Developing and validating a prediction model for lymphedema detection in breast cancer survivors

Application of Artificial Intelligence in Oncology Nursing: A Scoping Review

BACKGROUND

Artificial intelligence (AI) has been increasingly used in healthcare during the last decade, and recent applications in oncology nursing have shown great potential in improving care for patients with cancer. It is timely to comprehensively synthesize knowledge about the progress of AI technologies in oncology nursing.

OBJECTIVE

The aims of this study were to synthesize and evaluate the existing evidence of AI technologies applied in oncology nursing.

METHODS

A scoping review was conducted based on the methodological framework proposed by Arksey and O'Malley and later improved by the Joanna Briggs Institute. Six English databases and 3 Chinese databases were searched dating from January 2010 to November 2022.

RESULTS

A total of 28 articles were included in this review-26 in English and 2 in Chinese. Half of the studies used a descriptive design (level VI). The most widely used AI technologies were hybrid AI methods (28.6%) and machine learning (25.0%), which were primarily used for risk identification/prediction (28.6%). Almost half of the studies (46.4%) explored developmental stages of AI technologies. Ethical concerns were rarely addressed.

CONCLUSIONS

The applicability and prospect of AI in oncology nursing are promising, although there is a lack of evidence on the efficacy of these technologies in practice. More randomized controlled trials in real-life oncology nursing settings are still needed.

IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE

This scoping review presents comprehensive findings for consideration of translation into practice and may provide guidance for future AI education, research, and clinical implementation in oncology nursing.

Arm symptom pattern among breast cancer survivors with and without lymphedema: a contemporaneous network analysis

BACKGROUND

Arm symptoms commonly endure in post-breast cancer period and persist into long-term survivorship. However, a knowledge gap existed regarding the interactions among these symptoms. This study aimed to construct symptom networks and visualize the interrelationships among arm symptoms in breast cancer survivors (BCS) both with and without lymphedema (LE).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We conducted a secondary analysis of 3 cross-sectional studies. All participants underwent arm circumference measurements and symptom assessment. We analyzed 17 symptoms with a prevalence >15%, identifying clusters and covariates through exploratory factor and linear regression analysis. Contemporaneous networks were constructed with centrality indices calculated. Network comparison tests were performed.

RESULTS

1116 cases without missing data were analyzed, revealing a 29.84% prevalence of LE. Axillary lymph node dissection [ALND] (vs sentinel lymph node biopsy [SLNB]), longer post-surgery duration, and radiotherapy significantly impacted overall symptom severity (P < .001). "Lymphatic Stasis," "Nerve Injury," and "Movement Limitation" symptom clusters were identified. Core symptoms varied: tightness for total sample network, firmness for non-LE network, and tightness for LE network. LE survivors reported more prevalent and severe arm symptoms with stronger network connections than non-LE group (P = .010). No significant differences were observed among different subgroups of covariates (P > .05). Network structures were significantly different between ALND and SLNB groups.

CONCLUSION

Our study revealed arm symptoms pattern and interrelationships in BCS. Targeting core symptoms in assessment and intervention might be efficient for arm symptoms management. Future research is warranted to construct dynamic symptom networks in longitudinal data and investigate causal relationships among symptoms.

Lymphatic pain in breast cancer survivors: An overview of the current evidence and recommendations

Among the 7.8 million women with breast cancer worldwide, at least 33% to 44% of them are affected by lymphatic pain. Lymphatic pain refers to co-occurring pain (e.g., pain, aching or soreness) and swelling. Pharmacological approaches, such as the uses of NSAIDS, opioids, antiepileptics, ketamine and lidocaine, have very limited effects on lymphatic pain. Limited research in this field has made it difficult for patients and clinicians to differentiate lymphatic pain from other types of pain. Precision assessment to distinguish different types of pain is essential for finding efficacious cure for pain. Innovative behavioral interventions to promote lymph flow and reduce inflammation are promising to reduce lymphatic pain. The goal of this review is to provide a comprehensive understanding of lymphatic pain through research evidence-based knowledge and insights into precision assessment and therapeutic behavioral intervention for lymphatic pain.

