simple scores specific for patients with CC to predict severe chemotoxicity or early death is needed to select the best treatment strategy.

SUBJECTS, MATERIALS, AND METHODS

This prospective multicenter study included patients aged ≥70 years with CC receiving adjuvant or first-line metastatic chemotherapy. Frailty markers (nutrition, physical activity, energy, mobility, strength), comprehensive geriatric assessment (functional status, comorbidities, falls, nutrition, cognition, and depression), and usual laboratory parameters were collected. Logistic or Cox regression was used to examine at 500 days the association between frailty markers, comprehensive geriatric assessment, laboratory parameters, and grade 3-4 toxicity or death.

RESULTS

A total of 97 patients (median age, 79.0 years) received adjuvant (37.1%) or metastatic (62.9%) chemotherapy. During the first 500 days, grade 3-4 toxicity occurred in 49.5%, and 30% died. The predictive model for grade 3-4 toxicity combined (polychemotherapy × 3) + (hypoalbuminemia <32 g/L × 2) + (abnormal grip strength × 1.5) + C-reactive protein >11 mg/L + Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (ECOG-PS), cutoff score >3. The predictive model for death combined (metastasis × 5) + (age × 2) + alkaline phosphatase >100 IU/mL + sex (female) + abnormal grip strength + ECOG-PS, cutoff score >6. For chemotoxicity prediction, sensitivity was 81.6% and specificity 71.4%. For death prediction, sensitivity was 89.7% and specificity was 83.6%.

CONCLUSION

These simple and efficient "ColonPrediscores" will help to better identify older patients with CC with increased risk of chemotherapy-related toxicity and/or death.

IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE

The two scores assessed in this study, called "ColonPrediscores", offer a major advantage in that they do not need a previous complete geriatric assessment, which makes them an easy-to-use tool in oncologic settings.

[Evaluation of the elderly patient with cancer]

PURPOSE

To explain the notion of frailty, then to explain how crucial is the detection of frailty detection in the elderly patient, and, in cases of suspected frailty, how crucial is the need for geriatric assessment. To describe (i) how this assessment of the elderly cancer patient is performed, (ii) how the results of this geriatric assessment must drive the decision making, and (iii) the role of the geriatrician in the care pathway.

METHOD

Bibliographic research from the Medline bibliographic database (NLM Pubmed tool) and Embase, as well as on the websites of scientific geriatric societies, from the National Cancer Institute using the following keywords: elderly, geriatrics, cancer, frailty, assessment, decision making.

RESULTS

The goal of frailty detection is to optimize care, to maintain the independence and the survival of the patient. The prevalence of frailty increases with the age and the diagnosis of cancer. Detection of frailty in the elderly patient with cancer is performed using the G8 questionnaire recommended by the INCa. In case of anomaly or clinical justification, the patient receives a geriatric assessment, which is a multidimensional and multidisciplinary procedure. The clinician can call on the UCOG of the region in which he practices. The relevance of medical decisions will be based on the results of this geriatric assessment. The geriatrician plays a crucial role and will be involved throughout the care.

CONCLUSION

The detection of frailty in the elderly patient with cancer is obligatory. Consecutive geriatric assessment can be performed by the UCOG of the region. The results of the geriatric assessment must serve as a basis for any therapeutic decision making and the preservation of the independence of the patient must remain the priority.

Arti Hurria and the progress in integrating the geriatric assessment into oncology: Young International Society of Geriatric Oncology review paper

Until recently, the progress in the diagnosis and management of cancer has not been matched by similar progress in the assessment of the increasing numbers of older and more complex patients with cancer. Dr. Arti Hurria identified this gap at the outset of her career, which she dedicated toward studying the geriatric assessment (GA) as an improvement over traditional methods used in oncology to assess vulnerability in older patients with cancer. This review documents the progress of the GA and its integration into oncology. First, we detail the GA's origins in the field of geriatrics. Next, we chronicle the early rise of geriatric oncology, highlighting the calls of early thought-leaders to meet the demands of the rapidly aging cancer population. We describe Dr. Hurria's early efforts toward meeting these calls though the implementation of the GA in oncology research. We then summarize some of the seminal studies constituting the evidence base supporting GA's implementation. Finally, we lay out the evolution of cancer-focused guidelines recommending the GA, concluding with future needs to advance the next steps toward more widespread implementation in routine cancer care. Throughout, we describe Dr. Hurria's vision and its execution in driving progress of the GA in oncology, from her fellowship training to her co-authored guidelines recommending GA for all older adults with cancer-published in the year of her untimely death.

The OncoAge Consortium: Linking Aging and Oncology from Bench to Bedside and Back Again

It is generally accepted that carcinogenesis and aging are two biological processes, which are known to be associated. Notably, the frequency of certain cancers (including lung cancer), increases significantly with the age of patients and there is now a wealth of data showing that multiple mechanisms leading to malignant transformation and to aging are interconnected, defining the so-called common biology of aging and cancer. OncoAge, a consortium launched in 2015, brings together the multidisciplinary expertise of leading public hospital services and academic laboratories to foster the transfer of scientific knowledge rapidly acquired in the fields of cancer biology and aging into innovative medical practice and silver economy development. This is achieved through the development of shared technical platforms (for research on genome stability, (epi)genetics, biobanking, immunology, metabolism, and artificial intelligence), clinical research projects, clinical trials, and education. OncoAge focuses mainly on two pilot pathologies, which benefit from the expertise of several members, namely lung and head and neck cancers. This review outlines the broad strategic directions and key advances of OncoAge and summarizes some of the issues faced by this consortium, as well as the short- and long-term perspectives.

The Desire to Better Understand Older Adults with Solid Tumors to Improve Management: Assessment and Guided Interventions-The French PACA EST Cohort Experience

Todays challenge in geriatric oncology is to screen patients who need geriatric follow-up. The main goal of this study was to analyze factors that identify patients, in a large cohort of patients with solid tumors, who need more geriatric interventions and therefore specific follow-up. Between April 2012 and May 2018, 3530 consecutive patients were enrolled in the PACA EST cohort (France). A total of 3140 patients were finally enrolled in the study. A Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment (CGA) was performed at baseline. We analyzed the associations between factors at baseline (geriatric and oncologic factors) and the need to perform more than three geriatric interventions. The mean age of the population was 82 years old with 59% of patients aged older than 80 years old. A total of 8819 geriatric interventions were implemented for the 3140 patients. The percentage of patients with three or more geriatric interventions represented 31.8% (n = 999) of the population. In multivariate analyses, a Mini Nutritional assessment (MNA) <17, an MNA ≤23·5 and ≥17, a performans status (PS) >2, a dependence on Instrumental Activities of Daily Living (IADL), a Geriatric Depression Scale (GDS) ≥5, a Mini Mental State Examination (MMSE) <24, and a Screening tool G8 ≤14 were independent risk factors associated with more geriatric interventions. Factors associated with more geriatric interventions could assist practitioners in selecting patients for specific geriatric follow-up.