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Chen J, Luo D, Sun C, Sun X, Dai C, Hu X, Wu L, Lei H, Ding F, Chen W, Li X. Predicting COVID-19 Re-Positive Cases in Malnourished Older Adults: A Clinical Model Development and Validation. Clin Interv Aging 2024; 19:421-437. [PMID: 38487375 PMCID: PMC10937181 DOI: 10.2147/cia.s449338] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/11/2023] [Accepted: 02/27/2024] [Indexed: 03/17/2024] Open
Abstract
Purpose Building and validating a clinical prediction model for novel coronavirus (COVID-19) re-positive cases in malnourished older adults. Patients and Methods Malnourished older adults from January to May 2023 were retrospectively collected from the Department of Geriatrics of the Affiliated Hospital of Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine. They were divided into a "non-re-positive" group and a "re-positive" group based on the number of COVID-19 infections, and into a training set and a validation set at a 7:3 ratio. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis was used to identify predictive factors for COVID-19 re-positivity in malnourished older adults, and a nomogram was constructed. Independent influencing factors were screened by multivariate logistic regression. The model's goodness-of-fit, discrimination, calibration, and clinical impact were assessed by Hosmer-Lemeshow test, area under the curve (AUC), calibration curve, decision curve analysis (DCA), and clinical impact curve analysis (CIC), respectively. Results We included 347 cases, 243 in the training set, and 104 in the validation set. We screened 10 variables as factors influencing the outcome. By multivariate logistic regression analysis, preliminary identified protective factors, risk factors, and independent influencing factors that affect the re-positive outcome. We constructed a clinical prediction model for COVID-19 re-positivity in malnourished older adults. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test yielded χ2 =5.916, P =0.657; the AUC was 0.881; when the threshold probability was >8%, using this model to predict whether malnourished older adults were re-positive for COVID-19 was more beneficial than implementing intervention programs for all patients; when the threshold was >80%, the positive estimated value was closer to the actual number of cases. Conclusion This model can help identify the risk of COVID-19 re-positivity in malnourished older adults early, facilitate early clinical decision-making and intervention, and have important implications for improving patient outcomes. We also expect more large-scale, multicenter studies to further validate, refine, and update this model.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jiao Chen
- Geriatric Department, Affiliated Hospital of Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, Sichuan, People’s Republic of China
| | - Danmei Luo
- Geriatric Department, Affiliated Hospital of Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, Sichuan, People’s Republic of China
| | - Chengxia Sun
- Geriatric Department, Affiliated Hospital of Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, Sichuan, People’s Republic of China
| | - Xiaolan Sun
- Geriatric Department, Affiliated Hospital of Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, Sichuan, People’s Republic of China
| | - Changmao Dai
- Geriatric Department, Affiliated Hospital of Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, Sichuan, People’s Republic of China
| | - Xiaohong Hu
- Geriatric Department, Affiliated Hospital of Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, Sichuan, People’s Republic of China
| | - Liangqing Wu
- Geriatric Department, Affiliated Hospital of Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, Sichuan, People’s Republic of China
| | - Haiyan Lei
- Geriatric Department, Affiliated Hospital of Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, Sichuan, People’s Republic of China
| | - Fang Ding
- Geriatric Department, Affiliated Hospital of Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, Sichuan, People’s Republic of China
| | - Wei Chen
- Geriatric Department, Affiliated Hospital of Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, Sichuan, People’s Republic of China
| | - Xueping Li
- Geriatric Department, Affiliated Hospital of Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, Sichuan, People’s Republic of China
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Vargas Becerra C, Urquiaga Meza D, Valderrama Bacilio T, Urbina Calderón F. Complementary considerations in the evaluation of malnutrition in hospitalized elderly patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. ENDOCRINOL DIAB NUTR 2022; 69:453-454. [PMID: 35787354 DOI: 10.1016/j.endien.2022.06.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/11/2021] [Accepted: 02/20/2021] [Indexed: 06/15/2023]
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Vargas Becerra C, Urquiaga Meza D, Valderrama Bacilio T, Urbina Calderón F. Complementary considerations in the evaluation of malnutrition in hospitalized elderly patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. ENDOCRINOL DIAB NUTR 2021; 69:S2530-0164(21)00141-5. [PMID: 34158276 DOI: 10.1016/j.endinu.2021.02.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/11/2021] [Accepted: 02/20/2021] [Indexed: 11/22/2022]
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Ocagli H, Lanera C, Azzolina D, Piras G, Soltanmohammadi R, Gallipoli S, Gafare CE, Cavion M, Roccon D, Vedovelli L, Lorenzoni G, Gregori D. Resting Energy Expenditure in the Elderly: Systematic Review and Comparison of Equations in an Experimental Population. Nutrients 2021; 13:458. [PMID: 33573101 PMCID: PMC7912404 DOI: 10.3390/nu13020458] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/14/2020] [Revised: 01/21/2021] [Accepted: 01/26/2021] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Elderly patients are at risk of malnutrition and need an appropriate assessment of energy requirements. Predictive equations are widely used to estimate resting energy expenditure (REE). In the study, we conducted a systematic review of REE predictive equations in the elderly population and compared them in an experimental population. Studies involving subjects older than 65 years of age that evaluated the performance of a predictive equation vs. a gold standard were included. The retrieved equations were then tested on a sample of 88 elderly subjects enrolled in an Italian nursing home to evaluate the agreement among the estimated REEs. The agreement was assessed using the intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC). A web application, equationer, was developed to calculate all the estimated REEs according to the available variables. The review identified 68 studies (210 different equations). The agreement among the equations in our sample was higher for equations with fewer parameters, especially those that included body weight, ICC = 0.75 (95% CI = 0.69-0.81). There is great heterogeneity among REE estimates. Such differences should be considered and evaluated when estimates are applied to particularly fragile populations since the results have the potential to impact the patient's overall clinical outcome.