Preoperative Risk Factors for Lymphedema in Inflammatory Breast Cancer

BACKGROUND

 Prophylactic lymphatic bypass or LYMPHA (LYmphatic Microsurgical Preventive Healing Approach) is increasingly offered to prevent lymphedema following breast cancer treatment, which develops in up to 47% of patients. Previous studies focused on intraoperative and postoperative lymphedema risk factors, which are often unknown preoperatively when the decision to perform LYMPHA is made. This study aims to identify preoperative lymphedema risk factors in the high-risk inflammatory breast cancer (IBC) population.

METHODS

 Retrospective review of our institution's IBC program database was conducted. The primary outcome was self-reported lymphedema development. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to identify preoperative lymphedema risk factors, while controlling for number of lymph nodes removed during axillary lymph node dissection (ALND), number of positive lymph nodes, residual disease on pathology, and need for adjuvant chemotherapy.

RESULTS

 Of 356 patients with IBC, 134 (mean age: 51 years, range: 22-89 years) had complete data. All 134 patients underwent surgery and radiation. Forty-seven percent of all 356 patients (167/356) developed lymphedema. Obesity (body mass index > 30) (odds ratio [OR]: 2.7, confidence interval [CI]: 1.2-6.4, p = 0.02) and non-white race (OR: 4.5, CI: 1.2-23, p = 0.04) were preoperative lymphedema risk factors.

CONCLUSION

 Patients with IBC are high risk for developing lymphedema due to the need for ALND, radiation, and neoadjuvant chemotherapy. This study also identified non-white race and obesity as risk factors. Larger prospective studies should evaluate potential racial disparities in lymphedema development. Due to the high prevalence of lymphedema, LYMPHA should be considered for all patients with IBC.

Machine Learning Approaches to Predict Symptoms in People With Cancer: Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

People with cancer frequently experience severe and distressing symptoms associated with cancer and its treatments. Predicting symptoms in patients with cancer continues to be a significant challenge for both clinicians and researchers. The rapid evolution of machine learning (ML) highlights the need for a current systematic review to improve cancer symptom prediction.

OBJECTIVE

This systematic review aims to synthesize the literature that has used ML algorithms to predict the development of cancer symptoms and to identify the predictors of these symptoms. This is essential for integrating new developments and identifying gaps in existing literature.

METHODS

We conducted this systematic review in accordance with the PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) checklist. We conducted a systematic search of CINAHL, Embase, and PubMed for English records published from 1984 to August 11, 2023, using the following search terms: cancer, neoplasm, specific symptoms, neural networks, machine learning, specific algorithm names, and deep learning. All records that met the eligibility criteria were individually reviewed by 2 coauthors, and key findings were extracted and synthesized. We focused on studies using ML algorithms to predict cancer symptoms, excluding nonhuman research, technical reports, reviews, book chapters, conference proceedings, and inaccessible full texts.

RESULTS

A total of 42 studies were included, the majority of which were published after 2017. Most studies were conducted in North America (18/42, 43%) and Asia (16/42, 38%). The sample sizes in most studies (27/42, 64%) typically ranged from 100 to 1000 participants. The most prevalent category of algorithms was supervised ML, accounting for 39 (93%) of the 42 studies. Each of the methods-deep learning, ensemble classifiers, and unsupervised ML-constituted 3 (3%) of the 42 studies. The ML algorithms with the best performance were logistic regression (9/42, 17%), random forest (7/42, 13%), artificial neural networks (5/42, 9%), and decision trees (5/42, 9%). The most commonly included primary cancer sites were the head and neck (9/42, 22%) and breast (8/42, 19%), with 17 (41%) of the 42 studies not specifying the site. The most frequently studied symptoms were xerostomia (9/42, 14%), depression (8/42, 13%), pain (8/42, 13%), and fatigue (6/42, 10%). The significant predictors were age, gender, treatment type, treatment number, cancer site, cancer stage, chemotherapy, radiotherapy, chronic diseases, comorbidities, physical factors, and psychological factors.

CONCLUSIONS

This review outlines the algorithms used for predicting symptoms in individuals with cancer. Given the diversity of symptoms people with cancer experience, analytic approaches that can handle complex and nonlinear relationships are critical. This knowledge can pave the way for crafting algorithms tailored to a specific symptom. In addition, to improve prediction precision, future research should compare cutting-edge ML strategies such as deep learning and ensemble methods with traditional statistical models.

Comparison of the effects of different functional exercise sequences on lymphedema in breast cancer: protocol for an exploratory randomised controlled cross-over trial

INTRODUCTION

Breast cancer-related lymphedema (BCRL) is a common postoperative complication of breast cancer. It develops in a chronic and vicious cycle. Once lymphedema occurs, it cannot be cured and bring serious physiological, psychological, social and economic burden to patients. Upper limb functional exercises are an effective and convenient intervention for managing lymphedema. However, the optimal exercise sequence remains unclear. Therefore, we aim to compare the effects of exercise sequences under the guidance of commonly used exercise sequences and lymphatic flow theory.

METHODS

An exploratory randomised controlled cross-over trial will be conducted. 32 patients with BCRL are randomly allocated into two groups (group A and group B). Group A patients will perform functional exercise from wrist joint to shoulder joint, and the exercise direction of group B is opposite to that of group A, that is, from shoulder joint to wrist joint end. Exercise time is once a day, each 20-30 min, for 2 weeks. After 2 weeks of washout period, A and B groups of exchange exercise sequences (exercise frequency and duration unchanged). The primary outcome is upper limb circumference, and secondary outcomes are upper limb function and lymphedema symptoms.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

This study protocol is presented in accordance with the Standard Protocol Items: Recommendations for Interventional Trials guidelines. All participants will sign a written informed consent. The research ethics regional committee of Shanghai Seventh People's Hospital has approved the study. Regardless of the outcome of this study, the results will be published in open-access journals to ensure public access.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

ChiCTR2200066463.

Comparison of machine learning models to predict the risk of breast cancer-related lymphedema among breast cancer survivors: a cross-sectional study in China

Objective

The aim of this study was to develop and validate a series of breast cancer-related lymphoedema risk prediction models using machine learning algorithms for early identification of high-risk individuals to reduce the incidence of postoperative breast cancer lymphoedema.

Methods

This was a retrospective study conducted from January 2012 to July 2022 in a tertiary oncology hospital. Subsequent to the collection of clinical data, variables with predictive capacity for breast cancer-related lymphoedema (BCRL) were subjected to scrutiny utilizing the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) technique. The entire dataset underwent a randomized partition into training and test subsets, adhering to a 7:3 distribution. Nine classification models were developed, and the model performance was evaluated based on accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, recall, precision, F-score, and area under curve (AUC) of the ROC curve. Ultimately, the selection of the optimal model hinged upon the AUC value. Grid search and 10-fold cross-validation was used to determine the best parameter setting for each algorithm.

Results

A total of 670 patients were investigated, of which 469 were in the modeling group and 201 in the validation group. A total of 174 had BCRL (25.97%). The LASSO regression model screened for the 13 features most valuable in predicting BCRL. The range of each metric in the test set for the nine models was, in order: accuracy (0.75-0.84), sensitivity (0.50-0.79), specificity (0.79-0.93), recall (0.50-0.79), precision (0.51-0.70), F score (0.56-0.69), and AUC value (0.71-0.87). Overall, LR achieved the best performance in terms of accuracy (0.81), precision (0.60), sensitivity (0.79), specificity (0.82), recall (0.79), F-score (0.68), and AUC value (0.87) for predicting BCRL.

Conclusion

The study established that the constructed logistic regression (LR) model exhibits a more favorable amalgamation of accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, recall, and AUC value. This configuration adeptly discerns patients who are at an elevated risk of BCRL. Consequently, this precise identification equips nurses with the means to undertake timely and tailored interventions, thus averting the onset of BCRL.