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Affiliation(s)
- Honoria Ocagli
- Unit of Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Public Health, Department of Cardiac, Thoracic, Vascular Sciences, and Public Health, University of Padova, Via Loredan 18, 35121 Padova, Italy; (H.O.); (C.L.); (D.A.); (G.P.); (R.S.); (M.C.); (L.V.); (G.L.)
| | - Corrado Lanera
- Unit of Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Public Health, Department of Cardiac, Thoracic, Vascular Sciences, and Public Health, University of Padova, Via Loredan 18, 35121 Padova, Italy; (H.O.); (C.L.); (D.A.); (G.P.); (R.S.); (M.C.); (L.V.); (G.L.)
| | - Danila Azzolina
- Unit of Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Public Health, Department of Cardiac, Thoracic, Vascular Sciences, and Public Health, University of Padova, Via Loredan 18, 35121 Padova, Italy; (H.O.); (C.L.); (D.A.); (G.P.); (R.S.); (M.C.); (L.V.); (G.L.)
- Department of Translational Medicine, University of Piemonte Orientale, Via Solaroli 17, 28100 Novara, Italy
| | - Gianluca Piras
- Unit of Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Public Health, Department of Cardiac, Thoracic, Vascular Sciences, and Public Health, University of Padova, Via Loredan 18, 35121 Padova, Italy; (H.O.); (C.L.); (D.A.); (G.P.); (R.S.); (M.C.); (L.V.); (G.L.)
| | - Rozita Soltanmohammadi
- Unit of Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Public Health, Department of Cardiac, Thoracic, Vascular Sciences, and Public Health, University of Padova, Via Loredan 18, 35121 Padova, Italy; (H.O.); (C.L.); (D.A.); (G.P.); (R.S.); (M.C.); (L.V.); (G.L.)
| | - Silvia Gallipoli
- ZETA Research Incorporation, Via A. Caccia 8, 34122 Trieste, Italy;
| | - Claudia Elena Gafare
- Department of Nutrition, University of Buenos Aires and Food and Diet Therapy Service, Acute General Hospital Juan A. Fernandez, Av. Cerviño 3356, Buenos Aires C1425, Argentina;
| | - Monica Cavion
- Unit of Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Public Health, Department of Cardiac, Thoracic, Vascular Sciences, and Public Health, University of Padova, Via Loredan 18, 35121 Padova, Italy; (H.O.); (C.L.); (D.A.); (G.P.); (R.S.); (M.C.); (L.V.); (G.L.)
| | - Daniele Roccon
- Nursing Home “A. Galvan”, Via Ungheria 340, Pontelongo, 35029 Padova, Italy;
| | - Luca Vedovelli
- Unit of Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Public Health, Department of Cardiac, Thoracic, Vascular Sciences, and Public Health, University of Padova, Via Loredan 18, 35121 Padova, Italy; (H.O.); (C.L.); (D.A.); (G.P.); (R.S.); (M.C.); (L.V.); (G.L.)
| | - Giulia Lorenzoni
- Unit of Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Public Health, Department of Cardiac, Thoracic, Vascular Sciences, and Public Health, University of Padova, Via Loredan 18, 35121 Padova, Italy; (H.O.); (C.L.); (D.A.); (G.P.); (R.S.); (M.C.); (L.V.); (G.L.)
| | - Dario Gregori
- Unit of Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Public Health, Department of Cardiac, Thoracic, Vascular Sciences, and Public Health, University of Padova, Via Loredan 18, 35121 Padova, Italy; (H.O.); (C.L.); (D.A.); (G.P.); (R.S.); (M.C.); (L.V.); (G.L.)