The application and use of artificial intelligence in cancer nursing: A systematic review

PURPOSE

Artificial Intelligence is being applied in oncology to improve patient and service outcomes. Yet, there is a limited understanding of how these advanced computational techniques are employed in cancer nursing to inform clinical practice. This review aimed to identify and synthesise evidence on artificial intelligence in cancer nursing.

METHODS

CINAHL, MEDLINE, PsycINFO, and PubMed were searched using key terms between January 2010 and December 2022. Titles, abstracts, and then full texts were screened against eligibility criteria, resulting in twenty studies being included. Critical appraisal was undertaken, and relevant data extracted and analysed. The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines were followed.

RESULTS

Artificial intelligence was used in numerous areas including breast, colorectal, liver, and ovarian cancer care among others. Algorithms were trained and tested on primary and secondary datasets to build predictive models of health problems related to cancer. Studies reported this led to improvements in the accuracy of predicting health outcomes or identifying variables that improved outcome prediction. While nurses led most studies, few deployed an artificial intelligence based digital tool with cancer nurses in a real-world setting as studies largely focused on developing and validating predictive models.

CONCLUSION

Electronic cancer nursing datasets should be established to enable artificial intelligence techniques to be tested and if effective implemented in digital prediction and other AI-based tools. Cancer nurses need more education on machine learning and natural language processing, so they can lead and contribute to artificial intelligence developments in oncology.

Temporal validation of a risk prediction model for breast cancer-related lymphoedema in European population: A retrospective study

AIMS

To perform temporal validation of a risk prediction model for breast cancer-related lymphoedema in the European population.

DESIGN

Temporal validation of a previously developed prediction model using a new retrospective cohort of women who had undergone axillary lymph node dissection between June 2018 and June 2020.

METHODS

We reviewed clinical records to identify women who did and did not develop lymphoedema within 2 years of surgery and to gather data regarding the variables included in the prediction model. The model was calibrated by calculating Spearman's correlation between observed and expected cases. Its accuracy in discriminating between patients who did versus did not develop lymphoedema was assessed by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).

RESULTS

The validation cohort comprised 154 women, 41 of whom developed lymphoedema within 2 years of surgery. The value of Spearman's coefficient indicated a strong correlation between observed and expected cases. Sensitivity of the model was higher than in the derivation cohort, as was the value of the AUC.

CONCLUSION

The model shows a good capacity to discriminate women at risk of lymphoedema and may therefore help in developing improved care pathways for individual patients.

IMPLICATIONS FOR THE PROFESSION AND/OR PATIENT CARE

Identifying risk factors for lymphoedema secondary to breast cancer treatment is vital given its impact on women's physical and emotional well-being.

IMPACT

What problem did the study address? Risk of BCRL. What were the main findings? The prediction model has a good capacity to discriminate women at risk of lymphoedema. Where and on whom will the research have an impact? In clinical practice with women at risk of BCRL.

REPORTING METHOD

STROBE checklist. WHAT DOES THIS PAPER CONTRIBUTE TO THE WIDER GLOBAL CLINICAL COMMUNITY?: It presents a validated risk prediction model for BCRL.

NO PATIENT OR PUBLIC CONTRIBUTION

There was no patient or public contribution in the conduct of this study.

Development of predictive models for lymphedema by using blood tests and therapy data

Lymphedema is a disease that refers to tissue swelling caused by an accumulation of protein-rich fluid that is usually drained through the lymphatic system. Detection of lymphedema is often based on expensive diagnoses such as bioimpedance spectroscopy, shear wave elastography, computed tomography, etc. In current machine learning models for lymphedema prediction, reliance on observable symptoms reported by patients introduces the possibility of errors in patient-input data. Moreover, these symptoms are often absent during the initial stages of lymphedema, creating challenges in its early detection. Identifying lymphedema before these observable symptoms manifest would greatly benefit patients by potentially minimizing the discomfort caused by these symptoms. In this study, we propose to use new data, such as complete blood count, serum, and therapy data, to develop predictive models for lymphedema. This approach aims to compensate for the limitations of using only observable symptoms data. We collected data from 2137 patients, including 356 patients with lymphedema and 1781 patients without lymphedema, with the lymphedema status of each patient confirmed by clinicians. The data for each patient included: (1) a complete blood count (CBC) test, (2) a serum test, and (3) therapy information. We used various machine learning algorithms (i.e. random forest, gradient boosting, decision tree, logistic regression, and artificial neural network) to develop predictive models on the training dataset (i.e. 80% of the data) and evaluated the models on the external validation dataset (i.e. 20% of the data). After selecting the best predictive models, we created a web application to aid medical doctors and clinicians in the rapid screening of lymphedema patients. A dataset of 2137 patients was assembled from Seoul National University Bundang Hospital. Predictive models based on the random forest algorithm exhibited satisfactory performance (balanced accuracy = 87.0 ± 0.7%, sensitivity = 84.3 ± 0.6%, specificity = 89.1 ± 1.5%, precision = 97.4 ± 0.7%, F1 score = 90.4 ± 0.4%, and AUC = 0.931 ± 0.007). We developed a web application to facilitate the swift screening of lymphedema among medical practitioners: https://snubhtxt.shinyapps.io/SNUBH_Lymphedema . Our study introduces a novel tool for the early detection of lymphedema and establishes the foundation for future investigations into predicting different stages of the condition.

Computer-aided diagnosis for screening of lower extremity lymphedema in pelvic computed tomography images using deep learning

Lower extremity lymphedema (LEL) is a common complication after gynecological cancer treatment, which significantly reduces the quality of life. While early diagnosis and intervention can prevent severe complications, there is currently no consensus on the optimal screening strategy for postoperative LEL. In this study, we developed a computer-aided diagnosis (CAD) software for LEL screening in pelvic computed tomography (CT) images using deep learning. A total of 431 pelvic CT scans from 154 gynecological cancer patients were used for this study. We employed ResNet-18, ResNet-34, and ResNet-50 models as the convolutional neural network (CNN) architecture. The input image for the CNN model used a single CT image at the greater trochanter level. Fat-enhanced images were created and used as input to improve classification performance. Receiver operating characteristic analysis was used to evaluate our method. The ResNet-34 model with fat-enhanced images achieved the highest area under the curve of 0.967 and an accuracy of 92.9%. Our CAD software enables LEL diagnosis from a single CT image, demonstrating the feasibility of LEL screening only on CT images after gynecologic cancer treatment. To increase the usefulness of our CAD software, we plan to validate it using external datasets.

Feasibility and Clinical Utility of Prediction Models for Breast Cancer-Related Lymphedema Incorporating Racial Differences in Disease Incidence

Importance

Breast cancer-related lymphedema (BCRL) is a common complication of axillary lymph node dissection (ALND) but can also develop after sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB). Several models have been developed to predict the risk of disease development before and after surgery; however, these models have shortcomings that include the omission of race, inclusion of variables that are not readily available to patients, low sensitivity or specificity, and lack of risk assessment for patients treated with SLNB.

Objective

To create simple and accurate prediction models for BCRL that can be used to estimate preoperative or postoperative risk.

Design, Setting, and Participants

In this prognostic study, women with breast cancer who underwent ALND or SLNB from 1999 to 2020 at Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center and the Mayo Clinic were included. Data were analyzed from September to December 2022.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Diagnosis of lymphedema based on measurements. Two predictive models were formulated via logistic regression: a preoperative model (model 1) and a postoperative model (model 2). Model 1 was externally validated using a cohort of 34 438 patients with an International Classification of Diseases diagnosis of breast cancer.