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Geriatric Nutrition Risk Index is comparable to the mini nutritional assessment for assessing nutritional status in elderly hospitalized patients. Clin Nutr ESPEN 2019; 29:77-85. [DOI: 10.1016/j.clnesp.2018.12.002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/17/2018] [Revised: 11/28/2018] [Accepted: 12/03/2018] [Indexed: 12/21/2022]
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Abd Aziz NAS, Teng NIMF, Abdul Hamid MR, Ismail NH. Assessing the nutritional status of hospitalized elderly. Clin Interv Aging 2017; 12:1615-1625. [PMID: 29042762 PMCID: PMC5634387 DOI: 10.2147/cia.s140859] [Citation(s) in RCA: 89] [Impact Index Per Article: 11.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Purpose The increasing number of elderly people worldwide throughout the years is concerning due to the health problems often faced by this population. This review aims to summarize the nutritional status among hospitalized elderly and the role of the nutritional assessment tools in this issue. Methods A literature search was performed on six databases using the terms “malnutrition”, “hospitalised elderly”, “nutritional assessment”, “Mini Nutritional Assessment (MNA)”, “Geriatric Nutrition Risk Index (GNRI)”, and “Subjective Global Assessment (SGA)”. Results According to the previous studies, the prevalence of malnutrition among hospitalized elderly shows an increasing trend not only locally but also across the world. Under-recognition of malnutrition causes the number of malnourished hospitalized elderly to remain high throughout the years. Thus, the development of nutritional screening and assessment tools has been widely studied, and these tools are readily available nowadays. SGA, MNA, and GNRI are the nutritional assessment tools developed specifically for the elderly and are well validated in most countries. However, to date, there is no single tool that can be considered as the universal gold standard for the diagnosis of nutritional status in hospitalized patients. Conclusion It is important to identify which nutritional assessment tool is suitable to be used in this group to ensure that a structured assessment and documentation of nutritional status can be established. An early and accurate identification of the appropriate treatment of malnutrition can be done as soon as possible, and thus, the malnutrition rate among this group can be minimized in the future.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nur Adilah Shuhada Abd Aziz
- Department of Nutrition and Dietetics, Faculty of Health Sciences, Universiti Teknologi MARA, Puncak Alam, Malaysia
| | - Nur Islami Mohd Fahmi Teng
- Department of Nutrition and Dietetics, Faculty of Health Sciences, Universiti Teknologi MARA, Puncak Alam, Malaysia
| | - Mohd Ramadan Abdul Hamid
- Department of Nutrition and Dietetics, Faculty of Health Sciences, Universiti Teknologi MARA, Puncak Alam, Malaysia
| | - Nazrul Hadi Ismail
- Department of Nutrition and Dietetics, Faculty of Health Sciences, Universiti Teknologi MARA, Puncak Alam, Malaysia
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Donini LM, Poggiogalle E, Molfino A, Rosano A, Lenzi A, Rossi Fanelli F, Muscaritoli M. Mini-Nutritional Assessment, Malnutrition Universal Screening Tool, and Nutrition Risk Screening Tool for the Nutritional Evaluation of Older Nursing Home Residents. J Am Med Dir Assoc 2016; 17:959.e11-8. [DOI: 10.1016/j.jamda.2016.06.028] [Citation(s) in RCA: 55] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/25/2016] [Revised: 06/27/2016] [Accepted: 06/28/2016] [Indexed: 12/15/2022]
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Tailliere B, Hennequin V, Jebabli M, Réveil JC, Bertin E. Analyse comparative des paramètres nutritionnels prédictifs du risque nosocomial chez les sujets hospitalisés. NUTR CLIN METAB 2015. [DOI: 10.1016/j.nupar.2015.09.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
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van Bokhorst-de van der Schueren MAE, Guaitoli PR, Jansma EP, de Vet HCW. Nutrition screening tools: Does one size fit all? A systematic review of screening tools for the hospital setting. Clin Nutr 2014; 33:39-58. [PMID: 23688831 DOI: 10.1016/j.clnu.2013.04.008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 334] [Impact Index Per Article: 30.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/21/2012] [Revised: 04/04/2013] [Accepted: 04/06/2013] [Indexed: 01/04/2023]
Affiliation(s)
| | - Patrícia Realino Guaitoli
- Dept. of Nutrition and Dietetics, Internal Medicine, VU University Medical Center, PO Box 7057, 1007 MB Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
| | - Elise P Jansma
- Medical Library, VU Amsterdam University Library, PO Box 7057, 1007 MB Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
| | - Henrica C W de Vet
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, EMGO Institute for Health and Care Research, VU University Medical Center, Van der Boechorststraat 7, 1081 BT Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