Results

Of 1882 included patients, all were female, and the mean (SD) age was 55.6 (12.2) years; 80 patients (4.3%) were Asian, 190 (10.1%) were Black, 1558 (82.8%) were White, and 54 (2.9%) were another race (including American Indian and Alaska Native, other race, patient refused to disclose, or unknown). A total of 218 patients (11.6%) were diagnosed with BCRL at a mean (SD) follow-up of 3.9 (1.8) years. The BCRL rate was significantly higher among Black women (42 of 190 [22.1%]) compared with all other races (Asian, 10 of 80 [12.5%]; White, 158 of 1558 [10.1%]; other race, 8 of 54 [14.8%]; P < .001). Model 1 included age, weight, height, race, ALND/SLNB status, any radiation therapy, and any chemotherapy. Model 2 included age, weight, race, ALND/SLNB status, any chemotherapy, and patient-reported arm swelling. Accuracy was 73.0% for model 1 (sensitivity, 76.6%; specificity, 72.5%; area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC], 0.78; 95% CI, 0.75-0.81) at a cutoff of 0.18, and accuracy was 81.1% for model 2 (sensitivity, 78.0%; specificity, 81.5%; AUC, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.83-0.88) at a cutoff of 0.10. Both models demonstrated high AUCs on external (model 1: 0.75; 95% CI, 0.74-0.76) or internal (model 2: 0.82; 95% CI, 0.79-0.85) validation.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this study, preoperative and postoperative prediction models for BCRL were highly accurate and clinically relevant tools comprised of accessible inputs and underscored the effects of racial differences on BCRL risk. The preoperative model identified high-risk patients who require close monitoring or preventative measures. The postoperative model can be used for screening of high-risk patients, thus decreasing the need for frequent clinic visits and arm volume measurements.

Risk prediction models for breast cancer-related lymphedema: A systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

To review and critically evaluate currently available risk prediction models for breast cancer-related lymphedema (BCRL).

METHODS

PubMed, Embase, CINAHL, Scopus, Web of Science, the Cochrane Library, CNKI, SinoMed, WangFang Data, VIP Database were searched from inception to April 1, 2022, and updated on November 8, 2022. Study selection, data extraction and quality assessment were conducted by two independent reviewers. The Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool was used to assess the risk of bias and applicability. Meta-analysis of AUC values of model external validations was performed using Stata 17.0.

RESULTS

Twenty-one studies were included, reporting twenty-two prediction models, with the AUC or C-index ranging from 0.601 to 0.965. Only two models were externally validated, with the pooled AUC of 0.70 (n = 3, 95%CI: 0.67 to 0.74), and 0.80 (n = 3, 95%CI: 0.75 to 0.86), respectively. Most models were developed using classical regression methods, with two studies using machine learning. Predictors most frequently used in included models were radiotherapy, body mass index before surgery, number of lymph nodes dissected, and chemotherapy. All studies were judged as high overall risk of bias and poorly reported.

CONCLUSIONS

Current models for predicting BCRL showed moderate to good predictive performance. However, all models were at high risk of bias and poorly reported, and their performance is probably optimistic. None of these models is suitable for recommendation in clinical practice. Future research should focus on validating, optimizing, or developing new models in well-designed and reported studies, following the methodology guidance and reporting guidelines.

Algorithm-Based Risk Identification in Patients with Breast Cancer-Related Lymphedema: A Cross-Sectional Study

Background: Breast cancer-related lymphedema (BCRL) could be one consequence of breast cancer (BC). Although several risk factors have been identified, a predictive algorithm still needs to be made available to determine the patient's risk from an ensemble of clinical variables. Therefore, this study aimed to characterize the risk of BCRL by investigating the characteristics of autogenerated clusters of patients. Methods: The dataset under analysis was a multi-centric data collection of twenty-three clinical features from patients undergoing axillary dissection for BC and presenting BCRL or not. The patients' variables were initially analyzed separately in two low-dimensional embeddings. Afterward, the two models were merged in a bi-dimensional prognostic map, with patients categorized into three clusters using a Gaussian mixture model. Results: The prognostic map represented the medical records of 294 women (mean age: 59.823±12.879 years) grouped into three clusters with a different proportion of subjects affected by BCRL (probability that a patient with BCRL belonged to Cluster A: 5.71%; Cluster B: 71.42%; Cluster C: 22.86%). The investigation evaluated intra- and inter-cluster factors and identified a subset of clinical variables meaningful in determining cluster membership and significantly associated with BCRL biological hazard. Conclusions: The results of this study provide potential insight for precise risk assessment of patients affected by BCRL, with implications in prevention strategies, for instance, focusing the resources on identifying patients at higher risk.

Development and validation of a risk prediction model for breast cancer-related lymphedema in postoperative patients with breast cancer

OBJECTIVE

Breast cancer-related lymphedema (BCRL) is a common post-operative complication in patients with breast cancer. Here, we sought to develop and validate a predictive model of BCRL in Chinese patients with breast cancer.

METHODS

Clinical and demographic data on patients with breast cancer were collected between 2016 and 2021 at a Cancer Hospital in China. A nomogram for predicting the risk of lymphedema in postoperative patients with breast cancer was constructed and verified using R 3.5.2 software. Model performance was evaluated using area under the ROC curve (AUC) and goodness-of-fit statistics, and the model was internally validated.

RESULTS

A total of 1732 postoperative patients with breast cancer, comprising 1212 and 520 patients in the development and validation groups, respectively, were included. Of these 438 (25.39%) developed lymphedema. Significant predictors identified in the predictive model were time since breast cancer surgery, level of lymph node dissection, number of lymph nodes dissected, radiotherapy, and postoperative body mass index. At the 31.9% optimal cut-off the model had AUC values of 0.728 and 0.710 in the development and validation groups, respectively. Calibration plots showed a good match between predicted and observed rates. In decision curve analysis, the net benefit of the model was better between threshold probabilities of 10%-80%.

CONCLUSION

The model has good discrimination and accuracy for lymphedema risk assessment, which can provide a reference for individualized clinical prediction of the risk of BCRL. Multicenter prospective trials are required to verify the predictive value of the model.

Detecting diseases in medical prescriptions using data mining methods

Every year, the health of millions of people around the world is compromised by misdiagnosis, which sometimes could even lead to death. In addition, it entails huge financial costs for patients, insurance companies, and governments. Furthermore, many physicians' professional life is adversely affected by unintended errors in prescribing medication or misdiagnosing a disease. Our aim in this paper is to use data mining methods to find knowledge in a dataset of medical prescriptions that can be effective in improving the diagnostic process. In this study, using 4 single classification algorithms including decision tree, random forest, simple Bayes, and K-nearest neighbors, the disease and its category were predicted. Then, in order to improve the performance of these algorithms, we used an Ensemble Learning methodology to present our proposed model. In the final step, a number of experiments were performed to compare the performance of different data mining techniques. The final model proposed in this study has an accuracy and kappa score of 62.86% and 0.620 for disease prediction and 74.39% and 0.720 for prediction of the disease category, respectively, which has better performance than other studies in this field.In general, the results of this study can be used to help maintain the health of patients, and prevent the wastage of the financial resources of patients, insurance companies, and governments. In addition, it can aid physicians and help their careers by providing timely information on diagnostic errors. Finally, these results can be used as a basis for future research in this field.

Prediction of breast cancer-related lymphedema risk after postoperative radiotherapy via multivariable logistic regression analysis

PURPOSE

We identified novel clinical and dosimetric prognostic factors affecting breast cancer-related lymphedema after postoperative radiotherapy (RT) and developed a multivariable logistic regression model to predict lymphedema in these patients.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

In total, 580 patients with unilateral breast cancer were retrospectively reviewed. All patients underwent breast surgery and postoperative RT with or without systemic treatment in 2015. Among the 580 patients, 532 with available RT plan data were randomly divided into training (n=372) and test (n=160) cohorts at a 7:3 ratio to generate and validate the lymphedema prediction models, respectively. An area under the curve (AUC) value was estimated to compare models.