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Olveira G, Tapia MJ, Ocón J, Cabrejas-Gómez C, Ballesteros-Pomar MD, Vidal-Casariego A, Arraiza-Irigoyen C, Olivares J, Conde-García MC, García-Manzanares Á, Botella-Romero F, Quílez-Toboso RP, Cabrerizo L, Rubio MA, Chicharro L, Burgos R, Pujante P, Ferrer M, Zugasti A, Manjón L, Diéguez M, Carrera MJ, Vila-Bundo A, Urgelés JR, Aragón-Valera C, Rovira A, Bretón I, García-Peris P, Muñoz-Garach A, Márquez E, Del Olmo D, Pereira JL, Tous MC. The Subjective Global Assessment Predicts In-Hospital Mortality Better than Other Nutrition-Related Risk Indexes in Noncritically Ill Inpatients Who Receive Total Parenteral Nutrition in Spain (Prospective Multicenter Study). J Acad Nutr Diet 2013; 113:1209-18. [DOI: 10.1016/j.jand.2013.05.027] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/28/2012] [Accepted: 05/23/2013] [Indexed: 01/04/2023]
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Utilizing multiple methods to classify malnutrition among elderly patients admitted to the medical and surgical intensive care units (ICU). Clin Nutr 2013; 32:752-7. [PMID: 23340043 DOI: 10.1016/j.clnu.2012.12.012] [Citation(s) in RCA: 64] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/06/2012] [Revised: 10/09/2012] [Accepted: 12/28/2012] [Indexed: 01/04/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS The nutritional status of elderly patients requiring ICU admission is largely unknown. This study evaluated the prevalence of malnutrition in elderly patients (>65 years) admitted to the surgical and medical ICUs, agreement between assessment techniques and associations between malnutrition and adverse outcomes. METHODS For this prospective cohort, nutritional status was classified concurrently using the Mini Nutrition Assessment (MNA), Subjective Global Assessment (SGA), Nutrition Risk Score 2002 (NRS 2002) and MNA-short form (MNA-SF). Demographic and relevant medical information were collected from the medical record prior to the nutrition interview and/or following hospital discharge. Descriptive statistics, inter-rater agreement and regression analyses were conducted. RESULTS The average patient was 74.2 (±6.8) years of age with a mean APACHE II score of 11.9 (±3.6). Malnutrition was prevalent in 23-34% of patients (n = 260) with excellent agreement between raters. Compared to MNA, NRS 2002 had the highest sensitivity, while SGA and MNA-SF had higher specificity. Malnutrition at ICU admission was associated with longer hospital LOS, a lower propensity for being discharged home and a greater need for hospice care or death at discharge (all p values <0.05). These relationships were diminished when controlling for severity of illness. CONCLUSIONS Future work in this elderly population needs to explore the role of disease acuity, inflammation and body composition in the nutrition assessment process and in the examination of outcomes.
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Milà Villarroel R, Formiga F, Duran Alert P, Abellana Sangrà R. [Prevalence of malnutrition in Spanish elders: systematic review]. Med Clin (Barc) 2012; 139:502-8. [PMID: 22677049 DOI: 10.1016/j.medcli.2012.04.008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 22] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/15/2011] [Revised: 03/26/2012] [Accepted: 04/12/2012] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
Over the past years, several studies have examined the prevalence of malnutrition. The purpose of the present systematic literature review is to provide an overview of the current knowledge about the nutritional situation of elderly. Based on a literature research, studies with information about the prevalence of malnutrition published between 1995 and 2011 were considered. A total of 43,235 participants from 47 eligible studies were found. According to the Mini Nutritional Assessment, malnutrition was observed in 16.6% (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 0-62); according to anthropometric and biochemical parameters, malnutrition was observed in 21.4% (95% CI 2-77.3) and, when other nutritional indexes were used, malnutrition was observed in 47.3% (95% CI 10.6-94.7). Prevalence rates of malnutrition were highest in studies with a high proportion of patient who were severely disabled, had hip fracture or swallowing problems. It can be concluded that malnutrition is generally widespread and is highly variable, according to parameters used for nutritional assessment, health related problems or the population under study. Future studies should use standardized nutritional assessment tools in order to improve the prognosis of malnutrition in the elderly and achieve better comparability of study results.
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Affiliation(s)
- Raimon Milà Villarroel
- Departamento de Salud Pública, Facultad de Medicina, Universidad de Barcelona, Barcelona, España.
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Sánchez-Muñoz LA, Mayor-Toranzo E, Rodríguez-Martín C. [Nutritional risk in hospitalized elderly patients]. ENDOCRINOLOGIA Y NUTRICION : ORGANO DE LA SOCIEDAD ESPANOLA DE ENDOCRINOLOGIA Y NUTRICION 2011; 58:556-558. [PMID: 21824830 DOI: 10.1016/j.endonu.2011.05.012] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/01/2011] [Accepted: 05/25/2011] [Indexed: 05/31/2023]
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