RESULTS

The median follow-up duration was 5.4 years. In total, 104 (17.9%) patients experienced lymphedema with a cumulative incidence as follows: 1 year, 10.5%; 3 years, 16.4%; and 5 years, 17.6%. Multivariate analysis showed that body mass index ≥25 kg/m2 (hazard ratio [HR] 1.845), dissected lymph nodes ≥7 (HR 1.789), and taxane-base chemotherapy (HR 4.200) were significantly associated with increased lymphedema risk. Conversely, receipt of RT at least 1 month after surgery reduced the risk of lymphedema (HR 0.638). A multivariable logistic regression model using the above factors, as well as the minimum dose of axillary level I and supraclavicular lymph node, was created with an AUC of 0.761 and 0.794 in the training and test cohorts, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study demonstrated that a shorter interval from surgery to RT and other established clinical factors were associated with increased lymphedema risk. By combining these factors with two dosimetric parameters, we propose a multivariable logistic regression model for breast cancer-related lymphedema prediction after RT.

Prediction models for breast cancer-related lymphedema: a systematic review and critical appraisal

PURPOSE

The development of risk prediction models for breast cancer lymphedema is increasing, but few studies focus on the quality of the model and its application. Therefore, this study aimed to systematically review and critically evaluate prediction models developed to predict breast cancer-related lymphedema.

METHODS

PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, MEDLINE, CNKI, Wang Fang DATA, Vip Database, and SinoMed were searched for studies published from 1 January 2000 to 1 June 2021. And it will be re-run before the final analysis. Two independent investigators will undertake the literature search and screening, and discrepancies will be resolved by another investigator. The Prediction model Risk Of Bias Assessment Tool will be used to assess the prediction models' risk of bias and applicability.

RESULTS

Seventeen studies were included in the systematic review, including 7 counties, of which 6 were prospective studies, only 7 models were validation studies, and 4 models were externally validated. The area under the curve of 17 models was 0.680~0.908. All studies had a high risk of bias, primarily due to the participants, outcome, and analysis. The most common predictors included body mass index, radiotherapy, chemotherapy, and axillary lymph node dissection.

CONCLUSIONS

The predictive factors' strength, external validation, and clinical application of the breast cancer lymphedema risk prediction model still need further research. Healthcare workers should choose prediction models in clinical practice judiciously.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION

PROSPERO CRD42021258832.

Artificial intelligence empowered Digital Health Technologies in Cancer Survivorship Care: a scoping review

Objective

The objectives of this systematic review are to describe features and specific application scenarios for current cancer survivorship care services of Artificial intelligence (AI)-driven digital health technologies (DHTs) and to explore the acceptance and briefly evaluate its feasibility in the application process.

Methods

Search for literatures published from 2010 to 2022 on sites MEDLINE, IEEE-Xplor, PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials and Scopus systematically. The types of literatures include original research, descriptive study, randomized controlled trial, pilot study, and feasible or acceptable study. The literatures above described current status and effectiveness of digital medical technologies based on AI and used in cancer survivorship care services. Additionally, we use QuADS quality assessment tool to evaluate the quality of literatures included in this review.

Results

43 studies that met the inclusion criteria were analyzed and qualitatively synthesized. The current status and results related to the application of AI-driven DHTs in cancer survivorship care were reviewed. Most of these studies were designed specifically for breast cancer survivors’ care and focused on the areas of recurrence or secondary cancer prediction, clinical decision support, cancer survivability prediction, population or treatment stratified, anti-cancer treatment-induced adverse reaction prediction, and so on. Applying AI-based DHTs to cancer survivors actually has shown some positive outcomes, including increased motivation of patient-reported outcomes (PROs), reduce fatigue and pain levels, improved quality of life, and physical function. However, current research mostly explored the technology development and formation (testing) phases, with limited-scale population, and single-center trial. Therefore, it is not suitable to draw conclusions that the effectiveness of AI-based DHTs in supportive cancer care, as most of applications are still in the early stage of development and feasibility testing.

Conclusions

While digital therapies are promising in the care of cancer patients, more high-quality studies are still needed in the future to demonstrate the effectiveness of digital therapies in cancer care. Studies should explore how to develop uniform standards for measuring patient-related outcomes, ensure the scientific validity of research methods, and emphasize patient and health practitioner involvement in the development and use of technology.